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Hellier2003 Repurchase
Hellier2003 Repurchase
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EJM
37,11/12 Customer repurchase intention
A general structural equation model
Phillip K. Hellier
1762 School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Faculty of Business and
Law, Deakin University, Warrnambool, Australia
Received September
2000
Gus M. Geursen
Revised September 2001, School of Marketing, University of South Australia, Adelaide, Australia
February 2002 Rodney A. Carr
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Introduction
The objective of this paper is to test a general model which aims to describe the
extent to which customer intention to repurchase a service is influenced by
customer perceptions of quality, equity and value, customer satisfaction, past
loyalty, expected switching cost and brand preference. The objective is
important because customer repurchase intention research is largely
European Journal of Marketing
fragmented and is in need of an empirically verified general theory.
Vol. 37 No. 11/12, 2003
pp. 1762-1800 The authors are indebted to Professor Adrian Payne, Professor Geoffrey Soutar, Professor Frank
q MCB UP Limited
0309-0566
Alpert, Dr Monica Keneley and two anonymous reviewers for their support and constructive
DOI 10.1108/03090560310495456 comments.
Some studies have concentrated on determining the basic antecedent Customer
variables to repurchase intention (Hocutt, 1998; Storbacka et al., 1994; Zahorik repurchase
and Rust, 1992). Other studies, such as Bitner et al. (1990), Bolton and Drew intention
(1991a, b), Boulding et al. (1993), Grayson and Ambler (1999), Liljander and
Strandvik (1995), and Price et al. (1995) have considered the single incident,
critical encounters and longitudinal interactions or relationships between these
variables.
1763
Still others have considered the predictive validity of repurchase
intention for subsequent repurchase behaviour (Bemmaor, 1995; Mittal and
Kamakura, 2001; Morwitz et al., 1993). Despite the fact that research in this
area largely relies on stochastic and deterministic approaches to customer
retention analysis (Ehrenberg, 1988; Howard, 1977; Lilien et al., 1992), few
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The research model, shown in Figure 1, delineates the key factors preceding
customer satisfaction and brand preference.
Each of the model components is defined as follows:
.
Repurchase intention. The individual’s judgement about buying again a
designated service from the same company, taking into account his or her
current situation and likely circumstances.
Customer
repurchase
intention
1765
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Figure 1.
The research model
.
Brand preference. The extent to which the customer favours the
designated service provided by his or her present company, in
comparison to the designated service provided by other companies in
his or her consideration set.
.
Expected switching cost. The customer’s estimate of the personal loss or
sacrifice in time, effort and money associated with the customer changing
to another service provider.
.
Customer loyalty. The degree to which the customer has exhibited, over
recent years, repeat purchase behaviour of a particular company service;
and the significance of that expenditure in terms of the customer’s total
outlay on that particular type of service.
.
Customer satisfaction. The degree of overall pleasure or contentment felt
by the customer, resulting from the ability of the service to fulfil the
customer’s desires, expectations and needs in relation to the service.
.
Perceived value. The customer’s overall appraisal of the net worth of the
service, based on the customer’s assessment of what is received (benefits
provided by the service), and what is given (costs or sacrifice in acquiring
and utilising the service).
. Perceived equity. The customer’s overall assessment of the standard of
fairness and justice of the company’s service transaction and its customer
problem and complaint handling process.
EJM .
Perceived quality. The customer’s overall assessment of the standard of
37,11/12 the service delivery process.
The theoretical basis of the research model is derived from several sources.
The model is developed from the satisfaction, attitude and intention
relationships examined by Oliver (1980, 1981) and from the analyses of
1766 customer perceptions of service performance by Cronin and Taylor (1992,
1994), Dodds et al. (1991), Oliver and Swan (1989) and Zeithaml (1988). The
model also incorporates the defensive factors to switching identified by
Fornell (1992).
Analysis of the inter-relationships between customer retention factors can be
undertaken at the single transaction (micro) level or at a global (macro) level.
The model adopts a macro framework. This is because the customer
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preference.
H3. Customer loyalty has a direct positive effect on brand preference.
H4(a). Customer satisfaction has a direct positive effect on brand preference.
H4(b). Customer satisfaction has a direct positive effect on customer loyalty
to the company.
H4(c). Customer satisfaction has a direct positive effect on customer
expected switching cost.
H4(d). Customer satisfaction has a direct positive effect on repurchase
intention.
H5(a). Perceived value of service has a direct positive effect on customer
satisfaction.
H5(b). Perceived value of service has a direct positive effect on brand
preference.
H6(a). Perceived equity of service has a direct positive effect on customer
satisfaction.
H6(b). Perceived equity of service has a direct positive effect on the
perceived value of the service.
H7(a). Perceived quality of service has a direct positive effect on customer
satisfaction.
H7(b). Perceived quality of service has a direct positive effect on the
perceived equity of the service.
H7(c). Perceived quality of service has a direct positive effect on the
perceived value of the service.
From a search of the literature, it was found that H4(d), H6(a), H7(b) and H7(c)
are supported by considerable empirical evidence. H1-H4(a), H5(a) and H5(b)
EJM appear intuitively obvious, but have been subjected to limited empirical
37,11/12 analysis. H4(b) and H7(a) are subject to conflicting empirical evidence. H4(c)
and H6(b) are not intuitively obvious and have been subjected to limited
empirical analysis. A summary of the empirical evidence is shown in Table I.
The remainder of this section contains a more detailed justification of each
hypothesis.
1768
Brand preference upon repurchase intention
The effect of brand preference on willingness to buy has rarely been
examined (Dodds et al., 1991). Encouraging approaches to the more precise
specification of customer choice behaviour are provided by developments in
consideration set theory by Kardes et al. (1993), Roberts and Lattin (1991,
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1997) and Shocker et al. (1991). Constructive advances also appear in the
structural models of customer preference and repurchase by Andreassen and
Lindestad (1998), Erdem and Swait (1998), Pritchard et al. (1999) and Roest
and Pieters (1997). This paper contends that there is a causal link between
the disposition of the customer to favour the service of a specific supplier
(brand preference) and the customer’s willingness to buy that service again
from the same supplier:
H1. The strength of brand preference has a positive direct effect on
repurchase intention.
upon perceived value Dodds et al. (1991), Erdem and Swait (1998), Grewal et al. (1998b),
Ostrom and Iacobucci (1995), Smith Gooding (1995), Sweeney
et al. (1999
will be retained in the customer’s consideration set and will increase the
customer’s preference for the brand (Westbrook and Oliver, 1981):
H4(a). Customer satisfaction has a direct positive effect on brand
preference.
management and the reduction of buyer service failure costs (time, effort and
money) can assist customer retention. The reduction of these buyer costs
increases the consumer’s utility from the purchase (Fornell and Wernerfelt,
1988; Ravald and Grönroos, 1996; Reichheld, 1996; Woodruff, 1997). Goodwin
and Ross (1992) found, in an experimental written response study of customers
seeking redress, that customer perceived overall fairness is positively
associated with the customer’s perceived value of the service. In addition,
Smith et al. (1999) have shown that customers prefer service retrieval and
financial redress, in type and amount, commensurate with the service failure
experienced.
Although no empirical studies have been published which specifically
examine the causal link between customer perceived equity and customer
perceived value, the proposition advanced in this paper is that perceived equity
of service has a positive direct effect on the perceived value of the service:
H6(b). Perceived equity of service has a direct positive effect on the
perceived value of the service.
Survey method
The data used to test the research propositions were obtained by a stratified
random sample. A postal questionnaire was used to survey metropolitan
customers of personal superannuation or comprehensive car insurance, from
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Service type
Selling
arrangements Personal superannuation Comprehensive car insurance
response rate
Table III.
1777
EJM policy complaints, changes and claims, and annual contribution or premium)
37,11/12 were, in their opinion, an accurate representation of the characteristics of the
survey population. In the case of the stratification criteria, 35.7 per cent of
Company A respondents were aged 50 or more years and 44.7 per cent of total
respondents were more experienced customers. The companies required the
effect of the survey upon customers be kept to a minimum and would not
1778 permit follow-up data collection procedures.
The research model (Figure 1) contains eight factors. The literature from
which each factor measurement was developed is provided in Table IV.
The Appendix lists the variable questions constituting each factor
measurement. A minimum seven-point Likert scale was used for each
variable question, except for the loyalty component which was adapted from
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variables were highly significant, which supports the overall factor structure of
the model. All except one path parameter between the factors were significant
at the 0.05 level. However, the link between perceived quality and customer
satisfaction was not significant and the Wald test suggested that the model fit
could be improved by removing this path. This was done and the resulting
model (with the perceived quality-customer satisfaction path omitted) was then
Figure 2.
Research model with
unstandardised
parameter estimates
EJM applied to the data sets for the different companies and to data for respondents
37,11/12 of different experience levels. In doing this, some limitations were found in
relation to the loyalty factor and to the direct path between customer
satisfaction and repurchase intention. In particular, paths to and/or from
loyalty were either not significant or very weak for individual companies and
1780 when respondents were grouped by level of experience. In addition, the
indicator variables for loyalty were narrowly defined in terms of past customer
behaviour (see discussion in the “Research findings and implication” section).
It was decided to remove the loyalty factor from the model. It was then found
that the direct customer satisfaction-repurchase intention path was not
significant for the whole group. The Wald test indicated that the model fit
could be improved by removing this path. The unstandardised path estimates
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and factor loadings for the model incorporating the above changes are shown
in Figure 3. In the following discussion, this model is called the modified model.
The Bentler-Weeks normed fit index for the modified model (NFI ¼ 0.924)
was marginally higher than that for the original research model (NFI ¼ 0.921),
though the modified model is more parsimonious. More importantly, the
modified model was reasonably stable when applied to data for the various
company groups and customer experience groups. A summary of the modified
model parameters for these respondent groups is provided in Table V.
Figure 3.
The modified model
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All companies 0.144*** 0.533*** 0.713*** 0.734*** 0.287*** 0.088** 0.425*** 0.169*** 0.208*** 1.202***
0.033 0.035 0.038 0.041 0.028 0.027 0.053 0.042 0.026 0.065
(0.08, 0.21) (0.46, 0.6) (0.64, 0.79) (0.65, 0.81) (0.23, 0.34) (0.04, 0.14) (0.32, 0.53) (0.09, 0.25) (0.16, 0.26) (1.07, 1.33)
Company A (super) 0.059 0.452*** 0.475*** 1.469*** 0.037*** 0.048 0.404** 0.152* 0.123 0.676***
0.035 0.047 0.071 0.186 0.008 0.035 0.144 0.076 0.08 0.183
(20.01, 0.1) (0.36, 0.54) (0.34, 0.61) (1.1, 1.83) (0.02, 0.05) (20.02, 0.1) (0.12, 0.69) (0, 0.3) (20.03, 0.3) (0.32, 1.03)
Company B 0.054 0.575*** 0.514*** 0.56*** 0.324*** 0.243*** 0.335*** 0.241*** 0.203*** 1.686***
0.063 0.067 0.073 0.053 0.042 0.058 0.069 0.071 0.042 0.124
(20.07, 0.2) (0.44, 0.71) (0.37, 0.66) (0.46, 0.66) (0.24, 0.41) (0.13, 0.36) (0.2, 0.47) (0.1, 0.38) (0.12, 0.29) (1.44, 1.93)
Company C 0.121 0.46*** 0.959*** 0.607*** 0.363*** 0.301*** 0.551*** 0.089 0.086 1.312***
0.096 0.091 0.094 0.102 0.063 0.075 0.132 0.091 0.048 0.161
(20.07, 0.3) (0.28, 0.64) (0.77, 1.14) (0.41, 0.81) (0.24, 0.49) (0.15, 0.45) (0.29, 0.81) (2 0.09, 0.3) (20.01, 0.2) (1, 1.63)
Company D 0.253** 0.349*** 0.919*** 0.648*** 0.323*** 0.22*** 0.53*** 0.21** 0.126** 1.212***
0.086 0.074 0.084 0.071 0.048 0.057 0.088 0.066 0.044 0.111
(0.08, 0.42) (0.2, 0.49) (0.75, 1.08) (0.51, 0.79) (0.23, 0.42) (0.11, 0.33) (0.36, 0.7) (0.08, 0.34) (0.04, 0.21) (0.99, 1.43)
Wholesale companies 0.106** 0.505*** 0.564*** 0.899*** 0.239*** 0.041 0.297*** 0.175*** 0.232*** 1.387***
(A and B) 0.035 0.041 0.052 0.071 0.041 0.037 0.074 0.053 0.034 0.121
(0.04, 0.17) (0.42, 0.59) (0.46, 0.67) (0.76, 1.04) (0.16, 0.32) (20.03, 0.1) (0.15, 0.44) (0.07, 0.28) (0.17, 0.3) (1.15, 1.62)
Retail companies 0.234*** 0.395*** 0.935*** 0.6*** 0.336*** 0.258*** 0.467*** 0.187*** 0.108** 1.242***
(C and D) 0.07 0.062 0.063 0.056 0.037 0.046 0.069 0.054 0.033 0.093
(0.1, 0.37) (0.27, 0.52) (0.81, 1.06) (0.49, 0.71) (0.26, 0.41) (0.17, 0.35) (0.33, 0.6) (0.08, 0.29) (0.04, 0.17) (1.06, 1.42)
(continued)
intention
repurchase
to respondent groups
Path coefficients for the
Customer
Table V.
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EJM
1782
Table V.
37,11/12
Companies B, C 0.112* 0.535*** 0.756*** 0.569*** 0.332*** 0.257*** 0.414*** 0.192*** 0.149*** 1.427***
and D (total car) 0.047 0.046 0.047 0.036 0.028 0.036 0.047 0.043 0.026 0.073
(0.02, 0.2) (0.44, 0.63) (0.66, 0.85) (0.5, 0.64) (0.28, 0.39) (0.19, 0.33) (0.32, 0.51) (0.11, 0.28) (0.1, 0.2) (1.28, 1.57)
More experienced 0.118* 0.453*** 0.837*** 0.761*** 0.33*** 0.081* 0.549*** 0.232*** 0.162*** 1.174***
0.051 0.049 0.059 0.061 0.035 0.036 0.086 0.063 0.039 0.074
(0.02, 0.22) (0.36, 0.55) (0.72, 0.95) (0.64, 0.88) (0.26, 0.4) (0.01, 0.15) (0.38, 0.72) (0.11, 0.36) (0.09, 0.24) (1.03, 1.32)
Less experienced 0.159*** 0.634*** 0.591*** 0.758*** 0.205*** 0.097* 0.299*** 0.106* 0.213*** 1.237***
0.043 0.051 0.049 0.059 0.045 0.04 0.063 0.053 0.033 0.118
(0.07, 0.24) (0.53, 0.73) (0.49, 0.69) (0.64, 0.87) (0.12, 0.29) (0.02, 0.18) (0.18, 0.42) (0, 0.21) (0.15, 0.28) (1.01, 1.47)
Age No models were tested using the subgroups defined by age
Notes: * Indicates significant at the p , 0.05 level. ** Indicates significant at the p , 0.01 level. *** Indicates significant at the p , 0.001 level
In each cell of Table V, the top value is the computed unstandardised path Customer
coefficient estimate, the standard error of the estimate is printed on the second repurchase
row and the implied approximate 95 per cent confidence interval ðestimate ^ intention
1:96 £ standard errorÞ is provided on the bottom row.
Several minor changes to the modified model were also tested. The fit
indices were approximately the same for these variations, indicating that a
distinction between models could not be made on statistical grounds. For
1783
example, the application of the modified model to respondent data found that
the perceived quality-value path coefficient, although significant for the total
data set, was not significant for each individual company group (Table V). A
model with this path removed was tested with the total data, but there was no
change in the fit index. The modified model was therefore retained as the best
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analytical model.
H4(c). Customer satisfaction (F4) has a direct positive effect Strongly supported**
on customer expected switching cost (F6)
H4(d). Customer satisfaction (F4) has a direct positive effect Not supported b
on repurchase intention (F8)
H5(a). Perceived value of service (F2) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on customer satisfaction (F4)
H5(b). Perceived value of service (F2) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on brand preference (F7)
H6(a). Perceived equity of service (F3) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on customer satisfaction (F4)
H6(b). Perceived equity of service (F3) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on the perceived value of the service (F2)
H7(a). Perceived quality of service (F1) has a direct positive Not supported a
effect on customer satisfaction (F4)
H7(b). Perceived quality of service (F1) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on the perceived equity of the service (F3)
H7(c). Perceived quality of service (F1) has a direct positive Very strongly supported***
effect on the perceived value of the service (F2)
Notes: Supported * = p-value in modified model , 0.05 (see Table V). Strongly
supported ** = p-value in modified model , 0.01 (see Table V). Very strongly
supported *** = p-value in modified model , 0.001 (see Table V). a The customer loyalty
factor was removed from the model during the refining process, see discussion in the “Structural
equation analysis” section. The customer satisfaction ! repurchase intention path was removed
from the model during the refining process, see discussion in the “Structural equation analysis”
Table VI. section. b The perceived quality ! customer satisfaction path was removed from the model
Research results during the refining process, see discussion in the “Structural equation analysis” section
superannuation and car insurance service suppliers, and the ease with which
respondents could obtain information by telephone and switch companies (e.g.
electronic fund transfer facilities), also meant that expected switching cost in
general was not a major variable determining respondent brand preference.
For the services examined, the study supports the hypothesis that perceived
quality influences respondent satisfaction indirectly, via perceptions of service
equity and value (Figure 2).
Contrary to our expectations and the research literature (Andreassen and
Lindestad, 1998; Bolton, 1998; Grewal et al., 1998a), the level of customer
experience was not an important characteristic distinguishing respondents.
Only the effect of perceived quality on perceived equity was statistically
different between the two level of experience groups, with the effect of quality
on equity being stronger for more experienced respondents. There is also some
weak evidence that the effect of perceived equity on perceived value is not very
strong for more experienced customers (Table V). This indicates that while
more experienced respondents more clearly perceive levels of service fairness
to be influenced by the standard of service delivery, this did not necessarily
result in a stronger assessment of the positive effect of equity on perceived
value or satisfaction.
The study establishes several differences between superannuation and car
insurance customers. A number of factor relationships were weaker for the
superannuation group. However, perceived value had a stronger positive effect
on satisfaction for superannuation customers (Table V, Super group compared
to the Total car group).
There were some differences between car insurance customers who
purchased directly from the insurance company (Company C and D
respondents) compared with those who purchased through a selling
intermediary (Company B respondents). For customers who purchase via a
selling agent, perceived quality had a smaller direct effect on equity
perceptions, though brand preference had a larger direct effect on repurchase
intention (Table V, Company B group compared to the Retail companies
group). Unconstrained questionnaire responses provide an explanation for Customer
these differences. Company B respondents who purchased car insurance as repurchase
part of a salary sacrifice package or via an employee association – credit union intention
arrangement – often were more aware of the inconvenience in changing this
arrangement than of the quality and equity attributes of the actual insurance
service provided.
Possible implications of the study findings for the operation and
1787
management of service organisations are canvassed in the remainder of this
section. This study suggests that, in general, perceived value may well have a
greater direct effect on brand preference than either satisfaction, loyalty or
expected switching cost (Table V). There is a critical role for management to
determine the items and the weighting of the items that customers perceive as
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value (Neal, 1999; Sweeney et al., 1999). Furthermore, items that constitute
perceived value can differ between customer groups. For example, Company C
customers appear to rank additional options (e.g. auto club membership) and
assistance (e.g. road-side assistance) more highly than Company D customers.
On the other hand, Company D customers rank low dollar premium cost and
policy flexibility higher than Company C customers.
This study finds that for most respondent groups the direct effect of
service satisfaction on repurchase intention is very weak (see structural
equation analysis section). Unconstrained customer responses indicate that
environmental factors appeared to have an important influence on personal
superannuation repurchase intention. Similarly, credence factors appeared to
have a considerable effect on repurchase intention of less experienced
respondents with Company D, the new entrant company to the car insurance
market. This suggests that service managements would be wise to determine
the presence of environmental or situational factors that may negatively
impact on customer value perceptions, satisfaction and brand preference
assessments and to take account of these in the “value package” provided to
customers.
This study finds that customer loyalty may not be an important
intervening factor between customer satisfaction and brand preference. The
implication is that previously loyal customers are not necessarily presently
satisfied customers or committed future customers. The study suggests
that management cannot rely upon past behavioural loyalty to ensure
current brand preference and customer repurchase intention. There is
likely to be substantial customer mobility between companies due to
customer perceptions of value, incorporating financial return and risk
assessment (Kaplan et al., 1974), and the range of service suppliers and
options. The study found that for one-third of Company A and Company
B respondents (and for most Company D respondents), the respective
company was not the major supplier of the designated service over the
previous three years.
EJM This study also suggests that management cannot rely on a strategy of
37,11/12 increasing the costs of switching to retain customers. For individual
companies, expected switching cost had either a non-significant or a small
positive effect on brand preference (Table V). The latter applied even to the
respondents of the new entrant, Company D, 42 per cent of whom indicated that
they were likely to lose money if they switched to another car insurance
1788 company. Expected switching cost was not a major factor determining
respondent brand preference.
The study finds that perceived quality influenced satisfaction only
indirectly, via service equity and value perceptions. The implication here is
that management needs to understand that with rapidly improving general
standards of service delivery, perceived quality may have little direct impact on
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Customer loyaltya
(1) Expenditure ratio 28 Over the last three years, have you purchased all of your car
insurance from (company name)? (If yes, then go to next
section). OR Over the last three years, have you made
superannuation contributions only to your present financial
services company and to no other company? (Do not include
Table AI.
employer contributions.) (If your answer is yes, then go to
Variable questions for the next section of the questionnaire.)
the research model
factors (continued)
Factor Variable Question Customer
repurchase
28 Over the last three years, how much of your total
expenditure on car insurance (to all companies), have you intention
spent with (company name)? Or Over the last three years,
how much of your total superannuation contributions [to all
companies], has been made to your present financial services
company? (Do not include employer contributions) 1799
(2) Patronage ratio 29 How many insurance companies can you name that compete
against (company name) for car insurance customers? (write
names or initials of companies, eight spaces provided). OR
How many financial services companies can you name that
offer superannuation plans, besides your present financial
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