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Title: International Arrivals and GDP per Capital

Name: Sen Sonita

Group: G

Lecture name: Mong Mara

CamEd Business School

Submit date: 08/Nov/2019

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Abstract:

The main purpose of this assignment project is we want to convince and explain peoples

to understand about the data that related to amount of international tourist. We can see that many

international tourists around 1999 to 2018 has related to the amount of income (GDP per capital)

in that years. As we can see that the number of tourist increase in 2018, so we see that the GDP

per capital also increase too. Therefore, this research paper will describe about the relationship

between number of tourist and income in GDP per capital by the data that we have to determine

the result and present the consequently output in the way of regression statistics, ANOVA, and

Scatter Plot. Therefore, we can see that there is correlation between two variables and it could be

a strong positive linear relationship.

Introduction:

The most of tourist are always want to visit in many different counties all over the world

because they want to get new experiences and especially they want to know about new culture,

so those tourism will interest to go to the country where have lots of amazing places to visit and

also with a beautiful landscape. If we back to see our own country is Cambodia, as we know that

Cambodia is a developing country and has many awesome places to visit with a beautiful

cultural. These the reason why attract many tourism's heart to visit in our country. Moreover,

Cambodia is the country that reach of the historical that relate to the country management of the

king in duration of the ancient time. For the tourism they want to visit Cambodia because to want

to study about how our history happened, learn about our culture and visit some of the exciting

places such as Angkor Wat and our pretty sand beach. So we decide to transform this to become

the data of the amount of international tourist arrivals and GDP per capital (current US$) from

the tourism statistics report.

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Methods:

The data that we use for this project is obtained from the tourism statistics report, but in

these dates we decide to choose 20 simple size from 1999 until 2018. In order to observe the

relationship between the two variables and we use t test for the correlation coefficient to test the

significant of two variables. Furthermore, we find the independent and dependent, we know that

“the number of international tourist” as an independent variable X and “GDP per capital (current

US$)” as a dependent variable Y. In addition, we use 95% confident interval to test the

significance of the correlation coefficient to determine whether a linear relationship between

variables exists.

Results:

In this date that we have from the tourism statistics report is to help us know about the

correlation coefficient “r” by using excel to found the result. As we know that the relationship

between the variables is positive or negative and whether it is strong or not there is depend on the

value of “r”. Therefore, after we already find out the result we see that the correlation coefficient

r (18) = 0.993 and this result show that it is close to 1 which means that there is a strong positive

linear relation between the number of international tourist and the number of GDP per capital.

Moreover, the coefficient of determination, r^2 = 0.987 and there are also show of the adjusted R

square is 0.986 and the standard estimate of error is 45.09. In this case, we already determined

the variables from the data tables which is also found the intercept and slope from the regression

in order to draw the scatterplot. For the intercept that we found out from the regression is 216.87

and the other variable is slope which is 0.0002. Therefore, after we already had of these value,

now we can determine the regression line which is y’ = 216.87 + 0.0002x.

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Last but not least, after we already found out all of the thing, we can see that there is

correlation coefficient between the number of international tourist and GDP per capital, because

of the result that p-value = 0.000 which is less than alpha(a) = 0.05, so the test value falls into

rejection region. Therefore, the decision is to reject the null hypothesis H0.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.993511883
R Square 0.987065861
Adjusted R Square 0.986347298
Standard Error 45.09239364
Observations 20

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 2793107.742 2793108 1373.666 1.89E-18
Residual 18 36599.83135 2033.324
Total 19 2829707.574

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 216.8665062 17.80361133 12.18104 3.96E-10 179.4625068 254.270506 179.4625068 254.2705057
International
Tourist
arrivals 0.000206454 5.57035E-06 37.063 1.89E-18 0.000194751 0.00021816 0.000194751 0.000218157

To make sure the relationship between two variables is correlation coefficient, so we had

to draw the scatterplot from the excel that we determine the number of international tourist as the

independent variable (x) and the number of GDP per capital as the dependent variable (y). Based

on the summary output of the regression, we see that the number of multiple R is 0.993 which

mean that the relationship between the tourist and GDP per capital is strong positive linear

relationship between the variable and the value of r will be close to 1.

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Discussion

Based on the research that we have done it, now we can see the result show that it has a

correlation coefficient between the international tourist and the GDP per capital which means

that this two variable is relationship on each other, it seems like the number of GDP per capital

depend on the number of international tourist. Furthermore, I expect that the relationship

between two variables is week positive, but we are wrong expectation on it because after we

found out the result which help us to prediction on it that the relationship between international

tourist and GDP per capital is strong position correlation. These consequences will introduce that

the more tourist arrival, the more income you will get and if the number of tourist is a little bit,

the income will be decrease.

Conclusion:
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For all of the observation above, the result that the data contain is to conclude about the

significant between the number of international tourist and the GDP per capital and it also obtain

that it is a strong position correlation. In addition, we can also say that the number of GDP per

capital low or high is depend on the number of tourist arrivals. Therefore, we can say that the

GDP per capital is related to the tourist in every year from the 1999 to 2018.

Reference:

Appendices

International GDP per

Year Tourist capita
arrivals (current US$)
1999 367,743 295.90
2000 466,365 302.58
2001 604,919 321.15
2002 786,524 338.99
2003 701,014 362.34
2004 1,055,202 408.51
2005 1,421,615 474.11
2006 1,700,041 539.75
2007 2,015,128 631.52
2008 2,125,465 745.61
2009 2,161,577 738.05
2010 2,508,289 785.50
2011 2,881,862 882.28
2012 3,584,307 950.88
2013 4,210,165 1013.42
2014 4,502,775 1093.50
2015 4,775,231 1162.90
2016 5,011,712 1269.59
2017 5,602,157 1385.26
2018 6,201,077 1512.13