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Estimating ROI For BI Projects
Estimating ROI For BI Projects
Project charter (define the business objectives, data warehouse mission and
vision, business subject area(s) included, project objectives and goals, overall
project scope, critical success factors, and key stakeholders)
Technical requirements and architectural constraints, including tools
Logical or conceptual architecture
The infrastructure (development, system test, production, and training
environments)
High-level logical data model
Data source inventory and profiling
The estimating drivers (such as number of analytics, source tables, target
entities, interviews, etc.)
Project approach and deliverables
Project plan, including effort, timeline, and investment
This up-front effort is essential to accurately define and estimate the project’s total cost
of ownership and can be completed over a short time frame (several weeks) with
experienced data warehouse and business intelligence resources. If this effort is
excluded, the outcome will be a vague project definition and a ballpark estimate that
often leads to non-approval or missed expectations.
Developing an accurate estimate is key to accurately estimating the initial investment.
The estimating technique recommended is a bottom-up approach that quantifies the key
estimating drivers (number of analytics, etc.) of the project based upon the business
requirements and the proposed architecture. This information is incorporated into the
project plan and used to derive the overall effort and time estimate. One of the most
difficult areas to estimate in a data warehouse project is the overall extract, transform,
and load (ETL) activities. Factor in time for the build and test of both the initial and
incremental data loads and plan for multiple mock data loads to test the back end.
Step 4: Identify and Quantify the Benefits (Tangible, Strategic, and Intangible)
Identify the organization’s anticipated benefits from the data warehousing solution and
the associated in-scope business requirements. The link between the benefit and how
much business intelligence will contribute to each benefit may in many cases be
subjective. In certain situations, past empirical evidence may support the business
intelligence link to the benefit. Benefits fall into three major categories: tangible,
strategic, and intangible. All three benefits should be provided in the ROI analysis.
Tangible benefits are specific, quantifiable, and verifiable. For example, if the focus is to
increase customer acquisition through personalized marketing, how many new
customers can be expected over a certain time period and what is the additional
revenue that will result from the new customers? Strategic benefits typically focus on
the broader, long-term corporate strategy and objectives and are more difficult to
quantify. Intangible (qualitative) benefits are not reasonable to measure.
Executives and managers who set out to calculate warehousing benefits should start
with the low-hanging fruit by using a straightforward justification based on the
technology itself—examples are hours saved in report development, report image
storage, report printing, and report distribution. These technology justifications can yield
substantial ROI cost savings when there are thousands of reports involved.
Following technology justification, the business must be examined closely to determine
the ROI that will result from process improvement coupled with better decisions that can
be made through the information provided by the new business intelligence. Determine
how the users will employ the new information provided by the data warehouse in their
day-to-day jobs to positively impact the bottom line. This involves interviewing all
classes of users, including executives, middle managers, analysts, and key end users.
When defining quantitative or tangible benefits, one approach that can be used is to
associate the business requirement to the processes that the proposed business
intelligence will analyze, such as inventory placement and control, to help identify
tangible benefits. The business benefits and numbers must be generated by the
business, often with IT or the data warehouse consultant playing the role of catalyst and
analyst.
Arriving at consensus estimates of the benefit across all affected stakeholders is the
most difficult challenge for business intelligence ROI. The biggest problem in getting
consensus estimates for ROI is related to concern over potential accountabilities
associated with quantitative measures of performance. This can be mitigated by being
conservative regarding setting the performance target for reduction in cost or additional
revenue. For example, if there is a strong probability that sales will be increased by 10
percent due to the new business intelligence, set a performance target of 5 percent.
Tangible benefit examples have been provided in Table 1 for both revenue generation
and cost savings provided by business intelligence based upon real-world experience.
Table 1
Examples of Tangible Benefits
Table 2
Table 3
Unfortunately, technology projects rarely recoup costs in the first year of operation so
ROI calculations typically use a three-year time scale. With a three-year time scale, the
ROI calculation is now the average net benefit (benefits less additional costs) per year
divided by the initial cost, times 100, or:
Other techniques can be used to augment ROI analysis such as cost displacement,
which compares the cost of the new system against the one it will replace, and business
value added, which measures technology not in dollars but in terms of its support of key
strategic business goals and metrics. Even if the warehousing project clearly supports
strategic business objectives, calculating the ROI is still very important and should be
strongly considered.
Step 8: Determine the Payback Period
Identify the point in time at which benefit savings surpass the total costs of the project.
Benefit savings can be discounted to allow for inflation.
The payback period calculation determines the number of years that are required for the
discounted projected cash flows to equal the initial investment and the ongoing
maintenance cost.
For example, assuming that the initial investment for a business intelligence project was
$1,000,000 and the average annual NPV savings of that project was $2,000,000, then
the payback period would be $1,000,000/$2,000,000 or 6 months (0.5 years).
The payback period formula is as follows: