Mayankjot Singh F2020STAT213

STAT 213 Assignment 3 is due on Sunday, November 01, 2020 at 11:59pm.

The number of attempts available for each question is noted beside the question. If you are having trouble figuring out your error,
you should consult the textbook, or ask a fellow student, one of the TA’s or your professor for help.
There are also other resources at your disposal, such as the Mathematics Continuous Tutorials. Don’t spend a lot of time guessing –
it’s not very efficient or effective.
Make sure to give lots of significant digits for (floating point) numerical answers. For most problems when entering numerical
answers, you can if you wish enter elementary expressions such as 2 ∧ 3 instead of 8, sin(3 ∗ pi/2)instead of -1, e ∧ (ln(2)) instead
of 2, (2 + tan(3)) ∗ (4 − sin(5)) ∧ 6 − 7/8 instead of 27620.3413, etc.

(1) y = x + 8
1. (1 point) Suppose a couple planned to have three children. µ=
Let X be the number of girls the couple has. σ=
(a) List all possible arrangements of girls and boys. For (2) v = 6x
example, if the couple had 2 girls and then a boy, then µ=
type GGB. (Separate each item in your list with a comma.): σ=
. (3) w = 6x + 8
(b) List the sample space for X. (i.e. List the possible values µ=
that X may take separated by commas.): . σ=
(c) What is the probability that X = 1? Answer(s) submitted:
(d) Find the probability that the couple have three boys: • 18
. • 2
Answer(s) submitted: • 60
• BBB,BBG,BGB,GBB,BGG,GBG,GGB,GGG • 12
• 0,1,2,3 • 68
• 3/8 • 12
• 1/8 (correct)
(correct) 4. (1 point) A rock concert producer has scheduled an out-
2. (1 point) door concert. The producer estimates the attendance will de-
Two fair dice are rolled 5 times. Let the random variable X pend on the weather according to the following table.
represent the number of times that the sum 7 occurs. The table Weather Attendance Probability
below describes the probability distribution. Find the value of wet, cold 6000 0.2
the missing probability. wet, warm 30000 0.2
dry, cold 20000 0.1
x P(x) dry, warm 50000 0.5
0 0.401877572016461 (a) What is the expected attendance?
1 0.401877572016461 answer:
2 0.160751028806584 (b) If tickets cost $ 10 each, the band will cost $ 150000,
3 plus $ 45000 for administration. What is the expected profit?
4 0.00321502057613169 answer:
5 0.000128600823045267 Answer(s) submitted:
• 34200
Would it be unusual to roll a pair of dice 5 times and get no • 147000
7s?
(correct)
(enter YES or NO)
Answer(s) submitted: 5. (1 point)
• 0.03215020576 To examine the effectiveness of its four annual advertising
• NO promotions, a mail order company has sent a questionnaire to
each of its customers, asking how many of the previous year’s
(correct)
promotions prompted orders that would not have otherwise been
3. (1 point) made. The accompanying table lists the probabilities that were
The mean and standard deviation of a random variable x are derived from the questionnaire, where X is the random variable
10 and 2 respectively. Find the mean and standard deviation of representing the number of promotions that prompted orders. If
the given random variables: we assume that overall customer behavior next year will be the
1
same as last year, what is the expected number of promotions Hence the owner expects her computer to incur $39.75 of dam-
that each customer will take advantage of next year by ordering age from a surge in the next two years and so should be willing
goods that otherwise would not be purchased? to pay $39.75 for a surge protector.
Answer(s) submitted:
X 0 1 2 3 4 • 39.75
P(X) 0.073 0.204 0.302 0.191 0.23
(correct)
Expected value = 7. (1 point) X is a random variable having a probability
A previous analysis of historical records found that the mean distribution with a mean/expected value of E(X) = 27.9 and a
value of orders for promotional goods is 31 dollars, with the variance of Var(X) = 37.
company earning a gross profit of 27% on each order. Calculate
the expected value of the profit contribution next year. Consider the following random variables.
Expected value = A = 3X
The fixed cost of conducting the four promotions is estimatedB = 3X − 4
C = −4X + 7
to be 10000 dollars with a variable cost of 4 dollars per customer
for mailing and handling costs. What is the minimum number Answer parts (a) through (c).
of customers required by the company in order to cover the cost Part (a) Find the expected value and variance of A.
of promotions? (Round your answer to the next highest integer.) E(A) = (use two decimals)
Breakeven point = Var(A) = (use two decimals)
Part (b) Find the expected value and variance of B.
E(B) = (use two decimals)
Not sure how to perform some of the tasks? Click to see similar Var(B)
problem= (use two decimals)
Answer(s) submitted: Part (c) Find the expected value and standard deviation of
• 2.301 C.
• 19.2593 E(C) = (use two decimals)
• 656 SD(C) = (use two decimals)
Answer(s) submitted:
(correct)
• 83.7
• 333
6. (1 point) • 79.7
The owner of a small firm has just purchased a personal com- • 333
puter, which she expects will serve her for the next two years. • -104.6
The owner has been told that she ”must” buy a surge suppres- • 24.33
sor to provide protection for her new hardware against possible (correct)
surges or variations in the electrical current, which have the ca-
pacity to damage the computer. The amount of damage to the 8. (1 point) A customs agent discovers 21 identically looking
computer depends on the strength of the surge. It has been esti- packets of white power in a traveler’s suitcase. Unknown to the
mated that there is a 3% chance of incurring 300 dollar damage, customs officer, 15 of these packets contain cocaine, the rest do
6% chance of incurring 200 dollar damage, and 15% chance of not contain cocaine.
incurring 125 dollar damage from a surge within the next two
years. An inexpensive suppressor, which would provide protec- The customs officer is to randomly pick 4 packets and test
tion for only one surge, can be purchased. How much should each one. A random variable X is to count the number of tested
the owner be willing to pay if she makes decisions on the basis packets that test positive for cocaine.
of expected value?
Expected value =
Solution: (a) Finish the probability distribution of X below. Use four
SOLUTION decimals in each of your entries.
Let the random variable D be the amount of damage to the
computer (in dollars) caused by a surge within the next two
years. X 0 1 2 3 4
Then P(X = x)
E[D] = 300 · P(D = 300) + 200 · P(D = 200) + 125 · P(D = 125)
= 300 · 0.03 + 200 · 0.06 + 125 · 0.15
= 39.75 (b) From the distribution you found in part (a), what can you
2
say about the distribution of X?

The distribution of X is A random variable X counts the number of goals this hockey
•? player scores.
• symmetrical
• skewed to the right
• skewed to the left (a) Complete the probability distribution of X below. Use four
. decimals in each of your entries.

(c) How many of the 4 packets do you expect be to test positive X 0 1 2 3

for cocaine? Provide the standard deviation as well. P(X = x)

E(X) = (use two decimals)

SD(X) = (use two decimals) (b) How many goals would you expect this hockey player to
score? Enter your answer to four decimals.

Not sure how to perform some of the tasks? Click to see similar problem
E(X) =
Answer(s) submitted:
• 0.0025
• 0.0501 (c) Compute the standard deviation the random variable X.
• 0.2632 Enter your answer to two decimals.
• 0.4561
• 0.2281
SD(X) =
• skewed to the left
• 2.8572
• 0.8329
(correct)
Not sure how to perform some of the tasks? Click to see similar problem
9. (1 point) A hockey player is to take 3 shots on a certain Answer(s) submitted:
goalie. The probability he will score a goal on his first shot is
0.45. If he scores on his first shot, the chance he will score on • 0.2681
his second shot increases by 0.1; if he misses, the chance that he • 0.3066
• 0.2644
scores on his second shot decreases by 0.1. This pattern contin-
• 0.1609
ues to on his third shot: If the player scores on his second shot, • 1.3181
the probability he will score on his third shot increases by an- • 1.0367
other 0.1; should he not score on his second shot, the probability
of scoring on the third shot decreases by another 0.1. (correct)

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