07 Capital+Budgeting

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Course Name: Principles of Finance

Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

TABLE OF CONTENTS

LEARNING OBJECTIVES.....................................................................................2
ABSTRACT............................................................................................................2
8.1 INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................3
8.2 TERMINOLOGY, PROCESS AND METHOD OF CAPITAL...........................5
8.2.1 Steps in Capital Budgeting.......................................................................................6
8.3 REGULAR PAYBACK PERIOD......................................................................8
8.4 DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD..............................................................11
8.5 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)......................................................................13
8.6 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)...........................................................16
8.7 NPV PROFILES.............................................................................................20
8.8 PROBABILITY INDEX (PI).............................................................................23
ADDITIONAL MATERIALS...................................................................................26

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

LEARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
 Define capital budgeting, explain why it is important, and state how project proposals are
generally classified
 Calculate Regular Payback Period, Discounted Payback Period, Net Present Value
(NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR) and
Profitability Index (PI) for a given project and evaluate each method
 Define NPV profiles and explain the rationale behind the NPV and IRR methods, their
reinvestment rate assumptions, and which method is better when evaluating independent
versus mutually exclusive projects.

ABSTRACT

Capital budgeting is similar in principle to security valuation in such a way that future cash flows
are estimated, risks are appraised and reflected in a cost of capital discount rate, and all cash
flows are evaluated on a present value basis.

This chapter will provide methods which can be used to determine which projects should be
included in a firm's capital budget: (1) Regular Payback, (2) Discounted Payback, (3) Net Present
Value (NPV), (4) Internal Rate of Return (IRR), (5) Modified IRR (MIRR), and Probability Index
(PI).

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.1 INTRODUCTION

In the normal course of business, companies will often have to make long-term investment
decisions. Investment in this context includes undertaking projects and acquiring assets that are
expected to last as well as to generate revenue for a period longer than a year. This type of
investment decision is commonly referred to as capital budgeting decision.

Capital budgeting decision is perhaps the most important decision to be made in a company as it
involves relatively large expenditures of funds and the latter are committed for lengthy periods of
time. Once a capital budgeting decision is made it would also be very difficult and costly for the
company to reverse the decision.

Some of the motives of capital budgeting are shown in the table below.

Figure 1: Capital Expenditure Motives

Note:
 Normally, a more detailed analysis is required for cost-reduction replacements,
expansion, and new product decision than for simple replacement and maintenance
decision.
 Projects requiring larger investments will be analyzed more carefully than smaller
projects.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Below is the scenario in capital budgeting decision-making.

For example, Gammapro Industries, an instant food manufacturer made an RM10 million
investment in a project to produce Bihun. If the project turns out to be a failure or unprofitable, the
company will end up having its capital tied up in non-performing 'Bihun making assets'. This
situation is even made worse when the company has to now forgo other investment opportunities
that might have been more profitable and necessary to maintain its present market share due to
inadequate capital.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.2 TERMINOLOGY, PROCESS AND METHOD OF CAPITAL

Before developing the concepts, tools, and techniques related to the capital budgeting process, it
is useful to understand some of the basic terminology in capital budgeting as shown in the figure
below.

Terminology Descriptions
Generally refers to any long-term investment proposals.
Project

Projects that do not compete with one another; acceptance of one does not
Independent
eliminate others from further consideration.
projects

Mutually
Projects that have the same function and therefore compete; acceptance of one
exclusive
eliminates all others.
projects
A financial situation that allows the firm to accept all independent projects
Unlimited
earning at least the minimum return.
funds

The mostly occur financial situation in which the firm has a limited amount of
Capital funds to invest and, therefore, must allocate funds to projects contributing the
rationing most to maximizing value.

The valuation of projects to determine whether they meet the firm's minimum
Accept-reject
acceptance criteria.
approach

The ordering of projects based upon some predetermined measure such as the
rate of each project. Normally used to:

Ranking
 Choose the best of mutually exclusive projects

 Evaluate and "rank order" projects under capital rationing


Cash flows that are characterized by an initial outflow followed by a series of
inflows.

Conventional
cash flows

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Cash flows that are characterized by an initial outflow followed by a mixed


series of both inflows and outflows.

Non-
conventional
cash flows

Figure 2: Basic Terminology in Capital Budgeting

8.2.1 Steps in Capital Budgeting


The capital budgeting process consists of five distinct but interrelated steps. These steps are:

 Proposal generation
 Review and analysis
 Decision-making
 Implementation
 Follow-up

Proposal Generation
People at all levels in one organization can make proposals for capital investments. Many firms
offer cash rewards to stimulate a flow of idea that could result in a profitable outcome.

Review and Analysis


In this process, major time and effort is needed to review all capital investment proposals. Its
costs are estimated against the appropriateness of the proposal over firm’s overall objectives and
their validity over the economy.

Decision-Making
The process of approving proposals that produce the most benefits to the firm. It also requires
major time and effort as in the review and analysis phase. The higher the cost of the proposal, the
more detailed the formal decision-making analysis should be.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Implementation
The implementation phase begins once a proposal has been approved and the fund is available.
For minor proposals, the implementation is generally routine. For major proposals, however, the
implementation requires great control to ensure the objective is achieved.

Follow-up
Follow-up or post audit is a phase of monitoring the result of the project. The actual outcomes
against the projected outcomes for each funded proposal are being compared. If the outcomes
deviate from the projected outcomes, the project may be improved or terminated. Follow-up is the
most often ignored step. It actually has an equal importance because it is needed for continuous
effectiveness and improvement of cash flows.

There are six primary methods used to determine the viability and feasibility of a project in capital
budgeting. Each method provides unique information in the decision-making process. These
methods are:
1. Regular payback period
2. Discounted payback period
3. Net present value (NPV)
4. Internal rate of return (IRR)
5. Modified internal rate of return (MIRR)
6. Profitability index (PI).

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.3 REGULAR PAYBACK PERIOD


The first method that can be used to evaluate capital budgeting projects is the regular payback
period. This method measures the expected amount of time for a firm to recover its original
investment in a project. Payback period can be calculated as:

Figure 3: Formula to Calculate Payback Period

When payback is used to make accept-reject decision, the general decision criterion is the
shorter the payback period, the better the project. In other words, this method prefers projects
with high liquidity. However, if firm has set its maximum acceptable payback period, the accept-
reject decisions differ.

 ACCEPT project: payback period < maximum payback period.


In case of mutually exclusive projects, accept the project that has the shortest payback
period.

If the projects were independent, accept any project with payback period shorter than
maximum acceptable period.

 REJECT project: payback period > maximum payback period.

Below is the sample calculation on payback period.

Deltacom Corporation Berhad is considering the cash flow of two projects, Project Alpha and
Project Beta, as diagrammed. It is the policy of the company to select project with payback period
less than four years. Calculate the payback periods for these projects.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Figure 4: Cash Flows for Project Alpha and Project Beta

Using equation 8.1, we can calculate the payback period of both projects as follows:

PaybackAlpha = 2 +  1000
                            5000
                    = 2.2 years

PaybackBeta = 3 + 1000
                           8000
                   = 3.125 years

If the projects were mutually exclusive projects, Project Alpha will be selected as it has a lower
payback period.

If the projects were independent, both projects Alpha and Beta would be accepted because the
payback periods are less than the maximum acceptable period.

However, there are several advantages and disadvantages of regular payback period method, as
explained in the graphic below.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Figure 5: Advantages and Disadvantages of Regular Payback Period

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.4 DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD

The second method that can be used to evaluate capital budgeting projects is the discounted
payback period. This method is similar to the regular payback period, except that the project's net
cash flows are discounted by the cost of capital. Discounted payback can be calculated using the
same formula as equation in Figure 3.

The accept-reject decision of discounted payback is similar to regular payback.

Below is the sample calculation on discounted payback period.

Calculate the discounted payback for projects Alpha and Beta given that the cost capital for both
projects is 10%. Assume that the company's policy is to accept project with payback period less
than four years.

Figure 6: Figures to Calculate the Discounted Payback Period

PaybackAlpha = 2 + 2, 232 = 2.59 years


                           3, 757

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

PaybackBeta = 3 + 2, 855 = 3.52 years


                          5, 464

If the projects were mutually exclusive projects, Project Alpha will be selected as it has a lower
discounted payback period.

If the projects were independent, both projects Alpha and Beta would be accepted because the
discounted payback periods are less than the maximum acceptable period, four years.

In this example, both payback methods give the same result i.e. project Alpha is preferred over
project Beta because of its lower payback period. However, it is also important to realize that
these two payback methods can sometimes give two conflicting results.

The advantages and disadvantages of payback periods are explained in the graphic below.

Figure 7: Advantages and Disadvantages of Discounted Payback Period Method

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.5 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)


The third method of evaluating capital budgeting projects is net present value (NPV). NPV
basically measures how much an investment is worth in today's dollar terms after taking into
account the all the cash flows using cost of capital rate.

Figure 8: Formula to Calculate NPV

CFt = expected net cash flow at period t


 CF0 = Initial investment of a project
    k = cost of capital or opportunity cost
    n = life of the project

Below is the accept-reject decision of NPV approach.

 ACCEPT project: NPV > 0 (positive).


If the projects were mutually exclusive, projects with higher NPV would be chosen.
If the projects were independent, accept any project with NPV > 0.
 REJECT project: NPV < 0 (negative)

When NPV is greater than 0, the firm will earn a return greater than its cost of capital (NPV = PV
inflows - Cost = Net gain in wealth). Such action should enhance the market value of the firm and
therefore the wealth of its owners.

Below is the sample calculation on NPV method.

NPV of Constant or Annuity Cash Flows


Consider a capital budgeting project that requires an initial investment of RM24, 000 and will
generate after-tax cash inflows of RM5, 000 per annum for 8 years. For 10 percent cost of capital,
calculate the NPV of the project.

NPV value of the annuity project is:

NPV = CF0 + CFt (PVIFA k,n)


       = -RM24, 000 + RM5, 000( PVIFA10%,8)
       = -RM24,000 + RM5,000(5.3349)
       = RM2, 675

Since the NPV is positive or more than zero, the project should be accepted.
 

NPV of Mixed Cash Flows

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Consider the cash flow of project Alpha and Project Beta as below:

Figure 9: NPV of Project Aplha and Beta

On NPV basis, if both projects were independent, project Alpha and Beta would be accepted
because both have positive NPVs.

But if the projects were mutually exclusive, project Alpha should be chosen because NPV Alpha >
NPVBeta.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

The advantages and disadvantages of NPV approach are shown in the graphic below.

Figure 10: Advantages and Disadvantages of NPV Method

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.6 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN (IRR)


Internal rate of return (IRR) method is a method to evaluate and select capital budgeting projects
based on discount rate that equates the present value of a project's cash flows to the present
value of the project's costs. IRR can be found by using the following formula:

Figure 11: Formula for IRR

The concept of internal rate of return or IRR is exactly the same as finding the yield to maturity
(YTM) on bonds; a bond's YTM is the IRR of the bond you invest in.

In other words, IRR is the discount rate where the net present value (NPV) is equal to zero.

Figure 12: Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

IRR is actually the rate of return that a project earns. Solving for IRR manually involves trial and
error procedure, which is tedious especially in mixed stream cash flows. Below are the suggested
steps to help you solve for IRR:

Step 1:
On a trial and error basis find 2 discount rates, one giving a positive NPV and another one giving
a negative NPV for the project. Note that the closer the positive and negative NPVs to zero, the
more accurate the IRR will be.

Step 2:
Substitute the 2 discount rates and NPVs into the equation below:

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Figure 13: The Second Step in Calculation of IRR

The equation above is the interpolation of IRR as shown below.

Figure 14: Interpolation of IRR

Where,

A: discount rate where NPV is positive


B: discount rate where NPV is negative
a: NPV at discount rate A
b: NPV at discount rate B

The accept-reject criterion of IRR is to compare the IRR to a required rate of return, known as the
hurdle rate.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

 ACCEPT project: IRR > cost of capital, k


If the projects were independent, accept any project with IRR > k.

 REJECT project: IRR < cost of capital, k

Below is the sample calculation of IRR method.

Consider the same problem of Project Alpha and Project Beta.

Figure 15: IRR of Project Alpha

Recall the tips mentioned before:

Step 1:On a trial and error basis we managed to find that at 27% discount rate the NPV is 146.45
and at 28% discount rate the NPV is -30.43.

Step 2:Thus, A =27%, a = 146.45, B =28%, and b = -30.43.


Substitute these values into the equation below:

IRR = A + [ -a (B - A) ]
                  (b - a)
     = 27% + [-146.45(28% - 27%)]
                     (-30.43 - 146.45)

Thus, IRRAlpha = 27.83%

If we use the same procedure to calculate IRR of Project Beta, we get IRRBeta = 26.45%.

Therefore, if project Alpha and Beta were independent, accept both projects.

If both projects are mutually exclusive, accept project Alpha because IRRAlpha > IRRBeta.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

The advantages and disadvantages of IRR method are shown in the table below.

Figure 16: Advantages and Disadvantages of IRR Method

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

8.7 NPV PROFILES

Recall that in net present value (NPV) method the discount rate, k, is specified and the NPV is
found, whereas in the internal rate of return (IRR) method, the NPV is specified to equal to zero,
and the rate of return that forces this equality (the IRR) is calculated. Technically, the NPV and
IRR method can lead to the same acceptance decision in independent projects but can give
conflicting rankings in mutually exclusive acceptance decision.

To solve the problem, projects can be compared and analyzed graphically by plotting the NPV
value against the cost of capital rates through NPV profiles as shown in below.

Figure 17: NPV Profiles

8.8 PROBABILITY INDEX (PI)


The sixth method of project is profitability index. PI method shows the relative profitability of
projects for every present value (PV) of its investment cost. It uses the ratio of two current values
as shown in the equation below.

Figure 21: Equation for Probability Index

Below is the accept-reject decision of PI method.

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

 ACCEPT project: PI > 1.00


 REJECT project:  PI < 1.00

Below is the sample calculation on PI.

Value Project Alpha profitability index with the cash flows shown below. Assume that its capital
cost is 10%. What is your decision on the project?

Figure 22: Probability Index for Project Alpha

PV of cash flow = (RM4, 000X PVIF10%,1) + (RM5, 000X PVIF10%,2) + (RM5, 000X PVIF10%,3) +
                              (RM3, 000X PVIF10%,4) + (RM1, 000X PVIF10%,5)
                          = RM12, 142.

Substitute the value into equation (8.5):

PIAlpha = 12, 142


              10, 000
           = 1.2142

Since the profitability index of project Alpha is more than 1.00, accept the project.

Now, what is Project Beta profitability index if the capital cost is 10%?

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

Figure 23: Probability Index for Project Beta

 
PV = (RM1, 000 X PVIF10%,1) + (RM3, 000 X PVIF10%,2) + (RM5, 000 X PVIF10%,3) + (RM8, 000 X
PVIF10%,4) + (RM4, 000 X PVIF10%,3)

     = RM15, 090

Thus, the PI of Project S is: PIBeta = 15, 090


                                                    10, 000

                                                 = 1.509

Profitability index of Project Beta is also more than 1.00. Project Beta is accepted.

The graphic below shows the advantages and disadvantages of PI method.

Figure 24: Advantages and Disadvantages of PI

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Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 7: Capital Budgeting

ADDITIONAL MATERIALS

Hyperlinks

 Capital Budgeting: Part 1


http://www.teachmefinance.com/capitalbudgeting.html

 Capital Project Accounting Procedures


http://www.finance.upenn.edu/comptroller/accounting/cppd/index.shtml

 Capital Budgeting: The Key Numerical Techniques


http://duncanwil.co.uk/invapp.html

 Introduction to Capital Budgeting


http://www.business.umt.edu/faculty/manuel/Finance%20322/Handouts%5CCh
%209%20notes.doc

 Interactive Tutorials on Corporate Governance


http://www-ec.njit.edu/%7Emathis/interactive/

 Advanced Topics in Capital Budgeting


http://www.exinfm.com/training/6301l6.rtf

QUESTIONS
Refer to the EQ.

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