Formulae Sheet Financial Mathematics Valuation of Stocks and Bonds

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FORMULAE SHEET

Valuation of Stocks and Bonds


Financial Mathematics
𝐶𝑃𝑁
𝐹𝑉𝑛 = 𝐶 × (1 + 𝑟)𝑛 𝐶𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 × 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
=
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
𝐶
PV = 1
(1 + 𝑟)𝑛
𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑛
1 + 𝑌𝑇𝑀𝑛 = ( )
𝐶1 𝐶2 𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
PV = 𝐶0 + + +⋯
(1 + 𝑟)1 (1 + 𝑟)2 1 1 𝐹𝑉
𝐶𝑛 𝑃 = 𝐶𝑃𝑁 × (1 − )+
+ 𝑦 (1 + 𝑦) 𝑛 (1 + 𝑦)𝑛
(1 + 𝑟)𝑛

𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝐷𝐼𝑉1 𝐷𝐼𝑉2
1 1 𝑃0 = + +⋯
= 𝐶 × (1 − ) (1 + 𝑟𝐸 ) (1 + 𝑟𝐸 )2
𝑟 (1 + 𝑟)𝑛
𝑃 𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑛 𝑃𝑛
𝐶= + 𝑛
+
1 1 (1 + 𝑟𝐸 ) (1 + 𝑟𝐸 )𝑛
(1 )
𝑟 − (1 + 𝑟)𝑛
𝐷𝐼𝑉1 Constant growth
𝑃0 = (永续的)
𝐹𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑟𝐸 − 𝑔
1
= 𝐶 × ((1 + 𝑟)𝑛 − 1) 𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑡+1
𝑟 𝑃𝑡 =
𝑟𝐸 − 𝑔
𝐶
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 = 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠𝑡
𝑟−𝑔
𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑡 =
𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑡
𝑃𝑉 𝑜𝑓 𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦 × 𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑢𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑡
=𝐶
1 1+𝑔 𝑛 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠 𝐺𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑡ℎ 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒
× (1 − ( ) )
𝑟−𝑔 1+𝑟 = 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒
× 𝑅𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑜𝑛 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑖𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡

𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑛 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑜𝑑 𝑑𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑛𝑡 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑉0 + 𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ0 − 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡0


𝑃0 =
= (1 + 𝑟)𝑛 − 1 𝑆ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑂𝑢𝑡𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔0

𝐴𝑃𝑅 𝑚 也是equity 非constant growth的公式


1 + 𝐸𝐴𝑅 = (1 + )
𝑚
𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑙 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒
𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 − 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒
=
1 + 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 相当于APR / m = [( 1 + EAR)^(1/m) ] - 1
≈ 𝑁𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒 − 𝐼𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒

𝐶1 𝐶2
PV = + +⋯ equivalent n period discount
(1 + 𝑟1 )1 (1 + 𝑟2 )2 rate
𝐶𝑛
+
(1 + 𝑟𝑛 )𝑛
Capital Budgeting
Cost of Capital
𝑁𝐶𝐹1 𝑁𝐶𝐹2
NPV = 𝑁𝐶𝐹0 + 1
+ +⋯ 𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑝
(1 + 𝑟) (1 + 𝑟)2
𝑁𝐶𝐹𝑛 𝑅𝑝 =
𝑃𝑃
+
(1 + 𝑟)𝑛
𝐷𝐼𝑉1
𝑁𝐶𝐹1 𝑁𝐶𝐹2 𝑟𝑒 = +𝑔
𝑃𝐸
0 = 𝑁𝐶𝐹0 + 1
+
(1 + 𝐼𝑅𝑅) (1 + 𝐼𝑅𝑅)2
𝑁𝐶𝐹𝑛 𝑟𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑟𝑒 𝐸% + 𝑟𝑝 𝑃% + 𝑟𝑑 (1 − 𝑇𝑐 )𝐷%
+⋯+
(1 + 𝐼𝑅𝑅)𝑛
Risk Management
𝑃𝑉
𝐸𝐴𝐴 = 𝑃𝑉(𝐶𝑡 )
1 1
(1 )
𝑟 − (1 + 𝑟)𝑛 𝐷𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = ∑
𝑡 𝑃
×𝑡

𝑁𝑃𝑉
𝑃𝐼 =
𝑅𝑒𝑠𝑜𝑢𝑟𝑐𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑑 𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒
𝜀
𝐹𝐶𝐹 = (𝑅𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑢𝑒 − 𝐶𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑠 ≈ −𝐷𝑢𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 × 𝑟
1+
− 𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) 𝑘
× (1 − 𝑇𝑎𝑥 𝑟𝑎𝑡𝑒)
+ 𝐷𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 − 𝐶𝑎𝑝𝑒𝑥
− 𝐶ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑁𝑊𝐶 𝐴 𝐿
𝐷𝐸 = 𝐷𝐴−𝐿 = 𝐷𝐴 − 𝐷
𝐴−𝐿 𝐴−𝐿 𝐿
Risk and Return, CAPM
Capital Structure Policy
𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑡+1 + 𝑃𝑡+1 − 𝑃𝑡
𝑅𝑡+1 =
𝑃𝑡 V=D+E
𝐷𝐼𝑉𝑡+1 𝑃𝑡+1 − 𝑃𝑡
= +
𝑃𝑡 𝑃𝑡 Capital Structure – No Tax World
1
𝑅̅ = (𝑅1 + 𝑅2 + ⋯ 𝑅𝑇 )
𝑇 𝑉𝐿 = 𝑉𝑈
1
𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑅) = ((𝑅1 − 𝑅̅ )2 + (𝑅2 − 𝑅̅ )2
𝑇−1 𝐸 𝐷
+ ⋯ (𝑅𝑇 − 𝑅̅ )2 ) 𝑟𝑈 = 𝑟𝐸 + 𝑟𝐷
𝐸+𝐷 𝐸+𝐷

𝐸[𝑅𝑝 ] = 𝑤1 𝐸[𝑅1 ] + 𝑤2 𝐸[𝑅2 ] + ⋯ 𝐷


𝑟𝐸 = 𝑟𝑈 + (𝑟 − 𝑟𝐷 )
+ 𝑤𝑛 𝐸[𝑅𝑛 ] 𝐸 𝑈

𝑉𝑎𝑟(𝑅𝑝 )
Capital Structure –Tax World
= 𝑤12 𝑆𝐷(𝑅1 )2 + 𝑤22 𝑆𝐷(𝑅2 )2
+ 2𝑤1 𝑤2 𝐶𝑜𝑟𝑟(𝑅1 , 𝑅2 )𝑆𝐷(𝑅1 )𝑆𝐷(𝑅2 )
𝑉 𝐿 = 𝑉 𝑈 +PV(Interest tax shield)
𝐸[𝑅𝑖 ] = 𝑟𝑓 + 𝛽𝑖 (𝐸[𝑅𝑀𝐾𝑇 ] − 𝑟𝑓 ) 𝐷
𝑟𝐸 = 𝑟𝑈 + (𝑟 − 𝑟𝐷 )(1 − 𝑇𝑐 )
𝐸 𝑈
𝛽𝑝 = 𝑤1 𝛽1 + 𝑤2 𝛽2 + ⋯ 𝑤𝑛 𝛽𝑛

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