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Make A Sales Plan: Context
Make A Sales Plan: Context
Context
By now, you have sketched your business model and built and refined your prototype. Now, you need execute yo
with a series of steps to achieving that particular goal. For example, if your goal for the next year is to sell 6,000 t-
achieve it — how you will procure the raw material, what will it cost, price of the t-shirts, and your sales target fo
Business planning begins with Sales Planning. A sales plan consists of a sales forecast and a plan to achieve the fo
sell in a given period. Sales planning is divided into two parts:
1. Forecast your sales for the next one year. This is an activity, and you have 50 minutes to complete it. In this
2. Plan the number of leads you will need to meet your sales target. This will be an assignment, and you will ha
Funnel.
Use your preferred method of sales forecasting and fill up rows 7, 8, and 9 with the revenue targets for ea
more than one kind of product or service. For example, if you have a t-shirt business, round neck t-shirts c
5 also differentiate between your products or services based on the customers. For example, if you had B2B
perhaps different print from your B2C customers. The t-shirts you will be selling to your B2B customers co
you have more than three kinds of products or services, copy row number 9 and paste it before row 10 w
After you forecast the annual sales for each of your products or services, break the annual forecast into m
split up your estimates between cash sales and invoiced sales. Cash Sales are where you collect cash paym
pay for the coffee and are then served the coffee. The other example is an online store where customers
6 where you send an invoice to customers after a sale and wait for them to make the payment. Typically co
(a travel agency, an equipment vendor, etc.) send their goods or services to companies and collect money
Put your estimates for payments to be received in cash sales and invoiced sales for each month and for ea
lesson. While splitting the total forecast into months, account for the fact that depending on your busines
7 Fill up rows 36 and 37 with the total cash sales and total invoiced sales for your business for each month.
Next, you need to split the month-on-month sales forecast for each of product and service amongst your
you may want to split it between two salespeople with a target of $20,000 each. Or, you may split it as $1
8 on the geographies they will be handling. If some geographies are more likely to buy some product or serv
geography. Enter your monthly estimate of the total sales each of your sales team members are expected
Advanced Course in En
months.
2 Start with arriving at your total target market. A target market consists of customers with similar characte
Refer to tab 4, Customer Acquisition Funnel. You need to create a month-on-month estimate of your lead
with the number of paying customers (rows 31 and 32) you need to fulfill your sales target for the year. Y
3
determine is how many paying customers you need to meet that forecast for the month. For example, if y
$1,000, then you need 100 paying customers.
Next, estimate the number of prospects you need to find that many number of paying customers (rows 2
4 with to get one customer for your product or service. For example, let’s say you need to follow-up 10 lead
to follow-up 10 multiplied by 100 = 1,000 prospects.
Now, estimate the number of leads (rows 27 and 28) you need for 100 customers and 1,000 prospects. Le
5
you need to send out 50 multiplied by 1,000 = 5,000 emails.
nd a plan to achieve the forecast. A sales forecast is a projection of the number of units of products or service you want to
utes to complete it. In this activity, you need to fill up tab 2 of this spreadsheet - Sales Forecasting.
ssignment, and you will have 60 minutes to complete it. In this assignment, you will fill up tab 4, Customer Acquisition
activity.
ales forecasting from row 75 onward and choose a method that works best for your business.
these are formula-driven.
3, Sales Forecasting Example, to see what a filled up sales forecast looks like.
h the revenue targets for each of your product or service. Now, irrespective of your business, you are most likely to make
iness, round neck t-shirts could be one kind of product, whereas collared t-shirts could be another type of product. You can
or example, if you had B2B or corporate customers, the t-shirts you will be selling them will have different prices and
g to your B2B customers could be one kind of product and the t-shirts for your B2C customers could be another kind. In case
d paste it before row 10 with your total sales forecast for the year.
the annual forecast into months. Fill up the month-on-month sales forecast for each product or service. Here, you need to
here you collect cash payment from the customer at the time of the sale. One example is a coffee shop where customers
ne store where customers pay upfront using credit card or Internet banking for the items they order. Invoiced Sales are
the payment. Typically companies wait for 30-45 days for the money to come in. This is typical in a B2B sale where suppliers
mpanies and collect money later.
for each month and for each product or service. You will learn more about cash payments and billed payments later in this
depending on your business, some months are likely to have more sales than the others.
and service amongst your salespeople. So, if your target sales for product or service 1 for the month of January is $40,000,
h. Or, you may split it as $10,000 and $30,000. How you split the monthly targets for each of your salespeople may depend
o buy some product or service than the others, then set a higher target for that product for the salesperson handling that
am members are expected to sell. Based on review of each month's actual performance by the sales team, adjust the future
t you have placed at the beginning of the sheet. Retain this filled up spreadsheet; you will use it in the assignment Make a
stomer acquisition funnel. A customer acquisition funnel is a plan for how you want to go about achieving or exceeding what
omers with similar characteristics such as age, location, income, or lifestyle and is most likely to buy your product or service.
month estimate of your leads, prospects, and customers for every product or service. Refer to rows 27 to 32. You will begin
sales target for the year. You have already created your sales target for the year in your previous activity. What you need to
he month. For example, if you expect sales of $100,000 in the month of January, and on an average each customer pays
paying customers (rows 29 and 30). You need to come up with an estimate for how many prospects you need to follow-up
u need to follow-up 10 leads to get one customer who will buy your product or service. So, to get 100 customers, you need
ers and 1,000 prospects. Let’s say for every 50 emails you send out, 1 person expresses interest. So, to get 1,000 prospects,
Part 1: Sales Forecasting - Blank Template
Month-on-Mon
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales 1800000 2400000 2400000 2400000
Invoiced Sales
Total Sales 1800000 2400000 2400000 2400000
Yearly Total for
Product/Service 1 30000000
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales
Invoiced Sales
Total Sales 0 0 0 0
Yearly Total for
0
Product/Service 2
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales
Invoiced Sales
Total Sales 0 0 0 0
Yearly Total for
0
Product/Service 3
TOTAL 30000000
Sales Plan by
Sales Pe
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Product/Service 1 600000 800000 800000 800000
Product/Service 2
Product/Service 3
Total Monthly
600000 800000 800000 800000
Sales Target
Total Annual Sales
10,000,000
Target
Sales Pe
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Product/Service 1 600000 800000 800000 800000
Product/Service 2
Product/Service 3
Total Monthly
Sales Target 600000 800000 800000 800000
Sales Pe
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Product/Service 1 600000 800000 800000 800000
Product/Service 2
Product/Service 3
Total Monthly
600000 800000 800000 800000
Sales Target
2. When doing your market research you can use either a top-down or a bottom-up approach. Imagine your bus
total addressable market and then estimate your share of that market. Total addressable market or TAM is the t
business, you find out that a total of 100,000 people in your geography buy t-shirts. You need to decide what pe
addressable market in the first year, then you would want to sell to 5,000 customers in one year.
3. You can also use the bottom-up approach for your forecasting. Continuing with the example of the t-shirt bus
approach for your sales forecasting, you need to find out how many customers visit the shop for a sale of, say, 1
competitors. But keep in mind that the sales of an established business will be higher than that of a new one.
4. Your capacity and ambition can also affect your sales forecast. Continuing with the t-shirt example, say based
infrastructure and cash needed to make 500 t-shirts? Do you want to start with a sales size as large as 500 t-shir
5. Lead-driven forecasting – Based on your market research or based on data from the previous year, analyze ea
lead sources or data from previous years.
6. Length of sales cycle forecasting – This strategy uses data on how long a lead takes to convert to a sale. The le
on how long a sales cycle can take for your product or service. Going forward over the years, you could combine
takes 4 months and your salesperson has been working a potential client for 3 months. In this case, your forecas
7. Intuitive forecasting – This strategy is based on trusting that your salespeople are the best people for accurate
when. The pitfalls of this method are obvious; there is a risk of forecasting too much or too little. But it can be a
8. Test-market analysis forecasting – This strategy is great for new companies rolling out their product or service
analyze the response. Using the result of your analysis, you can make a near-accurate forecast. The two things t
Second, a limited launch can be expensive – your costs may be more than your revenues. If your company is con
9. Historical forecasting – In this strategy, you use your past sales data to forecast the sales for the next year con
you will sell $15,750 in November next year. The pitfall of this method is that it does not consider market fluctua
10. Each of these forecasting strategies has its own pros and cons. The best approach is to take the best of all th
However, it is important to revisit your forecast every month and see how much your salespeople are achieving
low, they would be achieving the goals effortlessly. In both the cases, you need to revisit your forecast.
Resources:
1. https://blog.close.io/sales-forecasting-strategies
2. https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/77674
3. https://blog.hubspot.com/sales/sales-forecasting
4. https://www.salesforce.com/au/blog/2017/11/9-sales-forecasting-tips-for-small-business.html
2020
30,000,000
30000000
Product/Service 1
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
2500000 2600000 2600000 2700000 2700000 2700000
Product/Service 2
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
0 0 0 0 0 0
Product/Service 3
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
0 0 0 0 0 0
Sales Person 2
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
800000 900000 900000 900000 900000 900000
Sales Person 3
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
900000 800000 900000 900000 900000 900000
up approach. Imagine your business is making hand-printed t-shirts for teenagers and adults. In the top-down approach, you determine th
ressable market or TAM is the total number of people in a geography who can use your product or service. Now, in case of the t-shirt
ts. You need to decide what percentage of this total addressable market you want to capture. Say, you want to sell to 5% of the total
ers in one year.
h the example of the t-shirt business, let's say you have identified a popular clothing store for selling your t-shirts. Now, to use a bottom-up
sit the shop for a sale of, say, 100 t-shirts in a month. As a part of market research, try to find out the sales numbers of your nearest
gher than that of a new one.
the t-shirt example, say based on your market research, you learn that you can achieve a monthly sale of 500 t-shirts. But do you have th
sales size as large as 500 t-shirts? Or do you want to test the waters by starting smaller with, say, 200 t-shirts?
m the previous year, analyze each lead and assign a value to that source. This forecasting is ideal for companies who have clear data on the
akes to convert to a sale. The length of a sales cycle depends on your industry. For the first year of your business, you could do some resea
r the years, you could combine your research data with past sales data to determine your sales cycle. Now imagine your sales cycle typica
onths. In this case, your forecast might suggest that he or she has a 75% chance of closing the deal in the fourth month.
are the best people for accurately forecasting their own sales. Start by asking each one how confident he/she is about closing the sale and
uch or too little. But it can be a good option for companies who are just starting out and don’t have their own past data to fall back on.
ing out their product or service for the first time in the market. As the name suggests, you do a limited launch of your product or service a
urate forecast. The two things to remember for this strategy are: First, what happens in one geographical area is different from another.
evenues. If your company is considering a soft launch, a test-market forecasting may be useful.
t the sales for the next year considering a stable growth rate. For example, if you sold $15,000 in November last year, with a 5% growth ra
oes not consider market fluctuations.
oach is to take the best of all these strategies for your forecasting. It is important to keep in mind that there is no exact science to forecasti
your salespeople are achieving. If the goals are too high, most of your salespeople would be struggling to achieve them. If your target is to
o revisit your forecast.
all-business.html
Nov Dec
2500000 2700000
2500000 2700000
Nov Dec
0 0
Nov Dec
0 0
Nov Dec
2500000 2700000
0 0
2500000 2700000
Nov Dec
900000 900000
900000 900000
Nov Dec
900000 900000
900000 900000
Nov Dec
700000 900000
700000 900000
Nov Dec
900000 900000
900000 900000
700000 900000
2500000 2700000
city, and your ambition. Your
Month-on-Mon
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Invoiced Sales
Total Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Yearly Total for
Product/Service 1 3030000
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Invoiced Sales 0 0 0 0
Total Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Yearly Total for
3030000
Product/Service 2
Product/
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Cash Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Invoiced Sales
Total Sales 240000 240000 240000 240000
Yearly Total for
3030000
Product/Service 3
TOTAL 9090000
Sales Plan by
Sales Person 1 (Sells only CASH SALES and
Month Jan Feb Mar Apr
Product/Service 1 8000 8000 8000 8000
Product/Service 2
Product/Service 3
Total Monthly
8000 8000 8000 8000
Sales Target
Total Annual Sales
101000
Target
36360000
36360000
Product/Service 1
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
240000 240000 240000 270000 270000 270000
Product/Service 2
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
240000 240000 240000 270000 270000 270000
0 0 0 0 0 0
240000 240000 240000 270000 270000 270000
Product/Service 3
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
240000 240000 240000 270000 270000 270000
Sells only INVOICED SALES and is responsible for 50% of total invoiced sales)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
8000 8000 8000 9000 9000 9000
0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
8000 8000 8000 9000 9000 9000
ls bot CASH and INVOICED SALES and is responsible for 50% of both such sales)
May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
8000 8000 8000 9000 9000 9000
270000 270000
Nov Dec
270000 270000
0 0
270000 270000
Nov Dec
270000 270000
270000 270000
Nov Dec
810000 810000
0 0
810000 810000
Nov Dec
9000 9000
9000 9000
Nov Dec
9000 9000
0 0
0 0
9000 9000
Nov Dec
9000 9000
9000 9000
Nov Dec
9000 9000
9000 9000
9000 9000
27000 27000
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customer
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CUSTOMER
Plan to Ge
Total Target Market
Plan to Ge
Total Target Market
Leads to follow
Prospects
Customers
Customers
Plan to Ge
Total Target Market
Leads to follow
Prospects
Customers
4 At the product/service front, once the prospective customer signs up with you, you must ensure that y
5 About 80% of your customers will come from your target segment or niche, but some may be from out
6 Make sure you follow up with your customers and take feedback to make further enhancements to you
If your conversion rate is high, then what you should concentrate on is to increase the number of peop
7
her early days, Nancy focuses on the conversion rate, i.e., the total number of customers at each stage
8 The last stage in the funnel, "customers,” is very crucial as this is the stage where you get paid. So, ensu
Plan to Generate Leads and Follow-up Prospects and Customers - Product/Service 1
n that you have lost them forever; you can return to them later and try to convert them again.
our target customer very well. Make sure that you are clear about your goals.
funnel so that enough remain at the next stage.
up with you, you must ensure that your customer is able to connect with the actual product and the promises made in the Unique Value
t or niche, but some may be from outside the target segment also, so keep your ears and eyes open.
to make further enhancements to your product or service. This delights the customer, and there are chances that you get more customer
on is to increase the number of people entering that stage of your funnel. So, you can track or measure your target segment. In the Nancy
al number of customers at each stage of the funnel.
he stage where you get paid. So, ensure you have enough numbers at this stage of the funnel, which will ultimately generate the revenue
Service 1
Service 2
omises made in the Unique Value Proposition block of your business model are met.
your target segment. In the Nancy's Day Care example mentioned in the video, Customer Acquisition, during