CUMULATIVE

10 days NO OF
CONFIRMED CASE
ACTIVE CASES DAILY CASES rolling CONFIRMED
CASES INDEX
average DEATH
(NATIONWIDE)
Jan-30 1 1 1 1.00
Jan-31 1 1 0 0.00
Feb-01 1 1 0 0.00
Feb-02 2 2 1 0.50
Feb-03 2 2 0 0.00
Feb-04 2 2 0 0.00
Feb-05 3 3 1 0.33
Feb-06 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-07 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-08 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-09 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-10 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-11 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-12 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-13 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-14 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-15 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-16 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-17 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-18 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-19 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-20 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-21 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-22 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-23 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-24 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-25 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-26 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-27 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-28 3 3 0 0.00
Feb-29 3 3 0 0.00
Mar-01 3 3 0 0.00
Mar-02 3 3 0 0.00
Mar-03 5 5 2 0.2 0.40
Mar-04 5 5 0 0.2 0.00
Mar-05 5 5 0 0.2 0.00
Mar-06 5 5 0 0.2 0.00
Mar-07 5 6 1 0.3 0.17 0
Mar-08 7 10 4 0.7 0.40 1
Mar-09 17 20 10 1.7 0.50 1
Mar-10 30 33 13 3 0.39 1
Mar-11 46 49 16 4.6 0.33 1
Mar-12 48 52 3 4.9 0.06 2
Mar-13 61 68 16 6.3 0.24 5
Mar-14 103 111 43 10.6 0.39 6
Mar-15 130 140 29 13.5 0.21 8
Mar-16 126 140 0 13.5 0.00 12
Mar-17 171 187 47 18.1 0.25 12
Mar-18 181 202 15 19.2 0.07 14
Mar-19 192 217 15 19.7 0.07 17
Mar-20 204 230 13 19.7 0.06 18
Mar-21 275 307 77 25.8 0.25 19
Mar-22 338 380 73 32.8 0.19 25
Mar-23 411 462 82 39.4 0.18 33
Mar-24 497 552 90 44.1 0.16 35
Mar-25 572 636 84 49.6 0.13 38
Mar-26 634 707 71 56.7 0.10 45
Mar-27 718 803 96 61.6 0.12 54
Mar-28 972 1075 272 87.3 0.25 68
Mar-29 1305 1418 343 120.1 0.24 71
Mar-30 1426 1546 128 131.6 0.08 78
Mar-31 1947 2084 538 177.7 0.26 88
Apr-01 2165 2311 227 193.1 0.10 96
Apr-02 2475 2633 322 217.1 0.12 107
Apr-03 2830 3018 385 246.6 0.13 136
Apr-04 2893 3094 76 245.8 0.02 144
Apr-05 3030 3246 152 253.9 0.05 152
Apr-06 3424 3660 414 285.7 0.11 163
Apr-07 3503 3764 104 268.9 0.03 177
Apr-08 3592 3870 106 245.2 0.03 182
Apr-09 3749 4076 206 253 0.05 203
Apr-10 3834 4195 119 211.1 0.03 221
Apr-11 4024 4428 233 211.7 0.05 247
Apr-12 4154 4648 220 201.5 0.05 297
Apr-13 4375 4932 284 191.4 0.06 315
Apr-14 4593 5223 291 212.9 0.06 335
Apr-15 4751 5453 230 220.7 0.04 349
Apr-16 4863 5660 207 200 0.04 362
Apr-17 5004 5878 218 211.4 0.04 387
Apr-18 5174 6087 209 221.7 0.03 397
Apr-19 5278 6259 172 218.3 0.03 409
Apr-20 5418 6459 200 226.4 0.03 428
Apr-21 5508 6599 140 217.1 0.02 437
Apr-22 5571 6710 111 206.2 0.02 446
Apr-23 5797 6981 271 204.9 0.04 462
Apr-24 5953 7192 211 196.9 0.03 477
Apr-25 6008 7294 102 184.1 0.01 494
Apr-26 6216 7579 285 191.9 0.04 501
Apr-27 6334 7777 198 189.9 0.03 511
Apr-28 6453 7958 181 187.1 0.02 530
Apr-29 6631 8212 254 195.3 0.03 558
Apr-30 6877 8488 276 202.9 0.03 568
May-01 7109 8772 284 217.3 0.03 579
May-02 7201 8928 156 221.8 0.02 603
May-03 7402 9223 295 224.2 0.03 607
May-04 7547 9485 262 229.3 0.03 623
May-05 7639 9684 199 239 0.02 637
May-06 7840 10004 320 242.5 0.03 658
May-07 8040 10343 339 256.6 0.03 685
May-08 8033 10463 120 250.5 0.01 696
May-09 8064 10610 147 239.8 0.01 704
May-10 8151 10794 184 230.6 0.02 719
May-11 8361 11086 292 231.4 0.03 726
May-12 8493 11350 264 242.2 0.02 751
May-13 8595 11618 268 239.5 0.02 772
May-14 8749 11876 258 239.1 0.02 790
May-15 8825 12091 215 240.7 0.02 806
May-16 8927 12305 214 230.1 0.02 817
May-17 9054 12513 208 217 0.02 824
May-18 9158 12718 205 225.5 0.02 831
May-19 9262 12942 224 233.2 0.02 837
May-20 9447 13221 279 242.7 0.02 842
May-21 9588 13434 213 234.8 0.02 846
May-22 9648 13597 163 224.7 0.01 857
May-23 9737 13777 180 215.9 0.01 863
May-24 9918 14035 258 215.9 0.02 868
May-25 10123 14319 284 222.8 0.02 873
May-26 10371 14669 350 236.4 0.02 886
May-27 10639 15049 380 253.6 0.03 904

236.4
DAILY CONFIRMED # INDIVIDUALS
DAILY CASE2 BED CAPACITY CFR
CASE RECOVERY TESTED

-3016 62 0.0%
-2954 63 0.0%
-2891 64 0.0%
-2827 65 0.0%
-2762 66 0.0%
-2696 67 0.0%
-2629 68 0.0%
-2561 69 0.0%
-2492 70 0.0%
-2422 71 0.0%
-2351 72 0.0%
-2279 73 0.0%
-2206 74 0.0%
-2132 75 0.0%
-2057 76 0.0%
-1981 77 0.0%
-1904 78 0.0%
-1826 79 0.0%
-1747 80 0.0%
-1667 81 0.0%
-1586 82 0.0%
-1504 83 0.0%
-1421 84 0.0%
-1337 85 0.0%
-1252 86 0.0%
-1166 87 0.0%
-1079 88 0.0%
-991 89 0.0%
-902 90 0.0%
-812 91 0.0%
-721 92 0.0%
-629 93 0.0%
-536 94 0.0%
-442 95 0.0%
-347 96 0.0%
-251 97 0.0%
0 0 -154 98 0.0%
0 1 1 -56 99 0.0%
1 2 2 43 100 10.0%
0 2 0 143 100 5.0%
0 2 0 243 100 3.0%
0 2 0 343 100 2.0%
1 2 0 443 100 3.8%
 3 2 0 543 100 7.4%
1 2 0 643 100 5.4%
2 2 0 743 100 5.7%
4 2 0 843 100 8.6%
0 4 2 943 100 6.4%
2 7 3 1043 100 6.9%
3 8 1 1143 100 7.8%
1 8 0 1243 100 7.8%
1 13 5 1343 150 6.2%
6 17 4 1493 150 6.6%
8 18 1 1643 150 7.1%
2 20 2 1793 168 6.3%
3 26 6 1961 186 6.0%
7 28 2 2147 140 6.4%
9 31 3 2287 399 6.7%
14 35 4 2686 427 6.3%
3 42 7 3113 190 5.0%
7 42 0 3303 635 5.0%
10 49 7 3938 406 4.2%
8 50 1 4344 382 4.2%
11 51 1 4726 541 4.1%
29 52 1 5267 263 4.5%
8 57 5 5530 444 4.7%
8 64 7 5974 4.7%
11 73 9 5974 4.5%
14 84 11 5975 4.7%
5 96 12 5976 4.7%
21 124 28 5977 5.0%
18 140 16 5978 5.3%
26 157 17 33814 5.6%
50 197 40 35959 2145 6.4%
18 242 45 38103 2144 6.4%
20 295 53 39947 1844 6.4%
14 353 58 42215 2268 6.4%
13 435 82 45914 3699 6.4%
25 487 52 49613 3699 6.6%
10 516 29 52837 3224 6.5%
12 572 56 6.5%
19 613 41 6.6%
9 654 41 61049 6.6%
9 693 39 6.6%
16 722 29 68765 6.6%
15 762 40 72794 6.6%
17 792 30 76030 6.8%
7 862 70 6.6%
10 932 70 6.6%
19 975 43 89021 89021 6.7%
28 1023 48 93526 4505 6.8%
10 1043 20 97505 3979 6.7%
11 1084 41 103692 6187 6.6%
24 1124 40 6.8%
4 1214 90 113574 9882 6.6%
16 1315 101 119774 6200 6.6%
14 1408 93 6.6%
21 1506 98 131786 131786 6.6%
27 1618 112 137055 5269 6.6%
11 1734 116 -137055 6.7%
8 1842 108 0 6.6%
15 1924 82 158384 158384 6.7%
7 1999 75 -158384 6.5%
25 2106 107 172238 172238 6.6%
21 2251 145 184857 12619 6.6%
18 2337 86 6.7%
16 2460 123 6.7%
11 2561 101 6.6%
7 2635 74 6.6%
7 2729 94 207823 6.5%
6 2843 114 6.5%
5 2932 89 6.4%
4 3000 68 6.3%
11 3092 92 6.3%
6 3177 85 277918 6.3%
5 3249 72 6.2%
5 3323 74 277918 6.1%
13 3412 89 283147 6.0%
18 3506 94 6.0%

10.67% 6.3%
 PHILIPPIN
CASE DOUBLING TIME
BED CAP
DAYS

13272.0
13273.0
DAILY CASES DATA REF
ACTIV
13274.0
13275.0
13276.0
13277.0
100000 NON COMMUNITY QUARANTINE ST
13278.0
13279.0
13280.0 10000
13281.0
13282.0
13283.0
13284.0 1000
13285.0
13286.0
13287.0 FIRST IMPORTED
13288.0 100 CASES DETECTED
3 Chinese National from
13289.0 WUHAN, China
13290.0
13291.0 INFORMATION AND DATA
13292.0 10 GATHERING
13293.0
13294.0
13295.0
13296.0
1
13297.0 -30 -06 -13 -20 -27 r-05
n b b b b a
13298.0 Ja Fe Fe Fe Fe M M
13299.0
13300.0
13301.0
13302.0

PHILIPPINE CUM
13303.0
13304.0

Data source: DO
13305.0
13306.0
13307.0 100000
13308.0
13309.0
13310.0
13310.0 2.0
2.8
10000
13310.0
13310.0 3.5
13310.0 23.3

1000
 10000

13310.0 5.2
13310.0 2.8 1000
13310.0 6.0
13310.0 #DIV/0!
13310.0 4.8
13310.0 18.0 100
13310.0 19.4
13310.0 23.8
13310.0 4.8
13310.0 6.5
7.1
10
13310.0
13310.0 7.8
13310.0 9.8
13310.0 13.1
13310.0 10.9 1
4.8 Jan-30 Feb-06 Feb-13 Feb-20 Feb-27 Mar-05 Mar
13310.0
13310.0 5.0
13310.0 16.0
13310.0 4.6 CUMULATIVE CONFIRMED
13310.0 13.4
13310.0 10.6 CONFIRMED RECOVERY
13310.0 10.2
13310.0 55.7
13310.0 28.9
13310.0 11.5
13310.0 49.5
13310.0 49.9
13310.0 26.7
13310.0 48.2
13310.0 25.6
13310.0 28.6
13310.0 23.4
13310.0 24.2
13310.0 32.2
13310.0 37.2
13310.0 36.7
13310.0 39.7
13310.0 49.8
13310.0 44.1
13310.0 64.6 CONFIRMED CASES 3 DAY FORECAST
13310.0 83.1
13310.0 35.0 (7 DAY ROLLING LOGARITHMIC
46.6
13310.0
TRENDLINE)
13310.0 98.4
13310.0 36.2 CUMULATIVE CONFIRMED CASES (NATIONWIDE)
13310.0 53.8 FORECAST CASES TREND
13310.0 60.3 16000 15049
14669
13310.0 44.1 15000 14319
R²
13434 = 13777 14035
0.977202218944811
13597
14000
13000
 CUMULATIVE CONFIRMED CASES (NATIONWIDE)
FORECAST CASES TREND
16000 15049
14669
15000 14319
R²
13434 = 13777 14035
0.977202218944811
13597
13310.0 41.9 14000
13310.0 42.1 13000
13310.0 78.6
13310.0 42.6
13310.0 49.5
13310.0 66.8
0000000000
13310.0 42.6
13310.0 41.6 DISCLAIMER: This is not an official DO
13310.0 120.2 Coordinating Council with the intenti
13310.0 99.4
13310.0 80.6
13310.0 51.9
13310.0 58.9
59.4
CFR (D/(D+R)
13310.0
63.1 12.0%
13310.0
13310.0 77.3 10.0%
13310.0 79.0
13310.0 82.7 8.0%

13310.0 85.3 6.0%

13310.0 79.4
13310.0 65.0 4.0%
13311.0 86.7
2.0%
13312.0 114.9
13313.0 105.4 0.0%
74.7 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 De
13314.0
13315.0 69.2
13316.0 57.4
13317.0 54.2

1050.7%
 PHILIPPINE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC CHART
DATA REFERENCE:
ACTIVE CASES DOH andCUMULATIVE
WIKI CONFIRMED CASES (NATIONWID
CHART AND TAB

NITY QUARANTINE STAGE COMMUNITY QUARANTINE PHASES

TESTING CAPACITY
START OF MAJOR WAS INCREASED
WAVE AND LOCAL
TRANSMISSION

TION AND DATA

THERING DEATH > RECOVERED DEATH < RECOVERED

1st 2nd
ECQ ECQ EXTENSION
0
-27 r-05 r-12 r-19 r-26 r-0
2
r-0
9
r-1
6
r-2
3
r-3
0
-07 -14
Fe
b a a a a Ap Ap Ap Ap Ap ay ay ay
M M M M M M M

IPPINE CUMULATIVE CASES EPIDEMIC CURVE

source: DOH COVID TRACKER
15,049
3,506
904
 904
10,639
ACTIVE CASES
TO DATE

20 Feb-27 Mar-05 Mar-12 Mar-19 Mar-26 Apr-02 Apr-09 Apr-16 Apr-23 Apr-30 May-07 May-14 May-21

ATIVE CONFIRMED CASES (NATIONWIDE) NO OF CONFIRMED DEATH

MED RECOVERY ACTIVE CASES

10 DAYS HIGHLIGHT
COVERED: From 17-26 MAY 2020 NEW CA
AVE. DAILY CASE: 236.4 Cases
PEAK: 350 Cases CFR(ave): 6.3% AREA O
BREAKD

AY FORECAST DEATH CASES 3 DAY RECOVERY CA

FORECAST (7 DAY ROLLIN
ITHMIC (7 DAY ROLLING LOGARITHMIC TRENDLINE)
TRENDLINE)
CONFIRM
TIONWIDE) NO OF CONFIRMED DEATH FORECA
FORECAST CASES TREND 3800
15049 930 3650
4669 904
886 3500
873 3350
R² = 0.9983927313
3
R² = 0.945550483863464
863 868 3177
857 3200 3000 3092
846
3050
830 2900
TIONWIDE) NO OF CONFIRMED DEATH FORECA
FORECAST CASES TREND 3800
15049 930 3650
4669 904
886 3500
873 3350
R² = 0.9983927313 3
R² = 0.945550483863464
863 868 3177
857 3200 3000 3092
846
3050
830 2900
May-21 May-22 May-23 May-24 May-25 May-26 May-27 May-21 May-22 May-23 Ma

s is not an official DOH monitoring. This is a monitoring conducted by Kabalikat Civicom Misa
ncil with the intention of raising awareness on the seriousness of the current COVID-19 pand

D+R) CASE DOUBLING TIME

140.0

120.0

100.0

80.0

60.0

40.0

20.0
Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30
0.0
Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30 Dec-30
ASES (NATIONWIDE)
CHART AND TABULATION BY: ICLM

PHASES

GRADUAL
FLATTENING OF
CURVE

VERED

2nd MECQ
XTENSION
-07 -14 -21
ay ay ay
M M M

DAILY CASE
SUMMARY
TOTAL UNIQUE
INDIVIDUALS TESTED
283,147
as of 26 MAY 2020, Tuesday

15,049 NEW CASES

3,506 380
904 RECOVERED
 904 RECOVERED
NEW CASE
10,639 94
ACTIVE CASES TOTAL CASES TO DATE
TO DATE
3,506
DEATH
NEW CASE

18
TOTAL CASES TO DATE
May-14 May-21
904
D DEATH as of 27 May 2020,
1600HRS , WEDNESDAY

NEW CASES
AREA OF OCCURENCE
BREAKDOWN
Nationwid 380
- 0
- 0

Nationwide
380
100.00%

RECOVERY CASES 3 DAY FORECAST

(7 DAY ROLLING LOGARITHMIC
TRENDLINE)
CONFIRMED RECOVERY
FORECAST CASES TREND

3506
3412
3323
R² = 0.998392731327126
3249
3177
3092
3000
 FORECAST CASES TREND

3506
3412
3323
R² = 0.998392731327126
3249
3177
3092
3000

May-21 May-22 May-23 May-24 May-25 May-26 May-27

likat Civicom Misamis Occidental

ent COVID-19 pandemic.
Date Day Actual Forecast
7-Mar 1 1 1,398
8-Mar 2 10 1,442
9-Mar 3 20 1,487
10-Mar 4 33 1,533
11-Mar 5 49 1,581
12-Mar 6 52 1,631
13-Mar 7 68 1,682
14-Mar 8 111 1,734
15-Mar 9 140 1,788
16-Mar 10 140 1,844
17-Mar 11 187 1,902
18-Mar 12 202 1,961
19-Mar 13 217 2,022
20-Mar 14 230 2,086
21-Mar 15 307 2,151
22-Mar 16 380 2,218
23-Mar 17 462 2,287
24-Mar 18 552 2,359
25-Mar 19 636 2,432
26-Mar 20 707 2,508
27-Mar 21 803 2,587
28-Mar 22 1075 2,667
29-Mar 23 1418 2,751
30-Mar 24 1546 2,837
31-Mar 25 2084 2,925
1-Apr 26 2311 3,017
2-Apr 27 2633 3,111
3-Apr 28 3018 3,208
4-Apr 29 3094 3,308
5-Apr 30 3246 3,412
6-Apr 31 3660 3,518
7-Apr 32 3764 3,628
 8-Apr 33 3870 3,741
9-Apr 34 4076 3,858
10-Apr 35 4195 3,979
11-Apr 36 4428 4,103
12-Apr 37 4648 4,231
13-Apr 38 4932 4,363
14-Apr 39 5223 4,499
15-Apr 40 5453 4,640
16-Apr 41 5660 4,785
17-Apr 42 5878 4,934
18-Apr 43 6087 5,088
19-Apr 44 6259 5,247
20-Apr 45 6459 5,411
21-Apr 46 6599 5,580
22-Apr 47 6710 5,754
23-Apr 48 6981 5,934
24-Apr 49 7192 6,119
25-Apr 50 7294 6,310
26-Apr 51 7579 6,507
27-Apr 52 7777 6,711
28-Apr 53 7958 6,920
29-Apr 54 8212 7,136
30-Apr 55 8488 7,359
1-May 56 8772 7,589
2-May 57 8928 7,826
3-May 58 9223 8,070
4-May 59 9485 8,322
5-May 60 9750 8,581
6-May 61 10004 8,849
7-May 62 10343 9,126
8-May 63 10463 9,410
9-May 64 10610 9,704
10-May 65 10794 10,007
11-May 66 11086 10,319
12-May 67 11350 10,641
13-May 68 11618 10,973
14-May 69 11876 11,316
15-May 70 12091 11,669
16-May 71 12305 12,033
17-May 72 12513 12,408
18-May 73 12718 12,795
19-May 74 12942 13,195
20-May 75 13221 13,606
21-May 76 13434 14,031
22-May 77 13597 14,468
23-May 78 13777 14,919
24-May 79 14035 15,385
25-May 80 14319 15,864
26-May 81 14603 16,359
27-May 82 15049 16,869
28-May 83 17,395
29-May 84 17,937
30-May 85 18,497
31-May 86 19,073
1-Jun 87 19,668
2-Jun 88 20,281
3-Jun 89 20,913
4-Jun 90 21,564
5-Jun 91 22,236
6-Jun 92 22,929
7-Jun 93 23,643
8-Jun 94 24,379
9-Jun 95 25,139
10-Jun 96 25,922
11-Jun 97 26,729
12-Jun 98 27,561
13-Jun 99 28,419
14-Jun 100 29,303
15-Jun 101 30,215
16-Jun 102 31,155
17-Jun 103 32,125
18-Jun 104 33,124
19-Jun 105 34,154
20-Jun 106 35,217
21-Jun 107 36,312
22-Jun 108 37,441
23-Jun 109 38,604
24-Jun 110 39,804
25-Jun 111 41,041
26-Jun 112 42,316
27-Jun 113 43,630
28-Jun 114 44,985
29-Jun 115 46,382
30-Jun 116 47,822
1-Jul 117 49,306
2-Jul 118 50,836
3-Jul 119 52,413
4-Jul 120 54,039
5-Jul 121 55,715
6-Jul 122 57,442
7-Jul 123 59,222
8-Jul 124 61,057
9-Jul 125 62,948
10-Jul 126 64,898
11-Jul 127 66,907
12-Jul 128 68,978
13-Jul 129 71,112
14-Jul 130 73,311
15-Jul 131 75,578
16-Jul 132 77,914
17-Jul 133 80,321
18-Jul 134 82,802
19-Jul 135 85,359
20-Jul 136 87,994
21-Jul 137 90,708
22-Jul 138 93,506
23-Jul 139 96,388
24-Jul 140 99,358
25-Jul 141 102,419
26-Jul 142 105,572
27-Jul 143 108,820
28-Jul 144 112,167
29-Jul 145 115,616
30-Jul 146 119,168
31-Jul 147 122,828
1-Aug 148 126,597
2-Aug 149 130,481
3-Aug 150 134,481
4-Aug 151 138,601
5-Aug 152 142,845
6-Aug 153 147,217
7-Aug 154 151,719
8-Aug 155 156,355
9-Aug 156 161,130
10-Aug 157 166,047
11-Aug 158 171,111
12-Aug 159 176,325
13-Aug 160 181,693
14-Aug 161 187,221
15-Aug 162 192,912
16-Aug 163 198,771
17-Aug 164 204,802
18-Aug 165 211,011
19-Aug 166 217,402
20-Aug 167 223,980
21-Aug 168 230,751
22-Aug 169 237,719
23-Aug 170 244,890
24-Aug 171 252,269
25-Aug 172 259,862
26-Aug 173 267,674
27-Aug 174 275,712
28-Aug 175 283,981
29-Aug 176 292,487
30-Aug 177 301,237
31-Aug 178 310,236
1-Sep 179 319,491
2-Sep 180 329,009
Daily Error %Error
1952609.64 139735.81%
44 2050699.61 14320.26%
45 2152262.34 7335.30%
46 2251496.47 4546.97%
48 2348217.04 3127.33%
49 2492534.10 3036.11%
51 2604046.77 2373.10%
53 2634865.33 1462.37%
54 2717184.85 1177.42%
56 2904442.02 1217.32%
58 2940679.82 917.03%
59 3094922.25 870.91%
61 3259803.99 832.02%
63 3443473.40 806.81%
65 3399599.01 600.59%
67 3378153.23 483.68%
69 3331533.22 395.08%
71 3264114.89 327.30%
74 3226890.96 282.45%
76 3244770.69 254.78%
78 3181469.26 222.13%
81 2535919.13 148.14%
83 1776275.42 93.99%
86 1665867.12 83.49%
89 707756.93 40.37%
91 497939.16 30.53%
94 228356.37 18.15%
97 36110.36 6.30%
100 45891.14 6.92%
103 27405.44 5.10%
107 20136.74 3.88%
110 18503.30 3.61%
113 16568.54 3.33%
117 47468.65 5.35%
120 46819.88 5.16%
124 105705.00 7.34%
128 173878.87 8.97%
132 323593.07 11.53%
136 523585.44 13.85%
141 661096.03 14.91%
145 765936.61 15.46%
149 890673.69 16.06%
154 997338.40 16.41%
159 1023683.23 16.17%
164 1098130.58 16.22%
169 1038256.24 15.44%
174 913375.88 14.24%
180 1096268.08 15.00%
185 1150777.22 14.92%
191 967619.00 13.49%
197 1148430.36 14.14%
203 1137366.12 13.71%
210 1077362.29 13.04%
216 1157586.55 13.10%
223 1274921.45 13.30%
230 1400406.17 13.49%
237 1215475.08 12.35%
244 1329861.19 12.50%
252 1353239.80 12.26%
260 1365452.37 11.98%
268 1333248.62 11.54%
276 1482186.63 11.77%
285 1108023.83 10.06%
294 820699.84 8.54%
303 619476.25 7.29%
312 587939.98 6.92%
322 502318.74 6.24%
332 415614.75 5.55%
342 313905.84 4.72%
353 178249.88 3.49%
364 74049.92 2.21%
375 10963.25 0.84%
387 5991.11 0.61%
399 63789.14 1.95%
412 148345.86 2.91%
424 355887.63 4.44%
438 758956.73 6.41%
451 1305124.84 8.29%
465 1821699.41 9.62%
480 2388461.66 10.79%
495 3084074.45 12.03%
510 3313240.89 12.10%
526 0.00%
542 0.00%
559 0.00%
577 0.00%
594 0.00%
613 0.00%
632 0.00%
652 0.00%
672 0.00%
693 0.00%
714 0.00%
736 0.00%
759 0.00%
783 0.00%
807 0.00%
832 0.00%
858 0.00%
885 0.00%
 912 0.00%
940 0.00%
969 0.00%
999 0.00%
1,030 0.00%
1,062 0.00%
1,095 0.00%
1,129 0.00%
1,164 0.00%
1,200 0.00%
1,237 0.00%
1,275 0.00%
1,314 0.00%
1,355 0.00%
1,397 0.00%
1,440 0.00%
1,484 0.00%
1,530 0.00%
1,577 0.00%
1,626 0.00%
1,676 0.00%
1,727 0.00%
1,780 0.00%
1,835 0.00%
1,891 0.00%
1,949 0.00%
2,009 0.00%
2,071 0.00%
2,134 0.00%
2,199 0.00%
2,267 0.00%
2,336 0.00%
2,407 0.00%
2,481 0.00%
2,557 0.00%
2,635 0.00%
2,715 0.00%
2,797 0.00%
2,883 0.00%
2,970 0.00%
3,060 0.00%
3,153 0.00%
3,249 0.00%
3,347 0.00%
3,448 0.00%
3,552 0.00%
3,660 0.00%
3,770 0.00%
3,883 0.00%
4,000 0.00%
4,120 0.00%
4,244 0.00%
4,371 0.00%
4,502 0.00%
4,637 0.00%
4,775 0.00%
4,917 0.00%
5,063 0.00%
5,214 0.00%
5,369 0.00%
5,528 0.00%
5,691 0.00%
5,859 0.00%
6,032 0.00%
6,209 0.00%
6,391 0.00%
6,578 0.00%
6,771 0.00%
6,968 0.00%
7,171 0.00%
7,379 0.00%
7,593 0.00%
7,812 0.00%
8,038 0.00%
8,269 0.00%
8,506 0.00%
8,750 0.00%
8,999 0.00%
9,255 0.00%
9,518 0.00%
MAPE A
K
B
nu
Q
33813.13% C
6473.19% Population
4083.76% CFR
2909.17% Error
2235.26% Peak Death
1853.26% Peak date
1429.45%
1129.01% PH Event
1002.94% assumed
928.82%
805.47% LOGISTICS FUNCTION
718.80%
623.63%
522.69%
417.82%
348.66%
296.35%
246.96%
200.30%
160.50% 1000000 PHILIPPINE COV
117.62%
79.30%
100000
53.31%
35.77%
20.45% 10000
13.40%
8.07%
5.16% 1000

100
 1000
4.57%
4.25% 100
4.26%
4.96%
6.03% 10
7.67%
9.37%
1
11.32% 7-Mar 7-Apr 7-May
12.95%
14.36%
Actual
15.34%
15.80%
16.06%
16.06%
15.70%
15.41%
15.16%
14.62%
14.36%
14.25%
13.86%
13.50%
13.46%
13.33%
13.06%
12.95%
12.78%
12.52%
12.13%
12.01%
11.52%
10.78%
9.84%
8.92%
 7.81%
6.91%
6.14%
5.38%
4.44%
3.36%
2.37%
1.82%
1.70%
2.15%
3.26%
4.80%
6.33%
7.91%
9.43%
10.56%
8.91%
6.98%
4.82%
2.42%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
 1.0 Lower Asyptote
7,013,189 Carrying Capacity
0.0 Growth Rate
1.1 Sharpness Of Growth
5,175 Related to Day 0
1.0 1
109,581,078
6.4% DOH and GMA NEWS
112427055.1
9,518
2-Sep

EXPECTED CASES COVID CASES

15,000 15,385

CS FUNCTION

PHILIPPINE COVID-19 FORECAST

Mar 7-Apr 7-May 7-Jun 7-Jul 7-Aug
Actual Forecast
 Date
24-May

RECAST
Jul 7-Aug
 CONFIRM DAILY 100000
Column1 CI
ED CASES CASES

Mar-08 10 10 1.00
Mar-09 20 10 0.50 10000
Mar-10 33 13 0.39
Mar-11 49 16 0.33
Mar-12 52 3 0.06 1000
Mar-13 68 16 0.24
Mar-14 111 43 0.39
Mar-15 140 29 0.21 100
Mar-16 140 10 0.07
Mar-17 187 37 0.20
Mar-18 202 15 0.07
10
Mar-19 217 15 0.07
Mar-20 230 13 0.06
Mar-21 307 77 0.25
1
Mar-22 380 73 0.19 1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
Mar-23 462 82 0.18
Mar-24 552 90 0.16
Mar-25 636 84 0.13
Mar-26 707 71 0.10 DAILY CASES CONFIRMED CASES

Mar-27 803 96 0.12

Mar-28 1075 272 0.25
Mar-29 1418 343 0.24
Mar-30 1546 128 0.08
Mar-31 2084 538 0.26
Apr-01 2311 227 0.10
Apr-02 2633 322 0.12
Apr-03 3018 385 0.13
Apr-04 3094 76 0.02
Apr-05 3246 152 0.05
Apr-06 3660 414 0.11
Apr-07 3764 104 0.03
Apr-08 3870 106 0.03
Apr-09 4076 206 0.05
Apr-10 4195 119 0.03
Apr-11 4428 233 0.05
Apr-12 4648 220 0.05
Apr-13 4932 284 0.06
Apr-14 5223 291 0.06
Apr-15 5453 230 0.04
Apr-16 5660 207 0.04
Apr-17 5878 218 0.04 0.09%
Apr-18 6087 209 0.03
Apr-19 6259 172 0.03
Apr-20 6459 200 0.03
Apr-21 6599 140 0.02
Apr-22 6710 111 0.02
Apr-23 6981 271 0.04
Apr-24 7192 211 0.03
Apr-25 7294 102 0.01
Apr-26 7579 285 0.04
Apr-27 7777 198 0.03
Apr-28 7958 181 0.02
Apr-29 8212 254 0.03
Apr-30 8488 276 0.03
May-01 8772 284 0.03
May-02 8928 156 0.02
May-03 9223 295 0.03
May-04 9485 262 0.03
May-05 9684 199 0.02
May-06 10004 320 0.03
May-07 10205 201 0.02
 1.00

0.10

0.01
27
29
31
33
35
37
39
41
43
45
47
49
51
53
55
57
59
61

CONFIRMED CASES CASE INDEX