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Coin Tossing: Teacher-Led Lesson Plan
Coin Tossing: Teacher-Led Lesson Plan
Link: http://nlvm.usu.edu/en/nav/frames_asid_305_g_3_t_5.html
Required Materials: Pre-Assessment/Answer Key, Teacher-Led Handout, Teacher-Led Handout Answer Key,
Post-Assessment/Answer Key, calculators, pencils
Before Starting: sign out the data projector and ensure you have an internet connection in the classroom;
students should be familiar with probabilities
a) What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? (3 marks)
c) How many tails should have been flipped, based on the theoretical probability? (2 marks)
2. Brian just purchased a lottery ticket. The odds of him winning are 1 out of 1,310.
a) What is the probability of Brian winning the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
b) What is the probability of Brian losing the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (2 marks)
a) What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? (3 marks)
In one flip, the chance of flipping a head is equal to that of flipping a tail. So, in one flip,
there is the chance of two outcomes:
1/2 = 1 ÷ 2 9
= 0.500 9
8/10 = 8 ÷ 10 9
= 0.80 9
c) How many tails should have been flipped, based on the theoretical probability? (2 marks)
50% x 10 flips
= 0.50 x 10 flips 9
= 5 flips 9
2. Brian just purchased a lottery ticket. The odds of him winning are 1 out of 1,310.
a) What is the probability of Brian winning the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
1/1310 = 1 ÷ 1310 9
= 0.00076 9
b) What is the probability of Brian losing the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (2 marks)
Instructions: Please follow through this handout as your teacher goes through the learning object titled “Coin
Tossing.”
• As a class, your task is to compute the experimental and theoretical probabilities of flipping heads or tails in a
virtual coin toss experiment.
EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
• Please fill in the following table as you perform several coin tossing experiments as a class. Make sure to record
your predictions before each trial of coin tosses! (8 marks)
20
50
100
• For the last column in the table above, choose a number of coin tosses that is between 100 and 1000 and enter it
into the learning object. Record your results in the table above. (2 marks)
• Record the experimental probabilities for heads in each trial from the results on the projector screen (beside
“Percentage of Heads”) in the table below. Use the experimental probabilities for heads to find those for tails. (10
marks)
10
20
50
100
QUESTIONS
• What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? Express your answer as a percentage. (3
marks)
• What do you notice about the experimental probabilities as you increase the number of coin tosses? (1 mark)
• How do you think the probabilities would change if a coin had three sides (heads/tails/toes)? (1 mark)
PART 2: Applications
• Coby Bryant can sink 80% of his free throws. As a class, you will compute the experimental
probability of Coby sinking a free throw shot in a basketball game.
EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
• Please fill in the following table as you perform several “free throw” experiments as a class. Make sure to record
your predictions before each trial of free throws! (6 marks)
20
40
• For the last column in the table above, choose a number of free throws that is between 40 and 100 and enter it
into the learning object. Record your results in the table above. (2 marks)
• Record the experimental probabilities for baskets (i.e. heads on the screen) in each trial from the results on the
projector screen (beside “Percentage of Heads”) in the table below. Use the experimental probabilities for sunken
baskets to find those for missed baskets. (8 marks)
10
20
40
QUESTIONS
• What is the theoretical probability of Coby missing the basket? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
• What do you notice about the experimental probabilities as you increase the number of free throws? (1 mark)
• List some variables that could affect Coby’s free-throwing capabilities. (3 marks)
• Why do you think the experimental probabilities usually differ from the theoretical probabilities? (2 marks)
Instructions: Please follow through this handout as your teacher goes through the learning object titled “Coin
Tossing.”
• As a class, your task is to compute the experimental and theoretical probabilities of flipping heads or tails in a
virtual coin toss experiment.
EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
• Please fill in the following table as you perform several coin tossing experiments as a class. Make sure to record
your predictions before each trial of coin tosses! (8 marks) – sample answer
20 14 6 9 11
50 20 30 17 33
100 50 50 52 48
• For the last column in the table above, choose a number of coin tosses that is between 100 and 1000 and enter it
into the learning object. Record your results in the table above. (2 marks)
• Record the experimental probabilities for heads in each trial from the results on the projector screen (beside
“Percentage of Heads”) in the table below. Use the experimental probabilities for heads to find those for tails. (10
marks)
10 80% 20%
20 45% 55%
50 34% 66%
QUESTIONS
• What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? Express your answer as a percentage. (3
marks)
• What do you notice about the experimental probabilities as you increase the number of coin tosses? (1 mark)
As the number of coin tosses increases, the experimental probabilities get closer to the theoretical
probabilities.
• How do you think the probabilities would change if a coin had three sides (heads/tails/toes)? (1 mark)
The probabilities would decrease for heads and tails and each would be 33.3% (100% ÷ 3 = 33.3%)
PART 2: Applications
• Coby Bryant can sink 80% of his free throws. As a class, you will compute the experimental
probability of Coby sinking a free throw shot in a basketball game.
EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
• Please fill in the following table as you perform several “free throw” experiments as a class. Make sure to record
your predictions before each trial of free throws! (6 marks) – sample answers
10 8 2 10 0
20 18 2 15 5
40 30 10 32 8
100 80 20 83 17
• For the last column in the table above, choose a number of free throws that is between 40 and 100 and enter it
into the learning object. Record your results in the table above. (2 marks)
• Record the experimental probabilities for baskets (i.e. heads on the screen) in each trial from the results on the
projector screen (beside “Percentage of Heads”) in the table below. Use the experimental probabilities for sunken
baskets to find those for missed baskets. (8 marks)
10 100% 0%
20 75% 25%
40 80% 20%
QUESTIONS
• What is the theoretical probability of Coby missing the basket? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
• What do you notice about the experimental probabilities as you increase the number of free throws? (1 mark)
As the number of free throws increases, the experimental probabilities get closer to the theoretical
probabilities.
• List some variables that could affect Coby’s free-throwing capabilities. (3 marks)
• Why do you think the experimental probabilities usually differ from the theoretical probabilities? (2 marks)
The theoretical probability is only the likelihood that a certain event will occur (i.e. It represents what should
happen, but not necessarily what DOES happen).
a) What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? (3 marks)
c) How many tails should have been flipped, based on the theoretical probability? (2 marks)
2. Brian just purchased a lottery ticket. The odds of him winning are 1 out of 235.
a) What is the probability of Brian winning the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
b) What is the probability of Brian losing the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (2 marks)
a) What is the theoretical probability of flipping tails in a single coin toss? (3 marks)
In one flip, the chance of flipping a head is equal to that of flipping a tail. So, in one flip,
there is the chance of two outcomes:
1/2 = 1 ÷ 2 9
= 0.500 9
7/20 = 7 ÷ 20 9
= 0.35 9
c) How many tails should have been flipped, based on the theoretical probability? (2 marks)
50% x 10 flips
= 0.50 x 20 flips 9
= 10 flips 9
2. Brian just purchased a lottery ticket. The odds of him winning are 1 out of 235.
a) What is the probability of Brian winning the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (3 marks)
1/235 = 1 ÷ 235 9
= 0.0043 9
b) What is the probability of Brian losing the lottery? Express your answer as a percentage. (2 marks)