Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Group Assignment: TOPIC: The Business Performance Analysis
Group Assignment: TOPIC: The Business Performance Analysis
----------
GROUP ASSIGNMENT
TOPIC: The business performance analysis
of Tuong An Company
Teacher: Ha Phuoc Vu
Class: 42K06.2
Group: 2
Members: Nguyen Thi Kim Hoa
Huynh Thi Tham
Vo Thu Tuyen
Nguyen Thi Ly Na
Da Nang, 2019
Contents
Contents............................................................................................................................. 1
Tables................................................................................................................................. 4
1. Introduction.................................................................................................................... 3
2. INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS...........................................................................................4
2.1. Macro environment..................................................................................................4
2.1.1. Politics............................................................................................................... 4
2.1.2. Economic........................................................................................................... 5
2.1.3. Social................................................................................................................. 5
2.1.4. Technology........................................................................................................5
2.1.5. Legal.................................................................................................................. 6
2.1.6. Environment......................................................................................................6
2.1.7. Threat from Substitute Products........................................................................6
2.1.8. Bargaining Power of Buyers..............................................................................7
3. FINANCIAL STRUCTURE ANALYSIS.....................................................................7
3.1. Assets structure analysis ( Table 3.1).......................................................................7
3.1.1. Proportion of cash & equivalent........................................................................7
3.1.2. Proportion of account receivable short-term......................................................7
3.1.3. Proportion of inventories...................................................................................8
3.1.4. Proportion of other current assets......................................................................8
3.1.5. Proportion of fixed assets:.................................................................................8
3.1.6. Proportion of other non-current assets...............................................................8
3.2. Resource structure analysis ( Table 3.2)..................................................................3
3.2.1. Financial autonomy...........................................................................................3
3.3. Analysis of funding stability (Table 3.3).................................................................4
3.3.1. Short-term resources..........................................................................................4
3.3.2. Long-term resources..........................................................................................4
3.3.3. Owner’s equity/ Long- term resources ratio......................................................5
3.4. Financial balance analysis.......................................................................................6
3.4.1. Long-term financial balance..............................................................................6
3.4.2. Short-term financial balance..............................................................................7
3.4.3. Cost of capital....................................................................................................7
4. Analysis of assets use efficiency....................................................................................8
1
4.1. Assets turnover ratio................................................................................................8
4.2. The fixed asset turnover ratio..................................................................................9
4.3. Days of working capital turnover...........................................................................10
4.4. Inventory turnover period......................................................................................13
4.5. Account receivable from customer turnover period...............................................14
5. Analysis of operating profitability...............................................................................15
5.1. Return on sale (ROS) (Table 5.1)..........................................................................15
5.2. Return on asset (ROA) (Table 5.1).......................................................................15
5.3. Disaggregating ROA.............................................................................................18
5.4. Return on equity (ROE).........................................................................................19
5.5. Return on asset variance (RE)................................................................................19
6. Impact factors to ROE..................................................................................................20
6.1. ROS and asset turnover..........................................................................................20
6.2. Self-fund ratio........................................................................................................21
6.3. Debt to equity ratio................................................................................................22
6.4. Interest coverage ratio............................................................................................24
7. Profitability analysis....................................................................................................26
7.1. Return on capital employed (ROCE).....................................................................26
7.2. Earnings per share (EPS):......................................................................................27
7.3. Price/earning ratio (P/E)........................................................................................28
7.4. Book value per share (BV/BVPS).........................................................................28
8. Indicator from cash flow (Table 8.1)...........................................................................29
8.1. Cash flow margin ratio..........................................................................................29
8.2. Cash flow from operating to net income................................................................29
8.3. Cash flow per share...............................................................................................30
8.4. Cash flow return on asset.......................................................................................30
9. Business risk analysis...................................................................................................31
9.1. Variance................................................................................................................. 31
9.2. The degree of operating leverage (DOL)...............................................................33
9.3. Risk ratio...............................................................................................................34
9.4. The degree of finacial leverage (DFL)...................................................................34
10. Insolvency risk...........................................................................................................35
10.1. Short term liquidity risk.......................................................................................35
10.1.1. Current liabilities coverage ratio....................................................................35
2
10.1.2. Current assets turnover..................................................................................38
10.1.3. Days of working capital required:.................................................................40
10.1.4. Days of accounts capital financing provided:................................................40
10.1.5. Cash to cash cycle / cash operating cycle......................................................42
10.2. Long-term solvency risk......................................................................................42
10.2.1. Debt ratio.......................................................................................................42
10.2.2. Interest coverage ratio (Times interest earned)..............................................44
10.3. Credit rating.........................................................................................................46
11. Business valuation......................................................................................................48
3
Tables
Table 3.1.Asset structure analysis..................................................................................3
Table 3.2.Resource structure analysis...........................................................................4
Table 3.3. Analysis of funding stability..........................................................................5
Table 3.4.Short-term financial balance.........................................................................6
Table 3.5.Long-term financial balance..........................................................................7
Table 3.6.Cost of capital................................................................................................8
Table 4.1.Assets turnover ratio......................................................................................9
Table 4.2. The fixed asset turnover ratio.....................................................................10
Table 4.3.Analysis of assets use efficiency...................................................................12
Table 4.4. Inventory Turnover Period..........................................................................13
Table 5.1.Analysis of operating profitability................................................................17
Table 5.2. Disaggregating ROA...................................................................................18
Table 5.3.Return on equity (ROE)...............................................................................19
Table 5.4. Return on asset variance (RE)....................................................................20
Table 6.1. ROE is affected by ROS and asset turnover................................................21
Table 6.2.ROE is affected by Self-fund ratio................................................................22
Table 6.3.ROE is affected by Debt to equity ratio........................................................23
Table 6.4.ROE is affected by Interest coverage ratio...................................................25
Table 7.1. Return on capital employed (ROCE)..........................................................26
Table 7.2. Earnings per share (EPS)...........................................................................27
Table 7.3. Book value per share..................................................................................28
Table 8.1. Indicator from cash flow.............................................................................31
Table 9.1.Sales, Profit, ROS, ROA, ROE.....................................................................32
9.2. Variance, Standard deviation, and Coefficient of variation..................................32
Table 9.3.The degree of operating leverage.................................................................33
Table 9.4.Risk ratio......................................................................................................34
Table 9.5.The degree of finacial leverage....................................................................35
Table 10.1.Current liabilities coverage ratio...............................................................36
Table 10.2.Current assets turnover..............................................................................38
Table 10.3.Days of working capital required...............................................................40
Table 10.4.Days of accounts capital financing provided.............................................41
Table 10.5.Additional days obtained financing............................................................42
4
Table 10.6.Debt ratio...................................................................................................44
Table 10.7.Interest coverage ratio...............................................................................45
Table 10.8.Altman Z-score...........................................................................................47
Table 10.9.Altman Z-score...........................................................................................48
Table 11.1.The earnings valuation of the company.....................................................49
5
The business performance analysis Class 42k06.2
Group 2
1. Introduction
Name: Công ty cổ phần Dầu thực vật Tường An – Tuong An Vegetable oil
Joint Stock Company.
Address: F10 Empress Tower 138-142 Hai Ba Trung Street Đa Kao District 1
Ho Chi Minh City.
The growth:
Tuong An Company has products such as fried oil premium oil nutritional oil
and solid oil.
Pan-fried Oils: Cooking Oil. Longevity Oils Refined Olive Oil Refined
Vegetable Oils
Premium Oil: Extra Virgin Olive Oil Canola Oil (Refined Canola Oil) Refined
Sunflower Oil Refined Soybean Oil Refined Sesame Oil Refined Peanut Oil.
Fields:
Trading importing and exporting all kinds of machines materials and raw
materials for production and processing of vegetable oil.
Producing and trading spices in the food processing industry sauce instant food
products.
Trading and consigning agent; trading entertainment area; cultural activities and
rental premises houses.
2. INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS
2.1.1. Politics
In the era of openness free trade and exchange, the government is also
interested in many aspects of businesses. With preferential tax policies and new
business laws, business mechanism has enabled businesses to trade with domestic and
4
The business performance analysis Class 42k06.2
Group 2
foreign partners simply. This is also a favorable condition for businesses in general
and Tuong An in particular to expand the market.
2.1.2. Economic
After the government abolished the subsidy mechanism and shifted to the
market mechanism opening up of integration with the world economy, the Vietnamese
economy had a dramatic change. Previously we tied ourselves up with the mechanism
of "self-sufficiency - now", this "open" mechanism is a cool breeze blowing on
Vietnamese businesses stomping when there is no opportunity to bring Vietnamese
goods. Vietnam became more vibrant than ever. Tuong An Company does not stand
outside not only meet the domestic market but Tuong An products are also present in
many countries globally.
2.1.3. Social
Vegetable oil has been increasingly replaced animal fat. In fact, vegetable oil
has met the needs of cooking ensuring health especially for the elderly because
vegetable oil lowers the level of cholesterol in the blood that is harmful to the heart. In
decades of operation and striving tirelessly, Tuong An is also making a small
contribution to bringing generations who have gone through health and belief in old
age.
2.1.4. Technology
5
The business performance analysis Class 42k06.2
Group 2
Germany. They also make Tuong An keep up with the state-at-the-art technological
trend.
2.1.5. Legal
WTO accession has forced Vietnam to comply with its tariff commitments and
export-related commitments. At present, the Vietnamese legal system still incomplete
that requires to create favorable conditions for businesses. For processing enterprises,
there are legal risks as follows:
-Equitized firms are also affected by the legal system of the stock market. The
legal system still incomplete, especially the lack of legal guiding documents.
2.1.6. Environment
In Vietnam, because the weather conditions and soils are mostly not suitable for
palm oil production. Therefore, the production of cooking oils is mainly imported raw
materials from mainly imported palm oil from Malaysia, Indonesia, thus leading to the
rise in cost.
What’s more, the factory which is in Phu My I Industrial Zone, Ba Ria Vung
Tau, is located near the seaport, will facilitate the company in import and export. Then
we can save transportation costs and input costs. In addition, the company can use
natural gas instead of imported fuel to reduce costs.
It is clear that health is one of the most important concerns in life. However,
due to the specific nature, many products checked are detrimental for health. This is
the main reason for many health problems, so many customers tend to reduce the
usage of Tuong An Company’s products. However, Tuong An's products are still
6
The business performance analysis Class 42k06.2
Group 2
We can see that cash and cash equivalent decreased steadily and bottomed out
at 10.4% until 2018. It means that this firm’s liquidity was getting in trouble. In 2016,
they could pay off 29.3% of their current liabilities compared to a merely 10.4% in
two years.
7
The business performance analysis Class 42k06.2
Group 2
Generally, non-current assets decreased over three years. From 2016 to 2018,
this item decreased by 13,234,098,009 VND, equivalent to 8.35% decrease rate.
Mainly due to fixed asset reduction.
The fixed assets is the main factor in the long-term assets at 11.6%, 7.3%, and
4.7% respectively. During the three-year period, the fixed assets decreased by nearly
7%, this means that the company almost had no more fixed asset investment.
The ratio of other long-term assets increased slightly. Particularly, from 2016 to
2017, this ratio only increased by 0.1% (from 1.6% to 1.7%) and 0.2% (from 1.7% to
1.9%) in 2018.
8
2016 2017 2018
Items
No Value Proportion Value Proportion Value Proportion
3
3.2. Resource structure analysis (Table 3.2)
Total liabilities
Debt ratio= ∗100 %
Total resources(assets)
Overall, the debt ratio per total asset was quite high with 59.26% in 2016 and
69.21% (2018). This ratio demonstrates that the company was dependent from other
debt and excessive debt can lead to a heavy debt repayment burden. Besides, the
company has made good use of benefits of the tax shield but it would be under a lot of
pressure to pay its debt when it was due, thus leading to high insolvent risk.
Self-fund ratio only accounted for 40.74% in 2016. After droping by 2.18% in
2017, that figure continued to decrease by 7.77% in 2018. Hence, financial autonomy
of the company had been weak.
This could mean that investors did not want to fund the business operations
because the company was not performing well. Lack of performance might also be the
reason why the company was seeking out extra debt financing. The increase in Debt/
Owner’s equity indicated that the company was facing a high risk of debt.
3
2 Total resource 1,193,882,641,846 1,568,036,141,604 2,035,582,037,757
3 Debt ratio
59.26% 61.44% 69.21%
(1/2)
4 Total owner’s
486,394,839,694 604,645,855,927 626,775,987,119
equity
5 Total resource 1,193,882,641,846 1,568,036,141,604 2,035,582,037,757
6 Self – fund
40.74% 38.56% 30.79%
ratio (4/5)
7 Total
707,487,802,152 963,390,285,677 1,408,806,050,638
liabilities
8 Total owner’s
486,394,839,694 604,645,855,927 626,775,987,119
equity
9 Debt/Owner’
145.46% 159.33% 224.77%
s equity (7/8)
Table 3.2.Resource structure analysis
3.3. Analysis of funding stability (Table 3.3)
From the table, we can see that the total value of short-term resources per total
resources increased quickly in the last three years. It means TAC had been
increasingly using current liabilities to business activity which demonstrates TAC
makes use of the benefit of tax shield well but the company must face pressure
payment in short future and so it has much risk.
Table shows that long-term resources ratio decreased significantly over three
years but still relatively high. It also means that although company borrowed a lot, it
had plenty of regular capital to balance the capital.
= Inventories + Short-term account receivable & other current asset – Short-term liabilities
Net fund = Cash & cash equivalent + Short-term financial investments – Short-term borrowing
5
4 Short-term liabilities 695,306,904,930 946,465,212,389 1,392,948,587,888
Short-term
5 350,523,774,208 320,563,610,411 551,234,673,057
borrowing
6 Current assets 1,035,437,560,726 1,423,014,730,537 1,890,371,054,646
NWC requirement
7 340,752,097,158 148,731,010,938 702,890,862,529
(1)+(2)+(3)-(4)+(5)
8 NWC (6)-(4) 340,130,655,796 476,549,518,148 497,422,466,758
Where:
7
4. Analysis of assets use efficiency
8
We see that asset use efficiency decreased from 2016 to 2018. It is a negative
sign to show that the company's assets are inefficiently used.
Days of working capital expresses how much of net operating working capital
is invested for achieving one dong of daily sales. From opposite angle, we can also
express it as how many days a company takes to convert its working capital into
revenue. Lower the days of working capital, better is the efficiency of working capital
management and vice versa.
The days of working capital turnover significantly increased between 2016 and
2018 from 94 days in 2016 to 102 days in 2017 and 133 days in 2018. This ratio is not
positive signal to show that the company used working capital efficiently.
10
Variance
No Items 2016 2017 2018 between 2017 Variance between
and 2016 2018 and 2017
11
4.4. Inventory turnover period
Inventory turnover is a ratio showing how many times a company has sold and
replaced inventory during a given period. Calculating inventory turnover can help
businesses make better decisions on pricing, manufacturing, marketing and purchasing
new inventory.
2 Inventory in the
609,292,126,278 541,756,313,649 581,645,608,624
beginning
4 Average
inventory 575,524,219,964 561,700,961,137 712,222,491,019
[(2+3)/2]
6 Inventory
turnover period 58 54 67
[360/(5)]
Table 4.10. Inventory Turnover Period
As can be seen from the table, the inventory turnover period of this firm
fluctuated during this give period. However, the inventory turnover period in 2018 was
the highest and the lowest number of inventory turnover was in 2017. It indicates that
a company has sold and replaced inventory 67 times in 2018 and 54 times in 2017.
Hence, the performance in 2016 and 2017 of this firm experienced a downward trend
before an increase until 2018. This cisumstance shows that this firm’s current
strategies were pretty good.
12
4.5. Account receivable from customer turnover period
Net sale+VAT
Account receivable ¿ customer turnover= customer ¿
Average Account receivable ¿
360
Account receivable ¿ customer turnover period=
Average Account receivable turnover
3 Receivable in the
87,486,275,024 274,738,606,805 166,505,245,254
beginning
4 Receivable in the
116,293,525,685 166,505,245,254 665,561,444,575
end
5 Average
Receivable 101,889,900,355 220,621,926,030 416,033,344,915
[(3+4)/2]
6 Accounts
receivable 39 6 0.3
turnover [(1+2)/5]
7 Accounts
receivable
9 60 1,200
turnover period
(360/6)
Table 2.5. Account receivable from customer turnover period
The accounts receivable turnover ratio measures how many times a business
can collect its average accounts receivable during the year. This ratio shows how
efficient a company is at collecting its credit sales from customers.
In this case, accounts receivable turnover period is used to estimate how many
times a business can collect its average accounts receivable during 360 days. It is clear
that the accounts receivable turnover and the accounts receivable turnover period have
an opposite direction. For instance, accounts receivable turnover in 2016 was the
lowest
13
while accounts receivable turnover period was the highest in three years. Meanwhile,
the number of accounts receivable turnover period rose significantly during this period
due to the increase in average accounts receivable from customers.
In year 2016 return on sales was 2.10%. it means that 100 dong sales could
create 2.10 dong profit after tax. This number shows that the company had managed
the cost good, however this ratio increased in 2017 and decreased until 2018. This
problem was probably due to the increase in materials cost.
14
No Ratio 2016 2017 2018
15
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
1.Profit before
83,840,768,767 166,145,329,163 136,231,705,406
tax
3.Return on
2.10% 3.80% 3.07%
sales (ROS) (1/2)
6.Assets
3.30 3.16 2.46
turnover (4/5)
7.Return on
assets ROA 6.93% 12.03% 7.56%
(3*6)
The rate of generating revenue from assets was also low and decreased slightly
over 3 years. In short, if Return on Sales and Assets turnover is low, ROA is low.
Certificate the business did not maintain the efficiency in the use of its assets.
16
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
N
Items 2016 2017 2018
o
2 Average owner's
467,025,994,514.5 545,520,347,810.5 615,710,921,523
equity
Currently, the ROE of food industry is 26% (Cophieu68.vn on Oct 17th, 2019).
Hence, in comparison with ROE of food industry, this circumstance shows that this
firm should offer strategies to improve its performance.
RE excludes the effect of the funding policy. RE expresses the asset use
efficiency without the use of debt-equity. RE is compared with the interest rate to
17
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
determine whether the company should borrow money from banks or raise equity from
owners
18
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
N
Items 2016 2017 2018
o
3 Average total
1,209,932,489,273 1,380,959,391,725 1,801,809,089,680.50
assets
4 Average
467,025,994,514.50 545,520,347,810.50 615,710,921,523
owner's equity
In this case, one hundred dong of net revenue from 2016 to 1018 will generate
14.36; 24.34; and 17.68 dong of profit respectively. The more ROS, the greater
efficiency of the business. In 2017, ROS increased slightly by 3.8%. Compared to
2017, ROS in 2018 decreased slightly by 6.64%. This shows company boosted the
performance of the business, but the percentage is very small negligible.
19
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
3 Total assets in
1,193,882,641,846 1,568,036,141,604 2,035,582,037,757
current year
5 Total average
1,209,932,489,273 1,380,959,392,725 1,801,809,090,680.5
assets [(3+4)/2]
As can be seen from the table, it is clear that the self-fund ratio and ROE have
an opposite direction. In other words, when the enterprise's ability to finance planned
investments from its own resources decreases, the amount of profit that common
stockholders can receive increase. For instance, in 2016, the self-fund ratio was the
highest while ROE bottomed out, at 13.60% in three years. It means that while the
Tuong An's ability to finance planned investments in 2016 was the strongest, Tuong
An’s common stockholders could received only 13.6 dong/ 100 dong of equity.
Similarly, during this period, while the self-fund ratio dropped by 9.95%, Tuong An’s
common stockholders increased by 6,04 dong of profit.
20
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
4 Total average
1,209,932,489,273 1,380,959,392,725 1,801,809,090,680.5
assets [(3+4)/2]
5 Debt to equity
1.59 1.53 1.93
ratio
6 1+ Debt to
equity ratio 2.59 2.53 2.93
financing (bank loans) is used than investor financing (shareholders). The debt to
equity ratio of food industry is 98% and ROE of food industry is 26% (Cophieu68.vn
on Oct 17th, 2019).
The debt to equity ratio from 2016 to 2017 decreased because total average
equity in 2017 was higher than that in 2016. Conversely, this ratio in the next year was
larger than 2017 due to the decrease of total average equity.
This ratio fluctuates over the years. However, from 2017 to 2018, the
relationship between debt to ratio and ROE was in reverse order. In detail, when debt
to equity ratio increases, ROE will decrease. It means that the large amount of debt
that company borrowed from banks or creditors makes the profit of shareholders
decrease. Besides, compared to debt to equity ratio of food industry, the debt to equity
ratio of this firm was extremely low and this is a positive sign. Meanwhile, in
comparison with ROE of food industry, this circumstance shows that this firm should
offer strategies to improve its performance.
22
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
2 Interest
expenses 16,010,915,372 15,891,432,551 17,868,306,034
4 Total average
1,209,932,489,273 1,380,959,392,725 1,801,809,090,680.5
assets
As you can see from the table, during the given time, this company's riskiness
relative to its current debt or for future borrowing in 2016 was the highest because ICR
in this year was the lowest. However, this situation was improved in two years time.
From 2016 to 2017, ICR increased because interest expense that this firm had to pay in
2017 decreased significantly rather than 2016. Interest expense in 2018 was higher
23
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
than 2017, making ICR in this year declined slightly by 3.34%. Meanwhile, RE in
three years fluctuated slightly.
Therefore, ICR, RE and ROE have the same direction. In other words, when
ICR and RE increased, ROE rose. In contrast, ROE decreased if ICR and RE dropped.
As a result, the higher risk is, the more shareholders’ profit is.
7. Profitability analysis
EBIT
ROCE= ∗100 %
Capital employed
EBIT
¿ ∗100 %
Total assets – Short term liabilities
Short term
5 695,306,904,930 946,465,212,389 1,392,948,587,888
liabilities
6 ROCE(3/(4-5)) 20.03% 29.29% 23.98%
24
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
EPS is the monetary value of earnings per outstanding share of common stock
for a company. The resulting number serves as an indicator of a company's
profitability. It is a tool that market participants use frequently to gauge the
profitability of a company before buying its shares.
Dividends on
2 0 0 0
Preferred Stock
Weight average
number of
3 32,266,332 32,654,233 33,877,932
common shares
outstanding
4 EPS((1-2)/3) 1959.08 3902.87 3116.50
Table 7.20. Earnings per share (EPS)
EPS shows that in 2016 the company earned VND 1959.08 dong for each of its
shares, similar to 2017 at VND 3902.87 and in 2018 of VND 3116.50. In 2017, this
higher ratio means that the company has more profit to distribute to its shareholders. In
2018 the EPS dropped, which means the company made less profit. It can be seen that
25
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
the reason for the decline of EPS is the increase in the number of outstanding shares or
the company issuing more shares to the market.
Table shows that P/E ratio declined sharply over 3 years. P/E in 2016 was the
highest in 3 years and was equal to 20.26 times. It means that 2016 stock price was
about 20 times higher than earnings on that stock. In other words, investors had to pay
about 20 VND per 1 VND profit. P/E in 2018 was lowest, which indicates that the
company's stock price was undervalued. Besides, earnings per share was at a high
level. The low P/E might be due to the rapid decline in the stock market price, EPS
increased but not significantly. It can be a bad sign when assessing the performance of
the business.
Total shareholder
4 equity 486,394,839,694 604,645,855,927 626,775,987,119
5 Preferred equity 0 0 0
Total outstanding
6 shares 18,980,200 33,879,648 33,876,148
CFO
CF margin = Total revenue
CFO
CF from operations to net income = Net income
CF from operations to net income fluctuated widely over 3 years, caused by the
strong volatility of CFO. The reasons for the unstable CFO mentioned above. Between
2016 and 2017, the index was higher than one and increased rapidly. It means that the
amount of cash that the company’s profit was increasing and it was able to finance its
performance at the expense of the operating activity. In 2018, the company’s profit
was still high but lower than in 2017 and CFO was negative. It indicates that over 1
dong of revenue earned on an enterprise that doesn't get any cash at all. In the year,
27
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
because the receivables from customers was too big and the business still did not
recoverred the money, the business was profitable but the money at the unit was not
available.
CFO
CF per share = Average number of common shares of outstanding
CF per share in 2017 was much higher than 2016, illustrating that the
company's finance was relatively strong and cash was created from common share
increased dramatically. But in 2018, this ratio was bad because of the value of CFO.
Thereby, it shows that cash created from common share falling dramatically.
CFO
CF return on assets = Total assets
This ratio rose in 2017 and fell in 2018. It tells that in 2017, the company made
relatively efficient use of its assets. This is may a good signal for the company because
they have more cash flow to reinvest for growth and to return to shareholders. And for
2018, assets increased sharply due to new investments in some machinery, equipment,
software, capital construction investment completed, accounts receivable too much.
Besides, capital construction investment completed and put into use, accounts
receivable rose too much. In sum, the company did not effectively use its assets in
2018.
28
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
3,977,927,992,05
2 Total revenue 2 4,337,772,721,063 4,408,696,880,121
Average number of
common shares of
6 outstanding 18,980,200 33,879,648 33,876,148
1,193,882,641,84
8 Total assets 6 1,568,036,141,604 2,035,582,037,757
9.1. Variance
n
2
Var (k) = δ = ∑ ( ki−k ¿ ) x pi
2
i=1
n
δ= √∑
i=1
2
( ki−k ¿ ) x pi
δ
Hbt =
k¿ ¿
29
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
NO Items 2016 2017 2018
1 Sales 3,978 billion VND 4,338 billion VND 4,409 billion VND
2 Profit 67 billion VND 133 billion VND 109 billion VND
3 ROS 2.10% 3.80% 3.07%
4 ROA 6.94% 12.03% 7.56%
5 ROE 14.34% 24.34% 17.68%
Table 9.23.Sales, Profit, ROS, ROA, ROE
N Items Variance Standard deviation Coefficient of variation
o
1 Sales 35,600 188.6796 0.0445
2 Profit 744 27.2764 0.2648
3 ROS 0.4849 0.6963 0.2329
4 ROA 5.1415 2.2675 0.2565
From the table, we can see that TAC’s sales had low coefficient, which means
that sales didn’t change much in the last three years. Coefficient of variation of profit,
ROS, ROA, ROE was higher than sales. It indicates that the variability of those
indicators was higher due to the fluctuation of profit. This also shows the relative level
of risk. (Because there are insufficient data for three years of industry average’s
indicators, it is not possible to assess how high or low the risk is relative to the
industry average).
30
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
31
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
unpredictable while the EBIT in 2017 was the most stable. This circumstance reveals
that this firm’s operating policies should be improved to maintain the EBIT stably.
Sales
Risk ratio = Sales−Break even sales
Where:
Break even sales = Cost of good sold + Selling costs + Administrative costs
32
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
its capital structure. The effect of finacial leverage emerges if a company uses debt
financing.
In 2016, the company had a high interest expense but a low profit before tax so
the company had a high probability of insolvency. In 2017, interest expense decreased
and profit before tax increased, so the probability of insolvency decreased. In 2018, the
probability of insolvency increased slightly due to lower profit before tax and
increased interest expense.
33
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
The current ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay
short-term obligations or those due within one year. It tells investors and analysts how
34
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
a company can maximize the current assets on its balance sheet to satisfy its current debt
and other payables.
Current ratio of the company fluctuated wildly from 2016 to 2018. From 2016 to
2017, current ratio increased before decreasing again until 2018. Besides, the
company's short-term liquidity ratio was greater than 1, indicating that the company
was still able to pay its short-term debts. This shows that the payment risk of the firm
was low, the firm increased investment in short-term assets, and reduced short-term
debt. As a result, it created a peace of mind for investors and creditors.
Quick ratio
As well as with the current ratio, the company's quick ratio also fluctuated. From
2016 to 2017, this figure fell from 0.66 to 0.84. Quick ratio shows the company's
ability to pay immediately by short-term assets was high liquidity, ensuring the ability
to pay more than the current ratio. We see that the ratio of fast pay was always high, it
was similar to the current ratio. In summary, it can be seen that the company's ability
to pay short-term debt in the period 2016 - 2018 was at a good level.
Cash ratio
From 2016 to 2018, cash ratio experienced a wild fluctuation. In 2017, cash ratio
was 0,31. This means that business only had enough cash and equivalents to pay off 31
percent of business current liabilities. It is infrequent for an enterprise to had sufficient
cash and cash equivalents to meet short-term liabilities. Therefore, this ratio less than 1
also not significant effect. Businesses could take advantage of the extant part to invest
35
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
to get higher sales. However, in year 2018, this ratio was 1,5. It dramatically increased
compared to 2016. It means that all the current liabilities could be paid with cash and
equivalents, the creditor would be assured of loans for business.
N Target
2016 2017 2018
o
1 Cost of goods sold 3,603,759,875,433 3,773,926,331,144 3,846,447,929,113
2 Average inventories 575,524,219,964 561,700,961,137 712,222,491,019
3 Inventory turnover
6.23 6.72 5.4
(1/2)
4 Sales 3,977,927,992,052 1,327,755,422,476 108,846,003,290
5 VAT output 25,722,396,150 2,576,323,547 35,856,615,313
6 Average accounts
101,889,900,355 220,621,926,030 416,033,344,915
receivable
7 Accounts
receivable 39 6 0.3
turnover (4+5/6)
8 Purchases 3,536,224,062,804 3,813,815,626,119 4,107,601,693,902
36
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
9 Average accounts
742,906,494,759 821,939,043,915 1,172,598,168,158
payable
10 Accounts payable
5 5 4
turnover (8/9)
Table 10.29.Current assets turnover
Inventory turnover
Inventory turnover is a ratio showing how many times a company has sold and
replaced inventory during a given period. A company can then divide the days in the
period by the inventory turnover formula to calculate the days it takes to sell
the inventory on hand.
Receivables turnover
We can see that accounts receivable turnover in 2016 was 39 and then this ratio
decreased from 6 to 0.3. It indicates that the company had policies in order to collect
money from customers quite effective. This help company could use this money so as
to invest.
Accounts payable turnover is a ratio that measures the speed with which a
company pays its suppliers. ... If a company is paying its suppliers very quickly, it may
mean that the suppliers are demanding fast payment terms, or that the company is
taking advantage of early payment discounts.
37
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
Accounts payable turnover tends to decrease slightly over the three years. This
shows that the company had higher debt pressure and had to pay faster before raising
capital promptly.
Days of working capital required=Days of inventory held+ Days accounts receivable outstanding
It is clear that days of inventory held fluctuated wildly while days of accounts
of receivable outstanding experienced an upward trend during this period.
Consequently, days of working capital required increased significantly from 2016 to
2018. It means that this firm’s inventory and accounting receivables were not efficient.
Days of accounts capital financing provided=Days of accounts payableoutstanding + Days of working capi
Where:
38
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
The rise in Days of account payable outstanding and days of working capital financing
need from other sources triggered off the upward trend of Days of accounts capital
financing provided, indicating the inefficiency of using working capital.
Additional days obtained financing=Days of working capital required+ Days of accounts capital financing p
39
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
As can be seen from the above table, there was an increase in both Days of
working capital required and Days of accounts capital financing provided, thus
boosting the additional days obtained financing in three years.
This revealed that the CFO/current liabilities ratio decreased gradually and this
firm had to depend on short-term borrowing. As a result, this firm was encoutering a
high risk during this term.
Total liabilities
Liabilities to assets ratio = Total assets
From the table, it is apparent that liabilities to assets ratio of TAC experienced
an upward trend over 3 years. This indicator shows that most of the company's assets
were financed through debt (in which short-term debt was more than long-term debt).
Particularly for 2016, liabilities to assets ratio of the industry average was 45.33%, so
this rate is 13.92% higher than the industry average. If it keeps going up, it is likely
that the company's ability to borrow money will decrease.
Total liabilities
Liabilities to shareholder’s equity ratio =
Total shareholde r ' s equity
40
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
The table shows that liabilities to shareholder’s equity ratio was higher than 1
and increased steadily for 3 years. Compared to the industry average in 2016, this
index is 62.52% higher. It indicates that the company was financed by creditors rather
than from shareholders, which might be a dangerous trend. Because the company's
ability to use shareholder’s equity to pay debts decreased. It also means that the degree
of leverage of the company was high and so it will face with many risks.
Long−term debt
¿
Long−term debt +Total shareholde r ' s equity
Long−term debt
Long-term debt to shareholder’s equity ratio =
Total shareholde r ' s equity
This indicator indicates that the company uses what percentage of long-term
debt to equity as a long-term financing. The table shows that this ratio had very small
value and fluctuated slightly over 3 years. In comparison with the industry average in
2016, it only accounted for 6.78% (The industry average in 2016 was 36.95%, in
cophieu68.com). Thereby, it shows the low risk of solvency in long-term.
N
o Items 2016 2017 2018
41
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
1,568,036,141,60
1,193,882,641,846 2,035,582,037,757
2 Total assets 4
Total
shareholder's 486,394,839,694 604,645,855,927 626,775,987,119
3 equity
4 Long-term debt 12,180,897,222 16,925,073,288 15,857,462,750
Liabilities to
assets ratio 0.5926 0.6144 0.6921
5 (1)/(2)
Liabilities to
shareholder's 1.4546 1.5933 2.2477
equity ratio
6 (1)/(3)
Long-term debt
to long-term 0.0244 0.0272 0.0247
capital ratio (4)/
7 [(3)+(4)]
Long-term debt
to shareholder's 0.0250 0.0280 0.0253
equity ratio
8 (4)/(3)
Table 10.33.Debt ratio
10.2.2. Interest coverage ratio (Times interest earned)
The interest coverage ratio (ICR) is a debt ratio and profitability ratio used to
determine how easily a company can pay interest on its outstanding debt.
- The interest coverage ratio is used to see how well a firm can pay the interest on
outstanding debt.
- Also called the times-interest-earned ratio, this ratio is used by creditors and
prospective lenders to assess the risk of lending capital to a firm.
- A higher coverage ratio is better, although the ideal ratio may vary by industry.
Formula:
42
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
The interest coverage ratio at one point in time can help tell analysts a bit about
the company’s ability to service its debt, but analyzing the interest coverage ratio over
time will provide a clearer picture of whether or not their debt is becoming a burden on
the company’s financial position. A declining interest coverage ratio is something for
investors to be wary of, as it indicates that a company may be unable to pay its debts in
the future.
The Altman Z-score is the output of a credit-strength test that gauges a publicly
traded manufacturing company's likelihood of bankruptcy. The Altman Z-score is
based on five financial ratios that can calculate from data found on a company's annual
report. It uses liquidity, cumulative profitability, return on assets, market leverage,
sales generating potential of assets to predict whether a company has high probability
of being insolvent.
Formula:
Where:
NWC
T1 =
Total Assets
Retained Earning
T2 =
Total Assets
EBIT
T3 = Total Assets
Market value of equity
T4 =
Book value of total liabilities
Sales
T5 = Total Assets
Use Z to predict whether the company is likely to go bankrupt.
If Z > 2.99: “non- bankrupt sector”
If 1.81< Z < 2.99: “gray area”
If Z < 1.81: “bankrupt sector”
Z” =3,25 +6,56T1 +3,26T2 +6,72T3 +1,05T4
Use Z '' to predict whether to invest in the company or not.
Z '' > 5.65 should invest
4.75 <Z '' <5.65 can invest but will face high risk.
Z '' <3.75 should not be invested.
44
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
Use the data of the company in 2018 to calculate the Altman Z-score: (Market price
per share in 2018 are got at Web cophieu68.com)
No Items Year 2018
1 Net Working Capital 497,422,466,758
2 Total Assets 2,035,582,037,757
3 T1 =Net Working Capital /Total Assets 0.2444
4 Retained Earnings 233,818,999,683
5 Total Assets 2,035,582,037,757
6 T2=Retained Earnings/ Total Assets 0.1149
7 EBIT 154,100,011,440
8 Total Assets 2,035,582,037,757
9 T3=EBIT/Total Assets 0.0757
10 Market Value of Equity 900,089,252,360
11 Book Value Of Total Liabilities 1,408,806,050,638
T4=Market Value of Equity/Book Value Of Total
12 0.6389
Liabilities
13 Sales 4,408,696,880,121
14 Total Assets 2,035,582,037,757
15 T5=Sales/ Total Assets 2.166
16 Z= 1.2T1 + 1.4T2 + 3.3T3 + 0.6T4 + 1.0T5 3.25
17 Z”=3,25 +6,56T1 +3,26T2 +6,72T3 +1,05T4 6.41
Table 10.35.Altman Z-score
From the table we can see:
Z= 3.25 > 2.99: "non-bankrupt sector": The company had a healthy finance, no
business problems, the company was not at risk of bankruptcy.
Z’’ = 6.41
45
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
The company was in a safe area. The company had the ability to repay its debts
and financial commitments were quite strong. The investors could invest in this
company.
With this assumption, in order to valuate the TAC’s company in 2018, group 2
will apply the Earnings - residual income valuation approach. Because this approach
aligns more closely to the capital markets and company management’s focus.
Moreover, it requires fewer steps than free cash flows valuation approach. Besides,
this approach also helps to evaluate the performance of enterprises and measure wealth
created for shareholders by the firm. To calculate the residual income valuation of the
business, the formula will be used:
T
¿t −(R E∗BV t −1)
V0 = BV0 + ∑
t =1 (1+ R E)t
Where:
BV0: Book value in year 2016; BVt-1: Book value in year 2017
RE: Required rate of return. Assume that RE does not change within 3 years.
NIt: Net income value of the company at the end of the year 2018.
NIt – (RE * BVt-1): the residual income value of the company in 2018
t: Number of years (3 years)
Items 2016 2017 2018
BV0 25,626.43 17,846.88 18,501.99
Re 6.7% 6.7% 6.7%
NIt 150,115,493,267 218,232,139,615 233,818,999,683
NIt – (RE * BVt-1) - - 233,818,998,487
V0 - - 192,480,436,787
Table 11.37.The earnings valuation of the company
46
The business performance analysis Class
42k06.2
Group 2
We cannot compute V0 in 2016 and 2017. Because this is a discount from 2016
to 2018, we can only compute the V 0 in 2018. Compared to companies operating at the
same sector, the earnings valuation of TAC in 2018 was pretty appreciated
(finance.vietstock.vn). It means that this firm’s performance was good and wealth
created for shareholders by the firm was high.
47