2.

70

(a) P(winning at most one job)

= P(winning zero job) + P(winning exactly one job)

= P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 ) + P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 ) + P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 ) + P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 ) +

P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 ) + P( H1H 2 H 3 B1B2 )

= (0.4)6 + (0.4)4(0.6)x5
= 0.0041 + 0.0768
= 0.081

(b) P(win at least 2 jobs)

= 1 – P(win at most one job)
= 1 – 0.081
= 0.919

(c) P(win exactly 1 highway job)．P(win zero building jobs)

= P[( H1H 2 H 3 )+P( H1H 2 H 3 )+P( H1H 2 H 3 )]．P( B1B2 )

= (0.4)2 + (0.6)4x3x(0.4)2
= 0.0461