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Chapter - Ii: Review of Literature
Chapter - Ii: Review of Literature
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
In order to study the behavior a review of literature was done to develop the
concept and understand what had been done earlier. Stock market‘s performance is
not simply the result of intelligible characteristics but also due to the emotions that
are still baffling to the analysts. Despite loads of information bombarding from all
directions, it is not the cold calculations of financial wizards, or company‘s
performance or widely accepted criterion of stock performance but the investor‘s
irrational emotions like overconfidence, fear, risk aversion, etc., seem to
decisively drive and dictate the fortunes of the market.
Louhichi Wael (2004)2 examined the market behavior around the times of
annual earnings announcements made in the Paris Bourse to study both the
informational role of accounting numbers and the intraday speed of adjustment of
stock prices to new information.
39
Szyszka Adam (2008)3 in his study on efficient market hypothesis to
behavioral finance analyzed how investor‘s psychology changes the vision of
financial markets. He found that investors are not always able to correctly value
the utility of decision alternatives, cannot update and estimate probability and
events and do not diversify properly.
40
Company and Social Responsibility were given the lowest priority or which had
low influence on the stock selection decision by the retail investors.
Kevin Daly and Anil Mishra (2002)8In general, the paper attempts to
identify and quantify those determinants that drive Australia‘s overseas financial
investments. In the aftermath of the recent global financial crisis it would appear
that information related to those factors that influence investment decisions is now
more urgent than at any time in the history of global funds management. More
research into the determinants of a country‘s international investment position
would therefore appear desirable, given that the number of relevant drivers appear
to be highly volatile and of a country-specific nature. The paper focuses on
understanding the relationship between capital flows and trade flows based on data
sourced from CPIS 1997 and 2001 data. To begin the investigation of the
determinants of Australia‘s geographical allocation of portfolio investment a series
of multivariate regressions have been employed. The broad relationships between
capital flows and trade flows, financial market shares and shares in world gross
national income are examined. Accordingly, variables are used for Australia‘s
exports and imports as calculated from the IMF Direction of Trade Statistics.
41
profession, education status, sex and age. Primary data is collected from a sample
around 50 investors of Ambala District. Finally there are different factors which
affect the investment behaviour of individual investors such as their awareness
level, duration of investment etc. The study reveals that the respondents integrate
the objectives of saving, the factors influencing the saving and the sources of
information for decision making. The annual income and the annual saving are
given importance of consideration by the respondents, because the level of income
decides the level of savings. Today‘s investors are fully aware about the stock
market. The market movements affect the investment pattern of investors in the
stock market.
42
Clifford Paul S. and Joseph Anbarasu11 Saving Pattern of People and the
Impact of Insurance on Savings with special reference to Tiruchirappalli saving
have failed to throw conclusive evidence. Against this background, the objective
of the study was to find the determinants of savings by analyzing saving behaviour
in India over a period of nineteen years i.e., from 1980-81 to1998-99. In order to
identify and analyze the important factors, which have contributed to the
fluctuation in the saving in India simple and multiple regression models were
reported. The impact of financial sector liberalization measures on household
sector saving rate in India was studied by constructing a continuous time series
financial sector liberalization index6. The impacts of the index, along with the
other determinants of household sector savings in India were estimated using a
general model. The results suggest a significant negative impact of the index on
household saving rate, which gives an indication of the increased credit
availability due to financial sector liberalization leading to increased consumption
rather than savings. Among the other determinants, absolute income is the major
significant and positive determinant of household sector saving rate in India in the
period of study. Elsewhere, the different measures of financial sector development
for a dynamic heterogeneous panel of African countries was studied to examine
the impact of financial sector development on private savings. An innovative
econometric methodology was also employed related to a series of co-integration
tests within a panel. This is an important contribution since traditional panel data
analysis adopted in previous studies suffers from serious heterogeneity bias
problems.
43
relationship between financial sector development and private savings seems to
hold. The empirical analysis also suggests that a change in government savings is
offset by an opposite change in private savings in most of the countries in the
panel, thus confirming the Ricardian equivalence hypothesis. Liquidity constraints
do not seem to play a vital role in most of the African countries in the group, since
the relevant co-efficient is negative and significant in only a small group of
countries.
44
Earlier studies have been carried out to determine the pattern of
Institutional investors Investment but Studies dealing with Investment pattern of
individual investors are very few. Previous Studies mainly concentrate on
Differences in individual investing pattern on the basis of Gender. Differences on
the basis of Age in Investment pattern is new avenue for research. Earlier studies
conclude that women invest their asset portfolios more conservatively than their
male counterparts. Schmidt and Sevak, (2006) Women‘s investment has
historically been lower than men‘s for several reasons, including Social and
various demographic concerns. However the differences continue to be significant
even after controlling for individual Characteristics.
Dunham (1984)15 admits that although personality factors can change over
an extended period of time, the process is slow and tends to be stable from one
situation to another. Therefore, these factors are expected to influence the decision
making behavior of an individual.
45
Barnewall (1987)16 finds that an individual investor can be found by
lifestyle characteristics, risk aversion, control orientation and occupation.
Statman Meir (1988)18 observed that people trade for both cognitive and
emotional reasons. They trade because they think they have information, when in
reality they make nothing but noise and trade only because trading brings them joy
and pride. Trading brings pride when decisions made are profitable, but it brings
regrets when they are not. Investors try to avoid the pain of regret by avoiding
realization of losses, employing investment advisors as scapegoats and avoiding
stocks of companies with low reputations.
46
differences between active and passive investors in terms of demographic and
psychographics, investment characteristics as well as investment behavior.
The present study aims to put on some knowledge about key factors that
influence investment behavior and ways these factors impact investment risk
tolerance and decision making process among men and women and among
different age groups. The individuals may be equal in all aspects, but their
behavior is different in same situation. Earlier studies did research but they did this
only gender wise, in this study we are trying to find out the factors which affects
individual investment decisions by considering both age and gender wise. Hence
keeping this in mind, the present study is an attempt to find out Factors which
affects individual investment decision and Differences in the perception of
Investors in the decision of investing on basis of Age and on the basis of Gender.
47
tasks. The goal of the study was the development of grounded hypotheses about
science teacher‗s pedagogical decision making.
Dr. Dhiraj Jain and Parul Jain (2012)27 examines the savings and
investment pattern of school teachers -a study with reference to Udaipur District,
Rajasthan. The study concluded that in today‗s world money play vital role in
one‗s life and that the importance of money has been started being recognized by
48
the school teacher‗s community. They know the importance of money so they are
initiated themselves to prepare the budget and lessen down their expenses to meet
the future consequences. It has been evident from the study that most of the school
teachers are saving their money for the purpose of their children‗s education,
marriage and as security after retirement.
Manish Mittal and Vyas (2008)35 Investors have certain cognitive and
emotional weaknesses which come in the way of their investment decisions. Over
the past few years, behavioral finance researchers have scientifically shown that
investors do not always act rationally. They have behavioral biases that lead to
systematic errors in the way they process information for investment decision.
Many researchers have tried to classify the investors on the basis of their relative
risk taking capacity and the type of investment they make. Empirical evidence also
suggests that factors such as age, income, education and marital status affect an
individual's investment decision. This paper classifies Indian investors into
different personality types and explores the relationship between various
demographic factors and the investment personality exhibited by the investors.
Kabra, G., Mishra, P.K. and Dash M.K. (2010)36, studied the factors
effecting investment behavior and concluded that investors age and gender are the
main factors which decide the risk taking capacity of investors.
50
AjmiJy.A. (2008)37 used a questionnaire to know determinants of risk
tolerance of individual investors and collected responses from 1500 respondents.
He concluded that the men are less risk averse than women, less educated
investors are less likely to take risk and age factor is also important in risk
tolerance and also investors are more risk tolerance than the less wealthy
investors.
51
question left unanswered is the extent to which individual‘s personal
characteristics influence their intentions about investing. The expected utility
approach of Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) has provided the foundation
for the primary view of risk in economics and finance for many years. The main
concept in their model is that the maximization of expected utility is the sole factor
in making decisions.
52
differences between people with different personality characteristics. From the
discrete personality groupings in the Myers-Briggs, the researchers are able to
establish behavioral linkages to risk tolerance of individual investors. Their
findings confirm that personality type does explain some aspects of investment
behavior. Read and Loewenstein (1995) studied diversification bias in the context
of consumer choices. French and Poterba (1991) estimate the domestic ownership
share of the world‘s five largest stock markets in 1990: US 92.2%, Japan 95.7%
and Germany 79%. Goetzmann and Kumar (2001) examine the diversification of
investors with respect to demographic variables of age, income and employment.
Kahneman D and Riepe M.W (1998) focus on biases in beliefs & preferences of
which financial intermediaries should be aware and provide recommendations on
how to avoid them or mitigate their harmful effects of biases. Keller C and Siegrist
M (2006) analysed the influence of financial risk attitude and values-related
money and stock market attitudes. Odean T (1998) identified that a particular class
of investors sell winners more readily than losers. This is in spite of alternative
rational motivations are controlled for these investors continue to prefer selling
winners and holding losers. Shiller R.J. emphasized the very importance of
conversation in the contagion of popular ideas about financial markets. Shefrin
(2000) in the ‗Beyond Greed and Fear‘ explained the Psychology of individual
investors. Lo et al. (2005) explained that the lack of correlation between trading
performance and personality traits. Goldberg and Von Nitzch (2001) explained a
personal experience of a day trader who goes through many emotional stages
during various stages like profits and losses cycles.
53
graphic reorientations of their model and this model classified investor
personalities along two axes: level of confidence in vertical axis and method of
action in horizontal axis. The first sub classification that the model incorporates
deals with how confidently an investor approaches life in general-including issues
unrelated to money. When negotiating a wide variety of life choices, are
individuals rigidly self-assured, or do they suffer from misgivings and anxiety?
The second element of the BB&K model asks whether investors are methodical,
careful and analytical in their approach to life or whether they are emotional,
intuitive and impetuous. These two elements can be thought of as two axes of
individual psychology: one axis is called ―confident anxious‖, and other is called
―careful-impetuous‖.
Melainie Powell, David Ansie, July (1997)44 This paper studies whether
gender differences in risk propensity and strategy in financial decision making can
be viewed as general traits or whether they arise because of contextual factors. The
results of this study tells that females are less risky seeking than males irrespective
of familiarity and framing of , costs or ambiguity. It also says that males and
females adopt different strategies in financial decision environments but these
strategies have no significant impact on their ability to perform. Harrison Hong,
Jeffery D.Kubik, Jeremy C.Stein. This study proposes that stock-market
participation is influenced by social interaction. Any given "social" investor finds
55
the market more attractive when more of his peers participate this theory is
supported using data from the Health and Retirement Study, and found that social
households—those who interact with their neighbours, or attend church—are
substantially more likely to invest in the market than non-social households.
Moreover, consistent with a peer-effects story, the impact of sociability is stronger
in states where stock-market participation rates are higher.
Sushant Nagpal and Bodla B.S, (2009)45 observed through their study that
the individuals may be equal in all aspects, but their financial planning needs are
very different. Demographics alone no longer suffice as the basis of segmentation
of individual investors. It is by using lifestyles or psychographics along with
demographics that synergism between investors can be generated. It was studied
that the modern investor is a mature and adequately groomed person.
Abhijeet Chandra (2009)48. In this literature, the author has analyzed the
impact of competence of individual investors on their trading behavior in the stock
market. Individual investors take trading decisions based on their self-perceived
competence that is influenced by several factors. The study examined the factors
that determine the competence level of individual investors. Age, education, and
income were found to be the most influencing factors of the individual investors'
competence in the stock market activities and trading behavior. The results of the
study reveal that a person invests as per his/her own judgments once he/she
perceives himself/herself more knowledgeable about investing. It finds that
57
investors having high, high to moderate income and professional qualification are
supposed to be more confident about their competence when it comes to trading in
stock markets. Thus, it can be said that competence effect rules the trading
behavior of individual investors.
Lucy X. Zhong and Jing Jian Xiao (1994)49 This article was based on the
characteristics of individual bond and stock holders, using data from the 1989
Survey of Consumer Finances. Based on this work, the present research would like
to concentrate on the individual investors of India.
58
Syed Tabassum Sultana (2010)51, opines in his study, that, Indian investor
today have to endure sluggish economy, the steep market declines prompted by
deteriorating revenues, alarming reports of scandals ranging from illegal corporate
accounting practices like that of Satyam to insider trading to make investment
decisions. She, in her study, while discussing the characteristics of the Indian
individual investors along, makes an attempt to discover the relationship between
a dependent variable i.e., Risk Tolerance level and independent variables such as
Age, Gender of an individual investor on the basis of the survey. Indian investors
are high income, well educated, salaried, and independent in making investment
decisions and conservative investors. From the empirical study it was found that
irrespective of gender, most of the investors (41%) are found have low risk
tolerance level and many others (34%) have high risk tolerance level rather than
moderate risk tolerance level. It is also found that there is a strong negative
correlation between Age and Risk tolerance level of the investor. Television is the
media that is largely influencing the investor‘s decisions. Hence, this study can
facilitate the investment product designers to design products which can cater to
the investors who are low risk tolerant.
Terrance Odean (1998)52, in his study, tests the disposition effect, the
tendency of investors to hold losing investments too long and sell winning
investments too soon, by analyzing trading records for 10,000 accounts at a large
discount brokerage house. These investors demonstrate a strong preference for
realizing winners rather than losers. Their behavior does not appear to be
motivated by a desire to rebalance portfolios, or to avoid the higher trading costs
of low priced stocks. Nor is it justified by subsequent portfolio performance. For
taxable investments, it is suboptimal and leads to lower after-tax returns. Tax-
motivated selling is most evident in December.
59
Zhong& Xiao (1995)53 Socio-demographic variables included educational
levels, age, gender, marital status, and race of the household head. Financial
variables included the level of income, checking amount and savings amount. Five
psychological variables were: expectation for economy, expectation for interest
rates, and expectation for family income, saving motives and financial planning
horizon Age and stock holdings are positively related Kreinin1959. However,
older investors have been found to be more conservative in their investment
behavior (Baker &Haslem, 1974; Lease, Lewellen &Schlarbaum, 1974 and 1977,
Male investors were more likely than females to invest in real estates, common
stocks, and corporate bonds, but females were more likely to own government
bonds (Haynes & Helms, 1990). An earlier study indicated that females were more
likely than males to emphasize the importance of expected dividend yield and
price stability (Baker &Haslem, 1974). There are various types of motivational
issues and personality which are related to a specific individual and these will play
an effective role in the savings and investment decisions related with each
individual (Maslow, 1954).As the risk factor is inseparable with the fictions like
investment or savings, hence it is necessary to understand the financial risk
tolerance factors of an individual. The various risk tolerance factors associated
with an individual play very important role in his/her various financial decision
makings (Hallahan, Faff & McKenzie, 2004). Perceived saving motives were
different in terms of the household‘s home ownership, marital status, number of
children, life cycle stage, employment status, income, asset and debt categories,
net worth, and the head‘s gender and education (Xiao &Noring, 1994).
60
the relationship between Age and risk tolerance level has attracted much attention.
Wallach and Kogan(1961) were perhaps the first to study the relationship between
risk tolerance and age.
61
in the next two years (i.e., 2000 hence) the investment of households in MFs is
likely to increase. In his research on Savings in Rural India,
Desai B.M. (1981)57 opines that rural savings are determined by both
"ability" and "incentives" to save. This is because rural households hold their
savings in monetized as well as non-monetized forms. Moreover, some of the
monetized savings are held in the form of physical assets. Thus, only those
monetized savings which are invested in financial assets of the informal Rural
Financial Market can be considered as potentially mobilizable by the financial
agencies. Institutionalization of such savings would improve their efficiency by
promoting better allocation among different areas, sectors, economic activities,
and also to entrepreneurs.
62
transitory income, prices and assets appear to influence urban consumption
behaviour though no single one of them substantially enough. A negligible effect
of permanent income on urban consumption behaviour is, on the other hand, very
clearly suggested by the results.
Salam (2004)60 in their study had observed the savings behaviour in India.
The objective of the study was to find the determinants of savings by analyzing
saving behaviour in India over a period of nineteen years i.e., from 1980-81 to
1998-99. The methodology adopted was simple and multiple regression models
were used. From the analysis it was found that a favourable macro – economic
environment supported by strong structural reforms including liberalization of
financial markets should help domestic saving to increase substantially.
63
affect their belief in themselves, which in turn, influences their confidence and
belief in their own judgment and decision making. This holds true in the context of
investors in general and individual investors in particular. Individual investors take
trading decisions based on their self-perceived competence that is influenced by
several factors.
Somasundaram(1998)64 has found that bank deposits and chit funds were
the best known modes of savings among investors and the least known modes
were Unit Trust of India (UTI) schemes and plantation schemes. Attitudes of
investors were highly positive and showed their intention to save for better future.
Nearly two-thirds of the investors were satisfied with their savings. Both income
and expenses of a family influenced the level of satisfaction over savings. A large
proportion of investors were concerned about their children's well-being. Among
the dissatisfied investors, majority were of the opinion that cost of living was too
high. The most common mode of investment was bank deposits. However, a shift
was noticed from bank deposits to other forms of investment. Almost all the
investors had invested in gold and silver. Among several parameters in investing,
safety of money was considered to be the most important element. Next, the
investors expected regular return from their investments. National Council of
Applied Economic Research (NCAER) (1961) 'Urban Saving Survey' noticed that
irrespective of occupation followed and educational level and age attained,
households in each group thought saving for the future was desirable. It was found
64
that desire to make provision for emergencies were a very important motive for
saving and importance was given next to 'saving for old age'. Among motives for
saving, provision for emergencies, old age, and purchase of house occur with same
frequencies in 31 all occupational and educational groups. The proportion of
households expressing a preference for financial assets increases with the level of
education. The preference for financial assets, especially bank accounts and small
savings, while rising markedly with education, does not seem to increase with
income, except at the lowest end of income distribution. Thus, it would appear that
efforts must be taken to popularize financial forms of savings particularly among
the less educated members of upper-income group. Profitability seems to be the
most important motive for determining saving preference. Safety is another
significant consideration for most people and liquidity ranked third. Jack Clark
Francis (1986) revealed the importance of the rate of return in investments and
reviewed the possibility of default and bankruptcy risk. He opined that in an
uncertain world, investors cannot predict exactly what rate of return an investment
will yield. However he suggested that the investors can formulate a probability
distribution of the possible rates of return. He also opined that an investor who
purchases corporate securities must face the possibility of default and bankruptcy
by the issuer. Financial analysts can foresee bankruptcy. He disclosed some easily
observable warnings of a firm's failure, which could be noticed by the investors to
avoid such a risk.
PreethiSingh (1986)65 disclosed the basic rules for selecting the company
to invest in. She opined that understanding and measuring return and risk is
fundamental to the investment process. According to her, most investors are 'risk
averse'. To have a higher return the investor has to face greater risks. It concludes
that risk is fundamental to the process of investment. Every investor should have
an understanding of the various pitfalls of investments. The investor should
65
carefully analyse the financial statements with special reference to solvency,
profitability, EPS, and efficiency of the company. L.C.Gupta(1992) revealed the
findings of his study that there is existence of wild speculation in the Indian stock
market. The over speculative character of the Indian stock market is reflected in
extremely high concentration of the market activity in a handful of shares to the
neglect of the remaining shares and absolutely high trading velocities of the
speculative counters. He opined that, short- term speculation, if excessive, could
lead to "artificial price". An artificial price is one which is not justified by
prospective earnings, dividends, financial strength and assets or which is brought
about by speculators through rumours, manipulations, etc. He concluded that such
artificial prices are bound to crash sometime or other as history has repeated and
proved. Donald E Fischer and Ronald J. Jordan (1994) analysed the relation
between risk, investor preferences and investor behaviour. The risk return
measures on portfolios are the main determinants of an investor's attitude towards
them. Most investors seek more return for additional risk assumed. The
conservative investor requires large increase in return for assuming small increases
in risk. The more aggressive investor will accept smaller increases in return for
large increases in risk. They concluded that the psychology of the stock market is
based on how investors form judgements about uncertain future events and how
they react to these judgements.
66
rights. There is no risk of bad delivery because the ownership status is clearly
captured in the depository‘s computers.
Conclusion
The available literature suggests that there are no studies available which
studied the investing behaviour across the rural landscape, with specific reference
to investing in stock markets. It is in this context, that this literature survey proved
useful to the researcher in identifying the gap analysis and accordingly the
research design was evolved, so as to explore an opportunity related to investment
in stock markets by the Indian rural landscape using such ICT initiatives already
existing at certain rural locations.
67
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