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White Oak India Pioneers Equity Portfolio - May 2021-PMSU Portfolio
White Oak India Pioneers Equity Portfolio - May 2021-PMSU Portfolio
White Oak India Pioneers Equity Portfolio - May 2021-PMSU Portfolio
May 2021
CIO and Lead PM of GS India Equity CIO and Lead PM of GS GEM Equity
▪ Prashant launched GS India Equity strategy in March 2007 with US$ ▪ Prashant took over as CIO and Lead PM of GS GEM Strategy in 2013
5.0mn seed capital from Goldman Sachs with approximately US$600 mn in total assets
▪ Scaled GS India Equity business to US$2.5 bn with distribution ▪ Scaled GEM business to US$2.6 bn with distribution across multiple
across multiple channels in Europe, Asia, and USA channels in Europe, Asia and USA
▪ Since inception the strategy delivered peer group leading ▪ During his tenure, the strategy delivered peer group leading
cumulative 265.8% gross USD returns1 vs. 66.1% for its benchmark cumulative 36.3% gross USD returns2 vs. 13.1% for its benchmark
3000 ~ 2.5bn 3000 ~ 2.6bn
2500 2500
2000 2000
1500 1500
1000 1000 ~ 675mn
500 0 500
0
0
2007 2017
2013 2017
GSAM India Equity AUM (US$ mn) GSAM GEM Equity AUM (US$ mn)
1Past performance Gross of Fees in US$ for GS India Equity Portfolio. 2Past performance Gross of Fees in US$ for GS EM Equity Portfolio.
“Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results and returns may increase or decrease as a result of currency fluctuations. There can be no assurance that comparable results can be achieved or that
similar investment strategy can be implemented or that investment objectives can be achieved.”
Team of local experts with global experience Bottom up stock selection based Philosophy
Strong culture of performance Buy great businesses at attractive values
Aligned with client portfolio Invest in business, don’t bet on macro
Judgment
Edge
Knowledge
Edge
Time tested Process Balanced Portfolio Construction
Disciplined fundamental research Aim to avoid top down bets on macro factors
Proprietary OpcoFinco™ analytical framework honed over two decades Aim to ensure performance a function of stock selection
Investment Years of Coverage Investment Years of Coverage Investment Years of Coverage Investment Coverage
Team1 Experience Team2 Experience Team2 Experience Team2
1Employees of White Oak Capital Partners Pte.. 2White Oak Capital Management Consultants LLP (WOCM) in Mumbai. WOCM also acts as the Investment Advisor, providing non-binding, non-exclusive
investment research advice to offshore mandates involving Indian securities. ,3 Manager rating provided by Citywire © for rolling 3-year risk-adjusted performance to March 2021
scalable business,
• Industry potential versus current size
Scalable long term opportunity • Expanding market share and scope
with superior
returns on capital
Strong execution and • Drive to create long-term value
governance • Interests aligned with minority shareholders
Valuation
Intrinsic value = present value • Economic FCF rather than accounting one
Current price at a of future cash flows • Terminal value based on greatness of business
substantial discount
Value excess returns on capital • Assess cash flows net of cost of capital
to intrinsic value vs capital employed • OpcoFinco™ multiples for relative comps
𝐶𝐹
𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑎 𝑏𝑢𝑠𝑖𝑛𝑒𝑠𝑠 =
𝑟 −𝑔
ABC FinCo
ABC OpCo
Financing Company
Operating Company
Owns all capital investments of
ABC Capital-light
𝐄𝐕 = 𝐈𝐂 + 𝐕 𝐄𝐑𝐎𝐈𝐂
𝑷𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒆 𝐕𝐦 𝐄𝐑𝐎𝐈𝐂
=
𝑬𝑹𝑶𝑰𝑪 𝐄𝐱𝐜𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐑𝐨𝐈𝐂 𝐅𝐂𝐅
Forms of Misgovernance
▪ Siphoning off cash or ▪ Stock price ▪ Unethical means of ▪ Business run for benefit ▪ Aggressive accounting
value manipulation procuring of promoters assumptions
contracts
▪ Conflicted covert ▪ Price rigging followed ▪ Limited concern for ▪ Transactions without
related-party by bespoke ▪ Illegal links with shareholder interests business merit
transactions placements authorities
▪ Abusing companies for ▪ Front-loading
▪ Different ownership in ▪ Talking up prospects ▪ Illegitimate family planning reasons revenues, back-
similar businesses ahead of insider sales cartelization ending expenses
▪ Different ownership of ▪ Talking up prospects ▪ Earnings smoothing
new ventures before secondary
offering
He that lieth down with dogs shall rise up with fleas – Benjamin Franklin
Idea
Analysis
Generation
Market Returns
over the cycle*
• Understand, monitor, and aim to contain
residual factor risks that are by-product of
stock selection
We never forget that in macro, we only have hunches: in the micro, we can develop justifiably deep conviction
- Seth Klarman
*For Illustration Purpose only
Overvalued
Investment opportunities
Undervalued
Investment Objective Sustained capital appreciation through superior returns over time
Estimated Holdings 40 – 60
Benchmark % Excess Returns S&P BSE 100 Large S&P BSE 150 S&P BSE 250
` Portfolio
S&P BSE 5001 (bps) cap1 Mid cap1 Small cap1
Since Inception
26.6% 17.6% +896 16.5% 23.6% 19.6%
(Annualised)
Since Inception
65.9% 41.7% +2419 38.8% 57.7% 46.9%
(Cumulative)
Inception Date: 09 April 2019. 1 All indices are Net Total Return in INR. Performance is net of all fees and expenses (including taxes). Performance shown since 9 April 2019 as client
monies were managed from this date. Performance related information provided herein is not verified by SEBI. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Small Cap Small Cap 12.1 109.1 5.8 27.3 11.4 -3.2 8.2
-4 - 4 8 12 16 20
Cash/Futures/Others 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - -3.7
Total Attribution (%) Allocation Effect (%) Selection Effect (%) Total 100.0 72.2 100.0 41.6 37.1 -6.6 30.5
1FactSet’s
Attribution Analysis. Performance is gross of fees, taxes and expenses. Market Cap Classification as per Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) guidelines for
Mutual Funds. Performance related information provided herein is not verified by SEBI.
Attribution by Sector
Sector Portfolio Benchmark Attribution
Average Total Average Total Selection Allocation Total
Comm Services Weight Return Weight Return Effect Effect Attribution
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
Consumer Disc
Comm Services 2.8 50.4 2.7 20.8 0.6 -0.2 0.4
Consumer Staples Consumer Disc 11.9 51.4 8.6 30.1 2.7 -0.2 2.5
Energy Consumer Staples 9.0 35.4 9.5 20.9 2.4 -0.5 1.9
Financials Energy 0.0 0.0 10.0 44.7 0.0 -2.2 -2.2
Health Care Financials 32.8 46.2 32.6 22.4 8.4 0.5 8.9
Industrials Health Care 12.8 154.4 5.4 79.9 6.9 7.9 14.8
Information Tech
Industrials 5.3 69.1 6.6 35.0 1.4 0.5 1.8
Information Tech 15.4 115.4 11.9 82.1 3.8 0.9 4.7
Materials
Materials 6.3 127.3 9.0 83.7 1.8 0.3 2.1
Real Estate
Real Estate 0.9 22.7 0.6 26.6 0.2 -0.2 0.0
Utilities
Utilities 0.0 0.0 3.0 72.5 0.0 -0.5 -0.5
-4 -2 - 2 4 6 8 10
Cash/Futures/Others 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - -4.0
Allocation Effect (%) Selection Effect (%) Total 100.0 72.2 100.0 41.6 28.3 2.2 30.5
1Factset’s Attribution Analysis: GICS Classification. Performance is gross of fees, taxes and expenses. Performance related information provided herein is not verified by SEBI.
Navin Fluorine International 2.4 +265.5 +403 Delta Corp 0.0 -72.5 -225
Coforge 5.2 +177.6 +370 Axis Bank 5.3 -42.2 -191
IPCA Laboratories 0.0 +134.9 +284 Infosys 7.3 +54.6 -116
Muthoot Finance 0.0 +97.1 +279 HDFC Asset Management 0.5 +18.5 -79
Larsen & Toubro Infotech 0.0 +116.6 +269 Bharti Airtel 0.0 -29.1 -75
Torrent Pharmaceuticals 0.0 +35.3 +267 Jyothy Labs 0.0 -28.9 -73
Abbott India 1.7 +78.9 +266 United Breweries 0.0 -10.5 -71
Bajaj Finance 1.9 +86.8 +212 Godrej Industries 0.0 -28.0 -69
Dixon Technologies 2.7 +255.8 +193 V I P Industries 0.0 -43.4 -69
JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals 0.0 +129.4 +190 Indigo Paints 2.7 -6.3 -64
21.2%
0
12.6% 12
81 11.0% 10.6%
10.2% 9.0% 9.0%
8.4% 8.0%
7.0% 6.0% 6.2%
6
25 3.7% 3.6% 2.6%
7 5 91 8
75 83 0.0% 13 0.0% 33 0.8% 0.6% 0.6%
4 19 49 3 1 20 1 12
Consumer Disc Information Tech Financials Industrials Materials Energy Utilities Health Care Consumer Staples Comm Services Real Estate
Portfolio S&P BSE 500 Projected Revenue 3 year cagr 15.6% 9.8%
1Thenumber inside the bars denote the number of companies in each classification. ETF’s and Index futures are included in large cap. 2 Market Cap Classification as per Securities and
Exchange Board of India (SEBI) guidelines for Mutual Funds. 3White Oak Research, Bloomberg.
*The following case studies are illustrative examples only. The illustrated companies included here may or may not necessarily be held in any portfolio at any time in the past or currently.
*The following case studies are illustrative examples only. The illustrated companies included here may or may not necessarily be held in any portfolio at any time in the past or currently.
The objective of the strategy is to achieve long term capital appreciation by primarily investing in ‘listed securities’ in India.
The investment strategy is long only with a bottom-up stock selection approach. The investment philosophy is, that
Investment Objective outsized returns are earned over time by investing in great businesses at attractive values. A great business, in our view, is
one that is well managed, scalable, and generates superior returns on incremental capital. Valuation is attractive when the
current market price is at a substantial discount to intrinsic value.
Profitable and diverse corporate •Superior corporate profitability, superior asset mix
FY93-FY21:
11.6% CAGR
FY93-FY21:
12.3% FY93-FY21:
FY 09-21: 6.2% CAGR
CAGR 11.5%
CAGR
FY 96-03: 1% CAGR
FY 93-96: 45% CAGR
FY99
FY12
FY93
FY94
FY95
FY96
FY97
FY98
FY00
FY01
FY02
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
Corporate Profits as a Percentage of GDP Average Return on Equity from 2000-2020
2.7 2.8
2.6 2.6 2.6
2.4 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.2
Asia Pacific ex-Japan 12.4%
Average of 2.4%
1.6 1.8
2.4 2.1 2.0 2.0
2.0 Emerging Markets 13.0%
World 11.1%
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
70%
25 Average since
21.9 60%
2014: 20.7x
50%
20
Average: 17.2x
40%
15 30%
20%
10 Average +/-1 std dev
10%
5 0%
2012
2021
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
May-93
May-97
May-01
May-05
May-09
May-13
May-17
May-21
Sensex Forward P/B 1,2 MSCI India P/B premium over MSCI EM %2,3
140%
4.0
120%
80%
2.0 60%
40%
May-97
May-01
May-05
May-13
May-17
May-21
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Source: Bloomberg, Motilal Oswal Institutional Research, UBS. 1Data as of May 2021. 2 Sensex is the benchmark index of India's Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE). The Sensex is comprised of 30 of the largest and most
actively-traded stocks on the BSE, providing a gauge of India's economy. 3The MSCI India Index is designed to measure the performance of the large and mid cap segments of the Indian market.
70%
Information
Technology, 16.5% Materials, 10.0%
60%
Communication
50% Services, 2.9%
Industrials, 4.3%
40% Utilities, 4.4%
Health Care, 5.7%
Real Estate, 0.3%
30%
Consumer
20% Average: 17% Discretionary, 8.3%
10%
Financials
0% Consumer Staples, 9.2%
26.3%
Taiwan
Colombia
India
Poland
Indonesia
Malaysia
China
Brazil
Chile
Turkey
Korea
Czech Republic
Russia
Thailand
EM
Energy, 12.3%
Minority Investor Protection Rank – India vs EMs Minority Investor Protection Rank – India vs DMs
120 120
105
100 100
80 72 80
61 61 61
57 57
60 60
45
37 36
40 40
28
25
20 13 13 20 13
7 7
2 3
0 0
Indonesia
India
Malaysia
Korea
China
Thailand
Brazil
Mexico
Russia
South Africa
India
France
Canada
United Kingdom
Australia
Germany
Switzerland
Japan
United States
Source: World Bank Doing Business Report 2020.
0% 0% 0%
-1% 0%
-5% -5% -5%
MSCI India S&P 500 MSCI India S&P 500 MSCI India S&P 500
0% 0% 0%
-1%
-5% -5% -5%
MSCI India S&P 500 MSCI India S&P 500 MSCI India S&P 500
Source: Bloomberg. *Data shown above is for fiscal year ending March 2020.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
USA Japan UK Canada France Germany China India Brazil South Korea Taiwan
-20%
May-17 May-18 May-19 May-20 May-21
-40%
India’s historical Mid Cap vs Large Cap stocks premium % (on 12 m Fwd PE)
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-20%
-30%
-40%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Source: Bloomberg. Data as of May 2021, data for SMID vs Large cap 12m forward PE ratio for respective country’s MSCI index.
20 CPI Inflation (%) Repo Rate (%)- RHS 10.0 Fiscal deficit as % GDP
9.0 9.4
10
15
8.0 8 6.8
7.0 6 4.6
10
6.0 4
5.0 2
5
0
4.0
FY92
FY94
FY96
FY98
FY00
FY02
FY04
FY06
FY08
FY10
FY12
FY14
FY16
FY18
FY20
FY22*
0 3.0
2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020
Thailand
China
Indonesia
Turkey
HK
Brazil
Mexico
Japan
US
India
Russia
Korea
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
Source: Bloomberg, Reserve Bank of India. * FY222 budgeted estimate as per FY22 Union Budget announcement, Updated through May 2021.
1.4
Net FII flows 1.3
SIP refers to Systematic Investment Plan
1.2 1.2
29
25 1.0
23
20
17 18 17 0.8
14
11
8 9 8
7 6 0.6
2 3 3 3
1
0.4
-1 0.2
-5
0.0
-13
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Apr-17
Apr-18
Apr-19
Apr-20
Apr-21
YTD21
2010
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
FDI in India (US$bn) Domestic Savings in Equities (%)
20
10
FY14
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY15
FY16
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY17
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY18
FY19
FY20
FY21
Source: Bloomberg, NSDL, SEBI, AMFI. FII inflows data for calendar year. .
Economy
Per Capita GDP ($) 465 1,965 4.2x 35,252 63,416 1.8x
Corporate Earnings per share ($)1 0.2 0.6 2.8x 54 123 2.3x
• Terrorist attack on Parliament 2001, Mumbai train attacks in 2006, attacks on Mumbai Hotels in 2008
• 2010 - 2014: Telecom spectrum (2G) scam; Commonwealth Games scam; Coal scam; Bribe-for-loan and other scams
Source: Bloomberg, Reserve Bank of India. 1MSCI India (MXIN Index), S&P 500 (SPX index). 2WCAUINDI Index, WCAUUS Index.
₹140
₹135 .
₹ 2,766
₹2,800
₹2,600
₹2,400
₹2,200
₹2,000
₹1,800
₹1,600 25%
₹1,400
₹1,200
₹1,000
₹800
₹600
₹ 13 . ₹400
135
1 15%
₹200
₹- ₹8 ₹-
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Inflation FD (net of tax) Inflation FD (net of tax)
Source: Bloomberg
▪ Weak infrastructure
▪ Geo-political tensions
▪ Trade wars
1Note that these are not all the risks to the investment case but only a high level summary of certain key risks.
Mar-21
May-20
Jan-21
May-21
Sep-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Nov-20
Apr-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-20
Jul-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
Daily average freight traffic (railways)-mn tonnes Electricity consumption ('000 MU)
4.2 123 119
4.5 3.9 4.0 130
3.8 3.7 114 111 114 111
4.0 3.7 3.7 109 107 111 105 107
3.3 3.3 3.4 3.5 115 100 103 106
3.5 3.1 3.1 3.0 98
2.7 100 85
3.0
2.5 2.2 85
2.0 70
1.5 55
1.0 40
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
Apr-20
Apr-21
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Dec-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Source: Kotak, CMIE, White Oak Research
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Jul-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Oct-20
Apr-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
Mar-21
Mar-20
Jan-21
May-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
May-21
Feb-21
Apr-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
India- domestic civil aviation data Daily average property transactions, Maharashtra
0.4 3,000
Millions
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Dec-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
FY20 (Apr-Feb)
0.0 0
12-Jun
08-Jan
22-Jan
04-Sep
29-May
26-Jun
18-Sep
05-Feb
19-Feb
05-Mar
19-Mar
14-May
28-May
11-Dec
25-Dec
10-Jul
24-Jul
02-Oct
16-Oct
30-Oct
07-Aug
21-Aug
13-Nov
27-Nov
02-Apr
16-Apr
30-Apr
• Landmark labour reforms – significant simplification of complex, archaic, pre-independence era laws
• Increased instances of competitive federalism – subsidies, tax concessions, easier land availability and approvals
• Amendments to Essential Commodities Act – deregulation of production, supply, distribution and prices
• Defence: Encouraging domestic production; Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) increased to 74% from 49% in key
sectors
Ranks across various components of Ease of Doing Business (across 189 countries)
142
Ease of doing business 63
Getting credit 36
25
2015 2020
Source: World Bank (Doing Business report 2020), White Oak Research as of end February 2021.
10 In September 2019,
5 effective corporate tax
0 rates reduced from 35% to
Malaysia
China
Vietnam
Bangladesh
Indonesia
Korea
India (new)
Japan
Singapore
Thailand
India (old)
India (new
Taiwan
Philippines
mfg)
to 17% for new
manufacturing companies
▪ Biggest tax reform after Goods and Services Tax (GST) since the mid-90s, eliminating risk
of rising tax expectations
▪ Reduced cost of doing business in India to attract new investments in the country
Source: PIB, Credit Suisse, White Oak Research as of end February 2021.
India’s share in smartphone manufacturing has Can have significant impact on GDP as well
doubled in last 2 years
70% 30 0.7%
Smartphone production (India % Global)
GDP Impact ($ Bn) As % of GDP (RHS)
60% Govt target of 1bn 25 0.6%
handsets by 2025
50% Mobile Phones 0.5%
20
40% 0.4%
15
30%
0.3%
20% 10
0.2%
10%
5 0.1%
0%
FY21e
FY22e
FY23e
FY24e
FY25e
FY17
FY18
FY19
FY20
0 0.0%
FY22e FY23e FY24e FY25e FY26e
• During the first five months of scheme’s implementation, the applicant companies have produced goods worth ~INR 350bn while
generating additional employment of 22,000 jobs
Source: Credit Suisse, White Oak Research as of end February 2021.
Source: UBS, Ministry of Commerce, CMIE, White Oak Research as of end February 2021.
India’s market share in US generics India has the largest FDA approved plants after the US
Market share %, calendar year-ends, 2011-19
40 Volume Value
FDF API
36 450
400 384
32
345
28 350
24 300
20 250
188
16 200
12 150
8 100 82
52 46
4 50
0 0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 US India China Italy Germany Spain
50 40
0
• Market share up from 6.6% in 2010 to 12.1% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
• Winning against global competitors such as IBM, DXC, IT Services IT Enabled Services Engineering R&D Services
Capgemini
Indian IT Market Share %
14.0
12.1
11.6 11.9
• Global tech leaders setting up ER&D centres in India 12.0 10.9 11.3
10.2
9.3
• Large attractive talent pool of STEM graduates 10.0 8.7
7.5 7.7
8.0
• 47% of global captives set up in India 5.7
6.7
5.1 5.4
6.0
• Microsoft, Google, Amazon have large setups in India 4.0 2.8
CY20e
CY09
CY06
CY07
CY08
CY10
CY11
CY12
CY13
CY14
CY15
CY16
CY17
CY18
CY19
Source: Nasscom, Kotak, White Oak Research as of December 2020.
Lesson #1
• The usual perennial macroeconomic worries of the well-known unknowns variety are a colossal waste of time
• They hardly influence the future returns from equity markets, if any at all
Lesson #2
• Nobody has a crystal ball to forecast cataclysmic risk events of the unknown unknown variety, ex: the pandemic
• Market implications remain unpredictable even if one were bestowed with perfect prior knowledge
Lesson #3
• Investment decisions bereft of bottom up analysis, and instead driven by macro considerations, are fraught with
high risk of substantial absolute and relative losses
The value of the market at any time is present value of aggregate perpetual future cash flows
The market is fairy valued at all times
Relevance of Macro
60 18
16
50
14
40 12
10
30
20 6
10
0 0
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
Price/ E10 Ratio Long term interest rates (%, RHS)
*Price/ (average earnings over 10 years) or Cyclically adjusted PE (CAPE), adapted from Robert Shiller (Yale University, http://www.econ.yale.edu/~shiller/data.htm)
Mar-21
Mar-21
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
May-21
May-20
Jan-21
May-21
Feb-20
Sep-20
Feb-21
Feb-20
Sep-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Apr-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Apr-20
Jul-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Jun-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Jun-21
Daily 7 day average Daily 7 day average
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Sep-20
Feb-21
Sep-20
Feb-21
Jul-20
Dec-20
Dec-20
Oct-20
Jul-20
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Apr-20
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Israel 7 DMA of daily new cases Israel 7 DMA of daily deaths
10,000 Peak: 8,600 70 Peak: 65
9,000
8,000 60
7,000 Peak:
50
6,276 Peak: 39
6,000
40
5,000
4,000 30
3,000
Peak: 623 20
2,000
Peak: 10
1,000 10
0 0
Sep-20
Feb-21
Mar-20
May-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-21
Dec-20
Jul-20
Apr-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Mar-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-20
May-21
Jul-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Source: WHO
0
19 Dec 20
26 Dec 20
02 Jan 21
09 Jan 21
16 Jan 21
23 Jan 21
30 Jan 21
06 Feb 21
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0%
13 Feb 21
20 Feb 21 19 Dec 20
Case study: Israel
Daily Cases
27 Feb 21 26 Dec 20
13 Feb 21
20 Feb 21
27 Feb 21
0
10
30
40
50
70
20
60
19 Dec 20 06 Mar 21
26 Dec 20
13 Mar 21
02 Jan 21
09 Jan 21 20 Mar 21
Once 25% of population got vaccinated
16 Jan 21 27 Mar 21
23 Jan 21
30 Jan 21 03 Apr 21
06 Feb 21 10 Apr 21
13 Feb 21
17 Apr 21
20 Feb 21
Deaths
27 Feb 21
Percent of Population Completely Vaccinated
24 Apr 21
06 Mar 21
01 May 21
13 Mar 21
As did the death rate
20 Mar 21
27 Mar 21
03 Apr 21
10 Apr 21
17 Apr 21
24 Apr 21
01 May 21
62
Covid-19: Vaccination progress in India
45% Between July to August we expect 600
40% 25% of population to receive at least
500
35% 1 dose
30% 400
25%
300
20%
15% 200
10%
100
5%
0% 0
Jan-21 Feb-21 Mar-21 Apr-21 May-21 Jun-21 Jul-21 Aug-21
Progress so far: Roadmap ahead: Vaccine supply expected to more than double over the
next three months from 60mn doses in May to 150mn doses between
• 220mn doses have been administered (in absolute terms, among August/September
the highest globally)
• All adults above 18 years made eligible for vaccination
• 38% of the vulnerable population (45+ years) has received at least
one dose • Emergency authorization granted to vaccines approved globally
• 23% of India’s total urban population has received at least one • Private sale of vaccines allowed at pre-declared prices
dose
8,000 1,500
1,200
6,000
900 Maharashtra
4,000 Mumbai
600
2,000 300
0 0
10-Mar-21
22-Mar-21
09-May-21
21-May-21
03-Apr-21
15-Apr-21
27-Apr-21
02-Jun-21
May-21
Sep-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
Feb-21
Jul-20
Nov-20
Dec-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Oct-20
Jun-21
Mumbai Pune
• The state was also amongst the first to implement localized lockdowns in the first week of April.
Manufacturing activity Other than essential sectors like Most units allowed to function
pharma, metals, chemicals, rest but with restrictions
stopped functioning
Construction activity Stopped Allowed with restrictions
Source: WHO, Oxford University COVID-19 Government Response Tracker: Higher the index, higher is the ‘strictness’, 1 Between Mar-Apr, 2020; 2 As of May 31st , 2021
Corporates unprepared
19,000 20
Uncertainty over job losses
15,000 12
Problem of a finite time horizon
Nature of pandemic known
13,000 8
-40%
Corporates better prepared
11,000 4
Vaccination progress underway
9,000 0
Mar-20
Jan-21
Mar-21
May-20
May-21
Feb-20
Jul-20
Sep-20
Dec-20
Feb-21
Apr-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Apr-21
Jun-20
Aug-20
Jun-21
BSE 500 India Covid-19 total case count (RHS)
Benchmark % Excess Returns S&P BSE 100 S&P BSE 150 S&P BSE 250
` Fund Large cap1 Mid cap1 Small cap1
S&P BSE 5001 (bps)
India Acorn Fund (Cayman) : 01 Sept 2017. 1All indices are Net Total Return. 2 The NAV for 31 May 2021 is based on estimates and hence the performance might be restated post the
final valuation. The performance is net of all fees and expenses for Founder class shares at the Master Fund level. Fund performance in INR v/s S&P BSE 500 TR Index. The performance
is after accounting for all taxes paid on realized gains but doesn’t account for potential taxes on unrealized gains. Please note the published NAV of India Acorn Fund (Cayman) is after
adjusting for potential taxes on unrealised gain, and to that extent its performance may differ from the above. Performance is calculated using Net NAV of India Acorn Fund (Cayman).
*White Oak Capital Management acts as an investment advisor to India Acorn Fund Limited. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
10.8%
8.8%
5.8%
3.7%
210 232
200
bps bps
bps
-5.3%
-7.6%
Outperformed 8 out of 11 up quarters1 Outperformed 12 out of 16 quarters1 Outperformed 4 out of 5 down quarters1
Average Alpha: +200 bps Average Alpha: +210 bps Average Alpha: +232 bps
Portfolio Quarterly Average Returns S&P BSE 500 Quarterly Average Returns Average Alpha
1Quarters considered for data are calendar year quarters- except Q3CY17 part: 01 Sep 2017 to 30 Sep 2017 and Q2CY21 part: 01 Apr 2021 to 31 May 2021. Past performance is not a reliable
indicator of future results.
Small Cap Small Cap 28.2 206.4 6.8 7.6 59.8 -24.1 35.6
Total Attribution (%) Allocation Effect (%) Selection Effect (%) Total 100.0 143.1 100.0 59.9 113.5 -30.3 83.2
1Factset Attribution Analysis. Performance is gross of fees, taxes and expenses. Market Cap Classification as per Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) guidelines for Mutual
Funds. * White Oak Capital Management acts as an investment advisor to India Acorn Fund Limited.
Attribution by Sector1
Sector Fund Benchmark Attribution
Average Total Average Total Selection Allocation Total
Comm Services Weight Return Weight Return Effect Effect Attributio
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) n (%)
Consumer Disc
Comm Services 3.9 177.8 2.6 0.4 8.5 -0.1 8.3
Consumer Staples Consumer Disc 14.5 149.5 9.7 20.5 22.4 -1.9 20.5
Energy Consumer Staples 8.6 37.9 9.5 41.9 -0.6 2.0 1.3
Financials Energy 0.0 0.0 9.5 87.2 0.0 -4.5 -4.5
Health Care Financials 26.9 97.6 32.1 41.0 13.7 1.8 15.6
Industrials Health Care 9.2 305.1 5.2 97.7 10.9 4.0 14.9
Information Tech
Industrials 8.0 191.8 7.2 38.2 14.1 -0.9 13.3
Information Tech 13.1 272.7 11.1 184.1 3.6 1.5 5.1
Materials
Materials 9.4 268.6 9.3 82.1 12.1 0.6 12.7
Real Estate
Real Estate 0.6 -10.7 0.6 27.6 0.6 0.3 1.0
Utilities
Utilities 0.0 0.0 3.1 73.5 0.0 0.7 0.7
-10 -5 - 5 10 15 20 25
Cash/Futures/Others 5.8 2.2 0.0 0.0 - - -5.6
Allocation Effect (%) Selection Effect (%) Total 100.0 143.1 100.0 59.9 85.4 -2.1 83.2
1 Factset Attribution Analysis: GICS Classification. Performance is gross of fees, taxes and expenses. * White Oak Capital Management acts as an investment advisor to India Acorn Fund
Limited.
Larsen & Toubro Infotech 0.0 +395.9 +710 Dishman Carbogen 0.0 -65.1 -262
Info Edge India 0.6 +327.0 +637 Bharti Airtel 0.0 -12.9 -240
Navin Fluorine International 2.3 +480.4 +492 Karur Vysya Bank 0.0 -20.4 -209
IPCA Laboratories 0.0 +269.6 +473 Camlin Fine Sciences 0.0 -57.3 -198
V I P Industries 0.0 +15.3 +463 Godrej Industries 0.0 -33.3 -126
KEI Industries 0.0 +35.6 +447 Heritage Foods 0.0 -22.1 -122
Dixon Technologies 2.7 +532.2 +434 Maruti Suzuki India 0.7 -16.9 -110
L&T Technology Services 0.8 +223.0 +412 Infosys 6.0 +57.7 -102
Intellect Design Arena 2.6 +389.9 +409 ABB India 0.0 -5.4 -80
Balkrishna Industries 0.0 +6.7 +375 United Breweries 0.0 -15.8 -79
* White Oak Capital Management acts as an investment advisor to India Acorn Fund Limited. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results.
Trading Advisor
Sanjay has over 31 years of experience in the asset management, equity trading, and
equities broking industry. Prior to joining us he was Director & Head of Equity Sales
Trading at Religare Capital Markets. Before that he was Executive Director –
Fundamental Equity trading at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM), responsible
for trading for GS India equity fund. Before joining GSAM, he was Co-Head Equities at
SBICAP Securities. Prior to that he was responsible for trading at HSBC Asset
Management and SBI Mutual Fund, which are amongst the largest India funds. Sanjay
began his career with Unit Trust of India, working in various capacities for 15 years.
Sanjay graduated with honors in Economics from Delhi University and earned an MBA
in Finance from Faculty of Management Studies, Delhi University. He is a Certified
Associate of Indian Institute of Bankers (CAIIB).
Chaitanya Kapur
Trading Advisor
Chaitanya is a Chartered Accountant and has received a bachelor’s degree in
Commerce (Accounting and Finance) from Mumbai University. He has worked as an
Articled Assistant at Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP where he worked on statutory audits
in the Automobile, Financial services, Pharmaceutical, Chemicals and Industrial sectors.
▪ To time the market is not merely difficult, its impossible - White Oak
Borrowed from ”Don ko pakadna mushkil hi nahin, namumkin hai ”- Bollywood movie Don, 1978
▪ Investor returns are a function of time in the market rather than timing the market - Anonymous
▪ We never forget that in macro, we only have hunches: in the micro, we can develop justifiably deep conviction -
Seth Klarman, 2017
▪ Don’t miss the forest for the trees - John Heywood, 1546
▪ He that lieth down with dogs shall rise up with fleas - Benjamin Franklin, 1739
▪ Far more money has been lost by investors preparing for corrections, or trying to anticipate corrections, than has
been lost in corrections themselves – Peter Lynch
▪ Absent a lot of surprises, stocks are relatively predictable over twenty years. As to whether they’re going to be
higher or lower in two to three years, you might as well flip a coin to decide.– Peter Lynch
The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information of a product structure to prospective investors in a manner to assist them in understanding the product. The
Presentation is purely for information purposes and should not be construed to be investment recommendation/advice or an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy/sell any
securities. This Presentation is for the personal information of the authorized recipient(s) and is not for public distribution and should not be reproduced or redistributed to any
other person or in any form without prior permission of White Oak Capital Management Consultants LLP (White Oak Capital Management). While reasonable endeavors have been
made to present reliable data in the Presentation, but White Oak Capital Management does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the data in the Presentation. White Oak
Capital Management or any of its connected persons including its subsidiaries or associates or partners or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that
may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained, views and opinions expressed in this Presentation. Past performance should not be taken as an
indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance. Information, opinions and estimates
contained in this Presentation reflect a judgment of its original date of publication by White Oak Capital Management and are subject to change without notice. This Presentation is
not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such
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licensing requirement within such jurisdiction The product described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors. Persons in
whose possession this Report/Presentation may come are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restrictions.
This presentation is qualified in its entirety by the Disclosure Document/Contribution Agreement and other related documents, copies of which will be provided to prospective
investors. All investors must read the detailed Disclosure Document/Contribution Agreement including the Risk Factors and consult their tax advisors, before making any investment
decision/contribution to be managed under the Portfolio Management Services offered by White Oak Capital Management. Capitalized terms used herein shall have the meaning
assigned to such terms in the PPM and other documents.
Contact Details – Registered and Corporate Office - Unit 6 B2/B3, 6th Floor, Cnergy Building, Appasaheb Marathe Marg, Prabhadevi, Mumbai - 400 025. Tel: (91-22) 62308100 / 8182