Period Product A Product B Product C Product D Product E

1 96 107 164 168 217

2 98 94 156 200 190
3 103 98 161 194 184
4 97 100 155 177 196
5 104 95 152 172 185
6 96 106 155 195 208
7 103 102 153 193 196
8 103 104 150 191 199
9 103 95 151 182 219
10 103 90 158 181 204
11 99 107 159 161 215
12 103 103 154 189 182
13 100 90 159 171 212
14 105 104 155 174 196
15 96 103 154 163 181
16 97 103 162 195 200
17 103 92 158 190 210
18 100 94 164 178 213
19 102 108 158 198 209
20 100 104 154 166 208
21 97 100 162 187 191
22 99 94 159 166 216
23 95 93 152 186 199
24 99 106 163 167 188
25 102 102 150 172 183
26 105 102 153 182 219
27 100 94 154 176 217
28 96 93 153 169 205
29 101 93 152 166 219
30 98 97 150 187 202
31
Period Product A Forecast error absolute % error square error
1 96
2 98
3 103
4 97 99 -2 0.020618556701 4
5 104 99 5 0.048076923077 25
6 96 101 -5 0.052083333333 25
7 103 99 4 0.038834951456 16
8 103 101 2 0.019417475728 4
9 103 101 2 0.019417475728 4
10 103 103 0 0 0
11 99 103 -4 0.040404040404 16
12 103 102 1 0.009708737864 1
13 100 102 -2 0.02 4
14 105 101 4 0.038095238095 16
15 96 103 -7 0.072916666667 49
16 97 100 -3 0.030927835052 9
17 103 99 4 0.038834951456 16
18 100 99 1 0.01 1
19 102 100 2 0.019607843137 4
20 100 102 -2 0.02 4
21 97 101 -4 0.041237113402 16
22 99 100 -1 0.010101010101 1
23 95 99 -4 0.042105263158 16
24 99 97 2 0.020202020202 4
25 102 98 4 0.039215686275 16
26 105 99 6 0.057142857143 36
27 100 102 -2 0.02 4
28 96 102 -6 0.0625 36
29 101 100 1 0.009900990099 1
30 98 99 -1 0.010204081633 1
31 98
mean error -0.19
mean absolute percent error 3.01
mean squared error 12.18519
Period Product B Forecast error absolute % error square error
1 107
2 94
3 98
4 100 100 0 0 0
5 95 97 -2 0.021052631579 4
6 106 98 8 0.075471698113 64
7 102 100 2 0.019607843137 4
8 104 101 3 0.028846153846 9
9 95 104 -9 0.094736842105 81
10 90 100 -10 0.111111111111 100
11 107 96 11 0.102803738318 121
12 103 97 6 0.058252427184 36
13 90 100 -10 0.111111111111 100
14 104 100 4 0.038461538462 16
15 103 99 4 0.038834951456 16
16 103 99 4 0.038834951456 16
17 92 103 -11 0.119565217391 121
18 94 99 -5 0.053191489362 25
19 108 96 12 0.111111111111 144
20 104 98 6 0.057692307692 36
21 100 102 -2 0.02 4
22 94 104 -10 0.106382978723 100
23 93 99 -6 0.064516129032 36
24 106 96 10 0.094339622642 100
25 102 98 4 0.039215686275 16
26 102 100 2 0.019607843137 4
27 94 103 -9 0.095744680851 81
28 93 99 -6 0.064516129032 36
29 93 96 -3 0.032258064516 9
30 97 93 4 0.041237113402 16
31 94
mean error -0.11
mean absolute percent error 6.14
mean squared error 47.96296
Period Product C Forecast error absolute % error square error
1 164
2 156
3 161
4 155 160 -5 0.032258064516 25
5 152 157 -5 0.032894736842 25
6 155 156 -1 0.006451612903 1
7 153 154 -1 0.006535947712 1
8 150 153 -3 0.02 9
9 151 153 -2 0.013245033113 4
10 158 151 7 0.044303797468 49
11 159 153 6 0.037735849057 36
12 154 156 -2 0.012987012987 4
13 159 157 2 0.012578616352 4
14 155 157 -2 0.012903225806 4
15 154 156 -2 0.012987012987 4
16 162 156 6 0.037037037037 36
17 158 157 1 0.006329113924 1
18 164 158 6 0.036585365854 36
19 158 161 -3 0.018987341772 9
20 154 160 -6 0.038961038961 36
21 162 159 3 0.018518518519 9
22 159 158 1 0.006289308176 1
23 152 158 -6 0.039473684211 36
24 163 158 5 0.030674846626 25
25 150 158 -8 0.053333333333 64
26 153 155 -2 0.013071895425 4
27 154 155 -1 0.006493506494 1
28 153 152 1 0.006535947712 1
29 152 153 -1 0.006578947368 1
30 150 153 -3 0.02 9
31 152
mean error -0.555556
mean absolute percent error 2.16
mean squared error 16.11
Period Product D Forecast error absolute % error square error
1 168
2 200
3 194
4 177 187 -10 0.056497175141 100
5 172 190 -18 0.104651162791 324
6 195 181 14 0.071794871795 196
7 193 181 12 0.062176165803 144
8 191 187 4 0.020942408377 16
9 182 193 -11 0.06043956044 121
10 181 189 -8 0.044198895028 64
11 161 185 -24 0.149068322981 576
12 189 175 14 0.074074074074 196
13 171 177 -6 0.035087719298 36
14 174 174 0 0 0
15 163 178 -15 0.092024539877 225
16 195 169 26 0.133333333333 676
17 190 177 13 0.068421052632 169
18 178 183 -5 0.02808988764 25
19 198 188 10 0.050505050505 100
20 166 189 -23 0.138554216867 529
21 187 181 6 0.032085561497 36
22 166 184 -18 0.10843373494 324
23 186 173 13 0.069892473118 169
24 167 180 -13 0.077844311377 169
25 172 173 -1 0.005813953488 1
26 182 175 7 0.038461538462 49
27 176 174 2 0.011363636364 4
28 169 177 -8 0.047337278107 64
29 166 176 -10 0.060240963855 100
30 187 170 17 0.090909090909 289
31 174
mean error -1.185185
mean absolute percent error 6.42
mean squared error 174.15
Period Product E Forecast error absolute % error square error
1 217
2 190
3 184
4 196 197 -1 0.005102040816 1
5 185 190 -5 0.027027027027 25
6 208 188 20 0.096153846154 400
7 196 196 0 0 0
8 199 196 3 0.015075376884 9
9 219 201 18 0.082191780822 324
10 204 205 -1 0.004901960784 1
11 215 207 8 0.037209302326 64
12 182 213 -31 0.17032967033 961
13 212 200 12 0.056603773585 144
14 196 203 -7 0.035714285714 49
15 181 197 -16 0.088397790055 256
16 200 196 4 0.02 16
17 210 192 18 0.085714285714 324
18 213 197 16 0.075117370892 256
19 209 208 1 0.004784688995 1
20 208 211 -3 0.014423076923 9
21 191 210 -19 0.099476439791 361
22 216 203 13 0.060185185185 169
23 199 205 -6 0.030150753769 36
24 188 202 -14 0.074468085106 196
25 183 201 -18 0.098360655738 324
26 219 190 29 0.132420091324 841
27 217 197 20 0.092165898618 400
28 205 206 -1 0.00487804878 1
29 219 214 5 0.022831050228 25
30 202 214 -12 0.059405940594 144
31 209
mean error 1.222222
mean absolute percent error 5.53
mean squared error 197.67