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Mastering the Mix: Do Advertising, Promotion, and Sales Force Activities Lead to

Differentiation?
Author(s): William Boulding, Eunkyu Lee and Richard Staelin
Source: Journal of Marketing Research, Vol. 31, No. 2, Special Issue on Brand Management
(May, 1994), pp. 159-172
Published by: American Marketing Association
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I

WILLIAM EUNKYULEE,and RICHARD


BOULDING, STAELIN*

The authors consider the effects of three marketingcommunication activi-


ties on nonproduct based differentiation. Specifically, they examine
whether advertising, sales force, and promotion activities increase a firm's
ability to differentiate and thus shield itself from future price competition.
They suggest that own-price elasticity represents a measure of differentiation
and examine the effects of marketingcommunication activities on own-price
elasticities for a large number of consumer (durable and nondurable) busi-
nesses. They make a series of predictions about future differentiation out-
comes based on the likely uniqueness of the communication message. The
obtained results are compatible with their basic premise that, by providing
unique and positive messages, a firmcan insulate itself fromfuture price com-
petition, as witnessed by less negative future price elasticities. Conversely,
results indicate that nonunique messages can decrease future differentia-
tion, for example, price promotions for firms that price above the industryav-
erage lead to more negative future price elasticities.

Mastering the Mix: Do Advertising,


Promotion, and Sales Force Activities
Lead to Differentiation?

The task of the marketingmanageris to develop and ex- promotions,and personalselling lead to increaseddifferen-
ecute a marketingplan that makes the firm's productoffer- tiation. However, the empiricalevidence for the efficacy of
ings both different from and superiorto competitive offer- such beliefs is weak. Specifically, evidence on the effective-
ings, therebyallowing the firm to shield itself from compe- ness of sales force activities as a source of differentiationis
tition. One method of accomplishing this task is to design almost nonexistent, and the results for advertisingand pro-
productswith unique and desired attributes.However, once motion are equivocal. As discussed in more detail subse-
introducedto the marketplace,productdesign changes can quently,some empiricalstudies suggest that increasesin ad-
be costly in terms of both time and money. Consequently, vertising expendituresincrease differentiation(i.e., reduce
marketingmanagersoften attemptto altercustomerpercep- price competition),whereas others reportthe opposite find-
tions regardingthe uniqueness and desirabilityof their ex- ing. For promotions,some studies suggest this marketingac-
isting productofferings via other elements of the marketing tion has no effect on differentiation,whereasothers suggest
mix (e.g., advertising, promotions, personal selling). We negativeeffects. No studies suggest thatpromotionalspend-
focus on how and when these nonproductactivities lead to ing yields positive differentiationbenefits.
differentiationand thereforereducedprice competition. Not only is thereequivocal empiricalevidence, therealso
Marketing texts and the writings of practitioners often exist two conflicting economic theories on the relationship
take the position that marketingactions such as advertising, between marketing communications and differentiation.
The first suggests that communications,per se, induce dif-
*William Boulding is an Associate Professorand RichardStaelin is Ed- ferentiation,thus reducingprice competitionand raisingbar-
ward and Rose Donnell Professor at the Fuqua School of Business, Duke riersto entry (Bain 1956). This theoryis consistent with the
University. EunkyuLee is an Assistant Professorat Seattle University.The generally held belief in marketing that communications
authors gratefully acknowledge helpful comments by the editor handling help position a product,enhance its positive features,create
the article (Raj Srivastava), Mike Moore, and participantsof seminars at a positive image, and generallyinfluence consumersto pur-
the University of Arizona, Emory, Florida,Penn State, Vanderbilt,and the
London Marketing Science Conference. Support for this project came in chase a product.
part from the Business Associates and Isle Maligne Funds at the Fuqua The second economic theory runs counter to the beliefs
School of Business, the StrategicPlanningInstitute,and the MarketingSci- of most marketingpractitionersby taking the view that be-
ence Institute.A preliminaryversion of this article appearedas MSI Work- cause communications inform consumers about price and
ing Paper 92-133 with the title "The Long-TermDifferentiationValue of
MarketingCommunicationActions." Conclusions are our own. specific product attributes, these communications reduce
consumers' search costs and thus differentiation (Nelson

Journal of MarketingResearch
159 Vol. XXXI(May 1994), 159-172

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160 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH, MAY1994

1974). More specifically, this theoryholds thatbecause con- The former approachallows tight controls for unmeasured
sumers have more product information, price becomes a factors, but may preclude generalizability.The latteryields
more salient and effective basis for product comparison. results that hold for a wide range of situations but makes
Consequently, the market becomes more responsive to the estimated results susceptible to bias (Schmalensee
price, leading to price competition and reduced 1989) due to a wide variety of unmeasuredand uncontrolla-
differentiation. ble effects (Boulding 1990; Jacobson 1990).
In spite of the differing theoreticalpredictionsabout the In our approach,we addressthe causality,unobservedvar-
effects of communicationson differentiation(for more dis- iables, and generalizability problems by using a database
cussion of these economic theories see Comanor and that is both longitudinaland cross-sectional.The longitudi-
Wilson 1979; Farris and Albion 1980; Tirole 1988), both nal aspect of the data enables us to address the causality
schools of thoughtrecognizethatone can measurethese pre- problemdirectlyby using temporallyorderedvariables.Spe-
dicted effects via the firm's own-price elasticity (Comanor cifically, we measurethe effects of marketingactions taken
and Wilson 1979). We elaborateon this link between elas- in period t-1 on the firm's price elasticity at time t. Such an
ticities and differentiationin the next section. approachrules out reverse causality. The longitudinal na-
More recently, in discussing the concept of brandor cor- ture of the data also enables us to minimize potential bias
porate equity, Keller (1993) suggests that when consumers due to unobserved variables. This is done by utilizing an
have positive, unique, and accessible associations with the analysis technique that controls for all fixed, random, and
brand or corporation,the firm can take marketingactions first-orderautoregressiveunmeasuredfactorsthatcould oth-
(such as increasingprice) more effectively. In our research, erwise bias our obtained estimates.' Finally, the cross-
we use this conceptualization to predict which of the two sectional natureof the data enables generalizabilitybecause
countervailingeconomic views of communication'simpact we test our hypotheses over a wide range of industriesand
on differentiationhold for a given situation.We do this by situations. With this said, the readershould recognize that
looking at the type of informationnormallycommunicated the findings we report represent the "average" result for
by advertising,promotions,and the sales force under three businesses in our sample and exceptions certainly exist to
differentconditions-when the fimn's policy is to price (1) the general results we obtain.
above the industryaverage, (2) equal to or somewhatbelow In summary,we set out to do the following:
the industry average, and (3) far below the industry aver- 1. Reviewpriorempiricalworkassessingthe relationship be-
age. We then develop specific hypothesesfor these price pol- tweenmarketing communication actionsandmarketrespon-
icy conditions with respect to when and if a firm's priorad- sivenessto priceandthenprovidea unifyingexplanation for
vertising, promotions, and sales force communications the seemingly diverse set of findings regarding this
shield the firm from futureprice competition. relationship;
In testing our theory,we addresstwo majoranalyticprob- 2. Clarifythe conceptof differentiation
as viewedby an econ-
lems facing empirical work in this area. First, by using omistanda marketer;
3. Developa theoryof when marketingcommunicationsre-
prior levels of marketingaction activity to predict current duceor increasepriceelasticityin absolutevalue;
firm price elasticity, we can ascertaincausality better.This
4. Use a known method for analyzing longitudinal/cross-
is importantbecause a firm's currentown-priceelasticity af- sectionaldata,whichdirectlyaddressestheissuesof causal-
fects its optimal level of advertising(Dorfman and Steiner andomittedvariables;and
ity, generalizability,
1954). Thus, showing that firms with high levels of adver- 5. Answerthe questionof whetherpriorexpenditureson ad-
tising have more inelastic demandfunctionsdoes not prove vertising,promotion,andsales forceactivitiesleadto more
advertising causes less negative price elasticities, because andthushigheror lowercurrentlevels
or less differentiation
firms with more inelastic demandshould advertiseat higher of priceelasticity.
levels, all else being equal. Blattbergand Neslin (1990) ex-
A CONCEPTUALIZATION OF DIFFERENTIATION/
press similar concerns about the possibility of reverse cau-
sality confounding interpretationof the effects of promo- Our interest is in establishing the relationships between
tion spending. Specifically, they argue that weak brands three types of marketingcommunicationsand the ability of
(i.e. those brandswith few unique, positive, and accessible a firm to differentiateits offerings from those of its compe-
associations)sometimesattemptto remaincompetitiveby in- titors. To do this, we first must make explicit what we
creasing promotion spending. If this is true, an analysis mean by differentiation.A standardmarketingapproachis
showing that firms that promote heavily in a given period to define differentiationin termsof the degree to which cus-
also have more elastic demandfunctions in the same period tomers perceive the firm's offering to be differentfrom that
cannot be used to prove promotions cause more negative of the competitors'. Using this approach,differentiationis
price elasticities. quantifiedusing concepts such as perceptualspace, product
A second majoranalytic problemassociatedwith empiri- positioning, and multiattributedecision making.
cally determining the effects of communication activities Though such concepts are useful in helping firms differ-
on marketresponsivenessto price involves the trade-offbe- entiate their offerings, they do not provide an easy metric
tween the generalizabilityof the results and controlling for
omitted variables.As we discuss subsequently,researchon 'As a caveat, we note that our empirical analysis does not completely
eliminate the possibility of unobserved variables biasing our estimates-
the effects of communications on price responsiveness no empiricalanalysiscan makethis claim. However,these unobservedvari-
ranges from experimental analysis for single brands to ables must fall into some category other than fixed, random,or first-order
cross-sectional analysis across a wide variety of industries. autoregressive.

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Mastering the Mix 161

for determiningthe extent to which a firm successfully exe- Figure 1


cutes this task. Consequently,we take the approachof focus- A CONCEPTUAL
MODELOF NON-PRODUCT
BASED
ing on an "output"measureof differentiation,thatis, the de- DIFFERENTIATION
gree to which a firm is able to obtain high margins.Specifi-
cally, we use Lerner's (1934) definition of the degree of
firm monopoly power, which, in economic terms, is synon- PRIOR

ymous with the degree to which the firm is differentiated COMPANY


ACTIONS
(McTaggartand Mankins 1992). This leads us to denote the
degree of differentiationto be D:
(1) D=P-MC
P
where P is price and MC is marginalcost. Thus, higher val-
CUSTOMER
ues of D imply a greater ability to obtain higher margins
and thereforeprofits, all else being equal.
We choose this definitionof differentiationfor severalrea-
sons. First, it directly reflects economic value, that is, per-
centage of sales price that is profit before fixed costs. Sec-
ond, Nicholson (1972) shows that for a profit-maximizing
firm, this measure of differentiationis equal to the inverse
of the absolute value of its price elasticity, that is, CUSTOMER - COMPANY
INTERFACE
(2) D= 1
| E|

CURRENT
where E = aQ . P
COMPANY
aP Q ACTIONS

and Q is quantity.

Thus, for firms in equilbrium,determiningtheirprice elas- OUTPUT


ticity provides a direct measureof their degree of differenti- Price Price Monopoly MEASURES
ation.2 Consequently, a firm with a less price elastic de- Elasticity = Margin = Power OF
DIFFERENTIATION
mand function (i.e., a smallerabsolute own-priceelasticity)
will be more differentiatedand thus have the opportunityto
earn higher margins and profits. Third, as discussed next,
one can link our measureof differentiationwith the firm's by either affecting the salience of a specific product di-
mension or changing the customer's perceptionsof a brand
prior actions and the effects of these actions on customer along a dimension (Assael 1992). In both situations the in-
perceptions. tended result is to ensure that customers develop more pos-
Our general conceptualization of the link between the itive and unique brandassociations for the brandof interest.
firm's communications and our measure of differentiation Such a conceptualization is compatible with the premise
is summarizedin Figure 1. We startwith the basic market- that if a firm is to obtain marketpower via differentiation,
ing concept of differentiationby assuming that brandscan it must ensure that its offering possesses attributesthat cus-
be located in consumers' perceptualspace (e.g., Hauserand tomersvalue and perceive to be unique and the competition
Shugan 1983). Next, we observe that these locations in per- eithercannot or does not wish to match.This is also in con-
ceptual space influence both the brand's sensitivity of sales cert with Keller's (1993) conceptualizationof brandequity,
to changes in price and the overall desirabilityof the prod- which states that a brandhas equity if consumershave pos-
uct at a given price. In combination,these two phenomena
itive, unique, and accessible brandassociations.
are reflected in the demand function facing the firm. We believe that if communication actions produce
We operationalize the sensitivity of sales to changes in
unique, positive, and accessible associations in the minds of
price (hereafterreferredto as price sensitivity) as the slope the customers,they also will increase the customer's utility
of the demandfunction,thatis, aQ/dP.Furthermore,we oper-
(i.e., desirability)for the brand,thereby shifting the firm's
ationalize "desirability" as a shift termin the demandfunc- demand curve outward at a given price. The influence of
tion. We assumethatcommunicationsaltercustomerpercep- communicationmessages on price sensitivity is less clear.
tions of a firm's offering and thereforethese two aspects of This is because the message may stress price as well as non-
a firm's demand function. More specifically, communica-
price information.In the former instance customers should
tion strategies alter a brand's position in perceptual space become more sensitive to price changes, and in the latter,
the reverse should hold. We discuss this issue subsequently
2Omstein(1975) also notes the relationshipsgiven in Equations1 and 2. in more detail.
However, he cautions that these derivationsare based on firm/marketlevel
analysis, and may not hold if one conducts industrylevel analysis. Impor- Finally, we note that customers' perceptionsof the firm's
tantly, our empirical results are not susceptible to this problem given the offering can be capturedby two "output" measures-price
level of aggregationin our analysis. sensitivity and desirability.These two measures in turncan

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162 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH, MAY1994

be expressed in terms of a single summarymeasure of the autoregressiveeffects. Thus, it is not surprisingthat these
demand function facing a firm: own-firm price elasticity, a studies show mixed results with respect to effects of adver-
measurethat capturesboth the level of and change in sales. tising on price elasticities.
It is this fact, along with the one-to-one correspondencebe- Finally, there is a set of fully controlledexperimentsthat
tween price elasticity and D (margindivided by price) that assess the effects of advertisingon the marketresponsive-
led us to our measureof differentiation.With this said, we ness to price. The first, conducted by Staelin and Winer
note with some emphasis that price elasticity is not the (1976), reportsthe results of a heavy-up nonpriceadvertis-
same as price sensitivity. In discussing prior researchfind- ing experimentfor a frequentlypurchasedgrocery product
ings we highlight the importanceof this point. using split-cable television. They found a noticeable de-
In summary, we use price elasticity as our measure of crease in the absolute value of the firm's price elasticity in
differentiation because it represents an excellent output the "heavy-half."
measure of the value of prior communication actions. A second heavy-up television advertising experiment
Though this is more traditionallyan economic view of dif- was reportedby Prasadand Ring (1976). Using differentlin-
ferentiation,Figure 1 makesclearthatthe economic and mar- ear market share demand functions for the control and
keting perspectivesof productdifferentiationare not in op- heavy-half groups they reportthe heavy-up sample yielded
position but simply representdifferentstages in the differen- a more negative price coefficient. Some researchershave
tiation process. In particular,this discussion emphasizesthe used these price estimates as evidence that increasedadver-
link between the input measures associated with position- tising led to increased price sensitivity (e.g., Hauser and
ing a brandto be unique on one or more desired productat- Wernerfelt 1989; Kanetkar, Weinberg, and Weiss 1992).
tributes and the output measures of being able to obtain We are unwilling to make such an inference because the
higher margins (i.e., obtain higher values of D). Moreover, two estimated demand models contain very different, and
because firm profits are increasingin monopoly power (dif- collinear, independentvariables. Prasad and Ring also re-
ferentiation),all else being equal, it is not surprisingthatsev- port comparable models across the two samples, though
eral prior studies have addressedthe linkage between mar- they do not include a main effect of price. Direct compari-
keting actions and some measure of market response to son of the price by television interaction across the two
price. halves of the sample implies that the heavy advertisinghalf
was less price sensitive (i.e., the absolute value of the price
SYNTHESISOF CURRENTKNOWLEDGE/
by television interactionestimate is smaller for the heavy-
HYPOTHESISDEVELOPMENT
up sample).
A third advertising study reportedby Eskin and Baron
AdvertisingEffects (1977) involves four different controlled experiments in
We place prior researchon the effects of advertisingon which both the product's nonprice advertising and price
market response to price into three groups: (1) naturally were varied(across city sites). Using a linearmodel, the au-
occurringcross-sectional experiments, (2) naturallyoccur- thors find a statisticallysignificant negative price by adver-
ring "within" experiments, and (3) controlled "within" tising interaction(i.e., higher advertisingincreases the neg-
experiments. ative effect of price on quantity sold) for three of the four
Several analyses have used a cross-sectionaldesign to ex- productsanalyzed.Although the authorsdo not directly say
plore the linkage between advertising and price elasticity this, their results have been interpretedby others to imply
(or profit, because it is increasing with less negative price that heavier levels of advertisinglead to increases in price
elasticities) over a rangeof firms or industries(e.g., see Co- sensitivity (e.g., Krishnamurthiand Raj 1985), or increases
manor and Wilson 1974; Farrisand Reibstein 1979; Lam- in the absolute value of the own-price elasticity (e.g.,
bin 1976; Porter1976). Althoughthese analyses used covar- Hauserand Wernerfelt1989).
iates to control for differences across the units of analysis, Finally, Krishnamurthiand Raj (1985) present results
none of the previously cited cross-sectional studies could from anothercontrolled"heavy-up" split-cablenonpricead-
control for all unobserved variables that likely affect both vertising experiment. Using a log-linear demand model,
the firm's sales and advertisingand/orprice levels. Thus, as their results indicate that increasedadvertisingled to a sig-
noted previously, such analyses can yield biased estimates. nificantdecrease in responsivenessto firm price; that is, the
Consequently, it is not surprising that these studies yield own-price elasticity became less negative.
mixed results.Some indicateincreasesin advertisingexpen- At first glance, these four controlled experimentsdo not
dituresare associatedwith increasesin the firm's price elas- appearto provide a consistent patternof results. Due to es-
ticity (or surrogatesfor price elasticity) and others show the timationprocedures,the Prasadand Ring results are subject
converse. to multipleinterpretations.The otherthree studies appearto
Other sets of studies used a "within" analysis design to yield mixed results, with two brandsshowing a decrease in
circumvent the problems of unobserved firm- or industry- price elasticities and three brands showing an increase in
specific effects by restrictingattentionto a brand,firm,or in- price sensitivity with increasedlevels of advertising.We be-
dustry (e.g., Gatignon 1984; Kanetkar, Weinberg, and lieve, however, that there is a unifying explanationfor the
Weiss 1992; Simon and Kucher 1992; Wittink 1977). Al- results from these three studies. Both the Staelin and Winer
though the within aspect of these studies controls for unob- and Krishnamurthi and Raj studiesreportthatadvertisingde-
served firm- or product category-specific fixed effects, creases price elasticities in absolute value. In contrast,
these studies are still susceptible to unobservedrandomor Eskin and Baron estimated linear demand models and re-

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Mastering the Mix 163

portedthe price by advertisinginteractioncoefficients.How- more salient.4 Can such a firm increase its differentiation
ever, this is not the elasticity value of the effect but instead while still increasingconsumers' awarenessand sensitivity
representsprice sensitivity. This distinctionis important,be- to price?
cause price sensitivity captures only the slope of the de- To explore this issue, assume the firm has a low price rel-
mand curve and not the intercept.Thus, when the demand ative to competition and faces the demandfunction Q = a-
curve is linear (as it was in the Eskin and Baron study) and bP, where b captures the customers' sensitivity to price.
increasedadvertisingresults in increasedsales (i.e., the lin- Also assume that consumerstreatprice as one of the attrib-
ear demand curve is shifted outward)for all prices consid- utes of the productin determiningtheir assessment of over-
ered, the outwardshifted demandcurve is less price elastic all value (utility). Now let the firm reposition the brandby
regardlessof the slopes of the two functions. (For a proof of making price a more salient product attributein the minds
this assertion, see Appendix A.) Interestingly,such an out- of customers.As a result, low price becomes a more valued
ward shift in demand occurredin the increasedadvertising attribute(i.e., it is weightedmore thanotherattributes).Con-
condition at all levels of price tested for the threebrandsre- sequently, the low-priced brands increase in "value" rela-
porting increased price sensitivity. Consequently, even tive to the high-pricedbrands.Let the net effect of this re-
though the increasedadvertisingincreasedprice sensitivity, positioning be to shift the firm's demandcurve outwardfor
the net effect of the heavy advertisingwas to decrease the all prices and increase the slope of the demand curve. Rep-
firm's price elasticity in absolute value. Thus, all three of resent this outwardshifted but steeper demand function as
the fully interpretableadvertisingexperimentsindicate that Q = m(a + bP) + s, where m > 1 and s > 0. Then the new
increased advertising leads the firm to be more differenti- price sensitivity, aQ/dP, is mb, and the new interceptis ma
ated-that is, have less elastic demand. + s. Interestingly,even though the price sensitivity is larger
We believe the strongestevidence on the effects of adver- (i.e., mb > b), as we show in Appendix A for this linear de-
tising on price elasticities comes from controlled experi- mand case, the absolute value of the price elasticity at any
ments. These results, all based on nonprice advertising,in- given price is lower. Thus, it is possible for a firm to posi-
dicate support for the contention that advertisingincreases tion itself as the low-pricedbrand,make customersmore sen-
differentiation.These results are supportedfurtherby con- sitive to price, and still increase its differentiation(reduce
sumer-level laboratory experiments, which indicate that its price elasticity)-provided the outwardshift in demand
price elasticities decrease when consumersreceive nonprice is great enough.
(brand names and quality ratings) information (Huber, Of course, the viability of this strategyrests on the firm
Holbrook, and Kahn 1986; Sawyer, Worthing,and Sendak being able to ensure that such a course of action is not
1979). They are also compatible with the concept that suc- matched by competitors; in other words, the communica-
cessful brand positioning requires consumers to perceive tion must be unique.This suggeststhatonly firms with a sus-
the brandto be unique and superioron relevantproductat- tainable cost advantage can attempt such a strategy. Be-
tributes.Thus, nonprice advertisingmessages should cause cause at most one firm per marketcan have the low-cost ad-
consumersto have more positive, unique, and accessible as-
vantage, we have mixed beliefs on the value of price adver-
sociations with the firm's offering. As a result of these as-
tising in achieving differentiationfor the set of firms charg-
sociations, the firm will be less vulnerableto price compe-
ing average or below-average prices. Although there may
tition.3As will become apparentwhen we discuss our data, be instances in which a firm can use price advertising to
we do not observe the actualcontentof the ads, only the pric-
compete successfully on value, it is also possible that low-
ing strategy of the firm. We use as our proxy for nonprice price informationwill be matched by competition and not
advertising the fact that the firm charges an above average be unique. Moreover, given the possibility of price-quality
price. Our logic in the use of this proxy is that firms are un- covariation, a low-price message may lead consumers to
likely to draw attention to price in their advertisements if make negative attributionsfor some or all of the nonadver-
the firms' prices are higher than the industryaverage. Con-
tised attributes.
sequently, we state the following hypothesis in terms of Given our data, we are unableto determinethe content of
firms charging above average prices and test this hypothe-
the ad message or the sustainabilityof a firm's cost position
sis using a sample of such firms.
within its industry. We certainly expect that some low-
Hla: All else being equal, for firmschargingabove average priced firms may utilize nonprice-basedadvertising.In ad-
prices,increasesin advertisingin periodt-l will resultin dition, we can imagine instances in which firms with low
moredifferentiation for the firm'sproduct,thatis, a less
prices use price advertisingto obtainuniquepositioningsuc-
negativepriceelasticityin periodt. cessfully. However, we also believe instances exist in
Thus far our discussion has concentratedon nonpricead- which firms unsuccessfully utilize a low-price message
vertising. We next consider what happens when a firm de- (i.e., prices are matched by competition). Because of these
cides to "compete on price" by making the price attribute last two possibilities, we partition the average price and
below group into two subsets. One subset is composed of
3Wenote the similarityof this predictionto conjecturesmade by Hauser
and Wererfelt (1989). They suggest that advertisingused for positioning 4Treatingprice as an attributein perceptualspace is somewhat peculiar
purposes (i.e., making the brand more unique) will decrease price sen- because price is also an element of the demandfunction. However, market-
sitivity. Conversely, they suggest that "relevantset" advertising(i.e., mak- ers often have includedprice as partof a customer'sutility function(see al-
ing the brand less unique by emphasizing that it belongs within a set of most any conjoint study). We find it useful to follow such a practicein the
brands)will increase price sensitivity. following discussion.

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164 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH,MAY1994

those firms charging very low prices relative to their indus- The limited empirical findings provide results that sup-
try average. In subsequentdiscussion we refer to this sub- port both points of view. Most of these studies are at an in-
group as the "lowest" price group, and make the (directly dividual consumer level and employ within-brandor cate-
unverifiable) assumption that this group is most likely to gory analysis.Moreover,these studiesdiffer from the adver-
consist of firms with a sustainable cost advantage relative tising studies in that most do not look at the effects of pro-
to the other subgroups in our analysis. The second subset motionson price sensitivitiesdirectly,but rathersome meas-
consists of the remaining firms in the average price and ure of the consumer's utility. For example, Guadagni and
below grouping. In subsequent discussion we refer to this Little (1983), using a logit formulation,show that a house-
subgroup as the "average/lower" price group, and make hold's utility decreases when the product is purchasedon
the (directlyunverifiable)assumptionthatthese firmsare un- promotion. However, subsequent analyses of these data
likely to posess a sustainable low-cost advantage within using a different estimate of loyalty (Lattin 1989; Srini-
their industries.The basis for these assumptionsis that, all vasan and Kibarian 1989; Tellis 1990) result in this effect
else being equal other thancosts, equilibriumbehaviorsug- being insignificant.
A second individual level analysis reported by Davis,
gests a one-to-one correspondence between prices and
costs; that is, within an industry the lowest cost firm will Inman, and McAlister (1992) uses a controlled experiment
have the lowest-price and so on. to look at productevaluationsbefore and after brandswere
We next state our hypotheses for these two subgroups. promoted heavily. In all cases, no significant differences
Not knowing the advertising content makes these hypo- were found between changes in the control brand evalua-
theses somewhat speculative. We believe that firms in both tions over time and changes in evaluationsof the promoted
brandsover time. Thus, the authorsconclude that "promo-
groups will use a mixture of price and nonpricecommuni-
cations. However, we note that a price message can lead to tion does not have a negative effect on brandevaluation."
differentiationonly if it is unique, thatis, the firm has a sus- At a more macro level, Dodson, Tybout, and Sternthal
tainablecost advantage.Because we do not predicta sustain- (1978) look at panel data and conclude that the aggregate
able cost advantagefor the average/lowerprice group,adver- probabilityof repurchasinga branddecreasesafter it is pro-
moted.Neslin and Shoemaker(1989) suggest thatthese find-
tising will be less effective, on average, as a source of dif-
ferentiationfor these firms relative to firms that do not fea- ings could be because promotionsattracta disproportionate
number of buyers who have low off-promotion purchase
ture prices in their advertising.Consequently,we state our
probabilities. Thus, by aggregating across individuals,
hypothesis on the effects of advertisingon price elasticities lower repeat purchase probabilities will be observed even
for firms in the average/lowerprice group relative to the ef-
fects for firms charging above average prices. Specifically, though households do not change their evaluations of the
product.
Hlb: All else beingequal,for firmsin the average/lower price Finally, McAlister and Zenor (1992) reportthe results of
group,increasesin advertisingin periodt-1 will resultin an analysisof the effects of the magnitudeof store-levelpro-
forthesefirms'productsthanforfirms
less differentiation motional activity on the price elasticities of brand sizes
charging above average prices. within a particularretail chain. Using store-level scanner
In contrastto the average/lowerprice group, both price and data, they find that when the retailerprovidedextraordinar-
ily high levels of retail-level promotional support for a
nonpricemessages can lead to differentiationfor the lowest brand size (in terms of displays) over the given year ana-
pricegroup.For firms in the lowest price group,a pricemes-
lyzed, the absolute value of the price elasticity was larger
sage can constitutea uniqueand sustainableadvantage.Con- than average for the brandsize. Conversely, in situationsin
sequently,we expect no difference in the effects of advertis- which the retailerprovidedextraordinarilylow levels of re-
ing on price elasticities for firms in the lowest price group tail-level promotionalsupportfor a brandsize, the absolute
relative to firms charging above average prices. More
value of the price elasticity was smaller than average. The
formally, authors,however, point out that their analysis is not able to
Hlc: All else beingequal,forfirmsin thelowestpricegroup,in- determinecause and effect-in other words, did the retailer
creasesin advertisingin periodt-1 will resultin the same provide more promotionalsupportbecause the store's cus-
level of differentiation
forthesefirms'productsrelativeto tomers are more sensitive to price changes or did the extra
firmschargingaboveaverageprices. activity cause the customers to become more sensitive to
Promotion Effects price?
Given these mixed findings, we fall back to the concept
In contrast with the debate over positive or negative ef- of unique, positive product associations to make an un-
fects of advertisingon differentiation,the debateover promo- ambiguouspredictionregardingthe effects of promotionon
tions seems to be whether they yield a negative effect. the firm's price elasticity. We startwith the observationthat
Many marketingpractitionersand academicsbelieve promo- promotionalactivities primarilycommunicatepricing infor-
tions communicatenegativeproductassociations.For exam- mation,thatis, price reductions.We next considerthe impli-
ple, Dodson, Tybout, and Sternthal (1978) postulate that cations of this message for firms in our three price
the use of promotions lowers a consumer's brand evalua- categories.
tion. However, others argue that these effects, if present at Firms that charge above average prices are assumed not
all, are very short-lived (Davis, Inman, and McAlister to have a unique, sustainable price advantage. For these
1992; Neslin and Shoemaker 1989). firms, promotionalactivities focus consumers' attentionon

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Mastering the Mix 165

price, an attribute possessed by all brands. By providing H3a: All else being equal,for firmschargingabove average
such information, the seller lowers the customers' search prices,increasesin sales forceactivitiesin periodt-1 re-
costs, a factorbelieved to lead to lower differentiation(Nel- sultin greaterdifferentiationfor the firm'sproducts,that
son 1974). Also, even thoughlower prices are in generalper- is, a less negativeown-priceelasticityin periodt.
ceived to be better than higher prices, price reductionsmay For firmswith lower pricepolicies, the degreeof effective-
convey negative associations, especially if price and quality ness depends on whether the pricing communications are
covary in the minds of the customers. In summary,we see viewed to be positive and unique. As noted before, we as-
promotionalactivities making brand/firmprice associations sume the sales force for below averageprice firms will tend
more salient and accessible. Such associations tend not to to focus on price in their communications.On the basis of
be unique and may not be all that positive for firms in the
above average price group. Thus, for firms in this group, previously stated logic, these price-orientedmessages will
make the firm's futureprice elasticity more negative than if
we predict decreases in differentiationdue to promotional
the messages were nonprice oriented unless the firm has a
activity. More formally, this intuition leads to our second sustainablecost advantage.Because we do not expect firms
hypothesis: in the average/lower price group to possess such a cost
H2a: All else being equal,for firmschargingabove average advantage,we postulate the following:
prices,increasesin promotionsin periodt-1 will resultin
for the firm'sproducts,thatis, a more
less differentiation H3b: All else beingequal,for firmsin the average/lower price
negativeown-priceelasticityin periodt. group,increasesin salesforceactivitiesin periodt-l will
resultin less differentiation
forthesefirms'productsthan
As noted in previous discussion, we do not expect firms for firmschargingaboveaverageprices.
in the average/lower price group to posess a sustainable
cost advantage.As such, a price message from these firms In contrast, firms in the lowest price group may have a
would not result in unique, positive associations in the sustainablecost advantage.If so, price messages for these
minds of consumers. Consequently, we expect no differ- firms should result in no less differentiationthan nonprice
ence in effects of promotionalactivities on price elasticities messages producefor firms charging above average prices:
for this group relative to the above average price group: H3: All else beingequal,forfirmsin thelowestpricegroup,in-
creasesin salesforceactivitiesin periodt-1 will resultin
H2b: All else beingequal,for firmsin the average/lower price the samelevel of differentiation
for thesefirms'products
group,increasesin promotions in periodt-1 will yieldthe
relativeto firmschargingaboveaverageprices.
samedifferentiation effectsfor thesefirms'productsrela-
tive to firmschargingaboveaverageprices. All these hypotheses derive from our beliefs about mes-
In contrast, price-relatedpromotional activity may pro- sage contentand uniquenessfor the threecommunicationac-
vide unique and positive informationif a firm has a sustain- tivites and price groups. To assist the readerin sorting out
able competitive cost advantage.Because some firms in the these hypotheses, Table 1 provides a summaryof these be-
lowest price group may have such an advantage,the effect liefs and the resulting testable predictions.
of promotions on price elasticities should be more positive
DATAAND MODEL
for this group than firms with above average prices. Thus,
we postulate the following: We use the PIMS database to test our hypotheses. The
cross-sectionalaspect of the databaseenables us to develop
H2: All else beingequal,forfirmsin thelowestpricegroup,in-
creasesin promotionsin periodt-1 will resultin less of a generalizableresults, and the time-series dimension enables
thanforfirmschargingaboveav-
decreasein differentiation us to addressthe unobservedvariableproblem and the cau-
erageprices. sality issue. We select as our sample all consumer goods
manufacturers,because advertising, promotion, and sales
Sales Force Effects force activities are frequentelements in the marketingmix
To the best of our knowledge,no systematicempiricalevi- for these types of businesses. This results in a sample con-
dence exists on the effects of sales force expenditures on sisting of 4789 observations(before estimation).
own-price elasticity, nor are there any specific theories re- As stated previously, PIMS provides no information as
gardingthese effects. Consequently,we take as our starting to the content of the communications activities. However,
point that the basic task of the sales force is to "close" the we do have informationon the firm's price level relative to
sale. If the price of their product is less than competitors' competition. We make the logical assumption that firms
prices, salespeople will tend to stress this point in theircom- chargingabove averageprices are likely to use nonpriceap-
municationactivities.Alternatively,if the price of theirprod- peals in theiradvertisingcopy and sales force presentations.
uct is higher than competitors,salespeople will in all likeli- Similarly, we argue that firms with high relative prices use
hood focus on unique, value-adding nonprice features in promotions to compete on price whenever necessary and
their communicationactivities. Placed in the context of our thus, when used, promotionsmake price a more salient at-
conceptual framework,we conjecture that higher expendi- tribute. With respect to firms with average or below aver-
tures on nonprice-focusedsales force activities should lead age prices, we acknowledgethatthey are more likely to fea-
to more positive, unique, and accessible associations, and ture price in their communicationsbecause it has the poten-
thus better isolate the firm from price competition. Thus, tial of being a superior attribute(relative to competition).
with a nonpricefocus, we predictthat increaseddifferentia- However, it is also possible for them to use nonpriceattrib-
tion due to communicationactivities holds. More formally, ute communciations.Finally, we assume that firms charg-

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166 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH, MAY1994

Table1
OF HYPOTHESIZED
SUMMARY EFFECTS

Conjectured Conjectured
Firm's Pricing Communication Message Uniqueness Implied Outcome
Position Activity Content (Sustainability) Result Designation
Above avg. advertising nonprice likely increaseddifferentiation A
sales force nonprice likely increaseddifferentiation B
promotion price not likely reduceddifferentiation C

Avg./lower advertising nonprice/ nonprice-likely less than A D


price if price-not usually
sales force mostly price nonprice-likely less than B E
if price-not usually
promotion price not likely same as C F

Lowest advertising nonprice/ nonprice-likely same as A G


price if price-likely
sales force price likely same as B H
promotion price likely more than C I

Hypotheses
H: A > 0 Hb: D < A Hlc: G A
H: B > 0 H2b:E < B H2: H B
H3a: C<0 H3b:F C H3c:I>C

ing the lowest prices are most likely to have a sustainable Demand Model
cost advantage. We follow the lead of Krishnamurthiand Raj (1985) and
We acknowledge that though perhaps logical, these as- assume a firm's demand can be representedin terms of a
sumptions are not directly testable using PIMS data. How- constantprice elasticity model. We expand on this formula-
ever, we can indirectly test our "communicationcontent" tion in two ways. First, we allow each firm to have a unique
and "sustainablecost advantage"conjectures.In particular, price elasticity. Second, we allow the firm's demand in pe-
we can see whether the obtained results for the three price riod t to be shifted by (1) a vector of specific observed firm
samples are consistentwith all partsof our hypotheses.Con- actions Xit (i.e., advertising,sales force, and promotionac-
sequently, we partition our sample by the business unit tivities) and unobservedfixed firm actions o2i* (e.g., prod-
price relative to the average competitive level in its served uct design, quality,channel structure);(2) observedcompet-
market.This results in a sample of 446 above averageprice itive factors Cit and unobserved fixed competitive factors
business units, an average/lower price group of 297 busi- y2i*; and (3) a vector of other unobservedfixed factors Fi*
ness units, and 83 business units in the lowest price group.5 and an unobservedstochastic factor Eit. More formally, we
representthe firm's demand as
Unit of Analysis
(3) Qit= Pito+ PXit-I+ 2i*elXit + a2i + l,Cil+ Y* + Fi*+
Because we use PIMS data,we explorethe impactof busi-
ness unit actions on business unit price elasticity. Thus, our where Qi is the quantitysold in units for firm i at time t, Pit
unit of analysis is less macro than that of those who study is the firm's averageprice for these units, and Eit is assumed
firm or industry effects (e.g., Comanor and Wilson 1974; to be i.i.d. We later relax this stochastic error assumption
Porter1976) but more aggregatedthanthatof those research- by testing for a first-orderautoregressiveprocess, that is, it
= PEit- + uit,-1 < p < 1, and uit is assumed to be i.i.d.
ers whose unit of analysis is the brand(e.g., Lambin 1976;
Krishnamurthiand Raj 1985; Wittink 1977) or store-brand Equation3 has two importantcharacteristics.First, it par-
titions a firm's price elasticity into two components. The
size (McAlister and Zenor 1992). We acknowledge that a
business unit may have more than one branded product, component P0 + PiXit_ capturesthe averageprice elasticity
for any firm with past communicationactions Xit_, and the
and thus the aggregateddemand function we estimate is an term P2i* capturesthe firm-specific componentof the price
amalgamof the individualproductdemandfunctions.How- elasticity. In this way we acknowledge that every firm can
ever, this aggregatedfunction still provides insights into the have a completely unique price elasticity (although Equa-
effects of the firm's past actions on its ability to raise its av- tion 3 makes the implicit assumptionthat all firms have the
erage price in the future. Also, such an aggregationhas an same form of demand function). We use the first compo-
advantagein that it does not force us to allocate marketing nent to test directly whetherthe averagefirm's price elastic-
action expenditures arbitrarilyto specific brands in situa- ity is affected by past marketingactions. We do this by as-
tions in which the business unit's communicationmessages sessing the sign and magnitudeof the coefficient vector P,.
affect the customers' perceptionsfor more than one brand. We control for the unobservedcomponent 2i*by using in-
strumentalvariables.
Second, by including o2i*, Y2i*, Fi*, and Eit in the de-
5Thelowest price groupconsists of business units in the bottom 10%of mand function, we explicitly acknowledge that factors
our sample in terms of prices relative to the industryaverage. otherthanthe observed measures(i.e., Xit and Cit)affect the

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the Mix
Mastering 167

firm's demand.Examples of such unobservedfactors might ing and Lee (1992) show
be special productcharacteristics(capturedby ai*), special
characteristicsassociated with the competitive environment (4) lnQit- lnQi_, InDTRt- lnDTRit_- lnPlit+ lnPIitl
(captured by Y2i*), the firm's managerial expertise (cap- (5) lnPit - lnPit IlnPI,t - InPIitl,
tured by Fi*), and random shifts in the competitors' prices
where DTRit and PIit are measures available in the PIMS
(capturedby it). The challenge duringestimationis to con-
trol for these factors, because none of them is observed.We data, and PI,tis the firm's price index representingthe ratio
control for o2i*, y2i*, and Fi* by deriving estimation equa- of the firm's currentprice compared with the firm's base
tions that do not include any of these fixed, but unmeas- price, that is, PIit= Pi/Pi Ba. Consequently,the log of price
can be writtenas
ured, factors. We eliminate potential bias from the sto-
chastic error via instrumentalvariables, that is, two-stage (6) lnPit= lnPI^t+ K + K*i,
least squaresestimation.
where Ki* equals lnPiBase- K and is an unobserved firm-
Empirical Model specific constant, and K is the average of lnPiB. over the
We do not estimate Equation3 directly for two reasons. total sample.
First, as alluded to previously, many of the factors postu- We use these relationshipsand the approachoutlined by
lated to affect demand are not directly available from the Boulding and Staelin (1990) to simultaneouslyremove the
PIMS data. Any attemptto estimate Equation3 that ignores influence of the fixed (unobserved)effects, aoi*, y2i*, and
these unmeasuredfactors could lead to biased estimates of Fi* and the disguise factor, Di. We do this by taking logs
the measuredfactors. However, as shown by Boulding and and first differences of Equation3, yielding
Staelin (1990, 1993), it is a straightforwardprocedurewhen (7) lnQit - lnQit_l = 10(lnPit - lnPitl)
using longitudinaldata to remove or control for unobserved
+ P,(Xit1nPit - Xit2nPi -
variables that are fixed, random, or first-orderautoregres- (l(Xit -
lnPi,tl)) + 32i *(lnPt + Xit_l)
sive. Because this technique is explicated elsewhere, we + 'Y(Cit - Cit-l) + it - itl'
only briefly state how this is accomplished.
A second reason for not estimatingEquation3 directly is Substitutingthe righthandsides of Equations4, 5, and 6
that the PIMS data do not contain direct measuresof Qitor into Equation 7 yields an equation devoid of the fixed ef-
Pit. This is becausePIMS firms were unwillingto divulge ac- fects and in termsof all observablefactors,except K*i, 2i*
counting informationsuch as prices, profits, and sales. The and Eit and it_l, that is,
solution to this resistancewas to ask each participatingbusi-
(8) lnDTRit- InDTRtl - lnPIit+ lnPit_l =
ness unit to multiply all dollar values by a unique, firm-
specific constant. For years, researchersinterestedin using o(lnPlit- lnPIit_l)+ Pi(XitllnPIit - Xit-2lnPIit_l)+ Ol(Xit- Xit1)
PIMS financial measures removed this firm-specific factor
+ lY(Cit - Cit-l) + PK(Xit- - Xit-2) + Oit,
by employing ratios of two financial measures, thereby
"cancelling out" the firm-specific disguise factor. Re- where (it is a new errorterm equal to P*2i(lnPit- lnPit_) +
cently, however, two different approacheshave been pro- PIK*i(Xit_l - Xit_2) + Eit- it-l.
posed for removing this disguise factor. Importantly,these Equation 8 is our estimation equation. As such, several
approachesenable one to directlyincorporatenonratiofinan- featuresneed furtherdiscussion. First,note thatthis estimat-
cial measuresinto the analysis while still preservingthe con- ing equation enables direct estimation of our parametersof
fidentiality of an individual firm's proprietaryinformation. theoreticalinterest,po and P,, found in the structuralmodel
One approach, devised by Hagerty, Carman, and Russell given by Equation3. However, because the errorterm, (wit,
(1988), uses a log transformationin conjunctionwith firm contains unobserved effects that might be associated with
dummyvariablesto controlfor the firm-specificdisguise fac- the independentvariablesin Equation8, none of these esti-
tor. A second approach,originally proposed by Moore and mates are assured of consistency unless we control for po-
Boulding (1987) and implementedby Boulding and Staelin tential correlationof our regressorswith this error.Because
(1990, 1993) and Boulding and Lee (1992), uses a combina- our interest is primarilyin the price elasticity effects (i.e.,
tion of log and differencing transformationsto remove the Po and P3), we center our attentionon getting consistent es-
disguise factor. Here, we use the latter approach. timates of these two coefficients.6 We do this by instru-
To explain this procedure better, we use an accounting
measureavailable in the PIMS data, disguised total revenue 6Wedo not use instrumentsfor the other terms (i.e., (X^t- Xt_l), (Cit-
Citl) and (Xitl-Xit_2)) even though a Hausmantest (1978) indicates that
(DTRit).This measure is identical to Di*TRit,where Di is they areendogenous. When we did instrumentthese terms,the standarder-
the (unknown)disguise factor for firm i and TRitequals ac- rors for all the coefficients became large. This is mainly because we
tual total revenue (i.e., DTRit = Di*TRit).Taking logs and needed to rely on the same informationfor all our instruments.Moreover,
first differences, it is easy to show that lnTRt - lnTRit_l if we treatthese three terms as partof the errorterm, we substantiallyde-
crease the efficiency of our estimatingequation.Consequently,we took the
lnDTRit- lnDTRit_l,that is, the measure of the difference pragmaticapproachof acknowledging that we possibly have biased esti-
of the logs of the actual total revenue of a firm equals (and mates for the (uninteresting)coefficients of a, (the main effects for the cur-
thus can be measuredby) the difference of the logs of the rent marketingcommunicationvariables),-y (the main effects for compet-
itive conditions), and OK (the joint effect of the interactionvariableof in-
disguised measures. terest and the mean level of InPiBase over the total sample). However, in
Following this general procedureof taking logs and then doing so we obtain consistent and efficient estimates of the price elasticity
first differencing, Boulding and Staelin (1993) and Bould- coefficients of theoreticalinterestin this research.

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168 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH,MAY1994

menting the price and price interactionterms using instru- expendituresmade within the last few months. Because our
ments from period t-2 and earlier (i.e., we use two-stage measuresare annual,we approximateexpenditurelevels of
least squares estimation in which price and the price inter- less thana year old by a weighted averageof this year's and
action termsareconsideredendogenous).This ensuresinde- last year'sexpenditures.Given the infinitenumberof weight-
pendence of the price terms in the model from the two sto- ing schemes one could use, we somewhat arbitrarilypick
chastic errorcomponents and the unobservedfirm-specific three:(1) 100%weight on the currentyearexpenditures(cur-
price component (i.e., the term P*2i(lnPit- lnPit_l)).How- rent model); (2) equal weight on the currentand prioryear
ever, such a proceduredoes not guaranteeconsistency be- expenditures (half-year lag model); and (3) 100% weight
cause w)t potentiallycontains informationfrom t-2 (i.e., the on prioryear expenditures(one-year lag model).8
termi13K*(Xit_l - Xit_2)). Consequently, we later test Equation 3 also acknowledges the impact of industry-
whetherour instrumentalvariableestimates based on the t- wide marketingfactorson the firm's demand.As noted pre-
2 instruments suffer from exogeneity bias. We also later viously, the estimatingequationcontrolsfor all such effects
test whetherour "random"errorfactorscontainan unobser- that are fixed over time. Thus, we need concern ourselves
ved dynamic process that is first-orderautoregressive. only with changes in environmental and competitive fac-
In summary,the procedureoutlined previously does the tors. Factors that come to mind are changes in consumers'
following: taste for the product class, demographic trends, and eco-
nomic cycles. Because these factors are expected to affect
1. Enablesus to use financialmeasuresnot directlymeasured
the sales of all the competitorsin the industryin the same di-
by PIMSas bothindependent anddependentvariables;
2. Removesthe effects of the unobservedfixed factors 2i*, rection, we include the dollar sales of the firm's competi-
tors to capture such effects. Although this variable is dis-
Y2i*,andFi* throughfirstdifferencing;
3. Controlsfor the effects of unobservedrandomfactorsby guised, the log-first differencetransformationeliminatesthe
usinginstrumental variables; disguise factor.
4. Enablesus to test for exogeneitybiasanda first-order
auto- Finally, note that we state the b and c portionsof our hy-
regressiveerrorstructure. potheses as contraststo the above averageprice group.Con-
sequently, we modify Equation8 so we can test simultane-
The price one must pay to accomplish this is to "throw ously all nine of our hypotheses. We do this by including
out" data. As noted, we start out with 4427 observations. all the variablesspecified in Equation8 as well as interact-
After controlling for fixed and randomunobservedfactors, ing these variables with dummy variables that reflect
we are left with 2774 observations.7If exogeneity bias ex- whether the business unit is in either the average/loweror
ists due to use of t-2 instruments,the solution(use of t-3 in- lowest price groups,and then estimatingthis modifiedEqua-
struments)entails losing an additionalobservationfor each tion 8 over the total sample of business units. Conse-
business unit. Similarly, if a significant autoregressivepro- quently, the coefficients not interactedwith these dummy
cess exists, the solution (p - differencingthe data) again en- variablesrepresentthe estimatesfor firmschargingabove av-
tails losing an additionalobservationfor each business unit. erage prices, and the variables interactedwith the dummy
variablesrepresentthe difference in estimates for the aver-
IndependentMeasures Other Than Price
age/lower and lowest price firms relative to the above aver-
PIMS contains two different measures of the SBU's age price firms.9The above average price estimates enable
communicationactivities. The first is total dollar expendi- us to test Hla-H3a,the average/lowerprice change estimates
tures (disguised) for advertising,promotion,and sales force enable us to test Hlb-H3b,and the lowest price change esti-
activities. The second is the business unit's expenditure mates enable us to test Hlc-H3c. These estimates are re-
level relative to the average competitive level for these ac- portedin Table 2.
tivities measuredon a 5-point scale. We elect to use the lat-
ter measuresbecause our conceptualizationof how a firm's Results
marketingactions affect marketresponse to price operates Our primaryinterest is in the sign and magnitudeof the
through consumers' associations. Because these associa- p coefficients, especially the individual elements of the P,
tions occur within the context of competing messages, the vector (i.e., the threeinteractioncoefficients) found in Equa-
relative measures seem more appropriate.Such a conceptu- tion 3. As discussed previously,we can obtainconsistentes-
alization is compatible with empirical results showing that timates of these parametersby estimating Equation8 after
the effects of firm advertising (Gatigon 1984) and promo- instrumentingthe price regressors,assumingthatthereis no
tions (Kahn and Louie 1990) are moderatedby competitive significantunobservedautoregressiveprocess or correlation
actions. between the instrumentedprice regressorsand our estima-
In Equation3 we make the arbitraryassumptionthatpast
marketingactions are subscriptedas periodt-1. In our data- 8Note that in the currentmodel the price elasticity becomes po + P,Xi
base this representsa year lag. However, it is possible that + 32i* (versus P0 + iXit- + _2i*)' Substitutingthroughresults in the co-
this lag is too long (or too short). Common sense drives us efficient for the regressor(Xi, - Xit,) being ar + 1IKin Equation8 (ver-
sus a1). As a result,thereis no directestimatefor the main effect of the cur-
to believe that customers' associations are most affected by rent marketingactions, that is, otl. This is also true for the half-year lag
model.
7To reduce ambiguity about a business unit's pricing policy, we omit 9Note that one can calculate the actual estimates for the nonhigh price
175 observationsin which the business unit changes from above averageto groups by summing the change estimates with the above averageprice es-
below averageprice (or vice versa) in consecutiveyears.Includingthese ob- timates. Standarderrorsfor these summed coefficients are available from
servationsdoes not change signs or significance levels of the estimates. the authorson request.

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Mastering the Mix 169

Table 2
ESTIMATES OF STRUCTURAL PRICE ELASTICITYPARAMETERS FROM EQUATION3ab

Model Lag Structure


One Year Half Year Current
Price AboveAvg. AvgJLower Lowest AboveAvg. Avg/Lower Lowest AboveAvg. Avg/Lower Lowest
Coefficientsc Price Price Chg. Price Chg. Price Price Chg. Price Chg. Price Price Chg. Price Chg.
Price Main Effect -2.280*** 1.165 -.438 -2.294*** 1.146 .533 -2.297*** 1.048 1.665
(13) (.697) (1.330) (1.992) (.708) (1.365) (1.853) (.710) (1.376) (1.833)
Interactions:
(P1)
Advertising .149* -.131 .155 .220** -.179 -.022 .292** -.223 -.236
(.116) (.204) (.273) (.124) (.231) (.300) (.127) (.255) (.308)
Promotion -.237* -.067 .656** -.280** -.041 .549** -.310** -.016 .438*
(.145) (.260) (.329) (.146) (.266) (.326) (.143) (.266) (.311)
Salesforce .412*** -.506* -.227 .391** -.477* -.306 .349** -.421 -.375
(.171) (.332) (.475) (.178) (.355) (.509) (.182) (.372) (.518)
Overall model 23.7*** 23.6*** 23.6***
F33,2741C
*significantat .10 level.
**significantat .05 level.
***significantat .01 level.
aStandarderrorsin parentheses.
bMaineffects for currentand lagged advertising,promotion,and sales force activities, along with $ sales of competitors,are not reportedbecause they are
either uninterpretablereducedforms or potentiallybiased estimates. These estimates are availablefrom the authorson request.
CWedo not reportR2 values because estimationpreventsthis statisticfrom being fully interpretable.

tion errorterm. With respect to the first point, no estimated With respect to our hypotheses, we start by examining
value of p (see Boulding and Staelin 1993 for details on the "Above AveragePrice" columns in Table 2, which en-
this procedure)in the three models presentedin Table 1 is able us to test Hla-H3a.These resultsindicatethat,independ-
significantlydifferentfrom zero (Current:x2sl = .75; "Half- ent of the lag structurespecification, advertisingand sales
lag": X21= 1.76; One year lag: X21= 1.76). Another con- force expendituressignificantly decrease the negativity of
cern for the one-year and half-yearlag models is the possi- the own-price elasticity, and promotion expenditures in-
bility of exogeneity bias.10We test for this by seeing if the crease the negativity of the price elasticity. Interestingly,
instrumental variable estimates based on three-year lags, the magnitudeof the effects for advertisingand promotion
which guarantee independence from our empirical model decrease with the length of the lag used, and the sales force
error term, reach significance when included in a model effect increases.To see whetherwe can infer anythingfrom
containing the instrumented variables based on two-year this pattern,we test whetherthe currenteffects differ signif-
lags (Hausman 1978). Given this lack of significance (Half- icantly from the full-yearlagged effects. We do this by com-
year lag: F4,1216 = .63; One-year lag: F4,1216 = .44), we feel paring the half-year estimates, which constrain the current
comfortableusing instrumentsbased on periods t-2. Such a and lagged effects to equality, with a model containingboth
procedurehelps maintainadequatesample sizes. current and lagged interaction effects. We reject the con-
Before reporting on our hypotheses, we note that the straint of equality at the .10 level (F6,2753 = 1.93). Thus, it ap-
price elasticity estimates comparefavorablywith price elas- pears that currentadvertising and promotion activities are
ticities reportedin the literature(e.g., for the average busi- more likely to affect customers' perceptions,whereas sales
ness unit in the above average price sample this value force communicationshave strongerlong-termeffects. Per-
equals -1.3). Neslin and Shoemaker(1983) summarizea va- haps more importantly,in spite of the conclusion that these
riety of studies and report an average elasticity associated effects change with the lag structure,we note the consistent
with experimentalwork equal to -1.74, and an averageelas- direction of the effects. This consistency suggests that the
ticity associated with time-series analysis equal to -1.90. "currenteffect" estimates are not totally due to the reverse
Using a meta-analysisof price elasticities, Tellis (1988) re- causality argumentsappearingin the literature.
ports a mean elasticity of-1.76, a mode of-1.6, and a stan- The "Average/LowerPrice Change" columns in Table 2
darddeviation of 1.74. For a sample of 203 PIMS business enableus to test Hlb-H3b.Specifically,these hypothesessug-
units, Hagerty, Carman, and Russell (1988) report a price
gest advertising and sales force activities should produce
elasticity of -.99 with a coefficient of variation equal to less differentiation, and promotion activities should show
2.00. Consequently, we find our price elasticity estimates
no difference in differentiationwhen contrasting average/
consistent with prior empirical research.
lower price group effects to the above average price group
effects. Thus, the advertisingand sales force coefficients in
l?Inthe "current"model the term PIKi*(Xjt_l- Xit_2) (which appearsin
the one-year lag estimation errorterm) becomes PlKi*(Xit- Xitl), that is, these columns should be negative, and the promotioncoef-
there is no longer informationfrom t-2 in this term. ficients should be zero. The last hypothesis is somewhat

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170 JOURNALOF MARKETINGRESEARCH,MAY1994

problematic,becauseit implies acceptinga null resultas sup- extend the previously reportedexperimentalresults associ-
port for the hypothesis. With this said, the results in Table ated with a few consumer nondurablepackage goods to a
2 indicate that promotion coefficients in the "Average/ wide range of consumer goods businesses and situations,
Lower Price Change" columns cannot be distinguished that is, both nondurablesand durables. Our work also ex-
from zero. We also find, as expected, that the advertising tends the scope of communication activities considered.
and sales force coefficients are negative. However, only the Most priorresearchexamines effects of advertisingand pro-
sales force coefficients reach significance. We believe that motion activities on future price responsiveness. We ex-
the lack of significance on the advertisingcoefficients indi- pand this set to include sales force activities. Also, unlike
cates that at least some average/lowerprice firms success- prior cross-sectional analyses, our analysis controlled for
fully used advertising to establish positive and unique any omittedfixed, random,or first-orderautoregressivefac-
associations (e.g., they engaged in nonpriceadvertising)in tor. Consequently, we can ascertain that our findings are
consumers' minds. Finally, we again note the consistency not due to such omitted variables.Furthermore,because we
of results across the three lag structurespecifications.11 use lagged measuresfor the marketingactions,we can confi-
The "Lowest Price Change" columns in Table 2 enable dently rule out the reversecausality explanation,that is, the
us to test Hc-H3c, which suggest no change in differentia- price elasticities caused the marketingactions. Our use of
tion effects for advertising and sales force activities, lagged marketing actions also enables us to state un-
whereas promotionactivities should produceincreaseddif- ambiguously that short-term actions have long-term
ferentiation in contrast to the above average price group. implications.
Thus, the advertisingand sales force coefficientsin these col- Ourresultsextendpriorresearchin this areain anotherim-
umns should be zero, and the promotioncoefficients should portantway: They indicatethatdifferentiationis less a func-
be positive. Again, we note the difficulty of accepting null tion of whethermessage content is price or nonpricethanof
results.However, none of the advertisingand sales force co- message uniqueness. For example, Table 1 indicates that a
efficients in these columns can be distinguishedfrom zero. price-orientedmessage for all three communicationactivi-
We also find significant supportfor our predictionof a pos- ties for the lowest price group is likely to be uniquebecause
itive promotioncoefficient. These resultshold across all lag this group is assumedto have a sustainablelow-cost advan-
structurespecifications. tage. In supportof this conjecturewe find that advertising
and sales force activities for this group are no different in
DISCUSSION terms of yielding differentiation than the advertising and
We evaluate the impact of communication activities on sales force activities for the above averageprice group.Fur-
differentiation by asking whether these activities yield thermore,promotionactivities for the lowest price groupen-
accessible, positive, and unique associationsin the minds of hance future differentiation relative to the above average
consumers.All three communicationactivities we consider price group. This is because, as Table 1 indicates, the pro-
are designed to increase the accessability of consumer motion message is price orientedfor both these groups, but
associations. Also, we assume the senderschoose messages unique only for the lowest price group.
they perceive to be positive. Thus, the key question is Our results also highlight the dangersof a price message
whether the message is perceived to be unique by the re- that is not unique. Table 1 indicates that this is most likely
ceiver. Using a price partitioningof our sample we make to happenfor promotionactivities in all but the lowest price
conjectureswith respect to message content and the likeli- group and for sales force activities in the average/lower
hood that this content will be unique. As a caveat, we note price group.The results reportedin Table2 provide support
that these conjectures are directly unverifiable. However, for both of these conjectures.12
they lead to nine precise predictions that can be tested in Overall, what are the strategic implications of our re-
our empiricalanalysis. All six of the directionalpredictions sults? First, as a caveat, our analysis does not consider fully
are supported,five with significance. In addition,we accept intertemporalissues in profitmaximization.Thus, for exam-
all three of our null predictions. This increases our confi- ple, it is possible for a profit-maximizingfirm to determine
dence about our conjectures.As a furthercaveat, as noted that its optimal decision is to increase its promotionexpen-
previously, our results representaverage effects and there- ditures in period t to enhance market expansion, even
fore may not hold in every instance. However, we stress though such a decision will increase its price elasticity in
thatthe obtainedresultsare compatiblewith our basic prem- subsequent periods. More generally, if firms are out of
ise that by providing unique and positive messages a firm short-runequilibrium,then Equation2 does not hold-that
can insulate itself from future price competition, as wit- is, the firm's price elasticity is not an equivalentmeasureof
nessed by its ability to get higher futureprice margins. differentiation.However, we reduce the possibility of out-
We believe the substantive implications of our research of-equilibriumbehavior affecting our estimation by limit-
are of great interest in that they provide significant support ing our sample to observations in which the business unit
for the belief that when firms increasetheir unique commu- maintainsthe same pricing policy (i.e., above versus aver-
nication activities this leads to a future increase in brand age or below) at times t and t-1. Furthermore,in spite of
differentiation.Conversely, when firms increase their non- these caveats, the researchherein makes clear that when a
unique communicationactivities, this leads to a future de- firm evaluates the implications of an advertising, sales
crease in brand differentiation.Importantly,these findings
'2Summing together the above average and average/lower price sales
"For the "current"lag structure,the sales force coefficient falls just out- force coefficients indicates that sales force activities for the average/lower
side the .10 level of significance (p = .13). price group reduce futuredifferentiation.

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Mastering the Mix 171

force, or promotion action, it also must consider the long- uniqueness of the message. Second, the research herein
term implications of this decision. A clear implication of does not account fully for intertemporalprofit maximiza-
this researchis that marketingcommunicationactivities do tion. However, by consideringthe long-termdifferentiation
alter the firm's subsequent ability to insulate itself from implicationsdue to communicationactivities, we can safely
price competition. conclude that for above average price consumer goods
We conclude by puttingour conceptualizationand empir- firms, on average, advertisingand sales force activities are
ical findings into context. We note that our conceptualiza- perhapsmore valuable and promotionactivities less valua-
tion explicitly delineates two types of effects that a commu- ble than previously thought. Specifically, in addition to an
nication can have when it altersa brand'spositioning. First, outwardshift in demand typically attributedto advertising
it can affect the desirability of the brand relative to other and sales force activities, these actions also can shield the
competitive offerings. Second, it can affect the salience of firm from futureprice competition via increaseddifferenti-
price and thus the brand's price sensitivity. Managers(and ation. In contrast,unless promotionactivities lead to an out-
researchers)often evaluate the effectiveness of a communi- ward shift in demand, as opposed to movement down
cations campaign in terms of the main effects of the cam- (along) the demand curve, there is no counterbalancingef-
paign (i.e., the shift in demand).However, this focus can be fect to the possibility that promotionsincrease future price
highly misleading. Our conceptual model of differentiation competition due to decreaseddifferentiation.
indicates that managersalso must consider the long-termef-
fects of the campaign on price sensitivity, because both de- AppendixA
Assertion: An outwardshift in linear demand always re-
sirability and price sensitivity affect the firm's ability to
earn future profits. Therefore, managers should not isolate sults in a decreasein the point price elasticity, even with in-
their attention on shifts in demand. Instead, as we show, creased price sensitivity.
they should use a measure such as price elasticity, which Proof: Let the old demand function be of the form
captures the influence of both desirability and price qo= a - bp.
sensitivity.
With respect to empirical findings, our results certainly Then any linear outwardshift can be written as
will add fuel to the fire for the argumentthat advertisingac- q = m(a - bp) + s,
tivities are undervalued relative to promotional activities
given a long-runview. However,our long-runeffect is some- where m > 1 (i.e., price sensitivity increases) and s > 0
what different than that normallyconsideredwhen compar- (i.e., an outwardshift in demand).
ing the value of advertising and promotion activities. The It is easy to see that the point elasticity for the old de-
typical argumenthas been that advertisingyields longer car- mand function is
ryover effects than promotions. Consequently, the reason- (a- bp2)- (a- bpl)
ing goes that one should use a longer time horizon to evalu- a - bpl
ate advertisingeffects relative to promotioneffects. Our re-
P2-P
sults, however, imply thatfor firms pricing above the indus-
try averagecurrentadvertising(and sales force) activitiesin- PI

crease future differentiationand decrease futureprice com- -bp


petition, whereas currentpromotion activities decrease fu- a -bpl
ture differentiation and increase future price competition.
Thus, though the carryoverissue addressesthe relative size Likewise, the point elasticity for the new demand func-
of main effects due to marketingactions, our research ad- tion is
dresses the net effects of these actions on both price sensi- m(a - bp2)+s - m(a - bp,) - s
tivity and shifts in demand,and thus the firm's ability to in- m(a-bpl)+s
sulate itself from future price competition. in=

With respect to sales force communicationimplications, P2-Pl


our results highlight an importantcontrol function in sales PI
force management.Given downwardsloping demandand a
below average price position, sales force members will -bp,
want to call attentionto price in their communicationactiv- a+s/m- bp,
ities. However, unless the price position is unique, the com-
munication activity will not provide future differentiation Because s/m > 0 for any outward shift in demand, one
benefits. Therefore, managers should consider how to get can see that in absolute value rNq> nn.
sales force members to understand and communicate the
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