Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • B.C. COVID-19 Modelling Presentation For June 28, 2021

    Uploaded by

    CTV Vancouver
    8K views23 pages
    This document provides a COVID-19 update for June 28, 2021. It includes graphs showing recent case counts, rates, hospitalizations, deaths, testing rates and vaccine progress in British Columbia over time. The data shows increasing case rates due to the Delta variant. Vaccination rates have increased to 76% for first doses and 25% for second doses among the total BC population. Modeling suggests recent trends could be influenced by vaccine uptake levels and social contact rates remaining at 70-80% of pre-pandemic levels.

    Original Description:

    B.C. COVID-19 modelling presentation for June 28, 2021

    Original Title

    B.C. COVID-19 modelling presentation for June 28, 2021

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    This document provides a COVID-19 update for June 28, 2021. It includes graphs showing recent case counts, rates, hospitalizations, deaths, testing rates and vaccine progress in British Columbia over time. The data shows increasing case rates due to the Delta variant. Vaccination rates have increased to 76% for first doses and 25% for second doses among the total BC population. Modeling suggests recent trends could be influenced by vaccine uptake levels and social contact rates remaining at 70-80% of pre-pandemic levels.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    8K views23 pages

    B.C. COVID-19 Modelling Presentation For June 28, 2021

    Uploaded by

    CTV Vancouver
    This document provides a COVID-19 update for June 28, 2021. It includes graphs showing recent case counts, rates, hospitalizations, deaths, testing rates and vaccine progress in British Columbia over time. The data shows increasing case rates due to the Delta variant. Vaccination rates have increased to 76% for first doses and 25% for second doses among the total BC population. Modeling suggests recent trends could be influenced by vaccine uptake levels and social contact rates remaining at 70-80% of pre-pandemic levels.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    Download as pdf or txt
    of 23

    COVID-19 Update:

    June 28, 2021


    May 9 to 15, 2021 June 13 to 18, 2021

    2
    Total case counts by local health area June 16-22, 2021
    Fraser Interior Northern Vancouver Coastal Vancouver Island

    For latest version of this


    graph, see COVID-19
    Surveillance Dashboard

    3
    Average daily rate of new cases per 100,000 population
    by local health area June 16- June 22, 2021
    Fraser Interior Northern Vancouver Coastal Vancouver Island

    For latest version of this


    graph, see COVID-19
    Surveillance Dashboard

    4
    Daily cases, hospitalizations, and deaths by surveillance date
    February 2020 to June 24, 2021

    For latest version of a graph similar to this one (difference:


    hospital census, not new hospitalizations), see the Epi App

    5
    Daily cases, hospitalizations and deaths by surveillance date
    and Health Authority, February 2020 to June 24, 2021

    For latest version of a graph similar to this one (difference:


    hospital census, not new hospitalizations), see the Epi App

    6
    Daily case count by age January 2020 to June 24, 2021
    (7-day moving average)*

    For latest version of the graph similar to this one


    (difference: age groups), see the Situation Report

    7
    Daily case rate, testing rate and percent positivity by Health Authority
    March 1, 2020 to June 22, 2021

    For latest version of this


    graph, see the Epi App

    8
    Age distribution of COVID-19 related hospitalizations and deaths,
    January – June 24, 2021

    Data extracted on 8 June 2021

    9
    Approximate distribution of %VOC by Health Authority

    Data for last epi week


    are incomplete and
    subject to change

    This figure can also be found


    in the weekly VOC report

    10
    Relative proportion of VOC by epi week

    B.1.1.7 (Alpha) 48%

    B.1.617.2 (Delta) 12%

    P.1 (Gamma) 40%

    B.1.351 (Beta) <1%

    http://www.bccdc.ca/Health-Info-Site/Documents/VoC/VoC_Weekly_06032021.pdf 11
    Vaccination progress in BC as of
    June 24, 2021 for 1st and 2nd doses
    2nd dose: 25% 1st dose: 76%

    1st dose

    2nd dose

    12
    Vaccination progress in BC by age group up to June 25, 2021

    This figure can also be found in the weekly data summary

    13
    First Dose
    Vaccine
    Coverage
    by Local
    Health Area
    Ages ≥12 years

    For latest version of this graph, see


    COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard

    14
    First Dose
    Vaccine
    Coverage
    by Local
    Health Area
    Ages ≥50 years

    For latest version of this graph, see


    COVID-19 Surveillance Dashboard

    15
    Weekly COVID-19 cases by vaccine status and
    cumulative population with at ≥ 1 dose of vaccine
    December 13, 2020 - May 29, 2021 (N=99,382)

    ≥1 dose of vaccine

    Cumulative incidence of 1st dose


    Unvaccinated or < 21 days after 1st dose

    ≥ 21 days
    after 1st dose
    ≥ 7 days
    after 2nd dose

    16
    Weekly rate of COVID-19 by vaccine status
    January 17 - May 29, 2021 (N=81,531)

    Rate of COVID
    has been
    higher among
    unvaccinated
    people than
    among
    vaccinated Unvaccinated or
    < 21 days after 1st dose
    people
    ≥ 21 days after 1st dose
    ≥ 7 days after 2nd dose

    17
    Cumulative Incidence of SARS-COV-2 Infection by VOC,
    age and vaccination status in B.C. (April 11-June 19, 2021)

    18
    19
    20
    Dynamic Compartmental Modelling: recent trends

    21
    Dynamic Compartmental Modelling: recent trends

    Lower vaccine uptake; 80% contact rate


    Higher vaccine uptake; 80% contact rate
    Lower vaccine uptake; 70% contact rate
    Higher vaccine uptake; 70% contact rate

    22
    COVID-19 Update:
    June 28, 2021

    You might also like