Name JASIM (Should be exactly same with your student ID)

Surname ALTAF (Should be exactly same with your student ID)

Student No Y2012.150089 (Should be exactly same with your student ID)

I declare that I completed my homework myself alone. I did not share my file with others. I know that files with will be analys

READ VERY CAREFULLY ...

Questions are uploaded to course notes section with Homework.xlsx file.
All questions shall be solved in the presented spreadsheet. Green areas shall be filled with formulas when necessary.
Your file name will be name_surname.xlsx with English characters. For example, my name is Uğur ŞENER, my file name will be ugur_sener.
Deadline 24th Jan 2021 23:59
Evaluation criteria:
1. Format %20 Does your homework fit to requirements explained above?
2. Completeness %20 Did you answered all questions?
3. Correctness %40 Did you find correct answers?
4. Delivery on time %20 Did you delivered on time? (This is bonus for you because late delivery is not accepted)
 ur student ID)
ur student ID)
ur student ID)

know that files with will be analysed for ethical violations and I know consequences.

hen necessary.
NER, my file name will be ugur_sener.xlsx
 n Yt Yt-Yavg C^2 Yt-1 Yt-1 - Yavg CXF Yt-2
1 100 -43 1806
2 110 -33 1056 100 -43 1381
3 130 -13 156 110 -33 406 100
4 125 -18 306 130 -13 219 110
5 140 -3 6 125 -18 44 130
6 150 8 56 140 -3 -19 125
7 140 -3 6 150 8 -19 140
8 160 18 306 140 -3 -44 150
9 180 38 1406 160 18 656 140
10 145 3 6 180 38 94 160
11 150 8 56 145 3 19 180
12 180 38 1406 150 8 281 145

SUM 1710 6575 3019

AVERAGE 142.5

r1 0.46
r2 0.22
r3 0.39
Yt-2 - Yavg CXI Yt-3 Yt-3 -Yavg CXL

-43 531
-33 569 100 -43 744
-13 31 110 -33 81
-18 -131 130 -13 -94
-3 6 125 -18 44
8 131 140 -3 -44
-3 -94 150 8 281
18 44 140 -3 -6
38 281 160 18 131
3 94 180 38 1406

1463 2544
 Yt MA5
t date Revenue forecast et residual et2 et / Yt |et / Yt| |et|
1 2000Q1 1517
2 2000Q2 1248
3 2000Q3 1677
4 2000Q4 1393
5 2001Q1 1558
6 2001Q2 1368 1479 -111 12232 -0.08 0.08 110.6
7 2001Q3 1790 1449 341 116417 0.19 0.19 341.2
8 2001Q4 1396 1557 -161 25985 -0.12 0.12 161.2
9 2002Q1 1638 1501 137 18769 0.08 0.08 137
10 2002Q2 1507 1550 -43 1849 -0.03 0.03 43
11 2002Q3 1868 1540 328 107715 0.18 0.18 328.2
12 2002Q4 1510 1640 -130 16848 -0.09 0.09 129.8
13 2003Q1 1669 1584 85 7259 0.05 0.05 85.2
14 2003Q2 1392 1638 -246 60713 -0.18 0.18 246.4
15 2003Q3 1853 1589 264 69590 0.14 0.14 263.8
16 2003Q4 1353 1658 -305 93269 -0.23 0.23 305.4
17 2004Q1 1623 1555 68 4570 0.04 0.04 67.6
18 2004Q2 1401 1578 -177 31329 -0.13 0.13 177
19 2004Q3 1758 1524 234 54569 0.13 0.13 233.6
20 2004Q4 1078 1598 -520 269984 -0.48 0.48 519.6
21 2005Q1 1674 1443 231 53546 0.14 0.14 231.4
22 2005Q2 1516 1507 9 85 0.01 0.01 9.2
23 2005Q3 1924 1485 439 192370 0.23 0.23 438.6
24 2005Q4 1522 1590 -68 4624 -0.04 0.04 68
25 2006Q1 2459 1543 916 839422 0.37 0.37 916.2
26 2006Q2 2428 1819 609 370881 0.25 0.25 609
27 2006Q3 2949 1970 979 958833 0.33 0.33 979.2
28 2006Q4 2248 2256 -8 71 0.00 0.00 8.4
29 2007Q1 2538 2321 217 47002 0.09 0.09 216.8
30 2007Q2 2400 2524 -124 15475 -0.05 0.05 124.4
31 2007Q3 2941 2513 428 183527 0.15 0.15 428.4
32 2007Q4 2420 2615 -195 38103 -0.08 0.08 195.2
33 2008Q1 2621 2509 112 12455 0.04 0.04 111.6
34 2008Q2 2521 2584 -63 3969 -0.02 0.02 63
35 2008Q3 3083 2581 502 252406 0.16 0.16 502.4
36 2008Q4 2574 2717 -143 20506 -0.06 0.06 143.2
37 2009Q1 2577 2644 -67 4462 -0.03 0.03 66.8
38 2009Q2 2457 2675 -218 47611 -0.09 0.09 218.2
39 2009Q3 2888 2642 246 60319 0.09 0.09 245.6
40 2009Q4 2458 2716 -258 66461 -0.10 0.10 257.8
41 2010Q1 2674 2591 83 6922 0.03 0.03 83.2
42 2010Q2 2917 2611 306 93758 0.10 0.10 306.2
43 2010Q3 3468 2679 789 622837 0.23 0.23 789.2
44 2010Q4 2931 2881 50 2500 0.02 0.02 50
45 2011Q1 3273 2890 383 146996 0.12 0.12 383.4
46 2011Q2 3064 3053 11 130 0.00 0.00 11.4
47 2011Q3 3744 3131 613 376260 0.16 0.16 613.4
48 2011Q4 3241 3296 -55 3025 -0.02 0.02 55
49 2012Q1 3824 3251 573 328788 0.15 0.15 573.4
50 2012Q2 3517 3429 88 7709 0.02 0.02 87.8
51 2012Q3 4173 3478 695 483025 0.17 0.17 695
52 2012Q4 3369 3700 -331 109429 -0.10 0.10 330.8
53 2013Q1 3751 3625 126 15926 0.03 0.03 126.2
54 2013Q2 3383 3727 -344 118198 -0.10 0.10 343.8
55 2013Q3 3879 3639 240 57792 0.06 0.06 240.4
56 2013Q4 3391 3711 -320 102400 -0.09 0.09 320
57 2014Q1 3480 3555 -75 5565 -0.02 0.02 74.6
58 2014Q2 3400 3577 -177 31258 -0.05 0.05 176.8
59 2014Q3 4044 3507 537 288799 0.13 0.13 537.4
60 2014Q4 3610 3639 -29 829 -0.01 0.01 28.8
61 2015Q1 4083 3585 498 248004 0.12 0.12 498
62 2015Q2 3907 3723 184 33709 0.05 0.05 183.6
63 2015Q3 4758 3809 949 900981 0.20 0.20 949.2
64 2015Q4 4167 4080 87 7500 0.02 0.02 86.6
65 2016Q1 4769 4105 664 440896 0.14 0.14 664
66 2016Q2 4199 4337 -138 18989 -0.03 0.03 137.8
67 2016Q3 5413 4360 1053 1108809 0.19 0.19 1053
68 2016Q4 4687 4661 26 666 0.01 0.01 25.8
69 2017Q1 5671 4647 1024 1048576 0.18 0.18 1024
SSE 10673502
MSE 166773
RMSE 408
MAPE 11%
MPE 4%
MAD 304
 Yt Yt
t date Revenue forecast et residual et2 et / Yt |et / Yt| |et|
1 2000Q1 1517 1517 0 0 0.00 0.00 0
2 2000Q2 1248 1251 -3 7 0.00 0.00 3
3 2000Q3 1677 1673 4 18 0.00 0.00 4
4 2000Q4 1393 1396 -3 8 0.00 0.00 3
5 2001Q1 1558 1556 2 3 0.00 0.00 2
6 2001Q2 1368 1370 -2 4 0.00 0.00 2
7 2001Q3 1790 1786 4 18 0.00 0.00 4
8 2001Q4 1396 1400 -4 15 0.00 0.00 4
9 2002Q1 1638 1636 2 6 0.00 0.00 2
10 2002Q2 1507 1508 -1 2 0.00 0.00 1
11 2002Q3 1868 1864 4 13 0.00 0.00 4
12 2002Q4 1510 1514 -4 13 0.00 0.00 4
13 2003Q1 1669 1667 2 2 0.00 0.00 2
14 2003Q2 1392 1395 -3 8 0.00 0.00 3
15 2003Q3 1853 1848 5 21 0.00 0.00 5
16 2003Q4 1353 1358 -5 25 0.00 0.00 5
17 2004Q1 1623 1620 3 7 0.00 0.00 3
18 2004Q2 1401 1403 -2 5 0.00 0.00 2
19 2004Q3 1758 1754 4 13 0.00 0.00 4
20 2004Q4 1078 1085 -7 46 -0.01 0.01 7
21 2005Q1 1674 1668 6 35 0.00 0.00 6
22 2005Q2 1516 1518 -2 2 0.00 0.00 2
23 2005Q3 1924 1920 4 17 0.00 0.00 4
24 2005Q4 1522 1526 -4 16 0.00 0.00 4
25 2006Q1 2459 2450 9 87 0.00 0.00 9
26 2006Q2 2428 2428 0 0 0.00 0.00 0
27 2006Q3 2949 2944 5 27 0.00 0.00 5
28 2006Q4 2248 2255 -7 48 0.00 0.00 7
29 2007Q1 2538 2535 3 8 0.00 0.00 3
30 2007Q2 2400 2401 -1 2 0.00 0.00 1
31 2007Q3 2941 2936 5 29 0.00 0.00 5
32 2007Q4 2420 2425 -5 27 0.00 0.00 5
33 2008Q1 2621 2619 2 4 0.00 0.00 2
34 2008Q2 2521 2522 -1 1 0.00 0.00 1
35 2008Q3 3083 3077 6 31 0.00 0.00 6
36 2008Q4 2574 2579 -5 25 0.00 0.00 5
37 2009Q1 2577 2577 0 0 0.00 0.00 0
38 2009Q2 2457 2458 -1 1 0.00 0.00 1
39 2009Q3 2888 2884 4 18 0.00 0.00 4
40 2009Q4 2458 2462 -4 18 0.00 0.00 4
41 2010Q1 2674 2672 2 4 0.00 0.00 2
42 2010Q2 2917 2915 2 6 0.00 0.00 2
43 2010Q3 3468 3462 6 31 0.00 0.00 6
44 2010Q4 2931 2936 -5 28 0.00 0.00 5
45 2011Q1 3273 3270 3 11 0.00 0.00 3
46 2011Q2 3064 3066 -2 4 0.00 0.00 2
47 2011Q3 3744 3737 7 46 0.00 0.00 7
48 2011Q4 3241 3246 -5 25 0.00 0.00 5
49 2012Q1 3824 3818 6 33 0.00 0.00 6
50 2012Q2 3517 3520 -3 9 0.00 0.00 3
51 2012Q3 4173 4166 7 43 0.00 0.00 7
52 2012Q4 3369 3377 -8 64 0.00 0.00 8
53 2013Q1 3751 3747 4 14 0.00 0.00 4
54 2013Q2 3383 3387 -4 13 0.00 0.00 4
55 2013Q3 3879 3874 5 24 0.00 0.00 5
56 2013Q4 3391 3396 -5 23 0.00 0.00 5
57 2014Q1 3480 3479 1 1 0.00 0.00 1
58 2014Q2 3400 3401 -1 1 0.00 0.00 1
59 2014Q3 4044 4038 6 41 0.00 0.00 6
60 2014Q4 3610 3614 -4 18 0.00 0.00 4
61 2015Q1 4083 4078 5 22 0.00 0.00 5
62 2015Q2 3907 3909 -2 3 0.00 0.00 2
63 2015Q3 4758 4750 8 72 0.00 0.00 8
64 2015Q4 4167 4173 -6 34 0.00 0.00 6
65 2016Q1 4769 4763 6 36 0.00 0.00 6
66 2016Q2 4199 4205 -6 32 0.00 0.00 6
67 2016Q3 5413 5401 12 146 0.00 0.00 12
68 2016Q4 4687 4694 -7 51 0.00 0.00 7
69 2017Q1 5671 5661 10 95 0.00 0.00 10
SSE 1559
MSE 23
RMSE 5
MAPE 0.161%
MPE 0.002%
MAD 4

alfa 0.99

Dont forget to optimise alfa when you finished forecast, minimise MAPE for optimization
 Yt Yt
t date Revenue Lt Tt forecast et residual et2 et / Yt |et / Yt|
1 2000Q1 1517 1500 10
2 2000Q2 1248 1447 8.5 1510 -262 68644 -0.21 0.21
3 2000Q3 1677 1509 9.8 1455 222 49178 0.13 0.13
4 2000Q4 1393 1488 9.1 1519 -126 15767 -0.09 0.09
5 2001Q1 1558 1512 9.4 1497 61 3684 0.04 0.04
6 2001Q2 1368 1484 8.5 1521 -153 23521 -0.11 0.11
7 2001Q3 1790 1565 10.2 1493 297 88293 0.17 0.17
8 2001Q4 1396 1532 9.2 1575 -179 31984 -0.13 0.13
9 2002Q1 1638 1564 9.8 1541 97 9437 0.06 0.06
10 2002Q2 1507 1558 9.4 1574 -67 4499 -0.04 0.04
11 2002Q3 1868 1640 11.1 1567 301 90451 0.16 0.16
12 2002Q4 1510 1617 10.3 1651 -141 19871 -0.09 0.09
13 2003Q1 1669 1637 10.5 1627 42 1747 0.03 0.03
14 2003Q2 1392 1586 9.1 1648 -256 65442 -0.18 0.18
15 2003Q3 1853 1657 10.5 1595 258 66511 0.14 0.14
16 2003Q4 1353 1592 8.7 1668 -315 99173 -0.23 0.23
17 2004Q1 1623 1606 8.9 1601 22 501 0.01 0.01
18 2004Q2 1401 1563 7.7 1615 -214 45747 -0.15 0.15
19 2004Q3 1758 1616 8.7 1571 187 35011 0.11 0.11
20 2004Q4 1078 1493 5.6 1625 -547 298987 -0.51 0.51
21 2005Q1 1674 1541 6.6 1498 176 30850 0.10 0.10
22 2005Q2 1516 1540 6.4 1547 -31 985 -0.02 0.02
23 2005Q3 1924 1637 8.6 1546 378 142698 0.20 0.20
24 2005Q4 1522 1616 7.9 1646 -124 15390 -0.08 0.08
25 2006Q1 2459 1826 12.6 1624 835 697276 0.34 0.34
26 2006Q2 2428 1981 16.0 1838 590 347807 0.24 0.24
27 2006Q3 2949 2227 21.4 1997 952 906996 0.32 0.32
28 2006Q4 2248 2248 21.4 2248 0 0 0.00 0.00
29 2007Q1 2538 2334 22.9 2269 269 72167 0.11 0.11
30 2007Q2 2400 2367 23.1 2357 43 1838 0.02 0.02
31 2007Q3 2941 2524 26.3 2391 550 302931 0.19 0.19
32 2007Q4 2420 2518 25.5 2550 -130 16844 -0.05 0.05
33 2008Q1 2621 2563 26.0 2544 77 5936 0.03 0.03
34 2008Q2 2521 2572 25.6 2589 -68 4558 -0.03 0.03
35 2008Q3 3083 2715 28.3 2598 485 235442 0.16 0.16
36 2008Q4 2574 2702 27.4 2743 -169 28657 -0.07 0.07
37 2009Q1 2577 2693 26.5 2730 -153 23336 -0.06 0.06
38 2009Q2 2457 2656 25.0 2719 -262 68834 -0.11 0.11
39 2009Q3 2888 2731 26.2 2681 207 42847 0.07 0.07
40 2009Q4 2458 2685 24.5 2757 -299 89507 -0.12 0.12
41 2010Q1 2674 2701 24.3 2709 -35 1254 -0.01 0.01
42 2010Q2 2917 2771 25.4 2725 192 36811 0.07 0.07
43 2010Q3 3468 2959 29.2 2797 671 450450 0.19 0.19
44 2010Q4 2931 2974 28.9 2988 -57 3262 -0.02 0.02
45 2011Q1 3273 3068 30.4 3003 270 72807 0.08 0.08
46 2011Q2 3064 3090 30.2 3099 -35 1206 -0.01 0.01
47 2011Q3 3744 3271 33.7 3121 623 388721 0.17 0.17
48 2011Q4 3241 3289 33.4 3305 -64 4074 -0.02 0.02
49 2012Q1 3824 3444 36.2 3323 501 251228 0.13 0.13
50 2012Q2 3517 3489 36.4 3480 37 1367 0.01 0.01
51 2012Q3 4173 3682 40.1 3525 648 419418 0.16 0.16
52 2012Q4 3369 3637 38.1 3722 -353 124519 -0.10 0.10
53 2013Q1 3751 3693 38.5 3675 76 5816 0.02 0.02
54 2013Q2 3383 3647 36.5 3732 -349 121576 -0.10 0.10
55 2013Q3 3879 3731 37.6 3684 195 38020 0.05 0.05
56 2013Q4 3391 3678 35.5 3769 -378 142697 -0.11 0.11
57 2014Q1 3480 3657 34.2 3713 -233 54302 -0.07 0.07
58 2014Q2 3400 3621 32.5 3691 -291 84643 -0.09 0.09
59 2014Q3 4044 3748 34.8 3653 391 152721 0.10 0.10
60 2014Q4 3610 3741 33.8 3782 -172 29699 -0.05 0.05
61 2015Q1 4083 3849 35.5 3774 309 95180 0.08 0.08
62 2015Q2 3907 3890 35.7 3885 22 505 0.01 0.01
63 2015Q3 4758 4127 40.4 3926 832 692891 0.17 0.17
64 2015Q4 4167 4167 40.4 4167 0 0 0.00 0.00
65 2016Q1 4769 4343 43.6 4207 562 315422 0.12 0.12
66 2016Q2 4199 4341 42.5 4387 -188 35183 -0.04 0.04
67 2016Q3 5413 4632 48.3 4384 1029 1059321 0.19 0.19
68 2016Q4 4687 4682 48.4 4681 6 40 0.00 0.00
69 2017Q1 5671 4958 53.7 4731 940 884412 0.17 0.17
|et|
SSE 9520890
262 MSE 140013
222 RMSE 374
126 MAPE 11%
61 MPE 2%
153 MAD 279
297
179
97
67 alfa 0.24
301 beta 0.02
141
42
256 Dont forget to optimise alfa and beta when you finished forecast, minimise MAPE for optimiz
258
315
22
214
187
547
176
31
378
124
835
590
952
0
269
43
550
130
77
68
485
169
153
262
207
 299
35
192
671
57
270
35
623
64
501
37
648
353
76
349
195
378
233
291
391
172
309
22
832
0
562
188
1029
6
940
minimise MAPE for optimization
 Yt Yt
t date Revenue Lt Tt St forecast et residual et2
1 2000Q1 1517 1.04
2 2000Q2 1248 0.86
3 2000Q3 1677 1.15
4 2000Q4 1393 1400 10 0.95
5 2001Q1 1558 1459 12 1.06 1466 92 8408
6 2001Q2 1368 1542 15 0.87 1258 110 12000
7 2001Q3 1790 1557 15 1.15 1790 0 0
8 2001Q4 1396 1511 13 0.94 1502 -106 11177
9 2002Q1 1638 1539 13 1.06 1610 28 797
10 2002Q2 1507 1647 18 0.90 1357 150 22639
11 2002Q3 1868 1643 17 1.14 1914 -46 2128
12 2002Q4 1510 1633 15 0.93 1555 -45 1998
13 2003Q1 1669 1607 14 1.05 1749 -80 6438
14 2003Q2 1392 1582 12 0.89 1455 -63 3914
15 2003Q3 1853 1609 13 1.15 1821 32 1053
16 2003Q4 1353 1530 8 0.90 1508 -155 24011
17 2004Q1 1623 1544 9 1.05 1612 11 120
18 2004Q2 1401 1567 9 0.89 1378 23 546
19 2004Q3 1758 1552 8 1.14 1809 -51 2583
20 2004Q4 1078 1357 -1 0.84 1409 -331 109757
21 2005Q1 1674 1488 5 1.09 1424 250 62664
22 2005Q2 1516 1608 10 0.92 1330 186 34477
23 2005Q3 1924 1657 12 1.15 1843 81 6574
24 2005Q4 1522 1748 16 0.86 1402 120 14288
25 2006Q1 2459 2032 28 1.16 1928 531 281661
26 2006Q2 2428 2378 42 0.98 1897 531 281785
27 2006Q3 2949 2498 46 1.17 2788 161 26009
28 2006Q4 2248 2586 48 0.86 2182 66 4300
29 2007Q1 2538 2386 37 1.10 3059 -521 271122
30 2007Q2 2400 2439 37 0.98 2372 28 783
31 2007Q3 2941 2499 38 1.17 2893 48 2302
32 2007Q4 2420 2682 45 0.89 2193 227 51454
33 2008Q1 2621 2531 36 1.06 3012 -391 153154
34 2008Q2 2521 2567 36 0.98 2521 0 0
35 2008Q3 3083 2617 37 1.18 3055 28 800
36 2008Q4 2574 2792 43 0.91 2352 222 49380
37 2009Q1 2577 2606 32 1.02 3018 -441 194253
38 2009Q2 2457 2563 29 0.97 2591 -134 17928
39 2009Q3 2888 2516 26 1.16 3049 -161 25879
40 2009Q4 2458 2635 30 0.92 2306 152 23193
41 2010Q1 2674 2640 29 1.02 2720 -46 2104
42 2010Q2 2917 2858 37 1.00 2584 333 110672
43 2010Q3 3468 2948 40 1.17 3358 110 12080
44 2010Q4 2931 3093 45 0.94 2755 176 31010
45 2011Q1 3273 3184 47 1.02 3189 84 7054
46 2011Q2 3064 3141 43 0.99 3226 -162 26271
47 2011Q3 3744 3194 43 1.17 3722 22 463
48 2011Q4 3241 3360 49 0.95 3032 209 43669
49 2012Q1 3824 3591 57 1.05 3487 337 113358
50 2012Q2 3517 3605 55 0.98 3594 -77 5912
51 2012Q3 4173 3606 53 1.16 4286 -113 12710
52 2012Q4 3369 3591 50 0.94 3487 -118 13862
53 2013Q1 3751 3608 48 1.04 3813 -62 3815
54 2013Q2 3383 3544 43 0.97 3582 -199 39465
55 2013Q3 3879 3448 37 1.14 4171 -292 85344
56 2013Q4 3391 3543 39 0.95 3291 100 10091
57 2014Q1 3480 3447 33 1.02 3736 -256 65578
58 2014Q2 3400 3503 34 0.97 3358 42 1724
59 2014Q3 4044 3541 34 1.14 4036 8 60
60 2014Q4 3610 3696 40 0.97 3403 207 42886
61 2015Q1 4083 3875 46 1.04 3824 259 67132
62 2015Q2 3907 3984 49 0.98 3797 110 12073
63 2015Q3 4758 4108 52 1.15 4604 154 23594
64 2015Q4 4167 4244 56 0.98 4020 147 21646
65 2016Q1 4769 4456 63 1.06 4477 292 85250
66 2016Q2 4199 4401 58 0.96 4408 -209 43708
67 2016Q3 5413 4593 64 1.17 5133 280 78285
68 2016Q4 4687 4739 68 0.98 4542 145 21032
69 2017Q1 5671 5113 82 1.09 5086 585 342092
et / Yt |et / Yt| |et|
SSE 3032516
MSE 46654
RMSE 215.9956
MAPE 6.34%
0.06 0.06 92 MPE 1.00%
0.08 0.08 110 MAD 165
0.00 0.00 0
-0.08 0.08 106
0.02 0.02 28
0.10 0.10 150 alfa 0.55
-0.02 0.02 46 beta 0.05
-0.03 0.03 45 gama 0.58
-0.05 0.05 80
-0.04 0.04 63 Dont forget to optimise alfa, beta and gama when you finished forecas
0.02 0.02 32
-0.11 0.11 155
0.01 0.01 11
0.02 0.02 23
-0.03 0.03 51
-0.31 0.31 331
0.15 0.15 250
0.12 0.12 186
0.04 0.04 81
0.08 0.08 120
0.22 0.22 531
0.22 0.22 531
0.05 0.05 161
0.03 0.03 66
-0.21 0.21 521
0.01 0.01 28
0.02 0.02 48
0.09 0.09 227
-0.15 0.15 391
0.00 0.00 0
0.01 0.01 28
0.09 0.09 222
-0.17 0.17 441
-0.05 0.05 134
-0.06 0.06 161
0.06 0.06 152
-0.02 0.02 46
0.11 0.11 333
0.03 0.03 110
 0.06 0.06 176
0.03 0.03 84
-0.05 0.05 162
0.01 0.01 22
0.06 0.06 209
0.09 0.09 337
-0.02 0.02 77
-0.03 0.03 113
-0.03 0.03 118
-0.02 0.02 62
-0.06 0.06 199
-0.08 0.08 292
0.03 0.03 100
-0.07 0.07 256
0.01 0.01 42
0.00 0.00 8
0.06 0.06 207
0.06 0.06 259
0.03 0.03 110
0.03 0.03 154
0.04 0.04 147
0.06 0.06 292
-0.05 0.05 209
0.05 0.05 280
0.03 0.03 145
0.10 0.10 585
a when you finished forecast, minimise MAPE for optimization
 15723.8 7333 265028 183489 673654 Sum

Y
house X Coefficient of
t price house age YX X^2 Y^2 correlation

1 37.9 32 1213 1024 1436

2 42.2 19.5 823 380 1781

3 47.3 13.3 629 177 2237
4 54.8 13.3 729 177 3003
5 43.1 5 216 25 1858
6 32.1 7.1 228 50 1030
7 40.3 34.5 1390 1190 1624
8 46.7 20.3 948 412 2181
9 18.8 31.7 596 1005 353
10 22.1 17.9 396 320 488
11 41.4 34.8 1441 1211 1714
12 58.1 6.3 366 40 3376
13 39.3 13 511 169 1544
14 23.8 20.4 486 416 566
15 34.3 13.2 453 174 1176
16 50.5 35.7 1803 1274 2550
17 70.1 0 0 0 4914
18 37.4 17.7 662 313 1399
19 42.3 16.9 715 286 1789
20 47.7 1.5 72 2 2275
21 29.3 4.5 132 20 858
22 51.6 10.5 542 110 2663
23 24.6 14.7 362 216 605
24 47.9 10.1 484 102 2294
25 38.8 39.6 1536 1568 1505
26 27 29.3 791 858 729
27 56.2 3.1 174 10 3158
28 33.6 10.4 349 108 1129
29 47 19.2 902 369 2209
30 57.1 7.1 405 50 3260
31 22.1 25.9 572 671 488
32 25 29.6 740 876 625
33 34.2 37.9 1296 1436 1170
34 49.3 16.5 813 272 2430
35 55.1 15.4 849 237 3036
36 27.3 13.9 379 193 745
37 22.9 14.7 337 216 524
38 25.3 12 304 144 640
39 47.7 3.1 148 10 2275
40 46.2 16.2 748 262 2134
41 15.9 13.6 216 185 253
42 18.2 16.8 306 282 331
43 34.7 36.1 1253 1303 1204
44 34.1 34.4 1173 1183 1163
45 53.9 2.7 146 7 2905
46 38.3 36.6 1402 1340 1467
47 42 21.7 911 471 1764
48 61.5 35.9 2208 1289 3782
49 13.4 24.2 324 586 180
50 13.2 29.4 388 864 174
51 44.2 21.7 959 471 1954
52 20.7 31.3 648 980 428
53 27 32.1 867 1030 729
54 38.9 13.3 517 177 1513
55 51.7 16.1 832 259 2673
56 13.7 31.7 434 1005 188
57 41.9 33.6 1408 1129 1756
58 53.5 3.5 187 12 2862
59 22.6 30.3 685 918 511
60 42.4 13.3 564 177 1798
61 21.3 11 234 121 454
62 63.2 5.3 335 28 3994
63 27.7 17.2 476 296 767
64 55 2.6 143 7 3025
65 25.3 17.5 443 306 640
66 44.3 40.1 1776 1608 1962
67 50.7 1 51 1 2570
68 56.8 8.5 483 72 3226
69 36.2 30.4 1100 924 1310
70 42 12.5 525 156 1764
71 59 6.6 389 44 3481
72 40.8 35.5 1448 1260 1665
73 36.3 32.5 1180 1056 1318
74 20 13.8 276 190 400
75 54.4 6.8 370 46 2959
76 29.5 12.3 363 151 870
77 36.8 35.9 1321 1289 1354
78 25.6 20.5 525 420 655
79 29.8 38.2 1138 1459 888
80 26.5 18 477 324 702
81 40.3 11.8 476 139 1624
82 36.8 30.8 1133 949 1354
83 48.1 13.2 635 174 2314
 84 17.7 25.3 448 640 313
85 43.7 15.1 660 228 1910
86 50.8 0 0 0 2581
87 27 1.8 49 3 729
88 18.3 16.9 309 286 335
89 48 8.9 427 79 2304
90 25.3 23 582 529 640
91 45.4 0 0 0 2061
92 43.2 9.1 393 83 1866
93 21.8 20.6 449 424 475
94 16.1 31.9 514 1018 259
95 41 40.9 1677 1673 1681
96 51.8 8 414 64 2683
97 59.5 6.4 381 41 3540
98 34.6 28.4 983 807 1197
99 51 16.4 836 269 2601
100 62.2 6.4 398 41 3869
101 38.2 17.5 669 306 1459
102 32.9 12.7 418 161 1082
103 54.4 1.1 60 1 2959
104 45.7 0 0 0 2088
105 30.5 32.7 997 1069 930
106 71 0 0 0 5041
107 47.1 17.2 810 296 2218
108 26.6 12.2 325 149 708
109 34.1 31.4 1071 986 1163
110 28.4 4 114 16 807
111 51.6 8.1 418 66 2663
112 39.4 33.3 1312 1109 1552
113 23.1 9.9 229 98 534
114 7.6 14.8 112 219 58
115 53.3 30.6 1631 936 2841
116 46.4 20.6 956 424 2153
117 12.2 30.9 377 955 149
118 13 13.6 177 185 169
119 30.6 25.3 774 640 936
120 59.6 16.6 989 276 3552
121 31.3 13.3 416 177 980
122 48 13.6 653 185 2304
123 32.5 31.5 1024 992 1056
124 45.5 0 0 0 2070
125 57.4 9.9 568 98 3295
126 48.6 1.1 53 1 2362
127 62.9 38.6 2428 1490 3956
128 55 3.8 209 14 3025
129 60.7 41.3 2507 1706 3684
130 41 38.5 1579 1482 1681
131 37.5 29.6 1110 876 1406
132 30.7 4 123 16 942
133 37.5 26.6 998 708 1406
134 39.5 18 711 324 1560
135 42.2 33.4 1409 1116 1781
136 20.8 18.9 393 357 433
137 46.8 11.4 534 130 2190
138 47.4 13.6 645 185 2247
139 43.5 10 435 100 1892
140 42.5 12.9 548 166 1806
141 51.4 16.2 833 262 2642
142 28.9 5.1 147 26 835
143 37.5 19.8 743 392 1406
144 40.1 13.6 545 185 1608
145 28.4 11.9 338 142 807
146 45.5 2.1 96 4 2070
147 52.2 0 0 0 2725
148 43.2 3.2 138 10 1866
149 45.1 16.4 740 269 2034
150 39.7 34.9 1386 1218 1576
151 48.5 35.8 1736 1282 2352
152 44.7 4.9 219 24 1998
153 28.9 12 347 144 835
154 40.9 6.5 266 42 1673
155 20.7 16.9 350 286 428
156 15.6 13.8 215 190 243
157 18.3 30.7 562 942 335
158 35.6 16.1 573 259 1267
159 39.4 11.6 457 135 1552
160 37.4 15.5 580 240 1399
161 57.8 3.5 202 12 3341
162 39.6 19.2 760 369 1568
163 11.6 16 186 256 135
164 55.5 8.5 472 72 3080
165 55.2 0 0 0 3047
166 30.6 13.7 419 188 936
167 73.6 0 0 0 5417
168 43.4 28.2 1224 795 1884
169 37.4 27.6 1032 762 1399
170 23.5 8.4 197 71 552
171 14.4 24 346 576 207
172 58.8 3.6 212 13 3457
173 58.1 6.6 383 44 3376
174 35.1 41.3 1450 1706 1232
175 45.2 4.3 194 18 2043
176 36.5 30.2 1102 912 1332
177 19.2 13.9 267 193 369
178 42 33 1386 1089 1764
179 36.7 13.1 481 172 1347
180 42.6 14 596 196 1815
181 15.5 26.9 417 724 240
182 55.9 11.6 648 135 3125
183 23.6 13.5 319 182 557
184 18.8 17 320 289 353
185 21.8 14.1 307 199 475
186 21.5 31.4 675 986 462
187 25.7 20.9 537 437 660
188 22 8.9 196 79 484
189 44.3 34.8 1542 1211 1962
190 20.5 16.3 334 266 420
191 42.3 35.3 1493 1246 1789
192 37.8 13.2 499 174 1429
193 42.7 43.8 1870 1918 1823
194 49.3 9.7 478 94 2430
195 29.3 15.2 445 231 858
196 34.6 15.2 526 231 1197
197 36.6 22.8 834 520 1340
198 48.2 34.4 1658 1183 2323
199 39.1 34 1329 1156 1529
200 31.6 18.2 575 331 999
201 25.5 17.4 444 303 650
202 45.9 13.1 601 172 2107
203 31.5 38.3 1206 1467 992
204 46.1 15.6 719 243 2125
205 26.6 18 479 324 708
206 21.4 12.8 274 164 458
207 44 22.2 977 493 1936
208 34.2 38.5 1317 1482 1170
209 26.2 11.5 301 132 686
210 40.9 34.8 1423 1211 1673
211 52.2 5.2 271 27 2725
212 43.5 0 0 0 1892
213 31.1 17.6 547 310 967
214 58 6.2 360 38 3364
215 20.9 18.1 378 328 437
216 48.1 19.2 924 369 2314
217 39.7 37.8 1501 1429 1576
218 40.8 28 1142 784 1665
219 43.8 13.6 596 185 1918
220 40.2 29.3 1178 858 1616
221 78.3 37.2 2913 1384 6131
222 38.5 9 347 81 1482
223 48.5 30.6 1484 936 2352
224 42.3 9.1 385 83 1789
225 46 34.5 1587 1190 2116
226 49 1.1 54 1 2401
227 12.8 16.5 211 272 164
228 40.2 32.4 1302 1050 1616
229 46.6 11.9 555 142 2172
230 19 31 589 961 361
231 33.4 4 134 16 1116
232 14.7 16.2 238 262 216
233 17.4 27.1 472 734 303
234 32.4 39.7 1286 1576 1050
235 23.9 8 191 64 571
236 39.3 12.9 507 166 1544
237 61.9 3.6 223 13 3832
238 39 13 507 169 1521
239 40.6 12.8 520 164 1648
240 29.7 18.1 538 328 882
241 28.8 11 317 121 829
242 41.4 13.7 567 188 1714
243 33.4 2 67 4 1116
244 48.2 32.8 1581 1076 2323
245 21.7 4.8 104 23 471
246 40.8 7.5 306 56 1665
247 40.6 16.4 666 269 1648
248 23.1 21.7 501 471 534
249 22.3 19 424 361 497
250 15 18 270 324 225
251 30 39.2 1176 1537 900
252 13.8 31.7 437 1005 190
253 52.7 5.9 311 35 2777
254 25.9 30.4 787 924 671
255 51.8 1.1 57 1 2683
256 17.4 31.5 548 992 303
257 26.5 14.6 387 213 702
258 43.9 17.3 759 299 1927
259 63.3 0 0 0 4007
260 28.8 17.7 510 313 829
261 30.7 17 522 289 942
262 24.4 16.2 395 262 595
263 53 15.9 843 253 2809
264 31.7 3.9 124 15 1005
265 40.6 32.6 1324 1063 1648
266 38.1 15.7 598 246 1452
267 23.7 17.8 422 317 562
268 41.1 34.7 1426 1204 1689
269 40.1 17.2 690 296 1608
270 23 17.6 405 310 529
271 117.5 10.8 1269 117 13806
272 26.5 17.7 469 313 702
273 40.5 13 527 169 1640
274 29.3 13.2 387 174 858
275 41 27.5 1128 756 1681
276 49.7 1.5 75 2 2470
277 34 19.1 649 365 1156
278 27.7 21.2 587 449 767
279 44 0 0 0 1936
280 31.1 2.6 81 7 967
281 45.4 2.3 104 5 2061
282 44.8 4.7 211 22 2007
283 25.6 2 51 4 655
284 23.5 33.5 787 1122 552
285 34.4 15 516 225 1183
286 55.3 30.1 1665 906 3058
287 56.3 5.9 332 35 3170
288 32.9 19.2 632 369 1082
289 51 16.6 847 276 2601
290 44.5 13.9 619 193 1980
291 37 37.7 1395 1421 1369
292 54.4 3.4 185 12 2959
293 24.5 17.5 429 306 600
294 42.5 12.6 536 159 1806
295 38.1 26.4 1006 697 1452
296 21.8 18.2 397 331 475
297 34.1 12.5 426 156 1163
298 28.5 34.9 995 1218 812
299 16.7 16.7 279 279 279
300 46.1 33.2 1531 1102 2125
301 36.9 2.5 92 6 1362
302 35.7 38 1357 1444 1274
303 23.2 16.5 383 272 538
304 38.4 38.3 1471 1467 1475
305 29.4 20 588 400 864
306 55 16.2 891 262 3025
307 50.2 14.4 723 207 2520
308 24.7 10.3 254 106 610
309 53 16.4 869 269 2809
310 19.1 30.3 579 918 365
311 24.7 16.4 405 269 610
312 42.2 21.3 899 454 1781
313 78 35.4 2761 1253 6084
314 42.8 8.3 355 69 1832
315 41.6 3.7 154 14 1731
316 27.3 15.6 426 243 745
317 42 13.3 559 177 1764
318 37.5 15.6 585 243 1406
319 49.8 7.1 354 50 2480
320 26.9 34.6 931 1197 724
321 18.6 13.5 251 182 346
322 37.7 16.9 637 286 1421
323 33.1 12.9 427 166 1096
324 42.5 28.6 1216 818 1806
325 31.3 12.4 388 154 980
326 38.1 36.6 1394 1340 1452
327 62.1 4.1 255 17 3856
328 36.7 3.5 128 12 1347
329 23.6 15.9 375 253 557
330 19.2 13.6 261 185 369
331 12.8 32 410 1024 164
332 15.6 25.6 399 655 243
333 39.6 39.8 1576 1584 1568
334 38.4 7.8 300 61 1475
335 22.8 30 684 900 520
336 36.5 27.3 996 745 1332
337 35.6 5.1 182 26 1267
338 30.9 31.3 967 980 955
339 36.3 31.5 1143 992 1318
340 50.4 1.7 86 3 2540
341 42.9 33.6 1441 1129 1840
342 37 13 481 169 1369
343 53.5 5.7 305 32 2862
344 46.6 33.5 1561 1122 2172
345 41.2 34.6 1426 1197 1697
346 37.9 0 0 0 1436
347 30.8 13.2 407 174 949
348 11.2 17.4 195 303 125
349 53.7 4.6 247 21 2884
350 47 7.8 367 61 2209
351 42.3 13.2 558 174 1789
352 28.6 4 114 16 818
353 25.7 18.4 473 339 660
354 31.3 4.1 128 17 980
355 30.1 12.2 367 149 906
356 60.7 3.8 231 14 3684
357 45.3 10.3 467 106 2052
358 44.9 0 0 0 2016
359 45.1 1.1 50 1 2034
360 24.7 5.6 138 31 610
361 47.1 32.9 1550 1082 2218
362 63.3 41.4 2621 1714 4007
363 40 17.1 684 292 1600
364 48 32.3 1550 1043 2304
365 33.1 35.3 1168 1246 1096
366 29.5 17.3 510 299 870
367 24.8 14.2 352 202 615
368 20.9 15 314 225 437
369 43.1 18.2 784 331 1858
370 22.8 20.2 461 408 520
371 42.1 15.9 669 253 1772
372 51.7 4.1 212 17 2673
373 41.5 33.9 1407 1149 1722
374 52.2 0 0 0 2725
375 49.5 5.4 267 29 2450
376 23.8 21.7 516 471 566
377 30.5 14.7 448 216 930
378 56.8 3.9 222 15 3226
379 37.4 37.3 1395 1391 1399
380 69.7 0 0 0 4858
381 53.3 14.1 752 199 2841
382 47.3 8 378 64 2237
383 29.3 16.3 478 266 858
384 40.3 29.1 1173 847 1624
385 12.9 16.1 208 259 166
386 46.6 18.3 853 335 2172
387 55.3 0 0 0 3058
388 25.6 16.2 415 262 655
389 27.3 10.4 284 108 745
390 67.7 40.9 2769 1673 4583
391 38.6 32.8 1266 1076 1490
392 31.3 6.2 194 38 980
393 35.3 42.7 1507 1823 1246
394 40.3 16.9 681 286 1624
395 24.7 32.6 805 1063 610
396 42.5 21.2 901 449 1806
397 31.9 37.1 1183 1376 1018
398 32.2 13.1 422 172 1037
399 23 14.7 338 216 529
400 37.3 12.7 474 161 1391
401 35.5 26.8 951 718 1260
402 27.7 7.6 211 58 767
403 28.5 12.7 362 161 812
404 39.7 30.9 1227 955 1576
405 41.2 16.4 676 269 1697
406 37.2 23 856 529 1384
407 40.5 1.9 77 4 1640
408 22.3 5.2 116 27 497
409 28.1 18.5 520 342 790
410 15.4 13.7 211 188 237
411 50 5.6 280 31 2500
412 40.6 18.8 763 353 1648
413 52.5 8.1 425 66 2756
414 63.9 6.5 415 42 4083
 Y X Also solved by using the
-0.21056704628 house price house age NOTE: Correlation formula.
Y
house price 1
X
house age -0.21056704628 1

Numerator -5580913.34
Denominator 26504210.60023
37.98019 Average
15723.8 7333 265028 183489 673654 Sum

Y
house X
price house age YX X^2 Y^2 Y forecast
37.9 32 1212.8 1024 1436.4 34.4 b0 42.43
42.2 19.5 822.9 380.25 1780.8 37.5 b1 -0.25
47.3 13.3 629.1 176.89 2237.3 39.1
54.8 13.3 728.8 176.89 3003.0 39.1
43.1 5 215.5 25 1857.6 41.2
32.1 7.1 227.9 50.41 1030.4 40.6 R square
Coefficient of
40.3 34.5 1390.4 1190.25 1624.1 33.8 determination 0.044338
46.7 20.3 948.0 412.09 2180.9 37.3
18.8 31.7 596.0 1004.89 353.4 34.5 ANOVA df SS MS
22.1 17.9 395.6 320.41 488.4 37.9 Regression 1 3390.2 3390.2
41.4 34.8 1440.7 1211.04 1714.0 33.7 Residual 412 73071.2 177.4
58.1 6.3 366.0 39.69 3375.6 40.9 Total 413 76461.4
39.3 13 510.9 169 1544.5 39.2
23.8 20.4 485.5 416.16 566.4 37.3
34.3 13.2 452.8 174.24 1176.5 39.1
50.5 35.7 1802.9 1274.49 2550.3 33.5
70.1 0 0.0 0 4914.0 42.4
37.4 17.7 662.0 313.29 1398.8 38.0
42.3 16.9 714.9 285.61 1789.3 38.2

47.7 1.5 71.6 2.25 2275.3 42.1

29.3 4.5 131.9 20.25 858.5 41.3
51.6 10.5 541.8 110.25 2662.6 39.8
24.6 14.7 361.6 216.09 605.2 38.7
47.9 10.1 483.8 102.01 2294.4 39.9
38.8 39.6 1536.5 1568.16 1505.4 32.5
27 29.3 791.1 858.49 729.0 35.1
56.2 3.1 174.2 9.61 3158.4 41.7
33.6 10.4 349.4 108.16 1129.0 39.8
47 19.2 902.4 368.64 2209.0 37.6
57.1 7.1 405.4 50.41 3260.4 40.6
22.1 25.9 572.4 670.81 488.4 35.9
25 29.6 740.0 876.16 625.0 35.0
34.2 37.9 1296.2 1436.41 1169.6 32.9
49.3 16.5 813.5 272.25 2430.5 38.3
55.1 15.4 848.5 237.16 3036.0 38.6
27.3 13.9 379.5 193.21 745.3 38.9
22.9 14.7 336.6 216.09 524.4 38.7
25.3 12 303.6 144 640.1 39.4
47.7 3.1 147.9 9.61 2275.3 41.7
46.2 16.2 748.4 262.44 2134.4 38.4
15.9 13.6 216.2 184.96 252.8 39.0
18.2 16.8 305.8 282.24 331.2 38.2
34.7 36.1 1252.7 1303.21 1204.1 33.4
34.1 34.4 1173.0 1183.36 1162.8 33.8
53.9 2.7 145.5 7.29 2905.2 41.8
38.3 36.6 1401.8 1339.56 1466.9 33.2
42 21.7 911.4 470.89 1764.0 37.0
61.5 35.9 2207.9 1288.81 3782.3 33.4
13.4 24.2 324.3 585.64 179.6 36.3
13.2 29.4 388.1 864.36 174.2 35.0
44.2 21.7 959.1 470.89 1953.6 37.0
20.7 31.3 647.9 979.69 428.5 34.6
27 32.1 866.7 1030.41 729.0 34.4
38.9 13.3 517.4 176.89 1513.2 39.1
51.7 16.1 832.4 259.21 2672.9 38.4
13.7 31.7 434.3 1004.89 187.7 34.5
41.9 33.6 1407.8 1128.96 1755.6 34.0
53.5 3.5 187.3 12.25 2862.3 41.6
22.6 30.3 684.8 918.09 510.8 34.8
42.4 13.3 563.9 176.89 1797.8 39.1
21.3 11 234.3 121 453.7 39.7
63.2 5.3 335.0 28.09 3994.2 41.1
27.7 17.2 476.4 295.84 767.3 38.1
55 2.6 143.0 6.76 3025.0 41.8
25.3 17.5 442.8 306.25 640.1 38.0
44.3 40.1 1776.4 1608.01 1962.5 32.4
50.7 1 50.7 1 2570.5 42.2
56.8 8.5 482.8 72.25 3226.2 40.3
36.2 30.4 1100.5 924.16 1310.4 34.8
42 12.5 525.0 156.25 1764.0 39.3
59 6.6 389.4 43.56 3481.0 40.8
40.8 35.5 1448.4 1260.25 1664.6 33.5
36.3 32.5 1179.8 1056.25 1317.7 34.3
20 13.8 276.0 190.44 400.0 39.0
54.4 6.8 369.9 46.24 2959.4 40.7
29.5 12.3 362.9 151.29 870.3 39.3
36.8 35.9 1321.1 1288.81 1354.2 33.4
25.6 20.5 524.8 420.25 655.4 37.3
29.8 38.2 1138.4 1459.24 888.0 32.8
26.5 18 477.0 324 702.3 37.9
40.3 11.8 475.5 139.24 1624.1 39.5
36.8 30.8 1133.4 948.64 1354.2 34.7
48.1 13.2 634.9 174.24 2313.6 39.1
17.7 25.3 447.8 640.09 313.3 36.1
43.7 15.1 659.9 228.01 1909.7 38.6
50.8 0 0.0 0 2580.6 42.4
27 1.8 48.6 3.24 729.0 42.0
18.3 16.9 309.3 285.61 334.9 38.2
48 8.9 427.2 79.21 2304.0 40.2
25.3 23 581.9 529 640.1 36.7
45.4 0 0.0 0 2061.2 42.4
43.2 9.1 393.1 82.81 1866.2 40.1
21.8 20.6 449.1 424.36 475.2 37.3
16.1 31.9 513.6 1017.61 259.2 34.4
41 40.9 1676.9 1672.81 1681.0 32.1
51.8 8 414.4 64 2683.2 40.4
59.5 6.4 380.8 40.96 3540.3 40.8
34.6 28.4 982.6 806.56 1197.2 35.3
51 16.4 836.4 268.96 2601.0 38.3
62.2 6.4 398.1 40.96 3868.8 40.8
38.2 17.5 668.5 306.25 1459.2 38.0
32.9 12.7 417.8 161.29 1082.4 39.2
54.4 1.1 59.8 1.21 2959.4 42.2
45.7 0 0.0 0 2088.5 42.4
30.5 32.7 997.4 1069.29 930.3 34.2
71 0 0.0 0 5041.0 42.4
47.1 17.2 810.1 295.84 2218.4 38.1
26.6 12.2 324.5 148.84 707.6 39.4
34.1 31.4 1070.7 985.96 1162.8 34.5
28.4 4 113.6 16 806.6 41.4
51.6 8.1 418.0 65.61 2662.6 40.4
39.4 33.3 1312.0 1108.89 1552.4 34.1
23.1 9.9 228.7 98.01 533.6 39.9
7.6 14.8 112.5 219.04 57.8 38.7
53.3 30.6 1631.0 936.36 2840.9 34.7
46.4 20.6 955.8 424.36 2153.0 37.3
12.2 30.9 377.0 954.81 148.8 34.7
13 13.6 176.8 184.96 169.0 39.0
30.6 25.3 774.2 640.09 936.4 36.1
59.6 16.6 989.4 275.56 3552.2 38.3
31.3 13.3 416.3 176.89 979.7 39.1
48 13.6 652.8 184.96 2304.0 39.0
32.5 31.5 1023.8 992.25 1056.3 34.5
45.5 0 0.0 0 2070.3 42.4
57.4 9.9 568.3 98.01 3294.8 39.9
48.6 1.1 53.5 1.21 2362.0 42.2
62.9 38.6 2427.9 1489.96 3956.4 32.7
55 3.8 209.0 14.44 3025.0 41.5
60.7 41.3 2506.9 1705.69 3684.5 32.0
41 38.5 1578.5 1482.25 1681.0 32.8
37.5 29.6 1110.0 876.16 1406.3 35.0
30.7 4 122.8 16 942.5 41.4
37.5 26.6 997.5 707.56 1406.3 35.7
39.5 18 711.0 324 1560.3 37.9
42.2 33.4 1409.5 1115.56 1780.8 34.0
20.8 18.9 393.1 357.21 432.6 37.7
46.8 11.4 533.5 129.96 2190.2 39.6
47.4 13.6 644.6 184.96 2246.8 39.0
43.5 10 435.0 100 1892.3 39.9
42.5 12.9 548.3 166.41 1806.3 39.2
51.4 16.2 832.7 262.44 2642.0 38.4
28.9 5.1 147.4 26.01 835.2 41.2
37.5 19.8 742.5 392.04 1406.3 37.5
40.1 13.6 545.4 184.96 1608.0 39.0
28.4 11.9 338.0 141.61 806.6 39.4
45.5 2.1 95.6 4.41 2070.3 41.9
52.2 0 0.0 0 2724.8 42.4
43.2 3.2 138.2 10.24 1866.2 41.6
45.1 16.4 739.6 268.96 2034.0 38.3
39.7 34.9 1385.5 1218.01 1576.1 33.7
48.5 35.8 1736.3 1281.64 2352.3 33.4
44.7 4.9 219.0 24.01 1998.1 41.2
28.9 12 346.8 144 835.2 39.4
40.9 6.5 265.9 42.25 1672.8 40.8
20.7 16.9 349.8 285.61 428.5 38.2
15.6 13.8 215.3 190.44 243.4 39.0
18.3 30.7 561.8 942.49 334.9 34.7
35.6 16.1 573.2 259.21 1267.4 38.4
39.4 11.6 457.0 134.56 1552.4 39.5
37.4 15.5 579.7 240.25 1398.8 38.5
57.8 3.5 202.3 12.25 3340.8 41.6
39.6 19.2 760.3 368.64 1568.2 37.6
11.6 16 185.6 256 134.6 38.4
55.5 8.5 471.8 72.25 3080.3 40.3
55.2 0 0.0 0 3047.0 42.4
30.6 13.7 419.2 187.69 936.4 39.0
73.6 0 0.0 0 5417.0 42.4
43.4 28.2 1223.9 795.24 1883.6 35.3
37.4 27.6 1032.2 761.76 1398.8 35.5
23.5 8.4 197.4 70.56 552.3 40.3
14.4 24 345.6 576 207.4 36.4
58.8 3.6 211.7 12.96 3457.4 41.5
58.1 6.6 383.5 43.56 3375.6 40.8
35.1 41.3 1449.6 1705.69 1232.0 32.0
45.2 4.3 194.4 18.49 2043.0 41.4
36.5 30.2 1102.3 912.04 1332.3 34.8
19.2 13.9 266.9 193.21 368.6 38.9
42 33 1386.0 1089 1764.0 34.1
36.7 13.1 480.8 171.61 1346.9 39.1
42.6 14 596.4 196 1814.8 38.9
15.5 26.9 417.0 723.61 240.3 35.7
55.9 11.6 648.4 134.56 3124.8 39.5
23.6 13.5 318.6 182.25 557.0 39.0
18.8 17 319.6 289 353.4 38.2
21.8 14.1 307.4 198.81 475.2 38.9
21.5 31.4 675.1 985.96 462.3 34.5
25.7 20.9 537.1 436.81 660.5 37.2
22 8.9 195.8 79.21 484.0 40.2
44.3 34.8 1541.6 1211.04 1962.5 33.7
20.5 16.3 334.2 265.69 420.3 38.3
42.3 35.3 1493.2 1246.09 1789.3 33.6
37.8 13.2 499.0 174.24 1428.8 39.1
42.7 43.8 1870.3 1918.44 1823.3 31.4
49.3 9.7 478.2 94.09 2430.5 40.0
29.3 15.2 445.4 231.04 858.5 38.6
34.6 15.2 525.9 231.04 1197.2 38.6
36.6 22.8 834.5 519.84 1339.6 36.7
48.2 34.4 1658.1 1183.36 2323.2 33.8
39.1 34 1329.4 1156 1528.8 33.9
31.6 18.2 575.1 331.24 998.6 37.9
25.5 17.4 443.7 302.76 650.3 38.1
45.9 13.1 601.3 171.61 2106.8 39.1
31.5 38.3 1206.5 1466.89 992.3 32.8
46.1 15.6 719.2 243.36 2125.2 38.5
26.6 18 478.8 324 707.6 37.9
21.4 12.8 273.9 163.84 458.0 39.2
44 22.2 976.8 492.84 1936.0 36.9
34.2 38.5 1316.7 1482.25 1169.6 32.8
26.2 11.5 301.3 132.25 686.4 39.5
40.9 34.8 1423.3 1211.04 1672.8 33.7
52.2 5.2 271.4 27.04 2724.8 41.1
43.5 0 0.0 0 1892.3 42.4
31.1 17.6 547.4 309.76 967.2 38.0
58 6.2 359.6 38.44 3364.0 40.9
20.9 18.1 378.3 327.61 436.8 37.9
48.1 19.2 923.5 368.64 2313.6 37.6
39.7 37.8 1500.7 1428.84 1576.1 32.9
40.8 28 1142.4 784 1664.6 35.4
43.8 13.6 595.7 184.96 1918.4 39.0
40.2 29.3 1177.9 858.49 1616.0 35.1
78.3 37.2 2912.8 1383.84 6130.9 33.1
38.5 9 346.5 81 1482.3 40.2
48.5 30.6 1484.1 936.36 2352.3 34.7
42.3 9.1 384.9 82.81 1789.3 40.1
46 34.5 1587.0 1190.25 2116.0 33.8
49 1.1 53.9 1.21 2401.0 42.2
12.8 16.5 211.2 272.25 163.8 38.3
40.2 32.4 1302.5 1049.76 1616.0 34.3
46.6 11.9 554.5 141.61 2171.6 39.4
19 31 589.0 961 361.0 34.6
33.4 4 133.6 16 1115.6 41.4
14.7 16.2 238.1 262.44 216.1 38.4
17.4 27.1 471.5 734.41 302.8 35.6
32.4 39.7 1286.3 1576.09 1049.8 32.5
23.9 8 191.2 64 571.2 40.4
39.3 12.9 507.0 166.41 1544.5 39.2
61.9 3.6 222.8 12.96 3831.6 41.5
39 13 507.0 169 1521.0 39.2
40.6 12.8 519.7 163.84 1648.4 39.2
29.7 18.1 537.6 327.61 882.1 37.9
28.8 11 316.8 121 829.4 39.7
41.4 13.7 567.2 187.69 1714.0 39.0
33.4 2 66.8 4 1115.6 41.9
48.2 32.8 1581.0 1075.84 2323.2 34.2
21.7 4.8 104.2 23.04 470.9 41.2
40.8 7.5 306.0 56.25 1664.6 40.5
40.6 16.4 665.8 268.96 1648.4 38.3
23.1 21.7 501.3 470.89 533.6 37.0
22.3 19 423.7 361 497.3 37.7
15 18 270.0 324 225.0 37.9
30 39.2 1176.0 1536.64 900.0 32.6
13.8 31.7 437.5 1004.89 190.4 34.5
52.7 5.9 310.9 34.81 2777.3 41.0
25.9 30.4 787.4 924.16 670.8 34.8
51.8 1.1 57.0 1.21 2683.2 42.2
17.4 31.5 548.1 992.25 302.8 34.5
26.5 14.6 386.9 213.16 702.3 38.8
43.9 17.3 759.5 299.29 1927.2 38.1
63.3 0 0.0 0 4006.9 42.4
28.8 17.7 509.8 313.29 829.4 38.0
30.7 17 521.9 289 942.5 38.2
24.4 16.2 395.3 262.44 595.4 38.4
53 15.9 842.7 252.81 2809.0 38.4
 31.7 3.9 123.6 15.21 1004.9 41.5
40.6 32.6 1323.6 1062.76 1648.4 34.2
38.1 15.7 598.2 246.49 1451.6 38.5
23.7 17.8 421.9 316.84 561.7 38.0
41.1 34.7 1426.2 1204.09 1689.2 33.7
40.1 17.2 689.7 295.84 1608.0 38.1
23 17.6 404.8 309.76 529.0 38.0
117.5 10.8 1269.0 116.64 13806.3 39.7
26.5 17.7 469.1 313.29 702.3 38.0
40.5 13 526.5 169 1640.3 39.2
29.3 13.2 386.8 174.24 858.5 39.1
41 27.5 1127.5 756.25 1681.0 35.5
49.7 1.5 74.6 2.25 2470.1 42.1
34 19.1 649.4 364.81 1156.0 37.6
27.7 21.2 587.2 449.44 767.3 37.1
44 0 0.0 0 1936.0 42.4
31.1 2.6 80.9 6.76 967.2 41.8
45.4 2.3 104.4 5.29 2061.2 41.9
44.8 4.7 210.6 22.09 2007.0 41.3
25.6 2 51.2 4 655.4 41.9
23.5 33.5 787.3 1122.25 552.3 34.0
34.4 15 516.0 225 1183.4 38.7
55.3 30.1 1664.5 906.01 3058.1 34.9
56.3 5.9 332.2 34.81 3169.7 41.0
32.9 19.2 631.7 368.64 1082.4 37.6
51 16.6 846.6 275.56 2601.0 38.3
44.5 13.9 618.6 193.21 1980.3 38.9
37 37.7 1394.9 1421.29 1369.0 33.0
54.4 3.4 185.0 11.56 2959.4 41.6
24.5 17.5 428.8 306.25 600.3 38.0
42.5 12.6 535.5 158.76 1806.3 39.3
38.1 26.4 1005.8 696.96 1451.6 35.8
21.8 18.2 396.8 331.24 475.2 37.9
34.1 12.5 426.3 156.25 1162.8 39.3
28.5 34.9 994.7 1218.01 812.3 33.7
16.7 16.7 278.9 278.89 278.9 38.2
46.1 33.2 1530.5 1102.24 2125.2 34.1
36.9 2.5 92.3 6.25 1361.6 41.8
35.7 38 1356.6 1444 1274.5 32.9
23.2 16.5 382.8 272.25 538.2 38.3
38.4 38.3 1470.7 1466.89 1474.6 32.8
29.4 20 588.0 400 864.4 37.4
55 16.2 891.0 262.44 3025.0 38.4
50.2 14.4 722.9 207.36 2520.0 38.8
24.7 10.3 254.4 106.09 610.1 39.8
 53 16.4 869.2 268.96 2809.0 38.3
19.1 30.3 578.7 918.09 364.8 34.8
24.7 16.4 405.1 268.96 610.1 38.3
42.2 21.3 898.9 453.69 1780.8 37.1
78 35.4 2761.2 1253.16 6084.0 33.5
42.8 8.3 355.2 68.89 1831.8 40.3
41.6 3.7 153.9 13.69 1730.6 41.5
27.3 15.6 425.9 243.36 745.3 38.5
42 13.3 558.6 176.89 1764.0 39.1
37.5 15.6 585.0 243.36 1406.3 38.5
49.8 7.1 353.6 50.41 2480.0 40.6
26.9 34.6 930.7 1197.16 723.6 33.7
18.6 13.5 251.1 182.25 346.0 39.0
37.7 16.9 637.1 285.61 1421.3 38.2
33.1 12.9 427.0 166.41 1095.6 39.2
42.5 28.6 1215.5 817.96 1806.3 35.2
31.3 12.4 388.1 153.76 979.7 39.3
38.1 36.6 1394.5 1339.56 1451.6 33.2
62.1 4.1 254.6 16.81 3856.4 41.4
36.7 3.5 128.5 12.25 1346.9 41.6
23.6 15.9 375.2 252.81 557.0 38.4
19.2 13.6 261.1 184.96 368.6 39.0
12.8 32 409.6 1024 163.8 34.4
15.6 25.6 399.4 655.36 243.4 36.0
39.6 39.8 1576.1 1584.04 1568.2 32.4
38.4 7.8 299.5 60.84 1474.6 40.5
22.8 30 684.0 900 519.8 34.9
36.5 27.3 996.5 745.29 1332.3 35.6
35.6 5.1 181.6 26.01 1267.4 41.2
30.9 31.3 967.2 979.69 954.8 34.6
36.3 31.5 1143.5 992.25 1317.7 34.5
50.4 1.7 85.7 2.89 2540.2 42.0
42.9 33.6 1441.4 1128.96 1840.4 34.0
37 13 481.0 169 1369.0 39.2
53.5 5.7 305.0 32.49 2862.3 41.0
46.6 33.5 1561.1 1122.25 2171.6 34.0
41.2 34.6 1425.5 1197.16 1697.4 33.7
37.9 0 0.0 0 1436.4 42.4
30.8 13.2 406.6 174.24 948.6 39.1
11.2 17.4 194.9 302.76 125.4 38.1
53.7 4.6 247.0 21.16 2883.7 41.3
47 7.8 366.6 60.84 2209.0 40.5
42.3 13.2 558.4 174.24 1789.3 39.1
28.6 4 114.4 16 818.0 41.4
25.7 18.4 472.9 338.56 660.5 37.8
31.3 4.1 128.3 16.81 979.7 41.4
30.1 12.2 367.2 148.84 906.0 39.4
60.7 3.8 230.7 14.44 3684.5 41.5
45.3 10.3 466.6 106.09 2052.1 39.8
44.9 0 0.0 0 2016.0 42.4
45.1 1.1 49.6 1.21 2034.0 42.2
24.7 5.6 138.3 31.36 610.1 41.0
47.1 32.9 1549.6 1082.41 2218.4 34.2
63.3 41.4 2620.6 1713.96 4006.9 32.0
40 17.1 684.0 292.41 1600.0 38.1
48 32.3 1550.4 1043.29 2304.0 34.3
33.1 35.3 1168.4 1246.09 1095.6 33.6
29.5 17.3 510.4 299.29 870.3 38.1
24.8 14.2 352.2 201.64 615.0 38.9
20.9 15 313.5 225 436.8 38.7
43.1 18.2 784.4 331.24 1857.6 37.9
22.8 20.2 460.6 408.04 519.8 37.4
42.1 15.9 669.4 252.81 1772.4 38.4
51.7 4.1 212.0 16.81 2672.9 41.4
41.5 33.9 1406.9 1149.21 1722.3 33.9
52.2 0 0.0 0 2724.8 42.4
49.5 5.4 267.3 29.16 2450.3 41.1
23.8 21.7 516.5 470.89 566.4 37.0
30.5 14.7 448.4 216.09 930.3 38.7
56.8 3.9 221.5 15.21 3226.2 41.5
37.4 37.3 1395.0 1391.29 1398.8 33.1
69.7 0 0.0 0 4858.1 42.4
53.3 14.1 751.5 198.81 2840.9 38.9
47.3 8 378.4 64 2237.3 40.4
29.3 16.3 477.6 265.69 858.5 38.3
40.3 29.1 1172.7 846.81 1624.1 35.1
12.9 16.1 207.7 259.21 166.4 38.4
46.6 18.3 852.8 334.89 2171.6 37.8
55.3 0 0.0 0 3058.1 42.4
25.6 16.2 414.7 262.44 655.4 38.4
27.3 10.4 283.9 108.16 745.3 39.8
67.7 40.9 2768.9 1672.81 4583.3 32.1
38.6 32.8 1266.1 1075.84 1490.0 34.2
31.3 6.2 194.1 38.44 979.7 40.9
35.3 42.7 1507.3 1823.29 1246.1 31.7
40.3 16.9 681.1 285.61 1624.1 38.2
24.7 32.6 805.2 1062.76 610.1 34.2
42.5 21.2 901.0 449.44 1806.3 37.1
31.9 37.1 1183.5 1376.41 1017.6 33.1
32.2 13.1 421.8 171.61 1036.8 39.1
 23 14.7 338.1 216.09 529.0 38.7
37.3 12.7 473.7 161.29 1391.3 39.2
35.5 26.8 951.4 718.24 1260.3 35.7
27.7 7.6 210.5 57.76 767.3 40.5
28.5 12.7 362.0 161.29 812.3 39.2
39.7 30.9 1226.7 954.81 1576.1 34.7
41.2 16.4 675.7 268.96 1697.4 38.3
37.2 23 855.6 529 1383.8 36.7
40.5 1.9 77.0 3.61 1640.3 42.0
22.3 5.2 116.0 27.04 497.3 41.1
28.1 18.5 519.9 342.25 789.6 37.8
15.4 13.7 211.0 187.69 237.2 39.0
50 5.6 280.0 31.36 2500.0 41.0
40.6 18.8 763.3 353.44 1648.4 37.7
52.5 8.1 425.3 65.61 2756.3 40.4
63.9 6.5 415.4 42.25 4083.2 40.8
 SST 76461.378 SSR 3390.18 SSE 73071.20

Y - Yaverage (Y - Yaverage)^2 Yforecast - Yaverage (Yforecast - Yaverage)^2 Y - Yforecast (Y - Yforecast)^2

-0.08 0.006 -3.59 12.91 3.5 12.34

4.22 17.81 -0.45 0.20 4.7 21.80
9.32 86.86 1.11 1.23 8.2 67.41
16.82 282.91 1.11 1.23 15.7 246.81
5.12 26.21 3.20 10.22 1.9 3.70
-5.88 34.58 2.67 7.12 -8.5 73.09
2.32 5.38 -4.22 17.82 6.5 42.79
8.72 76.04 -0.65 0.42 9.4 87.81 Adjusted R Squa
F -19.18 367.88 -3.52 12.37 -15.7 245.31
19.1 -15.88 252.18 -0.05 0.00 -15.8 250.69
3.42 11.70 -4.30 18.47 7.7 59.55
20.12 404.81 2.87 8.24 17.2 297.55
1.32 1.74 1.19 1.40 0.1 0.02
-14.18 201.08 -0.68 0.46 -13.5 182.37
-3.68 13.54 1.13 1.29 -4.8 23.18
12.52 156.75 -4.52 20.46 17.0 290.48
32.12 1031.68 4.45 19.84 27.7 765.37
-0.58 0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.6 0.34
4.32 18.66 0.20 0.04 4.1 16.94

9.72 94.47 4.08 16.62 5.6 31.84

-8.68 75.35 3.32 11.04 -12.0 144.07
13.62 185.50 1.81 3.29 11.8 139.38
-13.38 179.03 0.76 0.57 -14.1 199.88
9.92 98.40 1.91 3.67 8.0 64.09
0.82 0.67 -5.50 30.30 6.3 40.00
-10.98 120.56 -2.91 8.49 -8.1 65.06
18.22 331.96 3.67 13.50 14.5 211.55
-4.38 19.19 1.84 3.38 -6.2 38.68
9.02 81.36 -0.37 0.14 9.4 88.24
19.12 365.57 2.67 7.12 16.5 270.63
-15.88 252.18 -2.06 4.24 -13.8 191.02
-12.98 168.49 -2.99 8.94 -10.0 99.81
-3.78 14.29 -5.08 25.77 1.3 1.68
11.32 128.14 0.30 0.09 11.0 121.33
17.12 293.09 0.58 0.34 16.5 273.51
-10.68 114.07 0.96 0.92 -11.6 135.47
-15.08 227.41 0.76 0.57 -15.8 250.84
-12.68 160.79 1.44 2.06 -14.1 199.29
 9.72 94.47 3.67 13.50 6.0 36.54
8.22 67.57 0.38 0.14 7.8 61.46
-22.08 487.53 1.03 1.07 -23.1 534.28
-19.78 391.26 0.23 0.05 -20.0 400.39
-3.28 10.76 -4.62 21.38 1.3 1.81
-3.88 15.06 -4.20 17.61 0.3 0.10
15.92 253.44 3.78 14.25 12.1 147.48
0.32 0.10 -4.75 22.56 5.1 25.70
4.02 16.16 -1.00 1.01 5.0 25.23
23.52 553.18 -4.57 20.92 28.1 789.26
-24.58 604.19 -1.63 2.66 -22.9 526.64
-24.78 614.06 -2.94 8.64 -21.8 477.03
6.22 38.69 -1.00 1.01 7.2 52.17
-17.28 298.61 -3.42 11.68 -13.9 192.19
-10.98 120.56 -3.62 13.09 -7.4 54.20
0.92 0.85 1.11 1.23 -0.2 0.04
13.72 188.23 0.41 0.16 13.3 177.27
-24.28 589.53 -3.52 12.37 -20.8 431.08
3.92 15.36 -4.00 15.96 7.9 62.65
15.52 240.86 3.57 12.78 11.9 142.70
-15.38 236.55 -3.17 10.02 -12.2 149.20
4.42 19.53 1.11 1.23 3.3 10.96
-16.68 278.23 1.69 2.85 -18.4 337.40
25.22 636.04 3.12 9.74 22.1 488.33
-10.28 105.68 0.13 0.02 -10.4 108.35
17.02 289.67 3.80 14.44 13.2 174.75
-12.68 160.79 0.05 0.00 -12.7 162.15
6.32 39.94 -5.63 31.70 11.9 142.80
12.72 161.79 4.20 17.67 8.5 72.54
18.82 354.19 2.32 5.37 16.5 272.35
-1.78 3.17 -3.19 10.18 1.4 1.99
4.02 16.16 1.31 1.72 2.7 7.34
21.02 441.83 2.79 7.81 18.2 332.16
2.82 7.95 -4.47 20.01 7.3 53.19
-1.68 2.82 -3.72 13.83 2.0 4.16
-17.98 323.29 0.98 0.97 -19.0 359.64
16.42 269.61 2.74 7.53 13.7 187.02
-8.48 71.91 1.36 1.85 -9.8 96.85
-1.18 1.39 -4.57 20.92 3.4 11.52
-12.38 153.27 -0.70 0.49 -11.7 136.40
-8.18 66.92 -5.15 26.55 -3.0 9.17
-11.48 131.79 -0.07 0.01 -11.4 130.14
2.32 5.38 1.49 2.21 0.8 0.69
-1.18 1.39 -3.29 10.83 2.1 4.46
10.12 102.41 1.13 1.29 9.0 80.73
-20.28 411.29 -1.91 3.64 -18.4 337.53
5.72 32.72 0.66 0.43 5.1 25.63
12.82 164.35 4.45 19.84 8.4 69.98
-10.98 120.56 4.00 16.01 -15.0 224.46
-19.68 387.31 0.20 0.04 -19.9 395.40
10.02 100.40 2.22 4.91 7.8 60.90
-12.68 160.79 -1.33 1.77 -11.4 128.83
7.42 55.05 4.45 19.84 3.0 8.79
5.22 27.25 2.17 4.69 3.1 9.33
-16.18 261.80 -0.73 0.53 -15.5 238.83
-21.88 478.74 -3.57 12.73 -18.3 335.34
3.02 9.12 -5.83 34.00 8.9 78.34
13.82 190.99 2.44 5.97 11.4 129.44
21.52 463.10 2.84 8.09 18.7 348.75
-3.38 11.43 -2.69 7.22 -0.7 0.48
13.02 169.52 0.33 0.11 12.7 161.03
24.22 586.60 2.84 8.09 21.4 456.88
0.22 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.2 0.03
-5.08 25.81 1.26 1.59 -6.3 40.21
16.42 269.61 4.18 17.45 12.2 149.87
7.72 59.60 4.45 19.84 3.3 10.66
-7.48 55.95 -3.77 14.21 -3.7 13.77
33.02 1090.31 4.45 19.84 28.6 815.98
9.12 83.17 0.13 0.02 9.0 80.84
-11.38 129.51 1.39 1.92 -12.8 162.98
-3.88 15.06 -3.44 11.85 -0.4 0.19
-9.58 91.78 3.45 11.89 -13.0 169.75
13.62 185.50 2.42 5.84 11.2 125.49
1.42 2.02 -3.92 15.37 5.3 28.51
-14.88 221.42 1.96 3.86 -16.8 283.75
-30.38 922.96 0.73 0.54 -31.1 968.00
15.32 234.70 -3.24 10.50 18.6 344.51
8.42 70.89 -0.73 0.53 9.1 83.65
-25.78 664.62 -3.32 11.00 -22.5 504.62
-24.98 624.01 1.03 1.07 -26.0 676.75
-7.38 54.47 -1.91 3.64 -5.5 29.94
21.62 467.42 0.28 0.08 21.3 455.40
-6.68 44.62 1.11 1.23 -7.8 60.68
10.02 100.40 1.03 1.07 9.0 80.74
-5.48 30.03 -3.47 12.02 -2.0 4.05
7.52 56.55 4.45 19.84 3.1 9.40
19.42 377.13 1.96 3.86 17.5 304.68
10.62 112.78 4.18 17.45 6.4 41.50
24.92 621.00 -5.25 27.59 30.2 910.40
17.02 289.67 3.50 12.24 13.5 182.82
 22.72 516.19 -5.93 35.19 28.7 820.92
3.02 9.12 -5.23 27.33 8.2 68.02
-0.48 0.23 -2.99 8.94 2.5 6.30
-7.28 53.00 3.45 11.89 -10.7 115.11
-0.48 0.23 -2.24 5.00 1.8 3.08
1.52 2.31 -0.07 0.01 1.6 2.53
4.22 17.81 -3.95 15.56 8.2 66.67
-17.18 295.16 -0.30 0.09 -16.9 284.99
8.82 77.79 1.59 2.52 7.2 52.31
9.42 88.73 1.03 1.07 8.4 70.32
5.52 30.47 1.94 3.76 3.6 12.82
4.52 20.43 1.21 1.46 3.3 10.95
13.42 180.09 0.38 0.14 13.0 170.03
-9.08 82.45 3.17 10.06 -12.3 150.11
-0.48 0.23 -0.52 0.28 0.0 0.00
2.12 4.49 1.03 1.07 1.1 1.18
-9.58 91.78 1.46 2.14 -11.0 121.93
7.52 56.55 3.93 15.42 3.6 12.91
14.22 202.20 4.45 19.84 9.8 95.36
5.22 27.25 3.65 13.32 1.6 2.47
7.12 50.69 0.33 0.11 6.8 46.10
1.72 2.96 -4.32 18.68 6.0 36.51
10.52 110.67 -4.55 20.69 15.1 227.06
6.72 45.16 3.22 10.38 3.5 12.23
-9.08 82.45 1.44 2.06 -10.5 110.60
2.92 8.53 2.82 7.95 0.1 0.01
-17.28 298.61 0.20 0.04 -17.5 305.71
-22.38 500.87 0.98 0.97 -23.4 545.88
-19.68 387.31 -3.27 10.67 -16.4 269.42
-2.38 5.67 0.41 0.16 -2.8 7.76
1.42 2.02 1.54 2.36 -0.1 0.01
-0.58 0.34 0.56 0.31 -1.1 1.29
19.82 392.82 3.57 12.78 16.2 263.92
1.62 2.62 -0.37 0.14 2.0 3.98
-26.38 695.91 0.43 0.19 -26.8 718.82
17.52 306.94 2.32 5.37 15.2 231.13
17.22 296.52 4.45 19.84 12.8 162.95
-7.38 54.47 1.01 1.02 -8.4 70.38
35.62 1268.77 4.45 19.84 31.2 971.28
5.42 29.37 -2.64 6.96 8.1 64.92
-0.58 0.34 -2.49 6.18 1.9 3.63
-14.48 209.68 2.34 5.48 -16.8 282.99
-23.58 556.03 -1.58 2.50 -22.0 483.95
20.82 433.46 3.55 12.60 17.3 298.28
20.12 404.81 2.79 7.81 17.3 300.16
 -2.88 8.30 -5.93 35.19 3.1 9.31
7.22 52.13 3.37 11.38 3.8 14.80
-1.48 2.19 -3.14 9.86 1.7 2.76
-18.78 352.70 0.96 0.92 -19.7 389.63
4.02 16.16 -3.84 14.78 7.9 61.85
-1.28 1.64 1.16 1.35 -2.4 5.95
4.62 21.34 0.93 0.87 3.7 13.59
-22.48 505.36 -2.31 5.34 -20.2 406.82
17.92 321.12 1.54 2.36 16.4 268.39
-14.38 206.79 1.06 1.12 -15.4 238.38
-19.18 367.88 0.18 0.03 -19.4 374.79
-16.18 261.80 0.91 0.83 -17.1 292.02
-16.48 271.60 -3.44 11.85 -13.0 169.99
-12.28 150.80 -0.80 0.64 -11.5 131.76
-15.98 255.37 2.22 4.91 -18.2 331.11
6.32 39.94 -4.30 18.47 10.6 112.72
-17.48 305.56 0.36 0.13 -17.8 318.10
4.32 18.66 -4.42 19.56 8.7 76.44
-0.18 0.03 1.13 1.29 -1.3 1.73
4.72 22.28 -6.56 43.04 11.3 127.25
11.32 128.14 2.02 4.06 9.3 86.58
-8.68 75.35 0.63 0.40 -9.3 86.71
-3.38 11.43 0.63 0.40 -4.0 16.10
-1.38 1.90 -1.28 1.64 -0.1 0.01
10.22 104.44 -4.20 17.61 14.4 207.84
1.12 1.25 -4.10 16.78 5.2 27.21
-6.38 40.71 -0.12 0.02 -6.3 39.16
-12.48 155.76 0.08 0.01 -12.6 157.72
7.92 62.72 1.16 1.35 6.8 45.69
-6.48 41.99 -5.18 26.81 -1.3 1.70
8.12 65.93 0.53 0.28 7.6 57.59
-11.38 129.51 -0.07 0.01 -11.3 127.87
-16.58 274.90 1.24 1.53 -17.8 317.40
6.02 36.24 -1.13 1.27 7.1 51.10
-3.78 14.29 -5.23 27.33 1.4 2.10
-11.78 138.77 1.56 2.44 -13.3 178.02
2.92 8.53 -4.30 18.47 7.2 52.09
14.22 202.20 3.15 9.90 11.1 122.61
5.52 30.47 4.45 19.84 1.1 1.13
-6.88 47.34 0.03 0.00 -6.9 47.73
20.02 400.79 2.90 8.38 17.1 293.25
-17.08 291.73 -0.10 0.01 -17.0 288.41
10.12 102.41 -0.37 0.14 10.5 110.12
1.72 2.96 -5.05 25.52 6.8 45.85
2.82 7.95 -2.59 6.69 5.4 29.24
 5.82 33.87 1.03 1.07 4.8 22.90
2.22 4.93 -2.91 8.49 5.1 26.36
40.32 1625.69 -4.90 24.02 45.2 2044.91
0.52 0.27 2.19 4.80 -1.7 2.79
10.52 110.67 -3.24 10.50 13.8 189.36
4.32 18.66 2.17 4.69 2.2 4.64
8.02 64.32 -4.22 17.82 12.2 149.86
11.02 121.44 4.18 17.45 6.8 46.81
-25.18 634.04 0.30 0.09 -25.5 649.49
2.22 4.93 -3.69 13.64 5.9 34.97
8.62 74.30 1.46 2.14 7.2 51.24
-18.98 360.25 -3.34 11.17 -15.6 244.56
-4.58 20.98 3.45 11.89 -8.0 64.46
-23.28 541.97 0.38 0.14 -23.7 559.82
-20.58 423.54 -2.36 5.57 -18.2 331.95
-5.58 31.14 -5.53 30.58 -0.1 0.00
-14.08 198.25 2.44 5.97 -16.5 273.00
1.32 1.74 1.21 1.46 0.1 0.01
23.92 572.16 3.55 12.60 20.4 414.96
1.02 1.04 1.19 1.40 -0.2 0.03
2.62 6.86 1.24 1.53 1.4 1.92
-8.28 68.56 -0.10 0.01 -8.2 66.96
-9.18 84.28 1.69 2.85 -10.9 118.12
3.42 11.70 1.01 1.02 2.4 5.81
-4.58 20.98 3.95 15.61 -8.5 72.79
10.22 104.44 -3.79 14.40 14.0 196.40
-16.28 265.04 3.25 10.55 -19.5 381.33
2.82 7.95 2.57 6.60 0.3 0.06
2.62 6.86 0.33 0.11 2.3 5.24
-14.88 221.42 -1.00 1.01 -13.9 192.58
-15.68 245.87 -0.32 0.10 -15.4 235.82
-22.98 528.09 -0.07 0.01 -22.9 524.77
-7.98 63.68 -5.40 29.20 -2.6 6.64
-24.18 584.68 -3.52 12.37 -20.7 426.94
14.72 216.67 2.97 8.83 11.7 138.04
-12.08 145.93 -3.19 10.18 -8.9 79.02
13.82 190.99 4.18 17.45 9.6 92.97
-20.58 423.54 -3.47 12.02 -17.1 292.85
-11.48 131.79 0.78 0.61 -12.3 150.38
5.92 35.04 0.10 0.01 5.8 33.83
25.32 641.09 4.45 19.84 20.9 435.36
-9.18 84.28 0.00 0.00 -9.2 84.33
-7.28 53.00 0.18 0.03 -7.5 55.64
-13.58 184.42 0.38 0.14 -14.0 194.90
15.02 225.59 0.46 0.21 14.6 212.11
 -6.28 39.44 3.47 12.07 -9.8 95.14
2.62 6.86 -3.74 14.02 6.4 40.50
0.12 0.01 0.51 0.26 -0.4 0.15
-14.28 203.92 -0.02 0.00 -14.3 203.30
3.12 9.73 -4.27 18.25 7.4 54.64
2.12 4.49 0.13 0.02 2.0 3.96
-14.98 224.41 0.03 0.00 -15.0 225.26
79.52 6323.40 1.74 3.02 77.8 6049.94
-11.48 131.79 0.00 0.00 -11.5 131.87
2.52 6.35 1.19 1.40 1.3 1.78
-8.68 75.35 1.13 1.29 -9.8 96.34
3.02 9.12 -2.46 6.06 5.5 30.04
11.72 137.35 4.08 16.62 7.6 58.41
-3.98 15.84 -0.35 0.12 -3.6 13.19
-10.28 105.68 -0.88 0.77 -9.4 88.42
6.02 36.24 4.45 19.84 1.6 2.45
-6.88 47.34 3.80 14.44 -10.7 114.08
7.42 55.05 3.88 15.02 3.5 12.56
6.82 46.51 3.27 10.71 3.5 12.58
-12.38 153.27 3.95 15.61 -16.3 266.73
-14.48 209.68 -3.97 15.76 -10.5 110.46
-3.58 12.82 0.68 0.47 -4.3 18.17
17.32 299.98 -3.12 9.71 20.4 417.59
18.32 335.62 2.97 8.83 15.3 235.59
-5.08 25.81 -0.37 0.14 -4.7 22.15
13.02 169.52 0.28 0.08 12.7 162.31
6.52 42.51 0.96 0.92 5.6 30.92
-0.98 0.96 -5.03 25.27 4.0 16.37
16.42 269.61 3.60 12.96 12.8 164.36
-13.48 181.72 0.05 0.00 -13.5 183.16
4.52 20.43 1.29 1.65 3.2 10.46
0.12 0.01 -2.18 4.77 2.3 5.31
-16.18 261.80 -0.12 0.02 -16.1 257.85
-3.88 15.06 1.31 1.72 -5.2 26.95
-9.48 89.87 -4.32 18.68 -5.2 26.60
-21.28 452.85 0.25 0.06 -21.5 463.75
8.12 65.93 -3.89 15.17 12.0 144.35
-1.08 1.17 3.83 14.64 -4.9 24.07
-2.28 5.20 -5.10 26.03 2.8 7.96
-14.78 218.45 0.30 0.09 -15.1 227.56
0.42 0.18 -5.18 26.81 5.6 31.33
-8.58 73.62 -0.58 0.33 -8.0 64.08
17.02 289.67 0.38 0.14 16.6 276.87
12.22 149.32 0.83 0.69 11.4 129.66
-13.28 176.36 1.86 3.48 -15.1 229.35
 15.02 225.59 0.33 0.11 14.7 215.79
-18.88 356.46 -3.17 10.02 -15.7 246.95
-13.28 176.36 0.33 0.11 -13.6 185.24
4.22 17.81 -0.90 0.81 5.1 26.23
40.02 1601.58 -4.45 19.79 44.5 1977.40
4.82 23.23 2.37 5.60 2.5 6.02
3.62 13.10 3.52 12.42 0.1 0.01
-10.68 114.07 0.53 0.28 -11.2 125.70
4.02 16.16 1.11 1.23 2.9 8.47
-0.48 0.23 0.53 0.28 -1.0 1.02
11.82 139.71 2.67 7.12 9.2 83.74
-11.08 122.77 -4.25 18.04 -6.8 46.69
-19.38 375.59 1.06 1.12 -20.4 417.78
-0.28 0.08 0.20 0.04 -0.5 0.23
-4.88 23.82 1.21 1.46 -6.1 37.09
4.52 20.43 -2.74 7.50 7.3 52.68
-6.68 44.62 1.34 1.79 -8.0 64.26
0.12 0.01 -4.75 22.56 4.9 23.71
24.12 581.77 3.42 11.72 20.7 428.34
-1.28 1.64 3.57 12.78 -4.9 23.57
-14.38 206.79 0.46 0.21 -14.8 220.11
-18.78 352.70 1.03 1.07 -19.8 392.61
-25.18 634.04 -3.59 12.91 -21.6 466.00
-22.38 500.87 -1.98 3.93 -20.4 416.02
1.62 2.62 -5.55 30.86 7.2 51.47
0.42 0.18 2.49 6.21 -2.1 4.30
-15.18 230.44 -3.09 9.55 -12.1 146.17
-1.48 2.19 -2.41 5.81 0.9 0.87
-2.38 5.67 3.17 10.06 -5.6 30.83
-7.08 50.13 -3.42 11.68 -3.7 13.42
-1.68 2.82 -3.47 12.02 1.8 3.19
12.42 154.25 4.03 16.22 8.4 70.44
4.92 24.20 -4.00 15.96 8.9 79.48
-0.98 0.96 1.19 1.40 -2.2 4.69
15.52 240.86 3.02 9.13 12.5 156.22
8.62 74.30 -3.97 15.76 12.6 158.51
3.22 10.37 -4.25 18.04 7.5 55.75
-0.08 0.01 4.45 19.84 -4.5 20.56
-7.18 51.56 1.13 1.29 -8.3 69.14
-26.78 717.18 0.08 0.01 -26.9 721.40
15.72 247.11 3.30 10.87 12.4 154.31
9.02 81.36 2.49 6.21 6.5 42.60
4.32 18.66 1.13 1.29 3.2 10.14
-9.38 87.99 3.45 11.89 -12.8 164.58
-12.28 150.80 -0.17 0.03 -12.1 146.59
 -6.68 44.62 3.42 11.72 -10.1 102.08
-7.88 62.10 1.39 1.92 -9.3 85.87
22.72 516.19 3.50 12.24 19.2 369.45
7.32 53.58 1.86 3.48 5.5 29.76
6.92 47.88 4.45 19.84 2.5 6.08
7.12 50.69 4.18 17.45 2.9 8.66
-13.28 176.36 3.05 9.28 -16.3 266.55
9.12 83.17 -3.82 14.59 12.9 167.42
25.32 641.09 -5.96 35.49 31.3 978.25
2.02 4.08 0.15 0.02 1.9 3.48
10.02 100.40 -3.67 13.46 13.7 187.37
-4.88 23.82 -4.42 19.56 -0.5 0.21
-8.48 71.91 0.10 0.01 -8.6 73.68
-13.18 173.72 0.88 0.78 -14.1 197.78
-17.08 291.73 0.68 0.47 -17.8 315.50
5.12 26.21 -0.12 0.02 5.2 27.48
-15.18 230.44 -0.63 0.39 -14.6 211.84
4.12 16.97 0.46 0.21 3.7 13.42
13.72 188.23 3.42 11.72 10.3 106.02
3.52 12.39 -4.07 16.57 7.6 57.62
14.22 202.20 4.45 19.84 9.8 95.36
11.52 132.71 3.10 9.59 8.4 70.95
-14.18 201.08 -1.00 1.01 -13.2 173.64
-7.48 55.95 0.76 0.57 -8.2 67.86
18.82 354.19 3.47 12.07 15.3 235.50
-0.58 0.34 -4.93 24.27 4.3 18.89
31.72 1006.15 4.45 19.84 27.3 743.40
15.32 234.70 0.91 0.83 14.4 207.69
9.32 86.86 2.44 5.97 6.9 47.30
-8.68 75.35 0.36 0.13 -9.0 81.64
2.32 5.38 -2.86 8.20 5.2 26.87
-25.08 629.02 0.41 0.16 -25.5 649.52
8.62 74.30 -0.15 0.02 8.8 76.87
17.32 299.98 4.45 19.84 12.9 165.52
-12.38 153.27 0.38 0.14 -12.8 162.83
-10.68 114.07 1.84 3.38 -12.5 156.73
29.72 883.27 -5.83 34.00 35.6 1263.89
0.62 0.38 -3.79 14.40 4.4 19.48
-6.68 44.62 2.90 8.38 -9.6 91.69
-2.68 7.18 -6.28 39.49 3.6 12.99
2.32 5.38 0.20 0.04 2.1 4.48
-13.28 176.36 -3.74 14.02 -9.5 90.94
4.52 20.43 -0.88 0.77 5.4 29.13
-6.08 36.97 -4.88 23.77 -1.2 1.45
-5.78 33.41 1.16 1.35 -6.9 48.17
-14.98 224.41 0.76 0.57 -15.7 247.68
-0.68 0.46 1.26 1.59 -1.9 3.77
-2.48 6.15 -2.29 5.22 -0.2 0.04
-10.28 105.68 2.54 6.47 -12.8 164.44
-9.48 89.87 1.26 1.59 -10.7 115.36
1.72 2.96 -3.32 11.00 5.0 25.36
3.22 10.37 0.33 0.11 2.9 8.35
-0.78 0.61 -1.33 1.77 0.5 0.30
2.52 6.35 3.98 15.81 -1.5 2.12
-15.68 245.87 3.15 9.90 -18.8 354.45
-9.88 97.62 -0.20 0.04 -9.7 93.74
-22.58 509.87 1.01 1.02 -23.6 556.46
12.02 144.48 3.05 9.28 9.0 80.53
2.62 6.86 -0.27 0.07 2.9 8.37
14.52 210.82 2.42 5.84 12.1 146.47
25.92 671.84 2.82 7.95 23.1 533.61
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.21056704628
R Square 0.04433848098
Adjusted R Square0.04201891418
Standard Error 13.3175550477
Observations 414

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3390.1813356 3390.181 19.11498 1.56043E-05
Residual 412 73071.196249 177.3573
Total 413 76461.377585

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0%
Intercept 42.4346970463 1.2109767428 35.04171 1.18E-125 40.05423333 44.81516 40.054233333
X
house age -0.2514884191 0.0575216092 -4.372069 1.56E-05 -0.36456087 -0.138416 -0.364560866
Upper 95.0%
44.81516076

-0.138415972