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Asia-Pacific Tourism 2019: Market Trends, Opportunities and The Challenges Facing Tourism Organizations
Asia-Pacific Tourism 2019: Market Trends, Opportunities and The Challenges Facing Tourism Organizations
In cooperation with
At TripAdvisor, we understand that the rapid rise of travel into destinations can
present both opportunity and challenges for the tourism organizations tasked
with growth.
Almost half a billion travelers use TripAdvisor every month to shape their travel
plans, together viewing billions of pages of ideas to help them shape their perfect
trip, and because of this we at TripAdvisor take very seriously take the enormity
of our role and the power of our platform. Identifying the market trends for
these destinations is therefore vital, hence the premise behind the Asia Pacific
Destination Leadership Summit we held in Sydney in December 2018 – the first of
many more to come.
In partnership with the World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) and the Pacific Asia
Travel Association (PATA), we sought to answer some questions: How is travel in
the region growing? Where is this growth coming from and what digital habits are
driving this development? What do destinations need to meet the needs of the
21st Century traveller? Are destinations prepared to handle the influx of visitors
and how do they need to prepare to foster sustainable growth for the long term?
Along with market sizing and consumer research by Phocuswright, this white
paper delves into the key topics that surfaced in these discussions with tourism
organization leaders across the Asia Pacific region. We hope these insights are
useful as more destinations around the world rise in popularity and have today
the opportunity to anticipate these challenges and begin to get ahead of the
immense competition.
Thank you,
Gary Fritz
Chief Growth Officer and President of Asia Pacific
About
Phocuswright is the travel industry research authority on how travelers,
suppliers and intermediaries connect. Independent, rigorous and unbiased,
Phocuswright fosters smart strategic planning, tactical decision-making and
organizational effectiveness.
To complement its primary research in North and Latin America, Europe and Asia,
Phocuswright produces several high-profile conferences in the United States
and Europe, and partners with conferences in China, Singapore and the United
Arab Emirates. Industry leaders and company analysts bring this intelligence to
life by debating issues, sharing ideas and defining the ever-evolving reality of
travel commerce.
Phocuswright also operates PhocusWire, a media service that covers the world
of digital travel 365 days a year with a range of news, analysis, commentary and
opinion from across the travel, tourism and hospitality sector.
The company is headquartered in the United States with Asia Pacific operations
based in India and local analysts on five continents.
Contents
Table of Contents Table of Charts
Introduction 5 Figure 1 7
Global Online and Total Travel Market (US$B)
Methodology 6 and CAGR, 2016-2021
Figure 6 11
Overtourism and Strategic Growth 13
Methods for Sharing Trip Experiences (U.S. Travelers)
Looking Ahead 17
Introduction
Already the world’s largest regional travel market, Asia Pacific (APAC) continues to
develop at a rapid pace. Tourism infrastructure improvements, high mobile adoption,
expanding access to digital payments and rising disposable incomes are fueling
increased tourism and online growth. Many of APAC’s diverse travel markets are
achieving strong gains, but the rapid changes have also brought fresh challenges to the
region’s tourism organizations.
Dramatic shifts in traveler behavior call for innovative approaches from travel mar-
keters, as consumer demand for mobile, social media and personalization grow. At the
same time, popular tourist destinations in some markets are struggling to respond to
the surge in visitation, and destination marketers increasingly wrestle with big-picture
issues, including climate change, natural disasters, security and sustainability.
In December 2018, the inaugural Asia Pacific Destination Leadership Summit, held in
Sydney, Australia, brought together high-ranking leaders from tourism organizations
and ministries from across the region. Organized by TripAdvisor, the World Tourism
Organization (UNWTO) and the Pacific Asia Travel Association (PATA), the Summit
addressed key challenges facing the tourism government sector, highlighting success-
ful tactics and long-term strategic solutions. During the conference, interviews with
destination marketing leaders in the region provided additional insights, many of which
are featured here.
Based on interviews with six tourism organization leaders who attended the summit
as well as Phocuswright market sizing and consumer research, this paper surveys key
global and APAC travel trends and examines their impact on the region’s tourism organ-
izations. The paper explores the issues facing APAC destinations in the 21st century,
identifying destination management approaches with the potential to foster beneficial
results and sustainable growth for the long term.
Methodology
This paper, commissioned by TripAdvisor, features the results of extensive interviews
with high-ranking leaders representing tourism organizations in the APAC region.
Phocuswright conducted these interviews from December 4-6, 2018, during the Asia
Pacific Destination Leadership Summit. To provide context, the trends and challenges
identified in these interviews are presented alongside Phocuswright consumer and
market sizing data. Consumer survey results are drawn from Phocuswright research,
including U.S. Traveler Technology Survey Eighth Edition, Indian Consumer Travel
Report 2017 and Digital Traveler publications focused on Australia, Japan and South
Korea. Phocuswright’s proprietary global market sizing is based on interviews across
markets, public filings and other third-party data sources.
From 2008-1H15, APAC travel startups received a larger share of global funding than
any other region, and technology adoption among APAC travelers has altered the way
travelers research, book and share travel experiences. These tech-driven changes in
consumer behavior and increased global and regional tourism have created fresh op-
portunities and challenges for APAC tourism organizations. This section tracks APAC
travel trends in the context of the global travel market.
Over the past several years, the global tourism industry enjoyed a period of overall
health following the financial crisis of the previous decade. The global travel market
reached $1.4 trillion in 2018, and gross bookings are projected to rise to $1.6 billion by
2021 (see Figure 1). Even accounting for potentially slowing growth over the next two
years, Phocuswright projects a travel market combined annual growth rate (CAGR)
from 2016-2021 of 6%.
With the shift to digital channels continuing worldwide, online travel grew nearly twice
as fast as the overall market, with online CAGR at 11% over the same time period.
Online gross bookings will rise from $642 billion in 2018 to $838 billion by 2021, amid a
rapid rise in mobile transactions.
In APAC, as in many travel markets worldwide, total travel market growth is outpacing
overall economic gains. With the exception of South Korea and Hong Kong, APAC travel
markets are expanding faster than GDP on a local currency basis. In Malaysia, for exam-
ple, travel gross bookings rose a projected 9.7% in 2018, compared to GDP growth of
Figure 1:
Global Online and Total Travel Market (US$B) and CAGR, 2016-2021
1,562 1,637
1,400 1,478
1,303
CAGR: 2016-2021 1,226
4.7%. In China, the region’s largest individual travel market by a wide margin, travel gross
bookings jumped 9.7%, versus GDP gains of 6.6% (see Figure 2).
Figure 2:
APAC Gross Domestic Product and Total Travel Market, Annual Change (%, Local Currencies) by Market, 2018*
9.7% 10.1%
8.7% Total Travel Market
7.6% 7.7%
7.3% 7.0% Gross Domestic Product
6.6%
6.3%
5.1%
4.7% 4.6% 4.7%
4.6% 4.1%
3.8%
3.2%
2.9% 2.9%
2.7% 2.7%
1..5% 1.5% 1.1%
India China Macau Indonesia Malaysia Thailand Hong Kong ANZ** Singapore Taiwan South Korea Japan
Figure 3:
TripAdvisor Sessions for APAC Destinations, APAC Inbound and Inter-APAC Travelers
Inter-APAC +23%
Inbound +6%
Aug-16
Aug-18
Dec-16
Feb-16
Feb-18
Dec-15
Apr-16
Apr-18
Oct-16
Oct-18
Aug-17
Dec-17
Oct-15
Feb-17
Apr-17
Jun-16
Oct-17
Jun-18
Jun-17
Mobile
Worldwide, rapid adoption of mobile devices has changed the way travelers research,
shop and book travel and profoundly altered how travelers access information while in
destination. Nowhere is this shift more evident than in Asia Pacific. In 2019, a projected
55% of online travel bookings in the APAC region will be made via a mobile device (see
Figure 4). By comparison, Phocuswright projects mobile share of the online market will
be just 25% in the U.S. and 30% in Europe.
China is the key driver of APAC’s mobile dominance, with mobile in 2019 to account for
nearly 80% of China’s online travel gross bookings (see Figure 5). Smartphone prolif-
eration and the rise of digital payments enabled mobile to become the e-commerce
device of choice in China before desktop bookings gained significant traction. As a re-
sult, China is an outlier among travel markets, and its mobile travel penetration dwarfs
all other markets. However, Chinese travelers are not alone in their hunger for mobile
booking. APAC boasts three of the top five mobile travel markets worldwide: India and
Japan will each have projected mobile travel penetration of 37% in 2019, roughly even
with the U.K.
Figure 4:
Mobile Bookings as a Share of Online Bookings in Leading Markets (%), 2017 and 2019
U.S. 44%
Europe
30%
25% 25%
APAC
19%
Figure 5:
2019 Mobile Share of Online Travel, Global Top 5
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
China U.K. India Japan Germany
Traveler review websites like TripAdvisor remain a key source of travel sharing and re-
search, but travelers are also sharing experiences via social networks and messenging
platforms. While traveler preferences vary by market, global social networks, including
Facebook, Twitter and Instagram, are popular in APAC, as well as APAC-grown players
like Weibo (China) and Line (Japan). Top messenging platforms include Facebook Mes-
senger, WhatsApp and China’s super app WeChat.
In the U.S., a key inbound market for the APAC region, travelers were most likely to
share via social networks and messenging apps due to the overall popularity of com-
municating with friends/family via social media and chat. Nearly half of U.S. travelers
in the past 12 months shared via text messaging, roughly four in 10 posted visuals on
social media sites and nearly one quarter used a messaging app to share (see Figure 6).
Nearly two in 10 took the time to share their experience with other travelers by writing
a review on a travel review website. Beyond having their choice of multiple platforms, it
is now easy for travelers to share rich media – including photos, videos and live streams
– while in-destination.
In addition to using search engines and travel websites, many travelers rely on infor-
mation posted on social networks and online traveler reviews when researching trips.
Across markets, it is typical for a larger share of travelers to consume user-generated
content like travel reviews than to create it. As a result, the impact of a single review or
social media post is amplified. In India, nearly half of online leisure travelers researched
Figure 6:
Methods for Sharing Trip Experiences (U.S. Travelers)
Posting visuals on photo sharing sites such as Instagram and Snapchat 27%
Question: During or after your leisure trips taken in the past 12 months, how have you shared or discussed your travel experiences with others? Select
all that apply.
Base: U.S. online travelers (N=2,102)
Source: U.S. Traveler Technology Survey Eighth Edition
via traveler review websites/apps and social networking websites/apps (see Figure
7). By comparison, roughly four in 10 used a destination website/app. With travelers
routinely sharing trip experiences and researching travel online, destination marketers
must both work to promote positive traveler experiences and be aware of what, where
and how travelers are interacting.
For destination marketers, there are now more devices, more information sources
and more social platforms to contend with, and tourism organizations cite this
fragmentation as a key challenge. Traveler preferences for individual social net-
works or devices are often not the same from one market or age group to the next,
adding to the complexizty.
In fact, preferences are distinct for each individual traveler, and there is a growing
demand for personalization. Interest in receiving personalized recommendations and
offers varies across markets, but many travelers are embracing customized content.
Two thirds of South Korean travelers would be interested in receiving personalized
hotel recommendations, and interest is also high for personalized recommenda-
tions/offers for in-destination activities (60%) and destinations to visit (54%) (see
Figure 8). Half of Japanese travelers and 45% of Australian travelers are interested
in personalized destination suggestions. While privacy concerns are important, the
trend toward personalized online travel shopping experiences is expected to accel-
erate as artificial intelligence, voice interfaces and digital assistants play a growing
role in online travel worldwide.
Figure 7:
Websites/Apps Used to Research Travel (Indian Travelers)
Base: Indian online leisure traveler who researched via online channels (N=2,493)
Source: Indian Consumer Travel Report 2017
Figure 8:
Preference for Personalized Recommendations & Offers
54%
Destinations to visit 50%
45%
60%
In-destination activities 42%
34%
15%
Dining, spa or other amenities 30%
16%
8%
Nightlife and entertainment 5%
9%
2%
None of the above 10%
18%
Question: Which of the following personalized recommendations and offers would you be most interested in receiving?
Base: Leisure travelers: Australia (N=786); Japan (N=811); South Korea (N=753)
Source: Phocuswright’s The Australian Digital Traveler; Phocuswright’s The Japanese Digital Traveler; Phocuswright’s The South Korean Digital Traveler
This section highlights some of the key challenges facing APAC tourism organizations
and outlines strategic approaches to destination management that can foster sustain-
able growth for the long term.
Traditional key performance indicators (KPIs) like visitor numbers are no longer
sufficient. According to Mario Hardy, CEO of PATA, most destinations in Asia and the
Pacific are experiencing tremendous growth. “It’s not about what visitors you can get
– they are coming anyways – but how can you increase the yield from your visitors?”
Destinations increasingly understand that revenue, the economic impact of tourism, is
the true metric of success, not simply visitor numbers. However, it has been difficult to
convince stakeholders in government and business that are structured around volume
rather than yield.
Dispersing travel demand beyond the hotspot destinations is a challenge, but tourism
organizations are seeing some success through training programs and product devel-
opment. In Japan, for example, hordes of travelers visit the country to experience the
cherry blossom (Sakura) festivals. Tourists almost universally head for Tokyo. “Actually,
Sakura is everywhere in Japan from Hokkaido to Okinawa,” said Tetsuya Kitajima, di-
rector, regional development division, marketing and promotion headquarters, for the
Japan Travel and Tourism Association. Kitajima has focused on educating destination
marketers across all of Japan’s prefectures to help them understand how to isolate and
promote the key selling points of their destinations.
Industry partnerships can also provide training opportunities. TripAdvisor, for example,
undertook a training program in Indonesia to help tourism businesses understand their
online reputation, including the most effective ways to respond to a travel review. The
effort included not only the top cities, but also destinations further afield.
Over the same time period, TripAdvisor business listings and user-generated content
increased, and a broader range of destinations within Indonesia gained traction on
the site. In 2012, 63% of reviews for Indonesia destinations were for Bali (see Figure
9). By 2018, that share dropped to just 53% as new destinations grew their presence.
As business owners outside Bali gained experience with customer service and online
reputation management, review scores for non-Bali destinations improved. Online vis-
ibility and a strong reputation have the potential to create a virtuous cycle, as positive
reviews from satisfied travelers encourage new travelers to visit the destination.
Figure 9:
Indonesia: Non-Bali Accommodation Reviews Increase and Average Review Score Improves
5
100%
4.36 4.37 4.5
4.28 4.3 4.3 4.31 4.32
90%
4
80% 4.28
4.17
3.9 3.93 3.92 3.95 4.03
3.5
70%
Average score
% of reviews
40% 2
30% 1.5
20% 1
10% 0.5
0% 0
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
In order to be noticed among all the competing content and messaging in the digital
environment, destination marketers have no choice but to take a more individualized
approach. To capture attention, marketing communications need to resonate with
travelers based on their interests and preferences. As a result, marketing has become
much more complex and fragmented.
According to Damian Cook, CEO of E-Tourism Frontiers, one of the key challenges for
destination marketers is “reflecting diversity of product and getting away from the sin-
gle big idea and replacing it with multiple brands to multiple segments.” Segmentation
may be based on geography, demographics or social behaviors, as well as traveler per-
sonas. But beyond these strategies, there is increasing demand for one-to-one person-
alization, with interactions tailored to the individual traveler. The increasing marketing
demands can challenge tourism organizations and strain limited marketing budgets.
Making the effort to foster a more targeted approach can help destinations to commu-
nicate with travelers more effectively. Tourism Australia, for example, has used target-
ed messaging to address the challenge of shortening trip lengths. “What we’re seeing
around the world is the number of nights visitors are spending at their destination is
contracting because they want to get back to their routines,” said John O’Sullivan, Tour-
ism Australia’s managing director. “We’re working with operators to develop experienc-
es that might make [guests] stay an extra night or two.” Tourism Australia’s collections
of signature experiences are organized around themes such as “Great Walks of Austral-
ia,” “Ultimate Winery Experiences” and “Great Fishing Adventures.”
Navigating Bureaucracy
In many cases, the traditional structure and marketing practices of tourism organi-
zations are no longer a good fit for the demands of modern destination marketing.
Nearly all APAC tourism organizations are government funded, with a ministry heavily
involved. The often-sluggish pace of decision-making and procurement within gov-
ernment is better suited to a static, one-size-fits-all approach to marketing. However,
in today’s environment, generic marketing approaches are no longer effective. Rapid
change and the evolving role of new technology require a nimble response, which can
be hampered by bureaucracy.
The bureaucratic process often requires several quotes for even small expenses,
and expenditures may be subject to multiple levels of review. Tourism organizations
sometimes lose opportunities because they are not able to respond quickly enough.
“Again and again I see destinations come up against that. Great creative idea, an
opportunity in front of them, and then government process kills it,” said Cook of
E-Tourism Frontiers.
Destinations would benefit from bureaucratic changes that enable more nimble
decision-making and, in some cases, increased autonomy. “Industry stakeholders
constantly meddle in the often research-based careful decisions that [tourism organi-
zations] have made and then somebody gets a hunch or a whim, a minister coughs and
the whole strategy changes,” said Greg Klassen, CEO and founder, Twenty31. Tourism
organizations would welcome greater independence in decision-making, while being
held accountable using common measures.
“[W]e already look after the demand side and create awareness with the tourists, but I
think what we need in Thailand is to upgrade and develop the supply side – safety and
security,” said Thailand’s Cheawsamoot. In relation to the Phuket incident, that could
mean working with the relevant government departments to improve transport safety
checks to avoid future tragedies.
Broadly, destinations seek to address problems and remove barriers likely to discour-
age tourism. Beyond safety concerns, there is a strong interest in securing visa policies
that are favorable to tourism. The relative ease or difficulty involved in obtaining a
travel visa has the potential to influence traveler destination decisions.
Many countries in APAC have undertaken rapid travel infrastructure development over
the past decade to drive and meet tourism demand. More work remains to be done
to support the resulting increased tourism. In addition to high-profile projects like
airports and high-speed rail, destinations must wrangle with less glamorous issues like
managing electricity, waste and water consumption.
“We’re making it onto the front pages of the business press talking about tourism in
the same vein as we talk about open pit mining and dirty oil and other extractive style
industries,” said Twenty31’s Klassen. “I think it’s really up to the destination industry to
reframe that conversation to being much more culturally [and] environmentally sustain-
able as an industry.”
For some APAC countries, a reputation for pollution, poor sanitation and environmental
degradation poses a direct threat to future tourism. Further, the impacts of climate
change are expected to be severe in Asia, where heavily populated coastal cities are at
particular risk. Tourism organizations have a vested and humanitarian interest in protect-
ing both their local populations and their destinations’ future tourism opportunities.
Looking Ahead
The Asia Pacific travel market has undergone a period of rapid infrastructure devel-
opment and tourism growth. As the travel opportunity continues to expand, tourism
organizations must be supported in fostering sustainable tourism for the long term.
The region’s tourism boards face numerous challenges, but do not lack ideas for solving
them. To maximize the benefits of increased tourism, a shift in focus from visitation
to revenue is needed, along with increased training to encourage tourism dispersal.
Bureaucratic processes and metrics should serve to empower destinations to meet
the demands of modern consumer marketing in a more nimble, autonomous fashion.
Finally, issues like climate change, safety and environmental concerns are essential
to the long-term health of APAC’s tourism industry, and these challenges will only be
solved through collaboration.