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11000 & 21000 are
IMP supports
for Nifty & Banknifty
Corrections Are Temporary,
Growth Is Permanent
August Kranti for Indian companies
Raise Rs. 26,000 crore through QIP
Should one
BSE SME IPO of apply to the Rights issues of
Trekkingtoes.com to rights issue Spencer Retail, Satin
open at a fixed price of of Satin Creditcare, and Minda
Rs. 105 of August 18 Creditcare at Ind. in market
Rs. 60 apiece? this week
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Financial Weekly
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Performance of our last Recommendation
Stocks Reco Date Reco Price Target High After Recomm.
PLASTIBLEND India 1st June 20 160 190-200 Target Achieved
Moldtech Techno 3rd June 20 41 55-60 45.5
KALPATARU POWER 5th June 20 218 245 Exit at 215
MOIL 5th June 20 141 165 Book profit at 154
TALBROS AUTO 5th June 20 101 120-125 Exit at 100
ALBERT DAVID 5th June 20 525 600-625 First kissed
557 and SL click later
IBULLS HSG FIN 10th June 20 152.5 175 263.45
MAHESHWARI LOG 10th June 20 188 225 Stop loss
Rain Industries 18th June 20 76 85 116.9
MIDHANI 18th June 20 210 227-235 230
DBL 24th June 20 293-280 325-350 Made a high of
360 on 14th August
KEI IND 2nd July 20 351 390-400 Made a high of
398 on 13th July
SRIKALHASTI PIPES 3rd July 20 190 225-235 made a high of
224 on 15th July
MEGHMANI ORG 9th July 20 58 70-75 Made a high of
72.4 on 14th August
NOCIL14th July 20 105 120-125 Made a high of
119.3 on 12th August
SHIVA AGRO 24th July 20 28 35 Target achieved
VINATI ORGANICS 5th August 20 985-965 1045-1080 Made a high of 1028
T N PETRO 5th August 20 36 46-50 Made a high of 41.7
on 12th August
PONNI SUGAR 7th August 20 177 220-225 Range bound
Cybertech 13th August 20 56 65-70 Range bound
Man Industries 14th August 20 57 65-70 Made a high of
63.50 in intraday trade only
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING.
Sensex opened the week at 38168, made a high of 38556, low of 37654 and closed the week at
37877. Thus it closed the week with a loss of 163 points. At the same time the Nifty opened the
week at 11270, made a high of 11373, low of 11111 and closed the week at 11178. Thus the Nifty
closed the week with a loss of 36 points.
On the daily charts, both the indices have formed a Big Black body candle after forming neutral
formations for past seven trading sessions. As for the weekly timeframe, both the indices have
formed a small Black body Spinning Top. Thus Candlestick pattern suggests a Bearish bias in the
near term.
The indices are in a Trading Range between Sensex 36900 to 38700 and Nifty 10850-11400.
Cont...
This Weeks Recommendations
Rec. Name CMP SL TGT-1 TGT-2
Buy Lupin 1018 986 1067 1117
Buy L&T 982 964 1009 1038
Buy LindeIndia 734 718 759 785
Buy BajajElec 468 457 485 503
Buy IDFCFirst 30 29 32 34
:::: INDEX LEVELS ::::
S3 S2 S1 CLOSE R1 R2 R3
NIFTY 10751 10882 11035 11178 11341 11490 11614
SENSEX 36416 36950 37415 37877 38556 39087 39563
Financial Weekly
MOVE FORWARD
BPS RAJA (Mumbai) E-mail bpsraja@gmail.com
NO IMPACT FROM COVID 19 : When all are reporting poor June quarter
results Amines & Plasticizers has shown improved results during this period:
The company has reported total income of Rs.76.76 crores during the period ended June 30,
2020 as compared to Rs.108.10 crores during the period ended June 30, 2019.
The company has posted net profit of Rs.7.61 crores for the period ended June 30, 2020 as
against net profit) of Rs.5.93 crores for the period ended June 30, 2019.
The company has reported EPS of Rs.1.38 for the period ended June 30, 2020 as compared to
Cont....
Financial Weekly
BSE: 532960 | NSE: IBVENTURES. Face value Rs.2 CMP Rs169. FII hold-
ings 25%.That shows the confidence of the foreign investors
The share has only recently risen above the share price of buy back that was at Rs150. IB
Venture bought back shares worth Rs1000 Cr. THAT SHOWS THAT THE CO IS CASH RICH
Cont....
Financial Weekly
MARKET SIZZLERS :
In spite of the CO VID 19 pandemonium the June quarter results of Megmani Organics is very
progressive. It has already broken its resistance at Rs. 68 and reached Rs. 73. From here the next
target is 80 and if the environment remains good should be able to reach the three figures by the
time of the next quarter results.
PENNY STOCK PICKS :Following counters are turning up into big speculative
dens:
Ratan India Power: (Rs.3.70) Huge volumes but so far not hitting the
circuits
Vikas Eco System ; Shares are steadily rising and now have touched Rs11. The
co has used the insurance money to rebuild its plant and likely to report better results in the next
quarter.
Financial Weekly
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Financial Weekly
Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) is India's largest Fast Moving Consumer Goods com-
pany with a heritage of over 80 years in India. On any given day, nine out of ten Indian
households use our products to feel good, look good and get more out of life – giving us a
unique opportunity to build a brighter future.
HUL works to create a better future every day and helps people feel good, look good and
get more out of life with brands and services that are good for them and good for others.
With over 35 brands spanning 20 distinct categories such as soaps, detergents, sham-
poos, skin care, toothpastes, deodorants, cosmetics, tea, coffee, packaged foods, ice cream,
and water purifiers, the Company is a part of the everyday life of millions of consumers
across India. Its portfolio includes leading household brands such as Lux, Lifebuoy, Surf
Excel, Rin, Wheel, Fair & Lovely, Pond’s, Vaseline, Lakmé, Dove, Clinic Plus, Sunsilk,
Pepsodent, Closeup, Axe, Brooke Bond, Bru, Knorr, Kissan, Kwality Wall’s and Pureit.
The Company has about 21,000 employees and has sales of INR 38,273 crores (the
financial year 2019-20). HUL is a subsidiary of Unilever, one of the world’s leading suppliers
of Food, Home Care, Personal Care and Refreshment products with sales in over 190 coun-
tries and an annual sales turnover of €52 billion in 2019. Unilever has over 67% shareholding
in HUL.
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Asian Paints
Buy At CMP 1801 For Target Of To 1950 - 2250 ,
Time Frame - 9 Months To 18Months,( Accumulate / Add In SIP Mode)
Asian Paints on January 22 reported a 20.5 percent growth in consolidated profit, in the
December quarter, driven by lower tax cost and good operating performance.
The profit had increased to Rs 779.71 crore from Rs 647.28 crore during the same period
last year. Revenue from operations was at Rs 5,420.28, up 3 percent year-on-year.
The company’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA)
grew by 7.7 percent year-on-year to Rs 1,189.4 crore, and margin expanded 96bps to 21.94
percent in the December quarter – both better than analysts’ estimates
Asian Paints is India’s leading paint company with a group turnover of Rs 193.50 billion.
The group has an enviable reputation in the corporate world for professionalism, fast track
growth, and building shareholder equity. Asian Paints operates in 15 countries and has 26
paint manufacturing facilities in the world servicing consumers in over 60 countries. Besides
Cont....
Jignesh R Mehta
(SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
E-mail : support@kiranjadhav.com
Website : www.KiranJadhav.com
Phone: 9327 11 3344 / 9328 11 33 44
Twitter: @jigneshrmehta
11000 & 21000 are IMP supports for Nifty & Banknifty
Synopsys for the concluded week:
Both our benchmark indices NIFTY and BANKNIFTY started with some up ticks for first 4 days
of the concluded week as even everything from global front seem to be hunky-dory. But the end
day of the week i.e. Friday remained the spoilsport for the week. The selling suddenly creep in to a
monstrous selloff post mid-day of the Friday session. Global cues that were coming from global
front created selling spree. However even with that note our markets did not gave up heavily for the
week but posted some negative returns for the week i.e. -0.32% and -0.34% on NIFTY and
BANKNIFTY respectively. This time MIDCAP and SMALLCAP outperformed their larger counter
parts with +1.74% and +2.02% respectively. PHARMA, METAL and MEDIA were the three sectors
which shine out from the rest with outperformance of +2.71%, +3.95% & +4.78% respectively.
Derivative Data:
WEEKLY OI: The total CALL OI is higher than the PUT OI. Highest CALL OI is coming
from 11300 levels, second highest CALL OI is accumulated at 11500 strike. Highest PUT OI
is accumulated at 11000 levels, second highest is at 10800 levels. For BANKNIFTY the
highest OI is accumulated on CALL SIDE now. Highest CALL OI is at 22500 then at 23000
strikes. PUT OI is highest at 21500 strike an then it is equally distributed at 21000 & 20500
strikes.
MONTHLY OI: On the monthly front the total PUT OI is very higher compare to total CALL
OI which is contrast to the weekly data. Highest CALL OI is at 11500 and 11300 kind of
levels. The PUT OI is very high at 11000 which is suggestive of strong support at 11000
levels. For BANKNIFTY the max CALL OI is at 23000 and then on 22500 strike. Max PUT OI
is at 21500 and then at 21000 strike.
NIFTY Support: Strong at 11000, BANKNIFTY Support: 21500
Nifty Resistance: 11300, BANKNIFY Resistance: Strong at 22500
PCR & FUTURE OI:
PCR is mildly declining on day end closing basis with FUTURE OI increasing. This is
slightly a bearish sign. However the PCR losing streaks if stopped and reversed then it could
change the sentiment to bulls side within no time because decline in PCR is very mild and
therefore this side of the coin also needs to be given thought to.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Forex:
USDINR chart have suggested the gains as anticipated in last week. Hence, rupee is
going to be weak against dollar is still what it looks prima facie. However for the short term
USDINR chart has support at 74.8 and resistance at 75.15. If at all 75.15 is breached, it can
go up to 75.5 kind of levels very quickly.
Crude:
Crude WTI future's chart is still consolidating between a small range of 3250 and 2950
kind of levels. Breach on either side can trigger the quick move towards that side is what we
believe. The consolidation that is happening between the given range is long enough to
create a quick possible move. So far the likeliness of upside move is more and hence we
have to watchful to the upside level of 3250 for now.
Fast Growing Stocks Least Expensive Stocks Best PEGs Income Generators Least Risky
Higesht Expected Revenue The 5 Stocks with the Top 5 Stocks with the least Top 5 Stocks with the Top 5 Stocks With the
growth over the previous year lowest forward P/E price earning to growth ratio highest dividend yield lowest downside risk
Co. Name Revenue Co. Name Lowest Co. Name Earning Investor Earn as Div. for Co. Name Lowest
Growth(%) Forward PE (%) Grwoth Ratio Every Rs.100/- Invested Downside Risk
PI Industries 32 HG Infra 7.54 Dilip Buildcon 0.10 Co. Name Hig.Div. Yield Sanofi India 1.15
HDFC 30 PFIZER 8.25
NTPC 7.75 HG Infra Engg. 0.29 Dr. Reddy’s Lab. 1.21
Dixon Techno 28 SUN TV Network 6.58
Power Grid 8.59 NTPC 0.43 Solar Ind. 1.24
Engineers India 6.14
Granules India 27 Tata Power 9.44 Granules India 0.49 Syngene Int. 1.31
Embassy Office 5.08
HG Engg. 26 Zee Enter 9.77 Escorts 0.49 HUL 1.35
Power Grid 4.71
Financial Weekly
" The announcement by the Prime Minister of Rs.1 lakh crore being invested in
the agriculture sector is indeed much needed. It is critical that we improve the
agricultural productivity and reduce the waste of agricultural commodities in our
country. What is heartening to note is that some of these funds will be used for
building post-harvest technologies, facilities and for the development of ware-
housing infrastructure.
What would be a significant compliment to this would be the restoration of the
input tax credit on food sale. Because that will enable the investments being
made in the supply chain infrastructure to become remunerative, because if those
investments have to provide return based on bank loans then it becomes neces-
sary for the transactions to be recorded and currently the GST regime favours
cash transaction for purchase of agricultural commodities because of the removal
of input tax credit.
It is critical to note that whilst the Government is investing in developing this
infrastructure, the utility of that investment will basically be driven through private
consumption. In order to enable that it becomes critical that the tax on food con-
sumption is rationalised and input tax credit is restored. This could also as a spin-
off free private capital flowing into post-harvest technology and warehousing in-
frastructure development because it will then become critical to record your trans-
action and make sure that the investment which the bank is funding or private
capital is funding is able to secure a return.
We believe this is the first step in the right direction and we look forward to
more such initiatives to make India a strong and radiant economy since 70% of
our population still depends on agriculture for its livelihood. “
Financial Weekly
“This week, our markets started off higher owing to favorable cues from the global peers. Subse-
quently, index slipped into a consolidation mode as the real focus shifts to the mid and small cap
universe. For the first four straight sessions, Nifty gyrated in a very slender range around 11300-
11350. The similar price behavior was witnessed on Friday as well during the first half. However,
all of a sudden, major global markets started correcting sharply which had a rub off effect on our
market as well. Nifty which was merely vacillating in a range of 80-100 points throughout the week,
finally succumbed to the selling pressure and went on to test the 11100 mark. Eventually, due to
modest recovery towards the fag end, Nifty concluded the week tad below 11200, marking more
than a percent loss on Friday.
Friday’s correction was no surprise to us as we have been consistently advocating caution in
our intra-week commentary as well as previous weekly report. Let us first understand why 11300 –
11350 is considered to be a sturdy wall. Firstly, the 78.6% retracement of the entire fall from 12430.50
to 7511.10 comes around it. Secondly, the 100% ‘Price Extension’ of the first up leg (7511.10 -
9889.05) from 8806.75 precisely coincides around 11300-11350. Now, if we take a look at the
daily chart, the ‘Head and Shoulder’ pattern is clearly visible and this is what we mentioned in our
daily commentary. Friday’s low precisely coincides with the neckline level of this pattern. Hence,
going ahead, a breach of 11100 would lead into an immediate correction towards 10975 – 10875.
Here, 10875 would be seen as a key support, because a breach of this would result in a strong
corrective move in the next few days. This was overall a price-wise hypothesis on Nifty; but we
would also like to highlight one time-wise observation as well. On the weekly chart, if we apply
‘Fibonacci Time Series’ from March lows, the current weekly candle ends 6th ‘Time Zone’ and is
entering a new one. Generally, such points are considered a potential reversal zone and hence,
one needs to be a bit cautious going forward as our anticipation may probably turn into a reality
below 11100.
Throughout this week, our benchmark did nothing and the real action was seen in the broader
market. As we all know, when mid and small cap counters start moving, it generally creates a
euphoric situation and this is exactly what we witnessed. Since the MIDCAP 50 was approaching
the ‘200-SMA’ on the weekly chart, we advised caution on Thursday and the index obliged to our
view. To summarize, we would like to mention that even if the market goes through some correc-
tive phase for some time, it will certainly not be as severe as the March one. Hence, a healthy
correction would probably provide better entry points for those who have missed the bus in the last
few months.”
Financial Weekly
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Profitability Ratios:
Profitability ratios are used to evaluate the company's ability to generate income as compared to
its expenses and other cost associated with the generation of income during a particular period.
These ratios convey how well the company is able to perform in terms of generating profits.
Profitability ratios are the most popular ratio used in fundamental analysis of securities as it is
the profits which are not only need for business expansion but are also needed to pay dividends to
shareholders of the company.
SMART IT
By Vijaya Kittu M, GetPaidIndia.com
The author feels that investors need to study sectoral trends from time to time. He is on
WhatsApp at +91 98495 19188
1. Most large banks and finance institutions in US and Europe are in good shape and strong enough to
tackle COVID-19 pandemic - thanks to the Government fiscal and monetary stimulus packages. This
means that their IT spending will be intact. Though there is some turbulence in the spending patterns of
mid-tier banks, the patters are not that worrisome.
2. Garnet projects that IT spending will grow 5-8% as companies focus on pull-forward transformation.
Businesses across the world will use IT services for their core transformations assisted by cloud
adoption and improving online customer experience.
3. Surprisingly, select players from Midcap Indian IT are outperforming by delivering their core expertise
even stronger and able to effectively manage their accounts.
4. A clear visible trend is that clients of IT companies are in pressure but IT vendors are not in pressure.
Also, employment disruptions (such as unemployment) in IT are lower compared to other sectors of
the economy.
5. European businesses are reportedly calling Indian IT companies with queries related to outsourcing.
So many are the calls that large IT companies are strengthening their European presence with strong
leadership. Some recent deals from Europe came to HCL (Ericsson & Volvo), Infosys (ABN Amro)
and TCS (Swiss Financial Services, Rabobank and TrygForslkring). Enterprises need expertise from
IT services to re-imagine supply chain.
6. Media reports citedPravin Rao, COO of Infosys that the IT giant is looking to acquire companies in
$100250millionticketsizerange. The company acquired Fluido and Simplus in the last 12 months. He
said the company will focus on digital services including cloud,data and analytics, cybersecurity, and
design and userexperience.
9. Fundamentals of Select IT Companies:
Company Name Quality Valuation Grade 7. With WFH becoming a new norm
TCS Wonderful Expensive Performer of working, BPOs are considering
Infosys Wonderful Expensive Star migrating to tier-2 and 3 cities so
Tech Mahindra Good Expensive Performer as to take advantage of low cost
NIIT Technologies Good Expensive Star of hiring, real estate and manage-
L&T Infotech Wonderful Expensive Performer able attrition rates.
HCL Technologies Wonderful Expensive Performer 8. Mutual funds increased their ex-
Mphasis Good Expensive Performer posure to IT, along with Pharma,
during the quarter.
SMART
BUY OF THE WEEK
Dark Horse
Dark Horse-1
rupee loan, subscription to equity / debentures and corporate loans mainly to hotel projects,
amusement parks, ropeways, multiplexes, restaurants etc. With a view to diversify in other
related areas, TFCI has expanded the scope of its activities by including financing of infra-
structure projects, real estate projects and manufacturing projects to a limited extent, within
the scope of its activities. It has an equity base of just Rs.80.72 crore that is supported by
reserves of around Rs.672.81 crore. The promoters (LIC, GIC & some foreign funds) hold
26.17%, FPIs & AIFs hold 14.05% while the investing public holds 59.78% stake in the com-
pany. With a share book value of Rs.92.27, its P/BV ratio works out to just 0.46x which is very
attractive. During Q1FY21, it reported PAT of Rs.16.57 crore on higher income of Rs.63.08
crore fetching an EPS of Rs.2.05. Its GNPA reduced from 5.08 percent to 1.91 percent while
net NPA reduced from 2.45 percent to 1.36 percent during this lockdown period which is
outstanding. Currently, the stock trades at a P/E of 4.55x. Its recent high rate was Rs.182.25
which was formed on 12th January 2018. Stock almost corrected 76.80% from recent high.
Investors can accumulate this stock with a stop loss of Rs.34. It may give very good returns in
medium to long term.
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Super Duper recommendations of Smart Buy of the Week (Smart Dark Horse)
Recommended Dt. Stocks Recomm. High after Gain
Price Recomm. (%)
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Financial Weekly
Stock Buzz
Subramanian Mahadevan
dolphincapital@gmail.com
But in any scenario, if both the indices are not match with each other it means it does not confirm
each other, like DJIA gives upward side signal and at same time DJTA is giving downward side
signal
Charles Dow indicate this scenario as its not a confirmation of the new trend begun or its a not
a clear trend.
Hope you all found this article informative, next week we will discuss tenets number 5 - "Vol-
ume Must Confirm the Trend.
Financial Weekly
TRADNICAL STRATEGY
Email: nimesh@nimeshthaker.com, M. 9228237373
NIMESH THAKER, BARODA
Sebi Registered NO. : INH000005874
Bosch : Buy
Buy Range: 13705-13200
Target: 15900-17100 Stop loss : 12600
Allocation: 10% of trading capital
The stock has given break-out of 13800 resistance after consolidation with huge volume indi-
cates strength. I expect stock may test to 15900-17100 in short term hence recommend to buy with
stop-loss below 12600 with on closing basis.
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial
interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable
for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future "
(Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
Golden quote
We are here to add - what we can to life,
Not to get - what we can from life
Financial Weekly
Dilip Davda
e-mail Expert’s Eye
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com
Markets opened on a positive note on Monday, and after moving both ways in a range
Cont....
We marked gap up openings on Tuesday, and market traded in green zone for the day.
At the end of session, NSE Nifty scored 52.35 points to close at 11322.50 and BSE Sensex gained
224.93 points to end the day at 38407.01. COVID vaccine launch by Russia kept global markets
on their toes. On domestic front, Banking counters lead the rally and got support from Oil and Gas,
FMCG, Metal and Mining counters. Profit booking took place at higher prices in pharma counters.
Sugar counters gained on positive reports for the sector. Mid and Small cap select counters zoomed
despite these indices underperformed the benchmarks. Market breadth was positive. FIIs were net
buyers and DIIs were net sellers for the day.
Although we witnessed positive opening for Thursday, marked ended flat but in red
with range bound trades. NSE Nifty marked deficit of mere 7.95 points to close at 11300.45, BSE
Sensex lost just 59.14 points to end the day at 38310.49. Even though Consumer Durables, Capi-
tal Goods, Auto and Power counters gained, profit booking in Pharma and Banking counters kept
market in sliding mode. Mid and Small cap counters rallied and indices outperformed benchmarks.
Market breadth was positive. DIIs were the net sellers while FIIs were net buyers.
After cautious positive openings on Friday, markets moved both ways to finally close
deep in red. NSE Nifty lost 122.05 points to end the day at 11178.40 and BSE Sensex marked
deficit of 433.15 points to close at 37877.34. Thus Nifty and Sensex closed below the sentimental
barriers of 11.2K and 38K respectively raising concern. Metal, Mining and Pharma counters gained
while Auto and Banking counters lost heavily following profit booking and kept market in slippery
mode. Despite Mid and Small cap indices outperformed benchmarks, Market breadth turned nega-
tive. FIIs were (token) net buyers while DIIs were net sellers for the day. .
Dollar continued to be range bound around Rs.74.90 a Dollar. Brent Crude Oil hovered around
44.8$ a barrel for the week. For the ensuing week, while we have around 200+ corporate results,
there will be other global and domestic economic data coupled with Monsoon progress will be
flowing in. This will trigger market sentiment for a while on a stock specific mode. Thus we may
witness a range bound volatile week.
Be Cautious !
- SIP contribution is reducing,
- the Economy is not in good shape,
- some sectors of the economy may take years to revive,
- uncertainties continue to prevail,
- the banking sector is raising funds quickly to strengthen their - balance sheets,
Yet stocks are booming!That is the Stock Market.
If any company reports last quarter results better than the same period last
year, share price rises.Investor logic: "If it can do so much during Covid then one
can very well imagine the potential in post-Covid times."
If any company reports disastrous results, then also the share price rises.Investor
Logic: "Great opportunity to buy, it is going to report much better results in post-
Covid era."
Don't get swayed by the stock movements. Investors are behaving irrationally.
Better you be rational to win.
Rationality wins always!
Happy Investing!
A. K. Asnani
Author | Advisor | Coach | Mentor | Speaker
09893512098
smartasn@gmail.com
(investors are advised to act as per their own conviction. Above are only the
views of the Author)
Financial Weekly
www.smartinvestment.in
Smart Investment Website Index
5,555 hits only 1 Week
Total number of Hits
1,39,45,555
Kuber Bhandar of earnings
Future - Options, Stock - Watch, Funda - Picks,
Technical Shares, Speculative Scrips, Primary Market,
Financial Weekly
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm,
his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested
interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based
on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible
for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
Financial Weekly
Every Sunday Every Wednesday
NIFTY :- For next week NIFTY has strong support around 11110---11065 levels. Break
will take it to 11000-10945 levels. On the upper side NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 11270 levels,
cross over with volume and close above will create short covering at take NIFTY up to 11375--
11435 levels…
Bank Nifty :- For next week BANK NIFTY has strong support around 21460-21370
levels. Break will take it to 21030---20925 levels. On the upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong
hurdle at 21950 levels, cross over with volume and close above will create short covering at take
BANK NIFTY up to 22250---22345 levels…
Cont....
INVESTMENT IDEAS…
CYBERTECH SYSTEMS AND SOFTWARE LTD
(532173 & NSE) (54.40) (Face Value Rs.10)
CyberTech is a CMMI Level 3 company focused on SAP digitalized solutions and nextgeneration spatial
analytics. The Company delivers the benefits of SAP S/4HANA with digital business processes that im-
prove customer experience, provide real-time and predictive insight and increase productivity. The Company's
spatial analytics deliver substantial digitization benefits by integrating maps with enterprise data. CyberTech
is a trusted partner for several global enterprises, helping them with Cloud transformation. The Company
has strategic relationships with Cisco, Microsoft, ESRI and SAP.
It has an equity base of just Rs.27.54 crore that is supported by reserves of around Rs.66.60 crore. The
promoters hold 37.61% while the investing public holds 62.39% stake in the company.
Company has posted robust numbers for Q1FY21. During Q1FY21, Its PAT grew 77.05% to Rs.5.17
crore as against Rs.2.92 crore on 16.19% higher income of Rs.30.36 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.1.88.
During FY20, its PAT zoomed 29.23% to Rs.13.22 crore as against Rs.10.23 crore on 16.60% higher
35.16% stake in the company. Its recent high rate was Rs.38.50 which was formed in January 2018. Stock
almost corrected 79% from recent high. Volume indicates that something is cooking in this counter. Every-
one, whose financial advisor is allowing to trade in this stock for medium to long term can watch with strict
stop loss of 6.50.
Disclosures: At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in
the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family members may make pur-
chases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest
obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer: Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources
believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their
own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or
responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
«kÞ{heMarket
Primary {kfuox - Dilip K. Shah
SME IPOs
The shares of Suratwwala Business Group were listed on BSE SME platform last week.
The BSE SME IPO of Trekkingtoes.com is slated to open on August 18.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Right Issues
Sr Company Issue Open Dt. Issue size Offer price Ratio & Listing Lead Manager Recommedation
Issue Close Dt. (Rs. Cr.) (Rs.) Record Dt.
1. Spencer’s 4-8-2020 1,06,04,563 Eq. Shares 75 2 Shares BSE ICICI Securities
Retail to (Rs. 79.53 Cr.) Per Share for every NSE AVOID
18-8-2020 15 shares
held as on
29-7-2020
2. Satin Creditcare 12-8-2020 1,99,82,667 Eq. Shares 60* 48 Shares BSE Corporate Professional Capital Attractive
to (Rs. 119.29 Cr.) Per Share for every NSE (Apply
26-8-2020 125 Shares more than
helds as on alloted)
5-8-2020
3 Minda Industries 25-8-2020 1,00,00,000 Eq. Shares 250 1 Shares for BSE Next Week
to Per Shares every 27 Shares NSE
8-9-2020 (Rs. 250 Cr.) (F. V. Rs. 2) helds as on
17-8-2020
* Rs. 15 is to be paid on application for the number of shares applied and remaining amount of Rs. 45 Per share will be paid on one or more subsequent
calls as determined by the board
Rights Issues
Five rights issues were open in the market last week of which the issue of Refex Ind.
closed on August 10, that of M&M Financial on August 11, and that of Gateway Distriparks
on August 13. The rights issues of Spencer Retail and Satin Creditcare are currently open.
Spencer Retail
The issue opened own August 4 and will close on August 18. The company is issuing
shares at Rs. 75 apiece. Shareholders are eligible to apply for two shares for every 15
shares held. The company will raise Rs. 79.53 crore by issuing 1.06 crore shares. This
column had published a detailed analysis of this issue last week. The column had advised
investors to avoid the rights issue.
Satin Creditcare
The issue opened on August 12 and will close on August 26. The company plans to raise
Rs. 119.29 crore by issuing over 1.99 crore shares to existing shareholders at Rs. 60 per
share. This is an attractive issue, and shareholders should apply for the maximum eligible
quantity.
Should one apply to the issue of Satin Creditcare?
The company is a Micro Finance company and was earlier known as Satin Leasing &
Finance Limited. The company provides hassle-free and affordable finance to low-income
households. It provides microfinance mainly in rural and semi-rural markets. It has 1,383
branches and 34.6 lakh customers across 23 states. The assets under management are to
the tune of Rs. 8174 crore. Satin Creditcareplans to raise Rs. 119.29 crore by issuing over
1.99 crore shares to existing shareholders at Rs. 60 per share. Shareholders can allow for
Cont...
Financial Weekly
48 shares for every 125 shares held on the record date of August 5. Applicants will be
required to pay Rs. 15 per share along with the application, and the remaining Rs. 45 later.
The issue will close on August 26.
The company's paid-up equity capital is Rs. 52.04 crore, which will go up to Rs. 72.02
crore following the issue. Promoter holding is 30%. Corporate Professional Capital Pvt. Ltd.
is the lead manager of the issue, and Link Intime is the registrar.
Financial Performance
In 2018, the company reported consolidated income of Rs. 1031.24 crore and net profit of
Rs. 74.80 crore. In 2019, the income was Rs. 1445.14 crore and net profit Rs. 201.50 crore.
For financial year 2020, income was Rs. 1503.43 crore, and net profit Rs. 154.47 crore. Book
value of the shares is Rs. 264.03. On a post issued diluted basis, the shares are trading at a
PE multiple of 3.37. The price to book value is 0.34.
The share is trading at Rs. 70 currently. The shares touched a 52-week high of Rs. 300
and low of Rs. 53. The market cap is Rs. 527.55 crore. The EPS is Rs. 21.7.
Recommendation
The company has reported strong growth in turnover in the last three years. However, net
profit fell in the last year. The PE ratio and P/BV are attractive as compared with its peers.
The company is offering shares at a 64% discount to the book value in the rights issue.
Moreover, the offer price of Rs. 60 is at a 12% discount to the current price. Looking at the
improvement in performance of microfinance companies after the lockdown, the rights issue
is a good opportunity. The price of partly paid Right Entitlement (RE) has zoomed 40% to Rs.
18.65.
Minda Industries
This auto equipment manufacturer plans to raise Rs. 250 crore by offering shares at Rs.
250 apiece to existing shareholders. Shareholders can apply for one share for every 27
shares held. The issue will open on August 25 and close on September 8. A detailed analysis
of this rights issue will be published in this column next week.
Financial Weekly
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Eveready (Rs. 142.00) (Code: 531508) :- IndusInd Bank has acquired 7.82% stake
in Eveready by invoking pledged shares following a loan default. According to reports, IndusInd
sold the shares to AnirudhDamani at Rs. 150.05 per share.
Quick Heal (Rs. 126.00) (Code: 539678) :- The company has announced very good
numbers for June quarter. Net profit more than doubled from Rs. 11.89 crore to Rs. 24.69 crore,
while income increased from Rs. 57.6 crore to Rs. 73.46 crore.
Ashok Leyland (Rs. 61.55) (Code: 500477) :- This Hinduja Group company re-
ported weak numbers for June quarter. However, brokerage house CLSA has upgraded the stock
to a 'Buy' with a target price of Rs. 80.
Divi's Labs (Rs. 3093.00) (Code: 532488) :- The company's consolidated profit for
June quarter jumped 81% to Rs. 492 crore, whereas income rose from Rs. 1193 crore to Rs. 1748
crore. The Covid-19 pandemic has had little impact on its operations.
Lemon Tree (Rs 30.00) (Code: 541233) :- The share has been on fire in the last three
days. Experts expect quick recovery in hospitality sector going ahead. MotilalOswal and Kotak
Institutional Equities have given 'Buy' ratings on the stock.
Tata Power (Rs. 54.00) (Code: 500400) :- The company reported 10% rise in a tough
June quarter. Moreover, it plans to merge three subsidiary companies with itself for better opera-
tional efficiencies.
Mindspace Business (Rs. 300.00) (Code: 543217) :- The shares got listed on the
exchanges last week at a 10% premium to the issue price of Rs. 275. Nomura Investment has
bought over 62 lakh shares at Rs. 302.45 apiece, while Capital Income Builder bought more than
51 lakh shares at Rs. 303.44 per share.
Hatsun Agro (Rs. 736.00) (Code: 531531) :- Promoter RG Chandramogan has
increased his stake in the company by buying 1.32 lakh shares from the open market.
Punjab Chemical (Rs. 500.00) (Code: 506618) :- The shares surged 20% on
August 12 after the company's net profit for June quarter jumped 80% to Rs. 11.12 crore.
Tanla Solutions (Rs. 172.00) (Code: 532790) :- The shares are in focus after the
company reported turnaround results in June quarter. It reported a profit of Rs. 78.60 crore as
against a loss of Rs. 89.1 crore last year.
E-Clerk (Rs. 675.00) (Code: 532927) :- The shares hit the upper circuit after the
company reported 30% jump in net profit for June quarter. EBIDTA margin jumped 5.92% for the
quarter.
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may
have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am
recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising
out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI
Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
17-08-2020 Monday
" From 9:30 to 11:30, Nifty will be up. " From11:30 to 14:45, Nifty will do soft side jobbing. "
From 14:45 to 15:30, Nifty will be up.
18-08-2020 Tuesday
" From the beginning, avoid for a few minutes. " Today, volume-based work will be good. "
Presently, Mars is transiting in the Aries sign, thus until 21-2-2021, the market will be in an aggres-
sive pattern. " From where it will open, buy Nifty from there itself. Exit from 10:30 to 11:15. " From
11:22 to 13:33, a W shaped graph will be formed, be ready accordingly. " From 13:33 to 15:00, V-
shaped graph will be formed. So, make the position accordingly. " In the last thirty minutes, it will
be upside timepass.
19-08-2020 Wednesday
" Those of you who are doing long intra-day, they have to be highly careful. Today, the trend will
change three times. Don't be in a hurry from pre-opening to starting. " Sun-Moon-Mercury, all three
are together today. " From 9:45 to 11:45, overall, the larger part will be slightly positive. " From
11:45 to 13:00, overall, the larger part will be slightly negative. " From 13:00 to 13:30, there will be
a temporary bounce back. But by how many points, it is difficult to say. " From 13:30 to 14:30, Nifty
be down. " From 14:30 to 15:30, Asian markets will be somewhat positive. They may have an effect
on Nifty.
20-08-2020 Thursday
" The opening will be okay. " Today and tomorrow the Nifty pattern may be similar. Observe and
then act today. " From 9:30 to 11:15, Nifty will be up. " From 11:15 to 14:40, Nifty will be slightly
down. " From 14:40 to 15:30, Nifty will be up.
21-08-2020 Friday
" It can be called a timepass opening. " Today, there may be more jobbing in Banks Nifty than
Nifty. " (1) Jupiter in its own house, (2) Saturn in its own house, (3) Mars is in its own house, (4) Sun
in its own house, " The strength of all these four planets may be good for personal horoscope but
will be different for Nifty. " Around 10:15 and 11:00, there will be upslot in Nifty. " Around 14:34
there may be temporary down in Nifty. " Now let us talk about intraday, which is as follows - " From
9:30 to 11:00, the "A" group stocks will have a positive effect on Nifty. " From 11:00 to 13:00, it can
be called a very boring time. There will be movement on both sides." From 13:00 to 14:30, Ganesha
is not enjoying this slot much. So go for put side jobbing. " In the last one hour, call side jobbing
may increase.
Financial Weekly
Hexaware Technologies
receives shareholders nod for delisting;
Experts warns of delisting failure if investors turn greedy
Hexaware Technologies received nod from its shareholders for de-listing from the stock
exchanges on August 10th. The voting for the same was open from July 9 till August 8th. HT
Global IT Solutions, the holding company for Baring had offered ?285 per share to purchase
the remaining shares to take its shareholding over 90%, and then go private. Baring PE Asia
currently holds 62.4 percent stake in Hexaware.
Backed by the delisting offer news, the stock of Hexaware has gone up by 53 per cent to
Rs 400 since June 4th as against the overall IT index which has gained 24 per cent and NSE
bellwether NIFY by 13 per cent.
According to Dinker Shanbhag, Chief Dealer at Lotus Global Equities Pvt Ltd: “The surge
in the stock price of Hexaware is not based on fundamentals and investors need to be
cautious. Market participants has to be cognizant to the fact that the promoter of Hexaware
is a Private Equity fund and not a MNC promoter. PE funds are not emotionally connected
with any company and they have a certain life-cycle for an investment with any company.
For them value pricing is key, they may just not accept the discovered price if they don’t see
value at this level. Hexaware may go the INEOS way of failed delisting offer”.
The stock of INEOS dipped 40 per cent since its delisting offer failed as the discovered
price was Rs 1,100 as against the indicative offer price of Rs 480. The company even
refused to put up a counter offer. The stock had gained from Rs 389to Rs888 on speculative
buying, during the offer period.
The report from Goldman Sachs following Q2 results states that the recent rally in Hexaware
Technologies stock price is influenced more by expected outcome of shareholder ballot
results than its earning fundamentals. The US headquartered research house has given a
sell call on Hexaware with a 12-month target price of Rs 296.
Meanwhile, HDFC Securities has maintained its reduced stand on Hexaware with a target
price of Rs 360, following the announcement of company’s Q2 results on July 28th, 2020.
According to the domestic research house, the risk & negatives includes: weakness in travel
& transportation and manufacturing & consumer verticals, lower discretionary spend and
supply side factors can continue to impact application transformation management service-
line and BPS service-line respectively.
Financial Weekly
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