Summary of predictions

Prob.
Home - Away Score 1 Score 1 Final Sc of Result
Man Utd vs Leicester 2 - 0 3 - 0 - 0.43
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.51
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.51
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.27
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.51
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.51
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.27
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.51
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.27
Man Utd vs Leicester - - - 0.27
total 4.08
Prob. of
exact score
0.13
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.96
 1 Auto Sutton vs
Home Home team Away team
average attack defence Expected % Proba
goals strength weakness goals 0
Home : Sutton 1.52 0.83 1.58 1.3 27
Away Away team Home team
average attack defence Expected % Proba
goals strength weakness goals 0
Away : Woking 1.11 1.12 0.90 1.0 35

0
0 9.52
1 9.93
Woking 2 5.18
3 1.80
4 0.47
5+ 0.12
Woking

% Probability of scoring this many goals

1 2 3 4 5+
35 23 10 3 1

% Probability of scoring this many goals

1 2 3 4 5+
37 19 7 2 0

Sutton
1 2 3 4 5+
12.46 8.16 3.56 1.16 0.39
12.99 8.51 3.71 1.21 0.40
6.78 4.44 1.94 0.63 0.21
2.36 1.54 0.67 0.22 0.07
0.61 0.40 0.18 0.06 0.02
0.15 0.10 0.04 0.01 0.00

1 X 2
42.65 27.68 29.67

Most likely result: 2/3 - 0

%Probability 12.99
 Attack strength: home and away
aver aver home away
home away Home Away home away attack attack attack
games games for for for for Home-ad strength strength
Aldershot Town 7 7 11 7 1.57 1.00 1.57 1.04 0.90
Barrow 7 7 11 9 1.57 1.29 1.22 1.04 1.16
Boreham Wood 7 7 5 12 0.71 1.71 0.42 0.47 1.55
Braintree 7 7 7 4 1.00 0.57 1.75 0.66 0.52
Bromley 7 7 8 9 1.14 1.29 0.89 0.75 1.16
Chester 7 7 17 5 2.43 0.71 3.40 1.60 0.65
Dagenham & R 7 7 11 13 1.57 1.86 0.85 1.04 1.68
Dover Athletic 7 7 16 7 2.29 1.00 2.29 1.51 0.90
Eastleigh 7 7 14 12 2.00 1.71 1.17 1.32 1.55
Forest Green 7 7 11 15 1.57 2.14 0.73 1.04 1.94
Gateshead 7 7 11 10 1.57 1.43 1.10 1.04 1.29
Guiseley 7 7 11 6 1.57 0.86 1.83 1.04 0.77
Lincoln City 7 7 18 10 2.57 1.43 1.80 1.69 1.29
Macclesfield 7 7 13 10 1.86 1.43 1.30 1.22 1.29
Maidstone 7 7 9 10 1.29 1.43 0.90 0.85 1.29
North Ferriby 7 7 4 2 0.57 0.29 2.00 0.38 0.26
Solihull Moors 7 7 15 7 2.14 1.00 2.14 1.41 0.90
Southport 7 7 6 4 0.86 0.57 1.50 0.56 0.52
Sutton 7 7 9 6 1.29 0.86 1.50 0.85 0.77
Torquay Utd 7 7 10 4 1.43 0.57 2.50 0.94 0.52
Tranmere 7 7 10 5 1.43 0.71 2.00 0.94 0.65
Woking 7 7 13 8 1.86 1.14 1.63 1.22 1.03
Wrexham 7 7 5 6 0.71 0.86 0.83 0.47 0.77
York 7 7 10 5 1.43 0.71 2.00 0.94 0.65
168 168
### 255 186 1.52 1.11 1.37 1.00 1.00
dari wide table yg di sortir
Attack home advantage = goals scored at home / goals scored away
Home attack strength = average goals scored at home / average for all clubs (1.67)
Away attack strength = average goals scored away / average for all clubs (1.09)

w = weight given to away goals in weighted home-attack strength, and vice-ver w = 0.37
Set w = 0 if want weighted home attack-strength based only on goals scored at home
Set w = 0.5 if want weighted home attack-strength and weighted away attack-strength to be equal
and away Defence weakness: home and away
weighted weighted average average home
home att. away att. Home Away home away defence defence
streng streng against against against against Home-ad weakn
1.00 0.96 Aldershot Town 5 8 0.71 1.14 1.60 0.65
1.07 1.10 Barrow 6 8 0.86 1.14 1.33 0.77
0.79 1.07 Boreham Wood 5 6 0.71 0.86 1.20 0.65
0.62 0.58 Braintree 14 9 2.00 1.29 0.64 1.81
0.88 0.98 Bromley 16 6 2.29 0.86 0.38 2.06
1.31 1.07 Chester 5 10 0.71 1.43 2.00 0.65
1.23 1.39 Dagenham & R 2 9 0.29 1.29 4.50 0.26
1.32 1.17 Dover Athletic 11 11 1.57 1.57 1.00 1.42
1.39 1.45 Eastleigh 7 7 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.90
1.31 1.53 Forest Green 4 7 0.57 1.00 1.75 0.52
1.11 1.18 Gateshead 3 11 0.43 1.57 3.67 0.39
0.96 0.89 Guiseley 13 13 1.86 1.86 1.00 1.68
1.57 1.47 Lincoln City 6 7 0.86 1.00 1.17 0.77
1.24 1.26 Macclesfield 5 8 0.71 1.14 1.60 0.65
0.98 1.09 Maidstone 15 9 2.14 1.29 0.60 1.94
0.34 0.31 North Ferriby 7 15 1.00 2.14 2.14 0.90
1.26 1.13 Solihull Moors 13 10 1.86 1.43 0.77 1.68
0.55 0.54 Southport 13 20 1.86 2.86 1.54 1.68
0.83 0.81 Sutton 5 13 0.71 1.86 2.60 0.65
0.81 0.71 Torquay Utd 7 11 1.00 1.57 1.57 0.90
0.85 0.78 Tranmere 5 5 0.71 0.71 1.00 0.65
1.17 1.12 Woking 12 17 1.71 2.43 1.42 1.55
0.56 0.64 Wrexham 3 14 0.43 2.00 4.67 0.39
0.85 0.78 York 4 21 0.57 3.00 5.25 0.52
1.00 1.00 186 255 1.11 1.52 1.37 1.00

Defence home advantage = goals conceded away / goals conceded at home

Home defence weakness = average goals conceded at home / average for a
Away defence weakness = average goals conceded away / average for all c
ome and away
away home away
defence defence defence
weakn weakn weakn
0.75 0.69 0.72
0.75 0.76 0.76
0.56 0.61 0.59
0.85 1.38 1.14
0.56 1.39 1.02
0.94 0.78 0.85
0.85 0.52 0.67
1.04 1.25 1.15
0.66 0.79 0.73
0.66 0.58 0.62
1.04 0.68 0.84
1.22 1.47 1.36
0.66 0.72 0.69
0.75 0.69 0.72
0.85 1.45 1.17
1.41 1.13 1.26
0.94 1.35 1.16
1.88 1.77 1.82
1.22 0.90 1.05
1.04 0.96 1.00
0.47 0.57 0.52
1.60 1.57 1.58
1.32 0.80 1.04
1.98 1.17 1.54
1.00 1.00 1.00

goals conceded at home

d at home / average for all clubs (1.09)
d away / average for all clubs (1.67)
 Home Stats
Wide table

Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts PPG Wh Dh Lh GFh GAh

7  Aldershot Town  14 7 4 3 18 13 5 25 0.0965277778 5 1 1 11 5
6  Barrow  14 7 5 2 20 14 6 26 0.1013888889 4 3 0 11 6
12  Boreham Wood  14 5 6 3 17 11 6 21 1:50 2 2 3 5 5
22  Braintree  14 2 3 9 11 23 -12 9 0.0444444444 1 1 5 7 14
18  Bromley  14 5 2 7 17 22 -5 17 1:21 2 1 4 8 16
10  Chester  14 6 3 5 22 15 7 21 1:50 5 0 2 17 5
3  Dagenham & R  14 9 1 4 24 11 13 28 2:00 5 1 1 11 2
8  Dover Athletic  14 8 1 5 23 22 1 25 0.0965277778 5 0 2 16 11
5  Eastleigh  14 7 5 2 26 14 12 26 0.1013888889 5 1 1 14 7
1  Forest Green  14 9 3 2 26 11 15 30 2:14 4 3 0 11 4
11  Gateshead  14 6 3 5 21 14 7 21 1:50 3 3 1 11 3
24  Guiseley  14 1 3 10 17 26 -9 6 0:43 1 2 4 11 13
2  Lincoln City  14 9 1 4 28 13 15 28 2:00 4 1 2 18 6
4  Macclesfield  14 9 1 4 23 13 10 28 2:00 5 0 2 13 5
16  Maidstone  14 5 3 6 19 24 -5 18 1:29 1 3 3 9 15
21  North Ferriby  14 3 1 10 6 22 -16 10 0.0493055556 2 1 4 4 7
13  Solihull Moors  14 5 4 5 22 23 -1 19 1:36 3 2 2 15 13
23  Southport  14 2 3 9 10 33 -23 9 0.0444444444 1 2 4 6 13
14  Sutton  14 6 1 7 15 18 -3 19 1:36 5 0 2 9 5
17  Torquay Utd  14 5 2 7 14 18 -4 17 1:21 4 1 2 10 7
9  Tranmere  14 7 3 4 15 10 5 24 0.0909722222 5 0 2 10 5
19  Woking  14 3 3 8 21 29 -8 12 0.0597222222 3 1 3 13 12
15  Wrexham  14 5 4 5 11 17 -6 19 1:36 3 3 1 5 3
20  York  14 3 3 8 15 25 -10 12 0.0597222222 3 2 2 10 4
 Away Stats

PPGh     PPGa Wa Da La GFa GAa

2 3 2 7 8
3 2 2 9 8
3 4 0 12 6
1 2 4 4 9
3 1 3 9 6
1 3 3 5 10
4 0 3 13 9
3 1 3 7 11
2 4 1 12 7
5 0 2 15 7
3 0 4 10 11
0 1 6 6 13
5 0 2 10 7
4 1 2 10 8
4 0 3 10 9
1 0 6 2 15
2 2 3 7 10
1 1 5 4 20
1 1 5 6 13
1 1 5 4 11
2 3 2 5 5
0 2 5 8 17
2 1 4 6 14
0 1 6 5 21
Aldershot Town
Barrow
Boreham Wood
Braintree
Bromley
Chester
Dagenham & R
Dover Athletic
Eastleigh
Forest Green
Gateshead
Guiseley
Lincoln City
Macclesfield
Maidstone
North Ferriby
Solihull Moors
Southport
Sutton
Torquay Utd
Tranmere
Woking
Wrexham
York