Bab I Pendahuluan

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`````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` STATISTIK &


PROBABILITAS
FAKULTAS TEKNIK JURUSAN SIPIL UNIVERSITAS SEMARANG

Dosen: Bambang Tutuko

TUJUAN KULIAH :

Memberikan pengetahuan statistika dan probabilitas yang cukup agar dapat


merumuskan dan memecahkan masalah-masalah yang dihadapi dalam bidang
rekayasa sipil.

BUKU ACUAN :
1. Walpole, Myers & Myers; Probabilitas dan Statistika untuk Teknik dan Sains,
Prenhalindo, Jakarta, tahun 2003.
2. Wonnacott; Pengantar Statistik.
3. Sutrisno Hadi; Statistik.
4. Dll.

ACUAN NILAI :
1. Tugas-tugas : 30%
2. Ujian Mid Semester : 30%
3. Ujian Akhir Semester : 40%
Syarat 75% hadir kuliah
SISTEMATIKA

BAB MATERI KULIAH KULIAH KE..


I Pendahuluan 1
- Pengertian
- kegiatan statistik
II Ukuran statistik 2,3,4
- Individu, groups, histogram, polygon
- Table Frekuensi
TUGAS 1
III Azas-azas Menghitung Probabilitas 5,6,7
- Titik sampel
- Aturan penjumlahan, perkalian, bersyarat
Tugas 2
Ujian Mid Semester
IV Distribusi Probabilitas 8,9,10,11
- Binomial
- Poison
- Normal
Tugas 3
V Uji hipotesa 12,13,14
Tugas 4
Ujian Akhir Semester
BAB I. PENDAHULUAN

PENGERTIAN STATISTIK
 Kumpulan data berupa angka
 The science of counting (AL Bowley)
 The science of estimates and probabilities (Boddington)
 The Collection, Presentation, Analysis and Interpretation of Numerical Data
(Croxton and Cowden)
 A method of decision making in the face of uncertainly on the basis of numerical
data and calculated risk (Ya Lun Chou)

METODE
o Statistik Deskriptif, yang menggambarkan sifat-sifat data. Deskripsi berupa
angka atau gambar
o Statistik Interferensi (Induktif), berupa penggunaan data (sampel) untuk
membuat estimasi atau prediksi atau pengambilan kesimpulan.

KEGUNAAN
 Menyajikan data dalam bentuk yang dipahami
 Memperjelas pernyataan kualitatif → kuantitatif
 Mendapat temuan lanjutan dari olah data yang ada
 Alat bantu pengambilan keputusan yang ilmiah dan cerdas dengan dugaan
ilmiah dalam ketidakpastian.

TAHAPAN KEGIATAN STATISTIK

I. Pengumpulan Data

 Metode Pengumpulan Data


1. Sensus : yaitu proses pengumpulan data seluruh obyek yang diteliti
(populasi).
Ciri-ciri :
a. Waktu, tenaga, biaya besar
b. Relatif lebih tepat
c. Jarang digunakan
2. Sampling : yaitu proses pengambilan data berdasarkan sampel (contoh) atau
sebagian data populasi.
Alasan :
a. Waktu, tenaga, biaya kecil
b. Karena sensus tidak mungkin
c. Sering populasi bersifat homogeny

 Sumber Data
1. Data Internal
2. Data Eksternal

 Bentuk Data
1. Data Kualitatif
2. Data Kuantitatif → diskrit
→ kontinyu
 Jenis Data
1. Data Primer : adalah data yang diperoleh dikumpulkan oleh peneliti sendiri.
Metodenya :
a. Wawancara (Interview)
o Langsung
o Tidak langsung
b. Survey
o Langsung
o Tidak langsung
c. Observasi atau eksperimen

2. Data Sekunder : adalah data yang diperoleh tidak dikumpulkan oleh peneliti
sendiri, melainkan dari sumber atau pihak lain.
Dibedakan data yang dipublikasikan dan data yang tidak dipublikasikan.

Kelebihan dan Kekurangan


 Data Primer :
 Hasil lebih dipercaya
 Dapat melihat si-kon dan reaksi
 Pertanyaan dapat disesuaikan
 Waktu, tenaga, biaya besar
 Ada unsur subyektifitas
 Data Sekunder
 Lebih murah, sedikit tenaga, waktu cepat
 Tidak diketahui metode dan tingkat akurasinya
 Sering tidak relevan atau up to date

 Teknik Sampling
Adalah teknik (cara) mengambil sampel dari populasi.
Macamnya :
1. Random (acak)
 Simple Random (acak sederhana)
 Systhematic Random (acak sistematis)
 Stratified Random (acak bertingkat)
 Cluster Random (acar berkelompok-kelompok)
2. Non Random (tidak acak)
 Purposive (dengan tujuan atau sengaja)
 Unpurposive (tidak dengan tujuan)

II. Pengaturan Data


 Editing : mendeteksi adanya kesalahan, ketidakkonsistesan/ keteraturan data.
 Classifying : mengelompokkan data sesuai sifat-sifatnya.
 Tabulating : menyusun data dalam kolom dan baris sehingga mudah dianalisa.

III. Penyajian Data


Agar mudah dibaca dan dilihat secara visual. Bisa dalam bentuk tabel, grafik,
diagram.

IV. Analisa Data


Agar diperoleh gambaran atau sifat-sifat keseluruhan dari data yang
dikumpulkan.

V. Interpretasi Data
Agar diperoleh suatu kesimpulan dari data-data yang diperoleh.

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