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Health Policy and Technology: Sciencedirect
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Article history: Objectives: To achieve sustainable health development, health systems need to constantly enhance their
Available online 6 July 2020 efficiency, through for instance reducing waste of resources. This study aimed to measure the efficiency
in producing health in Upper Middle-Income Countries (UMICs) with a focus on Iran.
Keywords:
Efficiency Method: A modified data envelopment analysis (DEA)-based Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) was
Productivity used to assess the changes in health productivity. Panel data was extracted from databases of the World
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Health Organization and the World Bank for the period of 2009–2015.
upper middle-income countries (UMICs)
Malmquist Productivity Index (MPI) Results: The efficiency score of 13% of countries was higher than 0.8, while the score of all countries was
above 0.5. The average score of Iran performance was 0.791 during the period. On average, performance
improved in 15 countries, while it declined in 20 countries during the study period.
Conclusion: Different countries have implemented various health reforms to improve efficiency. We en-
visage, policy makers in the UMICs locate their health system performance and plan to improve it in
line with the local specifications, along with the global pathway towards universal health coverage and
sustainable health development ultimately.
© 2020 Fellowship of Postgraduate Medicine. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hlpt.2020.06.007
2211-8837/© 2020 Fellowship of Postgraduate Medicine. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
336 E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347
UMICs Upper Middle-Income Countries and other UMICs locate their health system performance and plan
WB World Bank to improve it in line with the local specifications.
WHO World Health Organization
WHR World Health Report
Methods
Table 1
The UMICs and Iran, DMU classification.
Table 2 this case, the difference in values is an undesirable output that was
Inputs and outputs.
applied in the model with the following modifications:
SYMBOL Output symbol Input
y˜1 j = 83.7 − y1 j
y1j LE x1j CHE
K1 = max{y˜1 j : j = 1, ..., n} + ε
y2j U.5
y3j General Government Health
Expenditure (GGHE) as CHE
New y1 j = −y˜1 j + K1
εis a small positive number.
For the second output which signifies the U5 mortality rate,
Data analysis the less value, to whatever extent, is the better, as an undesirable
output. Based on the best performance of countries as explained
We began with the panel of experts (including members and in the previous section, the value 2.8 was used as a standard in
advisors of the research team) to determine the standard and this index. The more the U5 mortality of countries was within the
weight for each indicator, by taking into account the relative im- proximity of this indicator, the better it was. For this purpose, the
portance of each indicator, so its influence on the efficiency score differences in values of the U5 mortality of countries were com-
could be measured [22]. puted with 2.8 as follows:
To determine the standard of Current Health Expenditure (CHE),
y˜2 j = y2 j − 2.8
countries with an Out of Pocket (OOP) payment of less than 20%
K2 = max{y˜2 j : j = 1, ..., n} + ε
in 2015 (target set for Universal Health Coverage (UHC) [23]) were
listed. Then, the median of the CHE indicator in those countries New y2 j = K2 − y˜2 j
was determined as standard, regarding the scattered data. The To define each of the input and output indicators, we con-
standard rates of other indicators, namely life expectancy at birth sidered the following constraints. Since the third output is ex-
(LE) and Under-five mortality rate (U5) were considered to be the pressed as a "percentage", its value should always be scalar, be-
best performance indicators [24] (Appendix 1). tween [0,100]. Therefore, the following constraint was added to
CCR Model:
Modeling
36
2
0≤ λ j y3 j + γ j β3 j ≤ 100 (1)
We considered each country as a DMU in a set of UMICs (36 j=1 j=1
countries). The collection is intended as follows:
To adjust the input, knowing that the minimum CHE was 1636
X1 X2 X36 US$, the following constraints was added to the model:
, , ...,
Y1 Y2 Y36
36
In the DMU column, No. 16 relates to Iran. This evaluation is λ j x1 j ≥ 1636 (2)
based on a seven-year data from 2009 to 2015 (Table 1). j=1
The inputs and outputs for each country have been rendered in
Table 2. For the three outputs considered for assessment in this study,
According to best practice as standard that we mentioned the experts’ opinions led us impose the following constraints on
above, the minimum of CHE by government in each country was the model for comparing these outputs:
1636 US$. For countries that the index was below the minimum
5.5
standard, a penalty was imposed as per the modeling below: u1 ≥ u2
3.5
(3)
CHE , CHE ≥ 1636 3.5
Cost in the mode l = u2 ≥ u3
1636 + (1636 − CHE ) , CHE < 1636 1
We considered the amount of deficits from the minimum cost We selected indicators and set constraints as mentioned in the
as a penalty for each country. If the CHE of a country was less first stage. The constraint (3) signifies the fact that the magnitude
than 1636 US$, the CHE was considered as follows in the modeling of the first output relative to the second output is at least 1.57
process: times bigger. In the same manner, the second output relative to
The New CHE = 2x (1636) – the old CHE the third output is at least 3.5 times more important.
The LE Index has a standard value of 83.7 that is the maximum According to the aforementioned description, the CCR-
amount amongst countries, which was considered as an outlet. In envelopment input-oriented form to compute the relative effi-
338 E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347
ciency of DMUp is given hereunder: The average of LE in UMICs was 72.7 years with a standard de-
viation (SD) of 5.6 and a range of 23.91, while LE in Iran was 74.7
Min θ
during the study period.
36
s.t. λ j x1 j ≤ θ x1 p , The U5 mortality indicator in Iran was also better than the av-
j=1 erage of other UMICs countries in 2015 (15.7 vs. 19.5). The range
36
2 of GGHE as CHE is very variable in the studied countries with a
λ j yr j + γ j βr j ≥ yr p , r = 1, ..., 3, coefficient of variation (CV) of 0.26 (SD 14.6) in 2009. The rate of
j=1 j=1
this index in Iran (36.7 in 2009) was lower than the average of
36
λ j x1 j ≥ 1636, countries (55.3 in 2009). In 2015, this indicator was closer to the
j=1 (4) average of countries (Appendix 2).
36
2
λ j y3 j + γ j β3 j ≤ 100, Efficiency scores
j=1 j=1
36
2
λ j y3 j + γ j β3 j ≥ 0, According to the findings, 4 (11.11%) of 36 UMICs were found
j=1 j=1 to be efficient (E>0.9) in producing health. The efficiency of 13%
λ j ≥ 0, j = 1, ..., 36, of countries was higher than 0.8 and 100% of countries had effi-
γ j ≥ 0, j = 1, 2. ciency score above 0.5 (Table 3). The highest performance (score
1) in the studied years was for Costa Rica. The lowest performance
Where (λ∗ , γ ∗ , θ ∗ ) is the optimal response to model (4), in which score belongs to Gabon (0.578) (Table 4). Iran performance score in
the coordinates of DMUp target point were obtained from the fol- these years (average of 0.791) was higher than the average of the
lowing: UMICs’ efficiency (0.7) (Fig. 1). Among the 36 countries compared,
36 Iran ranked 12th in the performance score (Table 4).
x̄1P = λ∗ j x1 j .out put benchmark#1DMU p (5)
j=1 MPI -total factor efficiency change
36
2 Tables 5 and 6 show MPI for UMIC countries between 2009 and
ȳ1P = λ∗ j yr j + γ ∗ j βr j + 83.7 − K1 , 2015. MI indicates the changes in efficiency over the years studied.
j=1 j=1 On average, 33.3% of countries had an improvement in efficiency
out put benchmark #1DMU p (6) score, 1.4% did not change, and 56.9% had a regression (Table 5).
Accordingly, the highest progress in the performance score was
for Azerbaijan from 2014 to 2015 (1.092) and the lowest rate was
36
2
for Lebanon between 2011 and 2012 (0.823). Iran performance
ȳ2P = −( λ∗ j yr j + γ ∗ j βr j ) + K2 + 2.8, score also improved from 2013 to 2014 (1.056) (Table 6).
j=1 j=1
.36
Table 7 shows benchmarks for achieving the highest efficiency
2
ȳ3P = λ∗ j yr j + γ ∗ j βr j , scores. These benchmarks were based on the performance of coun-
j=1 j=1
tries with the highest scores. It suggests that how much change
needs to be made for each indicator to improve the efficiency level.
r = 1, ..., s. out put benchmark #3 DMU p (8) Considering to determine “Standards” for each indicators, for some
In order to calculate the progressive and regressive aspects of of these the same values are suggested (see the Modeling section).
each country on the basis of efficiency or performance, the MPI Based on these finding, to achieve a performance score of 1 in
was computed. “The MPI calculates the relative performance of a 2015, Iran should have increased the per capita CHE to 1636 US$,
DMU at different periods of time using the technology of a base the LE to 75.73, and GGHE as CHE ratio to 66.857 (Table 7), while
period” [25]. The MPI is a bilateral index that can be used to com- decreasing the U5 mortality rate to 15.7.
pare the production technology of DMUs. It is named after Profes-
sor Sten Malmquist, on whose ideas it is based. It is also called the Discussion
Malmquist Productivity Index. The MI is based on the concept of
the Production function. This is a function of maximum possible The aim of this study was to measure and compare the perfor-
production, with respect to a set of inputs and outputs [26]. mance of the Iranian health system with the UMICs in terms of
This index is derived from the comparison of efficiency changes efficient use of resources during the period of seven years (2009-
(Catch-up) to Frontier-shift [27]. The value 1 indicates that there 2015).
has been no change in the efficiency score. Values higher than 1 Our findings showed that the range of CHE in the UMICs was
represent progress in efficiency and values lower than 1 represent 926 US$. In 2009, the highest and lowest CHE were observed in
a decrease in the efficiency score. Serbia (1171.5 US$) and China (380.5 US$), respectively. Serbia had
Data were analyzed using GAMS software 24.3. one of the highest CHE over the study years. The average of LE is
72 in the UMICs, showing a 10.2 years difference with Japan, the
Results leading country with the highest average of life expectancy in the
world. The LE measure in Iran is higher than its average in the
Input and output indicators UMICs (LE=74.7).
The relationship between income and life expectancy has been
Our results showed that the CHE per capita in Iran in 2009 demonstrated by a number of statistical studies. Studies indicate
(1088) was higher than the average of UMICs (745). In all stud- that individuals born in wealthier countries, on average, can expect
ied years, the value of this indicator in Iran was higher than the to live longer than those born in poor countries [28]. The compar-
average of all countries. ison of U5 mortality in the studied countries (Mean: 21.8 deaths
E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347 339
Table 3
Overall results of efficiency.
Years
Summary statistics 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average of period
N 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36
Max 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Min 0.576 0.564 0.564 0.569 0.577 0.578 0.586 0.578
Average 0.745 0.729 0.715 0.723 0.729 0.743 0.750 0.733
SD 0.110 0.111 0.106 0.101 0.109 0.113 0.110 0.105
Range 0.424 0.436 0.436 0.431 0.423 0.422 0.414 0.422
CV 0.147 0.152 0.149 0.140 0.150 0.152 0.147 0.143
Range of efficiency score (%) 0.1<E<0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.2<E<0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.3<E<0.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.4<E<0.5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0.5<E<0.6 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 2
0.6<E<0.7 11 12 18 17 14 12 9 14
0.7<E<0.8 10 7 5 5 7 9 12 7
0.8<E<0.9 9 10 8 10 9 8 8 9
0.9<E<0.99 1 1 0 1 2 2 2 3
E=1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 1
Table 4
Technical efficiency score of countries (2009–2015).
Years
Countries 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Average of period
per 10 0 0 livebirths per year) with the global under-5 mortality average. The GGHE as CHE ratio is generally associated with the
rate in 2015 (40.9 deaths per 10 0 0 livebirths) [29], indicates that overall health policies of countries and their economic infrastruc-
the average of this indicator is better than mean of under-5 deaths ture, which means that the type of market and the degree of gov-
worldwide (21.8 vs. 20). Low rate of U5 mortality has a high effect ernment control (private or public) determine the amount of in-
on technical efficiency. As results showed, Belarus is a country that vestment in the health sector [30].
has low U5 mortality and from 2009 to 2015 the score of efficiency Iran’s efficiency score was higher than the average score of the
is acceptable. The average ratio of GGHE as CHE in the UMICs was UMICs (0.791 vs. 0.733) during the study period. Among the 36
56.2% over the study period. There was a huge difference between compared countries, Iran ranked 12th in terms of the efficiency
UMICs in terms of GGHE and Iran’s ratio was less than the total score. In this group of countries, Lebanon, Panama, Costa Rica, and
340 E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347
Table 5
Overall results of MPI.
Years
Table 6
MI of countries (2009–2015).
Years
Table 7
Total input and output changes required to make countries efficient.
Bulgaria were some years efficient over the study period, each of study was between 0.789 and 0.848, which ranked 58th out of
them received score 1 at least for one year over the study years. 191(2).
In addition, Turkmenistan, Gabon, and Iraq had the lowest effi- Another that study conducted in 20 countries in the WHO East-
ciency score. According to the MPI findings for the UMICs, Azer- ern Mediterranean Region, used the DEA method, as well as MPI,
baijan has had the most progress in efficiency score from 2014 to similar input indicators to our study, while their outputs were in-
2015 (1.092). Iran has showed the regression in 2010 to 2013; it fant mortality rate and LE. The highest technical efficiency scores
seems that the economic sanctions affected to GGHE as CHE indi- were for Syria, Qatar, Tunisia and Bahrain, and the lowest score
cators and it lead to decrease in efficiency while there is a progress was for Djibouti (0.767) over the study period. The technical effi-
in efficiency score since 2013, which might be associated with the ciency score of Iran was 0.960(20) while the average of Technical
recent health transformation plan (HTP) since 2014 in the country efficiency in Iran compare with UMICs was 0.789 in our study.
[17]. In 2015, Iran still ranked 12th in terms of the efficiency score A study was done in African countries to measure the health-
among 36 UMICs. To be among the efficient countries, Iran should care system efficiency of 36 African countries. In this study, DEA
have increased the CHE to 1636 US$, which was 1262 US$ in 2015, was used; the input variables include: the proportion of total
showing a 374 US$ per capita deficit. health expenditures in the gross domestic product; the number
The findings of the study which conducted to estimates the effi- of physicians, nurses and hospital beds per 10 0 0 people and the
ciency of the health care systems of 170 countries by DEA method, unemployment rate. The study’s output variables were life ex-
show that countries in the high-income group have a relatively pectancy at birth and infant mortality rate. According to findings,
high average efficiency and Asian countries performed more effi- 21 (58.33%) of 36 African healthcare systems were found to be ef-
ciently among other regions in each group. The average efficiency ficient [31].
of UMICs was 0.773 that was almost in line with the findings of Our study utilized DEA method as the common technique to ef-
our study [16]. ficiency measurement. According a systematic review on efficiency
WHO conducted a comparison of 191 countries in terms of of health system, the studies that used SFA and DEA were stronger
health system efficiency in producing health and ranked Iran 58 than other studies. Also, the frequency of using DEA method was
among 191 countries with a score of 0.805. They used health ex- higher than all other methods used for measuring efficiency. Al-
penditure per capita, U5 mortality rate, infant mortality rate, and most all studies used life expectancy as the most important indica-
LE as the input criteria, and the average income and average years tor to measure the efficiency of health production. The study con-
of education as control variables. The study showed that Malawi, cluded that the methodological problems of existing cross-country
Botswana, Namibia, Zamia, and Zimbabwe had the lowest effi- comparisons for the efficiency of health systems make it difficult to
ciency scores (ranked 187 to 191) Iran’s performance score in this provide meaningful guidance for policymakers [1]. Our study faces
the same limitation. In addition, another limitation of this method
342 E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347
is that the importance of some output variables, which may be a unstable public resources for health policy makers. Therefore
higher priority for the health system, is not considered in measur- the strengthening health financing resource is inevitable in our
ing efficiency; but as explained in the Method, we tried to consider country.
this limitation by weighing the out puts variables. – According to our findings and other similar studies, the im-
It should be noted that the proposed benchmarks in this re- provement of the "life expectancy" indicator had the greatest
search were based on the initial data of the compared countries, impact on the health system efficiency in producing health.
especially the countries with the highest efficiency. In order to Considering that the promotion of life expectancy requires
conduct the reforms or plans to meet the target indicators, pol- intersectoral collaboration, more government investment is
icy makers need to consider the feasibility of change, the time needed to improve this health output indicator.
period to assess the impact of changes, a set of contextual fac- – The benchmarks were presented based on the initial data of the
tors affecting an indicator, the importance of an indicator, and the countries and in particular the country with the highest effi-
funds needed to affect the intended reforms. Through improving ciency. Policy makers need to make decisions about the mod-
health system efficiency, the studied high-income, upper middle- ified indicators, according to available infrastructures and the
income, low-income and lower middle-income countries can im- possibility of change.
prove health system outcomes by 6.6%, 8.6% and 8.7%, respectively,
using the existing level of resources [32]. Conclusion
Added value of this study Our study created a platform to compare the efficiency scores
of selected UMICs countries with Iran, which provides a clear pic-
– Realizing the shortcomings of conventional DEA method, we ture for policy makers to compare and reform the health system
modified the method to improve the DEA with weighting the accordingly. In addition to countries’ efforts to optimize health-
input and output indicators and set the standards for them by care budgets and sustain fiscal space to reach UHC, more impor-
taking into account an expert assessment of the relative value tant is finding appropriate ways to use these funds more efficiently.
of each indicator. Different countries have undergone various health reforms to im-
– Despite most studies measuring efficiency in a cross-sectional prove efficiency, however, the approach of "single solution" to re-
design, the strength of this study was its duration over a 7 form is not recommended. While countries are moving towards
years period (2009-2015). sustainable health development, it is essential that each country
– It is the unique study that focus on measuring efficiency in pro- develop and implement tailored multiple solutions to improve the
ducing health in UMICs. efficiency of its health care system through exploring the underly-
– In addition, our study took advantage of the GGHE to CHE ratio ing causes of in house inefficiency. Measuring efficiency with DEA
to take into account the fair financial contribution in the health is highly sensitive to selecting indicators to calculate performance
system as output indicator; according our assumption, this in- scores. The factors contributing to the performance in this method,
dicator is a proxy for fair financing contribution which is one are only identifiable by the selected variables. Therefore, further
of the final objective of health system [21]. qualitative analyzes are recommended to identify the roots of in-
efficiency along with the quantitative results obtained from data
Limitations envelopment analysis.
– The main limitation of this study was data accessibility. Vari- Availability of data and material
ous major output indicators are required to show a clear view
of the quantitative and qualitative level of health production in All of them are available.
any setting. However, since we measured and compared effi-
ciency across different countries, we used indicators that were Acknowledgements
certainly accessible and internationally comparable in all of
those countries and used in other studies. The authors would like to thank the Ministry of Health and
– Methodological limitation of DEA on using homogeneous DMUs Medical Education of Iran, for their help to provide national data.
was another limitation of this study for restrict the benchmark.
Author Statements
Policy implications
Funding
– Most health policy discussions focus on reducing or increasing
health care budgets, while ignoring ways to turn these funds Tehran University of Medical Sciences was our research funder.
into an effective health care system. Improving the efficiency
of health systems to mitigate against rapid healthcare expendi- Competing interests
ture growth is a key challenge for many countries (especially
UMICs). Hence, improving the efficiency of health care system None declared.
is critical for rapidly growing health care needs.
– Targeted interventions to improve fair financial protection Ethical approval
against health costs: It is recommended that these interven-
tions be designed and implemented at both the health system This study received the ethical code from Tehran University of
and the public level. The major cause of catastrophic and im- Medical science: IR.TUMS.VCR.REC.1396.4018.
poverishment due to health care costs are related to the wide
range of health services covered by public resources and the Supplementary materials
model of service delivery in the country.
– Complementary and Supportive Interventions to Maintain Supplementary material associated with this article can be
GGHE as CHE: The CHE as GDP has increased significantly since found, in the online version, at doi:10.1016/j.hlpt.2020.06.007.
the implementation of the HTP, but remains a challenge about
E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347 343
Current Health This indicator calculates the Input WHO, WB 2009-2015 1636 of high
Expenditure average expenditure on health check list importance
(CHE) per per person in comparable
Capita in Int$ currency including the
(Purchasing purchasing power of national
Power Parity) currencies against USD. It
contributes to understand the
health expenditure relative to
the population size facilitating
international comparison.
Life expectancy The average number of years Out put 83.7 of extreme
at birth, total that a newborn could expect important
years (LE) to live, if he or she were to
pass through life exposed to
the sex- and age-specific death
rates prevailing at the time of
his or her birth, for a specific
year, in a given country,
territory, or geographic area.
Under-five Probability (expressed as a Out put 2.8 of high
mortality rate rate per 1000 live births) of a importance
(per 1000 live child born in a specific year or
births)(U5 period dying before reaching
mortality) the age of five years, if subject
to age-specific mortality rates
of that period. Numerator:
Deaths at age 0–5 years.
Denominator: Number of
surviving children at
beginning of specified age
range during the 10 years
prior to survey.
General This indicator calculates the Out put - relatively
Government average domestic general important
Health government health
Expenditure expenditures per person in
(GGHE) as % comparable currency including
Current Health the purchasing power of
Expenditure national currencies against
(CHE) (GGHE USD. It contributes to
as CHE) understand the general
government health
expenditure relative to the
population size and
purchasing power of each
country facilitating
international comparison.
344 E. Mohamadi, A. Olyaee Manesh and A. Takian et al. / Health Policy and Technology 9 (2020) 335–347
output/input indicators Summary statistics 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
- Current Health Expenditure (CHE) per Capita in Int$ (Purchasing Power Parity)
- General Government Health Expenditure (GGHE) as % Current Health Expenditure (CHE) (GGHE as CHE)
Country 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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