ME3011D MACHINE DESIGN I - 2021 winter

Assignment 1 - Probability and statistics

1. It has been observed from a sample of 200 bearing bushes that the internal diameters are
normally distributed with a mean of 30.010 mm and a standard deviation of 0.008 mm. The
upper and lower limits for the internal diameter, as specified by the designer, are 30.02 and
30.00 mm respectively. Calculate the percentage of rejected bushes.

2. The tolerance specified by the designer for the diameters of a transmission shaft is 25.000
± 0.025 mm. The shafts are machined on three different machines. It was observed from
the sample of shafts that the diameters are normally distributed with a standard deviation
of 0.015 mm for each of the three machines. However, the mean diameter of shafts
fabricated on the three machines is found to be 24.99, 25.00 and 25.01 mm respectively.
Determine the percentage of rejected shafts in each case and comment on the result.

3. The life of a ball bearing is a normally distributed random variable, with a mean of 10 000
h and a standard deviation of 500 h. The manufacturer of the bearings wants to give a
guarantee that 90% of the bearings will reach or exceed the rated life published in his
catalogue. What should be the rated life?

4. It is observed from a sample of 100 bolts produced on an automatic machine that their
diameters are normally distributed with a mean of 10.5 mm and a standard deviation of
0.02 mm. Determine the tolerances specified by the designer if five bolts are rejected.

5. A cantilever beam is made of plain carbon steel 45C8 having mean yield strength of 380
N/mm2 and a standard deviation of 50 N/mm2. It is subjected to a bending stress with a
mean of 250 N/mm2 and a standard deviation of 25 N/mm2.
Determine: (i) The reliability of the beam;
(ii) The average factor of safety; and
(iii) The minimum available factor of safety.