Cristian Camilo Barrantes Bernal Grupo 203

Luis David Caicedo Mahecha

Snattan Andrey Espitia Velásquez

1.

a) 1 - 0.00004 = 0.99996

b) 0.00004 + 0.0007 = 0.00074

c) 1 – 0.00004 + 0.0007 = 0.99926

2.

Transportes Efectivo Credito Debito Total

Moto 120 35 30 185
Taxi 10 50 18 78
Otro 20 15 2 37
Total 150 100 50 300

120 6
a) 𝑃(𝑀𝑜𝑡𝑜 ∩ 𝐸𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑜) = 120 → =
300 15
50 1
b) 𝑃(𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑖𝑡𝑜) = 50 → =
300 6
128 32
c) 𝑃(𝑇𝑎𝑥𝑖 ∪ 𝐶𝑟𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑜) = 78 + 100 − 50 → =
300 75
37
d) 𝑃(𝑂𝑡𝑟𝑜) = 37 →
300
Cristian Camilo Barrantes Bernal Grupo 203
Luis David Caicedo Mahecha
Snattan Andrey Espitia Velásquez

3.

a) ((92% + 96%) / 200) = 188/200 = 94/100 = 94%

b) ((8% + 96%) / 200) = 104/200 = 52/100 = 52%

c) ((8% + 4%) / 200) = 12/200 = 6/100 = 6%

4.

𝑃𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑢𝑡𝑎𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑐𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑡𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛

19!
19 𝑃 10,5,4 = = 11639628
10! 4! 5!

5.

𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑙𝑎 𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 1/5.

𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑜 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑒 𝑢𝑛𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑒, 𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑠 𝑞𝑢𝑒
𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑎𝑟 𝑒𝑠𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑦 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑠𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑎 𝑑𝑖𝑐ℎ𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎.
Cristian Camilo Barrantes Bernal Grupo 203
Luis David Caicedo Mahecha
Snattan Andrey Espitia Velásquez
𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑜𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑒𝑐ℎ𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑖𝑔𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑔𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑎
𝑙𝑎 𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑎 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑒𝑟 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑢𝑎𝑙,𝑐𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐
1
𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎.
5

1
𝐸𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒 𝑎 𝑢𝑛 100% 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑢𝑡𝑎 𝑒𝑠 ¿ 𝑎 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑗𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒
5
1 1
𝑝𝑜𝑟 𝑒𝑗𝑚, 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑠𝑒 ?
2 5

𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜

𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 1 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 2 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 3 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 4 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 5
1 1 1 1 1
1= 1= 1= 1= 1=
5 5 5 5 5
1 1 0=𝑥 2 1
=𝑥 =𝑥 =𝑥 =𝑥
2 2 2 5
1
1 1 1 1 1 1 0∗ = 0 2 1 1 1 1 1
∗ = ∗ = 5 ∗ = ∗ =
2 5 10 2 5 10 2 5 5 5 5 25

1 1 1 1
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 = + +0 + + =
10 10 5 25
5 5 10 2 22 11
= + + + = =
50 50 50 50 50 25

𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑙𝑎 𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 2 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 1/4.

𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑜 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑒 𝑢𝑛𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑒𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑒, 𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑚𝑜𝑠 𝑞𝑢𝑒
𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑎𝑟 𝑒𝑠𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑦 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑠𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑖𝑗𝑎 𝑑𝑖𝑐ℎ𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎.

𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑜𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑙 𝑒𝑐ℎ𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑖𝑔𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑔𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑎
𝑙𝑎 𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑎 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑒𝑟 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑢𝑎𝑙,𝑐𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐
1
𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑙𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑚𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎.
4
Cristian Camilo Barrantes Bernal Grupo 203
Luis David Caicedo Mahecha
Snattan Andrey Espitia Velásquez
1
𝐸𝑠 𝑑𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑟 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒 𝑎 𝑢𝑛 100% 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑢𝑡𝑎 𝑒𝑠 ¿ 𝑎 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎𝑗𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑒
4
1 1
𝑝𝑜𝑟 𝑒𝑗𝑚, 𝑑𝑒 𝑒𝑠𝑒 ?
2 4

𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 2 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜

𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 1 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 2 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 3 𝑀𝑜𝑛𝑒𝑑𝑎 4
1 1 1 1
1= 1= 1= 1=
4 4 4 4
1 2 5 1
=𝑥 =𝑥 =𝑥 =𝑥
2 2 6 4

1 1 1 2 1 1 5 1 5 1 1 1
∗ = ∗ = ∗ = ∗ =
2 4 8 2 4 4 6 4 24 4 4 16

1 1 5 1
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑒𝑛 𝑙𝑎 𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 = + + + =
8 4 24 16
6 12 10 3 31
= + + + =
48 48 48 48 48

𝑃𝑎𝑟𝑎 ℎ𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑎𝑟 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑖𝑔𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑐𝑜𝑛 𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑝𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑜 𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑜 ℎ𝑎𝑦 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟 𝑒𝑛 𝑐𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑎
𝑙𝑎𝑠 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑐𝑎𝑖𝑔𝑎𝑛 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑠 𝑚𝑎𝑦𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑎 4 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑙𝑎 𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑦 𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑒 𝑖𝑔𝑢𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑠 𝑎 4
𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑙𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑔𝑢𝑛𝑑𝑎 𝑢𝑟𝑛𝑎.

𝑆𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑐𝑒 𝑒𝑙 𝑚𝑖𝑠𝑚𝑜 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑐𝑒𝑠𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑠 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑡𝑜𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑜 𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑜 𝑒𝑙 100% 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑙𝑜𝑠 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑠

𝑒𝑛 𝑒𝑙 𝑑𝑎𝑑𝑜 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑎 𝑐𝑎𝑑𝑎 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑜𝑛.

Cristian Camilo Barrantes Bernal Grupo 203
Luis David Caicedo Mahecha
Snattan Andrey Espitia Velásquez

𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜

𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 1 𝑈𝑟𝑛𝑎 2
2 4
1= 1=
6 6
11 31
=𝑥 =𝑥
25 48

2 11 22 11 31 4 124 31
∗ = = ∗ = =
6 25 150 75 48 6 288 72

11 31
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 = + =
75 72
792 2325 3117
= + =
5400 5400 5400

3117
𝑆𝑒 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑙𝑢𝑦𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑙𝑎 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑑𝑎𝑑 𝑑𝑒 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑙𝑔𝑎 𝑠𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑒𝑠 𝑑𝑒 = 0.5772
5400