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Company Analysis and IPO Valuation
Company Analysis and IPO Valuation
Company Analysis and IPO Valuation
Company Analysis
and IPO valuation
Target Company: Aman Cotton
Fibrous Ltd.
Peer Company: Square Textiles
Limited
Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Submitted To-
Md. Sajib Hossain, CFA, ACCA
Assistant Professor
Department of Finance,
Faculty of Business Studies
University of Dhaka
Submitted By –
Name ID
1 Zakia Shamsi Zahan 35045
2 Nusrat Alam 36021
3 Farjana Yesmin 35030
4 Farzana Amin 31054
5 Nusrat Jahan Monmon 35032
6 Mohammed Nazmul Hasan 35059
7 Elius Chowdhury 35016
EMBA, Finance, University of Dhaka
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Letter of Transmittal
26th August, 2019.
Subject: Submission of Term Paper on Company analysis and IPO valuation of Square
Textiles Limited &
Sir,
With due respect, I would like to inform you that, it is a great pleasure for us to submit the report
on “Company Analysis and IPO Valuation of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target) & Square
Textiles Limited (Peer)” as a requirement of “Lease Financing and Investment Banking” course.
We have tried our best to gather all necessary information relevant to our study and presented as
cordially as possible. We have tried to make this report significant and communicative.
While working on this report, we have come to know depth knowledge about this course such as
valuation, company analysis, industry analysis of these companies. This information are so
important for this course as well as for a corporate person.
So, I therefore, request and hope that you would be kind enough to accept our report and oblige
thereby.
Sincerely Yours
On behalf of group
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Acknowledgement
Our first acknowledge goes to the almighty Allah for bestowing us the patience and courage to
finish this task within its deadline.
Second, we humbly thank our course instructor Md. Sajib Hossain and greatly appreciate the time
and effort, he has given to us for the purpose of learning analysis and valuation of financial
statements and preparing a report on this.
Acknowledgments must go to the team members, whose unflagging patience and outstanding
capacity for creative work made the report both possible and successful under the pressure of
knocking deadline.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Executive Summary
This assignment is prepared by focusing on the Annual reports of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target) and
Square Textiles Limited (Peer). In this regard this paper not only demonstrates the ratios but also
demonstrates the valuation of these two companies.
This paper describes the Porter’s Five Forces analysis of Textile Industry of Bangladesh. Bargaining power
of supplier is high, bargaining power of supplier is high, threat of new entrants is high, threat of substitute
is high, and competitive rivalry among existing players is high too.
This paper describes the financial information of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target) and Square Textiles
Limited (Peer).
Moreover, this paper analyses activity, liquidity, solvency, profitability ratios, Common size financial
statements & valuation of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target) and Square Textiles Limited (Peer).
Lastly, this paper demonstrates Equity Valuation of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. & Square Textiles Limited.
Dividend Discount Model (DDM), Multiples Valuation are used to determine their actual value of the stock.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Chapter 1
Introduction
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Introduction
With the ever increasing size and sophisticated things of recent businesses it’s turning into
necessary for each business man to base choices of facts expressed in quantitative kind.
Quantitative measurement of a business is very significant for facilitating its operations towards
attaining optimal goal. We with our gathered knowledge have tried to analyze the macroeconomic
data, relative industrial data, financial statements and its valuation.
For this report data have been collected from the following sources:
Dhaka Stock Exchange
Annual Report of AMAN COTTON FIBROUS LTD.
Annual Report of Square Textiles Limited
As a business expectative of future, we should gather experiences beside our study. We should not
concern our lesson only in classroom but to implement it in practical life that will help us in our
future life. A clear objective helps in preparation of well decorated report in which other take the
right type of decision. So, identifying objectives is very much important. Our purpose of preparing
this report is:
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. was incorporated as a private Limited Company with the issuance of
certificate of incorporation bearing No-C-403 dated December 28, 2005 by the Registrar of Joint
Stock Companies & Firms and the Company commenced its commercial production on November
01, 2007. Subsequently the shareholders in their Extra-Ordinary General Meeting held on 22 April,
2012 approved conversion of status of the company from private limited to public limited
company.
The Principal activities and nature of the business of the company is to manufacture of high quality
yarn in Bangladesh and marketing and selling of product in the global and domestic Market.
Mission
To establish labor intensive industries blending the latest technologies upholding ownership by the
employees along with conservation of environment with precise commitment to the society and
contribute substantially to GDP through sustainable growth.
Vision
To be a leader in fulfilling country’s basic needs through industrialization with total Quality.
Major Achievement
1. Aman group Limited enlisted and obtained a license of economic zone namely Aman Economic
Zone Limited situated at the bank of River Meghna, Sonargaon, Narayangonj, Inagurated by
Honorable Prime Minister of Gov’t of the People’s Republic of Bangladesh Sheikh Hasina on 28th
of Feb 2016.
2. With a pronouncement of creating job opportunity for a fleet of 32000 work force by the year
of 2021, Aman group presently succeeded to be driven by 16000 (Sixteen thousand) direct
manpower towards its vision.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Square Textiles Limited is a subsidiary company of Square Group. The Company was incorporated
as a public limited company in the year of 1994. The operation was started in 1997. It was enlisted
in Dhaka Stock Exchange & Chittagong Stock Exchange in 2002. Within a very short time of span
the company achieved some significance success. Square Textile receives Oeko-Tex standard 100
and ISO-9002 certificates in the year 2000. Authorized capital of the company is tk. 3000 million.
It’s paid- up capital is tk. 1789.133 million. 2,427 employees are working in this organization. The
business lines of Square Textiles Limited are manufacturing and marketing of yarn. The Net Profit
after Tax is 252.49 Million BDT of Square Textile in June 2017.
During the last few years they had to face hard competition in the national & international market.
To cope with the situation, they have adopted multiple product mix to attain high margin as
strategy of value addition through product differentiation.
Mission
Square realizes the need to stake out a competitive segment in the changing global market of today
through technological excellence and human expertise. Square is committed to transpose its local
success to the world scene.
Vision
To establish ourselves as a one stop source for the Global Knit Apparel market and assure complete
compliance with the international quality standards with employee’s internationally acceptable
working condition /standards. To attain highest level of competence through continuous
development of the professional management system and to ensure complete transparency in all
aspects of business.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Chapter 2
Macro-Economic Analysis
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Macro-Economic Analysis
Macroeconomics is a branch of economics dealing with the performance, structure, behavior, and
decision-making of an economy as a whole.
Macroeconomists try to forecast economic conditions to help consumers, firms and governments
make better decisions.
Macroeconomic analysis broadly focuses on: national output (measured by gross domestic
product), unemployment, inflation and level of export and import.
7 7.3 7.5
7.2
6 6.46 6.52 6.55
6.01 6.06
5 5.57
5.05
4
0
2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Unemployment Rate in Bangladesh remained unchanged at 4.20 percent in 2017 from 4.20
Percent in 2016. Unemployment Rate in Bangladesh averaged 3.85 percent from 1991 until
2017, reaching an all-time high of 5.10 percent in 1997 and a record low of 2.20 percent in
1991.
The annual inflation rate in Bangladesh edged up to 5.47 percent in February of 2019 from
5.42 percent in the prior month, averaged 6.53 percent from 1994 until 2019, reaching an
all-time high of 16 percent in September of 2011 and a record low of -0.03 percent in
December of 1996.
0
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Bangladesh has been on the list of UN Least Developed Countries (LDC) since 1975.
Bangladesh met the requirements to be recognized as developing country in March,
2018.Here is a chart showing the gross export and import data (unit in billion) from year
2013-2017.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
5 3
4
2
3 6.15 6.06 5.81 5.58
5.02
2
1
1
0 0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
youth unemployment has increased significantly over the year whereas the overall
unemployment remained stable. We expect that, Investment in the private sector,
upgrading the education sector with science and technology, vocational training will help
to deal with unemployment in near future.
In 2019-2020 growing inflation rate is forecasted because it is believed that depreciation
of the exchange rate is the primary culprit underlying inflation in Bangladesh. Beside that
growth of remittance, syndicates, fuel price, relative strength of Bangladesh currency,
growth of money supply, trade-off between growth and inflation and international
commodity prices are seen as the reason behind growing inflation. But in these debate
inflation is temporary and the government has little control over inflation except to make
efforts to insulate domestic food and fuel prices from rising through price controls and
subsidies.
Strong support to the entrepreneurs, huge private sector investment, getting closer to grow
market, growing safety reputation of RMG sector, huge capacity ;easier control on the
supply chain, technology adoption, qualitative transformation, power and gas supply is
getting better, human capital transformation and green branding will boost up the export of
Bangladesh. On the other hand to fulfill the demand of raising population, Bangladesh
needs more product to import. India and Bangladesh already have a free trade agreement
in place while China allows some preferential trade access which will accelerate the import
of Bangladesh.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Chapter 3
Industry Analysis
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Industry Analysis
Both of the companies analyzed in this report are known for manufacturing high quality yarn in
Bangladesh and marketing and selling of product in the global and domestic Market. By definition,
Yarn is a long continuous length of interlocked fibres, suitable for use in the production
of textiles, sewing, crocheting, knitting, weaving, embroidery, or ropemaking. During the last few
decades, it has become an important industrial sector in Bangladesh.
Given the importance of this industry in the economy of Bangladesh, here is a figure given
analyzing the Porter’s Five Forces Model to get an insight about the plastic industry of Bangladesh-
• About 80% of total export income comes from the textile sector in Bangladesh leading
the government of Bangladesh lightening the restrictive requirements in entering into
the market.
• For local market, the threat is not so high because there are a lot of unutilized
resources in Bangladesh. Internationally, there is high threat of new entrants because
it is a labor-intensive industry. And many countries of the world like China and India
are trying to capture the international market by their huge labor and technological
advantage.
• Bangladesh is lagging behind to some extent because of poor country barding and less
power to influence custome, other's products get preferenced.
• To ensure growth and profitability, Bangladesh should try to substitute the Indian and
Chinese products by providing cheap and quality products.
• Being the second largest manufacturer of textile product in the world, Bangladesh
serve a lot of markets in world.
• It maintains both quality and price at a time. Because, input cost as labor is very low
in Bangladesh. Buyers can switch to the products of China and India easily if
Bangladesh fails to provide quality and cheap products at a time.
• Also the best for outsourcing in textile product. Leading the international brands
come to Bangladesh to get their work done by Bangladesh. That’s why there are many
franchises and subsidiaries in this country. Finally, quota system, GSP and low labor
cost are making some balances in the market for Bangladeshi textile product in the
world
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• Bangladesh is collecting the raw materials at world price form the abroad. They have
a good reputation to the suppliers for timely payment.
• Besides, B2B LC1 is permitted in Bangladesh, which is giving extra facilities to the
industry.
• the powers of local suppliers are increasing day by day. But in case of labor supply,
industry is in advantageous position.
• The suppliers of labor are not so strong as compared to the suppliers of raw
materials because labors are adequate in this country.
After considering the model, it can be said that the plastic industry encompasses a monopolistic
competition market.
Bargaining Power
of Suppliers: High
Competitive
Rivalry Between Bargaining Power
Existing Players:
High
Porter’s of Customers: High
Five Forces
Threat of New
Threat of
Entrants: High
Substitutes: High
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Bangladesh’s RMG sector has been playing a pivotal in facilitating the country’s export
earnings, contributing 83.4% of total export (source: EPB), apart for
generating employment to the tune of 4.4 million, 80% of which are women. (Source: WB).
Considering the sector’s importance to the country’s economic stability, ensuring steady
growth for RMG export in the short to medium term, is a key policy imperative.
The ready-made garment (RMG) sector contributed $20.21 billion to Bangladesh’s total
export earnings—up by 14.51% from $17.65 billion during the same period of the previous
fiscal year.
Of the total export earnings by the apparel sector, knitwear products earned $10.14 billion,
which is 13.86% higher than the $8.90 billion earned during the same period of FY2017-
18.
Woven products earned $10.07 billion, up by 15.18% from $8.75 billion during the same
period of the previous fiscal year.
The specialized textile sector saw a 41.11% growth to $84.03 million from $59.55, while
home textile products saw a negative growth of 0.79% to $490 million from $494.09.
In the recent past, the sector’s growth has been marginal, with exports growing by 0.2%
and 8.7% for 2016-17 and 2017-18 respectively.
Future growth would be contingent on the outcomes of multitude of internal and external
factors, which could potentially determine the sector’s competitiveness and performance
vis-à-vis its closest competitors.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Chapter 4
Company Analysis
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Company Analysis
A) Liquidity Ratio:
Current Ratio: The current ratio is a widely used measure for evaluating company’s liquidities&
short-term debt- paying ability:
Quick Ratio: The quick ratio is an indicator of a company's short-term liquidity. The quick ratio
measures a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets.
Cash Ratio: The cash ratio or cash coverage ratio is a liquidity ratio that measures a firm’s ability
to pay off its current liabilities with only cash and cash equivalents. The cash ratio is much more
restrictive than the current ratio or quick ratio because no other current assets can be used to pay
off current debt--only cash.
Defensive Interval Ratio: The defensive interval ratio (DIR), also called the defensive interval
period (DIP) or basic defense interval (BDI), is a financial metric that indicates the number of days
that a company can operate without needing to access noncurrent assets, long-term assets whose
full value cannot be obtained within the current accounting year, or additional outside financial
resources.
Liquidity ratio:
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Square textile:
Liquidity ratio:
2016 2017 2018
Current ratio 2.961 2.045 1.476
Quick ratio 1.977 1.293 0.928
Cash ratio 0.724 0.33 0.154
Aman textile:
2016 2017 2018
Current ratio 2.205 2.407 2.596
Quick ratio 1.321 1.478 1.701
Cash ratio 0.107 0.037 0.038
Table 7: Liquidity Ratios for Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target)
The current ratio is a financial ratio that measures a company’s ability to pay off its current obligations with
current assets. Management and external users analyze this ratio to judge the liquidity of the company as
well as its efficiency. The current ratio measures the current assets as a percentage of the current liabilities
to show the amount of current debt that can be paid off with current assets like cash, inventory, and
receivables. Here the current ratio for square textile has been decreasing from 2016 to 2018, from 2.961 to
1. 476.Whereas for Aman textile the current ratio has increased from 2.205 to 2.596.
Current ratio:
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
Column3 Column4
year
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Quick ratio
2.5
1.5
0.5
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The quick ratio is a financial liquidity ratio that compares quick assets to current liabilities. Quick assets
generally include cash, cash equivalents, and accounts receivable. The quick ratio is designed to show
investors and creditors how quickly a company can pay off its short-term debt. Here we can observe that
the quick ratio of square textile has decreased from 2016 to 2018.however for Aman textile the ratios has
rose from 2016 to 2018, from 1.32 to 1.70.
cash ratio
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The cash ratio is a measurement of a company's liquidity, specifically the ratio of a company's total cash
and cash equivalents to its current liabilities. The metric calculates a company's ability to repay its short-
term debt with cash or near-cash resources, such as easily marketable securities. This information is useful
to creditors when they decide how much money, if any, they would be willing to loan a company. Here we
observe that the cash ratio of Aman textile is very low in compared to square textile.
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B) Solvency Ratios:
Debt to Asset: Debt to total assets ratio measures the percentage of total assets provided by the
creditors.
Debt to Equity: Debt to equity ratio shows how much of total capital is raised from debt.
Financial leverage: Financial leverage is the degree to which a company uses fixed-income
securities such as debt and preferred equity. The more debt financing a company uses, the higher
its financial leverage. A high degree of financial leverage means high interest payments, which
negatively affect the company's bottom-line EPS.
Interest Coverage Ratio: The interest coverage ratio is a debt ratio and profitability ratio used to
determine how easily a company can pay interest on its outstanding debt. The interest coverage
ratio measures how many times a company can cover its current interest payment with its available
earnings. In other words, it measures the margin of safety a company has for paying interest on its
debt during a given period.
Companies need to have more than enough earnings to cover interest payments in order to survive
future (and perhaps unforeseeable) financial hardships that may arise. A company’s ability to meet
its interest obligations is an aspect of its solvency and is thus a very important factor in the return
for shareholders.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
AMAN TEXTILE
square aman
The debt to asset ratio is a leverage ratio that measures the amount of total assets that are financed by
creditors instead of investors. In other words, it shows what percentage of assets is funded by borrowing
compared with the percentage of resources that are funded by the investors. From the above data we can
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
observe that the debt to asset ratio for square textile has risen since 2016 to 2018. However for Aman textile
the ratio has been falling.
Debt to equity
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The debt to equity ratio is a financial, liquidity ratio that compares a company’s total debt to total equity.
The debt to equity ratio shows the percentage of company financing that comes from creditors and investors.
A higher debt to equity ratio indicates that more creditor financing (bank loans) is used than investor
financing (shareholders). Here debt to equity ratio is higher for square textile in compared to Aman textile.
Debt to capital
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The debt to capital ratio is a liquidity ration that calculates a company’s use of financial leverage by
comparing its total obligations to total capital. In other words, this metric measures the proportion of debt
a company uses to finance its operations as compared with its capital. Here also we can observe that the
debt to capital ratio for square is higher than Aman textile.
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Financial leverage
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
Leverage ratios measure the overall debt load of a company and compare it with the assets or equity. This
shows how much of the company assets belong to the shareholders rather than creditors. When shareholders
own a majority of the assets, the company is said to be less leveraged. When creditors own a majority of
the assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. All of these measurements are important for
investors to understand how risky the capital structure of a company and if it is worth investing in. Square
textile has slightly higher financial leverage than aman textile.
Interest coverage
50
40
30
20
10
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The interest coverage ratio is a financial ratio that measures a company’s ability to make interest payments
on its debt in a timely manner. Unlike the debt service coverage ratio, this liquidity ratio really has nothing
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
to do with being able to make principle payments on the debt itself. Instead, it calculates the firm’s ability
to afford the interest on the debt. square textile has relatively higher interest coverage ratio in 2018
compared to the previous year and Aman textile has a constant interest coverage ratio is all throughout 2016
to 2018.
C) Profitability Ratios:
Gross Margin: The gross margin represents the percent of total sales revenue that the company
retains after incurring the direct costs associated with producing the goods and services it sells.
In other words, it measures how efficiently a company uses its materials and labor to produce
and sell products profitably. The higher the percentage, the more the company retains on each
dollar of sales, to service its other costs and debt obligations.
Return on Asset: Percentage of profit a company earns in relation to its overall resources. It
is commonly defined as net income divided by total assets. The return on assets ratio, often
called the return on total assets, is a profitability ratio that measures the net income produced by
total assets during a period by comparing net income to the average total assets. In other words,
the return on assets ratio or ROA measures how efficiently a company can manage its assets to
produce profits during a period.Net income is derived from the income statement of the company
and is the profit after taxes.
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Return on Equity: Measure of the profitability of a business in relation to the book value of
shareholder equity, also known as net assets or assets minus liabilities. ROE is a measure of how
well a company uses investments to generate earnings growth.
Square textile:
Aman textile:
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
Gross margin ratio is a profitability ratio that compares the gross margin of a business to the net sales. This
ratio measures how profitable a company sells its inventory or merchandise. In other words, the gross profit
ratio is essentially the percentage markup on merchandise from its cost. This is the pure profit from the sale
of inventory that can go to paying operating expenses. Here the gross margin ratio of Aman textile is higher
than square textile.
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
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The operating margin ratio, also known as the operating profit margin, is a profitability ratio that measures
what percentage of total revenues is made up by operating income. In other words, the operating margin
ratio demonstrates how much revenues are left over after all the variable or operating costs have been paid.
Conversely, this ratio shows what proportion of revenues is available to cover non-operating costs like
interest expense. Here also we observe that the operating profit margin is higher for aman textile in
compared to square textile.
The net profit margin ratio, also called net margin, is a profitability metric that measures what percentage
of each dollar earned by a business ends up as profit at the end of the year. In other words, it shows how
much net income a business makes from each dollar of sales. Net profit margin of Aman textile is higher
in compared to square textile.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
ROE
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The return on equity ratio or ROE is a profitability ratio that measures the ability of a firm to generate
profits from its shareholders investments in the company. In other words, the return on equity ratio shows
how much profit each dollar of common stockholders’ equity generates. ROE of aman textile is higher than
square textile.
ROA
0.09
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
2016 2017 2018
square aman
The return on assets ratio, often called the return on total assets, is a profitability ratio that measures the net
income produced by total assets during a period by comparing net income to the average total assets. In
other words, the return on assets ratio or ROA measures how efficiently a company can manage its assets
to produce profits during a period. Initially the ROA was higher for square textile than Aman textile but in
2018 there was a fall in ROA of Square, below Aman textile.
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Common size analysis, also referred as vertical analysis, is a tool that financial managers use to
analyze financial statements. It evaluates financial statements by expressing each line item as a
percentage of the base amount for that period. The analysis helps to understand the impact of each
item in the financial statement and its contribution to the resulting figure.
The balance sheet common size analysis mostly uses the total assets value as the base value. On
the balance sheet, the total assets value equals the value of total liabilities and shareholders’ equity.
A financial manager or investor uses the common size analysis to see how a firm’s capital structure
compares to rivals. They can make important observations by analyzing specific line items in
relation to the total assets.
For example, if the value of long-term debts in relation to the total assets value is too high, it shows
that the company’s debt levels are too high. Similarly, looking at the retained earnings in relation
to the total assets as the base value can reveal how much of the annual profits are retained on the
balance sheet.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Table 11: Common size Balance Sheet for Square textiles Limited (Peer) and Aman Fibrous Ltd. (Target)
The base item in the income statement is usually the total sales or total revenues. Common size
analysis is used to calculate net profit margin, as well as gross and operating margins. The ratios
tell investors and finance managers how the company is doing in terms of revenues, and they can
make predictions of the future revenues. Companies can also use this tool to analyze competitors
to know the proportion of revenues that goes to advertising, research and development and other
essential expenses.
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Table 12: Common size Income Statement for Square textiles Limited (Peer) and Aman Fibrous Ltd. (Target)
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Sustainable growth rate is the rate at which a company can grow without having to borrow money to fund
its growth. In other words, it's the maximum rate at which a company can grow while limited to using its
own internally generated revenue to fund that growth.
2016-2017 2017-2018
Particulars
Square Aman Square Aman
Return on Equity 0.0559 0.0850 0.0621 0.0790
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.9884 0.0000 0.7829 0.0000
Retention Ratios 1.0000 0.2171 1.0000
0.0116
Growth Rate (Dividend Growth Rate) 0.0006 0.0850 0.0135 0.0790
Table 13: ROE, Dividend Payoout Ratio, Retention Ratio & Sustainable Growth rate for Square Textiles Limited &
Aman Cotton Firbous.
Figure: Sustainable Growth Rate of Square Textile Ltd and Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd.
Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. is experiencing declining sustainable growth rate over the years Whereas Square
Textiles Limited is increasing. Both of companies need to borrow money for their growth.
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Alternative ROE
The Textile sector experienced a fall in their sales which results in declining net profit. Both Square Textile
Limited and Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. has decreasing net profit, and this is the reason of their declining
ROE.
Aman Cotton’s operating return on asset (OPROA) & Net Financial Leverage (NFL) is declining over the
years. Financial gain to shareholders for Aman Cotton has increased and it has better ratio than Square
Textile Limited
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In case of Square Textile, their operating return on asset (OPROA) is increasing a bit over the years. Their
net financial leverage (NFL) is increasing because of their short-term loans. NFL×SPREAD denotes the
financial gain to shareholders which is also decreasing.
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Chapter 5
Valuation
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Valuation
(c) it has not made any material change including raising of paid- √
up capital after the date of audited financial statements as included
in the prospectus
(d) the issue manager is in no way connected with the issuer not √
does hold any of its securities
(e) it has prepared its financial statements in accordance with the √
requirements of the Securities and Exchange Rules, 1987, the
provisions of IFRS /IAS as adopted in Bangladesh and audited the
same as per Bangladesh Standards on Auditing (BSA) as well as
the Companies Act, 1994 and other applicable legal requirements;
155
(f) it has got cost audit by professional accountants as per the √
Companies Act, 1994, if applicable
(g) it has got its latest financial statements audited by the panel √
auditors as declared by the Commission from time to time
(h) it has been regular in holding annual general meeting (AGM); √
(i) it has complied with the provisions of Corporate Governance √
Guidelines as published by the Commission from time to time
(j) it has complied with all the requirements of these Rules in √
preparing prospectus
(k) it has no accumulated retained loss at the time of application √
(l) it has complied with the provisions of guidelines regarding √
valuation of assets, if any, as published by the Commission from
time to time; and
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
IPO Valuation:
As an issue manager(s) shall, among others, we tried to consider the following methods for valuation of
the securities according to the Sub-section (d) of section 14 of Bangladesh Securities and exchange
Commission (Public Issue) Rules, 2015,
(i) net asset value at historical or current costs;
(ii) earning-based-value calculated on the basis of weighted average of net profit after tax for immediate
preceding five years or such shorter period during which the issuer was in commercial operation;
(iii) projected earnings for the next three accounting year with rationales of the projection, if not in
commercial operation;
(iv) average market price per share of similar stocks for the last one year immediately prior to the offer
for common stocks with reference and explanation of the similarities or in case of repeat public offering,
market price per share of common stock of the issuer for the aforesaid period.
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Method-1 :
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We can see that NAVPS has increased in both the years comparing to the year 2016 of Aman Cotton
Fibrous Ltd.
ii) Earning-based-value calculated on the basis of weighted average of net profit after tax for immediate
preceding five years or such shorter period during which the issuer was in commercial operation
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Market P /E 35.30
Earning Based Value Per Share using Market P/E 24.53
Table 19: Earning Based valuation for IPO Processing
(iii) projected earnings for the next three accounting year with rationales of the projection, if not in
commercial operation; as Aman Cotton Fibrous was in operation this option is not required. Still we
have calculated this while calculating the FCFF of the related company.
(iv) Yearly Average market price per share of similar stocks (Method-03):
We have taken twelve months stock prices for the year 2018 of Square Textile as Peer Company for this
valuation. Here are the twelve months prices of Square Text:
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Free cash flow valuation is a method of business valuation in which the business value equals the present
value of its free cash flow. It involves projecting free cash flows into future and then discounting them at
the appropriate cost of capital.
Table 20: FCFF calculation for Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target)
AMAN COTTON FIBROUS Ltd. has a calculated value per share of BDT 44.68, which is more than the
market valuation. According to FCFF, the company is under-valued.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Square Textile Ltd. has a calculated value per share of BDT 11.71, which is far under the market
valuation. According to FCFF, the company is far over-valued.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
0
Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. Square Textile Limited
Figure: Equity value per share for Aman Cotton Fibrous and Square textiles Limited
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Table 23: Dividend Discount Model Valuation for Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd.
2017- 2018
To Calculate COGS on Sales:
Sales 1,609,935,925
COGS 1,210,797,259
COGS (% Sales) 75.207
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Table 24: Calculation of COGS, Operating expenses, Incremental Capex & Incremental WC of Sales for Aman
Cotton Fibrous Ltd (target)
Table 25: DDM Calculation for Aman Cotton Fibrous Limited (Target)
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
2017- 2018
To Calculate COGS on Sales:
Sales 9,411,869,563
COGS 8,443,275,210
COGS (% Sales) 89.708
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Assumptions:
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Table 29: Valuation of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. using Maket P/E
Earning Based Value per Share of our target company “AMAN COTTON FIBROUS LTD.”. is BDT
118.25
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Table 30: Valuation of Square Textiles Limited (Peer) using Market P/E
Value using P/E and P/B ratio of Square Textiles Ltd. (Peer):
Table 31: Valuation by using P/E and P/B ratio of Square Textiles Limited (Peer)
AMAN Cotton Fibrous Ltd. has a calculated value of BDT 71.14 using P/E of peer company and 131.02
using P/B ratio of our peer company “Square textile Ltd.”.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
Table 32: Valuation by using Justified P/E ratio for Aman Cotton Fibrous Limited (Target)
AMAN COTTON FIBROUS LTD. has a calculated value of BDT 1.102 using Leading Justified
P/E ratio and BDT 4.779 using Trailing Justified P/E ratio.
BDT ৳ 118.25 BDT ৳ 7.14 BDT ৳ 131.02 BDT ৳ 1.102 BDT ৳ 4.78
Table 33: Multiples Valuation at a glance for Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. (Target)
Multiple is a performance measure, which is used in the valuation of a firm’s financial health and
performance. Financial analysts use multiple analysis to determine the financial performance and
solvency of a firm. In stock valuation, using the ‘multiple method’ allows an analyst to compare
the company’s metrics relative to its sales or earnings; hence, the multiple valuation is also known
as relative valuation.
In addition, in the relative valuation model, financial analysts are converting the market values into
standardized values to perform the comparison and identify potential differences between firms that
operate in the same industry. At the end of the day, relative valuation is used to determine whether a
stock is under- or overvalued.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
MULTIPLES:
P/E 16.5934 29.4348 20.8642
P/BV 1.6722 1.6492 1.2797
P/OCF 13.0397 21.9805 14.2017
P/CF 16.4847 29.3074 20.7787
Table 35: Multiples valuation model for Square Textiles Limited (Peer)
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Chapter 6
Conclusion
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Conclusion
Different ratios tell us different results regarding the liquidity, solvency, profitability, performance
and coverage of these both companies. In case of Liquidity, Profitability ratio Aman Cotton Fibrous
Ltd. Is in the lead. Which means it has more liquidity than Square Textiles Limited.
But the solvency is less in the Square Textiles Limited than Aman Cotton Fibrous which can tell us
at a first look risk inverse investors should choose the Aman Cotton Fibrous Limited for making
their investment. Which means Aman Cotton Fibrous is in better position in maintaining debt
obligations and maintaining its own expense on its own.
But more prudently based on our stock valuation analysis we can tell a better way to make
investment. The better way is, since the stock of Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. is undervalued an
investor should buy this stock. As the stock of Square Textiles Limited is overvalued an investor
should think before buying the stock. Because on that way an investor will be hopefully able to
make superior return on his or her investment. And thereby management must focus on that area
as well.
Overall, we can say that Aman Cotton Fibrous Ltd. Is in a leading position than Square Textiles
Limited.
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Report Company Analysis and IPO Valuation 26th August 2019
https://www.lankabd.com/Company/OverviewV2?symbol=ACFL
https://www.myaccountingcourse.com/financial-ratios
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