Statistics and Probability

Performance Task
3rd Quarter
AY 2020-2021
Names: Shiva Matthew V. Cruz
Gr. & Sec.: 11-STEM 5
PART 1: Mini Task 1
 Insert your answers in MT 1 here. You are allowed to modify or change your submitted MT1.

1. Title of the Game: Can you guess me?

2. How to Play (The game mechanics must be presented in BULLET form.)
 There are 4 rows and 3 columns full of cards that are flipped over
 Try to find three pairs. If you can successfully find the three pairs, you have the option to get the
prize now or risk it all to get a bigger one.
3. How to Win
 If you can find three pairs of the same number, same class, then you win! But, you have the option
to get your prize now, or risk it all for a bigger one.
 The more correct pairs you can find, the bigger the prize! And if you can get it all, you receive the
ultimate prize!
4. How many outcomes are there. (Include your solution)
Solution
S = {2,3,4,5,6}
Answer:

S 2 3 4 5 6

P(S) 1 8 1 8 1
11 33 3 11 11

4C2 1
S(2) = =
12C 2 11
(4 C 1)(4 C 1) 8
S(3) = =
12C 2 33
4 C 2+ ( 4 C 1 ) (4 C 1) 1
S(4) = =
12C 2 3
(4 C 1)(4 C 1) 8
S(5) = =
12C 2 33
4 C2 1
S(6) = =
12 C 2 11

5. List all possible outcomes. (If there are too many possible outcomes, just include at least 10 of the
outcomes)
1. 10 of Hearts x 10 of Hearts
2. 5 of spades x 6 of Hearts
3. Ace of spades x 3 of clubs
4. 3 of clubs x 2 of hearts
 5. 8 of diamonds x of 8 of diamonds
6. Ace of diamonds x 3 of clubs
7. 4 of hearts x Ace of Clubs
8. 8 of hearts x 5 of diamonds
9. 4 of clubs x 2 of spades
10. 5 of spades x 4 of clubs

6. Choose and define a Random Variable from your set of possible outcomes.
1
The number of pairs that can be formed in S=2 is because it shows the number of pairs that can be
11
possible formed.

7. List the possible values of the Random Variable

PART 2: PERFORMANCE TASK (50 points)

1. Construct the Discrete Probability Distribution. (Include your solution for computing the Probability)
Variance
1 8 1 2 8 1
(
σ 2 = 22 x
11)(
32 x
33 )(
42 x
3
5 x )(
11
62 x )(
11
−0.352 )
σ 2=0.230

2. Solve for the Mean and Standard Deviation. (Include your solution)

Mean

1 8 1 8
μ=∑ (2 x )(3 x )( 4 x ¿ )(5 x ) ¿ ¿)
11 33 3 11
μ=0.35
Standard Deviation

1 8 1 2 8 1
√(
σ = 22 x
11) 33(
(3 ¿ ¿2 x ¿ ) 4 2 x )(
3
5 x
11 )(
62 x
11 )
−0.352 ¿ ¿

σ =0.48
3. Interpret the Mean and Standard Deviation.
The mean of the probability of distribution is 0.35. This implies that the average numbers of pairs that will
be formed is 0.35.
The standard deviation of the probability is 0.48. This implies that on the average, the number of pairs
found is 0.48 from the mean 0.35.
4. Can you conclude that your game is fair? (Show your solution in identifying if your game is fair or not)
Our game is not fair because you have a below you have a below 50% of not winning and you have to pay
for every attempt you take which per attempt has 3 tries.
Variance
1 8 1 2 8 1
(
σ 2 = 22 x
11)(
32 x
33 )(
42 x
3
5 x )(
11
62 x )(
11
−0.352 )
σ 2=0.230
Mean

1 8 1 8
μ=∑ (2 x )(3 x )( 4 x ¿ )(5 x ) ¿ ¿)
11 33 3 11
μ=0.35
Standard Deviation

1 8 1 2 8 1
√(
σ = 22 x
11) 33(
(3 ¿ ¿2 x ¿ ) 4 2 x )(
3
5 x
11 )(
62 x
11 )
−0.352 ¿ ¿

σ =0.48

Rubric for Grading

Criteria   5   4   2   1   Total  
Accuracy of Computation  
Probability All of the computed Most of the Some of the computed None of the  
Distribution probabilities are computed probabilities are computed  
40%  correct and the probabilities are correct and the probabilities are x4 
  solution for correct and the solution for computing correct and the
computing the solution for the probability is solution for
probability is computing the indicated in the computing the
indicated in the probability is submitted work. probability is NOT
submitted work. indicated in the indicated in the
submitted work. submitted work.
Mean and The computed Either the Mean or Neither the Mean nor The solution is  
Standard Mean and Standard the Standard the Standard Deviation NOT indicated in x2 
Deviation  Deviation are both Deviation is correct is correct and the the submitted work.
20%  correct and the and the solution is solution is indicated in
solution is indicated indicated in the the submitted work.
in the submitted submitted work.
work.
Interpretation The interpretations The interpretations Either the Neither the x2
for Mean and for the Mean and for the Mean and interpretation for the interpretation for
Standard Standard Deviation Standard Deviation Mean or the standard the Mean nor the
Deviation are correct are somehow correct deviation is correct. standard deviation
20%  is correct.
   All of Most of the Some of the None of the   
   computations are computations are computations are computations are   
Fairness  accurate and it accurate and it shows accurate and it shows accurate and it   
20%  shows that the game that the game is fair that the game is fair or doesn’t show if the x2  
is fair or not.    or not   not   game is fair or not