Professional Documents
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Worker ? Independent Thinker ?: What Is Your Mind Set Up ?
Worker ? Independent Thinker ?: What Is Your Mind Set Up ?
What is your mind set up ?
Ramesh Pokharel
M.Eng
(The University of Tokyo 2012) 3
How much creative your mind ?
Think differently : raise the question
yourself Does your mind think about a solution
Who am I? of a problem around you ?
?
What will be my standing Do you want to participate in a debate
ground after 10‐15 years?
What is my motivation to of any subject matter ?
study? Does your mind think proactively ?
Why should I approach that
personality? Do you have a curiosity about
What is my current study something ?
process? Is it ok for my future?
Do you have imaginative thinking
process ?
Find your answer too …. 4
2
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5/7/2013
How much proactive you are ? What is research ?
Reactive Proactive
There’s nothing I can do Let’s look at our alternatives.
Raise the right question
That’s just the way I am I can choose a different approach
Who…? What…? When….? Where… ?
He makes me so mad I control my own feelings
I can’t I choose
Search for the answer …..
I must I prefer
If only… I will
5 7
Does your mind think scientifically ? How much you can raise the question in your mind ?
The questioning mind in science
2
5/7/2013
How to raise the right question ? The Practical problem
If you want to solve the real Congestion in Kathmandu
practical problem
If you want to address the
issue No connection in remote
district/area
9 11
A practical problem is caused by some condition
that makes the difficulties, cost and problem Raise the research question for :
in regular life of people.
Problem related: What kind of problem you
want to solve ?
Feasible : time and resources
Clear: free from ambiguity
Originality: Is it new ?
10 12
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Literature review: What has been done in your
field of problem ?
Critical paper reading style
Methodology/ result
Introduction background
/Literature review
Conclusion/Discussion
Abstract
13 15
Critical analysis of others research
14 16
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5/7/2013
Narrow down your topic What was my research ?
Raise the specific research question
Evaluation of road network from
reliability perspective: An accessibility
Make new argument
importance and network closure
Fill the gap of existing body of
knowledge vulnerability approach”
Solve the problem which is unsolved
until now
17 19
Background
Due to Great East Japan Earthquake on 2011‐03‐11
Wrong practice 15 expressway routes and
69 section of National highway
If you do not have specific research question Were closed in Tohoku region
Gather data aimlessly and endlessly • Multiple links damage in single
Struggle to decide what to include disaster event
Accumulate notes • Many section of roads become
impassable
Summarizes • City/Town/village become isolated
Description of differences and similarities • Detour route
Conflicted storyline •
•
Higher transportation cost
Problem on post disaster support
• Problem on rescue and evacuation
• Congestion in survived route.
This is not a research • Loss on economy.
Road network becomes “Unreliable”
only a data dump 18 20
Source:http://www.road.or.jp/english/news/pdf/111003.pdf
5
5/7/2013
Background Research question
Dry weathered road All weathered road
1. What has been done in the field of road network
reliability research ?
2. What are the existing road network evaluation
methodologies ? Are they solving the problem ?
Source: DoLIDAR 2009
Status of Road in Nepal 3. How to identify the critical links of the road
network and how to prioritize them for the
improvement project ?
Many village , town and district headquarters are
Isolated in rainy season
21 23
Motivation
Research objective
• To make the decision tools for upgrading of road
network.
• To find out the priority list of links to be upgraded.
Goal
Develop the practitioner‐ friendly road network
performance evaluation methodology.
22
24
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5/7/2013
What has been done ?
Literature taxonomy:
Conceptual
Descriptive study
studies
Proposed road network evaluation methodology
Mathematical Road Accessibility importance
Network Application
theoretical
study Network closure vulnerability approach
studies Reliability
Study
The ways to
Evaluation improve
methodology reliability
Existing criteria for the prioritization Proposed evaluation methodology: Model/Index/Parameter
1. The Model j3
Accessibility Index j2 Lij
Hansen(1959)
j1
Ai P
j 1
j / L ij
Lij
i1
Modification and Normalization
P i * P j / L ij
j 1 Where ,
Ai i= Origin node( city/town/village )
P J= Destination node( service center)
Ai = Accessibility index of a city/town i
Pj= Population of city j (service center)
Pi= Population of origin node I
P= ∑Pi+∑Pj
Source:DoLIDAR 2010 (Interim Guideline for District Transport Master Plan(DTMP) Lij= shortest path between i and j by
Dijkstra's algorithm 28
26
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Proposed evaluation methodology: Model/Index/Parameter Calculation procedure/Connectivity
j3 Lija
Links for Network connection
Impassable
2. Evaluation of Vulnerability by j2 links
Passable
Lij links
redundancy k
j1
Lij
i1
L ija
Detour ratio D R ij Temporary
L ij Passable links
P i * P j / ( L ij a * i j )
j 1 If DRij <2 =1
Ai Isolated Pi* j 1Pj / ( Lija * ij )
P Otherwise = ∞ node Aik(isolated )
P
Network Performance Index = ∑
Stop at
Important Link Max isolated node
29
finished 31
Proposed evaluation methodology: Model/Index/Parameter Proposed evaluation methodology
3. Identification of critical population and distance : Links to increase Network performance
through sensitivity analysis Remaining
Passable
Impassable
links
P i * P j / ( L ij a * i j )
links
k
j 1
Ai
P Temporary
Passable
4 Service
links
Service P=10000 centre
centre 4 L1
L4
1
Pi* j 1Pj / ( Lija * ij )
L
1,2,3,4‐ origin node
L2 1,2,3,4‐ origin node All origin
(village/city/town)
P‐ Population
L = L3 (village/city/town) node Aik( All )
1 3
Critical 2
L1,L2,L3,L4‐ distance P
P=500 P=5000
2
< =Critical distance
P=1000 3
Population Network Performance ∑
100%
Index
4. Relevant calculation procedure
For Connectivity Important Link Max
Stop at
closed link 32
30
For increasing network performance finished
8
5/7/2013
Application/Nepal Local level Critical Distance and Critical Population
445000 460000 475000 490000
Network performance at different critical
Accessibility Map Network performance at different critical distance
Area: 1164 Km2 with Existing Rural Road Nepal's Case population Nepal's Case
3125000
3125000
NPI
District: Syangja 4500
2500 % Change >5
Network performance Index
Network performance index
NPI 4000
KASKI
2000
% Change <3.5
% Change >7.2 3500
BAGLUNG Wangsing_Deurali Bagefatake
Bicharichautara
Arukharka
1500 3000
2500
PARBAT Chilaunebas
Setidobhan Bhatkhola
Fedikhola
1000 % Change <2.7
2000
500
Aruchaur Panchamul
Faparthum
Pauwegaude
Taksar Legend Critical distance = 10KM 1500 Critical population = 3500
3110000
3110000
Satau_Darau
District Headquarters 0 1000
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
Rapakot Thuladihi
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
5000
5500
6000
6500
7000
7500
8000
Settlement
Putalibazar_Municipality
Arjun_Chaupari
Bahakot
River
Critical Distance KM
Kaulmabarahachaur
Critical Population
VDC Boundary
Rangvang
Dhapuk_Simal_Bhanjyan Khilungdeurali
Oraste District boundary
Pelkachaur
GULMI Kalikakot
Darsing_Dahathum
BirghaArchale Existing Rural Road
Network perfornace at different critical distance and Network performance at different critical
SYANGJA Sworek
Benethok_Deurali
Kichnas Chisapani(Magyam)
Strategic Road
population Nepal's Case population and distance (Nepal's case) D‐5
Chhangchhangdi Majhakot_Sivalaya
Accessibility-Min (Pop%)
Sirsekot P‐0 D‐10
Pidikhola
Thumpokhara
Manakamana
20 (29.63) 3000 4500
Yaladi P‐500 D‐15
4000
Network Performance Index
3095000
3095000
Waling_Municipality 120 (47.48)
Chitre_Bhanjyang
2500 P‐1000 D‐20
Nibuwakharka
3500
Accessibility Index
Pelakot Jagat_Bhanjyang 240 (17.19)
Biruwa_Archale Chinnebas
Tindobate
Alamadevi P‐1500 D‐25
Shreekrishna_Gandaki Malyangkot 2000 3000
Chandi_Bhanjyang
Keware_Bhanjyang P‐2000 D‐30
Jagatradevi
Tulsi_Bhanjyang Kyakmi
2500
Pakwadi TANAHU
1500 P‐2500 D‐35
2000
Sekham D‐40
Malunga
Kuwakot
Projection: Universal Transverse Mercator P‐3000 1500
Spheriod: Everest 1830
1000 D‐45
Ratnapur Sakhar
Central Meridian:84 P‐3500 1000 Critical population = 3500
Scale Factor: 0.9999
D‐50
Chapakot False Easting:500000
500 P‐4000 500
False Northing:0 Critical distance = 10KM D‐55
Latitude of Origin:0
PALPA P‐4500 0 D‐60
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
P‐5000 D‐65
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
3080000
NAWALPARASI
Critical distance KM Critical Population
Source: DoLIDAR/DoR/Survey Dept.
445000 460000 475000 490000
October, 2009
33 35
Application/Nepal Local level
445000 460000 475000 490000
District: Syangja Closed Road Network Performance Index (NPI) Due to recovery of each section
Area: 1164 Km2 network during
3125000
3125000
Total road length: 757 Km rainy season
All weather: 130 Km KASKI
70.00
Dry Weather: 627Km(82%)
BAGLUNG 63.96 63.20
Kubhinde 60.00
Jugley
Chilaunebas Fedikhola
PARBAT Setidovan Khadketari 50.00
Aruchaur Faparthum Naudanda
Panchamul Legend
Taksar 40.00
3110000
3110000
PBM8 Syangja
Rapakot Darau PBM9
Service centre
Thuladihi
Rankhola
Bahakot Village 30.00
Bagalthok 3.Kolma Dry weathered road
Rangvang All weathered road 20.00
Oraste
Kalikakot ayarghari
GULMI 12.Biruwa 10.00
Darsing_Dahathum Kichnas
Sworek Benethok_Deurali
SYANGJA Chisapani(Magyam)
Sirsekot Triyashi Manakamana
Pidikhola Majhakot_Sivalaya
Thumpokhara Chhangchhangdi 0.00
22.Jagat Bhayangjang ‐Malayangkot
75.PBM8 ‐PBM9
25.Malayangkot‐Ratnapur
88.Jugley ‐Chilaunebash
2.Bahakot ‐Kolma
3.Bahakot ‐Oreste
4.Oreste‐Kitchanas
9.Rangbhang‐Biruwa
16.Majhkot‐Manakamana
27.Jagat Bhayangjang ‐Kewore
7.Chitrebhayang ‐Chinnebas
10.Biruwa‐Chinnebas
49.Banethok ‐Biruwa
15.Banethok ‐Majhkot
17.Manakamana‐Chinnebas
23.Malayangkot‐Chinnebas
19.Triyasi ‐Majhkot
29.Chhapa ‐Kuwakot
30.Chhapa ‐Chapakot
35.Tin Doabte2 ‐Pakawadi 1
38.Tulshi Bhayanjang ‐Pakawadi 2
39.Pakawadi 2‐Kuwakot
40.Kuwakot‐Chapakot
63.Triyasi ‐Sworek
77.Rangkhola‐PBM10
31.Chhapa ‐Ratnapur
32.Shekham ‐Ratnapur
41.Chapakot‐Ratnapur
80.Phaparthum ‐Chilaunebash
12.Pelcachaur ‐Biruwa
18.Manakamana‐Biruwa
72.Panchamul ‐Daraun
33.Ratnapur‐Sakhar
70.Rapakot ‐Aaruchaur
99.Naya Bazar ‐Thula Dihi
28.Kewore‐Chhapa
36.Pakawadi 1‐Chhapa
54.Mirmi ‐Birgha
57.Galayang ‐Neuwakharka
59.Pelakot ‐Pidikhola
76.PBM9‐Syangja
81.Chilaunebash‐Bichari Chautara
87.Fulbari ‐Bichari Chautara
91.Bhadkhola ‐Bange Fadke
95.Kubhinde ‐Aarukharka
1.Syangja ‐Bahakot
34.Tin Dobate1‐Tin Doabte2
37.Galayang ‐Tulshi Bhayanjang
90.Khadketari ‐Bhadkhola
5.Kitchanas‐Chisapani
6.Chisapani ‐Chitrebhayang
11.Bagalthok‐Pelcachaur
13.Bayarghari‐Banethok
14.Banethok ‐Pelcachaur
20.Triyasi ‐Yaladi
24.Malayangkot‐Shekham
26.Malayangkot‐Kyakmi
55.Birgha ‐Aalamdevi
56.Aalamdevi ‐Chandi Bhayanjang
58.Neuwakharka ‐Pelakot
60.Pelakot ‐Tindobate 3
62.Thum Pokhara ‐Sirsekot
64.Sworek‐Kalikakot
65.Bayarghari‐Khilung Deurali
66.Khilung Deurali ‐Dhapuk Shimal Bhayanjang
69.Arjun Chaupari ‐Rapakot
68.Helu ‐Arjun Chaupari
71.Aaruchaur ‐Panchamul
73.Daraun ‐Arjun Chaupari
74.Daraun ‐PBM8
78.PBM10‐Arjun Chaupari
79.PBM9‐Phaparthum
82.Bichari Chautara ‐Aaruchaur
86.Jugley ‐Fulbari
92.Bange Fadke ‐Wangshingh
93.Wangshingh ‐Fulbari
97.Pawai Gaude ‐Taksar
98.Pawai Gaude ‐Naya Bazar
50.Oreste‐Biruwa
96.Kubhinde ‐Pawai Gaude
Yaladi
3095000
3095000
Waling
Tindobat1e1 Chitre_Bhanjyang
Pelakot Jagat_Bhanjyang
Birgha Mirmi Tindobate3
Tindobate2 Chinnebas
Alamadevi Malyangkot
Chandi_Bhanjyang Keware_Bhanjyang
Jagatradevi
Pakwadi1 Kyakmi TANAHU
Chappa
Pakwadi2
Tulsi_Bhanjyang Sekham
Malunga
Kuwakot Sakhar
Ratnapur
Chapakot
PALPA
3080000
NAWALPARASI
9
5/7/2013
Conclusion of my research
Network Performance Index (NPI ) Due to recovery of link
140.00
127.16
Literature taxonomy
120.00 Existing evaluation methodology are not practical
100.00
Proposed evaluation methodology
80.00
Prioritize the closed road network link for the
60.00
40.00
improvement project
20.00 Consider accessibility
0.00 Evaluation of vulnerability by redundancy
15.Banethok ‐Majhkot
22.Jagat Bhayangjang ‐Malayangkot
75.PBM8 ‐PBM9
25.Malayangkot‐Ratnapur
80.Phaparthum ‐Chilaunebash
88.Jugley ‐Chilaunebash
2.Bahakot ‐Kolma
3.Bahakot ‐Oreste
4.Oreste‐Kitchanas
9.Rangbhang‐Biruwa
16.Majhkot‐Manakamana
18.Manakamana‐Biruwa
27.Jagat Bhayangjang ‐Kewore
7.Chitrebhayang ‐Chinnebas
10.Biruwa‐Chinnebas
17.Manakamana‐Chinnebas
23.Malayangkot‐Chinnebas
49.Banethok ‐Biruwa
19.Triyasi ‐Majhkot
29.Chhapa ‐Kuwakot
30.Chhapa ‐Chapakot
35.Tin Doabte2 ‐Pakawadi 1
38.Tulshi Bhayanjang ‐Pakawadi 2
39.Pakawadi 2‐Kuwakot
40.Kuwakot‐Chapakot
63.Triyasi ‐Sworek
77.Rangkhola‐PBM10
31.Chhapa ‐Ratnapur
32.Shekham ‐Ratnapur
41.Chapakot‐Ratnapur
12.Pelcachaur ‐Biruwa
26.Malayangkot‐Kyakmi
62.Thum Pokhara ‐Sirsekot
69.Arjun Chaupari ‐Rapakot
72.Panchamul ‐Daraun
33.Ratnapur‐Sakhar
70.Rapakot ‐Aaruchaur
78.PBM10‐Arjun Chaupari
97.Pawai Gaude ‐Taksar
99.Naya Bazar ‐Thula Dihi
28.Kewore‐Chhapa
36.Pakawadi 1‐Chhapa
50.Oreste‐Biruwa
54.Mirmi ‐Birgha
57.Galayang ‐Neuwakharka
59.Pelakot ‐Pidikhola
76.PBM9‐Syangja
81.Chilaunebash‐Bichari Chautara
87.Fulbari ‐Bichari Chautara
91.Bhadkhola ‐Bange Fadke
95.Kubhinde ‐Aarukharka
1.Syangja ‐Bahakot
64.Sworek‐Kalikakot
90.Khadketari ‐Bhadkhola
5.Kitchanas‐Chisapani
6.Chisapani ‐Chitrebhayang
11.Bagalthok‐Pelcachaur
13.Bayarghari‐Banethok
14.Banethok ‐Pelcachaur
20.Triyasi ‐Yaladi
24.Malayangkot‐Shekham
34.Tin Dobate1‐Tin Doabte2
37.Galayang ‐Tulshi Bhayanjang
55.Birgha ‐Aalamdevi
56.Aalamdevi ‐Chandi Bhayanjang
58.Neuwakharka ‐Pelakot
60.Pelakot ‐Tindobate 3
65.Bayarghari‐Khilung Deurali
66.Khilung Deurali ‐Dhapuk Shimal Bhayanjang
68.Helu ‐Arjun Chaupari
71.Aaruchaur ‐Panchamul
74.Daraun ‐PBM8
73.Daraun ‐Arjun Chaupari
79.PBM9‐Phaparthum
82.Bichari Chautara ‐Aaruchaur
86.Jugley ‐Fulbari
92.Bange Fadke ‐Wangshingh
93.Wangshingh ‐Fulbari
98.Pawai Gaude ‐Naya Bazar
96.Kubhinde ‐Pawai Gaude
Does not biased to less populated area
Any level of government unit can use
37 39
Result: Nepal Local level Current Debate
445000 460000 475000 490000
Links with priority number, Syangja Nepal
3125000
3125000
Budget =20 KM
Area: 1164 Km2 KASKI
1‐6KM
Total road length: 757 Km
BAGLUNG 2‐7KM
All weather: 130 Km 77 79 46
Kubhinde
3‐2KM
43 47 Kubhinde
Dry Weather: 627Km(82%) 777679 Jugley46 47 Fedikhola
PARBAT 67 45 78
Chilaunebas 76Jugley43 28
Fedikhola
4‐5KM(Out of 7KM
67 45 78 Setidovan Khadketari
Chilaunebas 28
41
Panchamul Faparthum Setidovan
FaparthumNaudanda Khadketari
80
Aruchaur Aruchaur75 Panchamul 41 25 Pauwegaude
40Panchamul FaparthumNaudanda 80
Faparthum 34 Taksar
Taksar
34 Syangja 21
3110000
3110000
Aruchaur Aruchaur
75 26 25 34
34 Rapakot 40
Arjun_Chaupari19
66 PBM826 11
Satau_Darau
Darau PBM8
Darau
57
33
PBM9
19 33 66 Putalibazar_Municipality
57 Bagalthok
6 PBM9
11
Rankhola
6 Rankhola
Syangja 21
Bahakot
7 Bahakot
54
Thuladihi
54
Thuladihi
13Kaulmabarahachaur Thuladihi
7 Bahakot
Kolma
13
Should transport accessibility be a
2
2 8
factor for state restructuring?
Rangvang
Dhapuk_Simal_Bhanjyan Khilungdeurali Helu2 22Bagalthok 69Rangvang Oraste
16 22 Rangvang 8
Oraste
Helu
GULMI Kalikakot 165Darsing_Dahathum
Kalikakot Bayarghari 70 BirghaArchale
Pelkachaur
3169 Oraste Legend
10
Kalikakot
SYANGJA 10 Sworek 5
Darsing_Dahathum
Darsing_Dahathum 6365 70
15Benethok_Deurali
16.Benethok_Deurali
Biruwa 31 9
Kichnas
9
Legend Legend
Legend
Sworek Bayarghari
Sworek 15 62 65 71 BiruwaKichnas 51
Chisapani(Magyam)
Chisapani(Magyam) Service centre
Sirsekot 1 Chhangchhangdi
20.Triyashi 17 18 Manakamana
71 Kichnas
30 45.Thumpokhara Benethok_Deurali 51
1 62 Majhakot_Sivalaya
Majhakot_Sivalaya
Pidikhola
Sirsekot
Sirsekot Chhangchhangdi
1 Manakamana 53 Service centre
Pidikhola
Pidikhola
30 17 18 Manakamana
Village
Waling 12 Yaladi 58 32
Thumpokhara
53
5 12 Yaladi DryVillage
weathered road
3095000
58
3095000
Waling_Municipality
Tindobat1e1 Waling Majhakot_Sivalaya 32 Chitre_Bhanjyang
Chitre_Bhanjyang
74 4
5
4 55 Yaladi
Jagat_Bhanjyang 59 Dry weathered road
Nibuwakharka
39
Biruwa_Archale
23Pelakot
74
Pelakot
Tindobate3 Tindobat1e1 Jagat_Bhanjyang
Chinnebas 59 Chitre_Bhanjyang All weathered road
Alamadevi Birgha
42 Mirmi 4 Tindobate2 20
Jagat_Bhanjyang 56
Chinnebas
52
Chandi_Bhanjyang Alamadevi
Chandi_Bhanjyang 42
Alamadevi Birgha
39
Mirmi
Shreekrishna_Gandaki 23 Pelakot 3 3
27 Tindobate2 24
Keware_Bhanjyang
Malyangkot
Malyangkot
20 56
All weathered road
Road important
52 Alamadevi Jagatradevi
Jagatradevi 14
Tulsi_Bhanjyang 27 Keware_Bhanjyang
24 Malyangkot
46Kyakmi forRoad important
network
Chandi_Bhanjyang Jagatradevi Pakwadi1
Pakwadi
44 Kyakmi
46 Kyakmi
TANAHU
10
5/7/2013
Proposed Province: By committee Theoretical Background
Under discussion New Economic Geography (NEG)
The driving forces of the agglomeration are
economies of scale and saving in transportation
cost.
World development report 2009
3 dimension of development
Density
Distance
Division
41 43
Proposed Province: By commission
Under discussion
Why transport
accessibility could not
be a factor for state
restructuring ?
Are proposed provinces and their capital accessible
to the people ? 42 44
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5/7/2013
Leadership Matter in Developing Countries
d Ps dflg; vf]lh/x]5'
Who are you ?
A player
A stadium audience Thank you so much for
A television audience 45
your kind attention ! 47
Conclusion
Research is a different way of
thinking
Should have scientific thinking
process
Proactive thinking
Raise the question and search for
the answer
46
12