Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Forum Q2 2021 - Combined - EN
Forum Q2 2021 - Combined - EN
05. Q&A
0%
-20%
-40%
Source: Google’s mobility index extracted from Google’s COVID 19 Community Mobility Reports. The reference day would shift one day behind if it is a national holiday. The baseline for prior outbreak is
the median value for the corresponding day of the week during the 5 week period Jan 3 Feb 6, 2020.
Source: Google, CBRE Research, 03 July 2021.
APAC
Greater China
North Asia
India
Innovation
Individual productivity
Employee engagement
Team productivity
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Expectation on the state of business environment, APAC Company’s current business conditions, APAC
100%
Expanding 27%
80%
Sustained recovery 25%
60%
Stabilising 19%
20%
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
HCMC Hanoi HCMC Hanoi HCMC Hanoi
2019 2020 H1 2021
6M
New Letting Expansion Relocation Renewal Consolidation Contraction
2020 H1 2021
HCMC HANOI
TOTAL
SUPPLY
475,000 528,000
0 NLA (sqm) sqm NLA sqm NLA
18 projects 21 projects
New projects
ASKING
in H1 2021 RENT*
US$41.6 6.4% y-o-y US$26.9 3.0% y-o-y
US$/sqm/month
90,000 sqm
in Hanoi
in H2 2021 VACANCY
RATE 12.2% 0.4 ppt y-o-y 18.9% 11.3 ppt y-o-y
(%)
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021. Note: Asking rent is quoted on NLA, excluding VAT & Service charges.
HCMC HANOI
TOTAL
1
SUPPLY
NLA (sqm)
958,000 sqm NLA 997,000 sqm NLA
69 projects 72 projects
New project
in H1 2021 in HCMC ASKING
RENT*
US$25.1 3.0% y-o-y US$13.9 1.5% y-o-y
90,000 sqm US$/sqm/month
in Hanoi and
24,000 sqm
VACANCY
in HCMC RATE
in H2 2021 9.1% 4.3 ppt y-o-y 11.6% 0.6 ppt y-o-y
(%)
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021. Note: Asking rent is quoted on NLA, excluding VAT & Service charges.
40,000
30,000
20,000
Sqm
10,000
-10,000
-20,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2018 2019 2020 2021
HCMC Hanoi
HCMC Office, Market Performance by Grade Hanoi Office, Market Performance by Grade
50 25% 50 25%
Asking rents (US$/sqm/month)
Vacancy rate
Vacancy rate
30 15% 30 15%
20 10% 20 10%
10 5% 10 5%
- 0% 0 0%
2018 2019 2020 H1 2021
Q2 2021 2018 2019 2020 H1 2021
Q2 2021
Transactions by Industry, Major Transactions Collected Expectation on change of real estate portfolio over the
and Closed by CBRE, H1 2021 next 3 years, APAC
All sectors
TMT
TMT
Banking/Finance/Insurance
Finance
Manufacturing
Professional services
Logistics
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Work in office 1-2 1day/week or Up to 3 4-5 days/week Work remotely
all the time days/month less days/week all the time
Q3 2020 Q2 2021
Life Sciences
Finance
Technologies
Business Services
HANOI HCMC
CO2
Lower emissions
Less waste
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
Techno Park Tower (A) HUD Tower (B) Lancaster Luminaire (A) 36 Cat Linh (B)
Gia Lam, Thanh Xuan Dong Da Ba Dinh
9 NLA: ~90,000 sqm NLA: 48,000 sqm NLA: 20,600 sqm NLA: 16,000 sqm
3 4 8 9
Midtown Vinacomin Tower (B) BRG Tower (B) Epic Tower (B) Lotte Mall Hanoi (A)
Cau Giay Hoan Kiem Cau Giay Tay Ho
West 8 7 4
6 NLA: 38,000 sqm NLA: 5,000 sqm NLA: 25,000 sqm NLA: 45,000 sqm
3 CBD 5 10
2
10
4
2 8
7
AP Tower (B) Pearl 5 Tower (B) Cobi Tower (B) E-town 6 (A)
Binh Thanh District 3 District 7 Tan Binh
NLA: ~10,000 sqm NLA: 10,944 sqm NLA: 27,127 sqm GFA: 40,000 sqm
3 4 7 8
The Graces (B) Saigon First House (B) One Central (A) Prime A
35 District 7 District 3 District 1 District 2
NLA: 8,295 sqm NLA: 15,348 sqm NLA: 36,000 sqm NLA: 52,000 sqm
40 24% 40 24%
Vacancy Rate
Vacancy rate
30 18% 30 18%
20 12% 20 12%
10 6% 10 6%
- 0% - 0%
2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F 2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F
Economic outlook to Vaccine visa and Both occupiers and Green and wellness
remain positive increasing vaccine landlords are applying credentials are in the
despite COVID-19 rate will lessen the strategies to be more spotlight as occupiers’
impact of COVID-19 resilient adoption of Environment,
Social & Governance
(ESG) increase
Au 0
Ja 0
20
Fe 1
21
0
O 0
M 1
De 0
M 0
M 1
Ap 0
Ap 1
Ju 0
Ju 1
N 0
Se 0
VS
2
-2
2
-2
2
2
-2
-2
-2
-2
l-2
2
2
c-
PHARMACY
n-
n-
n-
p-
b-
r-
r-
ct-
g-
b
ov
ar
ay
ar
ay
Ju
Fe
M
HCMC Hanoi
WORKPLACE -14% VS
Note: Google’s mobility index extracted from Google’s COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports, as of monthly average
between 1 Mar 2020 and 15 May 2021. The baseline for prior outbreak is the median value for the corresponding day
of the week during the 5-week period Jan 3-Feb 6, 2020. Mobility trends for places like restaurants, cafes, shopping
PUBLIC -28% VS centers theme parks, museums, libraries, and movie theaters.
40% 120
Retail Sales (y-o-y)
20% 90
0% 60
-20% 30
-40%
0
Vietnam South Korea Singapore Japan China
N 0
M 1
0
D 0
20
20
M 1
21
Au 0
21
20
1
2
2
l -2
-2
-2
r-2
-2
-2
n-
g-
ct-
n-
p-
b-
n-
ar
ay
ec
ov
Ju
Ap
Se
Fe
Ju
Ju
Ja
O
Source: GSO of Asian countries, June 2021 Source: Tradingeconomics, June 2021
HCMC Hanoi
Note: Asking Rent is average of Ground Floor and First floor, excluding of Service Charge and 10% VAT.
Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2021
CBRE FORUM 2021 | VIETNAM 27 CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
UNCERTAIN PANDEMIC CONTROL MEASURES POSTPONED MARKET RECOVERY
COVID – 19
COVID – 19 (Wave 4)
COVID – 19 (Wave 3)
Vacancy Rate 2019 – Q2 2021 COVID – 19 (Wave 2)
18%
16%
14% Some tenants
12% support policies
Vacancy Rate
in HCMC:
10%
• 10-50% rent
8% support in
6% May
4% • Free rent in
June
2%
0%
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2019 2020 2021
2019 new entrants 2020 new entrants 2021: expansion & potential
F&B
Fashion & Accessories
Others
RESIDENTIAL
SHOPPING CENTRE PODIUM/SHOPHOUSE
Challenges Challenges
• Slow footfall recovery despite restriction uplift • Fewer options for different categories
• Lack of tourist activity • Quality of the retail property
Opportunities
• Good locations for entrants/expansions Opportunities
• Professionalism and providing various options • Near resident areas for delivery during work from home
• Occupancy rate can recover quickly • Good for grocery-anchored or mixed stores
• Less strict lease terms, termination terms, etc.
Vietnam in-store sales growth, y-o-y Vietnam E-commerce sales growth, y-o-y
Growth Projection of
30% 100% Online Sales by 2025
(times growth vs 2020)
20% 80%
3.11
10% 60% 2.40
2.06 2.20 2.15
1.8
0% 40%
-10% 20%
-20% 0%
Home Care
E-c ommerce
Electronics
Health & Beauty
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
14%
100
6%
40
4%
20
Vincom Mega Hinode City Toshin – Starlake Aeon Mall Hoang Mai 2%
Mall Smart City NLA : 10,000 sqm NLA: 17,000 sqm NLA : 84,000 sqm
NLA : 49,000 sqm 0 0%
2020 2021Q2 2021F 2022F 2023F
CBRE FORUM 2021 | VIETNAM Source: CBRE Research, Data as of June 2021.34
For Hanoi and HCMC, data is updated till Jul 2021. CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
HCMC: MUCH EXPECTATION FOR THE OPENINGS OF
MAJOR PROJECTS IN THE CBD
Forecast
160 16%
Vacancy Rate
100 10%
Socar Mall Central Premium Mall Vincom Grand Park 80 8%
35,000 sqm 24,000 sqm 48,000 sqm
District 2 District 8 District 9 60 6%
40 4%
20 2%
- 0%
2020 2021 2021 2022 2023
Q2
Rental Rate - CBD Rental Rate - Non-CBD
Saigon One
Vacancy Rate - CBD Vacancy Rate - Non-CBD
One Central Sun Tower
33,700 sqm 12,000 sqm 20,000 sqm
Note: Asking Rent is average of Ground Floor and First floor, excluding of Service Charge and 10% VAT.
District 1 District 1 District 1 Source: CBRE Research, Q2 2021
14,000
NORTH 12,000
10,000 ≈17,900 ha
8,000 Leasable Industrial Land
Ha
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
≈69.0%
Average Occupancy Rate
Hai Bac Hanoi Hung Hai Others
Phong Ninh Yen Duong (*)
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
Ha
6,000
4,000
≈30,000 ha
2,000 Leasable Industrial Land
SOUTH 0
Binh Dong BR-VT HCMC Long Others
Duong Nai An (*) ≈75%
Total land area Land for lease Average Occupancy Rate
Note: Northern RBF supply is calculated for Bac Ninh, Hai Duong, Hai Phong, Thai Nguyen, Vinh Phuc, Hung Yen, Bac Giang.
Northern WH supply is calculated for Bac Ninh, Hanoi, Hai Duong, Hai Phong, Hung Yen.
Southern RBF and WH supply is calculated for HCMC, Binh Duong, Dong Nai, Long An.
Industrial land asking rents, Q2 2021 Warehouse/Ready-built factory asking rents, Q2 2021
Up 5% - 10% y-o-y in good location industrial Ready-built Factory Warehouse
parks in Binh Duong, Dong Nai, Long An Stable asking rent Stable asking rent
US$/sqm/remaining leasing term
350 12
300
10
US$/sqm/month
250
8
200
6
150
100 4
50 2
0 0
HCMC
Bac Giang
Long An
Binh Duon g
Dong Nai
Quang Nam
Danang
Quang Ngai
Nghe An
Hai Duong
Hung Yen
Hai Phong
Thai Nguyen
Bac Ninh
Ha Noi
Ha Nam
BR-VT
Tay Ninh
Quang Nam
Dong Nai
Bac Giang
Long An
HCMC
Tay Ninh
Da Nang
Hung Yen
Thai Nguyen
Binh Duong
Hai Phong
Hanoi
Quang Ngai
Hai Duong
BR-VT
Bac Ninh
Minimum rent Maximum rent Minimum rent Maximum rent
Note: Asking rent of industrial land and ready-built factory/warehouse is exclusive of VAT and Management/Service charge. The asking industrial land rent is quoted on remaining lease term of
industrial parks. Normally, the remaining lease term is from 30 – 45 years.
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q2 2021.
H
a
China
N
oi
Thai Nguyen City
–
La
Thai Nguyen
o
Completed expressways:
C
y
ai
a
y
sw
a
Ex
Ha No
sw
es
pr
es
es
pr
• Lang – Hoa Lac pr
sw
Ex
Ex
i
a
Ca
n
i – Tha
y
So
g
• Ha Noi – Lao Cai Vinh Phuc on
ng
M
La
–
i
n
i–
Do
Nguye
Bac Giang
No
• Ha Noi – Ninh Binh Vinh Phuc City Va
n
Ha
n Expre
Bac Giang City
• Ha Noi – Thai Nguyen
Quang Ninh
ssway
Bac Ninh City
• Ha Noi – Hai Phong CONSTRUCTION OF VAN DON
• Hai Phong – Ha Long Ha Long – Van Don Expressway
- MONG CAI EXPRESSWAY
Natio
Bac Ninh nal Ro
ad 1 8
is expected to complete in 2022.
• Ha Long – Van Don Lang – Hoa Lac Expressway
Ha Long City
Hai Duong City
Under construction/ National Road 5
Ha No
planning expressways: Ha Noi Hai Duong
Hai Phong – Ha Long Expressway
Hai Phong City
i – Nin
• Van Don – Mong Cai Ha Noi – Ha
Hung Yen i Phong
Expressway
• Ninh Binh – Hai Phong h Binh
Expre
Hai Phong
• Huu Nghi – Chi Lang
ssway
International Airports:
ay
w
ress
Phu Ly City
Thai Binh Major Sea Port/ River Port
• Noi Bai
Exp
Ha Nam
ng
• Cat Bi International Airport
Pho
Ha i
• Van Don
–
inh
Industrial park
hB
Major Sea Ports/ River Ports: Ninh Binh City
Nam Dinh
Nin
• Hai Phong Port Complex
Major city
• Quang Ninh Port
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q2 2021.
–
y anh
• Long Thanh (Future)
G Th
u ng
Major Sea Port/ River Port
ia
Da Lo
Major Sea Ports/ River Ports:
–
C
HCMC
M
HC
• Cat Lai Port
Bi
Long An
en
International Airport
H
oa
• Hiep Phuoc Port Complex Ben Luc – Long Thanh
–
Vu
ng
• Long An International Port HCMC - Trung Luong
Ta
BR - VT Industrial park
u
• Cai Mep Port Complex
Major city
Trung Luong - My Thuan Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q2 2021.
Vung Tau
CBRE FORUM 2021 | VIETNAM 42 CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
LOCAL EXPANSION
FACTORY EXPANSION OF ANCHOR TENANTS TO ACCOMMODATE BUSINESS GROWTH
Packaging Automotive
Logistics Electronics
Medical
Furniture
equipment
Tighten regulation
Rising labor cost
Unexpected events
Bordering location
Benefits of FTAs & Incentives
The COVID-19
and trade tension
accelerate
manufacturing Significant
improvement of
relocation
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research & Consulting, Q2 2021.
infrastructure
Industrial leasing enquiries by property type Industrial leasing enquiries by land type, 6M 2021
6M 2021
2020
33%
67%
H
a
China
N
oi
Thai Nguyen City
–
La
o
C
y
ai
a
y
sw
Ex
a
Ha No
ssw
es
pr
re
es
pr
xp
sw
Ex
E
ai
n
i – Tha
y
Asking industrial land rent, Northern region
So
C
g
Vinh Phuc on
ng
–M
La
Bac Giang
i Nguye
n
i–
Do 300
No
n
Vinh Phuc City Va
USD/sqm/remaining term
Ha
250
n Expre
Bac Giang City
Quang Ninh
200
ssway
Bac Ninh City
150
Natio Ha Long – Van Don Expressway
Bac Ninh nal Ro
ad 1 8
100
Lang – Hoa Lac Expressway
Hai Duong City Ha Long City 50
National Road 5 0
Ha No
Hai Phong – Ha Long Expressway
Ha Noi Hai Duong Hai Phong City
Tier-1 Tier-2
i – Nin
Ha Noi – Ha
i Phong
Expressway
Northern Region
Tier-1 Tier-2 Hung Yen
h Binh
Express
Hai Phong Average occupancy rate, Northern region
Hanoi Vinh Phuc
w ay
ay
Bac Ninh Thai Nguyen 100%
w
ress
Phu Ly City
Occupancy rate
Ha Nam 80%
Exp
Hai Duong Bac Giang Thai Binh
ng
Major Sea Port/ River Port
Pho
Hai Phong Ha Nam 60%
Ha i
International Airport 40%
–
Hung Yen Thai Binh
inh
Nam Dinh
hB
Ninh Binh City
Industrial park 20%
Nin
Quang Ninh
Major city 0%
Tier-1 Tier-2
USD/sqm/remaining term
300
250
200
Tier-1 Tier-2 150
100
HCMC Tay Ninh Binh Phuoc
50
Binh Duong Binh Phuoc 0
Vinh Hao - Phan Thiet
Tay Ninh Tier-1 Tier-2
Dong Nai Ba Ria – Vung Tau Southern Region
Long An Binh Thuan
Average occupancy rate, Southern region
Tien Giang
100%
Occupancy rate
60%
Binh Thuan
Moc Bai - HCMC 40%
Dong Nai 20%
Thu Dau Mot
Bien Hoa Dau Giay - Phan Thiet
0%
Phan Thiet
Tier-1 Tier-2
–
y anh
Southern Region
G Th
u ng
ia
Da Lo
–
C
HCMC
M
HC
Bi
Long An
en
Major Sea Port/ River Port
H
oa
Ben Luc – Long Thanh
–
Vu
International Airport
ng
HCMC - Trung Luong
Ta
BR - VT
u Industrial park
Trung Luong - My Thuan
Major city
High-rise 9%
Factory
High-rise 5%
Warehouse ◼ High-rise
and Built-
to-suit
warehouse
95% ◼ Normal
warehouse
(*) Absorption rate: Sold units of newly launch projects in 1H 2021/ new launch supply during the period
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
84% Locational
preferences
Internal
layouts will
Being at home
means
Prefer To may change come under watching the
Work more scrutiny bills
Remotely
Existing Future
Na
tion
Ring Road 3
al R
d. 3
2
A
.1
CORE
Rdl
DISTRICTS
na
tio
Na
Thang
Long
Ave. Ring
Ro ad 2
Na
tio
na
Ri
lR
ng
d.
Ro
5b
ad
3.
5
Bie Expre
nH
Vinhomes Grand Park
oa ssway
oa d 3
–V
ung
Ring R
Tau
HC
MC
– Lon
g
exp Thanh
ress –
way Dau
Saigon Binh An G iay
CORE Aqua City
DISTRICTS
2
a d
Ro
Waterpoint g
Rin Waterpoint
Lu ong
ng
Tru y
MC – esswa
HC expr
HCMC Condominium, New Launch Supply, Q2 2021 Hanoi Condominium, New Launch Supply, Q2 2021
(6M: ▼ 9% y-o-y) (6M:▲10% y-o-y)
14,000 14,000
Q2: ▲ 1.3x q-o-q Q2:▼20%q-o-q
12,000 New launch slowed 12,000
due to Covid-19
down in June due to wave from May
10,000 10,000
Covid-19 wave in and started to
the South recover in June
8,000 8,000
6,000 6,000
4,000 4,000
2,000 2,000
0 -
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
◼ LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | ◼ HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | ◼ MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | ◼ AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
HCMC Residential, Map of New Launch Supply H1 2021 Hanoi Residential, Map of New Launch Supply H1 2021
NORTH NORTH
(17%) (1%)
CENTRAL
EAST
(4%) (22%)
WEST
(31%) CORE
DISTRICTS
WEST (39%) (1%) EAST (39%)
SOUTH
SOUTH
(26%)
(19%)
HCMC Condominium, Primary prices, Q2 2021 Hanoi Condominium, Primary prices, Q2 2021
LUXURY HIGH-END MID-END AFFORDABLE LUXURY HIGH-END MID-END AFFORDABLE
$6,882 $2,577 $1,552 $954 $5,100 $2,368 $1,395 $883
(▲9.2% y-o-y) (▲0.4% y-o-y) (▲8.3% y-o-y) (▲1.6% y-o-y) (▲2.2% y-o-y) (▲ 6.7% y-o-y) (▲9.1% y-o-y)
8,000 8,000
Primary price (US$ psm)
LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
(*) Selling price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on NSA)
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
HCMC Villa/Townhouse, Secondary prices, Q2 2021 Hanoi Villa/Townhouse, Secondary prices, Q2 2021
$10,000 $10,000
$8,000 $8,000
US$/sqm
US$/sqm
$6,000 $6,000
$4,000 $4,000
$2,000 $2,000
$0 $0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2019 2020 20212021 2019 2020 2021
25,000
15,000
US$ psm
10,000
3% at ~$7,000 psm
Luxury
5,000
31% High-end
0
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q2
2018 2018 2018 2019 2019 2019 2019 2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 43% Mid-end
Jakarta Bangkok Hanoi HCMC Singapore Phnom Penh
24% Affordable
LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
(*) Selling price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on land area) Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
3,000 15%
10%
2,500 5%
2,000 0%
1,500 -5%
1,000 -10%
500 -15%
- -20%
Millennium (2016)
(2019)
Launching price 2020 asking price* Current asking price Price growth rate
LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
(*) Selling price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on land area) Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
2,500 10%
High-end Mid-end
Secondary selling price (US$ psm)
8%
2,000
6%
Y-o-y growth
1,500 4%
2%
1,000
0%
500
-2%
- -4%
Indochina Park Hill - Hoang Cau Vinhomes Seasons An Binh My Dinh Green Pearl Vinhomes Imperi a Sky Cau Giay Mipec
Plaza Hanoi Ti mes City - Skyline - Skylake - Avenue Ci ty - 2016 Pearl - - 2017 Greenbay - Garden - Center Rubik360 -
- 2009 2015 2016 2016 2015 2016 2017 2017 Point - 2019
2018
LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
(*) Selling price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on land area) Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
Expats fret
HCMC Condominium, Rental yields, Q2 2021 Hanoi Condominium, Rental yields, Q2 2021
as Vietnam
8%
8%
7%
tightens
7%
6% 6% visa policies
Rental yields
Rental yield
5% 5%
4% 4%
1 7 J u n e 2 0 2 1
3% 3%
2% 2%
1% 1%
0% 0%
District 1 District 2 Binh District 7 CBD Midtown Tay Ho West South
Thanh
LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
(*) Selling price: US$ psm (excluding VAT and quoted on land area)
Source: CBRE Vietnam Research, Q2 2021.
Move in
after paying
0%-20%
of unit value.
AND SALES
METHOD
ONLINE
PLATFORM
HCMC Condominium, Sold units, Q2 2021 Hanoi Condominium, Sold units, Q2 2021
(6M: ▲ 28% y-o-y) (6M: ▲20% y-o-y)
16,000 16,000
Q2: ▲ 76% q-o-q Q2: ▼6% q-o-q
14,000 14,000
Sold units slowed Slight decline due
12,000 down in June due to 12,000 to disruption in
Sold units
10,000 May
Sold Units
Covid-19 wave in 10,000
8,000 the South
8,000
6,000 6,000
4,000 4,000
2,000 2,000
0 -
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2019 2020 2021 2019 2020 2021
◼ LUXURY: >US$4,000 psm | ◼ HIGH END: US$2,000 – 4,000 psm | ◼ MID END: US$1,000 – 2,000 psm | ◼ AFFORDABLE: < US$1,000 psm
HCMC Villa/Townhouse, Sold units, Q2 2021 Hanoi Villa/Townhouse, Sold units, Q2 2021
Units
Units
1,500 1,500
1,000 1,000
500 500
0 0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Sold units dropped due to lack of supply Landed property in high demand
CBRE FORUM
Nguồn 2021
ảnh: | VIETNAM
Zing 71 CBRE RESEARCH | © 2021 CBRE, INC.
ENCOURAGING SIGNS OF PROGRESS WITH INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS, BUT
COMPLETION SCHEDULE REMAINS UNCERTAIN
HCMC Condominium, New launch supply vs. Sold units Hanoi Condominium, New launch supply vs. Sold units
40,000 40,000
Forecast Forecast
35,000 35,000
30,000 30,000
25,000 25,000
20,000 20,000
15,000 15,000
10,000 10,000
5,000 5,000
- -
2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F 2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F
HCMC Condominium, Forecast primary price Hanoi Condominium, Forecast primary price
LUXURY – Branded
residence project to
Forecast introduce at new
record high
$8,000 $8,000
▲ 6% y-o-y
$7,000 $7,000 Forecast
$6,000 $6,000
$5,000 $5,000
$4,000 $4,000
▲ 7% y-o-y
$3,000 ▲ 4% y-o-y $3,000
$1,000 $1,000
▲ 1% y-o-y ▲ 4% y-o-y
$- $0
2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F 2018 2019 2020 2021F 2022F