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What You Need To Know About Globalization'S Radical New Phase
What You Need To Know About Globalization'S Radical New Phase
About Globalization’s
Radical New Phase
By Arindam Bhattacharya, Hans-Paul Bürkner, and Aparna Bijapurkar
•• A new technology that was leveraged Adidas is already responding to these shifts:
by a country or a set of countries to it recently announced that it is moving
boost productivity and output some of its production from China back to
Germany because advances in robotics
•• One or more countries serving as an make it cost-effective to do so. In the medi-
economic “pole” (Western Europe, the um term, Adidas plans to use this digital ad-
US, and China, respectively, in each of vantage to build factories in all major mar-
the three phases) that became the kets, thereby enabling faster delivery to
global growth engine—driving 20% to customers.
25% of GDP growth and around 15% of
the growth in global trade—and that, in As other companies follow suit, the shift
turn, fueled growth in other countries, will have a major effect on the trade of
especially trading partners global goods—especially between devel-
Finally, the rapid growth of digital plat- The decentralization of global governance
forms has started to make national borders is changing the rules of the game. A stable
and traditional country-based business set of rules and regulations, established
models redundant. Today, goods worth and governed by the G7 group of leading
$700 billion are traded through Alibaba economies, was central to the old model
and Amazon—an amount that represents of globalization, facilitating the movement
a compound annual growth rate of more of goods and services around the world.
than 33% since 2012. Now, however, the value of openness is
being questioned, even among the G7
In effect, these global market platforms countries—as shown by the Brexit poll.
and their associated supply and delivery
systems are replacing the complex supply The creation in 1999 of a G20, which incor-
chains that were a common feature of the porates the large emerging-market coun-
first three phases of globalization, making tries, signaled a seismic shift in the global
it much easier for even small companies economic power structure. These new
to compete in a global market. For exam- members are not at the same stages of eco-
ple, a Chinese mobile-phone company nomic development as the G7 countries,
entered India by leveraging one such plat- and they have very different economic
form, and it did so more quickly and with structures (for example, state domination
much less investment than one of its com- of their financial systems and a majority
petitors did just a few years earlier. The of family-run businesses) and philosophies
future could well include a proposal from (for example, an emphasis on state regula-
Jack Ma, the founder of Alibaba, for a glob- tions, as opposed to market efficiency, in
al e-commerce platform that would enable policy design). This means that achieving
small and midsize enterprises to reach out consensus on economic policies and rules
to customers and source from suppliers all of engagement for global financial and
over the world, thereby eliminating the trade flows is challenging and complex.
need to set up independent supply chains.
Along with the shift in the global gover-
The impact of digital technologies means nance role from the G7 to the G20, some
that the fourth phase of globalization will structural shifts are leading to the decen-
Hans-Paul Bürkner is the chairman of BCG and the firm’s past president and CEO. You may contact him
by e-mail at buerkner.hans-paul@bcg.com.
Aparna Bijapurkar is a consultant in BCG’s Mumbai office and an ambassador to the BCG Henderson
Institute. You may contact her by e-mail at bijapurkar.aparna@bcg.com.