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Advanced Issues on

Economy and Finance

MOMO
Economy & Finance

• An economy is an area of the production, distribution and


trade, as well as consumption of goods and services by
different agents.
• Finance is the process of channeling money from savers and
investors to entities that need it for production and
consumption of goods and services.

• Economy need to be Financed.


• They are often entangled together both in real life and in
debates.
The basics 1 – the 3 markets

• Goods and services market


• Production and consumption


• Labor market

• Employment

• Financial market

• Loan and investment


The basics 1 – the 3 markets

• Goods and services market —— negative feedback


• Production and consumption


• Labor market —— negative feedback


• Employment

• Financial market —— positive feedback/“self-fulfilling


prophecy”

• Loan and investment


The basics 2 – the 3 banks

• Commercial bank

• deposits and loans


• Investment bank

• stock and bond


• Central Bank

• Interest rate & printing money


Labor
Market

Financial
Market

Monetary
Goods & Policy
Service
Market
The basics 3 – The 2 cycles

• Short-term economic cycle (Expansion & Recession)



Borrowing → Spending → Income → Productivity → Borrowing →→→ Inflation →
• Interest rate↑/reserve ratio↑ → Borrowing → Spending → Income →→→ Deflation

• Interest rate↓/reserve ratio↓ → Borrowing ……

• Long-term economic cycle (Boom & Deleveraging)



Borrowing → Income → Assert value → More borrowing → Accumulation of debt
(bubble) →
• Spending → Income → Borrowing →→→ Depression
Issue 1 - Deleveraging

• Preemptive measures

• Reactive measures
What causes bubble?


Risky financial activities :


Disfunction of regulations on investment banking

Shadow banking

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis


Reforms & Regulations:


Glass–Steagall Act: Separation of commercial and investment bank

Dodd–Frank Act: Consumer Financial Protection Bureau & other regulation
on investment

Narrow banking

Too big to fail/too big to exist act
How to revive the economy

• Austerity

• Default or restructure of debt


• Progressive taxation

• Buying of national debt/Quantitative easing


Other issues during deleveraging

• Unemployment

• Labor protection

• Inequality
Issue 2 – Corporate finance

• Capital structure

• Bond
• Equity

• Cash flow and risk management


• Insurance & Credit rating agencies


Issue 2 – Corporate finance

• Venture capital

• Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)


• As an aspect of strategic management, M&A can allow


enterprises to grow or downsize, and change the nature of
their business or competitive position. (e.g. reduce cost,
expand scale, increase competitiveness etc.)
Issue 2 – Corporate finance

• Venture capital


Venture capital (VC) is a form of private equity financing that is provided by
venture capital firms or funds to startups, early-stage, and emerging companies
that have been deemed to have high growth potential or which have
demonstrated high growth. The start-ups are usually based on an innovative
technology or business model and they are usually from the high technology
industries, such as information technology (IT), clean technology or
biotechnology. (e.g. Uber, Airbnb, Xiaomi & Didi etc.)

• Criticism

• Shadow monopoly

Risk

Huge waste of resource
Issue 2 – Corporate finance

• Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A)


• As an aspect of strategic management, M&A can allow


enterprises to grow or downsize, and change the nature of
their business or competitive position. (e.g. reduce cost,
expand scale, increase competitiveness etc.)

• Criticism

• Monopolization
Issue 3 – Public finance

• Fiscal policy

• Industrial policy

• Commercial policy

• Key Stakeholders
Fiscal policy


Types


Neutral fiscal policy: spending ≈ revenue

Expansionary fiscal policy: spending > revenue

Contractionary fiscal policy: spending < revenue


Funding


Taxation

Seigniorage

Issuing national bond

Fiscal reserves

Governmental assets
Fiscal policy

• Measure

• Taxation
• Transfer payment (e.g. welfare programs, voucher etc.)
• Infrastructure programs

• Effect

• Economic stability
• Employment
• Social justice
Fiscal policy


Welfare trap


2 case studies:


Argentina


2018 Monetary crisis

Caused by high public employment, doubled subsidy etc. during the presidency
of Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (CFK)


Greek government-debt crisis


2009 election year
Industrial policy

• Focuses:

• Improving competitiveness
• Structural transformation

• Case studies:

• Successful: China/The Asian Tigers


• Failure: Import-substitution-industrialization (ISI) in Latin
America/Sub-Sahara Africa
Commercial policy/trade policy


Types:


WTO

Protectionism

Regional Trade Agreements (e.g. the Bangkok agreement)

Bilateral Free Trade Agreements

Preferential Trade Agreements (e.g. NAFTA)


Tools:


Tariff

Import Quotas


Clash: Protection/Win-win/Responsibility
Key stakeholders

• Government

• Politicians or technocrats

• Companies

• People

• Employment
• Spending
Important aspects to note

• Politics, media and public perception


• Political philosophy and moral philosophy


• Impact on individual life

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