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Financial Analysis Techniques
Financial Analysis Techniques
FinQuiz Notes – 2 0 1 4
1. INTRODUCTION
Financial statement analysis involves analysing the Financial statements provide data about the past
information provided in the financial statements. performance (income, cash flows) and current financial
Financial analytical tools can be used to assess condition (assets, liabilities, equity). However, in order to
company’s: forecast future results, analysts must use other
information available in company’s financial reports and
• Past performance information on the economy, industry and comparable
• Present condition companies.
• Future performance
Equity v/s Credit Analysis:
Sources of data include: Equity Analysis: It involves an owner’s perspective either
for valuation or performance evaluation. It is used to
• Company’s financial statements assess the ability of a company to generate and grow
• Notes to financial statements earnings and cash flows and any risks associated with it.
• Management commentary (operating & financial Its focus is on the growth of a company.
review or management’s discussion and analysis)
Credit Analysis: It involves a creditor’s (e.g. banker or
bondholder) perspective. Its major focus is to evaluate
risks of a company and its long-term cash flows.
and future performance of a company (i.e. predicting • Analysts should consider that database providers
future earnings and equity returns). use judgment in classifying different items.
• Analysts should assess the consistency of formulas
Financial statement ratios provide information about and data classifications used by the data sources.
firm’s:
For example:
Practice: Example 5,
Period 1 cash = $39 million Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 336.
Period 2 cash = $29 million
Period 3 cash = $27 million
NOTE:
• This implies that in period 2, company has 29 / 39 =
0.74 or 74% of the amount of cash it had in period When the company grows at a rate greater than that of
1. the overall market in which it operates, it is regarded as
• In period 3, it has 27 / 39 = 0.69 or 69% of the a positive sign and indicates that the company is easily
amount of cash it had in period 1. able to attract equity capital.
Example of percentage change in each item: 3.3 The Use of Graphs as an Analytical Tool
Change in cash from Period 1 to 2 = (29 / 39) – 1 = -
25.6% 1) Graphs facilitate in comparing performance and
financial structure of a company over time.
Change in cash from period 2 to 3 = (27 / 29) – 1 = -6.9%. 2) Graphs help to identify significant aspects of
business operations.
3.2.2) Common-Size Analysis of the Income Statement 3) Graphs provide a graphical overview of risk
A common-size income statement expresses each trends of a business.
income statement category as a percentage of total 4) Graphs can be used to communicate
sales or revenues. conclusions regarding financial condition and risk
management aspects of a firm.
3.2.3) Cross-sectional Analysis (a.k.a Relative analysis)
Pie Charts: Pie charts can be used to show the
It involves comparing company’s performance with
composition of a total value.
another company or group of companies. It removes
the effects of differences in firm size and currencies.
Line Graphs: Line graphs can be used to present the
change in amounts for a limited number of items over a
3.2.4) Trend Analysis
relatively longer time period. They also illustrate growth
Trend analysis involves analyzing trends in the data i.e. trends in key financial variables.
analyzing whether they are deteriorating or improving. It
provides important information regarding historical Stacked Column Graph: Stacked column graph can be
performance and growth of a company. Analyzing past used to present the composition, amounts and changes
trends is more useful for stable and mature companies in amounts over time.
and when macroeconomic and competitive
environments are relatively stable. 3.4 Regression Analysis
Financial Ratios can be classified into five main e.g. collection of A/R and inventory management
categories: etc.
1) Activity Ratios: Activity ratios measure the efficiency 2) Liquidity ratios: Liquidity ratios measure firm's ability to
of managing assets in day-to-day operations i.e. how meet short-term obligations. They also measure how
effectively assets are being used by the company quickly assets are converted into cash.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com
Note that these categories are not distinct i.e. activity • Low ratio represents efficient inventory
ratios also indicate liquidity of a company because management.
collection of A/R results in increase in cash. Similarly, • Low ratio can also indicate under-stocking and lost
some profitability ratios also reflect operating efficiency orders.
of a firm.
/-0%1 '( ,%$%#+%
Receivable Turnover Ratio=
4.1 INTERPRETATION AND CONTEXT 2$%(-3% (%4%.$-50%1
!
Number of Days of Payables= Practice: Example 6, 7 & 8,
6-)-50% *+(#'$%(
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 342-346.
• This ratio reflects the average number of days the
company takes to pay its suppliers.
non-cash expenses (e.g. depreciation & amortization • It reflects the percentage of total assets financed
(without taxes)) with debt.
• Generally, higher the debt, greater the financial
risk of a company and weaker the solvency
Practice: Example 9 & 10, position.
Volume 3, Reading 28, P. 349-351.
*'&-0 S%5&∗
Debt-Equity Ratio =
*'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1T %V+.&)
4.4 Debt & Solvency Ratios • It measures the amount of debt capital relative to
equity capital.
• Higher the ratio, greater the financial risk of a
Debt Financing and Coverage
company and weaker the solvency position.
The use of debt involves risk because debt involves fixed
commitment(interest charges & principal repayment). *Debt = interest-bearing short-term debt + long-term
However, use of debt also introduces the potential for debt, excluding liabilities such as accrued
increased benefits to the firm's owners. expenses and accounts payable
Operating leverage: It arises from usage of fixed costs in Financial Leverage Ratio (or Leverage Ratio)=
conducting the company's business. Operating leverage 2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1
tends to magnify the effect of changes in sales on 2$%(-3% *'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1T %V+.&)
*'&-0 S%5&
Debt – Assets (or Total Debt) Ratio =
*'&-0 211%&1
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com
^%& .#4'[%
4.5 Profitability Ratios Rate of return on assets (ROA) =
2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1∗
Profitability ratios reflect profit (return) earned by the • ROA measures the return earned by a company
company during a period. on its assets.
• The higher ratio indicates that more income is
4.5.1) Calculation of Profitability Ratios generated by a given level of assets.
Return on sales Profitability Ratios: These ratios measure
income relative to revenues and include: *ending or beginning assets can also be used.
UY* X%-(#.#31 5%>'(% &-? 5+& ->&%( .#&%(%1&Z • It measures the profit earned by a company on all
Pre-tax margin=
,%$%#+% of its capital employed.
• It reflects impact of leverage and other non- Return on Shareholders’ Equity (ROE) =
operating income & expenses on profitability of a ^%& .#4'[%
company. 2$%(-3% *'&-0 /7-(%7'09%(1g UV+.&)
Net Profit Margin =
^%& "#4'[% • It measures the return earned by a company on its
,%$%#+%
equity (i.e. common equity, preferred equity and
minority equity).
• It measures overall profitability of the firm taking
into account all items i.e. revenues, expenses, tax,
Rate of Return on Common Shareholders' Equity (ROE)
interest, etc. ^%& .#4'[%]:(%>%((%9 9.$.9%#91∗
• It also indicates the firm's ability to control the level =
2$%(-3% ='[['# UV+.&)
of expenses relative to revenues generated. *because preferred dividends are a return to preferred
equity
Return on Investment Profitability Ratios: These ratios
measure income relative to assets, equity or total capital • It measures the return earned by a company on its
of a company. These include: common equity only.
W:%(-&.#3 .#'[%
Operating ROA =
2$%(-3% *'&-0 211%&1
4.6.2) DuPont Analysis: The Decomposition of ROE Three component disaggregation of ROE
^%& "#4'[% ^%& .#4'[% ,%$%#+%
DuPont analysis facilitates an analyst to evaluate the ROE = = × ×
2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&) ,%$%#+% 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
impact of leverage, profit margins, and turnover on 2$%(-3% &'&-0 211%&1
shareholder returns, determine the reasons for changes 2$%(-3% &'&-0 UV+.&)
in ROE over time for a given company and for different = Net profit margin × Total asset turnover × Leverage
companies in a given time period.
5. EQUITY ANALYSIS
^%& .#4'[%
Sustainable growth rate of a firm: A firm’s sustainable 2) Net income per employee =
*'&-0 #+[5%( '> %[:0')%%1
growth rate can be calculated as follows:
Sustainable growth rate = Earnings Retention Rate (b)×
Hotel:
ROE
,''[ (%$%#+%
1) Average daily rate =
^+[5%( '> (''[1 1'09
5.2 Industry-Specific Ratios
^+[5%( '> (''[1 1'09
2) Occupancy rate =
^+[5%( '> (''[1 -$-.0-50%
Business Risk can be measured by following ratios:
Coefficients of variation: It is used to measure the risk
related to a firm’s sales, operating income, and net
income.
6. CREDIT ANALYSIS
Credit analysis refers to evaluating credit risk. It involves: Ratios used in credit analysis include:
1. EBIT interest coverage =
• Projecting period-by-period cash flows of a firm. UY"*
• Credit scoring i.e. a statistical analysis of the \('11 .#&%(%1& X:(.'( &' 9%9+4&.'# >'( 4-:.&-0.l%9 .#&%(%1& '( .#&%(%1& .#4'[%Z
determinants of credit default.
Reading 28 Financial Analysis Techniques FinQuiz.com
3. FFO (Funds from Operations) interest coverage = 7. Discretionary cash flow to debt =
mmW@.#&%(%1& :-.9]':%(-&.#3 0%-1% -9n+1&[%#&1 =mW] 4-:.&-0 %?:%#9.&+(%1]S.$.9%#9 :-.9
\('11 .#&%(%1& X:(.'( &' 9%9+4&.'#1 >'( 4-:.&-0.l%9 .#&%(%1& '( .#&%(%1& .#4'[%Z *'&-0 9%5&
4. Return on capital =
UY"*
= 8. Net cash flow to capital expenditures =
2$%(-3% 4-:.&-0 mmW]9.$.9%#91
UY"* =-:.&-0 %?:%#9.&+(%1
UV+.&)@^'#]4+((%#& 9%>%((%9 &-?%1@S%5&
mmW
5. FFO* (Funds from Operations) to debt = 9. Debt to EBITDA =
*'&-0 9%5&
*'&-0 9%5&
UY"*S2
*FFO = net income adjusted for non-cash items.
10. Total debt to total debt plus equity =
*'&-0 9%5&
*'&-0 9%5&@*'&-0 %V+.&)