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Pidilite Industries (PIDIND) : High Raw Material Prices Hit Margin
Pidilite Industries (PIDIND) : High Raw Material Prices Hit Margin
Consumer & Bazaar 1,597.4 1,509.4 1,308.6 22.1 1,514.6 5.5 led by ~13% YoY growth in sales volume & mix. Further, strong
Change in estimates
FY19E FY20E Introduced Comments
(| Crore)
Old New % Chg Old New % Chg FY21E
We have marginally tweaked our revenue estimates for FY19E & FY20E and
Revenue 7,406.9 7,141.6 (3.6) 8,241.0 8,204.5 (0.4) 9,470.0 introduced FY21E estimates. We model revenue CAGR of 15% led by revenue CAGR of
16% in the C&B segment
EBITDA 1,525.6 1453.1 (4.7) 1,836.0 1717.9 (6.4) 2,030.5
We believe respite in raw material prices coupled with price hike at regular interval
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.60 20.3 -25bps 22.3 20.9 -136bps 21.4
would help in maintaining EIBTDA margin at higher level
PAT 1004.3 948.7 (5.5) 1248.1 1129.1 (9.5) 1,336.6
EPS (|) 19.6 18.5 (5.5) 24.4 22.0 (9.5) 26.1
Source: Company, ICICI Direct. Research
Assumptions
Current Introduced Earlier Comments
FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E FY19E FY20E
We have introduced FY21E estimates with topline CAGR of 16% in FY18-21E led by
Consumer & Bazaar (%) 2.8 16.1 15.5 15.6 20.2 13.4
domestic performance
Industrial Growth (%) 3.3 8.5 10.4 16.7 12.2 8.4
Others Growth (%) 13.8 -0.5 5.4 16.7 2.8 3.4
Source: Company, ICICI Direct. Research
10000
9000
9470.0
8000
8204.5
7000
7141.6
6000
(| crore)
6078.4
5701.6
5000
5616.8
4820.4
4000
4260.6
3657.9
3000
3109.7
2000
1000
0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17* FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research, * due to change in reporting structure, sales of subsidiary
Exhibit 2: Strong performance of standalone business to help drive Exhibit 3: Revival in industrial activity to lead to increase in industrial
revenue growth of C&B segment going forward segment revenue
8000 1600
CAGR ~12%
7000 1400
7294
1390.6
6000 1200 CAGR 9%
6253
1192.0
5000 1000
1079.3
5365
(| crore)
(| crore)
994.8
963.6
4000 800
4546
4369
872.1
869.2
3890
3000 600
3577
713.2
708.2
635.5
3109
2000 400
2674
2227
1000 200
0 0
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
FY19E
FY20E
FY21E
f
Source: Company, ICICI Direct. Research Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
2500 25
2000 20
2,030.5
1500 15
1,717.9
(| crore)
1,453.1
(%)
1,341.2
1,259.8
1000 10
1,173.5
776.6
500 5
671.5
483.7
600.5
0 0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
1600
1400 CAGR ~11%
1,336.6
1200
1000
1,129.1
CAGR ~22%
(| crore)
966.1
948.7
800
863.2
807.2
600
400
512.6
454.6
423.8
200
324.3
0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
Exhibit 6: Strong return ratio on the back of debt free status, strong cash flow from operations
45 40.4
40 33.6
33.0 31.4 32.4
35 29.4 29.6
30
25 30.6
27.0
(%)
20 24.9
22.9 21.7 22.8 23.3
15
10
5
0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E FY21E
RoCE ROE
40.0
700
(%)
600
30.0
500
400 20.0
300
200 10.0
100 Jun-16 Aug-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 Jun-17 Aug-17 Nov-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jun-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Jan-19
0 0.0
Key events
Date Event
Apr-09 Repurchase of FCCBs of US$40 million issued in December, 2007
Jan-10 Announcement of bonus issue 1:1
Feb-11 Company records strong earnings growth of 25% YoY in Q3FY11
May-12 Strong Q4FY12 performance, standalone net profit increased 143% YoY led by saving in interest cost
Jul-12 Forms JV agreement with hybrid coatings for manufacture of construction chemicals and to establish a JV company in India for this purpose
Dec-12 Redeems outstanding FCCB of US$28.57 million with the premium of 39.4%
Jan-13 Strong Q3FY13 performance wherein overseas subsidiaries saw a sharp 15% YoY growth in terms of constant currency and saving in interest cost
Aug-13 Acquisition of adhesive business of Suparshva Adhesives
Oct-13 Company records overall volume growth of ~17% YoY in Q2FY14 led by sharp volume rise in industrial segments by ~22% YoY
Dec-13 Redeems outstanding 600 NCDs aggregating to | 60 crore on maturity date
Sep-14 Acquisition of adhesive business of Bluecoat Pvt Ltd
Mar-15 Acquires 70% stake Nina Water proofing System Pvt Ltd
Jun-16 Acquired 100% of Nebula East Africa Private Ltd (NEAPL) through subsidiaries
Apr-16 Forms a JV, ICA Pidilite Pvt. Ltd with Italy-based wood finish manufacturer Industria Chimica Adriatica Spa (ICA) for distribution of IC's products.
Jan-18 Acquires 70% stake in CIPY Poly Urethanes Pvt. Ltd. (CIPY) which is engaged into floor coatings
Mar-18 Collaborated with Jowat SE for distribution of Jowat's products in India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal and technical collaboration for Hot Melt Adhesives.
Source: Company, ICICI Direct Research
Recent Activity
Buys Sells
Investor name Value(m) Shares(m) Investor name Value(m) Shares(m)
Axis Asset Management Company Limited 28.4 1.8 LIC Mutual Fund Asset Management Company Ltd. -296.8 -18.6
Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management Limited 3.1 0.2 Matthews International Capital Management, L.L.C. -11.8 -0.8
Sjunde AP-fonden 2.9 0.2 Life Insurance Corporation of India -6.8 -0.4
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Limited 2.7 0.2 APG Asset Management -5.0 -0.3
William Blair Investment Management, LLC 2.2 0.1 Manning & Napier Advisors, LLC -2.0 -0.1
Source: Reuters, ICICI Direct. Research
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;