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'Diamond Chemicals PLC (A) ' Exhibit 2
'Diamond Chemicals PLC (A) ' Exhibit 2
'Diamond Chemicals PLC (A) ' Exhibit 2
Assumptions
Annual Output (metric tons) 250,000 Discount rate 10.0% PRODUCT CANNIBALIZATION
Output Gain/Original Output 7.0% Depreciable Life (years) 15
Price/ton (pounds sterling) 541 Overhead/Investment 3.5%
Inflation Rate (prices and costs) 0.0% Salvage Value 0
Gross Margin (ex. Deprec.) 12.50% WIP Inventory/Cost of Goods 3.0%
Old Gross Margin 11.5% Months Downtime, Construction 1.5
Tax Rate 30.0% After-tax Scrap Proceeds 0
Investment Outlay (mill.) 9.00 Preliminary Engineering Costs 0.5
Energy Savings/Sales Yr. 1-5 1.25%
Yr. 6-10 0.8% 144.7175
Yr. 11-15 0.0%
33437.5
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Year Now 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1. Estimate of Incremental Gross Profit
New Output (tons) 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500 267,500
Lost Output--Construction (33,437.5)
New Sales (Millions) 126.63 149.06 153.53 158.14 162.88 167.77 172.80 177.98 183.32 188.82 194.49 200.32 206.33 212.52 218.90
New Gross Margin 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5%
New Gross Profit 17.41 20.50 21.11 21.74 22.40 22.23 22.90 23.58 24.29 25.02 24.31 25.04 25.79 26.57 27.36
Old Output 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000 250,000
Old Sales 135.25 139.31 143.49 147.79 152.23 156.79 161.50 166.34 171.33 176.47 181.76 187.22 192.83 198.62 204.58
Old Gross Profit at 11.5% 15.55 16.02 16.50 17.00 17.51 18.03 18.57 19.13 19.70 20.29 20.90 21.53 22.18 22.84 23.53
Incremental Gross Profit 1.86 4.48 4.61 4.75 4.89 4.20 4.32 4.45 4.59 4.72 3.41 3.51 3.62 3.72 3.84
CANNIBALIZATION OF ROTTERDAM OUTPUT
LOST OUTPUT 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00 17500.00
VALUE OF OUTPUT 9.47 9.75 10.04 10.35 10.66 10.98 11.30 11.64 11.99 12.35 12.72 13.11 13.50 13.90 14.32
GROSS MARGIN OF OUTPUT 1.09 1.12 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.30 1.34 1.38 1.42 1.46 1.51 1.55 1.60 1.65
INCREMENTAL GROSSS PROF 0.77 3.35 3.45 3.56 3.66 2.94 3.02 3.11 3.21 3.30 1.94 2.00 2.06 2.13 2.19
7. After-tax Profit (0.30) 1.62 1.79 1.66 1.87 1.64 1.76 1.87 1.98 2.08 1.06 1.10 1.14 1.19 1.23
8. Cash Flow Adjustments
Less Capital Expend (9.00)
Add back Depreciation 1.20 1.04 0.90 0.78 0.68 0.59 0.51 0.44 0.38 0.33 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43
TANK CARS 0.40 0.32
Less Added WIP inventory 0.31 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.03 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01 -0.01
SAVINGS IN NWC AT ROTTERDAM 0.25 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
After-tax Scrap Proceeds 0.00
8. Free Cash Flow (9.00) 1.46 2.19 2.69 2.85 2.87 2.21 2.27 2.32 2.36 2.42 1.45 1.53 1.58 1.62 1.66
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
SALES 126.63 149.06 153.53 158.14 162.88 167.77 172.80 177.98 183.32 188.82 194.49 200.32 206.33 212.52 218.90
GROSS PROFIT 17.41 20.50 21.11 21.74 22.40 22.23 22.90 23.58 24.29 25.02 24.31 25.04 25.79 26.57 27.36
COST OF GOOD SOLD 109.22 128.56 132.42 136.39 140.48 145.54 149.90 154.40 159.03 163.80 170.18 175.28 180.54 185.96 191.54
WORKING CAPITAL 3% OF COGS 3.28 3.86 3.97 4.09 4.21 4.37 4.50 4.63 4.77 4.91 5.11 5.26 5.42 5.58 5.75
CURRENT SALES 135.25 139.31 143.49 147.79 152.23 156.79 161.50 166.34 171.33 176.47 181.76 187.22 192.83 198.62 204.58
CURRENT GROSS PROFIT 15.55 16.02 16.50 17.00 17.51 18.03 18.57 19.13 19.70 20.29 20.90 21.53 22.18 22.84 23.53
CURRENT COGS 119.70 123.29 126.99 130.80 134.72 138.76 142.92 147.21 151.63 156.18 160.86 165.69 170.66 175.78 181.05
WORKING CAPITAL NOW 3% OF COGS 3.59 3.70 3.81 3.92 4.04 4.16 4.29 4.42 4.55 4.69 4.83 4.97 5.12 5.27 5.43
ADDITIONAL WORKING CAPITAL 0.31 (0.16) (0.16) (0.17) (0.17) (0.20) (0.21) (0.22) (0.22) (0.23) (0.28) (0.29) (0.30) (0.31) (0.31)
INCREMENTAL NWC 0.31 (0.47) (0.00) (0.00) (0.01) (0.03) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.05) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01)
ROTTERDAM LOST SALES 9.47 9.75 10.04 10.35 10.66 10.98 11.30 11.64 11.99 12.35 12.72 13.11 13.50 13.90 14.32
ROTTERDAM LOST PROFIT 1.09 1.12 1.16 1.19 1.23 1.26 1.30 1.34 1.38 1.42 1.46 1.51 1.55 1.60 1.65
ROTTARDAM COGS SAVINGS 8.38 8.63 8.89 9.16 9.43 9.71 10.00 10.30 10.61 10.93 11.26 11.60 11.95 12.30 12.67
WORKING CAPITAL SAVINGS AT 3% 0.25 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.28 0.29 0.30 0.31 0.32 0.33 0.34 0.35 0.36 0.37 0.38
INCREMENTAL NWC SAVING 0.25 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01