Rapport Final Micmac - Aaa

MICMAC - AAA Page 1 / 17
Final Micmac report

aaa
Micmac – Método actualizado por © Michel Godet. Aplicativo gratuito financiado por el Círculo de Acción Prospectiva (CAP prospectiva) y 3IE
EPITA.
SUMMARY
I. PARTICIPANTS PRESENTATION.....................................................................4
1. List of participants...................................................................................................................... 4
2. Participant description................................................................................................................ 4
1. ALVA CANO CARLOS ALFONSO.........................................................................................................4
2. ALVAREZ RODAS CELIA MERCEDES...................................................................................................4
3. OJEDA CAMPO ERICK........................................................................................................................4
4. AGUIRRE PINO HÉCTOR GERARDO...................................................................................................4
5. AGUIRRE CARO JESÚS.......................................................................................................................5
6. ALCOCER PEREZ JORGE.....................................................................................................................5
7. ALBEREZ ROSA JOSEFINA MARÍA......................................................................................................5
8. ALCARAZ POSO MANUEL..................................................................................................................5
9. ALCÁNTAR MORA MARÍA DOLORES.................................................................................................5
10. ALVARADO POLO MARÍA ISABEL...................................................................................................5
11. AGUIRRE SOSSA MARÍA LUCINDA.................................................................................................5
12. ALONSO CANO MARIO ARTURO...................................................................................................6
13. ALMEDA JAIMES PALOMA............................................................................................................6
14. ALONSO PUERTA PATRICIA..........................................................................................................6
15. ÁLVAREZ CASTRO RAFAEL.............................................................................................................6
II. THE MATRICES OF THE ENTRIES..................................................................7
1. Matrix of Direct Influences (MDI)................................................................................................ 7
2. Matrix of Potential Direct Influences (MPDI)...............................................................................7
III. THE STUDY RESULTS......................................................................................7
IV................................................................................................................................................7
1. Direct influences......................................................................................................................... 7
1. MDI characteristics............................................................................................................................7
2. MDI stability......................................................................................................................................8
3. MDI row and column sum.................................................................................................................8
4. Direct influence/dependence map...................................................................................................8
5. Direct influence graph.......................................................................................................................8
2. Potential direct influences........................................................................................................... 8

1. MPDI Characteristics.........................................................................................................................8
2. MPDI stability....................................................................................................................................9
3. MPDI row and column sum...............................................................................................................9
4. Potential direct influence/dependence map....................................................................................9
5. Potential direct influence graph.......................................................................................................9
3. Indirect influences..................................................................................................................... 10
1. Matrix of Indirect Influences (MII)..................................................................................................10
2. MII row and column sum................................................................................................................10
3. Indirect influence/dependence map..............................................................................................10
4. Indirect influence graph..................................................................................................................10
EPITA.
4. Potential indirect influences...................................................................................................... 10

1. Matrix of Potential Indirect Influences (MPII)................................................................................10
2. MPII row and column sum..............................................................................................................11
3. Potential indirect influence/dependence map...............................................................................11
4. Potential indirect influence graph..................................................................................................11
EPITA.
I. PARTICIPANTS PRESENTATION
II.LIST OF PARTICIPANTS
 ALVA CANO CARLOS ALFONSO
 ALVAREZ RODAS CELIA MERCEDES
 OJEDA CAMPO ERICK
 AGUIRRE PINO HÉCTOR GERARDO
 AGUIRRE CARO JESÚS
 ALCOCER PEREZ JORGE
 ALBEREZ ROSA JOSEFINA MARÍA
 ALCARAZ POSO MANUEL
 ALCÁNTAR MORA MARÍA DOLORES
 ALVARADO POLO MARÍA ISABEL
 AGUIRRE SOSSA MARÍA LUCINDA
 ALONSO CANO MARIO ARTURO
 ALMEDA JAIMES PALOMA
 ALONSO PUERTA PATRICIA
 ÁLVAREZ CASTRO RAFAEL
III. PARTICIPANT DESCRIPTION
IV. ALVA CANO CARLOS ALFONSO

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
COLMENA
Profession:
Cardiología
V. ALVAREZ RODAS CELIA MERCEDES

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
SURA
Profession:
Infectología
VI. OJEDA CAMPO ERICK

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
SURA
Profession:
Cardiología
VII. AGUIRRE PINO HÉCTOR GERARDO

Role:
AUXILIAR
Company:
HUMANAS
Profession:
Administración
EPITA.
VIII. AGUIRRE CARO JESÚS

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
C DE FRACTURAS
Profession:
Anatomía patológica
IX. ALCOCER PEREZ JORGE

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
ISS
Profession:
Reumatología
X. ALBEREZ ROSA JOSEFINA MARÍA

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
C DEL PRADO
Profession:
Cirugía General
XI. ALCARAZ POSO MANUEL

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
CRUZ BLANCA
Profession:
Fisiología
XII. ALCÁNTAR MORA MARÍA DOLORES

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
FAMISANAR
Profession:
Microbiología
XIII. ALVARADO POLO MARÍA ISABEL

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
SALUDTOTAL
Profession:
XIV. AGUIRRE SOSSA MARÍA LUCINDA

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
SANITAS
Profession:
EPITA.
Inmunología
XV. ALONSO CANO MARIO ARTURO

Role:
EMFERMERO
Company:
COOMEVA
Profession:
Cirugía neurológica
XVI. ALMEDA JAIMES PALOMA

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
NUEVA
Profession:
Endocrinología
XVII. ALONSO PUERTA PATRICIA

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
C DE FRACTURAS
Profession:
XVIII. ÁLVAREZ CASTRO RAFAEL

Role:
MEDICO
Company:
CAFESALUD
Profession:
Cirugía general
EPITA.
XIX. THE MATRICES OF THE ENTRIES

XX. MATRIX OF DIRECT INFLUENCES (MDI)
The Matrix of Direct Influence (MDI) describes the relations of direct influences between the
variables defining the system.
Influences range from 0 to 3, with the possibility to identify potential influences:

0: No influence
1: Weak
2: Moderate influence
3: Strong influence
P: Potential influences
XXI. MATRIX OF POTENTIAL DIRECT INFLUENCES (MPDI)

The Matrix of Potential Direct Influences (MPDI) represents the present and potential influences
and dependences between the variables. It complements the MDI by also considering the foreseeable
future relations.
Influences range from 0 to 3:

0: No influence
1: Weak
2: Moderate influence
3: Strong influence
XXII. THE STUDY RESULTS

XXIII.
XXIV. DIRECT INFLUENCES
XXV. MDI characteristics

This table presents the number of 0,1,2,3,4 of the matrix and shows the rate of filling
calculated as a ratio between the number of MDI values different from 0 and the total number of
elements of the matrix.
INDICATOR VALUE
Matrix size 0
Number of iterations 4
Number of zeros 0
Number of ones 0
Number of twos 0
Number of threes 0
Number of P 0
Total 0
EPITA.
INDICATOR VALUE
Fillrate NaN%
© LIPSOR-EPITA-MICMAC
XXVI. MDI stability

If it were demonstrated that any matrix must converge towards stability at the end of a certain
number of iterations (generally 6 or 7 for a matrix of size 30), it would be interesting to be able to
follow the evolution of this stability during successive multiplications. In the absence of
mathematically established criteria, it was chosen to rely on the number of permutations (bullets
sorting) necessary to each iteration to classify, by influence and dependence, the whole set of the
variables of the MDI matrix.
ITERATION INFLUENCE DEPENDENCE

1 100 % 100 %
2 100 % 100 %
3 100 % 100 %
4 100 % 100 %
XXVII. MDI row and column sum

This table allows getting information about the sums in the rows and columns of the MDI
matrix.
N° VARIABLE TOTAL NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF

ROWS COLUMNS
Totals 0 0
XXVIII. Direct influence/dependence map

This plan is set starting from the matrix of direct influences MDI.
XXIX. Direct influence graph

This graph is set starting from the matrix of direct influences MDI.
EPITA.
XXX. POTENTIAL DIRECT INFLUENCES
XXXI. MPDI Characteristics

This table presents the number of 0,1,2,3,4 of the matrix and shows the rate of filling
calculated as a ratio between the number of MPDI values different from 0 and the total number of
elements of the matrix.
INDICATOR VALUE
Matrix size 0
Number of iterations 4
Number of zeros 0
Number of ones 0
Number of twos 0
Number of threes 0
Number of P 0
Total 0
Fillrate NaN%
XXXII. MPDI stability

If it were demonstrated that any matrix must converge towards stability at the end of a certain
number of iterations (generally 6 or 7 for a matrix of size 30), it would be interesting to be able to
follow the evolution of this stability during successive multiplications. In the absence of
mathematically established criteria, it was chosen to rely on the number of permutations (bullets
sorting) necessary to each iteration to classify, by influence and dependence, the whole set of the
variables of the MPDI matrix.
ITERATION INFLUENCE DEPENDENCE

1 100 % 100 %
2 100 % 100 %
3 100 % 100 %
4 100 % 100 %
XXXIII. MPDI row and column sum

This table allows getting information about the sums in the rows and columns of the MPDI
matrix.

ROWS COLUMNS
Totals 0 0
XXXIV. Potential direct influence/dependence map

This plan is set starting from the matrice of potential direct influences MPDI.
XXXV. Potential direct influence graph

This graph is set starting from the matrice of potential direct influences MPDI.
EPITA.
XXXVI. INDIRECT INFLUENCES
XXXVII. Matrix of Indirect Influences (MII)

The Matrix of the Indirect Influences (MII) corresponds to the Matrix of the Direct Influences
(MID) enhanced in power, by successive iterations. From this matrix a new classification of the
variables emphasizes the most important variables of the system. Indeed, one detects the hidden
variables, thanks to a program of matrix multiplication applied to an indirect classification. This
program allows studying the diffusion of the impacts by the ways and the loops of feedback, and
consequently to treat on a hierarchical basis the variables: by order of influence, by considering the
number of path and loops of length 1, 2... N generated by each variable; by order of dependence, by
considering the number of paths and loops of length 1, 2... N reaching each variable. Generally, the
classification becomes stable from a multiplication of the order 3, 4 or 5.
Values represent indirect influence rates
XXXVIII. MII row and column sum

This table allows getting information about the sums in the rows and columns of the MII matrix.

ROWS COLUMNS
Totals 0 0
XXXIX. Indirect influence/dependence map

This plan is set starting from the indirect influence matrix MII.
XL. Indirect influence graph

This graph is set starting from the indirect influence matrix MII.w
EPITA.
XLI. POTENTIAL INDIRECT INFLUENCES
XLII. Matrix of Potential Indirect Influences (MPII)

The Matrix of the Potential Indirect Influences (MPII) corresponds to the Matrix of the Potential
Direct Influences (MIDP) enhanced in power, by successive iterations. From this matrix, a new
classification of the variables emphasizes the potentially most important variables of the system
Values represent potential indirect influence rates
XLIII. MPII row and column sum

This table allows getting information about the sums in the rows and columns of the MIIP
matrix.

ROWS COLUMNS
Totals 0 0
XLIV. Potential indirect influence/dependence map

This plan is set starting from the potential indirect influences matrix MIIP.
XLV. Potential indirect influence graph

This graph is set starting from the potential indirect influences matrix MIIP.
EPITA.
EPITA.
EPITA.
EPITA.
EPITA.
EPITA.

Rapport Final Micmac - Aaa

Uploaded by

Document Information

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

Rapport Final Micmac - Aaa

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

MICMAC - AAA Page 1 / 17

Final Micmac report

II. THE MATRICES OF THE ENTRIES..................................................................7

1. Matrix of Direct Influences (MDI)................................................................................................ 7

2. Matrix of Potential Direct Influences (MPDI)...............................................................................7

III. THE STUDY RESULTS......................................................................................7

2. Potential direct influences........................................................................................................... 8

4. Potential indirect influences...................................................................................................... 10

III. PARTICIPANT DESCRIPTION

IV. ALVA CANO CARLOS ALFONSO

V. ALVAREZ RODAS CELIA MERCEDES

VI. OJEDA CAMPO ERICK

VII. AGUIRRE PINO HÉCTOR GERARDO

VIII. AGUIRRE CARO JESÚS

IX. ALCOCER PEREZ JORGE

X. ALBEREZ ROSA JOSEFINA MARÍA

XI. ALCARAZ POSO MANUEL

XII. ALCÁNTAR MORA MARÍA DOLORES

XIII. ALVARADO POLO MARÍA ISABEL

XIV. AGUIRRE SOSSA MARÍA LUCINDA

XV. ALONSO CANO MARIO ARTURO

XVI. ALMEDA JAIMES PALOMA

XVII. ALONSO PUERTA PATRICIA

XVIII. ÁLVAREZ CASTRO RAFAEL

XIX. THE MATRICES OF THE ENTRIES

Influences range from 0 to 3, with the possibility to identify potential influences:

XXI. MATRIX OF POTENTIAL DIRECT INFLUENCES (MPDI)

Influences range from 0 to 3:

XXII. THE STUDY RESULTS

XXV. MDI characteristics

XXVI. MDI stability

ITERATION INFLUENCE DEPENDENCE

XXVII. MDI row and column sum

N° VARIABLE TOTAL NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF

XXVIII. Direct influence/dependence map

XXIX. Direct influence graph

XXX. POTENTIAL DIRECT INFLUENCES

XXXI. MPDI Characteristics

XXXII. MPDI stability

ITERATION INFLUENCE DEPENDENCE

XXXIII. MPDI row and column sum

N° VARIABLE TOTAL NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF

XXXIV. Potential direct influence/dependence map

XXXV. Potential direct influence graph

XXXVI. INDIRECT INFLUENCES

XXXVII. Matrix of Indirect Influences (MII)

Values represent indirect influence rates

XXXVIII. MII row and column sum

N° VARIABLE TOTAL NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF

XXXIX. Indirect influence/dependence map

XL. Indirect influence graph

XLI. POTENTIAL INDIRECT INFLUENCES

XLII. Matrix of Potential Indirect Influences (MPII)

Values represent potential indirect influence rates

XLIII. MPII row and column sum

N° VARIABLE TOTAL NUMBER OF TOTAL NUMBER OF

XLIV. Potential indirect influence/dependence map

XLV. Potential indirect influence graph

You might also like