A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O

1
2
3

4
5

6 STEYX
7 0.63 Trendline Example
8
100.00
9 0.00 90.00
10 Year Percentage Caucasian Error 80.00 f(x) = − 0.399999999999998 x + 875.599999999997
R² = 0.992555831265508

Percentage Caucasian
70.00
11 1970 88.00 0.40
60.00
12 1980 83.00 -0.60 50.00
13 1990 80.00 0.40 40.00
30.00
14 2000 75.00 -0.60
20.00
15 2010 72.00 0.40 10.00
16 0.00
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
17 Year
18 No outliers here
19 68% of points should be within 1 std error of trendline
20 95% of points should be within 2 std errors of trendline
21 any point more than 2 stderrors from trendline is called an outlier
 STEYX
0.110
Year HR Forecast Error
1965 0.83 0.657 0.173
1966 0.85 0.6648 0.1852
1967 0.71 0.6726 0.0374
1968 0.61 0.6804 -0.07
1969 0.8 0.6882 0.1118
1970 0.88 0.696 0.184
1971 0.74 0.7038 0.0362
1972 0.68 0.7116 -0.032
1973 0.8 0.7194 0.0806
1974 0.68 0.7272 -0.047
1975 0.7 0.735 -0.035
1976 0.58 0.7428 -0.163
1977 0.87 0.7506 0.1194
1978 0.7 0.7584 -0.058
1979 0.82 0.7662 0.0538
1980 0.73 0.774 -0.044
1981 0.64 0.7818 -0.142
1982 0.8 0.7896 0.0104
1983 0.78 0.7974 -0.017
1984 0.77 0.8052 -0.035
1985 0.86 0.813 0.047
1986 0.91 0.8208 0.0892
1987 1.06 0.8286 0.2314
1988 0.76 0.8364 -0.076
1989 0.73 0.8442 -0.114
1990 0.79 0.852 -0.062
1991 0.8 0.8598 -0.06
1992 0.72 0.8676 -0.148
1993 0.89 0.8754 0.0146
1994 1.03 0.8832 0.1468
1995 1.01 0.891 0.119
1996 1.09 0.8988 0.1912
1997 1.02 0.9066 0.1134
1998 1.04 0.9144 0.1256
1999 1.14 0.9222 0.2178
2000 1.17 0.93 0.24
2001 1.12 0.9378 0.1822
2002 1.04 0.9456 0.0944
2003 1.07 0.9534 0.1166
2004 1.12 0.9612 0.1588
2005 1.03 0.969 0.061
2006 1.11 0.9768 0.1332
2007 1.02 0.9846 0.0354
2008 1 0.9924 0.0076
2009 1.04 1.0002 0.0398
2010 0.95 1.008 -0.058
2011 0.94 1.0158 -0.076
2012 1.02 1.0236 -0.004
2013 0.96 1.0314 -0.071
2014 0.9 1.0392 -0.139
 Home Runs by Year
1.4

1.2

1 f(x) = 0.007818967587035 x − 14.6696360144056

R² = 0.521455371982816

0.8

0.6

0.4

0.2

0
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020
2020