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01 - Risk, Return, Time Value of Money - PSGCT FNFP
01 - Risk, Return, Time Value of Money - PSGCT FNFP
Topic in focus:
1. Introduction, Finance basics, Time Value of money
Session starts at 10 AM
Is my business performing?
Should I borrow?
Why no profits?
Continue or quit?
Topics to be covered
Basics of Financial accounting
• What is money?
• Time value of money
• Risk and Return
• Future value and Present value
• NPV, Perpetuity, Annuity
• Time value of money (TVM) is the idea that money that is available at the
present time is worth more than the same amount in the future, due to its
potential earning capacity.
• Suppose, would you be interested, if you are asked to
• lend Rs.200 today and
• Receive same Rs.200 back after a month (Rs.200 = 1kg apple now)
• Hence one needs to be incentivised or compensated for waiting.
• May be a deal of Rs 220 after a month may ‘interest’ you.
• The time value needs to be appropriate too.
• Appropriate to WHAT?
What is Return?
• Solution
Initial Price= P0 = 10L
Price after 1 year = P1 = 11L
Rent paid = Dividend = D = 12*4000 = 48000
𝟏 𝟎
• We have just computed the net return of an asset. The net return of an
asset during the period from ‘t’ to ‘t+1’ is denoted by r𝒕+𝟏
r 𝒕 𝟏 𝒕 𝟏 𝒕
𝒕
where Pt is the price at t, Pt+1 is the price at t+1 and Dt+1 are the cash payments to
investor during the period.
• Gross return R 𝒕 𝟏 𝟏
1+r
𝒕
Returns in an Investment
r 𝒕 𝟏 𝒕 𝟏 𝒕 𝟏 𝒕 𝟏
𝒕 𝒕 𝒕
• Suppose you invest Rs 100 today and you have safe return of 5% then
how much do you receive in one year?
100*(1+0.05) = Rs 105
• This is plain simple interest calculation.
• If at the end of 1st year you invest again the complete proceeds to another
year again at 5% then now you receive at the end of 2nd year,
105 * 1.05 = Rs 110.25 (or) Rs 100 * (1.05)2
• If continued for one more year, then
110.25 * 1.05 = Rs 115.7625 (or) Rs 100 * (1.05)3
• More generally, future value of cash ‘C’ in T years invested at rate ‘r’ is
FV(C) = C * (1+r)T
Future value and Present value
• Let us now flip the story how much is Rs 100 to be received in 3 years
worth to us today?
it is worth the amount we should invest now to get Rs 100 in 3 years
• i.e., the Present value of Rs 100 to be received in 3 years is
100 = C* (1+r)3 i.e., C =
• If interest r is 5 % then the present value PV of 100 to be received in 3
years from now is Rs100/(1.05)3 = Rs 86.4
• In general, the present value of ‘C’ amount to be received in ‘T’ years when
interest rate is ‘r’ , is
PV(C) =
Future value and Present value- Discounting
• NPV = - 1M
• Though the sum of cash flows is ₹ 1.1M. The present value of the future cash
inflows is ₹ 0.95M.
=> means, the money is better used by investing in that other opportunity.
• So if NPV < 0, then the project is not worthwhile.
Perpetuity
• Perpetuity =
• Example: You own a agriculture land and have an agreement to rent out the property each
year for Rs 10000(otherwise worthless). Now municipal offers to buy the land for 170,000.
should you accept the offer? (consider opportunity rate both 5% & 7% per annum).
• Ans: the value of continuing the agreement perpetually
PV(rental) = 10000 / 0.05 = 200,000
As the city is offering less, the offer should be rejected.
Growing Perpetuity
• PV(Grow per.) =
• An annuity is a constant stream of cash flows ‘C’ , that occur every year, with
maturity in T years
• PV(Ann.) = 𝒕
• Example: If you need Rs 10000 every year for next four years. How much you have
to deposit in bank now. (Bank is giving 7% interest)
Ans: PV(Ann) =
Summary