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Vavoline Presentation
Vavoline Presentation
New York
September 2017
Forward-Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, contained in the presentation, including statements regarding our industry, position, goals, strategy, future
operations, future financial position, future revenues, estimated costs, prospects, margins, profitability, capital expenditures, liquidity, capital resources, dividends, plans and objectives of
management are forward-looking statements. Valvoline has identified some of these forward-looking statements with words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “is
likely,” “predicts,” “projects,” “forecasts,” “may,” “will,” “should” and “intends” and the negative of these words or other comparable terminology. In addition, Valvoline™ may, from time to
time, make forward-looking statements in its annual report, quarterly reports and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), news releases and other written and
oral communications. These forward-looking statements are based on Valvoline’s current expectations and assumptions regarding, as of the date such statements are made, Valvoline’s
future financial condition and operating performance, strategic and competitive advantages, leadership and future opportunities, as well as the economy and other future events or
circumstances. Valvoline’s expectations and assumptions include, without limitation, internal forecasts and analyses of current and future market conditions and trends, management
plans and strategies, operating efficiencies and economic conditions (such as prices, supply and demand, cost of raw materials, and the ability to recover raw-material cost increases
through price increases), and risks and uncertainties associated with the following: demand for Valvoline’s products and services; sales growth in emerging markets; the prices and
margins of Valvoline’s products and services; the strength of Valvoline’s reputation and brand; Valvoline’s ability to develop and successfully market new products and implement its
digital platforms; Valvoline’s ability to retain its largest customers; potential product liability claims; achievement of the expected benefits of Valvoline’s separation from Ashland (the
“Separation”); Valvoline’s substantial indebtedness (including the possibility that such indebtedness and related restrictive covenants may adversely affect Valvoline’s future cash flows,
results of operations, financial condition and Valvoline’s ability to repay debt) and other liabilities; operating as a stand-alone public company; Valvoline’s relationship with Ashland;
failure, caused by Valvoline, of the Stock Distribution to Ashland shareholders to qualify for tax-free treatment, which may result in significant tax liabilities to Ashland for which Valvoline
may be required to indemnify Ashland; and the impact of acquisitions and/or divestitures Valvoline has made or may make (including the possibility that Valvoline may not realize the
anticipated benefits from such transactions or difficulties with integration). These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
assumptions, including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties affecting Valvoline that are described in Item 1A Risk Factors in Valvoline’s quarterly report for the quarter ended June
30, 2017 and in its most recent Form 10-K (including in Item 1A Risk Factors and “Use of estimates, risks and uncertainties” in Note 2 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements)
filed with the SEC, which is available on Valvoline’s website at http://investors.valvoline.com/sec-filings. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking events
and circumstances discussed in this presentation may not occur, and actual results could differ materially and adversely from those anticipated or implied in the forward-looking
statements.
You should not rely upon forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Although Valvoline believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are
reasonable, Valvoline cannot guarantee future results, level of activity, performance or achievements. In addition, neither Valvoline nor any other person assumes responsibility for the
accuracy and completeness of any of these forward-looking statements. In light of the significant uncertainties in these forward-looking statements, you should not regard these
statements as a representation or warranty by Valvoline or any other person that Valvoline will achieve its objectives and plans in any specified time frame, or at all. These forward-
looking statements are as of the date of this presentation. Except as required by law, Valvoline assumes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements for any
reason, even if new information becomes available in the future.
All forward-looking statements attributable to Valvoline are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements as well as others made in this presentation and hereafter in
Valvoline’s other SEC filings and public communications. You should evaluate all forward-looking statements made by Valvoline in the context of these risks and uncertainties.
2
Today’s Presenters
Industry
Name Title Selected Experience
Experience
• Joined Ashland in 1997 as Director of Marketing for Valvoline’s
brand management group; became President of Valvoline in
2002
Chief
• Held brand and category management leadership positions at
Sam Mitchell Executive 20 The Clorox Company
Officer
• M.B.A. from the University of Chicago; B.S. from Miami
University, Oxford, Ohio; Graduate of the Harvard Business
School’s Advanced Management Program
3
Our Mission Statement
ALUES
We are building the world’s
leading engine and automotive
OW
maintenance business by bringing
“Hands on Expertise” for the
benefit of customers every day.
ISION
4
A Proven Track Record of Earnings Growth
Mix shift towards premium products: ~45% in 2016 from ~31% in 2011(1)
2017 Fiscal Q3 YTD
System-wide SSS
10 consecutive years of system-wide SSS growth in VIOC stores(2)
6.9%
Consistent volume and profit growth in international markets
Core North
Quick Lubes International
America
Commercial Commercial
Do-It-Yourself Do-It-For-Me
and Industrial VIOC Express Care and Industrial JVs OEMs
(DIY) (DIFM)
(C&I) (C&I)
____________________
Note: Sum of segment level EBITDA does not include any Unallocated and Other income or expenses.
1. EBITDA is a non-GAAP metric. For a reconciliation of EBITDA to Operating Income for each segment, see the Appendix to this presentation.
6 2. EBITDA Margin = EBITDA / Sales.
Leveraging Capabilities Across Segments
7
Quick Lubes Growth Opportunities
Quick Lube Market
~450MM(1)
Total U.S. DIFM Oil Changes
~100MM(1)
Oil Changes in quick
lubes market
~16MM(2)
VVV Oil
Changes
____________________
1. Company estimates based on industry data for total DIFM or quick lubes oil changes in 2015 in North America.
9 2. Valvoline Quick Lube segment oil changes estimated for fiscal 2017.
Quick Lubes: Overview
10
Quick Lubes Overview: New Unit Economics
Product Sales
VIOC Mid-
N/A 35-55 ~1,300(1)
Company Teens
VIOC
15 30-50 130-160 30%+
Franchising
Services
2x
Income Product Sales
x
Royalties Express 5-10 20-25 25-50 30%+
Care
Company Franchise Express Care
Operating Royalties Product
____________________
11 1. Assumes land is leased.
Quick Lubes Overview: Double-digit EBITDA Growth
60
26.0%
35
24.0%
10
Quick Lubes
Growth Strategy
12
Proven VIOC Business Model
Proprietary Tools
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
System-Wide Average Sales per Store (000’s), fiscal year basis
13
Driving Sustainable Same-Store Sales Growth
5 MIN
New Builds
– Existing Markets
Core markets underpenetrated
– New Markets under development
Acquisitions
– Targeting high quality regional operators
10 – 30+ stores
– Engaging local operators within VIOC markets
5 – 10 store systems
– Opportunistic single store units
15 Royalties
Accelerating Franchise Store Growth
● Predictive analytics for real estate modeling ● Acquisition lead generation via dedicated resources
● 50/50 Approach: high analytics + local market intel ● Bank financing guarantee program
● Eight agreements signed, 160+ stores over next six years ● Store growth bonus incentives
● Multiple new agreements under negotiation ● Evaluating new franchisee additions for smaller markets
Company-Owned
Franchised
____________________
16 1. Includes 383 company-owned stores and 730 franchised locations as of fiscal 2017 quarter ended 6/30. Does not include Express Care operators.
Proven Success in Strategic Acquisitions
17
VIOC Store Growth Targets
2023(1) 2023
____________________
18 1. Total store additions by 2023 assuming annual growth based on 2018 growth target ranges.
Successful Execution of Our Strategy Drives Strong EBITDA Growth
Our Strategy Has the Potential to Deliver ~$110 million of Incremental EBITDA in 2023, a
~75% Increase Over FY2017 LTMQ3 EBITDA.
Acquisitions Expected to Add Additional EBITDA.
____________________
1. This is the expected incremental annual EBITDA at year 2023, and assumes full execution of the company-owned store additions and the completion of current and anticipated
development agreements. Assumes 5% growth on the base business and 85 new VIOC company, VIOC franchise and Express Care stores. EBITDA contribution is the expected
19 incremental EBITDA contributed from each strategic imperative, using FY17 LTM3Q Quick Lubes EBITDA as the base.
Bright Future for Valvoline!
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Appendix
Historical EBITDA and Adj. EBITDA Reconciliation
($ in Millions) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017
Net income $110 $114 $246 $173 $196 $273 $208 $199 $264
EBITDA $200 $207 $416 $301 $335 $468 $341 $371 $498
Adjustments
Separation costs -- -- -- -- -- 6 -- 27 33
Restructuring -- -- -- 6 -- -- -- -- --
Adjusted EBITDA $252 $275 $342 $368 $421 $457 $347 $388 $498
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Historical EBITDA Reconciliation – Segments
Quick Lubes
Sales $457 $332 $394 $519
Operating Income 117 84 94 127
Depreciation and amortization 17 12 16 21
EBITDA $134 $96 $110 $148
International
Sales $493 $363 $395 $525
Operating Income 74 53 56 77
Depreciation and amortization 5 5 4 4
EBITDA $79 $58 $60 $81
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Historical EBITDA Reconciliation – Quick Lubes Segment
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