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Case Study 2: PPP Acquisition of Anderson's: The Security Guard Industry
Case Study 2: PPP Acquisition of Anderson's: The Security Guard Industry
Late one afternoon in November 1987, Tom Robertson, sole owner and CEO of California Plant Protection (PPP), sat in his office
staring at the financing plan. Tom was trying to decide whether or not he should increase his $85 million bid to purchase Anderson’s
- the legendary security guard firm—from its current owner, American Brands. On the previous day, Tom had been told by Morgan
Stanley, American Brands’ investment banker that his bid of $85 million had been rejected and that nothing less than $100 million
would be accepted. While Tom was elated at still being in the deal, he had a problem. PPP’s board of directors had reluctantly
approved the earlier $85 million bid and were sure to balk at a $100 million bid. Tom desperately wanted to buy Anderson’s but was
not sure how much it was worth or how to finance it. Tom knew he had to act now or miss this unprecedented growth opportunity and
probably his last chance to be one of the industry’s biggest players.
Anderson’s
The security guard industry began in 1850 when Allan Anderson founded Anderson’s. The firm gained fame in the nineteenth century
with its pursuit of such outlaws as Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid. Anderson ran his firm until he died in 1884. The company
was then headed by Anderson family until 1967 when the family reign ended with the death of Robert Anderson. American Brands,
the $5 billion consumer goods company purchased Anderson’s for $162 million in 1982. American Brands made the acquisition in
order to expand the service side of its business and because it saw the Anderson’s brand name as a great addition to “a company of
great brand names.” The Anderson family sold the company because they felt the industry was becoming extremely price-competitive
and therefore the company needed a strong parent to compete and grow. In 1987 Anderson’s was among the largest security guard
firms in the United States, with sales over $400 million, 150 offices in the US, Canada, and the UK, and a particular strength in the
eastern United States. Exhibit 1 gives selected financial data for Anderson’s.
Specifically, the task force felt that even though higher prices could lead to reduced revenue, the resulting improvement in gross profit
margins, due to the marketability of the Anderson’s name, would be sufficient to result in greater gross profits. For example, the task
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force believed that a premium price strategy would definitely reduce Anderson’s revenues since that firm had acquired a significant
amount of business since 1985 using a low-price/high market-share strategy.
The new premium pricing strategy would result in Anderson’s revenues shrinking gradually from the 1987 (t = 0) figure of $408.3
million to 90%, 80%, and 70% of the revenues in 1987 level in the following three years (1988, 1989, and 1990, respectively). For the
next two years, revenues will grow at an annual rate of 5%. The task force assumed a steady state growth of 3% thereafter. But the
task force was uncertain in its estimate of the impact of the new strategy on profitability. They expected that the new pricing strategy
would improve Anderson’s gross profit margins from 6.52% (last year 1987) to 8.0% in 1988 and 1989, and 9.0% thereafter. The task
force further expected the new strategy to produce higher margins for PPP, increasing the projected operating profit from PPP’s own
business by $1.2 million in 1989, $1.5 million in 1990, $2.0 million in 1991, and $3 million in 1992. This increase in PPP’s projected
operating profit would be over and above that level that would otherwise have been anticipated in those years, and was expected to
grow at 5% a year, in line with sales, beyond 1992. (Exhibit 3 gives a five-year forecast of PPP’s net income and cash flow assuming
Anderson’s is not acquired).
The task force was confident that, as a result of eliminating common overhead, Anderson’s operating expenses, as a percentage of
sales, could be reduced to 6% in 1988, 5.9% in 1989, and 5.8% in 1990 and beyond. The task force was also confident that Anderson’s
Net Property, Plant, and Equipment (NPPE) could be reduced to 4% of sales and maintained at that percentage relationship for the
foreseeable future. NPPE of Anderson last year (1987) was at $17.6 million. The annual depreciation expense was negligible. The task
force expected that Anderson’s net working capital, as a percentage of sales, could be reduced to 8.6% in 1988, 7.4% in 1989, and
6.2% thereafter.
In addition to current financial market conditions, the financial analyst (Jerry) in the task force took special notice of Wackenhut, the
only publicly traded security guard firm which could be used as a proxy (pure play) to estimate Anderson’s cost of capital (WACC).
Anderson and Wackenhut had similarities on multiple counts: same business and business risk; financial risk will also converge with
similar debt level. Hence Jerry suggested since the capital structure of Anderson would be very similar to Wackenhut, we should use
Wackenhut’s market debt and stock data to estimate the weights as well as cost of each component of capital (See Exhibits 4 and 5).
Wackenhut’s interest-bearing debt was mostly in the form of 5-year maturity bonds with a coupon rate of 5% paid semi-annually and
currently trading at $1,022. The bonds maturity value was $1,000. Jerry thought the yield-to-maturity of the Wackenhut’s bonds would
provide a reasonable estimate of cost of debt for Anderson. The bonds were classified in the ‘A’ category by Moody’s.
Tom did not receive a response to his bid of $85 million for two weeks. Tom knew another firm had bid more than PPP and that Morgan
Stanley was negotiating with that firm. When Morgan Stanley finally called and told Tom his $85 million bid was too low, and that
nothing less than $100 million would be accepted, Tom was elated that he had another chance to buy Anderson’s. But he suspected the
reason Morgan Stanley had finally called him was that the other buyer had been unable to finance their higher bid. Tom sat in his office
and prepared to make the biggest decision of his career. As an entrepreneur and an experienced security guard executive, Tom was
sure Anderson’s was a good buy. How could he justify a $100 million bid for Anderson, particularly in light of his earlier bid of $85
million? And how could he convince the board members for a $100 million bid?
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Exhibit 2: Selected PPP Financial Data (in $millions)
Year Ending Year Ending
12/31/86 12/31/87(E)
Exhibit 3: Five-year Forecast of PPP Income and Cash Flow (in $ millions)a
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
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Exhibit 5: Selected Capital Market Information as of November 1987