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Project 2
Project 2
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMERY-----------------------------------------------------------------------
3. BACK GROUND----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4 . LOCATION, SITE OF PROJECT AND ENVIRONMENT----------------------------
16. references------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Name of the project: Arerti small scale commercial poultry project
A, country: Ethiopia
Tel:0918104078
Fax:……………………….
2. EXECUTIVE SUMMERY
Arerti small scale commercial poultry is a partnership business which will establish next
year in 2017 by five business men. The business intended to provide poultry product for
the local market. The company aimed to produce poultry meat and fresh quality egg to the
community, to promote implement and to contribute to the national economy by producing
and distributing poultry products, and also introducing new technology and modern way of
poultry production. Furthermore, it will create job opportunity for skilled and semi-skilled
labor.
The company’s production and main sales office is intended to be located at shiwarobit
town and also it will have four different sales office. Since the demand for poultry product
is increasing locally as well as in the foreign market the company has the aim of providing
high quality product and making profit through customer satisfaction.
The starting capital of the company estimated around 6435450 birr. The capital includes
manufacturing machine, office equipment and overhead cost. The capital is acquired from
the entrepreneurs and bank loan. The estimated study indicate that annual profit increases
every year by 10% and first year profit is expected to be 50000 before tax.
The company may face financial risks since at initial phase 1/5th of the capital is bank loan.
However, if the borrowing is not possible the company may not pursue operation. And as a
solution they will bring additional partners. The second probable risk is technological risks,
in case when the competitors import advanced technologies and machines.
The possible marketing risk is, at the time of Christian fasting the market demand will be
less. At this time reducing the production of Christian poultry and increasing the others.
On the process of poultry production the company may face risk of not getting adequate
quantity and quality input materials from local supply. To overcome this problem the
entrepreneurs intended to breed and raise animal. By providing appropriate training on
poultry production, it is possible to minimize the risk of loss.
3. BACK GROUND
Ethiopia is potentially rich country in animal and animal products which makes it to be ranked as the
10th country in the World and the 3rd in Africa. However, the nation is not benefiting from its potential
resources basically because of the hindering factors like less advanced and less competitive market
mechanisms. Exporting animals and animal products can not only generate profits to the involved
companies, but also can create hard currency (foreign exchange) for the nation. But, currently the few
companies which are exporting animal and animal products are suffering from lack of adequate finance,
proper management and loyalty problems from the side of their partners. So, by applying a legal
partnership agreement with Government and partners, raising adequate finance through time, hiring
skilled and competitive personnel to manage the activities and taking lessons of the difficulties
experienced by these import-export organizations, it is possible to make profits and generate more money
for the nation basically by fetching foreign exchange money. This business will provide a number of
significance in addition to the above one like, it will create employment opportunity, generate foreign
currency, good diplomatic relationship with other abroad countries, supports the development of Ethiopia
as well as other countries. Thus, the company will give high value for its workers and will run all its
activities in line with the rules and regulations of the country in general and the sector in particular. This
assures the existence and sustainable growth of the company through its lifespan (CSA agricultural survey
report, 2004 EC).
This project is named as YFATE BER Small holder poultry project. Though the feasibility of an
investment project largely depends on its competitiveness in the market evaluating all good opportunities
and reengineering for benefit of the project is also an important task. It should have become that the
successful project is not just reliant on sound technical input, but also on business management, finance
and law, while project skills consist of planning, estimating, monitoring and control. The environment
context in which the proposed project operates should be evaluated critically. Then making in to effect
and integrating the potential opportunities and provision of the service to the societies comes next
Growth demand of poultry product trade, social interaction and number of investors coming to the
town.
Since the town is “industry area”, the will be a number of opportunities for business.
The geographical location of the towns nearest to Addis Ababa.
Availability of frequently needed raw materials at reasonable cost throughout the year.
Besides these there are well established and accessible infrastructures in the town.
4.2 SITE OF THE PROJECT
The site location has already been identified and proposed in arerti kebele 02 which is near to Elementary
School ‘. The total command area required to implement the promoter’s idea is about 3000 square meters,
which is expected to be obtained by the permission of the town municipality as per land leasing free
directives.
The project building is intended to be located approximately 3 km away from the SHCOOL. The area is
generally in proximity to major transportation routes and away from risks and residential areas for people
safety. The proposed project site location is bordered with
The target market for this project is foreign and to some extent for country consumption
especially in Shiwarobit Town.
i. Possible Partners:- the possible parties for this project include local merchants, transport
service organization,
ii. Direct Beneficiaries:- daily laborer,
iii. Direct or indirect affected parties:- No party will be affected by this project
iv. Parties to cooperate and coordinate project activities:- the main target of the project is to
export egg production and as a result transport serving agents and foreign market owners
are the major parties.
Poultry meat
Eggs
Chicks
Natural fertilizer
Creating employment opportunities
8. Possible risks
Based on the proposed project size, and necessary accommodations of the project, the likely risks
that will potentially threaten the project are identified as follows;
Personal risk; this is associated with interpersonal relation among the manager and employees in
the project area. To overcome staff turnovers and to maintain high quality of staff caliber, there
should be conducive working environment and appropriate incentive mechanisms.
Business risk: From the demand supply analysis, it is clear that there is a need to fill the gap via
establishing such a project in the area. Competitions in the proposed business area are very
limited, so that the poultry commerce is profitable. But the risk arises if poultry disease outbreak
within the project site.
However, for these all and other risks preparedness measures have been designed and the
Business will respond accordingly
In a study like this, the availability of similar organization and their capacity must be first examined. Then
assessments of quantities currently available are examined. The envisaged project is expected to fill the
scarcity of supply and provide other services which were not given before. Therefore the project expected
face insignificant problem of competition. Thus the project is said to be reliable.
Since the town is near to Addis Ababa, there is high potential of market opportunity .The selling price is
high and it is still profitable.
12.4 SOCIAL FEASIBILITY
Always keeping our sights on the betterment of the conditions of life in the area, this project will help
local people with tremendous multiplier effects, and will help them to enhance their capacity of finding
out other promising income generating projects, through the provision of essential community demands
and through facilitating the processes of earning profit and commercialization of the product in
considerate.
The aim here remains to solidify and diversify the means of livelihood of the families involved, giving
future projection and stability to the practice of poultry production.
As it will be established, we are dealing with an activity that is profitable and that furthermore holds
great potential for future growth. It is an activity that has been unfolding in the area for many years and,
due to this, the people involved in its practice possess a high level of knowledge and management skill. It
add up considerable significance to the economic progress of the town specifically and the nation at large.
Source of Finance
Out of the total project cost of birr 6,435,450; 31% (1,969,000) is from Owners equity and the remaining
4,466,450 (69%) is expected to be financed by local banks through long term loan.
Loan= 4,466,450
Description Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5
No of eggs available for sale 1,500,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 3,000,000 3,000,000
Price/egg (Birr) 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50
Revenue from sales of eggs 2,250,000 2,250,000 2,250,000 4,500,000 4,500,000
No of spent layers for sale 4,750 4,750 4,750 9,500 9,500
Price/PCS (Birr) 50 50 50 50 50
Sales from spent layers 237,500 237,500 237,500 475,000 475,000
Feed available for sale in tons 670 670 670 380 380
Price/ton (Birr) 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 6,000
Revenue from sales of fed (Birr) 4,020,000 4,020,000 4,020,000 2,280,000 2,280,000
Poultry litter for sale tons 200 200 200 400 400
Price/Ton 800 800 800 800 800
Revenue from sale of poultry 160,000 160,000 160,000 320,000 320,000
litter
Grand total sales 6,667,500 6,667,500 6,667,500 7,575,000 7,575,000
Table5: Poultry project revenue projection
Loan= 4,466,450
Principal repayment=20%
Period = 5 year.
3. Net present value: Thus we have the following two formulas for the calculation of NPV.
R1 R2 R3
+ +
(1 + r)1 (1 + r)2 (1 + r)3
IRR=r, Co= initial investment, R= net cash inflow
Illustration of the project profitability
= 15,194350 * 100
35,152,500
GPM=43%
NPR=28%/.
As like of the GPM, NPR indicates that the project will be profitable.
R1 R2 R3
NPV = + + + ... − Initial Investment
(1 + i)1 (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3
Where,
i is the target rate of return per period;
R1 is the net cash inflow during the first period;R2 is the net cash inflow during the second
period…….
R1 R2 R3
NPV = + + + ... − Initial Investment
(1 + i)1 (1 + i)2 (1 + i)3
1,192,760 1,242,144 1,275 +1,637,608 +1,686,962 − 1,969,000
NPV = + +
(1 + .08)1 (1 + .08)2 (1 + i)3 (1 + i)4 (1 + i)5
NPV=5,533,428-1,969,000
NPV=3,564,428 Birr
The NPV of a project is defined as the value obtained by discounting separately for each year; the
cash net flows accruing throughout the life of the project at a fixed pre-determined interest rate .In
this project, 8.5% (Bank interest rate) have been used. The Net Present Value of the Poultry project is
3, 564,428 Birr. Since the NPV of the proposed project is positive, the projects is (will be) viable and
hence worth undertaking for investment. So, we hope the respective body will support the project.
To find IRR for the above project, we must find the value of (r) that satisfies the following equation
� ��
NPV= CO+ �=� (�+�)� =0
(Ref.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internal_rate_of_return)
� ��
NPV= -CO+ �=� (�+�)� =0
7,034,617
NPV= -1,969,000+ ==0
(1 + r)5
IRR=r=.29003=29%
The IRR indicates the actual profit rate of the total investment outlay. It also indicates the maximum tolerable
point at which the project will undergo. It also indicates the maximum loan interest rate that could be paid
without creating any losses for the project. The IRR for the Poultry project is 29%. Since IRR for the
proposed project is higher than the discount rate, the project is acceptable and viable.
5. Payback period=PBP
Payback period is the number of years required to recover investment costs of the project. It can be
computed by summing up the returns of each year till the project recover from its initial investment.
Payback period covers the period that commutating projected annual benefits till the sum become equal to
initial investment outlay. By these method payback period becomes 3.5 years which is approximately 4
year.
We will also conduct both mid term and terminal or final evaluations. The mid term
evaluations will be in half of the project that is after five year. This will help us to smooth
completions of the project and the final evaluations will be at the end of the overall
process of projects.
This will be to examine our success and failure. To whether our planned objectives and
goals and activity are completed or not. It will also help us to do further projects to solve
economic and social problems of society by correcting our mistakes in this projects.
16. References
CSA agricultural survey report, 2004 EC
Project management for business and Engineering, 2nd edition.
Project Management, Planning and Control,5th edition