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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S.

Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

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How to Win the U.S. Mega


Millions 5/70 According To
Math
By Edvin Hiltner / In Lottery / 8 Min Read

Last updated on October 18, 2020

To win the U.S. Mega Millions, players must choose five


numbers from 1 to 70 and one Mega Ball from 1 to 25. Mega
Millions was previously a 5/75 game, so various changes have
taken place since then. Perhaps, the most exciting change is
the increase in jackpot prize from $15 million to $40 million.

However, the government will not introduce changes to make the


game much easier to win. So, let’s talk about how the current
format of the U.S. Mega Millions affects your odds of winning the
jackpot prize from a mathematical perspective.

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Table of Contents 

1. The Odds Of The US Mega Millions 5/70

2. Odd-Even Number Patterns in Mega Millions 5/70

3. Testing Probability Against the Actual U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 Results

4. Likely Results Of the U.S. Mega Millions for Odd/Even Number Patterns
in the Next 1000 Draws

5. The Lotterycodex Patterns – the Best and the Worst Combinations in


Mega Millions
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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

6. How To Win The Mega Millions 5/70 Game


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The Odds Of The US Mega Millions


5/70
The current Mega Millions’ 5/70 game format can have a total of
12,103,014 playable combinations. Therefore, your odds of
matching five correct numbers is 1 in 12 million chances. But to
win the jackpot prize, you have to match the extra mega ball too by
choosing a number between 1 to 25. This requirement pushes the
odds to a monumental one on 302.5 million chances.

The odds can mean both good news and bad news.

First of all, the bad news:

With its current format of 5/70, winning the main jackpot prize is
harder than ever. The odds before was 1 to 259 million. But now,
it’s 1 to 302.6 million.

In plain English, you have to play 303 million times to win the
jackpot when you used to have 260 million attempts in the old
format. Of course, the odds from the old and the current are both
terrible. The current one is just the worst in the history of Mega
Millions.

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

Then, the good news:


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It is much easier now to win a five number match without the mega
ball. In the old format, the odds for the second-tier prize was 1 to
18 million. Now, with the 5/70, it’s 1 to 12.6 million.

So to win the second prize division, you only need to attempt 13


million times as opposed to 18 million. That’s a big improvement.
Right? Well, not quite. Although we recognize that there’s a
significant difference, the odds are still monumental.

The promise of a minimum $40 million jackpot sounds fair enough


with the current rules. But whether that is good news or bad news
is up to you, depending on your objective.

Either way, I recommend that you play the U.S. Mega Millions with
the right type of combinations. As always, Lotterycodex uses the
power of combinatorial math and probability theory to separate the
bad, the worst, the good, and the best type of combinations.
Please check out how Lotterycodex calculator works for more
information.

Let me introduce some of these number patterns for the new U.S.
Mega Millions 5/70 game below:

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

Odd-Even
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Millions 5/70
Possible
Pattern Probability
Combinations

5-odd-and-0-
324632 0.026822409690677
even

4-odd-and-1-
1832600 0.15141682889898
even

3-odd-and-2-
3894275 0.32176076141034
even

2-odd-and-3-
3894275 0.32176076141034
even

1-odd-and-4-
1832600 0.15141682889898
even

0-odd-and-5-
324632 0.026822409690677
even

12103014 1

Further, we can classify these odd-even patterns into three groups:

Best Middle Worst Group


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Group Group
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3-odd-2- 4-odd-1- 5-even-0-odd (All even


even even numbers)

2-odd-3- 1-odd-4- 5-odd-0-even (All odd


even even numbers)

Clearly, the table above shows that the 3-odd-2-even and the 2-
odd-3-even number patterns put you in a better position to win.

As you can see, the “all-even-number” pattern appears three times


in every 100 draws. Whereas, the 3-odd-2-even appears
approximately 32 times. The difference in probability is so
apparent and self-explanatory.

Therefore, the statement that each number combination has equal


chances of getting drawn in the lottery is a mistake. The table
above can attest to that. See my post: Top 10 Lottery Strategy
Myths Debunked.

So, if you play the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 game, you don’t want
to waste your money on poor combinations. (See my post Lottery
Wheel Versus Number Pattern)

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

Testing
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Actual U.S. Mega Millions 5/70


Results
At the time of writing, there were only 237 draws to analyze as of
February 2020. Even with that limited number of draws, we can
say it’s big enough to come up with a conclusive comparison
between the actual graph and theoretical graph.

The probability analysis we have done with other lotteries show


substantial evidence that theoretical calculation and actual results
both agree together. This fact holds with the Mega Millions and
other lottery games. That is the power of logical reasoning using
the probability theory. Math remains a powerful guide on how to
win the Mega Millions.

Below are the graphs we have prepared to show the agreement


between probability prediction and actual Mega Millions draws.
The data were from October 31, 2017, to February 4, 2020, which
composed of all the winning numbers from 237 draws:

Mega Millions 5/70 Odd-Even Analysis – Prediction


Versus Actual Results

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Mega Millions 5/70 Low-High Analysis – Prediction


Versus Actual Results

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Here’s a little task you can do:

Together, let’s watch the outcome of the U.S. Mega Millions for the
next 1000 draws. You tally the odd-even patterns from the actual
results. After you reach the 1000 draws, go back to this article and
compare the table with the tally of your own. I’ll bet you will believe
with your own eyes that math never fails.

Our probability analysis of the old U.S. Mega Millions 5/75 format
is solid proof that math works.

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

How to compute the expected frequency of each pattern in


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1000 draws?

The expected frequency is computed by multiplying the Probability


by 1000 draws.

Expected Frequency = Probability x 1000 draws

In the case of 3-odd-and-2-even patterns with the probability of


0.32176076141034, the expected frequency will be 322.

Expected Frequency (3-odd-and-2-even)


= 0.32176076141034 x 1000 = 321.76076141034
or 322

Following the same computation for the rest of the patterns, we will
arrive at the complete prediction table below:

Likely Results Of the U.S. Mega


Millions for Odd/Even Number
Patterns in the Next 1000 Draws
Expected
Pattern Probability frequency
in 1000 draws

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

5-odd-and-0- 0.026822409690677 27
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even

4-odd-and-1-
0.15141682889898 151
even

3-odd-and-2-
0.32176076141034 322
even

2-odd-and-3-
0.32176076141034 322
even

1-odd-and-4-
0.15141682889898 151
even

0-odd-and-5-
0.026822409690677 27
even

Can you see the difference?

The Lotterycodex Patterns – the


Best and the Worst Combinations in
Mega Millions
There’s more to Mega Millions than simply odd and even
combinations.

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

Looking deeply into the structure of a 5/70 lottery game, you will
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discover layers of intricate patterns that tell you which ones are
best and which ones are useless.

That is where mathematics is beneficial. My probability study


shows 56 patterns in the 5/70 Mega Millions.

Of 56 patterns in Mega Millions, four have a high probability of


occurring, and 28 have a very low likelihood, which you must
avoid.

Best Group Middle Group Worst Group

Patterns #1, #2, Patterns #29 to


Patterns #5 to #28
#3, #4 #56

24 patterns to 28 patterns to
4 patterns
avoid avoid

From the table, the best patterns in Mega Millions are patterns #1,
#2, #3, and #4.

If you pick numbers randomly, your combination might fall into one
of the worst types.

I can imagine that many players waste their money on


combinations such as the following:

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11/17/2020 How to Win the U.S. Mega Millions 5/70 According To Math

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The combinations above are examples of combinations with an


inferior probability of occurring in a 5/70 lottery game like the Mega
Millions.

And there are millions of these types. The problem, you never
know if your combinations belong to this group.

As a 5/70 lotto player, your objective is to win. Indeed, to win the


game, you should not choose a combination that will not likely
occur in any draw.

Knowing the best types of combinations to play is very important.


And we use math to achieve this objective.

I want to discuss these advanced patterns with you. Please check


out my Free Guide: The Lottery and the Winning Formula
According to Math.

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How
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Game
Can you imagine how much money you are putting in to go down
the drain?

Just because the lottery is fun doesn’t mean it’s a legitimate


reason to waste money. So play the lottery for fun. But do it with a
strategy, and playing will be much more fun that way.

Here are my recommendations:

Focus on the best types (patterns #1, #2, #3, #4) and avoid the
worst patterns (there are 28 of these). If you’re not especially good
at math, Lotterycodex has a lottery calculator for you. It comes
with a special program that generates combinations for you and
separates the best, the fair, and the worst type of combinations.
It’s a one of a kind lotto number generator that will make your
game much more fun.

Math remains a powerful guide on how to win the lottery.

Along with a solid strategy, there are other things you should
consider when you play. One of them is to make sure you play the
lottery responsibly. Implement a lottery game plan to keep your
spending going beyond your means.

Moreover, anyone could be at risk of lottery addiction problem.


Like I said earlier, the lottery is just a fun game. Your gambling
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losses are merely the price of a good time, in much the same way
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as cinema tickets are the cost of the entertainment.

US Mega Millions

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