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FundamentalsPaperF9
FinancialManagement
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Yourlearningmaterials,publishedbyBPP Learning ©
MediaLtd,areprintedonpaperobtainedfromtraceable BPP LearningMediaLtd
sustainablesources. 2016
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Preface Contents
WelcometoBPP'sLearningMedia'snewsyllabusACCAPasscardsforPaperF9FinancialManagement.
Theyfocusonyourexam andsaveyoutime.
Theyincorporatediagrams tokickstartyourmemory.
TheyfollowtheoverallstructureoftheBPP LearningMedia'sStudyTexts,butBPPLearningMedia's
ACCAPasscardsarenotjustacondensedbook. Eachcardhasbeenseparatelydesignedforclear
presentation. Topicsareselfcontainedandcanbegraspedvisually.
ACCA Passcardsarestilljusttherightsizeforpockets,briefcasesandbags.
RunthroughthePasscards asoftenasyoucanduringyourfinalrevisionperiod. Thedaybeforetheexam,try
togothroughthePasscardsagain!Youwillthenbewellonyourwaytopassingyourexams.
Goodluck!
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Preface Contents
Page Page
1 Financialmanagementandfinancial 15 Thecostofcapital 77
objectives 1 16 Capitalstructure 85
2-3 Financialmanagementenvironment 9 17 Businessvaluations 91
4 Workingcapital 15 18 Marketefficiency 97
5 Managingworkingcapital 19 19 Foreigncurrencyrisk 101
6 Workingcapitalfinance 27 20 Interestraterisk 109
7 Investmentdecisions 35
8 InvestmentappraisalusingDCFmethods 39
9 Allowingforinflationandtaxation 45
10 Projectappraisalandrisk 49
11 Specificinvestmentdecisions 53
12 Sourcesoffinance 59
13 Dividendpolicy 67
14 Gearingandcapitalstructure 71
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1: Financialmanagementandfinancial
objectives
TopicList Thischapterprovidesadefinitionoffinancialmanagement
andobjectivesandprovidesthebackgroundforyourstudy
ofthissubject.
Financialmanagement
Youmustbeabletochooseappropriatemeasuresand
Objectives indicatorsofanorganisation'ssituationanddiscuss
Stakeholders whetherobjectiveshavebeenachieved.
Measuringachievementofobjectives
Encouragingachievementofobjectives
Not-for-profitorganisations
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Provides externally–usedinformation
Financialaccounting
Historicpictureofpast operations
Provides internally–usedinformation
Managementaccounting Usedtoaidmanagementtorecord, plan andcontrol
activitiesandhelpthedecision-makingprocess
Financialplanning –makingsurefundsavailable
Financialmanagement Financialcontrol–objectivesbeingmetandassetsbeing
usedefficiently
Financing,takingmorecredit,profitretention,issuingshares
Financialmanagementdecisions
Dividends
Investing,tomaximisecompany'svalue
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Corporateobjectives arerelevantfortheorganisationasawhole,relatingtokeyfactorsfor
businesssuccess
Financialobjectives Non-financialobjectives
Shareholderwealthmaximisation Welfareofemployees
Profitmaximisation Welfareofmanagement,perks,benefits
Earningspersharegrowth Welfareofsociety,eggreenpolicies
Provisionofcertainlevelofservice
Responsibilitiestowardscustomers/suppliers
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Stakeholders Stakeholderobjectives
Aregroupswhoseinterestsaredirectly
affectedbyactivitiesoftheorganisation.
Ordinaryshareholders wanttomaximise
theirwealth
Suppliers wanttobepaidfullamountat
Managers duedateandtocontinuetrading
Internal Employees relationship
Directors Banks wanttoreceiveinterestand
Shareholders minimisedefaultrisk
Connected
Lenders Employees wanttomaximiserewardsand
Customers ensureemploymentcontinuity
Suppliers
Competitors Managerswanttomaximisetheirown
rewards
Government
External Government wantssustainedeconomic
Pressuregroups
growthandhighlevelsofemployment
Localcommunities
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Dividends
Returnstoshareholders
Capitalgainsfromincreasesinmarketvalue
Profitability
Returnoncapitalemployed = Profitmargin × Assetturnover
(ROCE)
PBIT
_______________ = ____________
PBIT × Salesrevenue
______________
Capitalemployed Salesrevenue Capitalemployed
Returnonequity = _________________________________
Profitavailabletoordinaryshareholders
Shareholders'equity
PBIT=profitbeforeinterestandtax
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Dividendyield Priceearningsratio
Dividendpershare
________________________ Marketpriceofshare
__________________
×100%
Ex-divmarketpricepershare EPS
P/Eratioreflectsmarket'sappraisalof
Dividendcover share'sfutureprospects.
Profitavailabletoordinaryshareholders
________________________________ Earningspershare(EPS)
Actualdividend
Profitavailabletoordinaryshareholders
________________________________
Weightedaveragenumber
ofordinaryshares
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Agencyrelationship
Managersactasagentsfortheshareholdersusingdelegatedpowerstorunthecompanyinshareholders'
bestinterests.
Encouragingtheachievementofstakeholderobjectives
Regulatoryrequirements
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Not-for-profitorganisation
Isanorganisationwhoseattainmentofitsprimegoalisnotassessedbyeconomicmeasures.
ProblemsofmeasuringVFM
Multipleobjectives
Meaningfulmeasurementofoutputs
Subjectiveassessment
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2–3: Financialmanagementenvironment
TopicList Businessesmustoperateinaneconomyinwhichthe
governmentistryingtoachieveitsobjectives. The
economicenvironmentwillimpactonabusiness's
activitiesandfutureplans.
Macroeconomicpolicy
Financingofabusinesstakesplacethroughfinancial
Governmentintervention marketsandinstitutions.
Financialintermediariesandmarkets
Ratesofinterestandratesofreturn
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Macroeconomicpolicytargets
Policytools
Eachpolicywillaffectbusinessesthroughchangesindemand, relativepricesofgoodsandservices,
borrowingcosts, taxonprofits, etc.
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Regulation
Isanyformofstateinterventionwiththeoperationofthefreemarket.
Competitionpolicy
Toreduceacompany'sdominationofamarket
Controlsonpricesorprofits
Investigationofmergers
Investigationofrestrictivepractices
Governmentassistanceforbusiness Greenpolicies
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Financialintermediaries Moneymarkets
Bringtogetherlendersandborrowersoffinance. Areoperatedbybanks/financialinstitutionsandprovide
meansoftrading,lendingandborrowingintheshort-
term. Marketsincludeprimary,Interbank,Eurocurrency
andcertificateofdeposit.
Examples Functions
Capitalmarkets
Commercialbanks Meansoflending/investing
Financehouses Sourceofborrowing Aremarketsfortradinginlong-term
Mutualsocieties Packageamountslentbysavers financialinstruments,equitiesand
Institutionalinvestors Poolrisk bonds. Theyenableorganisationsto
Providematuritytransformation raisenewfinanceandinvestorsto
Euromarkets realiseinvestments. PrincipalUK
marketsaretheStockExchangeand
Areinternationalmarketsforlargercompaniestoraisefinancein AlternativeInvestmentMarket.
aforeigncurrency. (NotnecessarilytheeuroorEurope.)
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Moneymarketinstruments
(tradedoverthecounterbetweeninstitutions)
Interest-bearing Discount
Derivatives
instruments instruments
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Factorsaffectinginterestrates Therisk-returntrade-off
Variousinterestratesareavailable;
Investorsinriskierassetsexpecttobe
theydependonrisk,duration,sizeof
compensatedfortherisk.
loan,likelycapitalgain.
Governmentbonds
Generalfactorsaffecting
allrates Risk
Companyloannotes
Preferenceshares
Ordinaryshares
Needforarealreturn
Inflation/expectations
Liquiditypreference
Balanceofpaymentspolicy
Monetarypolicy
Foreigninterestrates
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4: Workingcapital
TopicList Workingcapitalmanagementisacrucialpartofthe
syllabusandessentialforasuccessfulbusiness.
Theratioscoveredinthischapterareessentialtolearn.
Workingcapital
Liquidityratios
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Workingcapital Liquidityratios
Workingcapital=currentassets–currentliabilities
Workingcapitalmanagement
Minimiseriskofinsolvency Maximisereturnonassets
Cashoperatingcycle
Istheperiodoftimebetweentheoutflow ofcashtopayforrawmaterialsandtheinflow ofcashfrom
customers.
Theaveragetimerawmaterialsremainininventory X
Less: theperiodofcredittakenfromsuppliers X
Plus: thetimetakentoproducethegoods X Thelongerthecycle,
Plus: thetimetakenbycustomerstopayforthegoods X themoremoneyis
X tiedup.
Theoptimallength ofthecycledependsontheindustry.
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Workingcapital Liquidityratios
Liquidityratios
Helptoindicatewhetheracompanyisover-capitalised,withexcessiveworkingcapital,orifabusinessis
likelytofail.
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Workingcapital Liquidityratios
Overtrading
Iswhenabusinessistryingtosupporttoolargeavolumeoftradewiththecapitalresourcesatitsdisposal.
Symptoms Solutions
↑↑ revenue Financefromshare
↑↑ currentassets issues/retainedprofits Lowliquidityratioscan
Betterinventory/receivables provideindicationsof
↑↑ non-currentassets impendingbankruptcy.
control
Assetincreasesfinancedbytrade
payables/bankoverdraft Postponeexpansionplans
Little/no↑ inproprietors'capital Maintain/increaseproportion
oflong-termfinance
↓ current/quickratios
Liquiditydeficit
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5: Managingworkingcapital
TopicList Themanagementofinventories,accountsreceivableand
accountspayablearekeyaspectsofworkingcapital
control. Questionsmaybesetonthefinancialeffectof
changingpoliciesandlongerquestionswillprobably
Managinginventories requireadiscussionaswellasacalculation.
Managingaccountsreceivable
Managingaccountspayable
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Inventorycosts Costofcapital
Economicorderquantity(EOQ)
Warehouse/handlingcosts
Holdingcosts Deterioration/obsolescence
Insurance Istheoptimalorderingquantity
Pilferage foranitemofinventorywhichwill
minimisecosts.
Procuringcosts Orderingcosts
Deliverycosts
2COD
Contributionfromlostsales EOQ = (Giveninexam)
Shortagecosts Emergencyinventory CH
Stock-outcosts D =Usageinunits(demand)
Re-orderlevel=maximumusage×maximumleadtime CO =Costofplacingoneorder
CH =Holdingcost
Purchasecost Q =Reorderquantity
Buffersafetyinventory=re-orderlevel–(averageusage×averageleadtime)
re-orderamount
Averageinventory=buffersafetyinventory+
2
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Bulkdiscounts Just-in-time(JIT)
Totalcostwillbeminimised: Describesapolicyofobtaininggoodsfromsuppliersatthe
Atpre-discountEOQlevel,sothat latestpossibletime,avoidingtheneedtocarry
discountnotworthwhileor materials/componentinventory.
Atminimumordersizenecessarytoearn
discount
BenefitsofJIT
Calculate: Purchasingcosts+Holdingcosts+
Orderingcosts
↓ Inventoryholdingcosts ↓ Labour/scrap/warranty
↓ Manufacturinglead costs
times ↓ Materialpurchasecosts
↑ Labourproductivity (discounts)
↓ Numberoftransactions
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Costofofferingcredit = Valueofinterestchargedonanoverdrafttofundtheperiodofcredit
or
Interestlostoncashnotreceivedanddepositedinthebank
Managingreceivablesinvolves:
Tradereferences
Acreditanalysissystem Bankreferences
Creditratingagency
Decideoncreditlimittobeoffered
Acreditcontrolsystem Reviewregularly
Efficientadministration
Agedlistingofreceivables
Adebtcollectionsystem Regularstatementsandreminders
Clearproceduresfortakinglegalactionorcharginginterest
Considertheuseofadebtfactor
Analysewhethertousecashdiscountstoencourageearlypayment
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Thebenefitsofactiontocollectdebtsmustbegreaterthanthecostsincurred.
Discountsforearlysettlement Factoring
Calculate: Isdebtcollectionbyfactorcompanywhichadvances
proportionofmoneydue.
Profitsforegonebyofferingdiscount
Interestchargechangesbecausecustomerpaidat
Advantages Disdvantages
differenttimesandsaleschange
Savinginstafftime/ Canbeexpensive
Invoicediscounting admincosts Lossofdirect
Newsourceoffinance customercontact
Similartofactoring,thisiswhenacompanysells tohelpliquidity andgoodwill
specifictradedebtstoanothercompany,atadiscount. Freesupmanagement
Invoicediscountinghelpstoimprovecashflowattimes time
oftemporarycashshortage. Supportsabusiness
whensalesarerising
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Problemswithforeigntrade Methodsofcontrol
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Obtainingsatisfactorycreditterms
Managementof Extendingcreditifcashshort
tradepayables Maintaingoodrelations
Costoflostcash Foreignaccountspayable
discounts Aresubjecttoexchangeraterisk. Depreciationof
365 adomesticcurrencywillmakethecostofsupplies
100 t
moreexpensive.
100 – d –1
wheredis%discount
tisreductioninpayment
periodindaysnecessaryto
obtainearlydiscount
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Notes
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6: Workingcapitalfinance
TopicList Themanagementofcashisthefinalpartofworking
capitalmanagement.
Thecashneedsofanorganisationcanbedetermined
Cashflow usingacashflowforecastandthiswillallowabusiness
toplanhowtodealwithexpectedcashflowsurplusesor
Treasurymanagement shortages.
Cashmanagementmodels
Investingsurpluscash
Workingcapitalfundingstrategies
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Cashflowforecast Cashforecast
Jan Feb March
Adetailedforecastofcashinflowsand Cashreceipts X X X
outflowsincorporatingrevenueandcapital Salesreceipts(W1) X
items Shareissue ___ X
___ ___
X
___ X
___ X
___
Clearlylaidoutwithreferencestoworkings
Cashpayments
Depreciationisnot acashitem Purchases(W2) X X X
Dividends X
Taxes X
Purchaseof
non-currentassets X
Wages X
___ X
___ X
___
X
___ X
___ X
___
Netsurplus/deficit (X) X X
Openingcashbalance X
___ X
___ X
___
Closingcashbalance (X)
___
___ X
___
___ X
___
___
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Reasonsforholdingcash Easingcashflowproblems
Transactionsmotivetomeetregular
Postponingcapitalexpenditure
commitments
Acceleratingcashinflows
Precautionarymotive tomaintainabufferfor Sellingnon-essentialassets
unforeseencontingencies Longercredit
Reschedulingloanrepayments
Speculativemotive tomakemoneyfromarisein
Deferringcorporationtax
interestrates
Reducingdividendpayments
Losses
Assetreplacement
Growthsupport
Seasonalbusiness
Cashflowproblems
One-offexpenditure
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Treasurymanagement
Treasurydepartmentsaresetuptomanagecashfundsandcurrencyefficiently,andmakethebestuseof
corporatefinancemarkets.
Themainadvantagesofcentralisedtreasurymanagementareavoidingamixofsurplusesandoverdrafts,and
beingabletoobtainfavourableratesonbulkborrowing/investment.
Centralisedtreasurymanagement Decentralisedtreasurymanagement
Improveexchangeriskmanagement Financematcheslocalassets
Employexperts Greaterautonomyforsubsidiaries
Smallerprecautionarybalancesrequired Moreresponsivetooperatingunits
Focusonprofitcentre Noopportunitiesforlargesumspeculation
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Baumolmodel Whencashbalancereachesupperlimit,
firmsbuyssecuritiestoreturncash
Miller-Orrmodel balancetoreturnpoint(normallevel)
Seekstominimisecashholding
costsbycalculatingoptimal Whencashbalancereacheslowerlimit
amountofnewfundstoraise. sellsecuritiestoreturntoreturnpoint
Returnpoint=lowerlimit+(1/3 ×spread)
2CS where S istheamountof
/3
1
Q= cashusedinperiod
i transaction cost ×
C isthefixedcostof Spread= 3 3 × cash flow variance
obtainingnewfunds
4 interest rate
i istheinterestcostof
holdingcash
Maybedifficultto Setlowerlimit Ascertaininterestrate
predictamounts Q isthetotalamount 1 forcashbalance
3 andtransactioncost
requiredandnobuffer toberaisedto
provideforS Estimatevariance Computeupperlimit
cashisallowedfor. 2 ofcashflow
4 andreturnpoint
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Investments(newprojectsoracquisitions)
Long-term cashsurplusesmaybe Financing(repaydebt,buybackshares)
usedtofund Dividends
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Conservativeapproach
Highlevelsofworkingcapital
Highfinancingcost
Reducedriskofsystembreakdown
Possibleinventoryobsolesenceandlackofflexibilitytocustomer
demand
Workingcapital
investmentpolicy
Moderateapproach
Aggressiveapproach
Lowlevelsofworkingcapital
Aimtoincreaseprofitabilitybyreducingfinancingcost
Increasedriskofsystembreakdownandlossofgoodwill
Easierwithmodernmanufacturingtechniques
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InA(conservative)all
Assets permanentandsome
($) fluctuatingcurrentassets
financedoutoflong-term
A
Fluctuating sources; maybesurpluscash
currentassets forinvestment.
C InB(aggressive)allfluctuating
B andsomepermanentcurrent
Permanent assetsfinancedoutofshort-
currentassets termsources,possibleliquidity
problems.
Non-currentassets InClong-termsourcesfinance
permanentassets,short-term
0
sourcesfinance
Time
non-permanentassets.
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7: Investmentdecisions
TopicList The investment decision is a major topic in F9 and this
chapterintroducesthebasictechniques.
AswellascarryingoutpaybackandROCEcalculations,
Investment youwillalsobeexpectedtoknowtheirdrawbacks.
Payback
Returnoncapitalemployed
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Forpurposeoftrade
Revenueexpenditure Tomaintainasset'sexistingearnings
Investment Capitalexpenditure
Acquisitionofnon-currentassets
Improvementinearningscapacity
Biggeroutlay
Accrueovertimeperiod
Theinvestmentdecision-makingprocess
1 Originationofproposals
Relevantcashflows
2 Projectscreening
Future
Incremental
3 Analysisandacceptance
Cash
No: centraloverheads,sunkcosts,depreciation
4 Monitoringandreview
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Payback Example
$'000 P Q
Isthetimetakenforthecashinflowsfrom Investment 60 60
acapitalinvestmentprojecttoequalthe Yr1profits 20 50
cashoutflows,usuallyexpressedinyears. Yr2profits 30 20
Yr3profits 50 5
Itisusedasaminimumtarget/firstscreening Qpaysbackfirst,butultimatelyP'sprofitsarehigheron
method. thesameamountofinvestment.
Advantages Disadvantages
Simpletocalculateandunderstand Ignorestimingofflowsafterpaybackperiod
Concentratesonshort-term,lessriskyflows Ignorestotalprojectreturn
Canidentifyquickcashgenerators Ignorestimevalueofmoney
Arbitrarychoiceofcut-off
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Returnoncapitalemployed Methodofcalculation
Alsoknownasaccountingrateofreturnor Estimatedaverageprofits
returnoninvestment. ×100%
Estimatedaverageinvestment
Canbeusedtorankprojectstakingplace
overanumberofyears(usingaverageprofits Initialoutlay+scrapvalue
Whereaverageinvestment=
andinvestment). 2
Canalsorankmutuallyexclusiveprojects. Profitisafter depreciationbutbeforeinterestandtax
Advantages Disadvantages
Quickandsimplecalculation Takesnoaccountoftiming
Easytounderstand%return Basedonaccountingprofits,notcashflows
Looksatentireprojectlife Relative,notabsolute,measure
Ignorestimevalueofmoney
Takesnoaccountofprojectlength
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8: InvestmentappraisalusingDCFmethods
TopicList Thisisanabsolutelycriticalchapter,asquestions
requiringtheuseofNPVandIRRwillcomeupfrequently
notjustinF9,butalsoinlaterpapers.
Discountedcashflow
NPV
IRR
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Discountedcashflowanalysisappliesdiscountingarithmetictothecostsandbenefitsofan
investmentproject, reducingvalueoffuturecashflowstopresentvalueequivalent.
ConventionsofDCFanalysis Discounting
Cashflowsincurredatbeginningofproject 1
Presentvalueof1=
occurinyear0 (1 + r)n
Cashflowsoccurringduringtimeperiod
assumedtooccuratperiod-end
Annuity
Cashflowsoccurringatbeginningofperiod
assumedtooccuratendofpreviousperiod –n
1 – (1 + r)
Presentvalueofannuityof1=
PVofcashflowsinperpetuity r
$1/r,riscostofcapital r=Discountrate
n=numberofperiods
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NetPresentValue(NPV) FeaturesofNPV
Isthevalueobtainedbydiscountingallcashflowsof Usesallcashflowsrelatedtoproject
projectbytargetrateofreturn/costofcapital. IfNPVis
positive,theprojectwillbeaccepted,ifnegativeitwill Allowstimingofcashflows
berejected. Canbecalculatedusinggenerally
acceptedmethod
RulesofNPVcalculations
Include Exclude
✓ Effectoftaxallowances ✗ Depreciation
✓ After-taxincrementalcashflows ✗ Dividend/interestpayments
✓ Workingcapitalrequirements ✗ Sunkcosts
✓ Opportunitycosts ✗ Allocatedcostsandoverheads
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TheIRR(InternalRateofReturn)methodcalculatestherateofreturnatwhichtheNPViszero.
1 Calculatenetpresentvalueusingrateforcost
ofcapitalwhich
a
Formulatolearn
Iswholenumber
NPVa
b MaygiveNPVclosetozero IRR = a + (b – a) %
NPV – NPV
a b
2 CalculatesecondNPVusingadifferentrate where
a IffirstNPVispositive,usesecondrate a isloweroftworatesofreturn
greaterthanfirstrate used
IffirstNPVisnegative,usesecondrate b ishigheroftworatesofreturn
b used
lessthanfirstrate
NPVa isNPVobtainedusingratea
3 UsetwoNPVvaluestocalculateIRR NPVb isNPVobtainedusingrateb
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AdvantagesofDCFmethods
Takeintoaccounttimevalueofmoney
Takeaccountofallproject'scashflows
Allowfortimingofcashflows
Universallyacceptedmethods
NPV IRR
NPVandIRR
Simplertocalculate comparison Moreeasilyunderstood
Betterforrankingmutually CanbeconfusedwithROCE
Forconventionalcash
exclusiveprojects Ignoresrelativesizeofinvestments
flowsbothmethodsgive
Easytoincorporatedifferent thesamedecision. MaybeseveralIRRsifcashflows
discountrates notconventional
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Notes
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9: Allowingforinflationandtaxation
TopicList Taxcomplicationsarelikelytobeintroducedfrequently
intoNPVcalculations. Aswellasbringinginflationand
taxintocalculations,inlongerquestionsyoucouldbe
askedtoexplainthedifferencebetweenrealandnominal
Inflation ratesofreturn.
Taxation
NPV layout
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Nominal rateofreturnmeasures
returnintermsofthe(fallinginvalue)
Formula(giveninexam)
currency. (1+nominalrate)=(1+realrate)×(1+inflationrate)
Realrate ofreturnmeasuresreturnin (1+i)=(1+r)×(1+h)
constantpricelevelterms.
Realrateornominalrate? Ifallcostsandbenefitsriseatsameinflation
Ifcashflowsintermsofactualdollars rate,realvaluesarethesameascurrentday
received/paidinvariousfuturedates, usethe valuesandnoadjustmentsareneeded.
nominalrate
Ifsomecosts/revenuesinflateatdifferentrates,
Ifcashflowsintermsofvalueofdollarattime0 applyinflationratestorealcashflowsand
(constantpricelevels)usetherealrate discountatnominalrates.
ForDCFcalculations,useendofyear
moneyvalues.
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Workingcapital Taxation
Increasesinworkingcapitalreducethenet Followtheinstructionsgiveninthequestionre
cashflowofperiod timingandrates.
Relevantcashflowsaretheincrementalcash Totaltaxcashflow
flowsfromoneyear'srequirementtonext
Assumedtoberecoveredatendofproject
∴ outflows=inflows Taxpayments(benefits) Taxbenefitsfromtax
onoperatingprofit allowabledepreciation
(losses)
1 Calculateamountofcapitalallowance
claimedineachyear
2 Don'tforgetbalancingadjustmentinyearof
sale
3 Calculatetaxsaved
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10: Projectappraisalandrisk
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Theprobabilitiesofaproject'soutcomesare:
Predictableandquantifiable Notpredictableandnot
quantifiable
RISK UNCERTAINTY
Adjustedpayback
Expectedvalues
Sensitivityanalysis
Riskadjusteddiscountfactor
Simulation
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Sensitivityanalysis Variables
Assesseshowresponsiveaproject'sNPVisto Sellingprice
changesinthevariablesusedtocalculatetheNPV. Salesvolume
Costofcapital
Initialcost
Weaknesses Operatingcosts
Benefits
Onlyconsidersonevariableatatime
Changesinvariablesofteninterdependent
NPV
Takesnoaccountofprobabilities Sensitivity=
Criticalfactorspossiblynotcontrollable PVofvariable
Doesn'tprovidedecisionrule
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Probabilityanalysis Whichprojectshouldbeselected?
1 CalculateexpectedvalueofNPV Ifprojectsaremutuallyexclusiveandcarrydifferent
levelsofrisk,withthelessriskyprojecthavinga
2 Measureriskbyoneoffollowingmethods:
lowerexpectedNPV,whichprojectisselectedwill
Calculateworstpossibleoutcomeand dependonhowrisk-aversemanagementare.
itsprobability
Calculateprobabilitythatprojectfailsto
achievepositiveNPV Problemswithexpectedvalues
Investmentmaybeone-off,andexpectedvalue
notpossibleoutcome
Assigningprobabilitiesmaybesubjective
Expectedvaluesdonotindicaterangeof
outcomes
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11: Specificinvestmentdecisions
TopicList SpecificinvestmentdecisionsuseDCFtechniquesto
evaluatedifferentoptions.
Leaseorbuy
Assetreplacement
Capitalrationing
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Operatingleases Financeleases
Lessorbearsmostofriskandrewards Lesseebearsmostofrisksandrewards
Lessorresponsibleforservicingand Lesseeresponsibleforservicingandmaintenance
maintenance Primaryperiodofleaseforasset'suseful
Periodofleaseshort,lessthanusefuleconomic economiclife,secondary(low-rent)period
lifeofasset afterwards
Assetnotshownonlessee'sstatementof Assetshownonlessee'sstatementoffinancial
financialposition position
Advantagesofleasing Saleandleaseback
✓ Supplierpaidinfull Iswhenabusinessagreestosellone
✓ Lessorreceives(taxable)incomeandtaxdepreciation ofitsassetstoafinancialinstitutionand
✓ Helplessee'scashflow leasesitback.
✓ Cheaperthanbankloan?
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Stepsinleaseorbuydecisionfor tax-payingorganisation
1 Calculatethecostsofleasing (leasepayments,lostcapitalallowances,lostscraprevenue)
2 Calculatethebenefitsofleasing (savedoutlayonpurchase,taxonleasepayments)
3 Discountatthepost-taxcostofdebt
4 CalculatetheNPV (ifpositive,leaseischeaperthanpost-taxcostofloan)
Analternativemethod istoevaluatetheNPVofthecostoftheloanandtheNPVoftheleaseseparatelyand
choosethecheapestoption.
lOMoARcPSD|5257550
Equivalentannualcostmethod
Whenanassetisbeingreplacedwithanidenticalasset,theequivalentannualcostmethod canbe
usedtocalculateanoptimumreplacementcycle.
1 Calculatepresentvalueofcostsforeachreplacementcycleoveronecycleonly
2 Turnpresentvalueofcostsforeachreplacementcycleintoequivalentannualcost:
PVoveronereplacementcycle
____________________________
CumulativePVfactorfornumber
ofyearsinonecycle
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Capitalrationing Softcapitalrationing
Internalfactors
Iswhereacompanyhasalimitedamountofmoney
toinvestandinvestmentshavetobecomparedin Reluctancetosurrendercontrol
ordertoallocatemoniesmosteffectively. Wishonlytouseretainearnings
ReluctancetodiluteEPS
Reluctancetopaymoreinterest
Capitalexpenditurebudgets
Relaxationofcapitalconstraints Hardcapitalrationing
Externalfactors
Jointventures
Licensing/franchising Depressedstockmarket
Contractingout Restrictionsonbanklending
Othersourcesoffinance Conservativelendingpolicies
Issuecosts
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Profitabilityindex Assumptions
PVfuturecashflows(excludingcapitalinvestment)
PI= _________________________________________ Opportunitytoundertakeprojectlostif
PVcapitalinvestment nottakenduringcapitalrationingperiod
Compareuncertaintyaboutproject
Example outcomes
Projectsaredivisible
ProjectAhasinvestmentof$10,000,presentvaluecash
Ignorestrategicvalue
inflowsof$11,240
Ignorecashflowpatterns
ProjectBhasinvestmentof$40,000,presentvalueofcash
Ignoreprojectsizes
inflows$43,801
ProjectBhashigherNPV($3,801comparedwith$1,240)
ProjectAhashigherPI(1.12comparedwith1.10)
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12: Sourcesoffinance
TopicList Thischaptercoversarangeofsourcesofshortand
long-termfinance. SectionBquestionsmayrequirea
discussionofsourcesoffinance.
Short-termsourcesoffinance
Debtfinance
Venturecapital
Equityfinance
Islamicfinance
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Overdrafts Loans
Overdrafts Medium-termpurposes
Designedfordaytodayhelp
Onlypayinterestwhenoverdrawn
Bankhasflexibilitytoreview
v
Interestandrepaymentssetinadvance
Bankwon'twithdrawatshortnotice
Canberenewed
Won'taffectgearingcalculation
loans
Shouldn'texceedassetlife
Canhaveloan-overdraftmix
Loaninterestrateusuallylowerthano/d
rate
Tradecredit
Operatingleases
Aninterest-freeshort-termloan
Riskslossofsuppliergoodwill Acontractbetweenthelessorandthe
Costislossofearlypaymentdiscounts lesseeforthehire
Lessorresponsibleforservicingand
maintenance
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Debtfinance
Deepdiscountbonds
Areissuedatalargediscounttothenominalvalueofthe
Availabilitydependsonsizeofbusiness bonds.
Durationofrequiredfinance
Fixedorfloatingrate? Zerocouponbonds
Securityandcovenants?
Areissuedatadiscount,withnointerestpaidonthem.
Redemption
Istherepaymentofbondsatmaturity.
Convertiblebonds
Givetheholdertherighttoconverttoothersecurities,normallyordinaryshares,atapre-determined
price/rateandtime.
Conversionpremium=Currentmarketvalueofbonds–Conversionvalueofbonds
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Venturecapital Businessstartups
Developmentofnewproducts/markets
Isriskcapitalnormallyprovidedinreturnforan Managementbuyouts
equitystakeandpossiblyboardrepresentation. Realisationofinvestments
Veryhighgrowthpotential Verysignificantamounts
Veryhighreturns
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Equityfinance
Israisedthroughthesaleofordinarysharestoinvestorsviaanewissueorarightsissue.
Disadvantagesofobtaining
Accesstowiderpoolofequityfinance listing
Higherpublicprofile
Stock Higherinvestorconfidencedueto
✗ Lossofcontrol
market greaterscrutiny
✗
✗
Vulnerabilitytotakeover
Morescrutiny
listing Allowsownerstorealisesomeoftheir
investment
✗ Greaterrestrictionsondirectors
✗ Compliancecosts
Allowsuseofshareissuesforincentive
schemesandtakeovers.
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Initialpublicoffer(IPO) Placing
Thecompanysellssharestothepublicatlargefor Placingmeansarrangingformostofanissuetobe
thefirsttime. Offerforsalebytendermeansallotting boughtbyasmallnumberofinstitutionalinvestors. It
sharesatthehighestpricetheywillbetakenup. ischeaperthananIPO.
Costsofshareissues Pricingshareissues
Underwritingcosts Priceofsimilarcompanies
StockExchangelistingfees Currentmarketconditions
Issuinghouse,solicitors,auditors,public Futuretradingprospects
relationfees Premiumonlaunch
Printinganddistributioncosts Pricegrowthafterlaunch
Advertising Higherpricemeansfewersharesandless
earningsdilution
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Valueofrights Relativevotingrightsunaffected
Theoreticalex-rightsprice–Issueprice
TERPexample
$ 9.50
4shares@$2.00 8.00 TERP= =$1.90
1share@$1.50 1.50 5
_ ____
5__ 9.50
____
____
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13: Dividendpolicy
TopicList Dividendpolicyisanimportantpartofacompany's
relationswithitsequityshareholders.
Dividendpolicy
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Dividendpolicy
Sufficientfundsavailable Investorswantdividend/capitalgains
Lawondistributableprofits Preferredgearinglevel
Loanagreements
Dividendpolicy Othersourcesoffinance
Fundsforassetreplacement Consistency
Avoidlargefalls/rises
Retainearnings Paydividends
Nopaymenttofinanceproviders Signalofgoodprospects
Enablesdirectorstoinvestwithoutaskingfor Ensuressharepricestability
approvalbyfinanceproviders Shareholderswantregularincome
Avoidsnewshareissueandchangeofcontrol
andissuecosts
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Youngcompany Maturecompany
Zero/lowdividend High,stabledividend
Highgrowth/investmentneeds Lowergrowth
Wantstominimisedebt Ableandwillingtotakeondebt
Scripdividend Sharerepurchase
Isadividendpaymentintheformof Isauseforsurpluscash,increases
newshares,notcash. EPSandincreasesgearing. Itmay
preventatakeoverorenablea
Scripissue quotedcompanytowithdrawfrom
thestockmarket.
Isanissueofnewsharestocurrent
shareholders,byconvertingequity
reserves.
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Notes
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14: Gearingandcapitalstructure
TopicList Thischapterlooksattheeffectsofsourcesoffinanceon
thefinancialpositionandfinancialriskofacompany. It
alsoconsiderstheparticularfinancingneedsand
Gearing problemsofsmallandmedium-sizedentities.
SMEs
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Gearing SMEs
Gearing
Istheamountofdebtfinanceacompanyusesrelativetoitsequityfinance.
Businessconfidence Lenderattitudestoincreased
Inflation
Levelof debtlevels
gearing Shareholderattitudesto
Interestrateexpectations
increaseddebtlevels
Restrictionsinarticles/trustdeeds
Gearingincreasesvariabilityofshareholderearningsandriskoffinancialfailure.
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Gearing SMEs
Smallandmedium-sizedenterprises(SMEs) Fundinggap
Highfailureratesohardtoraise
Havethreemaincharacteristics: externalfinance
Unquotedprivateentities Fewshareholderssohardto
Ownershiprestrictedtoafewindividuals raiseinternalfinance
Notjustmicro-businessesthatexistto Maturitygap
employjustowner
Hardtoobtainmedium
Financingproblems termloansdueto
mismatchingof
maturityofassetsand
liabilities.
Inadequatesecurity
Makingbanksreluctanttolend.
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Gearing SMEs
Sourcesoffinance Equityfinance
Ownerfinancing Ishardtoobtain(equitygap). Majorproblemislackofexit
Overdraftfinancing routeforexternalinvestor.
Bankloans
Tradecredit
Equityfinance
Businessangels
Businessangelfinancing Arewealthyindividualswhoinvestdirectlyinsmall
Venturecapital businesses.
Leasing
Factoring Informalmarket
Supplychainfinance Maybedifficulttoarrange
Crowdfunding Businessangelsgenerallyhaveindustryknowledge
Governmentaid
IncludestheEnterpriseFinanceGuarantee,grantsandEnterpriseCapitalFunds.
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Supplychainfinance
Theuseoffinancialinstruments,practicesandtechnologiestooptimisethemanagementoftheworking
capitalandliquiditytiedupinsupplychainprocessesegreversefactoring. Financingbysellinginvoicesata
smalldiscounttoobtaincashinadvance.
Crowdfunding
Thefundingofaprojectbyraisingmoneyfromalargenumberofpeople.
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Notes
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15: Thecostofcapital
TopicList ThecostofcapitalisusedasadiscountrateinNPV
calculations. Thischapterlooksathowthecostofcapital
iscalculated.
Thecostofcapital
Dividendgrowthmodel
CAPM
Costofdebt
WACC
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Thecostofcapital
Istherateofreturnthattheenterprisemustpaytosatisfytheprovidersoffundsanditreflectstheriskinessof
providingfunds.
Riskfreerateofreturn+
Creditorhierarchy
Premiumforbusinessrisk+
Premiumforfinancialrisk Increasingrisk 1 Creditorswithafixedcharge
COSTOFCAPITAL 2 Creditorswithafloatingcharge
3 Unsecuredcreditors
4 Preferenceshareholders
5 Ordinaryshareholders
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Costofcapitalifconstantdividendspaid Estimatinggrowthrate
D Useformula(Gordon'sgrowthmodel):
k = Examformula
e P
0 g=br Examformula
Where P0 is priceattime0
D isdividend Whererisaccountingreturnoncapitalemployed
ke iscostofequityorpreferencecapital bisproportionofearningsretained
Orhistoricgrowth:
Thegrowthmodel
g=ndividendinyearx –1
D (1 + g) D
k = 0 +g = 1 + g
Examformula dividendinyearx–n
e P P
0 0
Where D0 isdividendattime0
D1 isdividendattime1
g isdividendgrowthrate
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TheCapitalAssetPricingModel(CAPM)
Canbeusedtocalculatethecostofequityandincorporaterisk.
Betafactor(ββ)
Unsystematicrisk Measuresthesystematicriskof
Systematicrisk
asecurityrelativetothemarket.
Itistheaveragefallinthereturn
Specifictothecompany Duetovariationsin onashareeachtimethereisa
Canbereducedor marketactivity
1%fallinthestockmarketasa
eliminatedby Cannotbe whole.
diversification diversifiedaway
Increasingrisk
Beta<1.0 Beta=1.0 Beta>1.0
Share<averagerisk Share=averagerisk Share>averagerisk
Ke <average Ke =average Ke >average
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TheCAPMformula ProblemswithCAPM
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Aftertaxcostofirredeemabledebtcapital Costofredeemabledebt
i(1–T ) Year Cashflow DFa PVa DFb PVb
kdnet = Formulatolearn
P 0 Marketvalue 1 (X) 1 (X)
0
1–n Interestlesstax X X X X
Where kdnetistheafter-taxcostofthedebtcapital n Redemptionvalue X X X X
i istheannualinterestpayment Kd = a+NPVa (b–a)
P0 isthecurrentmarketpriceofthedebt NPVa –NPVb
capitalex-interest
T istherateoftax P0 iscurrentex-dividendordinaryshareprice
gistheexpectedannualgrowthoftheordinary
Costofconvertibledebt shareprice
UsetheIRRmethodasforcostofredeemabledebt, nisthenumberofyearstoconversion
butredemptionvalue=conversionvalue. Risthenumberofsharesreceivedonconversion
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[ ] [ ]
Examformula
Ve Vd
WACC= ke + kd(1–T)
Ve +Vd Ve +Vd
ke iscostofequity Ve ismarketvalueofequity
kd iscostofdebt Vd ismarketvalueofdebt
Usemarketvaluesratherthanbookvaluesunlessmarketvaluesunavailable(unquotedcompany)
AssumptionsofWACC ProblemswithWACC
Projectsmallrelativetocompanyandhassame Newinvestmentsmayhavedifferentbusiness
businessriskascompany risk
WACCreflectscompany'slong-termfuture Newfinancemaychangecapitalstructureand
capitalstructureandcosts perceivedfinancialrisk
Newinvestmentsfinancedbynewfunds Costoffloatingratecapitalnoteasytocalculate
Costofcapitalreflectsmarginalcost
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Notes
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16: Capitalstructure
TopicList Capitalstructuretheorieslookattheimpactofacompany
changingitsgearing.
Gearedbetascanbeusedtoobtainanappropriate
Capitalstructuretheories requiredreturnfromprojectswithdifferingbusinessand
Impactofcostofcapitalon financialrisks.
investments
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Capitalstructure Impactofcostof
theories capitaloninvestments
Isthereanoptimalcapitalstructure?
Traditionaltheory ModiglianiandMiller
Thereisanoptimalcapitalmix atwhichtheweighted Theweightedaveragecostofcapitalis
averagecostofcapitalisminimised. Shareholders notinfluencedbychangesincapital
demandincreasedreturnstocompensateforgreaterrisk structure. Thebenefitsofissuingdebtare
asgearingrises(duetoincreasedfinancialrisk). Athigh counterbalancedbytheincreasedcostof
gearingdebtholdersalsorequirehigherreturns. equity.
Peckingordertheory
Increasing 1 Useinternalfundsifavailable
issue
costs 2 Usedebt
3 Issuenewequity
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Traditionaltheory
keg
Costof keg isthecostofequityinthe
capital gearedcompany
WACC
kd isthecostofdebt
WACC istheweightedaveragecost
kd ofcapital
Po istheoptimalcapitalstructure
whereWACCislowest
0 Po Levelofgearing
Assumptions
Allearningspaidoutasdividends
Earningsandbusinessriskconstant
Noissuecosts
Taxignored
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Capitalstructure Impactofcostof
theories capitaloninvestments
M&M–ignoringtaxation M&M–withcorporatetaxation
Costof Costof
capital capital
Keg Keg
WACC
WACC
Kd Kd
Gearing Gearing
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Capitalstructure Impactofcostof
theories capitaloninvestments
Theloweracompany'sWACC, thehighertheNPVofitsfuturecashflowsandthehigheritsmarket
value.
Costofcapital
Calculateusing
WACC Marginalcostofcapital(usingCAPM)
Projectsmustbesmallrelativetocompany Projecthasadifferentbusinessrisk
Samefinancialriskfromexistingcapital Financeusedtofundinvestmentchangescapital
structure structure
Projecthassamebusinessriskascompany Usegearedbetas
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Capitalstructure Impactofcostof
theories capitaloninvestments
Calculatingamarginalcostofcapital
1 Findacompany'sbetainthenewbusinessarea
2 Ungeartheirbetafortheirdebt,thenregearitforyourcompany'sdebt
3 Usethisproject-specificgearedbetaandCAPMtocalculateanappropriatecostofcapital
Ve Vd (1 − T )
βa = βe + βd Examformula
(Ve + Vd (1 − T)) Ve + Vd (1 − T)
β a =Ungeared(asset)beta Vd =Marketvalueofdebtcapital
β e =Geared(equity)beta Ve =Marketvalueofequity
β d =Betafactorofdebt T=Rateofcorporatetax
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17: Businessvaluations
TopicList Thereareanumberofmethodsofvaluingbusinesses
andacquisitionsareakeyinvestmentdecision.
Ifabusinesspaystoomuchforatarget,itcandamage
Assetvaluation shareholders'wealth.
Income-basedvaluation
Cashflowvaluation
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Rangeofvalues Usesofnetassetvaluationmethod
Max Valuethecashflows orearnings under Asmeasureofsecurityinasharevaluation
newownership Asmeasureofcomparisoninschemeof
Valuethedividends undertheexisting merger
management Asfloorvalueinbusinessthatisupforsale
Min Valuetheassets
Doesn'tvaluethebusinessasagoing
concern
Possiblebasesofvaluation
Problemsinvaluation
Needforprofessionalvaluation
Historic Replacement Realisable Realisationofassets
basis basis basis Contingentliabilities
(unlikelyto (assetused (assetsold/ Marketforassets
berealistic) onongoing business
basis) brokenup)
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Price-earningsratio HavetodecidesuitableP/Eratio.
Factorstoconsider:
Marketvalue Industry
P/Eratio=
EPS Status
Marketvalue=EPS×P/Eratio Marketability
Shareholders
Assetbackingandliquidity
Natureofassets
Showsthe Showsthemarket'sview Gearing
currentprofitability ofthegrowthprospects/risk
ofthecompany ofacompany Earningsyieldvaluationmodel
Maybeaffectedby WhichP/Eratiotouse? Earnings
Marketvalue=
one-offtransactions Adjustdownwardsif Earningsyield
valuinganunquoted
company
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Dividendvaluationmodel Assumptions
Dividendsfromnewprojectsofsamerisktypeas
D existingoperations
P0 =
ke Noincreaseincostofcapital
Perfectinformation
WhereP0 ispriceattime0
Shareholdershavesamemarginalcapitalcost
Disdividend(constant)
Ignoretaxandissueexpenses
ke iscostofequity
Problems
D 0 (1 + g)
P0 =
ke – g Companiesthatdon'tpaydividendsdon'thave
zerovalues
WhereD0 isdividendincurrentyear Needenoughprofitableprojectstomaintain
gisdividendgrowthrate dividends
Dividendpolicylikelytochangeontakeover
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Discountedcashflowsmethod Irredeemabledebt
Valueinvestmentusingexpectedafter-taxcash i i (1 – T )
P0 = or with taxation
flowsofinvestmentandappropriatecostofcapital. kd k dnet
Problems
Redeemabledebt
Difficulttoselectappropriatecostofcapital P0 =(interestearnings× annuityfactor)+
Unreliableestimatesoffuturecashflows (Redemptionvalue× Discountedcashflowfactor)
Notbestmethodforminorityinterestswholack
influenceoncashflows Convertibledebt
P0 =(1+g)n R
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Notes
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18: Marketefficiency
TopicList Sharepricesaredeterminedbythestockmarketand
shouldprovideareasonablyaccuratebusinessvaluation
ifthemarketisatleastsemi-strongformefficient.
Efficientmarkethypothesis
Valuationofshares
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Efficientmarket Valuationof
hypothesis shares
Theefficientmarkethypothesis Weak-formefficiencysuggestspricesreflectall
relevantinformationaboutpastpricemovements
Providesarationaleforexplaininghowshare
andtheirimplications.
pricesreacttonewinformationaboutacompany
andwhenanysuchreactionoccurs
Semistrong-formefficiency suggestspricesare
alsoinfluencedbypubliclyavailableknowledge.
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Efficientmarket Valuationof
hypothesis shares
Fundamentalanalysis Chartists/technicalanalysts
Isbasedonthetheorythatshare Attempttopredictsharepricesby
pricescanbederivedfroman assumingthatpastpricepatterns
analysisoffuturedividends. willberepeated.
Practical
Availabilityandsourcesof considerations Liquidity
information
Istheeaseofdealinginshares.
Efficiencyinamarketrelatesto Largecompanieshavebetter
howquicklyandaccuratelyprices liquidityandgreatermarketability
adjusttonewinformation. thansmallcompanies.
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Efficientmarket Valuationof
hypothesis shares
Practicalconsiderations
Marketimperfectionsandpriceanomalies Marketcapitalisation
Supporttheviewthatirrationalityoftendrivesthe Isthemarketvalueofacompany'sshares
stockmarketegseasonaleffects,short-run multipliedbythenumberofissuedshares. The
overreactions. returnfrominvestinginsmallercompaniesis
greaterinthelongrun.
Behaviouralfinance
Attemptstoexplainthemarketimplicationsofthe
psychologicalfactorsbehindinvestordecisionsand
suggeststhatirrationalinvestorbehaviourmay
causeoverreactionsinprices.
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19: Foreigncurrencyrisk
TopicList Youneedtobeabletoexplaintherisksassociatedwith
exchangeratemovementsandsuggestandcalculate
appropriatehedgingmethods.
Foreigncurrencyrisk
Causesofexchangeratefluctuations
Foreigncurrencyriskmanagement
Derivatives
lOMoARcPSD|5257550
Spotrate Remember!
Istheexchangeratecurrentlyofferedonaparticularcurrency.
Company sells basecurrency LOW
Forwardrate buys basecurrency HIGH
Isanexchangeratesetforcurrenciestobeexchangedata Forexample,ifUKcompanyisbuyingandselling
specifiedfuture date. pounds,selling(offer)pricemaybe1.45$/£,
buying(bid)pricemaybe1.47$/£.
Economicrisk
Istheriskthatthepresentvalueofacompany'sfuture
cashflows mightbereducedbyadverseexchangerate
Translationrisk
movements.
Istheriskthattheorganisationwillmake
Transactionrisk exchangelosseswhentheaccountingresults of
itsforeignbranchesorsubsidiariesaretranslated
Istheriskofadverseexchangeratemovements between intothehomecurrency.
thedatethepriceisagreedandthedatecashis
received/paid,arisingduringnormalinternationaltrade.
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Influencesonexchangerates Fishereffect
Looksattherelationshipbetweeninterestratesandexpected
Interestrates
ratesofinflation
Inflationrates
[1+nominalrate]=[1+realinterestrate][1+inflationrate]
Balanceofpayments
Marketsentiment/speculation
Governmentpolicy
Interestrateparity
Purchasingpowerparity Predictsforeignexchangeratefluctuationsbasedon
differencesininterestratesintwocountries.
Predictsexchangeratefluctuationsbasedon (1 + ic)
differencesininflationratesintwocountries. F0 = S0 × Examformula
(1 + ib)
(1 + hc )
S1 = S 0 × Examformula Where F0 = forwardrate
(1 + hb ) S0 = currentspotrate
hc =inflationrateincountryc ic = interestrateincountryc
hb =inflationrateincountryb ib = interestrateincountryb
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Four-wayequivalence
Linksinterestrates,inflation,theexpectedforwardrateandtheexpectedspotrate.
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Internalmethodsinclude: Matching
Creating$costs
Currencyofinvoice Leading
Invoiceforeign $Revenue Accelerating
customersintheir receipts/payments
currency
Netting Lagging
Against$costsfrom Delaying
otherdivisions payments/receipts
lOMoARcPSD|5257550
Forwardexchangecontract
Afirmandbindingcontractbetweenabankanditscustomer
Forthepurchase/saleofaspecifiedquantityofastatedforeigncurrency
Ataratefixedatthetimethecontractismade
Forperformanceatafuturetimeagreedwhencontractismade
Advantages Disadvantages
Simple Fixeddateagreements
Availableformanycurrencies Ratequotedmaybeunattractive
Normallyavailableformorethanayearahead
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Moneymarkethedging
Futureforeigncurrencypayment Futureforeigncurrencyreceipt
1 Borrownowinhomecurrency 1 Borrownowinforeigncurrency
2 Converthomecurrencyloantoforeigncurrency 2 Convertforeigncurrencyloantohomecurrency
3 Putforeigncurrencyondeposit 3 Puthomecurrencyondeposit
4 Whenhavetomakepayment 4 Whencashreceived
(a) Makepaymentfromdeposit (a) Takecashfromdeposit
(b) Repayhomecurrencyborrowing (b) Repayforeigncurrencyborrowing
Advantages Disadvantages
Maybecheaperifanexporterwithacashflow Moretimeconsumingthanforwardcontract
deficit andnormallynocheaper
Maybecheaperifanimporterwithacashflow
surplus
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Currencyfutures
Arestandardisedcontractsforthesaleorpurchaseatasetfuturedateofasetquantityofcurrency.
Advantagesoffutures Disadvantagesoffutures
FlexibledatesieaSeptemberfuturescanbe Onlyavailableinlargecontractsizes
usedonanydayuptotheendofSeptember Depositneedstobetoppeduponadailybasisif
thecontractisincurringlosses
Currencyoptions
Aretherighttobuy(call)orsell(put)aforeigncurrencyataspecificexchangerateatafuturedate.
Advantagesofoptions Disadvantagesofoptions
Flexibledates(likeafuture) Onlyavailableinlargecontract
Allowacompanytotakeadvantageoffavourablemovementsin sizes
exchangerates. Optionsaretheonlyformofhedgingthatdoesthis
Usefulforuncertaintransactions,canbesoldifneeded Expensive
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20: Interestraterisk
TopicList Interestratefluctuationsareasourceofriskforabusiness
andcanbemanagedusingfinancialinstruments.
Interestraterisk
Riskmanagement
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Interest Risk
raterisk management
Typesofinterestraterisk
Highercostsonexistingloans Ifloansareatavariableorfloatingrate
Highercostsonplannedloans Eveniffixedinterestfinanceisused
Basisrisk Interestbearingliabilitiesandinterestbearingassets
maynotmoveperfectlyinlinewitheachother
Gapexposure
Interestratesoninterestbearingliabilitiesandinterest
bearingassetsmayberevisedatdifferenttimeperiods
Structureofinterestrates
Risk Higherriskborrowerspayhigherrates
Sizeofloan Largerdepositsattracthigherratesthansmallerdeposits
Durationoflending Thelongerthetermofanassettomaturity,thehighertherateofinterestpaid
lOMoARcPSD|5257550
%rate
ofinterest
Normalyieldcurve
Yearstomaturity
Explanationofyieldcurve
Expectationstheory Interestratesareexpectedtoriseinthefuture(ifexpectedtofall,yieldcurve
islesssteepordownwardsloping)
Liquiditypreferencetheory Investorsrequirecompensationforsacrificingliquidityonlong-datedbonds,
hencegenerallyupwardsloping
Marketsegmentationtheory Banksprefershort-datedbondsandpensionfundspreferlong-datedbonds
ie,therearedifferentmarketsandinvestorswillnotswitchsegmentevenif
forecastoffutureinterestrateschanges,henceoftenkinkedordiscontinuous
lOMoARcPSD|5257550
Interest Risk
raterisk management
Internalmethods
Matching Smoothing
Iswhereassetsandliabilitieswithacommon Iswhereacompanykeepsabalancebetweenits
interestratearematched. Usedbybanks. fixedrateandfloatingrateborrowing.
Externalmethods
1 Forwardrateagreements
Hedgeinterestrateriskbyfixingtherateonthefutureborrowing.
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2 Interestratefutures 4 Interestrateoption
Hedgeagainstinterestratemovements. Theterms, Grantsthebuyertherighttodealatanagreedinterest
amountsandperiodsarestandardised. rateatafuturematuritydate.
Ifacompanyneedstohedgeborrowing,
Thefuturespriceswillvarywithchangesin purchaseputoptions.
interestrates
Ifacompanyneedstohedgelending, purchase
Outlaytobuyfuturesislessthanbuyingthe calloptions.
financialinstrument Interestratecap setsaninterestrateceiling.
Interestratefloor setslowerlimittointerest
rates.
3 Interestrateswaps Whichinstrumentstouse?
Consider:
Areagreementswherepartiesexchangeinterest
Cost
ratecommitments.
Flexibility
Expectations
Abilitytobenefitfromfavourableinterestrate
movements
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