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CHN Quarterly Newsletter Fall 2015

Climate History News


Newsletter of the Climate History Network

A network of interdisciplinary scholars


studying past climate change

Past Present Future

Conferences News & Updates Upcoming Events


ICHG 2015 London Report Letter from the Founders PAGES
ESEH 2015 Versailles Report Climate History Podcast Crisis of the 14th Century
Workshop Reports Latin American Climate History ASEH
Best of the Web
Recent Publications Calls for Proposals
Research Highlights: Proxy Featured Article ICHST
Climate Reconstruction Whatever Happened to the Global
Documentary-Based Climate Warming “Pause?”
Reconstruction and Impacts
Calls for Abstracts
Northeastern Naturalist
Proxy-Based Reconstruction of
Historical Times

Climate History News is a quarterly newsletter distributed to


members of the CHN. If you would like to make a
contribution to future issues, please email our newsletter
editor at njcunigan@gmail.com.
Fall 2015

Letter from the Founders


Here is the first edition of our new quarterly newsletter for Climate History
Network members and listserv subscribers. We’re very grateful for the hard
work and technical skills of Nicholas Cunigan, a PhD candidate at the
University of Kansas and our newsletter editor.

We've come a long way with this network and webpage since we first came up
with the idea more than five years ago. This year alone, we’ve debuted a
listserv, a podcast, and now this newsletter. We’ve sought closer links with the
sciences, and we’ve collaborated with our members at meetings in Versailles
and London. As the field of climate history grows and develops, the Climate Dagomar Degroot
History Network will continue to connect scholars, plan meetings, and
facilitate collaboration. Along the way, we’ll keep teachers and researchers up
to date with the latest news and publications in climate history.

But we can't do it all ourselves. Please share you thoughts, ideas, news, and
announcements through the listserv or with us. In particular, we'd like to hear
about new projects, meetings, and publications you want to share with our
community. Of course, we're always looking for volunteers to write about
recent events and research for this newsletter and the website. We’d also
welcome your assistance as we expand and edit our bibliographic database of
over one thousand articles and books. You can find it at:
https://www.zotero.org/groups/historical_climatology_network_bibliographi
cal_project
Sam White
Enjoy the newsletter, and please stay in touch!

Sam White and Dagomar Degroot

Climate History
Podcast
Dagomar Degroot has launched our new
Climate History Podcast by interviewing
Geoffrey Parker, author of Global Crisis: War,
Climate Change and Catastrophe in the
Seventeenth Century. If you have iTunes, you
can now subscribe to our podcast series.
Every few months, we will add new interviews
with the most interesting people in climate
change research, journalism, and
Subscribe now on iTunes policymaking, always with an eye to how we
or visit can use the past to enrich our understanding of
http://bit.ly/1J0tkJs the2 present and future.
Fall 2015

Latin American Climate Upcoming Events


History: Invitation to
Past Global Changes
Research & Publish For more information about PAGES-
By: Katherinne Mora, National University of sponsored events visit:
Colombia http://www.pages-igbp.org
Antarctica2k 2015 Meeting
Climate history is growing in Latin America, as 3-4 September 2015
researchers, NGOs, and public institutions have Venice, Italy
shown growing interest. (We include several
examples of Latin American climate history in 1st Ocean2k Workshop
the new publications list in this newletter.) 6-8 October 2015
However, it remains a small field, and most of the Barcelona, Spain
research and publications are concentrated in
Mexico, Peru, Argentina and Chile. As an Aus2k: Australasian Paleoclimate
indicator, in the last meeting of SOLCHA (the 27-29 October 2015
Spanish acronym for Latin American and Auckland, New Zealand
Caribbean Society of Environmental History),
held in October 2014 in Quilmes (Argentina),
only one panel was dedicated to climate history; The Crisis of the 14th Century
and in that panel, only two of five presenters
spoke about pre-instrumental periods. We For more information visit:
encourage other researchers to include in their http://bit.ly/1KQe4k0
agendas the almost unexplored countries of
24-26 February 2016
Central and South America. These regions are German Historical Institute
directly affected by ENSO, and proxies from the Rome, Italy
Andes Mountains could help us reconstruct the
Little Ice Age. We also invite more researchers
to publish in journals of Latin American history, ASEH
especially in Historia Ambiental Latinoamericana
For more information visit: aseh.net
y Caribeña (HALAC) published by SOLCHA since
2010. For more information please visit: 30 March – 3 April 2016
http://revistas.unicentro.br/index.php/halac Seattle, Washington

3
Fall 2015

Calls for Proposals


International Congress of History of
Science, and Technology (ICHST)
The 25th International Congress of History of
Science, and Technology (ICHST) will be held in
the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, from 23 to 29
July 2017. The call for symposia will begin on 1
September 2015, followed by the call for
papers. For more information, see the website
http://www.ichst2017.sbhc.org.br. (NB: During
discussions at the ICHG and ESEH, we identified
this as a good venue for the next general
meeting of the Climate History Network: we’ll be
in touch with plans to coordinate more panel and
paper proposals.)

Calls for Abstracts


Winter Ecology in Northeastern
Naturalist

Thomas Wickman is pleased to announce an American Northeast. The call for abstracts,
opportunity for environmental historians, historians description of the special issue, and online
of science, or historical climatologists to contribute submission form can be found online
research articles to a special issue of Northeastern at http://commons.trincoll.edu/winterecology/.
Naturalist dedicated to the topic of winter ecology.
The mission of the special issue is three-fold: to Abstracts are due by 1 October 20 (invitations to
highlight the region’s winter ecology in general, to submit manuscript made by 15 October 2015).
provide a venue for studies stemming from the Manuscript deadline: 15 February 2016 with a
historically severe winter of 2014-15, and to targeted publication date of January 2017. You can
understand winter ecology through the lens of contact Thomas Wickman at
history. Historical articles may include, but are not Thomas.wickman@trincoll.edu with any additional
limited to, case studies of severe winters, analyses of questions.
changing winter landscapes and waterways over
longer periods of time, and critical interpretations of
the evolution of the field of winter ecology in the

4
Fall 2015

Best of the Web


September 2015 Mammoths Died Out Because of Sudden Climate
Repeat Photography of Alaskan Glaciers. USGS. Change. Discover News.
http://www.usgs.gov/climate_landuse/glaciers/repeat_photog http://news.discovery.com/earth/global-warming/mammoths-
raphy.asp died-out-because-of-sudden-climate-change-150725.htm

From Katrina, an “Amazing” Decade of Climate Gulf Stream Slowdown Linked with European
Research. Climate Central. Cooling. Reporting Climate Science.
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/how-katrina- http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news-
changed-climate-research-19386 stories/article/gulf-stream-slowdown-linked-with-sudden-
european-cooling.html
Here’s What Happens When You Try to Replicate
Climate Contrarian Papers. The Guardian. Medievalist Helps Scientists Rewrite Climate
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate- Records. Medievalists.net.
consensus-97-per-cent/2015/aug/25/heres-what- http://www.medievalists.net/2015/07/09/medievalist-helps-
happens-when-you-try-to-replicate-climate-contrarian- scientists-rewrite-climate-records
papers
July/June 2015
Chinese Cave Inscriptions Tell Woeful Tale of
Drought. EOS. Global Warming Causing Great Loss of Bumblebee
https://eos.org/articles/chinese-cave-inscriptions-tell- Habitat. Sci-News.
woeful-tale-of-drought http://www.sci-news.com/biology/science-global-
warming-loss-bumblebee-habitat-03004.html
Greenhouse Gases Caused Glacial Retreat in Last
Ice Age. Reporting Climate Science. Sea Level Could Rise at Least 6 Meters. Scientific
http://www.reportingclimatescience.com/news- American.
stories/article/greenhouse-gases-caused-glacial- http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/sea-level-
retreat-in-last-ice-age.html could-rise-at-least-6-meters

California Drought: Climate Change Plays a Role, Heat is Being Stored Beneath the Ocean Surface.
Study Says. But How Big? LA Times. NASA Earth Observatory.
http://www.latimes.com/science/la-sci-climate-change- http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/IOTD/view.php?id=86
drought-20150820-story.html 184&src=eorss-iotd
Study Finds Sudden Shift in “Forcing” Led to
August 2015 Demise of Laurentide Ice Sheet. OSU News.
When the End of Human Civilization Is Your Day http://oregonstate.edu/ua/ncs/archives/2015/jun/study-
Job. Esquire Magazine. finds-sudden-shift-“forcing”-led-demise-laurentide-ice-
http://www.esquire.com/news-politics/a36228/ballad- sheet
of-the-sad-climatologists-0815 Thawing Arctic Carbon Threatens 'Runaway' Global
Warming. The Ecologist.
Fossil Fuels May Bring Major Changes to Carbon http://www.theecologist.org/News/news_round_up/2869575/t
Dating. Climate Central. hawing_arctic_carbon_threatens_runaway_global_warming.ht
http://www.climatecentral.org/news/fossil-fuels-major- ml
changes-radiocarbon-19288 Because There Are No Spare Earths. NASA Climate
Change.
"Carbon Sink" Detected Underneath World's http://climate.nasa.gov/blog/2295
Deserts. AGU Newsroom.
http://news.agu.org/press-release/carbon-sink- What's Really Warming the World? Bloomberg
detected-underneath-worlds-deserts Business.
http://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2015-whats-warming-
the-world

5
Fall 2015

Conference Reports panels has proved a great success. Nearly every


time slot of this conference has included a
By: Andrea Williams, Colorado State University climate history panel, and the panels have been
well attended by the CHN community. Likewise,
CHN Open Meeting at ICHG 2015 this CHN meeting was successful in drawing a
good crowd, and publicizing it clearly helped.
The Climate History Network held an open
meeting over lunch at the International In addition, the CHN organizers recently
Conference of Historical Geographers (ICHG) on surveyed members about their wishes and ideas
July 6, 2015. Approximately 37 people were for the network’s future, and Sam discussed the
present. Sam White reported briefly on the results of that survey. Members indicated that
network’s activities, proposed a few areas of they particularly appreciated CHN’s
focus for feedback, and moderated the bibliographic and data resources as well as its
discussion. potential for networking and collaboration
among members. Based on these results, Sam
suggested building on the current network as it
stands, rather than trying to construct a more
formal society at this time.

Feedback Target Areas

At the meeting, Sam asked for feedback from


those present in a few specific areas: 1) creating
and maintaining a listserv, 2) whether to meet at
an established conference or establish our own,
3) whether to make the network more policy
relevant (and if so, how), 4) how to reach and
engage a more global membership, 5) funding
for and through the network, and 6) expansion of
the network’s bibliographic research database.

1. Listserv: Those in attendance strongly


supported the creation of a listserv, making a few
key points:

▪ A listserv provides a way to reach


Climate History Network Activities members who may forget or be too busy
to check the website for updates
Sam described the network’s initiative to target
ICHG by coordinating a number of panels in ▪ The listserv is a way to distribute the
climate history and by organizing the Climate newsletter that CHN organizers are
History Network meeting and listing it on the working to establish
conference program. The effort to coordinate ▪ It can be used to alert members of jobs,

6
Fall 2015

workshops and publications, and provide a We concluded the meeting by encouraging


vehicle for communication among members those present to be active, engaged participants
in the development and future of the Climate
▪ Members of ICHM (historical meteorology) History Network. The organizers, Sam and
present at the meeting were receptive to the Dagomar, need help in order to sustain and
idea of opening up their established listserv extend the reach of CHN. Its value and success
to CHN depend on active, continued support from its
2. Conference Planning: We talked extensively members.
about this issue. Those present at the meeting
expressed two distinct perspectives on
CHN Open Discussion at ESEH 2015
conferences, with some advocating for the On July 1, 2015, the Climate History Network met
establishment of an independent conference and over lunch in Versailles, France, in conjunction
others preferring the idea of coordinating panels with the European Society for Environmental
and meetings at an established conference, as CHN History (ESEH) biennial conference. Seven
did this year at ICHG. Both sides stressed the members of the network attended this informal
importance of keeping conferences affordable for event, including organizers Dagomar Degroot
attendees. A third idea proposed that CHN might and Sam White. We focused on the following
develop 1-2 days of climate history / historical issues: recruitment and expanding the network,
climatology sessions as an appendix to an existing conferences and other forms of collaboration,
conference. This option could be a way to reconcile administrative tasks, and funding.
the two perspectives by incorporating many
positive aspects of both. The upcoming European
Geophysical Union (EGU) Conference in Vienna
was identified as a possible target.

3. and 4. were not discussed in detail.

5. Funding: We briefly discussed a few potential


awards and funding possibilities that CHN might
provide, such as an annual article award and
graduate student travel support for conferences
and workshops. Such initiatives would require CHN
to gain non-profit status and seek grants, donations,
and other financial resources.

6. Bibliographic Database: Sam encouraged


members to share sources and news with him so
that we can maintain useful and up-to-date
resources on the CHN website. Our Zotero
database already has over 1,000 publications, but
the field is growing fast!

7
Fall 2015

Recruitment and Expanding Membership: to take on these and other administrative tasks as
a way to get more involved in the academic
We would like to expand the Climate History community and gain valuable (and marketable)
Network’s global reach by recruiting members experience.
from beyond the Climate History and
Environmental History community. Indeed, the Funding:
network aims to provide a useful resource for
anyone whose research can be enriched by We discussed potential sources of funding for
historical climate data. In the meeting, members CHN initiatives as well as using the network to
suggested several ways to broaden the network, advertise and facilitate access to funding sources
including: increased collaboration with the for climate history research. The organizers are
International Commission on the History of currently targeting a few grant opportunities for
Meteorology, encouraging current members to the network, and they are seeking input into how
recruit colleagues, bolstering the network’s potential funding might be used. The CHN
presence at conferences in relevant areas of website currently provides links to relevant
history and science, and structuring and enriching fellowship and grant opportunities, but we would
that presence through the facilitation of panels, like to expand this list and keep it current by
member meetings, forums, and workshops. encouraging members to share opportunities as
they arise.
Conferences and Collaboration:
We thank those present for a great meeting. If
The CHN organizers are open to ideas for you were not able to attend either the ESEH
community expression, collaboration, and conference or ICHG conference, but have
exchange. Based on our discussion, it seems most suggestions for how we can continue to develop
practical at this point for the Climate History our network, feel free to contact Dagomar or
Network to work through established conferences, Sam.
rather than organizing an independent conference.
We discussed the idea of organizing a web-based,
video conference event or forum, which is
Workshop Reports
appealing because of its low cost and the potential Famines During the Little Ice Age
for recording sessions and sharing them via the
CHN website. The organizers of the workshop “Famines during
the Little Ice Age,” held in Bielefeld in February,
Administrative Tasks: have posted a report online at:
http://www.hsozkult.de/conferencereport/id/ta
We hope to begin regular publication of a Climate
gungsberichte-5939. The meeting, which
History Network e-newsletter, which will be sent to
brought together presentations from more than a
members and posted on the website. We also plan
dozen geographers, historians and
to establish and maintain a listserv (possibly
climatologists, focused on advancing
through H-Net) that will allow us to better manage
interdisciplinary research in medieval and early
and reach members. At the meeting, the organizers
modern European climate reconstruction, the
encouraged graduate students and other members
causes and consequences of famine, and human

8
Fall 2015

perceptions and adaptations to climate change and Several presentations drew on recent and ongoing
extreme weather. studies of Anatolian lake sediments. Samantha
Allcock examined the long-term vegetation and
Climate and Society in Byzantine and climate history around Nar Lake, concluding that
climate could have been one of several drivers of
Ottoman Anatolia, 300-1900CE regional land use and population change
particularly during the 7th-8th centuries AD. Neil
Towards understanding the impact of climate on
Roberts demonstrated evidence from oxygen
complex societies of the pre-industrial era, 1-3
isotope ratios in annually varved lake sediments for
May 2015
major droughts during the last several centuries in
Anatolia, including the late 16th-century drought
Building on the 2013 meeting Climate in Byzantine
described in Climate of Rebellion. Warren Eastwood
Anatolia, Prof. John Haldon of Princeton University
and Çetin Şenkul presented ongoing research
convened a group of some two dozen researchers
comparing Ottoman cadastral surveys to cereal
in history, archaeology, environmental modeling,
pollen counts in annually varved lake sediments,
and climate science for a second three-day
providing a way to test the reliability of those
workshop. The meeting emphasized the sharing of
records and to fill in gaps in written evidence of
information and perspectives from diverse fields in
land use. Sena Akçer-Ön discussed two studies
order to produce more effective multi-disciplinary
analyzing the isotopic record and geomorphology
research. In particular, participants tried to work
of Küçükçekmece Lagoon in Istanbul and Lake Bafa
out how climatology and environmental sciences
in southwestern Turkey. One presetation, by Sturt
could best present their findings to make them
Manning, discussed tree-ring studies in different
useful for historians and archaeologists, and vice
regions of Anatolia, emphasizing the value of
versa. While focused on climate in Anatolia, the
dendro data for precise high-resolution climate
workshop also brought in perspectives from recent
reconstructions.
archaeological work on climate and land use early
imperial China (Arlene Rosen) and an ongoing
Another group of presenters discussed recent and
project examining precipitation changes,
ongoing archaeological work that could shed light
vegetation history, and the rise of the Mongol
on land use and climate change impacts in Late
Empire (Nicola Di Cosmo, Hanqin Tian, Shufen
Antique and Byzantine Anatolia. These included
Pan). Additional presentations examined the
findings from an archaeological investigation of
relationship among climate and livestock diseases
Pontus during the 1st-8th centuries AD (Owen
in medieval Europe (Tim Newfield) and the history
Doonan), the excavation of mid-late Byzantine Çadır
of earthquakes in the Byzantine Empire (Lee
Höyük (Marica Cassis), and a recent dissertation on
Mordechai).
the architecture of Late Antique and Byzantine
urban water supplies systems (Jordan Pickett).
Presenters examined climate and human history in
Tying together many of the themes of the workshop,
Anatolia from a range of perspectives. In the first
Adam Izdebski, Elena Xoplaki, and Dominik
session, Deniz Bozkurt explained regional climate
Fleitmann presented on their recent work leading
processes and large-scale forcing drawing on
an multidisciplinary team of historians and climate
instrumental weather data and climate models; and
scientists to reconstruct and model climatic changes
Sam White discussed the findings of his previous
and impacts in Anatolia during the Medieval
book, The Climate of Rebellion in the Early Modern
Climate Anomaly. To close the meeting, Prof.
Ottoman Empire (Cambridge, 2011), as well as
Izdebski discussed the lessons learned from this
more recent studies in Ottoman climate history and
project in forging successful interdisciplinary
what implications they might have for the study of research collaborations and publications.
climate in the Byzantine Empire.

9
Fall 2015

Whatever Happened to the Global Warming


“Pause?”

By: Dagomar Degroot, Georgetown University temperature statistics from the years 1880 to 1940.
It also makes minor adjustments to temperature
reconstructions of the last twenty years. In fact,
using their new data, the NOAA scientists conclude
that global temperatures have increased steady
since 1950. This is a major finding that contradicts
the popular idea of a “pause” or “hiatus” in recent
warming.

According to climatologist Gavin Schmidt, director


of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies, “the fact
that such small changes to the analysis make the
difference between a hiatus or not . . . underlines
how fragile a concept [the pause] was in the first
place.” So how did that pause become such an
influential idea? Given the forces behind record-
setting temperatures this year, it is not surprising
that the answer must begin with another major El
It is only September, but, absent a massive volcanic Niño, eighteen years ago.
eruption or asteroid impact, 2015 will be, by far,
the hottest year on the instrumental record. The
culprit is a massive El Niño that is compounding the
warming effects of rising greenhouse gas
emissions. This year’s scorching heat will mean that
the three hottest years on record will have
occurred within the same five-year stretch: in 2010,
2014, and 2015.

In June, scientists with the National Oceanographic


and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) published
a major article that measures the rate of global
warming in light of this recent heat. The article uses El Ninos compared. Source: NASA JPL, Bay Area
a suite of new sources on land and across the News Group
oceans to provide a comprehensive temperature
reconstruction from 1880 to the present. Many of From 1997 to 1998, that record-breaking El Niño
these sources provide meteorological data of slowly uncoiled across the tropical Pacific. In an El
unprecedented accuracy. The new temperature Niño, trade winds that normally blow from east to
reconstruction includes especially substantial west slow down, lowering the layer of water that
corrections to previous global sea surface

10
Fall 2015

divides the upper from the lower ocean. That, in chlorofluorocarbons to the Ozone Hole. They lost
turn, reduces the efficiency of cool, deep-water those battles, but found greater success in their
upwelling. Warmer sea surface temperatures in the fight against climate science. At every step, they
equatorial Pacific extend far to the east, and have deployed the weapon of doubt. If the science
reshape atmospheric circulation around the world. that supports regulation can be made to sound
In 1998, global temperatures rose sharply. uncertain, it can hardly serve as a foundation for
Temperature records are usually set by a government policy.
hundredth of a degree Celsius, but temperatures in
1998 exceeded the previous high-water mark by a Already in 2006, palaeontologist Robert Carter, for
tenth of a degree. It was the meteorological instance, insisted that temperatures had remained
equivalent of Usain Bolt’s performance at the 2008 steady for eight years, since 1998. In his telling, the
Olympics. science behind global warming appeared anything
but settled. Carter, a well-known denier of
anthropogenic warming, co-authored a notorious
paper in 2009, which argued that El Niño events
account for most of the changes in global
temperature over the past fifty years. Three years
later, Carter admitted that he received a monthly
salary from the Heartland Institute, an influential
organization committed to denying global
warming. Regardless, Carter made an error that is
also committed by better-intentioned sceptics of
anthropogenic climate change. He identified a
The mechanism by which El Nino affects the world's climatic trend by cherry picking a past date - an
climate. "Atmospheric bridge" by Giorgiogp2 - abnormally warm year - that allowed him to argue
Own work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via for recent cooling.
Commons. https://goo.gl/EMTxYU Even many scientists who agree with the scholarly
consensus on global warming believed that the
Looking back in 2001, the Intergovernmental Panel steady rise in Earth’s temperature had slowed - but
on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that the 1998 not stopped - since 1998. As reported on this
spike in Earth’s temperature was an “extreme website, most of their research tied this supposed
event,” even in the context of human-caused slowdown to one of two sets of variables. Some
climate change. Inevitably, global temperatures scientists argued that entirely natural causes had
cooled in the immediate wake of the great El Niño, temporarily reduced the amount of solar radiation
although they remained much higher than the reaching the Earth. For example, as I reported on
twentieth-century average. Still, to some, the this website, one influential article blamed a recent
warnings of climate scientists had suddenly spate of small volcanic eruptions. Other scientists
become incompatible with the recent instrumental more persuasively concluded that different parts of
record. The idea of the “pause” was born. the climate system appeared to absorb more heat
than had been thought possible. The oceans were
Global warming sceptics quickly sought to widely cited as the destination for warmth that
popularize the concept. Naomi Oreskes and Eric might otherwise have reached our atmosphere.
Conway recently chronicled how some activist
scientists have, for decades, derailed the public Nevertheless, the so-called “pause” in global
discourse on science that appears to challenge the warming barely registered in the public
unfettered workings of the free market. They tried consciousness until early 2013. In January of that
to undermine, for example, science that links year, an article by lead author James Hansen –
cigarette smoke to lung cancer, and perhaps the most responsible and vocal voice in

11
Fall 2015

global warming scholarship – began with alarming have continued to soar.” The article did not deny
news. In 2012, it announced, temperatures the the existence of warming, and concluded that the
world over had been 0.56 degrees Celsius warmer recent pause was “hardly reassuring.”
than the 1951-1980 base average. This was in spite Nevertheless, it suggested that Earth might be less
of a La Niña that had chilled the waters of the sensitive to our carbon emissions than scientists
equatorial Pacific, and therefore had the opposite had previously believed. The Hansen article,
effect on global temperatures of an El Niño. remember, had reached entirely different
conclusions.
Unfortunately, Hansen’s report contained a
misleading and ultimately disastrous headline. The Economist article provided an opening for
Under “Global Warming Standstill,” the report sceptics of climate change to push the narrative of
noted that the five-year running mean of global the unexplained pause. Meanwhile, as chronicled
temperature “has been flat for the past decade,” by Chris Mooney, the IPCC prepared to release
despite a steady (if slowing) increase in its fifth assessment report. In August, a leaked draft
greenhouse gas emissions. The report speculated was released to the press. It contained descriptions
about possible reasons, but concluded that the of the pause that, when read in isolation, appeared
most likely culprit was probably El Niño conditions to confirm the Economist article. According to one
early in the period, followed by La Niña episodes in of the report’s lead authors, Dennis Hartmann of the
more recent years. In years less troubled by these University of Washington, public pressure
conditions, temperatures continued to rise at the convinced the scientists that they “had to say
rate they had in the previous three decades. something” about the pause. They were hesitant,
because the fifteen years between 1998 and 2013
were too short to reliably reflect a climatic trend.
Yet before they had finalized their interpretation of
the pause, it reached journalists who were only too
eager to sacrifice scientific accuracy for
sensationalistic headlines.

Not all proponents of the pause were scientifically


illiterate, or associated with global warming denial.
For example, in September 2013, Berkeley
physicist and converted climate sceptic Richard
Muller announced that the “global warming crowd
has a problem,” because, “despite a steady
escalation of greenhouse gas emissions into the
atmosphere, the planet’s average surface
temperature has remained pretty much the same
for the last 15 years.” Muller argued that he had
Google searches for "Global Warming Pause," as of more or less predicated this pause back in 2004. It
September 30th, 2013. Source: Google was in a critique of the so-called “hockey stick”
Trends/Maggie Severns. graph that famously illustrated global warming
(and has been recently vindicated). In 2004, Muller
In March, an influential piece in The warned that, were the graph taken seriously, many
Economist misinterpreted this part of Hansen’s would see inevitable, natural variations in
article. It began by declaring that, “over the past temperature as undermining the case for
15 years, air temperatures at the Earth’s surface anthropogenic climate change. In 2013, it seemed
have been flat while greenhouse-gas emissions that Muller might be right.

12
Fall 2015

was at the beginning of a so-called “big hiatus” in


Then, in late September, the IPCC finally released warming that chilled the world between 1943 and
its completed fifth assessment report. As 1975. If sceptics should not cherry pick the start
I described on this website, the report date of their temperature series by choosing an
acknowledged a slight slowdown in the rate of abnormally warm year, climatologists should not
global warming from 1998 to 2012. However, it do the same by selecting a very cold year.
weakened the previous draft’s description of a
“pause” or “hiatus.” It confirmed that every decade Interestingly, the big hiatus, which is well
in the past thirty years had been successively supported by robust science, was probably also
warmer than any previously recorded decade. As I caused by human activity. Aerosols released into
wrote in 2013, it also explained that “the presence the atmosphere by human pollution probably
of short-term fluctuations in climate does not throw cooled the world, until clean air acts were passed
into doubt the existence of long-term climatic in the 1970s. In the past, anthropogenic climate
trends.” As one might expect, many sceptics met change could warm or cool the globe, and involve
the final report with derision. many kinds of human activity.

Overall, Trenberth supports the major findings of


the NOAA scientists. He argues that there may have
been a slight slowdown – not a pause – in the rate
of global warming, driven at least partially by
natural variation in, for example, the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation (which includes El Niño and La
El Niña). Yet he agrees that temperatures are rising
quickly once again, and that the slowdown has
probably ended.

Earlier this year, record-breaking wildfires spread


across North America, while heat waves killed
thousands in Europe and India. Sea levels, it seems,
are warming and rising much faster than even the
IPCC had predicated. The costs of climate change
Previous NOAA temperature reconstructions in red inaction have become increasingly clear. Carbon
(for land surface temperatures) and blue (for sea emissions have stagnated or declined in many
surface temperatures). Corrections in the new developed countries, yet it is far from enough.
article are in black. Without drastic action, the weather of 2015 is only a
precursor of things to come.
Fast forward to the present, and 2015 is set to be
another meteorological equivalent of Usain Bolt's Sources:
Olympic run. As in 1998, it looks like the previous - Hansen, J., M. Sato, and R. Ruedy. "Global Temperature
Update Through 2015." 15 January, 2013. Available
record temperature will be broken by a tenth of a at: http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2013/20130115_
degree Celsius. Perhaps the narrative of the pause Temperature2012.pdf
is now on its deathbed. Yet the idea of a recent - Karl, Thomas R. et al. "Possible artifacts of data biases in the
slowdown in warming persists in very informed recent global surface warming hiatus." Science 348: 6242
(2015): 1469-1472.
circles. In an elegant article published in the - Trenberth, Kevin E. "Has there been a hiatus?." Science 349:
journal Science, climatologist Kevin Trenberth 6249 (2015): 691-692.
responds to the NOAA paper by taking issue with - Trenberth, Kevin E. "The definition of El Nino." Bulletin of the
any warming trend that starts in 1950. After all, this American Meteorological Society 78: 12 (1997): 2771-2777.

13
Fall 2015

Research Highlights: Proxy Climate


Reconstruction

By: Sam White, The Ohio State University Midlatitude Summer Temperatures back to AD600
Based on a Wood Density Network,” Geophysical
New research on proxy-based climate Research Letters 42 (2015): 4556–62, produces a
reconstruction continues to come out quickly, new reconstruction of mid-latitude North
and the resolution and precision of many Hemsiphere summer temperatures combining
methods is steadily improving. For the most maximum latewood density measurements from
part, this research has continues to focus on several networks of tree rings. This approach is
Europe and China, but with a growing number designed to avoid many of the difficulties related
of studies in Africa and North and South to past studies using ring width measurements,
America. Better dating techniques have made which could have trouble capturing low-
lake sediment studies increasingly useful for frequency variability (long-term changes) and
historians, and the publication list in this issues might have exaggerated responses to volcanic
of our newsletter includes a number of effects. The results could be very significant for
examples. Yet overall, the majority of the most climate historians working on the Little Ice Age.
useful proxy studies for historical climate Compared to previous studies, the authors find
research remain tree ring-based less evidence for sustained cooling until the late
reconstructions of temperature and drought. 16th century, when temperatures fell rapidly,
reaching a minimum during the early 1600s.
The past three months have seen the Third, M. Sigl et al., “Timing and Climate Forcing
publication of three especially significant and of Volcanic Eruptions for the Past 2,500 Years,”
high-profile studies analyzing major issues in Nature 523 (2015): 543–49, have produced a new,
historical climate variability and change: more precise record of volcanic eruptions and
First, Pablo Ortega et al., “A Model-Tested climate impacts in the Northern Hemisphere.
North Atlantic Oscillation Reconstruction for the Their study corrects the misdating of some
Past Millennium,” Nature 523 (2015): 71, eruptions, and consequently emphasizes the
provides a new NAO index derived from dozens cooling effect of volcanoes. The study finds
of NAO proxies. It does not find that the NAO especially important consequences for the thirty
was persistently positive during the Medieval or so largest eruptions of the last 2,500 years. The
Climate Anomaly nor persistently negative impact of multiple volcanic eruptions appears
during the Little Ice Age as found in previous particularly strong during the 530s-40sAD and
NAO studies. Nevertheless, the new index 1590s-1600sAD, which the study finds to be the
reproduces many familiar features, including a two coldest decadal periods in the past two and a
tendency toward positive phases during the half millennia.
13th-14th centuries, and anomalies following
major eruptions, especially in the 1450s, 1780s,
and around 1600AD.
Second, Lea Schneider et al., “Revising

14
Fall 2015

Documentary-Based Climate Reconstruction (advanced online publication) (June 21, 2015).


and Impacts:
Rohland, Eleonora. “Hurricanes in New
Degroot, Dagomar. “Exploring the North in a Orleans: Disaster Migration and Adaptation,
Changing Climate: The Little Ice Age and the 1718-1794,” in Cultural Dynamics of Climate
Journals of Henry Hudson, 1607-1611.” Journal of Change and the Environment in Northern
Northern Studies 9 (2015): 69–91. America, ed. Bernd Sommer (Leiden: Brill,
2015), 137–58.
Hall, J., B. Arheimer, G. T. Aronica, A. Bilibashi,
M. Boháč, O. Bonacci, M. Borga, et al. “A Sommer, Bernd, ed. Cultural Dynamics of
European Flood Database: Facilitating Climate Change and the Environment in
Comprehensive Flood Research beyond Northern America. Leiden: Brill, 2015.
Administrative Boundaries.” Proceedings of the
International Association of Hydrological Sciences Warde, Paul. “Global Crisis or Global
370 (2015): 89–95. doi:10.5194/piahs-370-89- Coincidence?” Past & Present 228 (2015): 287–
2015. 301. doi:10.1093/pastj/gtv028.

Kaniewski, David, Joël Guiot, and Elise Van White, Sam, Richard Tucker, and Kenneth
Campo. “Drought and Societal Collapse Sylvester. “North American Climate History.”
3200 Years Ago in the Eastern Mediterranean: A In Cultural Dynamics of Climate Change and the
Review.” Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Environment in Northern America, edited by
Change 6 (2015): 369–32. doi:10.1002/wcc.345. Bernd Sommer, 109–36. Leiden: Brill, 2015.

Li, Hu, Chengbang An, Wenjie Fan, Weimiao Xiao, Lingbo, Xiuqi Fang, Jingyun Zheng, and
Dong, Yongtao Zhao, and Haipeng Wang. Wanyi Zhao. “Famine, Migration and War:
“Population History and Its Relationship with Comparison of Climate Change Impacts and
Climate Change on the Chinese Loess Plateau Social Responses in North China between the
during the Past 10,000 Years.” The Holocene 25 Late Ming and Late Qing Dynasties.” The
(2015): 1144–52. doi:10.1177/0959683615580200. Holocene 25 (2015): 900–910.
doi:10.1177/0959683615572851.
Metzger, Alexis. “Les temporalités climatiques
des paysages d’hiver hollandais.” Nouvelles Proxy-Based Climate Reconstruction of
perspectives en sciences sociales : Revue Historical Times:
internationale de systémique complexe et d’études
Abu-Zied, Ramadan H., and Rashad A. Bantan.
relationnelles 10 (2015): 103–21.
“Palaeoenvironment, Palaeoclimate and Sea-
doi:10.7202/1030265ar.
Level Changes in the Shuaiba Lagoon during
Munoz, Samuel E., Kristine E. Gruley, Ashtin the Late Holocene (last 3.6ka), Eastern Red Sea
Massie, David A. Fike, Sissel Schroeder, and John Coast, Saudi Arabia.” Holocene 25 (2015):
W. Williams. “Cahokia’s Emergence and Decline 1301–12. doi:10.1177/0959683615584204.
Coincided with Shifts of Flood Frequency on the
Araneda, Alberto, Fernando Torrejon,
Mississippi River.” Proceedings of the National
Mauricio Aguayo, Laura Torres, Fabiola
Academy of Sciences 112 (2015): 6319–24.
Cruces, Marco Cisternas, and Roberto Urrutia.
doi:10.1073/pnas.1501904112.
“Historical Records of San Rafael Glacier
Prieto, M. R., and F. Rojas. “Determination of Advances (North Patagonian Icefield): Another
Droughts and High Floods of the Bermejo River Clue to ‘Little Ice Age’ Timing in Southern
(Argentina) Based on Documentary Evidence Chile?” Holocene 17 (2007): 987–98.
(17th to 20th Century).” Journal of Hydrology doi:10.1177/0959683607082414.

15
Fall 2015

Brynjólfsson, Skafti, Anders Schomacker, Esther Warming over Central Asia.” Quaternary Science
Ruth Guðmundsdóttir, and Ólafur Ingólfsson. “A Reviews 121 (2015): 89–97.
300-Year Surge History of the Drangajökull Ice doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.05.020.
Cap, Northwest Iceland, and Its Maximum during
the ‘Little Ice Age.’” The Holocene 25 (2015): 1076– Denniston, Rhawn F., Gabriele Villarini,
92. doi:10.1177/0959683615576232. Angelique N. Gonzales, Karl-Heinz Wyrwoll,
Victor J. Polyak, Caroline C. Ummenhofer,
Buentgen, Ulf, Miroslav Trnka, Paul J. Krusic, Tomas Matthew S. Lachniet, et al. “Extreme Rainfall
Kyncl, Josef Kyncl, Juerg Luterbacher, Eduardo Activity in the Australian Tropics Reflects
Zorita, et al. “Tree-Ring Amplification of the Early Changes in the El Niño/Southern Oscillation over
Nineteenth-Century Summer Cooling in Central the Last Two Millennia.” Proceedings of the
Europe(a).” Journal of Climate 28 (2015): 5272–88. National Academy of Sciences 112 (2015): 4576–
doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00673.1. 81. doi:10.1073/pnas.1422270112.

Carrevedo, María L., Matías Frugone, Claudio Douglass, Kristina, and Jens Zinke. “Forging
Latorre, Antonio Maldonado, Patricia Bernárdez, Ahead By Land and By Sea: Archaeology and
Ricardo Prego, Daniela Cárdenas, and Blas Valero- Paleoclimate Reconstruction in Madagascar.”
Garcés. “A 700-Year Record of Climate and African Archaeological Review 32 (2015): 267–99.
Environmental Change from a High Andean Lake: doi:10.1007/s10437-015-9188-5.
Laguna Del Maule, Central Chile (36°S).” The
Holocene 25 (2015): 956–72. Fedotov, A. P., V. A. Trunova, I. V. Enushchenko,
doi:10.1177/0959683615574584. S. S. Vorobyeva, O. G. Stepanova, S. K.
Petrovskii, M. S. Melgunov, V. V. Zvereva, S. M.
Chawchai, Sakonvan, Akkaneewut Chabangborn, Krapivina, and T. O. Zheleznyakova. “A 850-Year
Sherilyn Fritz, Minna Valiranta, Carl-Magnus Morth, Record Climate and Vegetation Changes in East
Maarten Blaauw, Paula J. Reimer, Paul J. Krusic, Siberia (Russia), Inferred from Geochemical and
Ludvig Lowemark, and Barbara Wohlfarth. Biological Proxies of Lake Sediments.”
“Hydroclimatic Shifts in Northeast Thailand during Environmental Earth Sciences 73 (2015): 7297–
the Last Two Millennia - the Record of Lake Pa 7314. doi:10.1007/s12665-014-3906-1.
Kho.” Quaternary Science Reviews 111 (2015): 62–
71. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.01.007. Feurdean, Angelica, Mariusz Galka, Eliza Kuske,
Ioan Tantau, Mariusz Lamentowicz, Gabriela
Clemmensen, Lars B., Aslaug C. Glad, Kristian W. Florescu, Johan Liakka, Simon M. Hutchinson,
T. Hansen, and Andrew S. Murray. “Episodes of Andreas Mulch, and Thomas Hickler. “Last
Aeolian Sand Movement on a Large Spit System Millennium Hydro-Climate Variability in Central–
(Skagen Odde, Denmark) and North Atlantic Eastern Europe (Northern Carpathians,
Storminess during the Little Ice Age.” Bulletin of the Romania).” The Holocene 25 (2015): 1179–92.
Geological Society of Denmark 63 (2015). doi:10.1177/0959683615580197.

Clifford, Michael J., and Robert K. Booth. “Late- Florian, Christopher R., Gifford H. Miller, Marilyn
Holocene Drought and Fire Drove a Widespread L. Fogel, Alexander P. Wolfe, Rolf D. Vinebrooke,
Change in Forest Community Composition in and Aslaug Geirsdottir. “Algal Pigments in Arctic
Eastern North America.” The Holocene 25 (2015): Lake Sediments Record Biogeochemical Changes
1102–10. doi:10.1177/0959683615580182. due to Holocene Climate Variability and
Anthropogenic Global Change.” Journal of
Davi, N. K., R. D’Arrigo, G. C. Jacoby, E. R. Cook, K. Paleolimnology 54 (2015): 53–69.
J. Anchukaitis, B. Nachin, M. P. Rao, and C. Leland. doi:10.1007/s10933-015-9835-5.
“A Long-Term Context (931–2005 C.E.) for Rapid

16
Fall 2015

Gajewski, K. “Quantitative Reconstruction of Age.” Global and Planetary Change 128 (2015):
Holocene Temperatures across the Canadian Arctic 83–89. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.012.
and Greenland.” Global and Planetary Change 128
(2015): 14–23. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.003. Linderholm, Hans W., Jesper Bjorklund, Kristina
Seftigen, Bjorn E. Gunnarson, and Mauricio
Keizer, Peter S., Konrad Gajewski, and Robert Fuentes. “Fennoscandia Revisited: A Spatially
McLeman. “Forest Dynamics in Relation to Multi- Improved Tree-Ring Reconstruction of Summer
Decadal Late-Holocene Climatic Variability, Temperatures for the Last 900 Years.” Climate
Eastern Ontario, Canada.” Review of Palaeobotany Dynamics 45 (2015): 933–47. doi:10.1007/s00382-
and Palynology 219 (2015): 106–15. 014-2328-9.
doi:10.1016/j.revpalbo.2015.04.001.
Li, Xiumei, Jie Liang, Juzhi Hou, and Wenjing
Klesse, Stefan, Malin Ziehmer, Georgios Rousakis, Zhang. “Centennial-Scale Climate Variability
Valerie Trouet, and David Frank. “Synoptic Drivers during the Past 2000 Years on the Central Tibetan
of 400 Years of Summer Temperature and Plateau.” The Holocene 25 (2015): 892–99.
Precipitation Variability on Mt. Olympus, Greece.” doi:10.1177/0959683615572852.
Climate Dynamics 45 (2015): 807–24.
doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2313-3. Marchand, Jean-Pierre, Valerie Bonnardot, and
Olivier Planchon. “Laval’s climate in the early
Koch, Johannes. “Little Ice Age and Recent Glacier Renaissance An essay in historical geography.”
Advances in the Cordillera Darwin, Tierra Del Annales de Bretagne et des Pays de l’ouest 122
Fuego, Chile.” Anales Del Instituto de La Patagonia (2015): 103–33.
43 (2015): 127–36.
Metcalfe, Sarah E., John A. Barron, and Sarah J.
Kotlia, Bahadur Singh, Anoop Kumar Singh, Lalit Davies. “The Holocene History of the North
Mohan Joshi, and Bachi Singh Dhaila. “Precipitation American Monsoon: ‘Known Knowns’ and ‘Known
Variability in the Indian Central Himalaya during Unknowns’ in Understanding Its Spatial and
Last Ca. 4,000 Years Inferred from a Speleothem Temporal Complexity.” Quaternary Science
Record: Impact of Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) Reviews 120 (2015): 1–27.
and Westerlies.” Quaternary International 371 doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.04.004.
(2015): 244–53. doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2014.10.066.
Monti, Luis Medardo, Mario Alejandro Caria, and
Krusic, P. J., E. R. Cook, D. Dukpa, A. E. Putnam, S. Sebastián Moyano. “La influencia de los ríos en la
Rupper, and J. Schaefer. “Six Hundred Thirty-Eight historia de las ciudades coloniales del noroeste
Years of Summer Temperature Variability over the Argentino: el caso de Ibatín (1565-1686).”
Bhutanese Himalaya.” Geophysical Research Letters Arqueoweb: Revista Sobre Arqueología En Internet
42 (2015): 2988–94. doi:10.1002/2015GL063566. 16 (2015): 223–38.

Lee, Harry F., David D. Zhang, and Qing Pei. Mora, K. “Agricultores y ganaderos de la sabana
“Reconstruction of the Geographic Extent of de Bogotá frente a las fluctuaciones climáticas del
Drought Anomalies in Northwestern China over the siglo XVIII.” Fronteras de la Historia 20 (2015): (in
Last 539 Years and Its Teleconnection with the press).
Pacific Ocean.” The Holocene 25 (2015): 1271–84.
doi:10.1177/0959683615581203. O’Donnell, Alison J., Edward R. Cook, Jonathan G.
Palmer, Chris S. M. Turney, Gerald F. M. Page,
Lee, Kyung Eun, and Wonsun Park. “Initiation of and Pauline F. Grierson. “Tree Rings Show
East Asia Monsoon Failure at the Climate Transition Recent High Summer-Autumn Precipitation in
from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Northwest Australia Is Unprecedented within the

17
Fall 2015

Last Two Centuries.” PLoS ONE 10, no. 6 (June 3, 3.


2015): e0128533.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0128533. Sigl, M., M. Winstrup, J. R. McConnell, K. C.
Welten, G. Plunkett, F. Ludlow, U. Buentgen, et al.
Ocakoğlu, Faruk, Emel Oybak Dönmez, Aydın “Timing and Climate Forcing of Volcanic
Akbulut, Cemal Tunoğlu, Osman Kır, Sanem Eruptions for the Past 2,500 Years.” Nature 523
Açıkalın, Celal Erayık, İsmail Ömer Yılmaz, and (2015): 543–49. doi:10.1038/nature14565.
Suzanne AG Leroy. “A 2800-Year Multi-Proxy
Sedimentary Record of Climate Change from Lake Singh, Dhruv Sen, Anil K. Gupta, S. J. Sangode,
Çubuk (Göynük, Bolu, NW Anatolia).” The Steven C. Clemens, M. Prakasam, Priyeshu
Holocene (advanced online publication) (August Srivastava, and Shailendra K. Prajapati.
11, 2015). “Multiproxy Record of Monsoon Variability from
the Ganga Plain during 400-1200 AD.” Quaternary
Orme, L. C., S. J. Davies, and G. a. T. Duller. International 371 (2015): 157–63.
“Reconstructed Centennial Variability of Late doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2015.02.040.
Holocene Storminess from Cors Fochno, Wales,
UK.” Journal of Quaternary Science 30 (2015): 478– Tiwari, Manish, Siddhesh S. Nagoji, and Raja S.
88. doi:10.1002/jqs.2792. Ganeshram. “Multi-Centennial Scale SST and
Indian Summer Monsoon Precipitation Variability
Ortega, Pablo, Flavio Lehner, Didier Swingedouw, since the Mid-Holocene and Its Nonlinear
Valerie Masson-Delmotte, Christoph C. Raible, Response to Solar Activity.” The Holocene 25
Mathieu Casado, and Pascal Yiou. “A Model-Tested (2015): 1415–24. doi:10.1177/0959683615585840.
North Atlantic Oscillation Reconstruction for the
Past Millennium.” Nature 523 (2015): 71 – +. Van Rampelbergh, M., S. Verheyden, M. Allan, Y.
doi:10.1038/nature14518. Quinif, H. Cheng, L. R. Edwards, E. Keppens, and
P. Claeys. “A 500-Year Seasonally Resolved Delta
Peros, Matthew, Braden Gregory, Felipe Matos, O-18 and Delta C-13, Layer Thickness and Calcite
Eduard Reinhardt, and Joseph Desloges. “Late- Aspect Record from a Speleothem Deposited in
Holocene Record of Lagoon Evolution, Climate the Han-Sur-Lesse Cave, Belgium.” Climate of the
Change, and Hurricane Activity from Southeastern Past 11 (2015): 789–802. doi:10.5194/cp-11-789-
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Wang, Jianglin, Bao Yang, and Fredrik
Schneider, Lea, Jason E. Smerdon, Ulf Buentgen, Charpentier Ljungqvist. “A Millennial Summer
Rob J. S. Wilson, Vladimir S. Myglan, Alexander V. Temperature Reconstruction for the Eastern
Kirdyanov, and Jan Esper. “Revising Midlatitude Tibetan Plateau from Tree-Ring Width.” Journal of
Summer Temperatures back to AD600 Based on a Climate 28 (2015): 5289–5304. doi:10.1175/JCLI-
Wood Density Network.” Geophysical Research D-14-00738.1.
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doi:10.1002/2015GL063956. Woodborne, Stephan, Grant Hall, Iain Robertson,
Adrian Patrut, Mathieu Rouault, Neil J. Loader,
Shi, Feng, Quansheng Ge, Bao Yang, Jianping Li, and Michele Hofmeyr. “A 1000-Year Carbon
Fengmei Yang, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Isotope Rainfall Proxy Record from South African
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Climatic Change (advanced online publication)
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18
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Enguo Sheng, Keke Yu, Peng Cheng, et al. “Late


Holocene Indian Summer Monsoon Variations
Recorded at Lake Erhai, Southwestern China.”
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doi:10.1016/j.yqres.2014.12.004.

Yadava, Akhilesh K., Ram R. Yadav, Krishna G.


Misra, Jayendra Singh, and Dhirendra Singh. “Tree
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Northeast India.” Quaternary International 371
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Zhang, Rui-bo, Yu-jiang Yuan, Wen-shou Wei, Xiao-


hua Gou, Shu-long Yu, Hua-ming Shang, Feng
Chen, Tong-wen Zhang, and Li Qin.
“Dendroclimatic Reconstruction of Autumn-Winter
Mean Minimum Temperature in the Eastern Tibetan
Plateau since 1600 AD.” Dendrochronologia 33
(2015): 1–7. doi:10.1016/j.dendro.2014.09.001.

Zhao, Kan, Yongjin Wang, R. Lawrence Edwards,


Hai Cheng, Dianbing Liu, and Xinggong Kong. “A
High-Resolved Record of the Asian Summer
Monsoon from Dongge Cave, China for the Past
1200 Years.” Quaternary Science Reviews 122
(2015): 250–57.
doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.05.030.

19
Spring 2016

The Climate History Join the Conversation


Network Online
Twitter: @ClimateHist
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