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Monsoon To Wash Away Diesel Demand Surge - Timesofindia-Economictimes
Monsoon To Wash Away Diesel Demand Surge - Timesofindia-Economictimes
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Reuters Jun 16, 2016, 03.02PM IST
NEW DELHI: The monsoon is expected to dump above
average rainfall on the South Asian nation after two years of
drought, cutting its use of diesel for irrigation pumps and
generators over the third quarter and potentially rejuvenating
exports of the oil product.
India is a net exporter of diesel which accounts for about
40 percent of its oil demand but a jump in imports by state
refiners since April helped erode an Asian surplus of the
fuel, lifting its regional profit margins to the highest for the
year so far at the end of May. (The monsoon rains are crucial…)
millions
choose us over
anyone else.
The state refiners ramped up diesel imports in the second quarter after supplies from private oil processors
Reliance Industries and Essar Oil became too expensive in the absence of discounts on taxes and shipping.
Now, as the rains come and domestic demand drops, diesel imports could halt and exports rebound.
"During the monsoon demand for diesel sees a blip (down) because industrial activity slows, transport
movement gets affected and demand from agriculture also reduces," said Tushar Bansal, a Singaporebased
senior consultant at energy consultancy FGE.
India's weather office has forecast aboveaverage rains in the fourmonth season from June. The monsoon
rains are crucial for farmers, which otherwise use dieselpowered pumpsets to draw water to irrigate their
land.
Officials at state refiners, which dominate the local retail fuel markets , said they also see diesel demand
softening during the monsoon season.
"Major construction activities including road construction virtually stops during rains, so there is bound to be
get going an impact on diesel demand," said Y. K. Gawali, head of marketing at Hindustan Petroleum Corp.
More rain also boosts hydropower generation alleviating electricity shortages and reducing demand for diesel
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Lower diesel consumption means state refiners will take less from private and standalone refiners such as
Oil Demand Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd and Chennai Petroleum Corp Ltd to meet demand.
"To that extent diesel exports will go up. Refiners normally don't take maintenance shutdown during rains so
SPOTLIGHT output is normally higher and that also boosts exports," Gawali said.
House in disorder Modi Style
Last year, India's diesel demand grew at an annual 8 percent during the JulySeptember quarter, according to
data posted on a government website.
This year, FGE estimates, annual diesel demand for the third quarter could grow just around 1 percent from a
year ago to about 1.4 million barrels per day.
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