Professional Documents
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Globalization and Child Labor-1
Globalization and Child Labor-1
International Trade
ECON 1269
Globalization and child labor
o at age 14, working on his family farm, decided to try and escape poverty
o went with a recruiter for cocoa pickers who promised a good job
o instead, was sold to a cocoa farmer who kept him in bondage for several
years
Globalization and child labor 2
• Even most benign forms raise concerns about lost educational opportunities.
o in Ecuador, bananas export to the U.S. are often tended by child laborers
o in India, large numbers of carpets for export are produced by child labor in
distressing conditions
• All these examples lead to the natural question: Does globalization cause child
labor?
o Are consumers in the first world causing misery and destroying the lives of
children in poor countries?
o Some households in the countryside can produce rice but not manufactures.
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 2
• A rural household can produce one unit of rice with one unit of labor; an urban
household can produce one unit of manufactures with one unit of labor (we can
always normalize units).
• We ignore roles of land and capital, for simplicity—they are irrelevant for our
analysis.
.
price of rice relative to manufactures
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 3
• Each household consists of adults and children, all of whom consume rice and
manufactures, and all of whom have time available for work and leisure
(includes school attendance for children).
• For simplicity, assume rice and manufactures are always consumed in equal
proportions.
• Then, if PR: price of rice and PM: price of manufactures, the price of a unit of
goods consumption is PG = PR + PM.
• Suppose each household has L hours of time each week to spend on work or
leisure and that the superscript C denotes children and the superscript A
denotes adults.
C A
o Thus L L L
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 5
• We assume that the household prefers to use up all adult hours for work before
using any children’s hours for work. Thus,
o if household enjoys total of L leisure hours, then only adults are working if
C
and only if LL .
C A
• If L L , adults are working for L hours per week while children are working
A C
for L L L L L hoursperweek.
• Given this budget line, whether there will be any child labor, and if so, how
much, will depend on preferences.
• Fig. 14.2 shows one possibility. Note how globalization shifts the budget line up
from the black line to the blue line. This moves the household from point A (no
child labor) to point B (positive child labor).
Graph
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 7
• So in this example, globalization does indeed cause child labor in the rural
household.
o The interpretation is that globalization raises the marginal value product of
time spent on the farm working, and the household takes advantage of that
by making everyone work more (including children).
• But globalization could also have the opposite effect.
o Basu and Van (1998) suggest that the majority of households direct their
children to work only when necessary to attain a minimum subsistence level
of consumption.
e.g., if minimum level of consumption is G,the household
C
head's utility function could look like U min{G G, L L }.
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 8
• Indifference curves for this utility function are depicted in Fig. 14.3.
• Note that with these indifference curves, a household would never resort to
child labor if it was possible to attain the basic-needs consumption level without
it.
• Now we consider (again) the effect of globalization that raises the domestic
relative price of rice (pivoting the budget line from the black line to the blue
line).
Graph
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 9
• Now we consider (again) the effect of globalization that raises the domestic
relative price of rice (pivoting the budget line from the black line to the blue
line).
• The outcome could move from a point like A (positive child labor) to a point like
B (no child labor)
o In this case, globalization has ended child labor.
o The interpretation is that globalization makes it possible for the household to
attain the minimum consumption level without resorting to child labor, which
coincides with its preferences.
• Clearly, both possibilities are consistent with economic theory.
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 10
• What matters is the relative strength of income and substitution effects.
o The substitution effect makes the budget line pivot up, providing an incentive
to substitute away from leisure (including children’s leisure) and toward
goods production and consumption.
o The income effect provides an increased demand for leisure (including
children’s leisure), since leisure is a normal good.
o The substitution effect is dominant in Fig. 14.2.
o The income effect is dominant in Fig. 14.3.
Globalization and child labor – Some theory 11
• An additional point needs to be made here as a matter of theory: for urban
households, the mechanisms previously explained for rural households work in
the opposite direction.
o The rise in the relative price of rice pivots the budget line down.
o In consequence:
• if the substitution effect is dominant, globalization will reduce child labor;
• if the income effect is dominant, globalization will increase child labor.
• More generally, the model predicts that globalization will have different effects
on child labor in different sectors of the economy.
o If the substitution effect is dominant, child labor will be increased in export
sectors and reduced in import-competing sectors.
o If the income effect is dominant, exactly the opposite conclusion follows.
Evidence and Implications for Policy
• The Edmonds and Pavcnik (2005) study focuses on the case of Vietnam.
o During the 1990s, it went through a rapid period of globalization and a rapid
reduction of child labor—the question is whether or not there is a causal
relation.
• In the early 1990s, the government restricted exports of rice through a system
of quotas to keep prices low for consumer.
• In the mid-to-late 1990s, the government eliminated these quotas, allowing the
domestic price to rise.
• However, rice prices did not rise uniformly in every part of the country—regions
more integrated with the world market saw a faster rise in prices than more
remote regions.
• Fig. 14.4 shows the percentage change in rice price observed in each
commune over this period plotted against the fall in child labor.
Evidence and Implications for Policy 4
• Note that in some communes, rice prices more than doubled, while in many
others the price increase was much more modest, and the price even fell in a
few communes, even by as much as half.
• This data allows the researchers to isolate the price rise itself, and therefore the
effect of globalization.
• Over the whole sample in the period 1992−98, there was a significant decline in
child labor overall, from 60 to 48%.
• Fig. 14.4 shows a positive correlation between the change in price and the
improvement in child labor.
Evidence and Implications for Policy 5
• Given that the average rise in rice prices was approximately 30% after
correcting for inflation, Edmonds and Pavcnik estimate that eliminating the
export quotas was responsible for approximately a 9-percentage-point
reduction in rural child labor. This is about two-thirds of the overall improvement
in child labor.
• An earlier study by the same authors found globalization was responsible for
45% of the reduction in child labor overall.
Evidence and Implications for Policy 6
• In the earlier (2005) version, the authors found that an increase in the rice price
had the effect of reducing rural child labor, but it also had the effect of
increasing urban child labor.
o In households that were net sellers of rice (i.e., they produce more rice than
they sell), child labor decreased.
o Both of these findings are consistent with a great body of empirical work
elsewhere, suggesting that the main determinant of child labor is simply
poverty.
Evidence and Implications for Policy 7
• The same basic story emerges from Indian data in a paper by Edmonds,
Pavcnik, and Topalova (2010).
o They examine household data before and after the trade liberalization of
1991, in which Indian tariffs fell from 83 to 30%.
o Over the period, child labor rates fell sharply and school enrollment rates
rose sharply across India.
o Districts that saw a large drop in the local average tariff tended to have
significantly more modest drops in child labor and more modest increases in
school enrollment, compared with districts with smaller drops in local
average tariff.
• Globalization seems to affect the prevalence of child labor through its effect on
household income.
• Households whose income rises tend to reduce their use of child labor, even if
globalization increases their opportunities to use child labor for profit.
• Households whose income falls tend to increase their use of child labor.
• There is a strong negative correlation between trade openness and child labor
across countries.
o After controlling for income per capita, the correlation between trade
openness and child labor across countries disappears.
Bottom Line on the Child Labor Question 2
• Thus the question “What effect does globalization have on child labor?” is not
separate from the question “What effect does globalization have on income?”
• This point is borne out not only in microeconomic data but also in aggregates.
• There is a strong negative correlation between trade openness and child labor
across countries.
o After controlling for income per capita, the correlation between trade
openness and child labor across countries disappears.
14.2 Sweatshops and Multinationals
• A sweatshop is a factory in which very poorly paid workers labor for long hours
under very poor conditions.
o Sometimes the term is reserved for factories that coerce workers or that
violate local labor laws.
• 12-hour shifts seven days a week with a single day off every other week,
despite laws requiring a 40-hour work week with a worker’s right to refuse
overtime.
• Workers required to live in company dormitories, for which they are charged;
10−12 workers sleep in each small room; strict curfew; no real privacy; four
days out of the week workers are required to get company permission if they
wish to leave the grounds for any reason.
• Company supplies food, including a thin, watery rice gruel for breakfast.
• This factory makes keyboards for Dell, Hewlett-Packard, Lenovo, IBM, and
Microsoft.
o Can consumer activism make life better for the workers in them?
14.2.1 Sweatshops Arise from Poverty
• Multinational firms seeking cheap labor raise the demand for labor in low-wage
countries, thus raising wages.
• Assume this equilibrium wage is well below the poverty line for U.S.
households.
• As a result, the equilibrium moves from point A to point B, raising the wage for
all workers in this economy from wNSS to wSS.
o The length of the box is the total supply of labor in the economy.
o An increase in the local demand for labor will tend to drive the market wage
up.
• The second effect is robust and well-documented (again, see Lipsey, 2004).
o The reasons for this multinational wage premium are a subject of a lively
debate.
• Maybe multinationals are able to screen for the most able workers.
• The bottom line is that the data make it clear that the introduction of
• Our previous conclusions don’t mean that the best solution is to let the market
work without any tending or tinkering.
• Rich-country consumers who are willing to pay a bit more in product prices
can pressure the companies to improve pay and other conditions.
• The equilibrium wage with sweatshops but without anti-sweatshop activism is,
as before marked as wss, with the equilibrium allocation of labor at point B.
• In this model, if the multinational sector is forced to pay a higher wage such as
w under threat of boycott by activists, then it will reduce its hiring from point B to
point C.
• The workers shed will be absorbed by the domestic employers, and so the
market wage must fall in order to induce them to hire the extra workers.
• The domestic employers will move along their labor-demand curve from B to D,
with their wage falling from wSS to wACIT. This lower wage is now received by all
workers not employed by multinationals.
14.2.3 But There May Still Be Good Reason to
Keep the Pressure On 4
• Thus, in this interpretation, sweatshop activism has helped the lucky few who
still have jobs in the multinationals but has harmed everyone else.
o The reason behind this is not very clear, but it could be activists convinced
consumers that they could purchase in good conscience now that
monitoring was in place, increasing demand.
14.2.3 But There May Still Be Good Reason to
Keep the Pressure On 6
• In Fig. 14.6, if this allows the multinationals to sell their sneakers at a higher
price than before, that shifts the marginal-value-product of labor curve in Fig.
14.6 upward, as shown by the blue curve.
o In this case, the sweatshops increase their hiring as they increase their
wage, jumping from point B to point E.
o The new domestic wage is marked wHS (for Harrison and Scorse).
14.2.3 But There May Still Be Good Reason to
Keep the Pressure On 7
o If this indeed occurred, it implies that the Indonesian workers across the
board likely benefitted from the activism.
o At this point, our conclusions are tentative; we need a great deal of more
evidence on these questions before we can be confident that these results
are typical.
14.2.3 But There May Still Be Good Reason to
Keep the Pressure On 8
• In conclusion
• ExxonMobil is being sued by the International Labor Rights Fund for allegedly
collaborating with the Indonesian army to murder and torture people living in
the Aceh province who protested the company’s natural gas operations there.
• The general point is that foreign direct investment doesn’t affect a host country
by simply hiring workers and conducting activities there, but also, more subtly,
by the effect that foreign firms have on the conduct of government in the host
country.
o There is some evidence that foreign firms are on average better able to
persuade host governments to shape policy in ways beneficial to them than
domestic firms (Desbordes and Vauday, 2007).
o Acemoglou and Robinson (2005, Chapter 10) survey many ways in which
opening trade can affect the likelihood that a country will move to
democracy.
o Under this theory, in poor economies trade is a force for democracy, while
in rich economies it works against democracy.
o Acemoglu and Robinson (2005) point out that since most rich countries are
already democratic, this theory establishes a presumption that trade is on
balance a force for democracy.
14.3 Globalization and Human Rights
More Generally 2
o There is some empirical support for this idea; e.g., Lopez-Cordova and
Meissner (2008) show that in a broad cross section of countries over a long
historical time span, higher openness to trade is correlated to a greater
propensity toward democracy.
14.3 Globalization and Human Rights
More Generally 3
o Rosendorff (2000) argues that trade embargoes likely helped speed the path
toward democratization in South Africa also because they depressed the
profits of the large mining companies and other multinationals more than
unskilled wages, thus reducing income inequality.
14.3 Globalization and Human Rights
More Generally 4
o 1991−2002
• Other known cases are the Biafran War in Nigeria in the 1970s, where control
of oil-rich territory was a central problem, and current violence in the
Democratic Republic of Congo, largely centered on control of fields rich in
coltan, a mineral used in manufacture of electronic items.
14.3.3 Globalization and Civil War 3
o Author Eve Ensler has suggested that there is a need for a labeling system
to allow consumers to be sure that they are buying “rape-free” electronic
products (Paczkowski, 2009).
o At the same time, it has been argued that the right kind of globalization can
reduce the propensity toward civil war.
• Few examples of the subtle effects that globalization can have on the status
and rights of women.
• There is also evidence that economic openness can reduce the scope for
gender discrimination in wages.
• Consumers and investors can identify the ways in which trade appears to be
injurious to human rights, and use his or her power to change it.