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D 3 LMM CapsFloors
D 3 LMM CapsFloors
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Interest rate forwards under forward risk-neutral measure
Consider now a forward contract on the n−times compounded LIBOR rate
rn (Ti , Ti+1 ). The contract pays at Ti+1
where fn (t, Ti , Ti+1 ) is the delivery rate, i.e., Ti+1 − Ti ≡ ∆−maturity forward LIBOR
rate at Ti agreed upon at inception t, and N is the notional amount.
As before, forward risk-neutral pricing implies that
T∗
fn (t, Ti , Ti+1 ) = Et i+1 [rn (Ti , Ti+1 )] .
Recall that rn (Ti , Ti+1 ) = fn (Ti , Ti , Ti+1 ): the forward rate with immediate start is
simply a spot rate. Therefore,
T∗
fn (t, Ti , Ti+1 ) = Et i+1 fn (Ti , Ti , Ti+1 ) .
(1)
The forward rate fn (t, Ti , Ti+1 ) is a martingale under a Ti+1 −forward measure.
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Dynamic of forward LIBOR rate
keeping in mind that the forward LIBOR rate ft,i applies to the period from Ti
to Ti+1 and has some compounding frequency n unless specified explicitly.
Since ft,i is a martingale under the Ti+1 −forward measure, it must have a
driftless dynamic. In the world where rates were supposed to be positive (not
anymore!), the natural candidate for such dynamic was a GBM without drift:
dft,i ∗
= σi dW Ti+1 , (2)
ft,i
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Distribution of forward LIBOR rate
where
1
m = ln ft,i − σ2i (Ti − t),
2
s = σi Ti − t.
p
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Price of caplet
where Y ≡ rn (Ti , Ti+1 ) ∼ ln N m, s2
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Black formula for Caplet price
ft,i σ2
ln + 2i (Ti − t)
d1 = √
k
σi Ti − t
d2 = d1 − σi Ti − t
p
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Forward volatility in the Black formula
In the Black formula, some parameters are observed as market prices of
traded instruments: Z(t, Ti+1 ), ft,i ; some are specified by the option contract:
k, Ti , Ti+1 ;
Forward rate volatility σfwd (Ti+1 ) ≡ σi is not readily available
Thus, you can view Black’s formula as something that links forward
volatilities and caplet prices:
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Bootstrapping forward vols: Flat and forward volatilities
Consider a 1-year quarterly cap, i.e., a collection of 3 caplets with maturities 0.5,
0.75, and 1. It has the value of
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Flat and forward volatilities: illustration
You need to know one of the three: cap prices, flat volatilities, or forward
volatilities, to bootstrap the other two objects.
Since there’re many maturities with different flat and forward volatilities
attached, we essentially talk about the term structure of flat and forward
volatilities.
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Term structure of flat and forward volatilities: example
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