Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 120

HISTORICAL DATA

In IDR

INCOME STATEMENT OF PT ABCD

Net Sales
Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit

Selling Expenses
G&A Expenses
R&D Expenses
Depreciation & Amortization
Interest Income
Total Operating Profit

Interest Expenses
Tax Expenses
Net Profit

Preferred Stock Dividend


Common Stock Dividend
Retained Earnings

BALANCE SHEET OF PT ABCD

Cash
Marketable Securities
Account Receivables
Inventories
Total Current Asset

Land
Plant and Equipment, Net
Intangibles, Net
Total Fixed Asset

Total Asset

Account Payables
Accruals
Short-Term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Current Liability

Long-Term Debt

Preferred Stock
Common Stock
Retained Earnings
Total Equity

Total Liability & Equity

Number of Shares Outstanding

RATIO ANALYSIS

LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Current Ratio
Quick (Acid-Test) Ratio

ACTIVITY RATIOS
Average Age of Inventory
Average Collection Period
Average Payment Period
Total Asset Turnover

DEBT RATIOS
Debt Ratio
Times Interest Earned Ratio

PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Gross Profit Margin
Operating Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin
Return on Assets
Return on Equity

FORECASTING RATIOS BENCHMARK

Selling Expenses to Sales


G&A Expenses to Sales
R&D Expenses to Sales
Marketable Securities to Sales
Average Collection Period
Average Age of Inventory
Average Payment Period
Accruals to G&A Expenses
Debt to Equity Ratio
Return on Equity
Dividend Payout Ratio
-5 -4 -3

16,002,131,057,048.00 17,368,532,547,558.00 17,887,464,223,321.00


8,323,017,600,990.00 8,892,725,955,545.00 9,295,887,287,351.00
7,679,113,456,058.00 8,475,806,592,013.00 8,591,576,935,970.00

4,230,293,635,075.00 4,677,646,188,262.00 4,828,392,482,465.00


764,512,533,499.00 892,339,376,449.00 953,016,118,389.00
135,388,356,694.00 143,023,676,252.00 163,364,759,657.00
156,735,869,797.95 176,955,560,757.27 202,069,828,457.48
50,425,100,828.00 78,814,213,671.00 101,333,519,539.00
2,442,608,161,820.05 2,664,656,003,963.73 2,546,067,266,540.52

28,642,082,811.00 52,009,056,900.00 23,918,010,816.00


603,491,519,752.26 653,161,736,765.93 630,537,313,931.13
1,810,474,559,256.79 1,959,485,210,297.80 1,891,611,941,793.39

2,517,849,256.25 2,517,849,256.25 2,517,849,256.25


542,387,013,000.16 587,090,208,312.47 566,728,227,761.14
1,265,569,697,000.38 1,369,877,152,729.08 1,322,365,864,776.00

935,034,161,784.59 1,393,267,033,250.68 2,292,328,563,291.68


187,742,937,561.00 199,389,672,567.00 155,753,502,796.00
2,145,218,904,462.00 2,346,943,380,265.00 2,354,779,771,919.00
3,053,494,513,851.00 3,090,544,151,155.00 3,003,149,535,671.00
6,321,490,517,658.59 7,030,144,237,237.68 7,806,011,373,677.68

687,362,454,658.00 779,350,810,677.60 906,529,203,587.40


2,749,449,818,632.00 3,117,403,242,710.40 3,626,116,814,349.60
385,267,577,327.00 421,707,972,435.00 415,279,754,800.00
3,822,079,850,617.00 4,318,462,025,823.00 4,947,925,772,737.00

10,143,570,368,275.60 11,348,606,263,060.70 12,753,937,146,414.70

1,742,156,331,127.00 1,774,098,561,017.00 1,689,660,766,071.00


314,518,392,842.00 358,667,243,424.00 408,242,363,125.00
583,823,955,413.00 251,909,102,153.00 266,148,059,414.00
91,344,366.00 1,245,265,895.00 1,829,302,253.00
2,640,590,023,748.00 2,385,920,172,489.00 2,365,880,490,863.00

199,417,611,788.00 289,246,205,103.00 392,250,905,307.00

50,356,985,125.00 50,356,985,125.00 50,356,985,125.00


468,751,221,100.00 468,751,221,100.00 468,751,221,100.00
6,784,454,526,514.60 8,154,331,679,243.68 9,476,697,544,019.68
7,303,562,732,739.59 8,673,439,885,468.68 9,995,805,750,244.68

10,143,570,368,275.60 11,348,606,263,060.70 12,753,937,146,414.70

46,835,122,110.00 46,835,122,110.00 46,835,122,110.00

-5 -4 -3

-5 -4 -3
-2 -1

19,374,230,957,505.00 20,182,120,166,616.00
9,886,262,652,473.00 10,369,836,693,616.00
9,487,968,305,032.00 9,812,283,473,000.00

5,193,013,838,459.00 5,217,254,463,765.00
1,046,592,722,481.00 1,141,381,509,277.00
191,713,233,922.00 239,905,662,440.00
230,141,240,864.74 267,087,284,916.93
132,333,575,576.00 134,914,292,587.00
2,958,840,844,881.26 3,081,568,845,188.07

28,148,525,280.00 36,391,625,753.00
732,673,079,900.32 761,294,304,858.77
2,198,019,239,700.94 2,283,882,914,576.30

2,517,849,256.25 2,517,849,256.25
658,650,417,133.41 684,409,519,596.02
1,536,850,973,311.29 1,596,955,545,724.04

2,486,402,649,584.96 2,659,121,757,691.00
179,326,120,554.00 186,495,242,626.00
2,631,206,429,124.00 2,876,417,348,634.00
3,344,404,151,105.00 3,557,496,638,218.00
8,641,339,350,367.96 9,279,530,987,169.00

1,050,654,625,465.20 1,230,543,217,418.40
4,202,618,501,860.80 4,922,172,869,673.60
400,206,315,434.00 419,572,828,665.00
5,653,479,442,760.00 6,572,288,915,757.00

14,294,818,793,128.00 15,851,819,902,926.00

1,800,055,614,298.00 1,764,125,164,231.00
368,413,556,679.00 289,821,941,676.00
135,186,107,287.00 168,774,628,237.00
13,506,508,836.00 4,614,277,571.00
2,317,161,787,100.00 2,227,336,011,715.00

445,000,282,472.00 494,871,621,931.00

50,356,985,125.00 50,356,985,125.00
468,751,221,100.00 468,751,221,100.00
11,013,548,517,331.00 12,610,504,063,055.00
11,532,656,723,556.00 13,129,612,269,280.00

14,294,818,793,128.00 15,851,819,902,926.00

46,835,122,110.00 46,835,122,110.00

-2 -1 Average

-2 -1 Average
Year Market Size A Price per Unit Prod A
2000 3,691,631.00 110,000
2001 3,732,042.00 120,482
2002 3,787,290.00 124,846
2003 3,852,479.00 125,045
2004 3,892,968.00 136,558
2005 3,953,039.00 139,798
2006 4,017,261.00 141,668
2007 4,078,886.00 145,107
2008 4,119,754.00 158,150
2009 4,169,488.00 167,848
2010 4,227,849.00 173,929
2011 4,295,496.00 176,402
2012 4,338,970.00 190,043
2013 4,402,337.00 195,179
2014 4,448,860.00 208,217
2015 4,512,589.00 214,378
2016 4,575,920.00 220,856
2017 4,607,407.00 241,836
2018 4,649,822.00 258,570
2019 4,719,417.00 263,728

Year Market Size Prod B Price per Unit Prod B


2000 3,359,088 65,000
2001 3,392,797 69,848
2002 3,435,199 70,060
2003 3,469,182 75,619
2004 3,504,887 78,854
2005 3,544,201 80,397
2006 3,587,771 85,562
2007 3,633,103 92,756
2008 3,682,168 95,260
2009 3,742,376 98,641
2010 3,791,713 104,168
2011 3,845,852 111,360
2012 3,902,365 122,358
2013 3,956,215 128,745
2014 4,014,239 129,603
2015 4,090,432 131,799
2016 4,150,058 136,448
2017 4,207,868 140,249
2018 4,271,809 150,903
2019 4,337,927 161,386

HISTORICAL INFLATION RATE (YOY) - Source: bi.go.id

Desember 2019 2.72%


Nopember 2019 3.00%
Oktober 2019 3.13%
September 2019 3.39%
Agustus 2019 3.49%
Juli 2019 3.32%
Juni 2019 3.28%
Mei 2019 3.32%
April 2019 2.83%
Maret 2019 2.48%
Februari 2019 2.57%
Januari 2019 2.82%
Desember 2018 3.13%
Nopember 2018 3.23%
Oktober 2018 3.16%
September 2019 2.88%
Agustus 2018 3.20%
July 2018 3.18%
June 2018 3.12%
May 2018 3.23%
April 2018 3.41%
March 2018 3.40%
February 2018 3.18%
January 2018 3.25%
December 2017 3.61%
November 2017 3.30%
October 2017 3.58%
September 2017 3.72%
Agust 2017 3.82%
July 2017 3.88%
June 2017 4.37%
May 2017 4.33%
April 2017 4.17%
March 2017 3.61%
February 2017 3.83%
January 2017 3.49%
December 2016 3.02%

HISTORICAL GDP GROWTH RATE (YOY) - Source: bps.go.id

Year GDP Growth


2000 4.92%
2001 3.64%
2002 4.50%
2003 4.78%
2004 5.03%
2005 5.69%
2006 5.50%
2007 6.35%
2008 6.01%
2009 4.63%
2010 6.22%
2011 6.49%
2012 6.26%
2013 5.73%
2014 5.06%
2015 4.88%
2016 5.03%
2017 5.07%
2018 5.17%
2019 5.02%

2015 2016
Projected GDP 8,564,866.60 8,982,517.10
Projected Population 251,489,096.21 255,075,330.72
Projected Price of Product A 214,378.16 220,856.32
Projected Price of Product B 131,798.83 136,447.54
Projected Market Size of Product A 4,512,589.00 4,575,920.00
Projected Market Size of Product B 4,090,432 4,150,058

HISTORICAL MARKET STOCK PRICE DATA

JKSE ABCD

3/1/2015
4/1/2015
5/1/2015
6/1/2015
7/1/2015
8/1/2015
9/1/2015
10/1/2015
11/1/2015
12/1/2015
1/1/2016
2/1/2016
3/1/2016
4/1/2016
5/1/2016
6/1/2016
7/1/2016
8/1/2016
9/1/2016
10/1/2016
11/1/2016
12/1/2016
1/1/2017
2/1/2017
3/1/2017
4/1/2017
5/1/2017
6/1/2017
7/1/2017
8/1/2017
9/1/2017
10/1/2017
11/1/2017
12/1/2017
1/1/2018
2/1/2018
3/1/2018
4/1/2018
5/1/2018
6/1/2018
7/1/2018
8/1/2018
9/1/2018
10/1/2018
11/1/2018
12/1/2018
1/1/2019
2/1/2019
3/1/2019
4/1/2019
5/1/2019
6/1/2019
7/1/2019
8/1/2019
9/1/2019
10/1/2019
11/1/2019
12/1/2019
Real GDP Population (in Million)
3,899,729 203,364,616
4,091,595 206,264,595
4,240,671 209,205,928
4,431,479 212,189,205
4,643,320 215,215,023
4,876,920 218,283,989
5,154,542 221,396,719
5,438,091 224,553,836
5,783,139 227,755,974
6,130,920 231,003,774
6,414,713 234,297,888
6,813,955 237,641,326
7,255,883 241,030,091
7,710,348 244,467,180
8,152,317 247,953,282
8,564,867 251,489,096
8,982,517 255,075,331
9,434,613 258,712,705
9,912,704 262,401,948
10,425,316 266,143,800

Real GDP Population (in Million)


3,899,729 203,364,616 - 20
4,091,595 206,264,595 - 19
4,240,671 209,205,928 - 18
4,431,479 212,189,205 - 17
4,643,320 215,215,023 - 16
4,876,920 218,283,989 - 15
5,154,542 221,396,719 - 14
5,438,091 224,553,836 - 13
5,783,139 227,755,974 - 12
6,130,920 231,003,774 - 11
6,414,713 234,297,888 - 10
6,813,955 237,641,326 - 9
7,255,883 241,030,091 - 8
7,710,348 244,467,180 - 7
8,152,317 247,953,282 - 6
8,564,867 251,489,096 - 5
8,982,517 255,075,331 - 4
9,434,613 258,712,705 - 3
9,912,704 262,401,948 - 2
10,425,316 266,143,800 - 1
2017 2018 2019 2020
9,434,613.40 9,912,703.60 10,425,316.30
258,712,704.94 262,401,948.11 266,143,799.89
241,836.03 258,569.75 263,727.55
140,248.90 150,903.24 161,385.72
4,607,407.00 4,649,822.00 4,719,417.00
4,207,868 4,271,809 4,337,927

Monthly Retun
JKSE ABCD
2021 2022 2023 2024
2025 2026 2027 2028
2029 2030
PT XYZ
FINANCIAL ASSUMPTIONS
In IDR

SCENARIO ANALYSIS

Scenario Selector

Quantity Sold Realization for Product A


Quantity Sold Realization for Product B
Price per Unit Realization for Product A
Price per Unit Realization for Product B
Direct Material for Product A
Direct Material for Product B
Long-Term Debt Interest Rate
Inflation Rate

NPV

GENERAL ASSUMPTION

Inflation Rate
Number of Days in a Year
GDP growth
Population growth

INCOME STATEMENT ASSUMPTIONS

Revenue
Product A
Market Size
Target Market Share
Quantity Sold
Quantity Sold Realization for Product A
Price per Unit
Price per Unit Realization for Product A
Total Revenue from Product A
Product B
Market Size
Target Market Share
Quantity Sold
Quantity Sold Realization for Product B
Price per Unit
Price per Unit Realization for Product B
Total Revenue from Product B

Capacity Check
Maximum Capacicty of Plant
Total Production
Check
Maximum Capacicty of Equipment A
Production of Product A
Check
Maximum Capacicty of Equipment B
Production of Product B
Check

COGS
Product A
Direct Material (per unit)
Direct Labor (per year)
Product B
Direct Material (per unit)
Direct Labor (per year)

Expenses
Selling Expenses rate
G&A Expenses Rate (2nd Year)
G&A Expenses
R&D Expenses Rate (2nd Year)
Inflated R&D Expenses
Period of Occurrence
R&D Expenses Occurrence
R&D Expenses
Tax Rate

BALANCE SHEET ASSUMPTIONS

Current Assets and Current Liabilities


Marketable Securities
Sales on Credit (percentage of Sales)
Purchasing (percentage of COGS)
Average Collection Period
Average Age of Inventory
Average Payment Period
Accruals
Investment
Investment in Land
Investment in Plant
Investment in Equipment A
Investment in Equipment B
Investment in Equipment
Investment in Intangibles
Investment in Net Working Capital

Asset Life
Investment in Plant
Investment in Equipment
Investment in Intangibles

Financing
Financing Required
Debt Financing Percentage
New Long-Term Financing Value
Total Short-Term Debt Financing
Excess Cash

Rates
Provision Rate
Marketable Securities Interest Rate
Short-Term Debt Interest Rate
Long-Term Debt Interest Rate
Long-Term Debt Tenor

Equity
New Preferred Stock Issued
Preferred Stock Dividend (non-cummulative)
New Common Stock Issued

CAPITAL BUDGETING ASSUMPTIONS

Risk Free Rate


Cost of Common Stock
WACC
Terminal Growth
Base 0 1

Input Cell Worst Case Base Case


1 2

0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
-
-
0.00%
0.00%

Range

Average
Strategic Plan
Average
CAGR

Using Regression
Strategic Plan
Calculated
For Simulation
Using MA 3
For Simulation
Calculated

Using Regression
Strategic Plan
Calculated
For Simulation
Using Trend
For Simulation
Calculated

Strategic Plan
- -
OK OK

- -
OK OK

- -
OK OK

Strategic Plan, Increase w/ Inflation


Strategic Plan, Increase w/ Inflation

Strategic Plan, Increase w/ Inflation


Strategic Plan, Increase w/ Inflation

Percentage of Sales
Percentage of Sales
Increase w/ Inflation
Percentage of Sales
Increase w/ Inflation
Years

Corporate Tax Rate

Percentage of Sales
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Average Historical Data
Average Historical Data
Average Historical Data
Y-1 Accruals to GA
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan - -
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan

Straight Line years


Double Declining Balance years
Straight Line years

Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Calculated

Market Data
Market Data
Market Data
Market Data
Strategic Plan

Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan

IBPA 10 Years Government Bond Yield


Calculated
Calculated
Average Pharmacy GDP Growth
2 3 4 5

Best Case Monte Carlo Simulation


3 4
- - - -
OK OK OK OK

- - - -
OK OK OK OK

- - - -
OK OK OK OK
- - - -

per year of Salvage Value


per year of Salvage Value
per year of Salvage Value
6 7 8 9
- - - -
OK OK OK OK

- - - -
OK OK OK OK

- - - -
OK OK OK OK
- - - -
10
-
OK

-
OK

-
OK
-
PT XYZ
INCOME STATEMENT
In IDR

Net Sales
Cost of Goods Sold
Gross Profit

Selling Expenses
G&A Expenses
R&D Expenses
Depreciation & Amortization
Interest Income
Total Operating Profit

Debt Provision
Interest Expenses
Tax Expenses
Net Profit

Preferred Stock Dividend


Earnings Available for Common Stockholders
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
BALANCE SHEET
In IDR

Cash
Excess Cash
Required Cash
Marketable Securities
Account Receivables
Inventories
Total Current Asset

Land
Plant and Equipment, Net
Intangibles, Net
Asset under Construction
Total Fixed Asset

Total Asset

Account Payables
Accruals
Short-Term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Total Current Liability

Long-Term Debt

Preferred Stock
Common Stock
Retained Earnings
Total Equity

Total Liability & Equity

Balance Check
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOW
In IDR

Net Profit
Depreciation
(Increase)/Decrease in Account Receivables
(Increase)/Decrease in Inventory
Increase/(Decrease) in Account Payables
Increase/(Decrease) in Accruals
Total Cash Flow from Operating Activities

(Increase)/Decrease in Marketable Securities


(Increase)/Decrease in Land
(Increase)/Decrease in Plant & Equipment
(Increase)/Decrease in Intangibles
(Increase)/Decrease in Asset under Construction
Total Cash Flow from Investing Activities

Increase/(Decrease) in Short-Term Debt


Increase/(Decrease) in Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Increase/(Decrease) in Long-Term Debt
Increase/(Decrease) in Preferred Stock
Increase/(Decrease) in Common Stock
(Dividend Payment)
Total Cash Flow from Financing Activities

Net Cash Flow


Beginning Cash
Ending Cash
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
COST OF GOODS SOLD
In IDR

PRODUCT A

Number of Unit being produced

Variable Cost
Direct Material price per unit
Total Variable Cost

Fixed Cost
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Cost

Total COGS

PRODUCT B

Number of Unit being produced

Variable Cost
Direct Material price per unit
Total Variable Cost

Fixed Cost
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Cost

Total COGS
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE
In IDR

DEPRECIATION SCHEDULE (RECAP)

Book Value of Asset, Net


Land
Plant and Equipment, Net
Intangibles, Net
Asset under Construction
Depreciation and Amortization Expenses
Depreciation of Plant & Equipment
Amortization of Intangibles
Total Depreciation & Amortization Expenses

NON DEPRECIABLE ASSET

Land

DEPRECIABLE ASSET

Plant
Capitalized Interest During Construction
New Investment in Plant

Asset under Construction

Plant
Book Value of Asset, Gross
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset, Gross
Depreciation Expense
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Depreciation Expense
Book Value of Asset, Net
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset, Net

Equipment
Book Value of Asset
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset
Depreciation Expense
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Depreciation Expense
Book Value of Asset, Net
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset, Net

Intangibles
Book Value of Asset, Gross
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset, Gross
Amortization Expense
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Amortization Expense
Book Value of Asset, Net
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Book Value of Asset, Net
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
LOAN AMORTIZATION SCHEDULE
In IDR

LOAN SCHEDULE (RECAP)

Short-Term Debt Value


Short-Term Debt
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt
Long-Term Debt Value
Interest Expense

SHORT-TERM DEBT

Short-Term Debt
Short-Term Debt Provision
Interest on Short-Term Debt

LONG-TERM DEBT

New Long Term Debt


Long Term Debt Provision
Interest During Construction
Total Outstanding Debt

New Long-Term Debt


0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total New Long-Term Debt
Loan Payment
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Loan Payment
Interest Payment
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Interest Payment
Principal Payment
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Principal Payment
Ending Balance of Long-Term Debt
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Total Ending Balance of Long-Term Debt
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
NET WORKING CAPITAL
In IDR

NET WORKING CAPITAL CALCULATION

Working Capital
Account Receivables
Inventories
Total Working Capital

Account Payables and Accruals


Account Payables
Accruals
Total Account Payables and Accruals

Net Working Capital


0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL
In IDR

WACC CALCULATION

Weight of Capital
Long-Term Debt
Preferred Stock
Common Stock
Total

WACC Calculation
Cost of Debt (After Tax)
Cost of Preferred Stock
Cost of Common Stock
WACC

COST OF EQUITY CALCULATION

Capital Asset Pricing Model

Levered Beta
Debt to Equity Ratio
Monthly Market Return

Cost of Equity Calculation


Unlevered Beta
Project Debt to Equity Ratio
Levered Beta
Risk-Free Rate
Market Return
Cost of Equity

Dividend Discount Model

Price per Share (ABCD)


Dividend per Share (ABCD)
Sustainable Growth Rate
Cost of Equity
-5 -4

Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan
Strategic Plan

Weight Cost
Calculated
Calculated
Calculated

Calculated
Calculated
Calculated

Calculated
Calculated
Calculated
IBPA 10 Years Government Bond Yield
Calculated
Calculated

Calculated
Calculated
Calculated
Calculated
-3 -2 -1

Weighted Cost
Comm
-5 -4
Common Size
-3 -2 -1
AVG -4
Growth
-3 -2 -1
AVG CAGR
PT XYZ
CAPITAL BUDGETING CASH FLOW
In IDR

FREE CASH FLOW TO THE FIRM

Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT)


Tax of EBIT
Net Operating Profit After Tax

Depreciation & Amortization


Operating Cash Flow

Changes in Current Asset


Changes in Account Payable and Accuals
Net Current Asset Investment
Net Fixed Asset Investment
Free Cash Flow to the Firm

Terminal Cash Flow

Total Cash Flow

FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY

Earnings Available for Common Stockholders


Depreciation & Amortization
Operating Cash Flow

Changes in Current Asset


Changes in Account Payable and Accuals
Net Current Asset Investment
Net Fixed Asset Investment
Changes in Debt and Preferred Stock
Free Cash Flow to Equity

Terminal Cash Flow

Total Cash Flow


0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
CAPITAL BUDGETING ANALYSIS
In IDR

FREE CASH FLOW TO THE FIRM

Cash Flow
Accumulated Cash Flow
Cash Flow (in Billion)

WACC

PV of Cash Flow
Accumulated PV of Cash Flow

Payback Period
Discounted Payback Period
Net Present Value
Profitability Index
IRR

FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY

Cash Flow
Accumulated Cash Flow
Cash Flow (in Billion)

Cost of Equity

PV of Cash Flow
Accumulated PV of Cash Flow

Payback Period
Discounted Payback Period
Net Present Value
Profitability Index
IRR
0 1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
SUSTAINABILITY ANALYSIS

LIQUIDITY RATIOS

Current Ratio
Quick (Acid-Test) Ratio

ACTIVITY RATIOS

Average Age of Inventory


Average Collection Period
Average Payment Period
Total Asset Turnover

DEBT RATIOS

Debt Ratio
Times Interest Earned Ratio

PROFITABILITY RATIOS

Gross Profit Margin


Operating Profit Margin
Net Profit Margin
Return on Assets
Return on Equity
1 2 3
4 5 6 7
8 9 10
PT XYZ
RISK ANALYSIS
In IDR

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Inflation Rate 1
Quantity Sold Realization for Product A 2
Quantity Sold Realization for Product B 3
Price per Unit Realization for Product A 4
Price per Unit Realization for Product B 5
Direct Material for Product A 6
Direct Material for Product B 7
Direct Labor for Product A 8
Direct Labor for Product B 9
Marketable Securities Interest Rate 10
Short-Term Debt Interest Rate 11
Long-Term Debt Interest Rate 12
Preferred Stock Dividend 13

MONTE CARLO SIMULATION

NPV
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813
814
815
816
817
818
819
820
821
822
823
824
825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888
889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896
897
898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921
922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
950
951
952
953
954
955
956
957
958
959
960
961
962
963
964
965
966
967
968
969
970
971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978
979
980
981
982
983
984
985
986
987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994
995
996
997
998
999
1000
Current Assumption +20% Swing -20% Swing Current NPV

Descriptive Statistics
Min
Max
Mean
Standard Deviation
Median
Kurtosis
Skewness
Prob NPV<0
+20% Swing NPV -20% Swing NPV Percentage +20% Swing Percentage -20% Swing
Absolute

You might also like