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Global Loss Trends Analysing The Causes of Power Generation Claims
Global Loss Trends Analysing The Causes of Power Generation Claims
CONTENTS
3 Introduction
14 Conclusion
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
INTRODUCTION
There has not been a single year over the past decade in which power generation
operators have not sustained a loss in excess of US$25 million; despite the many millions
of dollars invested in risk management and operational safety.
To complicate matters, the causes of these losses have become increasingly varied.
The technology involved in the industry is becoming ever more complex and inter-
linked, while renewable energy, the changing fuel mix, life cycle upgrades, and older
station cycling are all adding additional stress to the grid.
Using claims data from power accounts handled by both Bowring Marsh, Marsh’s
dedicated international placement division, and AIG, the largest power generation
(re)insurer in the London market, this report provides information on the primary and
secondary causes behind of some of the industry’s largest and most complex post-
millennium losses. Given the extent of the resources that have been combined to
produce this report, we believe the losses contained within it are representative of the
global industry as a whole.
We therefore hope this report helps risk managers to identify the areas of greatest
operational risk at their own facilities. This will, in turn stimulate discussions between
them and their original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) in such a way that helps to
improve the risk profiles of their organisations.
100
0
‘01 ‘02 ‘03 ‘04 ‘05 ‘06 ‘07 ‘08 ‘09 ‘10 ‘11 ‘12 ‘13 ‘14 ‘15
YTD
While claims activity inevitably varies, there is an upward trend in the scale of
individual power losses. For example, in 2001 the largest three claims were
US$13 million, US$11 million, and US$7 million; more than 10 years on, in 2014,
the scale of claims had risen dramatically to US$233 million, US$70 million,
and US$55 million. Power generation losses are getting larger, reflecting raw
material prices, the increasing complexity and price of equipment, the reduction
of tolerances, and materials that are more difficult to work with.
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
and the equipment that failed have MACHINERY BREAKDOWN US$388 MILLION
MACHINERY BREAKDOWN
Machinery breakdown may be defined under standard insurance policy cover as a sudden and unforeseen physical loss
or damage.
COMPRESSOR 2004 DAMAGE TO BLADES AND VANES SURGE IN COMPRESSOR US$8.4 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2005 FIRE DAMAGE TO STEAM TURBINE BLADE LIBERATION, LUBE OIL IGNITION US$81 MILLION
SWITCH ROOM BUILDING 2005 FIRE DAMAGE TO SWITCH ROOM BUILDING ELECTRICAL FAULT US$12.9 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2008 LOW PRESSURE TURBINE BLADE LIBERATION STRESS CORROSION CRACKING US$78 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2008 DAMAGE TO HIGH-PRESSURE/LOW-PRESSURE ROTORS TUBE FAILURE IN HEAT EXCHANGER US$12.5 MILLION
TURBINE COMPRESSOR 2008 VANE LIBERATION FAILURE OF LOCATING TAB ON VANE US$5.5 MILLION
GAS TURBINE 2009 HIGH PRESSURE COMPRESSOR BLADE DAMAGE HIGH CYCLE FATIGUE US$39.5 MILLION
TRANSFORMER 2010 DAMAGE TO WINDINGS HIGH VOLTAGE BUSHING FAULT US$14 MILLION
GENERATOR 2010 DAMAGE TO GENERATOR STATOR AND ROTOR LATENT TRANSFORMER HIGH VOLTAGE COIL FAULT US$5.5 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2011 FOREIGN OBJECT DAMAGE TO BLADES FAILURE OF STEAM VALVES US$14.5 MILLION
TRANSFORMER 2013 FIRE DAMAGED TRANSFORMER INTERNAL FAILURE OF LOW VOLTAGE BUSHING US$7.5 MILLION
GAS TURBINE 2014 GAS DAMAGE TO LOW PRESSURE TURBINE STRESS RUPTURE OF BLADES US$5.6 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2014 COAL DAMAGE TO BLADES AND BEARINGS LUBE OIL FAILURE US$5 MILLION
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
HUMAN ERROR
Human error accounted for 30% of the 48 losses we examined. Human error is a non-automated action/inaction that
was unintended, or a breach of rules that results in improper system operation. Given the complexity of today’s power
generation systems, both automated and human-operated, it is inevitable that human error/misunderstanding plays a
significant role in power generation losses.
TRANSFORMER 2004 FIRE WELDING REPAIR IGNITED INSULATING OIL US$7.4 MILLION
GAS TURBINE 2006 DAMAGE TO BLADES AND VANES OVERSPEED TEST US$7.5 MILLION
BOILER 2008 FAILURE OF BOILER TUBES VIBRATION DURING TRANSIT US$6.9 MILLION
GAS TURBINE 2009 DAMAGE TO COMBUSTOR HUB FAILURE OF PREVIOUS REPAIR TO FUEL NOZZLE US$5.9 MILLION
COLLAPSE OF HEADRACE
2010 TUNNEL COLLAPSE DUE TO EROSION OF TUNNEL LINING DEFECTIVE WORKMANSHIP US$124.9 MILLION
TUNNEL
STEAM TURBINE 2011 OIL SPILLAGE FROM JACKING TUBES AND SUBSEQUENT FIRE DEFICIENT INSTALLATION CAUSED VIBRATION US$600,000
STEAM TURBINE 2012 LOW PRESSURE TURBINE BLADE LIBERATION OPERATOR ERROR US$30.4 MILLION
STORES AND CONVEYORS 2012 IGNITION OF MATERIALS IN THE HAMMER MILL SMOULDERING MATERIALS DELIVERED US$19.9 MILLION
FLUE-GAS DE-
2014 FIRE WORKMANSHIP US$74 MILLION
SULPHERISATION ABSORBER
GENERATOR AND
2014 FIRE OPERATOR ERROR US$13.5 MILLION
TRANSFORMER
Human error takes many forms. It may consist of simply Other causal factors could include poor training and work
not following correct procedures. Procedures could practices, problems in clearing and tagging equipment for
be faulty, erroneously amended, or lack specificity, maintenance, shortcomings in equipment repair, or lack
completeness, or information that was not properly of inspection or sufficient issue detection.
considered or understood to be part of the risk.
DESIGN FAILURE
With tolerances in microns, internal temperatures higher than an active volcano, and atmospheric pressure in excess of
40 bar, the inside of today’s modern power generation machinery requires flawless design and assembly.
GAS TURBINE 2008 DAMAGE TO COMPRESSOR HIGH CYCLE FATIGUE US$26.4 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2008 FAILURE OF HIGH PRESSURE TURBINE THRUST BEARING DESIGN SPECIFICATIONS US$25.1 MILLION
STEAM TURBINE 2008 FAILURE OF HIGH PRESSURE TURBINE THRUST BEARING DESIGN SPECIFICATIONS US$22.9 MILLION
TRANSFORMER FAILURE 2008 COLLAPSE OF LOW VOLTAGE BUS BAR FRAME DEFECTIVE DESIGN US$18.2 MILLION
SMOOTHING REACTOR 2012 DAMAGE TO WINDINGS COOLING DESIGN ISSUE US$34.4 MILLION
Design failure can take many different forms, Much has been written about the need for long-term
including cracking, creep, deformation, wear and tear, testing of machinery in actual running conditions.
and corrosion. In excessive cases, it may also include Given the complications and demands of today’s designs,
melting. With power losses, it is often the ensuing damage there can be no substitute for equipment that has been
that is most serious. For example, if a single turbine blade fully tested and validated in operating conditions.
is damaged during operation, it is the impact on blades Unfortunately, pressure on the power industry is so high
further downstream that causes far more problems and in terms of efficiency demands that small margins can lead
significantly increases the cost of physical repair and to immense variation in profitability. The need to balance
business interruption coverage. Likewise, if a transformer cutting-edge design with proper testing is a difficult
insulation fails, it is the arcing and subsequent balance for OEMs and operators, as well as for those
fire/explosion that will impact operators and insurers, seeking to insure them.
as well as being a serious safety issue with the potential
to cause fatalities.
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
AGING/MAINTENANCE SPOTLIGHT
It is inevitable that all machine parts will eventually fail due to age. Ideally,
parts are replaced according to the agreed OEM guidelines and conditions to
ensure maximum use. OVERSPEED EVENT
A 100-MW steam turbine generator
suffered a severe overspeed event.
EQUIPMENT DAMAGED YEAR MAIN CAUSE SUB-CAUSE NET
The machine accelerated from
DIRECT CURRENT US$10.9
TURBINE 2010
POWER FAILURE
AGE DETERIORATION
MILLION 3,600 rpm to 6,000 rpm within 30
seconds, resulting in the complete
FAILURE OF TAP US$8.6
TRANSFORMER 2010 AGE DETERIORATION destruction of the turbine and the
CHANGER MILLION
STATOR GROUND
generator. Solid steel parts of the
GENERATOR 2010 AGE DETERIORATION US$6 MILLION
FAULT machine were ripped apart by
LOOSE CONNECTION the centrifugal forces and spread
LEADS LEAD TO AGE DETERIORATION/ US$22.3
TRANSFORMER 2011
ARCING AND LOOSE BLOCKING MILLION
across the turbine deck.
SUBSEQUENT FIRE
The turbine tripped due to
an unknown condition within
Insurers are understandably very are finally closed. For example, the hydraulic system, and the
focused on ensuring that insurance the closure of much of the UK’s emergency stop (throttle trip)
policies do not take the place of coal-fired plants has come about due and governor valves did not close
maintenance. A full maintenance to aging equipment being unable to completely. The emergency stop
schedule is vital, not only in theory meet the environmental standards valve is designed to close 100%
but also in practice. While this may required today, and this is now also but, in this case, remained open
seem an obvious point, the fact is that affecting the older gas turbine plants by less than one millimetre due to
such failures continue to occur on a that cannot meet current emissions binding in the valve shaft.
regular basis. Given the increasing standards. The announcement of the
costs of replacement parts and the closures in 2015 was quickly followed One of the governor valves
desire to stretch out the use of parts (not required to close tightly) also
by assurances that supplies would
as long as possible, such adherence jammed due to valve stem issues.
not be affected over the peak winter
has been, and continues to When the generator breaker
period following public concern.
be, problematic. opened, the small amount of
It has been some 40 years since the
steam was enough to overspeed
UK last built a coal-fired plant, yet
The UK’s power generation sector the turbine.
such plants contributed 41% of UK
demonstrates the vulnerability in electricity generation in 2013. Hydrogen gas leaked from the
supply that comes where aging plants
generator and accumulated within
the building until it exploded and
WEATHER/ATMOSPHERIC knocked the building wall onto
the three transformers located
Weather conditions such as wind and ice storms are easily identified. beside the station, which were then
Atmospheric conditions arising from high natural salinity or contaminants destroyed in a fire. The lubrication
arising from land reclamation can cause significant issues with filtration systems oil from the turbine was ignited by
and corrosion. Significant losses have occurred in the Middle East, particularly this fire through openings in the
on construction sites, due to flash flooding. wall, causing damage around the
turbine generator and to balance of
plant components.
EQUIPMENT DAMAGED YEAR MAIN CAUSE SUB-CAUSE NET
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
Location/Climate
Engineering Standards
Site Layout
Fireproofing
Drainage, Kerbing, Effluent
HARDWARE
Process Buildings
Atmospheric Tankage
Process Control
Utility Reliability
Machinery Safety Features
Machinery Reliability
Construction and Civil Maintenance
Weighted Score
Maintenance Overview
Maintenance Electrical
Maintenance Mechanical
Safety System Tests
HS&E
Security
Housekeeping
Quality Management
Contractors
Environmental Monitoring
Weighted Score
Gas Detection
Fire Detection and Alarm
EMERGENCY CONTROL
CONCLUSION
The causes and sub-causes of power losses have been increasingly varied in
recent years, as the technology involved in the industry has become ever more
complex and inter-linked. By providing a breakdown of major losses and their
causes and sub-causes and exploring these, this document should provide
greater clarity for risk managers as to what actually went wrong in many of
these instances, so that they may take actions to mitigate the risk of loss at
their own facilities.
Loss prevention is vital for ensuring the safety of employees, plant reputation,
operating efficiency, and reductions in premium rates. The instances provided
in this document should help educate operators about what has gone wrong in
the past, so that they may work to ensure that similar incidents can be avoided
in the future.
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Notes
About Marsh
Marsh is a global leader in insurance broking and risk management.
We help clients succeed by defining, designing, and delivering innovative
industry-specific solutions that help them effectively manage risk.
Marsh’s approximately 27,000 colleagues work together to serve clients in
more than 130 countries. Marsh is a wholly owned subsidiary of Marsh &
McLennan Companies (NYSE: MMC), a global team of professional services
companies offering clients advice and solutions in the areas of risk, strategy,
and people. With 57,000 employees worldwide and annual revenue exceeding
$13 billion, Marsh & McLennan Companies is also the parent company of
Guy Carpenter, a global leader in providing risk and reinsurance intermediary
services; Mercer, a global leader in talent, health, retirement, and investment
consulting; and Oliver Wyman, a global leader in management consulting.
Follow Marsh on Twitter @MarshGlobal.
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MARSH REPORT September 2016
With more than 300 insurance brokers located across all the major
international insurance hubs, Bowring Marsh provides international placement
options that suit your business risk and exposures. We use our comprehensive
portfolio experience, our in-depth knowledge of your risks, our ability to have
face-to-face negotiations with decision makers, and our industry knowledge
to innovate, customise, design, and place your insurance programmes with
international insurers.
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MARK HILES
mark.hiles@marsh.com
+971 4 508 0486
The information contained herein is based on sources we believe reliable and should be
understood to be general risk management and insurance information only. The information is
not intended to be taken as advice with respect to any individual situation and cannot be relied
upon as such.
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