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Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques

FinQuiz Notes – 2 0 1 4
1. INTRODUCTION

Financial statement analysis involves analysing the Financial statements provide data about the past
information provided in the financial statements. performance (income, cash flows) and current financial
Financial analytical tools can be used to assess condition (assets, liabilities, equity). However, in order to
company’s: forecast future results, analysts must use other
information available in company’s financial reports and
• Past performance information on the economy, industry and comparable
• Present condition companies.
• Future performance
Equity v/s Credit Analysis:
Sources of data include: Equity Analysis: It involves an owner’s perspective either
for valuation or performance evaluation. It is used to
• Company’s financial statements assess the ability of a company to generate and grow
• Notes to financial statements earnings and cash flows and any risks associated with it.
• Management commentary (operating & financial Its focus is on the growth of a company.
review or management’s discussion and analysis)
Credit Analysis: It involves a creditor’s (e.g. banker or
bondholder) perspective. Its major focus is to evaluate
risks of a company and its long-term cash flows.

2. THE FINANCIAL ANALYSIS PROCESS

An effective analysis includes both computation and information available.


interpretation. In order to perform an effective financial • How to process, analyze the data and
statement analysis, an analyst needs to know: communicate the results of analysis.

• Purpose & objective of the analysis and steps


required to meet those objectives.
• Company’s annual report and other sources of

3. ANALYTICAL TOOLS AND TECHNIQUES

The commonly used tools for financial statement analysis


Practice: Example 2,
are:
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 323.

• Financial Ratio Analysis


• Comparative financial statements analysis:
o Horizontal analysis/Trend analysis 3.1 Ratios
o Vertical analysis/Common size analysis/
Component Percentages
Ratio analysis involves both interpretation and
computation of ratios using information from one or
Ratios and common size financial statements remove more financial statement(s).
size as a factor and thus help in comparing different
companies. 3.1.2) Value, Purposes and Limitations of Ratio Analysis
For comparison purposes: Uses of ratio Analysis:

• Financial statements reported in different Financial statement ratios provide a method of


currencies can be translated into a common standardization (i.e. it removes/reduces the effect of
currency using exchange rate at the end of a size) which facilitates comparison across different
period or using average exchange rates. companies.
• For differences in fiscal year end, trailing twelve
months data can be used. Financial statement ratio analysis can be used to
• For differences in accounting standards, analysts evaluate past performance, current financial position
must make adjustments.

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Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

and future performance of a company (i.e. predicting • Analysts should consider that database providers
future earnings and equity returns). use judgment in classifying different items.
• Analysts should assess the consistency of formulas
Financial statement ratios provide information about and data classifications used by the data sources.
firm’s:

• Economic characteristics i.e. changes in the


company or industry over time Practice: Example 3 & 4,
• Competitive strategies Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 327-329.
• Financial flexibility
• Ability of management
• Peer companies
3.2 Common-Size Analysis
Financial statement ratios can be used for making
investment decisions and in forecasting financial distress Common size financial statements can be used for
of a firm. performing cross sectional and time series analysis
because they remove the effects of differences in firm
Ratios also express relationships between different size.
financial statements.
1) Vertical Common size analysis: All items are
Limitations of Ratios: expressed as a percentage of a common base
item within a financial statement.
• Heterogeneity or homogeneity of a company’s 2) Horizontal analysis involves comparing a specific
operating activities i.e. when a company has financial statement with prior or future periods or
divisions operating in different industries, it is to a cross-sectional analysis of a company.
difficult to obtain comparable industry ratios for
comparison purposes. 3.2.1) Common-size Analysis of the Balance Sheet
• A ratio is an indicator of some aspect of a
company's performance in the past. It does not Uses of common size balance sheet:
reveal why things are as they are. Also a single
ratio by itself is not likely to be very useful. 1) To identify trends in a company’s balance sheet
• Ratio analysis may not provide consistent results. components over time.
• There is no one definitive set of key ratios and 2) To compare balance sheet components of similar
there is no uniform definition for all ratios. firms e.g. is this firm holding more debt than similar
• There are no standard rules regarding the organizations?
interpretation of financial ratios and they require
judgment. A vertical common size balance sheet expresses each
• Differences in accounting policies can distort item on the balance sheet as a percentage of total
ratios (e.g. inventory valuation, depreciation assets.
methods).
• Not all ratios are necessarily relevant for a It indicates the composition of the balance sheet e.g.
particular analysis. increase in A/R as percentage of total assets may
• Financial ratios provide misleading results when indicate:
companies manipulate or misrepresent their
financial information.
• Increase in sales on a credit basis.
• Financial ratios are based on historical results. Thus,
• Credit standards have been lowered by the
they are not always useful to predict future
company.
performance.
• Collection procedures have been relaxed.
• It is difficult to determine the target or comparison
• Use of more aggressive revenue recognition
value for a ratio; thus, analyst has to use some
policies.
range of acceptable values.

A horizontal common-size balance sheet represents the


NOTE:
increase or decrease in percentage terms of each
Individual ratio values are not meaningful in isolation. balance sheet item from prior year or it can be
They are only valid when compared to those of other prepared by dividing each item by a base-year quantity
firms or to the company’s historical performance. of that item.

3.1.3) Sources of Ratios • It indicates structural changes in the business.


Ratios can be computed using data from financial • It helps in assessing the stability of past trends and
statements or from databases i.e. Bloomberg. chances of change in direction in future.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

For example:
Practice: Example 5,
Period 1 cash = $39 million Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 336.
Period 2 cash = $29 million
Period 3 cash = $27 million
NOTE:
• This implies that in period 2, company has 29 / 39 =
0.74 or 74% of the amount of cash it had in period When the company grows at a rate greater than that of
1. the overall market in which it operates, it is regarded as
• In period 3, it has 27 / 39 = 0.69 or 69% of the a positive sign and indicates that the company is easily
amount of cash it had in period 1. able to attract equity capital.

Example of percentage change in each item: 3.3 The Use of Graphs as an Analytical Tool
Change in cash from Period 1 to 2 = (29 / 39) – 1 = -
25.6% 1) Graphs facilitate in comparing performance and
financial structure of a company over time.
Change in cash from period 2 to 3 = (27 / 29) – 1 = -6.9%. 2) Graphs help to identify significant aspects of
business operations.
3.2.2) Common-Size Analysis of the Income Statement 3) Graphs provide a graphical overview of risk
A common-size income statement expresses each trends of a business.
income statement category as a percentage of total 4) Graphs can be used to communicate
sales or revenues. conclusions regarding financial condition and risk
management aspects of a firm.
3.2.3) Cross-sectional Analysis (a.k.a Relative analysis)
Pie Charts: Pie charts can be used to show the
It involves comparing company’s performance with
composition of a total value.
another company or group of companies. It removes
the effects of differences in firm size and currencies.
Line Graphs: Line graphs can be used to present the
change in amounts for a limited number of items over a
3.2.4) Trend Analysis
relatively longer time period. They also illustrate growth
Trend analysis involves analyzing trends in the data i.e. trends in key financial variables.
analyzing whether they are deteriorating or improving. It
provides important information regarding historical Stacked Column Graph: Stacked column graph can be
performance and growth of a company. Analyzing past used to present the composition, amounts and changes
trends is more useful for stable and mature companies in amounts over time.
and when macroeconomic and competitive
environments are relatively stable. 3.4 Regression Analysis

3.2.5) Relationship among Financial Statements


Regression analysis can be used to identify relationships
We can compare the trend data generated by a (correlation) between variables.
horizontal common-size analysis across different financial
statements e.g. we can compare growth of assets with
• For example, in order to evaluate whether the
revenue growth rate i.e. if growth rate of revenue >
company is cyclical or non-cyclical, regression
assets growth rate, it may indicate that company is
analysis can be used to identify relationship
increasing its efficiency. Similarly, when net income is
between company’s sales and GDP over time.
growing at a faster rate than revenue, it may indicate
• Regression analysis is also helpful in predicting
that company’s profitability is increasing. However, it is
future.
important to assess whether growth in net income is
attributed to continuing operations or non-
operating/non-recurring items.

4. COMMON RATIOS USED IN FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

Financial Ratios can be classified into five main e.g. collection of A/R and inventory management
categories: etc.

1) Activity Ratios: Activity ratios measure the efficiency 2) Liquidity ratios: Liquidity ratios measure firm's ability to
of managing assets in day-to-day operations i.e. how meet short-term obligations. They also measure how
effectively assets are being used by the company quickly assets are converted into cash.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

3) Solvency ratios: Solvency ratios measure firm's ability NOTE:


to meet long-term obligations. They include leverage
and long-term debt ratios. • Quarterly turnover ratio can be annualized as
follows: Quarterly turnover ratio × (12 / 3) or
4) Profitability ratios: Profitability ratios measure the Quarterly turnover ratio × (365 / 90).
overall performance and profitability of the firm. • In case of rapidly increasing costs, COGS for the 4th
quarter should be used.
5) Valuation ratios: Valuation ratios measure the amount
of an asset or earnings associated with ownership of a
Days of Inventory on hand (DOH) = Average # of days
specified claim e.g. share or ownership of the !
enterprise. inventory in stock =
"#$%#&'() *+(#'$%( ,-&.'

Note that these categories are not distinct i.e. activity • Low ratio represents efficient inventory
ratios also indicate liquidity of a company because management.
collection of A/R results in increase in cash. Similarly, • Low ratio can also indicate under-stocking and lost
some profitability ratios also reflect operating efficiency orders.
of a firm.
/-0%1 '( ,%$%#+%
Receivable Turnover Ratio=
4.1 INTERPRETATION AND CONTEXT 2$%(-3% (%4%.$-50%1

• Relatively low turnover ratio may indicate


Financial ratios are used in:
inefficiency, decrease in demand, or earnings
manipulations.
• Cross-sectional analysis i.e. comparing ratios of a

firm with those of its major competitors.
NOTE:
• Trend analysis i.e. comparing ratios of a firm with its
prior periods. When available, credit sales should be used instead of
net sales since credit sales produce the receivables.
Financial Ratios should be evaluated based on the
following factors: Days of Sales Outstanding (DOS) = Average # of days
!
receivable are outstanding =
,%4%.$-50% *+(#'$%(
1. Company goals and strategy: Ratios should be
compared with the company’s goals & strategy. • It provides information about the firm's credit
2. Industry norms or Cross-sectional analysis and policy.
Trend analysis i.e. comparing ratios of a firm with • It should be compared with the firm's stated credit
those of its major competitors. policy i.e., if firm policy is 30 days and average
3. Economic conditions: Ratios should be evaluated collection period is 60 days, it indicates that
by considering the current phase of business company is not stringent in collection effort.
cycle e.g. for cyclical companies, financial ratios • It should be compared with that of industry i.e. low
tend to improve (deteriorate) when the economy ratio relative to the industry may indicate efficient
is strong (weak). credit and collection; however, it may also
indicate loss sales to competitors.
4.2 Activity Ratios 6+(47-1%1∗
Payable Turnover Ratio =
2$%(-3% &(-9% :-)-50%1
Activity ratios are also known as asset utilization ratios or
operating efficiency ratios. • This ratio reflects how many times per year the
company pay off all its creditors.
=
COGS • High ratio (or low days payable) relative to industry
Average Inventory may indicate that company is not making full use
of available credit facilities or it may also indicate
• It measures the efficiency of the firm in managing that company is taking advantage of early
and selling inventory. payment discounts.
• High ratio represents efficient inventory • Low ratio (or high days payable) may indicate that
management i.e. fewer funds tied up in company is facing problems in making payments
inventories. on time or it may indicate that company is
• High inventory can also indicate under-stocking exploiting lenient supplier terms.
and lost orders.
• Slower growth combined with higher inventory *when not directly available, Purchases = COGS +
turnover may indicate inadequate inventory Ending inventory – beginning inventory or we can use
levels. COGS.
• Low turnover can also indicate valid reasons i.e.
preparing for a strike, increased demand, etc.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

!
Number of Days of Payables= Practice: Example 6, 7 & 8,
6-)-50% *+(#'$%(
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 342-346.
• This ratio reflects the average number of days the
company takes to pay its suppliers.

,%$%#+% 4.3 Liquidity Ratios


Working Capital Turnover =
2$%(-3% ;'(<.#3 =-:.&-0

Following Liquidity ratios reflect company’s liquidity


where, position at a specific point in time.
Working capital = Current assets – Current liabilities.
Cash Conversion Cycle: It reflects the number of days a
company's cash is tied up by its current operating cycle.
• Working capital turnover reflects the company’s
It is calculated as follows:
efficiency in generating revenue from its working
capital.
Cash Conversion Cycle or Net Operating cycle =
• Higher ratio indicates greater efficiency.
Number of days inventory in stock + Number of days
• When this ratio is zero or negative, it is meaningless
receivable are outstanding – Number of days accounts
to interpret.
payable are outstanding = DOH + DSO - Number of days
/-0%1 '( ,%$%#+%1
accounts payable are outstanding
Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio =
2$%(-3% #%& >.?%9 -11%&1
• A short cash conversion cycle indicates a higher
• It is a measure of the relation between sales and level of liquidity.
investments in long-lived assets.
• Fixed assets turnover reflects the company’s Current Ratio =
=+((%#& -11%&1
=+((%#& 0.-5.0.&.%1
efficiency in generating revenue with its
investments in fixed assets.
• Higher ratio indicates greater efficiency. • A higher ratio indicates a higher level of liquidity.
• Lower ratio indicates inefficiency.
• Lower ratio may also indicate that the company Quick Ratio=
=-17 @ A-(<%&-50% 1%4+(.&.%1 @ ,%4%.$-50%1
=+((%#& B.-5.0.&.%1
has newer assets (i.e. reported at higher carrying
value on B/S due to lower depreciation expense). • A higher quick ratio indicates a higher level of
liquidity.
/-0%1
• The quick ratio is more conservative relative to
Total Assets Turnover Ratio = current ratio because it includes only the more
2$%(-3% &'&-0 -11%&1
liquid current assets i.e. it ignores inventory.
Therefore, in situations when inventories are illiquid,
• Total assets turnover reflects the company’s overall
quick ratio is a better indicator of liquidity
efficiency in generating revenue with its given
compared to current ratio.
level of assets.
• Higher ratio indicates greater efficiency.
=-17 @ A-(<%&-50% 1%4+(.&.%1
• When the asset turnover ratios are low, relative to Cash Ratio =
=+((%#& B.-5.0.&.%1
the industry or historical record, it indicates
inefficiencies or it may indicate either the
• A higher ratio indicates a higher level of liquidity.
investment in assets is too heavy and/or sales are
• It is a better indicator of liquidity in case of crisis
slow or it may be possible that the firm may have
situation.
taken an extensive plant modernization.

Defensive Interval ratio=


NOTE:
Cash E Marketable Securities E Accounts Receivables
Average can be computed as follows:
Daily Cash Expenditures ∗

• For annual data, average can be taken over two


data points i.e. beginning & ending of year. • It reflects how long a company is able to pay off its
• For semi-annual data, average can be taken over daily cash expenses using only its existing liquid
three data points i.e. beginning, middle & ending assets without any additional cash inflow.
of year. • A higher ratio indicates a higher level of liquidity.
• For quarterly data, average can be taken over 5
data points i.e. beginning of year and end of each *Daily expenditures = total cash expenditures / number
quarter or for 4 data points i.e. end of each of days in a period
quarter.
where,
Total cash expenditures = sum of all expenses on I/S (e.g.
COGS, general, and administrative expenses, R&D) –
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

non-cash expenses (e.g. depreciation & amortization • It reflects the percentage of total assets financed
(without taxes)) with debt.
• Generally, higher the debt, greater the financial
risk of a company and weaker the solvency
Practice: Example 9 & 10, position.
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 349-351.
*'&-0 S%5&∗
Debt-Equity Ratio =
*'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1T %V+.&)

4.4 Debt & Solvency Ratios • It measures the amount of debt capital relative to
equity capital.
• Higher the ratio, greater the financial risk of a
Debt Financing and Coverage
company and weaker the solvency position.
The use of debt involves risk because debt involves fixed
commitment(interest charges & principal repayment). *Debt = interest-bearing short-term debt + long-term
However, use of debt also introduces the potential for debt, excluding liabilities such as accrued
increased benefits to the firm's owners. expenses and accounts payable

Operating leverage: It arises from usage of fixed costs in Financial Leverage Ratio (or Leverage Ratio)=
conducting the company's business. Operating leverage 2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1
tends to magnify the effect of changes in sales on 2$%(-3% *'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1T %V+.&)

operating income of a company. Profitable companies


may use operating leverage because when revenues ↑, • It measures the amount of total assets supported
their operating income ↑ at a higher rate because of by one money unit of equity.
operating leverage. • Higher ratio indicates greater amount of debt and
thus, weaker solvency.
• Greater the operating leverage, greater the risk
and lower will be a company’s capacity to use Coverage Ratios:
financial leverage.
Interest Coverage (or Times interest earned) =
W:%(-&.#3 :('>.& XUY"*Z
Financial leverage: It arises due to use of debt. Financial "#&%(%1& :-)[%#&1
leverage tends to magnify the effect of changes in EBIT
on equity holders returns. • It reflects the number of times a company is able
to pay off its interest payments (service its debt)
• When return earned by a company > cost of debt, with its EBIT (operating income).
use of debt leads to decrease in overall cost of • Higher ratio indicates stronger solvency.
capital of a company; thus, increases returns to
equity-holders. UY"* @ B%-1% :-)[%#&1
Fixed charge coverage =
• Evaluating company’s use of debt helps analysts "#&%(%1& 6-)[%#&1@B%-1% :-)[%#&1

to understand company’s future business


prospects e.g. the issuance of long-term debt to • It reflects the number of times a company is able
repurchase common shares may indicate that to pay off its interest and lease payments with its
according to company’s management, shares of earnings (before interest, taxes and lease
company are undervalued. payments).
• It must be stressed that use of high financial • Higher ratio indicates stronger solvency.
leverage (i.e. greater debt financing) is regarded • The ratio also indicates quality of the preferred
as less risky for companies with steady cash flows dividend i.e. a higher ratio indicates a more secure
compared to companies with volatile cash flows. preferred dividend.

4.4.1) Calculation of Solvency Ratios NOTE:

Solvency Ratios: Lease payments are added to numerator because they


*'&-0 S%5&∗
were deducted to calculate operating profits.
Debt-Capital Ratio =
*'&-0 S%5& @ *'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1T UV+.&)

• It measures the percentage of a company's Practice: Example 11,


capital (debt + equity) represented by debt. Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 354.
• Higher the ratio, greater the financial risk of a
company and weaker the solvency position.

*'&-0 S%5&
Debt – Assets (or Total Debt) Ratio =
*'&-0 211%&1
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

^%& .#4'[%
4.5 Profitability Ratios Rate of return on assets (ROA) =
2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1∗

Profitability ratios reflect profit (return) earned by the • ROA measures the return earned by a company
company during a period. on its assets.
• The higher ratio indicates that more income is
4.5.1) Calculation of Profitability Ratios generated by a given level of assets.
Return on sales Profitability Ratios: These ratios measure
income relative to revenues and include: *ending or beginning assets can also be used.

Gross Profit Margin =


\('11 :('>.&
• When a company has stable level of assets, all
,%$%#+%
three measures of assets will provide almost same
result.
• It reflects the percentage of revenue available to • When level of assets are not stable i.e. growing or
pay operating and other expenses and to shrinking, the results will differ among the three
generate profit. measures.
• It measures the ability of the firm to control costs of • Generally, rule is to use average when the
inventories and/or manufacturing cost and the numerator of the ratio represents a number from
ability to pass increases in input price to customers income statement or cash flow statement and
through sales. denominator of a ratio represents a number from
• Higher gross profit margin indicates higher profit balance sheet.
either due to higher product pricing or lower • For simplicity, average of the beginning and
product costs or both. ending balance sheet amounts is taken. However,
• Gross profit is inversely related to competition in for a company with seasonal business, it is better to
the industry i.e. greater the competition, lower will use average of interim periods (if available).
be the ability to charge a higher price and lower
the gross profit.
Rate of return on Assets (ROA) =
^%& .#4'[% @ "#&%(%1& %?:%#1% X_]&-? (-&%Z
W:%(-&.#3 .#4'[% 2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1
Operating Profit Margin = =
,%$%#+%
\('11 :('>.&]':%(-&.#3 4'1&1
,%$%#+% • This ratio provides a performance measure that is
independent of the financing of the firm's assets.
• When operating profit margin > gross profit margin,
it indicates improvements in controlling operating Return on Total Capital =
UY"*
costs i.e. administrative overheads. /7'(&]&%([ -#9 0'#3]&%([ 9%5& & abcdef

UY* X%-(#.#31 5%>'(% &-? 5+& ->&%( .#&%(%1&Z • It measures the profit earned by a company on all
Pre-tax margin=
,%$%#+% of its capital employed.

• It reflects impact of leverage and other non- Return on Shareholders’ Equity (ROE) =
operating income & expenses on profitability of a ^%& .#4'[%
company. 2$%(-3% *'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1g UV+.&)


Net Profit Margin =
^%& "#4'[% • It measures the return earned by a company on its
,%$%#+%
equity (i.e. common equity, preferred equity and
minority equity).
• It measures overall profitability of the firm taking
into account all items i.e. revenues, expenses, tax,
Rate of Return on Common Shareholders' Equity (ROE)
interest, etc. ^%& .#4'[%]:(%>%((%9 9.$.9%#91∗
• It also indicates the firm's ability to control the level =
2$%(-3% ='[['# UV+.&)
of expenses relative to revenues generated. *because preferred dividends are a return to preferred
equity
Return on Investment Profitability Ratios: These ratios
measure income relative to assets, equity or total capital • It measures the return earned by a company on its
of a company. These include: common equity only.
W:%(-&.#3 .#'[%
Operating ROA =
2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1

Practice: Example 12, 13 & 14,


• It indicates company’s profitability and efficiency Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 358-361.
in using assets to generate operating profits. Higher
the ratio, better it is.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

4.6.2) DuPont Analysis: The Decomposition of ROE Three component disaggregation of ROE
^%& "#4'[% ^%& .#4'[% ,%$%#+%
DuPont analysis facilitates an analyst to evaluate the ROE = = × ×
2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&) ,%$%#+% 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
impact of leverage, profit margins, and turnover on 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
shareholder returns, determine the reasons for changes 2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&)
in ROE over time for a given company and for different = Net profit margin × Total asset turnover × Leverage
companies in a given time period.

• The decomposition reflects ROE as a function of Five component disaggregation of ROE:


company’s efficiency, operating profitability, ^%& "#4'[% ^%& .#4'[% UY* UY"*
ROE = = h h ×
taxes, and use of financial leverage. 2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&) UY* UY"* ,%$%#+%
,%$%#+% 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
×
2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1 2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&)
Two variants of the DuPont analysis:
= Tax burden × Interest burden × EBIT margin × Total asset
1) The original three-part approach turnover × Leverage
2) Extended five part system.
• A higher value for the tax burden indicates a lower
ROA =
^%& .#4'[%
=
^%& .#4'[%
×
,%$%#+%
= Net tax rate i.e. the company is able to retain a higher
2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1 ,%$%#+% 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
percentage of its pre-tax profits.
profit margin × Total asset turnover • Higher value of interest burden indicates lower
^%& .#4'[% ^%& "#4'[% 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
borrowing costs (i.e. lower interest payments).
ROE = = × = Lower borrowing costs result in increase in ROE.
2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&) 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1 2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&)
ROA × Leverage • EBIT margin reflects effects of operating margin on
ROE.
• When a company has no leverage, ROE = ROA.
• When borrowing rate < (>) marginal rate earned NOTE:
on investing the borrowed money in business, ROE EBIT margin can be decomposed into a non-operating
would increase (decrease) as leverage increases. component (EBIT/ Operating income) and an operating
component (Operating income/ Revenue).

Practice: Example 15 & 16,


Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 364 &
366.

5. EQUITY ANALYSIS

6(.4% :%( 17-(%


Methods used by analysts to estimate equity value of a 2. Price-to-cash flow =
=-17 >0'i :%( 17-(%
company: 6(.4% :%( 17-(%
3. Price-to-sales =
/-0%1 :%( 17-(%
6(.4% :%( 17-(%
• Valuation ratios (e.g. the price-to-earnings or P/E 4. Price-to-book value=
Y''< $-0+% :%( 17-(%
ratio)
• Discounted cash flow approaches
• Residual income approaches (ROE compared with • This ratio reflects relationship between a
the cost of capital) company's required rate of return and its actual
rate of return.
• A ratio > 1 (< 1) would indicate that the future
Ratios used in equity analysis include: profitability of the company is expected to be
1. Price-to-earnings=
6(.4% :%( 17-(% greater (less) than the required rate of return.
U-(#.#31 :%( 17-(%

^%& .#4'[%]:(%>%((%9 9.$.9%#91


Basic EPS =
• It reflects how much an investor in common stock i%.37&%9 -$%(-3% #+[5%( '> '(9.#-() 17-(%1 '+&1&-#9.#3
pays per dollar of earnings.
• Due to use of net income, this ratio can be • It is not an appropriate measure for comparison
sensitive to non-recurring earnings. purposes e.g. differences in EPS does not indicate
differences in profitability among companies
because companies may have identical profits,
and differences in EPS only reflects differences in
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

number of common shares outstanding. 1) Coefficients of variation of Operating income =


/.S '> ':%(-&.#3 .#4'[%
2$%(-3% ':%(-&.#3 .#4'[%
Diluted EPS =
Net income available for ordinary shares after
2) Coefficients of variation of Net income =
adjustments made for conversion of dilutive securities /
weighted average number of ordinary and potential /.S '> ^%& .#4'[%
2$%(-3% ^%& .#4'[%
ordinary shares outstanding

NOTE: /.S '> ,%$%#+%


3) Coefficients of variation of Revenues =
2$%(-3% ,%$%#+%
Calculations are discussed in Detail in Reading 25, section 6.
Financial Sector Ratios include:
=-17 >0'i >('[ ':%(-&.'#1
Cash flow per share =
i%.37&%9 -$%(-3% #+[5%( '> 17-(%1 '+&1&-#9.#3 1) Capital adequacy (for banks) =
UY"*S2 Various components of capital / various measures i.e.
EBITDA per share =
i%.37&%9 -$%(-3% #+[5%( '> 17-(%1 '+&1&-#9.#3 risk-weighted assets, market risk exposure, level of
operational risk assumed
• It can be used to remove the effect of different
levels of fixed asset investment across companies. 2) Monetary reserve requirements (Cash reserve ratio):
,%1%($% 7%09 -& 4%#&(-0 5-#<
1:%4.>.%9 9%:'1.& 0.-5.0.&.%1
Dividends per share =
='[['# 9.$.9%#91 9%40-(%9 3) Liquidity asset requirement =
i%.37&%9 -$%(-3% #+[5%( '> '(9.#-() 17-(%1 '+&1&-#9.#3 2::('$%9 ”readily marketable" securities
1:%4.>.%9 9%:'1.& 0.-5.0.&.%1

='[['# 17-(% 9.$.9%#91 ^%& "#&%(%1& "#4'[%


Dividend payout ratio = 4) Net Interest Margin =
^%& .#4'[% -&&(.5+&-50% &' 4'[['# 17-(%1 *'&-0 .#&%(%1&]%-(#.#3 -11%&1

• It measures the percentage of earnings that the Retail Ratios:


company pays out as dividends to shareholders.
1) Same or comparable store sales = Average revenue
growth year over year for stores open in both periods
Retention rate (b) =
^%& "#4'[% -&&(.5+&-50% &' 4'[['# 17-(%1] ='[['# 17-(% 9.$.9%#91 2) Sales per square meter (or square foot) =
^%& .#4'[% -&&(.5+&-50% &' 4'[['# 17-(%1 ,%$%#+%
*'&-0 (%&-.0 1:-4% .# 1V+-(% [%&%(1 X'( 1V-+(% >%%&Z
Service Companies:
• It reflects the percentage of earnings that the ,%$%#+%
company retains. 1) Revenue per employee =
*'&-0 #+[5%( '> %[:0')%%1

^%& .#4'[%
Sustainable growth rate of a firm: A firm’s sustainable 2) Net income per employee =
*'&-0 #+[5%( '> %[:0')%%1
growth rate can be calculated as follows:
Sustainable growth rate = Earnings Retention Rate (b)×
Hotel:
ROE
,''[ (%$%#+%
1) Average daily rate =
^+[5%( '> (''[1 1'09
5.2 Industry-Specific Ratios
^+[5%( '> (''[1 1'09
2) Occupancy rate =
^+[5%( '> (''[1 -$-.0-50%
Business Risk can be measured by following ratios:
Coefficients of variation: It is used to measure the risk
related to a firm’s sales, operating income, and net
income.

6. CREDIT ANALYSIS

Credit analysis refers to evaluating credit risk. It involves: Ratios used in credit analysis include:
1. EBIT interest coverage =
• Projecting period-by-period cash flows of a firm. UY"*
• Credit scoring i.e. a statistical analysis of the \('11 .#&%(%1& X:(.'( &' 9%9+4&.'# >'( 4-:.&-0.l%9 .#&%(%1& '( .#&%(%1& .#4'[%Z
determinants of credit default.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

2. EBITDA interest coverage = 6. Free operating cash flow to debt =


UY"*S2 =mW X-9n+1&%9Z] 4-:.&-0 %?:%#9.&+(%1
\('11 .#&%(%1& X:(.'( &' 9%9+4&.'# >'( 4-:.&-0.l%9 .#&%(%1& '( .#&%(%1& .#4'[%Z *'&-0 9%5&

3. FFO (Funds from Operations) interest coverage = 7. Discretionary cash flow to debt =
mmW@.#&%(%1& :-.9]':%(-&.#3 0%-1% -9n+1&[%#&1 =mW] 4-:.&-0 %?:%#9.&+(%1]S.$.9%#9 :-.9
\('11 .#&%(%1& X:(.'( &' 9%9+4&.'#1 >'( 4-:.&-0.l%9 .#&%(%1& '( .#&%(%1& .#4'[%Z *'&-0 9%5&

4. Return on capital =
UY"*
= 8. Net cash flow to capital expenditures =
2$%(-3% 4-:.&-0 mmW]9.$.9%#91
UY"* =-:.&-0 %?:%#9.&+(%1
UV+.&)@^'#]4+((%#& 9%>%((%9 &-?%1@S%5&
mmW
5. FFO* (Funds from Operations) to debt = 9. Debt to EBITDA =
*'&-0 9%5&
*'&-0 9%5&
UY"*S2
*FFO = net income adjusted for non-cash items.
10. Total debt to total debt plus equity =
*'&-0 9%5&
*'&-0 9%5&@*'&-0 %V+.&)

7. BUSINESS AND GEOGRAPHICAL SEGMENTS

Segment Analysis: In order to perform more detail


7.2 Segment Ratios
analysis of a company’s financial performance, analysts
should analyze business segments and geographic
/%3[%#& 6('>.& X0'11Z
segments separately. 1) Segment margin =
/%3[%#& ,%$%#+%

7.1 Segment Reporting Requirements • It measures the operating profitability of the


segment relative to revenues.
• Companies are required to provide segment
/%3[%#& ,%$%#+%
information under both IFRS and U.S. GAAP. 2) Segment turnover =
/%3[%#& 211%&1
• A company is required to disclose separate
information about any operating segment which
meets certain quantitative criteria i.e. the segment • It measures the overall efficiency of the segment
constitutes 10% or more of the combined i.e. amount of revenue generated per unit of
operating segment’s revenue, assets, or profit. assets.
• Information about smaller operating segments and
/%3[%#& 6('>.& X0'11Z
businesses (that are not reported separately) is 3) Segment ROA =
/%3[%#& 211%&1
combined in “all other segments” category.
• Companies are required to:
o Disclose the factors used to identify reportable • It measures operating profitability of the segment
segments and the types, products and services relative to assets.
sold by each reportable segment.
o Provide reconciliation between information of /%3[%#& B.-5.0.&.%1
4) Segment debt ratio =
/%3[%#& 211%&1
reportable segments and consolidated financial
statements in terms of the revenue, profit/loss,
assets and liabilities. • It reflects the solvency of the segment i.e. higher
o Disclose company’s reliance on any single the ratio, greater the level of liabilities and weaker
customer i.e. when a single customer represents the solvency.
10 % or more of the company's total revenues.
Note that more concentrated customer base a
company has, greater the risks.
Practice: Example 17,
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 378.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com

8. MODEL BUILDING AND FORECASTING

Ratio analysis along with other techniques can be used


to construct pro-forma financial statements; based on a Simulation: It is an advanced form of scenario analysis. It
forecast of sales growth and assumptions regarding the involves using computer to make random choices for
relation between changes in key items of income each variable input. Each event or possible outcome is
statement and balance sheet items and growth of sales. assigned a predetermined probability. Using these
Techniques of Forecasting include: probabilities, a probability distribution is obtained which
is used to estimate risky outcomes and to calculate the
Sensitivity Analysis: It is also known as ‘what-if’ analysis. It
expected return and standard deviation.
shows the effects of changes in any one input variable
at a time and provides a range of possible outcomes
based on those changes.
Scenario analysis: It can be used to examine several Practice: End of Chapter Practice
possible situations(e.g. worst case, base case or best Problems for Reading 28
case) and provides a range of outcomes based on
simultaneous changes in key financial variables.

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