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  • Moving Average Centered Moving Average: A B C A B Robert's Drugs Robert's Drugs Week (T) Sales Forec Week (T) Sales

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    Marc Anthony Max Magbalon
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    This document compares different forecasting methods including simple moving averages, centered moving averages, weighted moving averages, and exponential smoothing. It provides sales data for a company called Robert's Drugs over 10 weeks and calculates forecasts for each subsequent week using the different methods. It also calculates the mean squared error for each method to evaluate forecast accuracy.

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    FinMan Computation

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    This document compares different forecasting methods including simple moving averages, centered moving averages, weighted moving averages, and exponential smoothing. It provides sales data for a company called Robert's Drugs over 10 weeks and calculates forecasts for each subsequent week using the different methods. It also calculates the mean squared error for each method to evaluate forecast accuracy.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    45 views3 pages

    Moving Average Centered Moving Average: A B C A B Robert's Drugs Robert's Drugs Week (T) Sales Forec Week (T) Sales

    Uploaded by

    Marc Anthony Max Magbalon
    This document compares different forecasting methods including simple moving averages, centered moving averages, weighted moving averages, and exponential smoothing. It provides sales data for a company called Robert's Drugs over 10 weeks and calculates forecasts for each subsequent week using the different methods. It also calculates the mean squared error for each method to evaluate forecast accuracy.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as xlsx, pdf, or txt
    of 3

    Moving Average Centered Moving Average

    A B C A B
    Robert's Drugs Robert's Drugs

    Week (t) Salest Forect+1 Week (t) Salest


    1 110 1 110
    2 115 2 115
    3 125 116.7 3 125
    4 120 120.0 4 120
    5 125 123.3 5 125
    6 120 121.7 6 120
    7 130 125.0 7 130
    8 115 121.7 8 115
    9 110 118.3 9 110
    10 130 118.3 10 130

    Exponential Smoothing Mean Squared Error


    Alpha = 10%
    A B C
    Robert's Drugs
    (Actual Sales
    - Forecasted
    Week (t) Salest Forect+1 Sales) (AS-FS)^2
    1 110 110 0 0
    2 115 110 5 25
    3 125 110.5 14.5 210.25
    4 120 112.0 8.05 64.8025
    5 125 112.8 12.245 149.94003
    6 120 114.0 6.0205 36.24642
    7 130 114.6 15.41845 237.7286
    8 115 116.1 -1.123395 1.2620163
    9 110 116.0 -6.011056 36.132788
    10 130 115.4 14.59005 212.86956
    974.23191
    Divided by: 9
    MSE 108.24799
    ving Average Weighted Moving Average

    C A B C
    Robert's Drugs
    1st week 20%
    Forect+1 Week (t) Salest Forect+1 2nd week 30%
    1 110 3rd week 50%
    116.6667 2 115
    120 3 125 119
    123.3333 4 120 120.5
    121.6667 5 125 123.5
    125 6 120 121.5
    121.6667 7 130 126
    118.3333 8 115 120.5
    118.3333 9 110 115.5
    120 10 130 121

    Exponential Smoothing Mean Squared Error


    Alpha = 80%
    A B C
    Robert's Drugs
    (Actual Sales
    - Forecasted
    Week (t) Salest Forect+1 Sales) (AS-FS)^2
    1 110 110 0 0
    2 115 110 5 25
    3 125 114.0 11 121
    4 120 122.8 -2.8 7.84
    5 125 120.6 4.44 19.7136
    6 120 124.1 -4.112 16.908544
    7 130 120.8 9.1776 84.2283418
    8 115 128.2 -13.16448 173.303534
    9 110 117.6 -7.632896 58.2611013
    10 130 111.5 18.473421 341.267276
    847.522397
    Divided by: 9
    MSE 94.1691552
    110
    114
    122.8
    120.56
    124.112
    120.8224
    128.1645
    117.6329
    111.5266

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