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Valuation Concepts: 1 Free Cash Flow Estimation (FCF)
Valuation Concepts: 1 Free Cash Flow Estimation (FCF)
Valuation Concepts: 1 Free Cash Flow Estimation (FCF)
Components of DCF
1 Free Cash Flow estimation (FCF)
The DCF approach involves forecasting earnings and forecasting FCF.This is
the net cash generated by the firm through its assets. BIT and EBITDA are only
earning figure as they do not really reflect cash position so they need to be
adjusted in order to find the cash flow to the firm may be categorized as :
1.FCFF-Free cash flow to the firm
FCFF=EBIT(1-Tax) +DEP-Capex-Working capital
FCFF=Cash from Operation (CFO)+Interest(1-Tax)-Capex
CFO=Net Income+Dep+Amortization-Increase in WC
FCFF=FCFE+Interest(1-T)-Net Borrowings
2.FCFE-Free cash flow to the equity
FCFF=FCFF-Interest(1-T) +Net borrowings
FCFE=CFO-Capex+Net borrowings
2.Period of estimation-Generally ranges from 5-10 years
3.Growth in FCF
FCFF is based on the operating income before debt payment so we need to
gauge growth in operating income.
FCFE is based on the net income or earnings per share which is calculated after
payment of all dues and obligations of the firm.
Growth in net income=Equity reinvestment rate (ERR)*Return on equity (ROE)
Growth in operating income (EBIT)=Reinvestment rate (RR)*ROC(Return on
Capital
ROE=ROC+D/E*(ROC-Kd post tax)
ROC=EBIT(1-T)/Equity Value Debt Value-cash
4.Perpetuity Value beyond FCF Period
Perpetuity value is also called the continuing value or terminal value.
TV=FCFFn+1/WACC-stable growth rate
This growth rate cannot be more than Economic growth rate. In stable state the
firm will have beta as 1
5 Discount rates
The discount rate is used to calculate the PV of FCF.
For FCFF discount rate is WACC
For FCFE discount rate is Cost of Equity.
Calculation of Cost of Equity (Ke)-It is calculated by the
following methods
1.Dividend Capitalization Approach (DDM)
According to this approach the cost of equity capital is measured by the rate of
return required by the equity holder
Ke=D1/(Po-f)+g
F is flotation cost.
Flotation cost is defined as the cost incurred by the company when they issue
new stocks in the market as the process involves various stages and participants.
It includes audit fees, legal fees, accounting fees, investment bank’s share out of
the issuance, and the fees to list the stocks on the stock exchange that needs to
be paid to the exchange.
It is expressed as a percentage of the issue price since the capital that is
raised after the sale of the new stocks will be after the deduction of the flotation
cost.