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Smart Investment English (E-Copy) - 2
Smart Investment English (E-Copy) - 2
Smart Investment English (E-Copy) - 2
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Financial Weekly
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Performance of our last Recommendation
Stocks Reco Date Reco Price Recomm. High After
target Recomm.
EID PARRY 20th April 20 147.5 165-175 225
LAURUS LAB 21st April 20 423 445-460 536
ALEMBIC PHARMA 21st April 20 630 685-700 914.4
BAJAJFINSERV 23rd April 20 4730 5150-5300 Stop loss
A B CAPITAL 27th April 20 49.25 55-56 Stop Loss
ENDURANCE TECH 27th April 20 615 650-675-700 848
NAVKAR CORP 30th April 20 22.5 27-30 25.8
(Booked profit around Rs.25.5)
APOLLO MICRO 4th May 20 70 85-95 95.55
(Booked profit around Rs.85)
NAVKAR CORP 8th May 20 23.25 27-30 26.3
(Booked profit around Rs.25.75-26)
EID PARRY 8th May 20 156 175 206.4
ZEE LEARN 11th May 20 14 17-19 Range bound
ADVANCED ENZYMES 15th May 20 160 185-190 Stop loss
GRANULES 19th May 20 164.5 190-200 189
LAURUS LABS 19th May 20 438 490-525 483
CHEMBOND CHEMICALS 20th May 20 171 200 Stop loss
DYNEMIC PRODUCTS 26th May 20 111 - 126
(Booked profit around Rs.122-124)
TALBROS AUTO 29th May 20 92.5 105 Booked
around Rs.100
PLASTIBLEND India 1st June 20 160 190-200 Range bound
Moldtech Techno 3rd June 20 41 55-60 45.5
STRENGTH TO STRENGTH
TIME FOR CAUTION :- From Daily Bullish Gap to Weekly Bullish Gap, Bearish Island to
Bullish Island and from Closing Marubuzo to Opening Marubuzo, the Nifty never had it as good as
it has in the past couple of weeks. It is difficult to find a precedent in the last one year where Nifty
had 1100 points rally in just 2 weeks. Indices and Stocks have started to take a Bullish turn, on the
back of lockdown being lifted in major parts of the country. One can have a stock specific Bullish
approach but the same cannot be done for the Nifty. Nifty is now entering a cluster of strong Resis-
tances on daily and weekly timeframes and hence one requires adopting a cautious and hedged
approach moving forward.
TECHNICALLY SPEAKING :- Sensex opened the week at 32906, made a high of
34488, low of 32876 and closed the week at 34287. Thus it closed the week with a gain of 1863
points. At the same time the Nifty opened the week at 9726, made a high of 10177, low of 9706 and
closed the week at 10142. Thus the Nifty closed the week with a gain of 562 points.
On the daily charts, both the indices have formed a small White body Spinning Top which is
completing a Bullish Tri-Star pattern. Since it is forming in an Uptrend, it has little significance. On
the weekly timeframe, both Sensex and Nifty have formed a big Opening White body Marubuzo
following previous weeks Closing White body Marubuzo. Thus daily as well as weekly candlestick
study suggests a bullish bias.
Both the indices have formed a Bullish Gap on Weekly as well as Daily timeframe i.e. between
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Cont....
Fast Growing Stocks Least Expensive Stocks Best PEGs Income Generators Least Risky
Higesht Expected Revenue The 5 Stocks with the Top 5 Stocks with the least Top 5 Stocks with the Top 5 Stocks With the
growth over the previous year lowest forward P/E price earning to growth ratio highest dividend yield lowest downside risk
Co. Name Revenue Co. Name Lowest Co. Name Earning Investor Earn as Div. for Co. Name Lowest
Growth(%) Forward PE (%) Grwoth Ratio Every Rs.100/- Invested Downside Risk
HG Infra Engg. 43 NTPC 6.24 HG Infra 0.12 Co. Name Hig.Div. Yield Dr. Reddy’s 1.20
Tata Consumer 41 Redington 9.25
CESC 6.42 Gujarat Gas 0.25 CIPLA 1.35
IPCA Labs. 40 PFIZER 8.10
Dilip Buildcon 6.46 Power Grid 0.29 Thermax 1.35
Engineers India 7.05
V-Mart Retail 39 Redington 6.46 Dilip Buildcon 0.31 Alkem Labs. 1.37
Power Grid 5.38
Info Edge 33 Power Grid 6.55 KEC Intl. 0.32 LUPIN 1.37
VRL Logistics 4.67
Financial Weekly
To learn Fundamen-
tal Analysis you can
read the book Funda-
mental Analysis of
Shares by Ankit Gala &
Khushboo Gala. Book
is available in English.
Financial Weekly
1. Media reports are suggesting that HDFC Ltd is considering partial stake sale in an attempt to build
buffers expecting loan demand after the economy reopens fully. The money could be used to absorb
any potential shocks that come because of COVID-19-led lockdown. The lender is considering raising
$1 billion in this round and is reportedly in talks with investment banks for the assignment. Some bank-
ers have reportedly made presentations to HDFC for an institutional stake. As per the March 2020
shareholding, FIIs hold 70.9%, while DIIs holds 17.8%. The strong balance sheet and capital adequacy
position are the financial highlights making HDFC an attractive investment. Gross NPAs stood at 1.99%,
and much of the increase was because of the non-individual loan book. Trouble in real estate can
potentially impact the developer's financing segment of the book. NPLs of non-individuals rose by 180
bps and is currently at 4.71%.
2. HDFC offloaded 2.6 crore shares it held in HDFC Life in a bulk deal recently. The shares traded at
an average price of Rs. 490.22.
3. Diversified financials company Cholamandalam said as much as 75% of its loan book is under
moratorium. The company made provisions to a sizeable extent of its profits impacting coverage ratios,
saying it will be challenging to make recoveries in the current situation. The liquidity position is decent
enough for now. Credit costs might marginally go up going forward.
4. NHB and SIDBI have started disbursal of loans to mortgage lenders and microfinance firms as
part of the Rs. 50,000 crore special window announced by the Government and the RBI. The window is
expected to bring in the much necessary liquidity. As much as Rs. 3,400 crores of this will be made
available for lending to small businesses and Rs. 1,060 crores to microfinance institutions.
5. GAME, an industry body for the MSME segment, said that most firms are confused with the
recent stimulus package announced by the Government.The All India Manufacturers' Organisation
(AIMO) says that 35% of MSMEs and 37% of self-employed individuals have begun to shut shop, not
hoping any quick recovery of the economy.
6. SREI Infra Chairman, in a recent interview, said that NBFCs need a one-time restructuring of
loans. He said that the stimulus package improves liquidity but is more suitable for medium to long-
term. He said SREI Infra is managing its liquidity well.
SMART
BUY OF THE WEEK
Dark Horse
Some successful recommendations of Smart Dark Horse
in last one and half month
Recommended Dt. Stocks Recomm. High after Gain
Price Recomm. (%)
1st May 2020 Apollo Micro 70.85 95.55 35%
9th May 2020 Rama Phosphates 31.7 40 26%
30th May 2020 WPIL 348.3 398.95 15%
30th May 2020 Talbros Auto 92.5 104 12%
presence in South East Asia, Africa, countries of Middle - East, Europe, USA and Latin America,
covering almost 35 countries.
With an equity capital of Rs.5.71 crore and reserves of Rs.220 crore (38.5x of its equity capital),
ADL's share book value works out to around Rs.395.03. The promoters hold 61.15% of the equity
capital, GIC hold 3.79% which leaves 35.06% stake with the investing public. Its price to book
value ratio stands at just 1.32x. Promoters have increased their stake by 0.17% during
January 2020 to March 2020.
For 9MFY20, its PAT stood at Rs.22.46 crore against Rs.19.23 crore in 9MFY19 on higher sales
of Rs.260.79 crore fetching an EPS of Rs.39.36. On PAT front, it has reported 25.60% CAGR
growth in last 3 years, 16.41% CAGR growth in last 5 years and 13.57% CAGR growth
in last 10 years.
Currently, the stock trades at a P/E of just 10x. It paid 60% dividend for FY19 & paid 70% interim
dividend for FY20. Its recent high rate is Rs.860 which was formed in September 2018. Stock
almost corrected 39% from recent high.
Investors can accumulate this stock with a stop loss of Rs.475. It may give very
good returns in medium to long term.
Financial Weekly
www.smartinvestment.in
Smart Investment Website Index
9,999 hits only 1 Week
Total number of Hits
1,37,78,888
Kuber Bhandar of earnings
Future - Options, Stock - Watch, Funda - Picks,
Technical Shares, Speculative Scrips, Primary Market,
Stock Buzz
Subramanian Mahadevan
dolphincapital@gmail.com
- Parag Salot
Technical Trading Trends (SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
M. : 91-9930011789
Nifty Overview :- In Last Trading Session, Nifty closed at 10179. Nifty gave excellent bounce
back and now is at resistance. Nifty near term upside level is at 10450 and if it sustains those levels then
next level is 10940. Nifty support is at 9750 and 9400 levels. Nifty has positive bias and the range for now
is 9500 to 1040 levels until levels crossed.
Bank Nifty Overview : In Last Trading Session, Bank Nifty closed at 21185. Similar to Nifty, Even
Bank Nifty gave a good bounce and is now in positive zone. Range for Bank Nifty is from 19500 to 23500
levels. Support for Bank Nifty is at 20300 levels while upside levels are 21500 and 22000 levels.
Trading Results
Scrip Name BSE Code Buy / Enter at Did High/ Remarks
Sell Low
Bajaj Finance 500034 Buy 1875 2488 Target Achieved
Century Tex 500040 Buy 290 326 Target Achieved
IBulsHsgFin 535789 Buy 120 134 Target Achieved
REC 532955 Buy 89 101 Target Achieved
Sun Pharma 524715 Buy 458 511 Target Achieved
Tata Motors 500570 Buy 87.10 112.45 Target Achieved
Tata Steel 500470 Buy 298 344 Target Achieved
Tech Mahindra 532755 Buy 534 592 Target Achieved
Torrent Pharma 500420 Sell 2410 2288 Target Achieved
Trading Sell
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Adani Ports 532921 342 358/365 350 330 372
Biocon 532523 392 405/408 395 380 415
Cipla 500087 653 667/672 660 650 678
Tata Consumer 500800 378 384/390 375 360 400
Torrent Pharma 500420 2370 2480/2500 2400 2300 2540
Note: All calls are momentum calls based on technical analysis and all levels as per future prices (If scrip not available in futures then BSE Cash price). All
these calls are given based on daily charts but intra-day signals are equally important to enter the trade in a timely manner. Timing is very important and we at
shareinfoline.com give you timely calls based on intra-day charts. Read Disclaimer at ShareInfoline.com
Financial Weekly
Cont...
Financial Weekly
* India VIX : India VIX is a volatility index based on the NIFTY Index Option prices.
It had made a 52 week high of 86.63 on 24th March 2020 and then there was maximum
pessimism in the market. Vix topped out and market saw reversal and NF has moved from
52 week low of 7511 to 10177.8 DH on 05th June 2020. 200 Days SMA for India Vix is 24.32.
And on 5th June 2020 it made a low of 25.92 and closed at 28.68. 52 week low of India Vix
9.16.
# Nifty (10142) : The overall sentiment has improved among market participants
due to green shots and better liquidity has led to good global markets rally. While writing,
this article at on Friday US Dow Jones Index was trading at 27,262.64 +980.82 (3.73%) due
to better than anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (May) and unempolyment data. Rally may con-
tinue in Nf and we may see 10600 + levels. Good support is around 9900.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial
interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable
for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future "
(Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
Golden quote :-
But man is not made for defeat
A man can be destroyed but not defeated
Financial Weekly
Dilip Davda
e-mail Expert’s Eye
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com
Cont....
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above.
The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author
may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also
is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions
undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
som e scri ps
Before we talk on scrips, we like to draw your attention on banking shares, Banking sector
is passing through very danger time. As per indication given in the last week banks will not
be allowed to charge interest on moratorium amount, The decision is expected around 11/12
June. If no interest charged, banks will have to undergo huge loss. The true picture of this
will come around Diwali time. Small businessmen able to pay dues or not. This is very big
risk. ICICI and SBI are two major banks with huge loan. It is followed by BOB, RBL, Canara
Bank etc.
Reliance :- As soon as right issue closed reliance came out with another JIO sale to Abu
Dhabi based company to the invest of Rs.9000 cr. Reliance wants to be in the news to keep
share price up.
In ITC hotel business may not run at top capacity for next six Months. If anyone have in
portfolio should get out around rs.205.
Asian paints and burger are worth selling on rise. Burger paint has last support at Rs.495.
Asian paints if closes below Rs.1600 for two days may attract bears,
Ujjivan :- Now price range for share is Rs.175 to Rs.190. Trade on either side is trade
price is taken away.
Anti dumping duty on steel extended for next six months has benefited Tata Steel, Jindal
and JSW Steel. Buy on any correction is a call
Vedants is also going up buy we have no clear picture on de-listing. So avoid share.
In Auto :- Tata Motors, TVS and Ashok leyland are good buy.in tata motors keel s/l of
Rs.101 for target of Rs.125.
In Pharma shares like Cipla, Cadila, GlenMark are worth accumulating on any fall. Biocon
has resistance at 395/98. aAirtel should able to close above Rs. 590./95.
Adani group shares future depends on whether getting contract to maintain Ahmedabad
airport or not,
Nifty has support at 9980.
Financial Weekly
NIFTY
For next week NIFTY has strong support around 10035 levels. Break will take it to 9945-9870
levels. On the upper side NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 10295-10335 levels, cross over with
volume and close above will create short covering at take NIFTY up to 10500 levels…
BANK NIFTY
For next week BANK NIFTY has strong support around 20715 levels. Break will take it to 20310-
20175 levels. On the upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 21465 levels, cross over
with volume and close above will create short covering at take BANK NIFTY up to 21620-21965-
22500 levels…
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Disclosures: At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have
positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family
members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in
above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer: Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated
sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Inves-
tors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them.
The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
It is estimated that Indian Indices have crumbled by 40% from top in January. Even
after recovery in May and June, the indices are down by 18 to 20 %. Lockdown has
come to an end with unlock-1. Still companies will take time before entering the market.
The companies planning the issue have a number of challenges to face like the lower
valuation. So they will have to address the challenges before entering the market.
Year 2020 have been bad for the IPO market as only mainline public issue of CY2020, SBI
Cards, has been traded at 30% discount. The investors sentiment is ruined and their confi-
dence is at bottom.
Moreover, there is an apprehension whether the companies will be able to bounce back in
post-COVID-19 situation and will be able to perform as they used to prior lockdown. The
investors will prefer investment in only those companies which are capable of fast recovery.
Moreover, the SEBI has also allowed to reduce the IPO size by 50% without re-filing of the
documents. But it will have only a limited effect as majority of the issue are Offer for Sale
(OFS). So the promoters will wait instead of choosing discounted valuation.
Financial Weekly
KLM AxivaFinvest's NCDs issue that opened on June 2 will close on June 25
Muthoot Mini Fin's Rs100 crore NCDs issue to close on June 26
NCDs issues:-
KLM AxivaFinvest :- The issue with base price of Rs100 crore and shelf limit of
Rs125 crore opened on June 2 and will close on June 25. The company offers 11 to 12%
interest for 400 days to 5 year period. It got 0.23 times subscription as on June 5.
Muthoottue Mini Fi-
Subscription figure of Subscription figure of
nance :- The issue with KLM Axiva Finvest Muthoottu Mini Fin.
base price of Rs100 crore
Category No. of Bond Issue Category No. of Bond Issue
and shelf limit of Rs200 Offered/ Subscribed Offered/ Subscribed
crore opened on June 3 and Reserved 5-6-2020 Reserved 5-6-2020
will close on June 26. It of- Cat. 1 QIB 1,00,000 0.00x Cat. 1 QIB 1,00,000 0.00x
fers 9.50% to 10.50% inter- Cat. 2 NII 4,00,000 0.29x Cat. 2 NII 4,00,000 0.03x
est. It has got 0.02 times Cat. 3 HNI 5,00,000 0.23x Cat. 3 HNI 5,00,000 0.02x
subscription as on June 5. Total 10,00,000 0.23x Total 10,00,000 0.02x
Cont...
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may
have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am
recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising
out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI
Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
ARCHI PUBLICATIONS
311 to 313, Nalanda Enclave, Pritamnagar 1st Dhal, Ellisbridge, Ahmedabad-6. GUJARAT, INDIA
Phone : 079 - 2657 66 39, Fax : 079 - 2657 99 96 • Mob. : 0982500 6980
E-mail :
smartinvest25@yahoo.in / smartinvest25@gmail.com / info@smartinvestment.in
web : www.smartinvestment.in
Disclaimer :- Investment recommendations made in Smart Investment are for information
purposes only and derived from source that are deemed to be reliable but their accuracy and
completeness are not guaranteed. Smart Investment or the analyst / writer do not accept any
liability for the use of this column for the buying or selling of securities. Readers of this column who
buy or sell securities based on the information in this column are soley responsible for their ac-
tions. The author, his company or his acquaintance may / may not have positions in the scrips
featured herein
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